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tv   [untitled]    September 28, 2024 8:30pm-9:01pm EEST

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on ezbola facilities in lebanon, and today it was already officially confirmed that hassan nasralu was eliminated by one and one of the strikes on these facilities. mr. vitaly, we can say that hezbollah is over, or in fact, it will continue to act, there will be some actions against israel. apply, because in fact we have witnessed a very effective, fast, i would say lightning operation of the state of israel against this de facto terrorist organization hezbollah, when in fact they were practically eliminated all managers, both of the highest level and of the middle level, but not all of them, it must be said that i, as far as i understand... this is the head
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of the executive committee of hachem sophia din, he is alive, he can become the new head of the organization, where in there is always someone in such organizations, but after, but after such devastating strikes, does this organization have a future, or will we see a de-escalation in the north of israel and we will see that its influence on the territory of lebanon begins to decline sharply. well, look, this o... organization, it exists precisely because there is a radicalized shia population in lebanon, just as hamas exists because there is a radicalized palestinian population in the gas sector. as long as such organizations have a social basis and have the money that iran gives, they will of course be founded. another issue is combat resources. basically, let's think, hassan nasrallah became the head of this organization in 1992, right? how many years has it been? well, 32 years, 33. 33, do you think, during this time,
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the israeli special services had the opportunity to eliminate him? well, in principle, well, but, well they didn't do that, although i think there were much easier ways to eliminate hassan nastral than hitting this bunker, these famous bombs that can penetrate the bunker. the problem is that there have always been certain red lines in the middle east, which until... allowed us to live in the conditions of, i would say, conflict management, after october 7, 2023 , these lines, they are destroyed, and therefore everything is happening in absolutely new conditions, and therefore no one knows what will happen tomorrow, and i cannot tell you that hezbollah will stop there exist, or it will lead to a de-escalation of the situation, i think it can lead to...
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to a de-escalation of the situation for only one reason: if hizbollah does not now definitely have a command center and arsenals to strike israel, if it turns out that the leaders have died this will not be greatly affected, which means there will be an israeli ground operation in lebanon. israel does all this with one really real goal: it does not want to stretch the front. in a situation where he cannot end the war in the gas sector. when all these goals of ending the war in the gas sector, they moving from week to week because there is no peace agreement, no appeasement, no hostage release, none of that, and we're already approaching october 7, 2024, it's a few days away, it's a year of war, it's not just a lot for the near east, this is a lot, a year of active hostilities, as you understand, and israel as a state has never existed in such a situation, we do not even know how it will continue to exist, how it
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will affect the safety of the population, people's readiness, repatriation to israel, on the readiness of the israelis themselves to be in in this country, people are used to the fact that this happens every other week, that they are safe, that just such a clash of the army, everything stops, here people understand that they will have to live like the ukrainians for years, and think about it, netanyahu. .. he does all this because he wants to return people to the north, to hiryat shman, to mytula, other cities and settlements. all these people became internal refugees in a small country. and imagine that you have to go to stelividok, well , it's a 2.5 hour drive, maybe less, and you can't go home. it's not a distance between donetsk and kyiv, or from kharkiv to kyiv, this is the distance from the white church to kyiv, relatively speaking. well, well, the white
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church, well, cherkas, no cherkas is even too much, probably still a white church, but imagine that you have a house in a white church, and you are somewhere in a shelter in tel aviv, or rather in kyiv? and you cannot go to the white church, how do you feel, how safe do you feel in such a country, we just have a large territory here, a person can from the shelled kharkov, if he feels you are in danger, go to kyiv or ternopil, and it is safer there, as it were, but it is a long distance, you drive a long distance, here you don’t drive anything, well , i don’t know how to explain it, but i used to be there from chmany i went back and forth to tel aviv there during the day, when i needed and when i was somewhere for a month. lived next to kiryachmana, so he just imagines very well. well, no, well , i think our viewers can imagine it if we take one, one region, let's say kyiv region, and zhytomyr region, or there and then, let's imagine how far we go from the border there from zhytomyr
