tv [untitled] September 29, 2024 6:30am-7:01am EEST
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are more resolved than when he was still running for president, and while russia's invasion of ukraine is unlikely to be a decisive factor in the us election, it could affect the outcome by a small margin, as this election is expected to be very tense and going back, for example, to the beginning of our conversation, when we talk about certain negotiations, i don’t know backstage, semi-public and even public, well, we understand that, in general, similar things are... included in what is called there are some informal agreements, but we understand that there can no longer be informal agreements with putin, yes, because he violated all international agreements in which russia participated, that is, either by not fulfilling them or simply leaving them, yes, well, we will not mention the so -called budapest memorandum, but if it is still somewhere in a couple of months, maybe in six months we will see a certain freeze situations, relaxation. the level
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of intensity of fighting on the front line, so we will understand that something is possible happens, but someone has to be the guarantor of those agreements that may not be signed on paper, and even if they were signed on paper, what would it look like? it is too early to talk about a potential guarantor, because putin has not yet decided to end the war, he continues to throw as many people as possible to the front lines to stop ... ukrainian bullets and bombs, but the time will come if the united states, great britain and their allies will give permission to use long-range missiles deep into russian territory, when putin does will have to take such a step. as you assume, mr. borkovsky, everything written on paper like the budapest memorandum is of no importance to putin. he understands only one language: the language of the dominant force. therefore, its armed forces must be degraded. to such an extent that he
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was no longer able to continue this war against ukraine. as we know from the 1930s, in particular from the secret agreements between nazi germany and the soviet union, that the leaders in moscow still violated the agreements when they felt like it profitably. for example, despite prior agreements, stalin's plans to invade poland led to world war ii. the same applies to putin, he does not care what is written on paper. thus... first it is necessary to reduce the military potential of russia and only after that one should think about methods of verification of any agreement. verification may involve a set of states, guarantors or other formal mechanisms. we successfully developed methods for verifying nuclear arsenals during the cold war. therefore, it is quite possible to develop similar approach. and yet, before considering a peace agreement and ways to guarantee it, the main focus should be on reducing russia's military potential. and
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the last question, i will formulate it briefly: and trump, is he telling the truth, or is there some kind of election chaos going on in his head, that is, he is giving a lot of different signals about how he sees the conversations with putin. i don't think his default position is to tell the truth. trump always manipulates and says what comes to his mind and what he thinks will help him at this moment. he considers himself a great politician and thinks that he can change somehow. or to force ukraine and russia to end the war, but he hardly has a clear idea of how to achieve this. during a recent debate with kamela harris, he was asked if he had an economic plan for the country, to which he replied that he had the concept of a plan, meaning despite attacking kamaluri for not having an economic policy of his own, he essentially admitted that he doesn't have a concrete plan, just concepts themselves, same thing also applies to his approach. before russia's invasion
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of ukraine, he has a concept of a plan and considers himself an experienced negotiator capable of finding a way to end the war, however, it seems that he himself does not quite understand what he really wants, the word chaos you lived here is very appropriate. thank you very much, dear mr. ambassador bright, for this brilliant analysis on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our tv viewers that now matthew bryza, former adviser to the secretary of state of the united states, ex-director of affairs, worked for them. in the us national security council. in the latest edition of the magazine ukraine. mykola knyazhytskyi tells how russia turned its church into a dangerous weapon of influence. oleksandr matviychuk emphasizes the importance of international justice in the case of russia's war crimes in ukraine. oleh sahakyan analyzes. why government reshuffles
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act as an injection of adrenaline for the state with the country at the center of the main events. buy country magazine at newsstands or subscribe online. discover the power of teamwork at the 31st lviv international book forum from october 3 to 6 in the powder tower and downtown lviv, public interviews, discussions of ukrainian and foreign authors and intellectuals, presentations of new books, autograph session, children's program and the favorite night of poetry and music. join live in lviv, online in the world. october 3-6. for more details, see the forum ua book. the espresso library presents the marshall plan dawn of the cold war book. the marshall plan is a program of economic assistance to european states after world war ii. but the marshal's plan is not only history, it is the key to understanding how to transform the destroyed ukraine to a prosperous country. the marshall plan is a book
