dear drivers, be very careful when going somewhere, especially in the morning and in the evening, and also carefully monitor the road situation, not only on highways, but also in cities, and in the south of ukraine without precipitation, the air temperature is 24-26°. in kyiv, the weather will remain the same as it is now, a maximum of +25 precipitation is not expected, this is the nearest synoptic situation. but i want to say, since we started a new synoptic week today, that a change in weather is expected in ukraine approximately on september 28-29, but keep a close eye on our updated weather forecasts on the espresso channel. good evening, we are from ukraine.

vitaly portnikov, khrystyna yatskiv, andriy smoliy and invited experts based on facts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events. if you want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, watch the saturday politics club, every saturday on espresso. greetings, this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already come to the snake itself. next frames. shock news from the scene live kamikaze drone attacks political analysis objectively and meaningfully, there is no political season, exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. freedom, frankly and impartially, you draw your own conclusions.

a new week at espresso, as promised by khrystyna yashkiv and andriy smoliy. congratulations to all our viewers and listeners, thanks to our team working on this project. on monday evening, we will talk about the events that are happening here and now, which have the prospect of being realized in the near future. if you follow vasyl's big broadcast. winters, you must have caught the announcement of our program, i personally promised you in the second part to talk about the démarche of one fairly media-savvy ukrainian military man, mr. hnezdilov, who actually announced on the entire facebook social network about his voluntary abandonment of the unit, apparently demonstrating in this way not that, well, let's say, some inclination of his to criminal offenses , and... to a greater extent

, the problem that exists in ukrainian society and among the ukrainian military is fatigue and the need for some conscious understanding, and what about demobilization? by the way, this is the topic of our survey, so, let's go today it is necessary to talk about it all, from myself, greetings friends, greetings to all viewers of the espresso tv channel, well, we are starting, and traditionally we have a poll, khrystyna has already announced the main topic of our today's program. we will talk about this in the second part, of course, now we will have experts, now we will have a discussion of the current situation in ukraine and the world, and our survey is traditional, whether the law on demobilization will strengthen the ukrainian army, take your smartphones or phones absolutely free, type 0.800, 211 381, if you think so and 0800 211 382, ​​if in... what not, i say again, all

calls are absolutely free, at the end of this hour we will tally up the interim results, at the end of the next and after our already a discussion here in the studio, we will sum up, so be active, call, well , we start, and we start, as always in a new week, from the military or security military bloc, about what is happening at the front, what is happening in kursk region, what is happening in general with our security in our country and will take place during the next, i.e., new week. viktor kevlyuk, a military expert of the center for defense strategies, a reserve colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, is already on the direct line of the espresso tv channel. mr. viktor, good evening. good evening! glory to ukraine, so, mr.

viktor, we will probably start with you, of course, with the kursk operation, yes, everything that happens there and then. let's move on to the situation on the eastern front of our country, so according to the latest data we have, the armed forces of ukraine broke through another a section of the russian border, in particular, units of the 95th separate airborne assault police brigade of the armed forces of ukraine broke through one of the sections, including, we also observed during the last days there, probably weeks, that... there are also the advance of the armed forces of the occupier state, that is, in essence, we see both the advance of the ukrainian defense forces and the advance of the enemy. in your opinion, what is currently happening in the kursk region, what are the future prospects of the ukrainian troops,

and of course, what are the prospects of the troops the occupier, regarding their so-called counteroffensive? please, a... the operational-tactical grouping of the forces of the defense forces, which is called siversk, continues to fulfill its tasks, in an interview with foreign media, the commander-in-chief of the armed forces, general syrsky defined these tasks as, first, to transfer the war to the territory the enemy and give the russian population the opportunity to feel for themselves what war is like in your home, to contribute to... let's say, the improvement of the moral and psychological state of the troops and definitely the population of ukraine, which is tired of difficult, difficult news from the east of ukraine, i will provide an opportunity