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region, and there to the white church or to pereyaslav, well, yes, well, that is, that is, of course you can imagine, because in reality israel is somewhere approximate by size as it seems to me, like one and a half of our region, yes, one important thing still needs to be understood, that you live in this kyiv region, but if you go, relatively speaking, to a conditional district in this region, you can be killed there, you have go around this area, because there there are people who are ready to kill you, in the literal sense of the word, not to say anything bad to you, but just to kill you, and you know that in principle you are guaranteed safety in such conditions, but now it is difficult? to say, therefore, of course, the israeli government is making efforts, but i repeat again that since all these red lines have been destroyed, i do not know how these efforts will end, to be honest with you, that is , of course, the strike on hassan nastral is a serious crossing of all the red lines that were in israel's relationship with these proxy armies
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of iran. now that's it, you're absolutely right what you say, mr. andriy, depends on how much you understand them. military potential, if this military potential is not there, if they have to rebuild their entire organizational nature now, military potential, if the influence of hezbollah in lebanon decreases, it is a completely different story, because then they will even think about the gas sector at all, because they are all time saw that they should besiege israel, and yes, if they have no real resource. this is the same formula that i offered you when we talked about russia was told that if iran does not have the resources to restore and maintain these proxy armies, then iran will have to think at least about a pause, about restoring the strength of its forces, and
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about political opportunities, etc., and you understand that hezbollah is also a big social donor, this is an organization that distributed money to the poor population of lebanon, shiite. therefore, these people do not understand at all how they will live, because they are used to paratizing with the help of hezbollah, that is, hezbollah, on the one hand, turned lebanon into a state in which there is no money, no work and there are no prospects, there is nothing political, you know that the president has not been there for 600 days, and now one of the lebanese politicians, who , of course, expressed incredible regret over the death of such a wonderful patriot as hassan nasral, he said: our from. .. the assassination of nasrala should lead to the election of the president of lebanon. but it was nasrallah who did everything he could to ensure that there was no president of lebanon. it was his idea that why is the president of lebanon, if there is no president of lebanon, then who is the real leader of lebanon? hassan nasrallah. ot. and the government lebanon, we are talking there, now there will be a meeting of the government. and what is the significance of a
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government meeting when these ministers do not have any functions, did not have, at least until today . when in- the lebanese army has fewer servicemen than the hezbollah army. do you understand? that is, they led to... the degeneration of an entire state once, to the fact that people of other faiths, lebanese christians, sunnis, muslims, friends, found themselves in this state actually subject to their influence and are now forced to express false regret for the death of a person who they all hate, this must also be understood, they hate, but they are afraid to say it, because they are hostages, in fact the entire population of iran is not shiite, they are hostages. of this terrorist gang, and the moderate shiites are even more hostages, because they are afraid to say a word, lest they simply be killed, here is the speaker of the lebanese parliament in big bedi, he is the leader of another shiite party, amal, but the problem is that he was all his life the leader of this amal, and hezbollah appeared after
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the radical forces from this party left amal, that is, these are the schismatics of his party, he hates them, but he is forced to say that he is very distressed about that shit, whom he himself expelled from his... party died from an israeli rocket, here is the whole story from lebanon, so let's see , how this is going to play out, it's a very complicated story, and we 're seeing the israeli government take... desperate steps to try not to globalize this war in the middle east, what he's going to do, i don't know, especially as you see there is also an arab influence, so we talked about the session of the un general assembly, and you know that at the session of the un general assembly, saudi arabia, we talked about what china and brazil are doing, and saudi arabia, which china and brazil want to invite to their platform of friends, it is creating another coalition, a coalition will be created for two parties. the solution of the middle east problem, she wants to involve in this coalition as
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many countries as possible that will agree with the reality of the creation of a palestinian state, and now china and brazil are forced to change their friends peace on the participation of this coalition, and this is also a problem for israel, because you have seen that it is impossible to say that israel now occupies such obvious positions of the international community, which made it easy to feel at home internationally. no, it does not take, and this is also a new situation for israel, when it does not enjoy obvious support even in the countries of the west, not that there is ukraine of the global south, that’s it, but what is the position of the three states that i will name it's clear, iran, and what iran can really do, because the guards went there again threats from the vice-president of iran, we see that there again... once some kind of revenge is announced, once again they say that
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israel will end there, well, we already know the truth, we haven't heard the position of the turkish language yet, or maybe we have , maybe i heard, i heard, erdoğan condemned israel, maybe i didn't hear, because erdoğan, we remember what a howl arose after the actual operation began. against hamas, against terrorists, and what in general did erdoğan organize there, and what rallies were held in turkey, and by the way, what about china interesting about china china, for wangi, about whom we talk a lot today, stated that china firmly supports lebanon in protecting its security, so this is a more cautious statement than erdoğan's. it must be said that there is also france, which is also interested