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the central security service, the sbu. join one of the best special forces in the country. we are expanding and hiring. we invite civil specialists riz'. directions experienced commanders will ensure your high-quality training and education. fill out the questionnaire and choose the direction where you can be most effective. we are waiting for you in the team of tssoa asbu. together we will write the history of victory. details on the official pages of the sbu. the tv channel is now on the air espresso will be worked by dmitry areshkin, political scientist, professor at the free university in riga. i welcome you, dear dmytro borisovych, to the broadcast of the tv channel. good day, hello. well, we understand that our armed forces
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have demonstrated that escalation can be played, with two hands, on two scores. we understand that in the tver region of the russian federation. flew to the military warehouse, the story is extremely serious, taking into account the fact that there was an explosion of such power that an earthquake occurred, reaching three points on the scale richter, well, accordingly, we understand that the war entered the territory of the russian federation not only in forms, in the form of coffins or sacks with two honeycombs, yes, that is, a new phase of the war is beginning, well, accordingly, i would ask you for a description... i would not say , that everything is clearly with the transition of the war to some new quality, it seems to me that all this is predictable, simply unexpected for the russian way of thinking, they are also used to the fact that
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if a country is larger, then it more powerful in the 21st century, the picture has changed somewhat, this was not noticed in moscow. it is about what is big the territory must be protected. that you fight and it turns out that russia has too many facilities for which there is simply not enough air defense. including a very large and apparently modern production base, this is the tver province, which should still be protected, because there are rockets, shells, and whatever, it didn't work, flew in and exploded. what this means is that russia lacks the means of modern air defense to cover key points on its own territory, because ... that was not what putin had in mind when he began his aggression against of ukraine that he would be able to get an answer, he got it. i don't see any great news in this, because exactly everything happened, for example, in april and may of 22, when he did not expect an answer on the way to kyiv or
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gostomel, and he met and received this answer in kharkiv as well and so on, the same applies to kursk. so, war has its own logic, the problem is that of the russian mentality. it is very difficult to understand this modern logic, it is very simple: if this is the european logic and consisted in the fact that when you live in a glass house you don't need to throw stones at your neighbors, it can fly in... in response, and putin and his entourage thought that nothing would fly in response, and secondly, the most headless of them believed that this is our house, made of glass is not glass, he is ours, the west will be afraid and will not participate, ukraine will be afraid, zelensky will run away and in three days there will be a victory parade in kyiv, it did not work out that way, and now the process has already begun, which is difficult to stop, he is terrible, he is bloody, he is destroying ukraine, she is a victim of aggression, here is the question. no, but destroys russia as well. the only question is that russian public opinion has not yet
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substantiated this, realized it and is not ready to realize it. and in this sense, ukraine is engaged in providing time and time again very clear, simple lessons for russian public opinion. the question is how soon this public opinion will be able to gather the courage to admit that putin committed not only a crime by starting this war, but also a mistake. and now for this mistake. will have to pay for a long time and in extremely unprofitable ways, but this is another conversation, in general it seems to me that the war has gone from a stupid mind, in the 21st century in the modern world , problems are not solved by wars, but putin stayed in the 18th or 19th century or in the first half of the 20th century, i don’t know whether the spirit of nicholas the first or another someone or something there... stalin’s projections were incarnated, that’s what he thinks, and here the key story is
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how much this cotton wool with ammonia can hollow him out, well here the question of the amount of blood, the amount of destruction, and accordingly, in principle, the unshakable position of the west, we understand that there is no place in ukraine flee under the threat of existential destruction, putin and the kremlin offer only an ultimatum, give us your territory , give us your sovereignty, give us your identity, otherwise the war will continue, that is , this is not a negotiating position, it is only an ultimatum under the threat of destroying the people, states and so on, i.e. de facto putin does not offer anything, but perhaps just these or other scumbags with ammonia blood, i am not afraid to say this, will be able to him to him a little, i don't know, change the option in his head? if i you understood correctly, then my answer will be as follows: the fact is that russia is two-layered on