to get a reason to rejoice, and the main task is to divert part of the enemy's reserves from other directions to the kurdish direction. and in this way to weaken the enemy's pressure on our battle formations, the picture we have today, well, in principle, the media covers it quite actively, there are no big secrets going on there, for the russian command the situation is the exact opposite, the task before them is to squeeze out forces defense with... them national territories back to ukraine, but for this they have chosen the wrong tools, do not have the necessary amount of forces and means, and all this is growing into an ever-increasing problem for russia. mr. colonel, what forces

did ukraine manage to connect on the territory of the kursk region and in general on the territory of the russian federation, where ours are now? at the beginning of the invasion. the siversk group on the territory of the russian federation was held by the enemy in the border areas of the kursk, bilhorod and bryansk regions, the group somewhere in the area of ​​10-12-15 thousands in each oblast, these were mostly conscripts, border troops of the fsb of russia, and units that were withdrawn from eastern ukraine to restore the battlefields. that is, all these groups were of limited combat capability, although they were quite numerous. now the group in the kurdish region has grown to 35, according to other data, to 40 thousand. this happened due to the transfer

of reserves that the russian command had at hand in other directions. in some directions, where we observe not too active combat operations. the troops were removed directly from the line of combat and crossed over to the kursk region to organize defense, now the picture there looks approximately as follows: the sivirsk group continues its offensive south of hlushkovo, this is the district center, and is conducting combat operations in the area of ​​the villages of novy put, vedmezhe and on the western outskirts of lyubimivka is trying to break into komyshivka. the enemy, the 53rd airborne assault brigade, which arrived here from podklishchiivka, is trying to advance in the kamyshivka area and stop our breakthrough. the 51st airborne regiment of the 106th division arrived here from a temporary ravine, the other day counterattacked near

lyubimivka, near kremyany, but was stopped and could not complete its task. 106th airborne, airborne division. which operated in the chas area, i'm wrong, sorry, in the northern direction, arrived here, takes up battle formations in the area of ​​the settlement of snagost. and the 234th airborne assault regiment of the 76th airborne assault division from the orihiv direction arrived in the area of ​​the settlement of nejniy mordok. the command of all actions in the kursk region from the russian side belong to the so-called command counter-terrorist operation, i.e. military invasion, they marked for themselves as an invasion of terrorists, well, accordingly. they are trying to prevent this with tools, but there is such a highway e-38, and in the section

rylsk-lukashivka, the enemy is trying to organize a defensive line to prevent the advance of the defense forces in the direction of the kursk nuclear plant and in general to the regional center, to kursk, to the defense there the 60th motorized rifle brigade of the fifth general military army is crossing the rylsk region. before that, she was active in vremivsk direction, the selection 459th motorized rifle regiment is being deployed in the area of ​​the village, the 83rd regiment is being formed again in the lhova area, the 217th airborne regiment is being deployed in the klyshinov area, which had previously fought unsuccessfully near the yar river, the 87th regiment is being deployed in the area of ​​the village named after karl lipknecht , ugh and... near lukashivka , the 252nd motorized rifle regiment, the third

motorized rifle division, arrived from the lyman direction, in the area of ​​akymivka, markova, the 98th airborne division is being concentrated in a dry state, which is hastily withdrawn from the temporary ravine and transferred to kursk region, at the border of ulanka and borka. the state border is the westernmost eastern part... the 30th motorized rifle regiment of the 72nd division is moving to the defense of our invasion. it arrived here from near kharkov. the quality of ordinary infantry, it arrived here from the vremivsk direction, the 382nd marine infantry battalion, whose permanent deployment point was timryuk on the azov, was conducting combat operations in... the kherson direction, well, all kinds of evil spirits like