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in ensuring that there is no war in lebanon, because france has special interests in lebanon, and it considers itself responsible for the security of lebanon, as a former metropolis, and israel must also take this into account, that is, not naturally, none of the politicians in france supports it hezbollah, however, one way or another... the lebanese theme is always used in the french domestic political context, even you know that melenchon, he came to beirut as a sign of solidarity with lebanon, and all this is also seen by his political opponent there, because you understand, that many french voters are people of arab origin and that means they immediately find themselves in melenchon's pocket after such visits, so of course in this situation i will not even hide that i think that now... er, the french too, well, two minutes ago, the minister of foreign
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affairs of france called for the immediate cessation of israeli airstrikes on iran, you see, we just started talking about it, he already made this statement in sync with my thoughts about france, and this must also be realized, so of course turkey will support not just lebanon, it will... support hezbollah, that is, russia will support iran, iran will support hezbollah, and there are countries that will support lebanon and try to restore stability there, this is primarily, as we understand, what is the position what is the position of the united states of america in this case, the united states is trying to pretend that it has nothing to do with it. they don't want to take responsibility for what's going on, united
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states secretary of defense lloyd austin said he learned about the polivan raid from israeli defense minister ivan gallant while the raid was already underway, and no one had informed him before that. that is, the united states does not support israel, does not condemn it, it actually takes such a position, no, no application own role in this history, that is, there are actually no americans among israel's critics. russians like you. you know, there is, because , i don't know if you've seen the statement from moscow, which was after the death of shit, but this is also, quite an important statement, in fact, which condemns israel, and here it is absolutely clearly in
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the statement the ministry of foreign affairs of russia says that moscow is determined. condemns the latest political assassination carried out by israel and insists that israel cease hostilities, well, this is like supporting us, and by the way, russian propaganda essentially stands on the positions of esbulla, today i specifically looked through russian military leaders, russian propagandists, all these nightingales and so on, and there, if it is not directly talked about, then indirectly. they talk about the fact that this is terror, that look at what is happening in the world, and you blame russia there for some reason and so on and so on, that is, in fact, in fact, maybe not so expressed, but russia clearly demonstrates, on whose boots she is, of course, and it is obvious that russia, she is on the boots
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iran, first of all, but now it is very important to understand how iran will really act, because... in principle, i absolutely agree with those observers who say that the elimination of hassan nasrella is a direct blow to iran, you know, to hamas it was not like that, hamas is an organization that iran could always put under the knife, so to speak, it is a sunni organization, these are people who were simply at the mercy of these, the iranians, and they could, in principle, use them to destabilize israel. i have to interrupt you, we have a short break, after what we will continue our broadcast and we will have another interesting topic, don't switch, tingling, numbness will bother you, dolgit antineuro complex helps in normalizing
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a thorough analysis of the main events. reports, comments of leading specialists and experts. ah... analytics from the major of the armed forces. how to understand alarming news and distinguish the truth from the hostile and false. the real front program with taras berezovets every saturday at 21:30 on espresso. the verkhovna rada regularly adopts new laws. but how do these changes affect our lives? we have analyzed the new decrees to inform you about the latest changes in ukrainian legislation. how do legislative norms change our lives, what should we prepare for? the leaders will answer these and other questions that concern ukrainians lawyers of the aktum bar association. see that tuesday at 7:55 in the program legal expertise on tv. saturday political club, live ether, we are back,
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we have one more important topic, which of course concerns both security and stability in europe, and of course, it also concerns ukraine, because ukraine is located on the territory of europe. bbc ukraine, exit. published an article with the title: will there be a new orban in austria, and for a reason. in fact, austria will hold elections for the national council tomorrow. national council - this is the lower house of the parliament of this state. and here is the most interesting thing: victory is predicted for the opposition far-right freedom party, led by herbert kickle. his views on the future of the european. union, migration and many other issues, including the war in ukraine, they are similar in many respects to the position of viktor orban, prime minister of hungary.