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the one hand, it is european, and on the other, let's say, golden horde. at least ivan vasilievich the terrible consciously used the practices of zolotordinsk territorial management, which he borrowed from saf gerei, each time he managed the kazan khanate quite strictly. all the time there is opposition to the european intention, where russia was the same... the romanovs, but since 1917, especially after comrade stalin came to power, the conventional began to openly dominate asian ideas about the organization of power, a kind of sultanate, the eastern method of production, as karl marx wrote, saying that there is no private property, property belongs to the state, etc., and this is already an empire. rather, not of the european type, but of the golden horde, when there is a khan who
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is not limited by anything , there are no political institutions that would restrain him, there is a military-political or military-nomadic pseudo-democracy, which is called delegative, i.e. once he delegated the powers of the khan and after that he is nothing and not limited in any way, comrade stalin built one. earlier there were those who seized power in ukraine, but now it is all of ukraine. it turned out that the very russian people, which he proclaimed to be part of the great russian people, consists of traitors themselves, and this is a purely stalinist approach, a traitorous people, and this is a purely horde approach, when the khan could deprive the uluz of their subjectivity, resettle them from one part of their territory to another
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only for a little more than two years, that this ukrainian nation does not exist, and until then the nation should be destroyed, because it does not belong to us one listens, even the logical external contradiction is obscured and covered, and you just need to understand, putin, collective putin, let it be impersonal, and that collective putin is represented by... simonyan, solovyov, shuigu, medvedev, anyone. that system of values, which he now promotes and defends, does not correspond to reality. speaks to the natural logic of the development of events. the natural logic is that ukrainians want to be in europe. therefore, he could not overcome this natural desire for sovereignty by peaceful means, he could not buy yanukovych with 17 billion dollars, which he bet on it, ukraine did not agree to it, and yanukovych was expelled, and he cannot
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forgive ukraine for this and is trying to prove that he is such a figure by military methods. he also does not succeed and will not succeed, the question is what a terrible price for this natural experiment the result is known in advance, well, what does it mean that is known in advance, some understand, some do not understand, it seems to me that this result is known in advance, it is in any - in any case, a deep depression, not to say a disaster for russia. i am not talking about ukraine at all, because it is a victim of aggression, here it is clear that population loss, destruction. economy, it was not ukraine that initiated it, it was initiated by collective putin, then answering your question, as i understood it correctly, putin is trying to oppose the natural course of european history with armed force, and of course he is not succeeding. this is what milosevic and other characters did at the time, they dug not rivers, but big barrels
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of blood, and in the end they lost. putin will have the same story somewhere. russia is a very big country, has a lot of resources, therefore blood will have to spill more. what do you say here? how to deal with it? i can't imagine and look, dmytro borisovych, well, we understand that putin is no longer a power in himself, he has certain partners, trade, geopolitical, you know, china has already filled oskomu, and not only china, iran joins in here, but here is the question ... what exactly, for example, brazil and china are giving certain signals regarding these or other peace proposals, we understand that a large part of them are non-public, they are probing the ground, primarily in in the united states, perhaps in brussels, perhaps in london, yes, ukraine is simply surprised, any proposals that come from the same
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heaven or from brazil, so they boil down to the fact that it is called peace at the expense of... countries, the seizure of our territories is constantly discussed, they talk about the so- called realities on the ground, although our fighters demonstrated that the realities on the ground are not so unambiguous, the armed forces of ukraine are located in the territory of the kursk province, but we also suspect that beijing, brazil and not only they give certain signals with the agreement of the kremlin, that is, with the agreement of the kremlin, they they give certain signals, broadcast them, well, they try... to check what the reaction will be, which may mean that the kremlin is ready for something, but here it is a question of the psychotype of this russian milosevic. first, i think that putin made a geopolitical choice and turned russia eastward. and now, in accordance with his ideas about the beautiful, and his idea