pseudo-brovol formations are pouring in here, arbat, sarmatian and similar ones, they were mostly involved in the area of ​​the temporary ravine, by the way, arbat here is a battalion of moscow majors, this is an abbreviation of an armenian battalion, which is staffed by ethnic armenians, but formed in moscow. this is the situation in the kursk region, that is, in our country. as far as we understand, the group is quite weak in terms of numbers, at least, it is really very busy right now in kurshchyna, trying to push the defense forces of ukraine out of the russian federation, the fact that they are there means that they are not somewhere else, like we understand, now from the words of mr. colonel, in principle, they are not in the south, partly in the east of our country, how does he characterize the general situation in kurshchyna, as of now? the target is the president of ukraine, volodymyr zelenskyi, i 'll just quote a fragment of his interview,

the new yorker, what he said, we can say that the operation has already shown some results, it slowed down the actions of the russians, forced them to transfer about 40 thousand soldiers from the front line in ukraine to kursk oblast. our fighters in the east have already noted that the frequency of attacks on their positions decreased well, if we add to this, as we... understand the liquidation of a fairly large amount of ammunition in tikhoretsk, and the people in a hurry say that there are, in principle, arsenals that should have provided the russian army for 3-4 months, well, then a picture emerges of an attempt to compress russian potential to continue this war for a long time. at the same time, i apologize, mr. viktor, if you do not like it when you are quoted... our colleagues are being asked to comment, but kostyantyn mashovets from the information resistance literally

today recommended to prepare civil society to the fact that the armed forces can withdraw from selidovo-toretsk and ugledar, and if we talk in general, mr. viktor, about the issue of the situation on the eastern front of our country, then this is a separate block, and here... if we talk even about today's , relatively speaking, the data, there are data for the past days, let's take the map site, as of today, what we have is the advance of the occupiers in... york, so we have the advance, unfortunately, in the area of ​​the coal mine, and of course, the pressure continues in area of ​​the pokrovsky direction, he is nowhere to be found here was happening, and let's also talk about the kuptinsky direction, there too, in particular and according to the data of the mba, they say that the situation

there is also quite difficult, that is, we actually see that... on the one hand, yes, part of the russian occupiers were pulled away on the kurshchyna, on the other hand, we still see that the pressure on certain areas, on such key areas for the occupiers, continues, and the advance of the russian army in some areas, it continues and continues practically every day. how do you, mr. viktor, assess the current situation on the eastern front? the front? i would say kharkiv region , including what is happening there now and what the dangers are, in particular in the context of what we are really told about the possibility of withdrawal from certain settlements, from certain directions, i mean the retreat of the ukrainian army, please well, let's eat the elephant that you

put on the table now in parts, so from north to south, kharkiv... the direction of the enemy has wedged itself into the territory of ukraine for 7 km, is stuck there, forced to go on the defensive, in addition to this, combatants are sneaking into it parts right from the front edge, he doesn't know what to do next, it's a shame to retreat to the national territory, to complete the task is unrealistic, attempts to bypass and block kharkov, it generally moved to the category of unfulfilled dreams. no one says that it is easy and calm in the direction of kharkiv, but the enemy's chances of accomplishing their combat mission there are slim. kupyan direction: part of the reserves have been taken away from the enemy, as a result of which he is no longer physically able to continue the offensive in several directions at the same time,

therefore he faces one single task: in area of ​​the sandy section of the group. our goal is to break through to the oskil river, there are about 2.5-3 km left, and in this way achieve at least something. next , the question arises of how to develop the offensive in order to dislodge the smaller part of the northern grouping of the defense forces, which is currently defending there, to the western bank of oskol. there is nothing, i.e. it is possible for him to reach the river, but he will not be able to develop this success physically, because there are no resources, further south, the lyman direction, battles in the area of ​​the srebynsky forest, no advance, no attempt to get out of the north to slovyansk, a year goes on and there is no chance that anything

will happen, and this is where the main task begins. of our strategic enemy, the occupation of donbas within the luhansk and donetsk regions, they occupied 98% of luhansk region, the remaining two, well, it doesn't work out. it is also impossible to create conditions for the capture of donbass, the donetsk region, because if they even break through to the slavic druzhkivka, they will be trapped in very difficult battles, because they will be forced to storm fortified areas that are very well prepared for defense, which they were preparing for that defense since the 14th year, further south, the northern direction, the 106th division went to the kursk region, there is no one to advance, local skirmishes, fights with the driver, nothing there precedes the development of the situation,