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so, mr. vitaly, what should we expect from these elections, can this far-right political force, which, by the way, is also called pro-russian, really win, and what will this mean for europe once again, and for... of ukraine? well, the austrian freedom party has every chance of getting a majority in the parliamentary elections in austria, this must be clearly stated so that there are no illusions that it is leading according to all sociological polls , and it can be the first, at the very least, the second party for the results of these parliamentary another question is whether she will gain power in austria, because really herbert kikl has absolutely pro-russian views, uh, he wants to stop. aid to ukraine, he wants, by the way, unlike orban, to block european integration of ukraine, he wants to refuse payments
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to the european fund that helps the armed forces of ukraine, he wants ukraine not to be a member of the european union, not from the point of view of war, but from the point of view of the interests of austrian agriculture, i.e. in his... he has positions that, in principle, make him a person really capable of slowing down the european future of ukraine for a long time. this should be clearly understood. another question is whether he will be able to come to power in austria? this will require the solidarity of all other political forces. because, you know, from the point point of view, the same herbert kickel, he is definitely a far-right politician, but this freedom party, rejected by many other far-right politicians in... in austria, it has long been part of pre-election coalitions, government coalitions, you remember what it has there was even a minister of foreign affairs from this party, who has now
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moved to russia altogether, and vladimir putin came to her wedding, remember? yes, yes, yes, there was a famous story, he came there, he danced with her at her wedding, she then divorced and already divorced, moved to live in russia, imagine the level of this. integration, you know at least one hungarian politician who would move to russia, but if we compare with orbán, and this is like this, so it is really serious, it means that it will be necessary that this time the austrian conservatives, the austrian social democrats, the greens, they agreed among themselves in terms of not allowing a coalition with the austrian freedom party, to leave it in the opposition, because several times there was a situation when this party did not have a majority in the parliament, when others... the parties could do without it, but the conservatives did not want to form a joint government with the social democrats and the greens so much that they agreed with the far-right and formed
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a joint government with them and ran into new political and corruption scandals again, so this is a huge a common problem, of course you also need to understand that our only such chance is honesty. politicians and their understanding of how dangerous the victory of the austrian freedom party can be if the party does not simply get more votes in the election, but will also enter the government, but you understand that the austrian voter who votes for this party will feel cheated if it comes first, it came first, it has to form the government, and as a result it was not allowed to the authorities, the same situation was, if you remember, in the netherlands, where all parties... could have formed a government without the ultra-right, but they were in principle not ready to abandon the tradition in this way, when the first party,
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which... . headed the electoral list, cannot to form his government, and as a result, geert wilders did not become the prime minister of austria, but it is controlled by the dutch government, by the way, right now there is a scandal over the fact that the current prime minister of the netherlands dixhove said that he how the head of the government determines the work of the government, so ... and in this situation, so wilders did not like very much that schow said that it is he who determines what happens in dutch politics, that is, in such a situation when you try to isolate the winner of the voters, even far-right, you prove it anyway the situation to an inevitable political crisis, because the winner cannot understand why he does not have the fruits of his victory, and those who voted for him cannot understand it, you know, in the netherlands there is a situation where wilders
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understands that if he leaves for an early parliament... he will most likely lose the election, and herbert kikl will not have such a situation, because his party has long held such a serious position in austrian politics, and none of the scandals that were there, as you understand, pam do you know what happened with the previous one? the leader of the party was the great ibizagate scandal when a woman came to him, well she played this role, who called herself the niece of a russian oligarch and said that she would finance their party, he said: great, finance, we will give you government contracts and that everything was recorded and this... all of austria saw it, and of course, after such a story , everyone had a question, how this party can even exist and represent austrians, but nothing, it survived, and here is this new leader, it is already such third case, each time this charismatic leader the party, one might say, sews itself into fools, and the party still continues to exist, i remember what a scandal there was with the death of the first
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leader of this such a charismatic party. jörg haider, do you remember this famous story, when he died and york haider was considered such a champion of family values, he spoke out, that is, against such same-sex marriages and so on, and on this the party made itself a, you could say, a reputation of conservative colleagues in society, he died there when he was returning from a party in a gay club with someone there quarreled with his partner, got drunk, and it all became known, and this partner, who became the new leader of the party, cried on the radio and talked about his love for jörg haider, and everyone said: my god, that means absolutely everything, it was a lie about values, but nothing, a threat appeared, he restored his reputation, after the ibiza gate, they believed that the end of the threat showed that he is corrupt, that there is no respect for the austrians, kikel appeared, they are ready to vote for them again, if anything will happen to the kikl, i think someone will appear the other because it means that
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there is a demand in austrian society for such... huh. by the way, if we talk very briefly about the chances, according to the survey that was conducted yesterday, by the way, in austria, the political party of freedom, it is currently receiving potentially 26-27% of the vote. the conservatives get 25, so the gap between them is about 2%. next come the social democrats with 21. percent, then the greens, that is, de facto, if desired, there is a very good coalition, any coalition, except the freedom party, of course, if there is such a desire again, then we will to wait for it, because that would be the best way out of this election in austria, but the threat of the far right entering the government and influencing its policies is very high, so we will be waiting for the news tomorrow evening with such, such attention from vienna,
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because this is news about us too. we will discuss this topic in our next programs and other topics during the next week, we will collect information for you and we will see you next saturday, mr. vitaly, i sincerely thank you for your expert opinions, for your analysis vitaly portnikov and andriy smoliy were on the live air of the espresso tv channel. let's hold on and everything will be ukraine. greetings to all viewers of the espresso tv channel, this is the summary of the week, iryna koval is working for you in the studio, and today in the issue there are details of zelensky's visit to the usa, about which countries.

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