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is soviet, and therefore supernatural, he is building a block of moscow, beijing, tehran, pyongyang, partially possible. the capital of syria, damascus, is the block that opposes the west. the problem is that that putin is not the leader in this block, he is there to the tune of china, and the west, especially in the western hemisphere, america, western europe, is not liked by many countries, such as brazil and others. this is not in the states, in general, it is a matter of what specific forces are currently there. brazil rules the forces of the left, a beast more terrifying than american imperialism. no, and russia has never occupied brazil, so why not support russia? all this is actually secondary, that is, putin broke away from the dominant trend of global development and turned to second-rate ones, sorry for directness of political regimes, and brought russia there too. to me, as a russian, this seems terrible and counterproductive. and what
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is called the exit from the war in europe - there are no such serious warriors on the territory... at least for almost 100 years. the last one was hitler's, who talked about living space. it turns out that germany can perfectly exist without the hegerstrand living space. europe's largest economy had no need to seize ukrainian black soil. baku oil or donetsk steel and coal, as hitler said. so there it is a normal trend of development, intensification of space instead of capturing someone else's. territories, putin is rolling back to the strategy of 19th century politics, geopolitics of areas, etc., and in this geopolitics he will also lose, because you are already in kursk. oblast, in fact, it is getting closer to the point that the war is winding down, it seems to me that way, because on both sides there is a lot of loss, on both sides
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fatigue has accumulated over two years, on both sides there are problems with the economy. that is why european wars stopped, because in them it is not possible to finally defeat someone, victory happens to fewer people developed socio-cultural space, we will still have to come to an agreement, and for... putin, the presence of russian territories under the control of ukraine is a very serious geopolitical mistake, because in this value system in which russia lives, territory is the most important thing. and it turned out that putin undertook to liberate the russian people, this fairy tale is swallowed with pleasure by the public opinion in the territory of ukraine. well, ukraine is not a subject, but a russian territory, as putin dismisses, as solov'ov says there. but it all pays for those territories of kurdistan the region, which is internationally recognized as the territory of russia, is under the control of ukraine,
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it is not clear how to get out of this situation. therefore , i think that in the near future the biggest topic for putin will be the return of the territory of the kurdish region under his control, this is a propaganda fact, because until this is done, putin cannot say that he is effective. and if our military, for example, would approach kursk, that is, the regional center, and maybe even take it in a vise, you remember how at one time putin's guderians drew various arrows, like they do there capture ukrainian regional centers, but if... the armed forces of ukraine would surround kursk. again, if i understand you correctly, it seems to me that sooner or later the war will end and the struggle
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to get out of this unnatural situation will begin. currently, the armed forces of ukraine have brought zelensky a very big trump card in these negotiations, because putin needs to get out of this war. it is clear that he will no longer be able to conquer kherson. no zaporozhye, and all the talk about the reconquest of these four regions, which he has already declared russian, have turned into a vacuum, but if you start negotiations with a part of the kurdish region under the control of ukraine, then this is an unbearably difficult political situation for putin. therefore , i think that in the coming months it will be the main task for putin to push the armed forces out of the kurdish region. what will happen next, regarding pokrovsk, the same kurdish region does not allow russia to advance with a wide front, russia now has the opportunity to advance only in
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one narrow direction, to pokrovsk. it is clear that this will be an important point, but even if russia in 3-4 months, maybe sooner or later will take it under control and at the same time a piece of the kursk region will remain, it will not be in putin's hands, but he needs to draw. to explain the victory on his flags that he ensured the safety of the russian people, and after that to move on to those onerous agreements that are still waiting for him. all those conflicts end when both parties feel exhausted and unable to seriously move forward. it seems to me that the situation has already approached such a state. we see that the front line in general stabilized if we are not talking about pokrovsk in particular, there are some advances, but they cannot be called rapid and victorious, and in the strategic plan it is clear that putin's