the kramatorsk direction was taken by 11.83, the same offensive is going on, the enemy is paying a colossal price for his advance, it takes almost six months to break through to kramatorsk, and there is a suspicion that he will not break through there by the end of the year, even if under certain conditions he manages to seize time, the enemy also faces the problem of forcing. of the sivirskyi donetsk-donbass canal, it lacks crossing means of transportation, engineering equipment, even in the canal, when there is no water, it is an insurmountable obstacle for armored personnel carriers. equipment, so nothing will happen here either, the turkish direction, the enemy is succeeding, heavy fighting, we are gradually retreating,

most likely to avoid the encirclement in dnilipivka, the defense forces will retreat from here, all this will pull up, as mr. kostyantyn vashavets , who i consider to be one of the best military commentators in ukraine, if not the best, warns absolutely correctly. we will have to leave the territory, we still have the kramatorsk direction, the enemy has taken away the main striking force of the airborne troops, those who remain there will attack for a long time and will not achieve anything. pokrovsky direction, the enemy has approached selidovoy and cannot develop his offensive until he takes control of this city and completes the liquidation of the bridgehead. defenses in the area of ​​the vovcha river, it will happen sooner or later, the enemy also loses pace, suffers losses and, accordingly, cannot form

conditions for an assault on pokrovsk, that is, beyond pokrovsk to the administrative border with the dnipropetrovsk region, somewhere, if i am not mistaken, 60 km, there, too, we will have to fight, if we have to, so we can say that in the direction of pokrovsk. the enemy is successful, not quite correctly, they move the direction of the main attack to the south and try to move in the region of hirnyk, ukrainian, acutely, in order to create, firstly, conditions for the encirclement of the ugledar, and secondly, to create conditions for to bypass the cover of the south and possibly attack it at once from several directions, ugh, a difficult situation. in the kurakhovo area, the enemy is very much hindered by the ugledar salient, but it is large enough, and therefore a series of unsuccessful assaults

on the ugledar himself taught him certain lessons, ugh, but the enemy does not abandon this idea, now in the vremivskyi direction in the area of ​​the village of velika novosilka, concentrated to the south a strike group of up to 10,000 servicemen, and most likely. the enemy is waiting for the right moment to bring this group into battle in the direction of velika novosilka kurakhova and in this way, to create a threat of encirclement of our troops in ugledar and in this way to dislodge us from there. as for the direction of orikhivskyi, local combat clashes, the same squads attack each other's positions, the line of combat collision. unchanged, ugh, ukrainian artillery dominates the heavy battles for the islands in the kherson direction, the enemy, even after capturing some positions on the islands,

cannot hold them, but an interesting episode happened the other day, when a russian marine came out to meet a ukrainian drone with a placard, maybe something eat, i can't fight anymore, now he is in captivity, that's about... yes, that's how the picture looks, mr. victor, thank you for such a detailed and balanced analysis on the fronts, as always. viktor kevlyuk, military expert of the center for defense strategies, reserve colonel of the armed forces of ukraine. maybe we didn't have time for everything, and of course, i'm sure that mr. viktor has his own vision of what happened, well, for example, in the arkhangelsk region during the test of the nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile sarmat, but it happened. there in in the literal sense of the word underground snit, but all this happened, in particular, against the background of the next nuclear threats of the russian federation, who are they