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plans regarding physicalization, demilitarization, removal of the bloody kyiv regime, nato, etc. have not been implemented and will not be implemented. now the collective putin is thinking about how to pay off this story with a beautiful facial expression. the kursk region does not add a beautiful facial expression to putin, which means that the strategic idea of abandoning european value systems and transitioning to the chinese, kadyrov-north korean system of values is a strategic failure. thank you very much, dear dmytro borisovych, for this extremely interesting and informative conversation with our tv viewers, i want to remind you that dmytro areshken was currently working for them. political scientist, professor of ryssky free university. thanks again for this analysis. thank you, goodbye. well, the time
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of our program is over, stay with the tv channel. my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events of this day, take care of yourself and your loved ones, no ignore the air alarm signals, help you, god, see you on the air, greetings to all viewers of the espresso channel, this is the summary of the week, iryna is working for you in the studio. and today, in the release, there are details of zelenskyi's visit to the usa about which countries use their weapons against ukraine and when demobilization can be expected, about this and much more. therefore, the most resonant topic of the past week was the visit of the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi to the united states of america. first of all, he went there to participate in the 79th session of the general assembly un assembly in new york. on september 24
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, zelensky spoke at the un security council and called on western countries to force russia to make peace, because since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the russian army has been doing things that cannot be justified under the un charter. the following day, at the meeting of the general assembly of the united nations , the president emphasized russia's numerous genocidal crimes against ukraine, such as the shelling of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and the destruction of the 85th power plant. but in addition to that, volodymyr zelenskyi conducted a whole series of events important meetings in washington. more about the visit in our story. the american dream that almost became a tragedy. president zelensky's fifth visit to the united states since the beginning of the full-scale invasion did not immediately go as planned. a visit to a factory for the production of artillery shells on the first
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day of the train turned into a scandal. all because of its location - the state of pennsylvania. it's a key battleground between democrats and republicans that could decide the fate of the november election. zelensky arrived there accompanied by the governor and other state officials. all of them were democrats, and that seems to have angered the republican camp. in particular, it led to the cancellation of the meeting between the ukrainian leader and the speaker of the lower house of congress, mike johnson. how... wrote a letter to the ukrainian president with an ultimatum. dear president zelensky, i demand that you immediately fire the ambassador of ukraine to the united states, oksana markarova. the visit was an obvious party campaign event designed to help the democrats and is definitely an intrusion into electoral process. this short-sighted, deliberately political move resulted in republicans losing confidence in ambassador markarova's ability to honestly and effectively perform
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her diplomatic functions. in this country. mike johnson, speaker of the us house of representatives. these were the first signs of the political tornado that the ukrainian delegation was caught in. republican candidate donald trump, who has so far tried to speak about ukraine and its president discreetly and avoiding specifics, has dramatically changed the record. he accused zelensky of dirty quotes small attacks against him, and also complained that the ukrainian leader does not want to go to ... an agreement with putin to end the war. ukraine no longer exists, it is no longer ukraine. you can never replace these cities and towns, and you can never replace the people who died, so many people who died. any deal, even the worst, would be better than what we have now. perhaps the narcissistic politician was offended by zelensky's statements, which he made on the eve of his visit to the usa in an interview with the new
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yorker. the president of ukraine, in particular, suggested that trump does not know how to end the war and rejected the proposal of his running mate jaydy vance to freeze the conflict along the contact line, or perhaps this was a premeditated strategy of the trump camp to involve ukraine in the american elections and accuse the democrats of foreign interference. the situation seemed very bad, but in the end the meeting between trump and zelensky took place. thanks to what to... it is still not clear, it is only known that it was agreed upon at the last moment, and the ukrainian leader was even forced to extend his visit to of the united states. do you think that ukraine should give its territories to russia? we'll see what happens. what do you plan to say to zelenskyi? peace must be achieved, we need peace, we must end the death and destruction. don't you think so?
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