threatening, the question seems to me to be absolutely obvious, all this, all these threats are dedicated , of course, to the united states of america, where, by the way, he is now the ukrainian delegation headed by president volodymyr zelensky, we are in touch with oleksandr krayev, an expert of the foreign policy council, ukrainian prism, americanism, americanist, mr. oleksandr, i congratulate you, glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, good evening to you, my friend, and i will allow myself to ask a short note, and whether there was a certain information effect, perhaps even with a political reflection, from what happened in the arkhangelsk region, from the capabilities of the russian nuclear triad, somehow this was reflected in the united states, maybe the media covered something, but what is interesting is that the media didn't really say anything about it, that is. there was a note, it was said that in the russian federation for unknown reasons, it is not known how, but everything did not go according to plan, but the most interesting thing it is most pleasant if we take the same twitter, or rather the x social network, so to

speak. from my experience of communicating with american colleagues in recent days, you have no idea what joy there is among the expert community, and the key, the key phrase, which i have heard for the tenth time already, and we told them, to them, meaning the american authorities, we told them that it was all untrue, that in fact the russians do not have that potential, that in fact all the stories about sarmat and about cool, powerful nuclear weapons are really the same nonsense, about which you mentioned, that is, in fact among those circles that influence decision-making in washington... now is indeed a holiday, and mr. oleksandr, so let's move on to the main topic of conversation with you, of course, the visit of volodymyr zelenskyi, the president of ukraine to the united states america, and in principle everything that, so to speak, relates to this visit, and the week is extremely busy in our country, well, let's add a little information, zelensky arrived in the usa, actually to participate in events within

the framework of the general assembly. and organizations of the united nations, as well as in order to meet with the leadership of the united states of america, that is, with the current president joe biden, with the candidates for the president of the united states of america, trump and harris, and of course in order to present the victory plan, which we have been talking for many, many weeks, well, in particular, if we talk about today. zelenskyi visited a factory for the production of artillery shells in pennsylvania and also stated that it is important not to waste time and that the next few months are for ukraine decisive, mr. oleksandr, which means that several months are decisive, the president emphasized this yesterday in one of the interviews, and again repeated this... thesis

today, the president also says that the coming days will also be very important and decisive, what does it mean, what kind of thesis, narrative, and can we really talk about the fact that these days, weeks and months are decisive for our country, for the war that is going on in our country. yes, in fact, this is a very important period indeed, ours of course the authorities set, well, to put it mildly, quite and idealistic... very real goals, because the last thing we heard was that during october the approval and implementation of more than 80% of all those plans of the so-called victory formula, which has already been presented to our american partners, but it is difficult to believe that biden, his administration, even more so, the presidential candidates and our allies in general during october, while the situation with the elections for both congress and the president is still unknown, they will have time really implement a rather ambitious program, because even

from... the reports of the times and the reports of bloomberg, we see that the program of the formula for victory is really quite ambitious, but it seems to me that the key message here is that our government is really preparing for negotiations, they are talking about it the last few months, the americans, who have always said that the ukrainians themselves choose the time and moment when they should start negotiations with moscow, are clearly ready to facilitate this, but what is most important, the americans, like our other partners, have constantly repeated that the most important thing is that ukraine ... entered the negotiations with a strong position, that is, so that ukraine would not immediately have to give in to moscow, would not have to immediately make certain concessions even before these negotiations, respectively, began. that is why these months will really be decisive, why this trip is very important, it is precisely this preparation of a strong negotiating position, well, because it is difficult to believe, as i have already said, that during september, during october it will be possible to implement the formula for victory and really achieve

military progress pekovo, but if we say just according to the scenario of the peace formula, if we are talking about direct negotiations, then most likely this is the target that is currently trying to be implemented. mr. oleksandr, you just mentioned about, i will clarify, about the fact that the ukrainian authorities are preparing for negotiations, the question arises here, whether russia needs these negotiations and whether russia is ready in principle now or even in a few months for any negotiations , because we can talk a lot about them, but we understand very well that the key to negotiations lies. not in ukraine and not in washington, in principle, what if russia wants, then there will be negotiations, well, of course, not without the fact that we and the entire civilized world must push russia to these victories, well, based on the interview of the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi, he talks about forcing peace and that the russians non-contact and do not want any negotiations, but this does not mean that we do not have...