would immediately put it aside, because it is just a bluff, and a long time ago, everyone perfectly understands that the document in question is a kind of doctrinal thing, and in this case, when making changes to this paragraph or this insert in point, it absolutely does not change the legal basis for the application of a nuclear state, so let's put this package aside. side, moreover, it is also interesting that a lot has been said on this topic, but the final version has never been made public, yes, yes, and here i would like to agree with you, well done, roman petrovich, yes we understand that what putin announced may differ from what will be written down, yes, and these may be, as they say, classics, two big differences, of course, so it is still too early to talk about anything here, although i once again ...

i want to point out to you that this is a doctrinal thing, and to tie a doctrinal thing into material legislation, well, it is a little exaggeration of the situation, now, as far as the events in the united states of america are concerned, because in this situation, i would, let's say, allow myself to combine several things , and you will already tell me what to focus on, and so the first one is a the un general assembly and high- level debates. this is the main thing that is currently happening in the united states of america, because it contains, including the russian aggression against ukraine, including a mass, a mass of well-known, important, determining things for the fate of the world, for ukraine, this is the first thing, the second, this the meeting of the big seven, because it takes place almost constantly, and it sometimes meets, sometimes it is interrupted, because it is necessary to make some decisions. current decisions, this is, from my

point of view, the second most important thing that is happening in new york right now, although it is not formally made public, as from a meeting of the big seven. the third thing is, of course, the visit of the ukrainian delegation and its participation in all these processes, and especially the dialogue with washington on issues related to what is called in ukraine the victory plan in the united states. america thanks to linda thomas greenschild, and the representative at the un, this has already been called a strategy and a plan for victory, because then at the briefing, and on september 17, and the ambassador of the united states of america said that we got acquainted with the strategy and the plan, they deserve support, and we focus our work with chapter leaders.

states in order for them to express their opinion and support the proposals of ukraine, and this position was then picked up by the spokesman of the state department , matthew miller, pointing out that the united states had familiarized itself with the documents and pointed out that both the strategy and the plan deserve for attention, he supports the position of the representative of the united states at the organization of the united nations. victory plan for roman petrovich, yes. i think this is the starting point for our analysis. we we understand that this is an extremely ambitious application on the part of ukraine. we will hope that the united states will adhere to all points of this plan. but, as the classics said, option b is also possible. well, taking into account the fact that some points may not be covered by the united states. we want to believe that everything will be smooth, well, but we understand. we know that

real politics, unfortunately, sometimes leads to such unpleasant decisions, and in this situation the most interesting thing is that there is no official discussion of this document in the united states of america it is already underway, but its writing in kyiv did not end with at least some conceptual drafts of this document being seen in ukraine or publicly. were made public, and what do analysts use today? by the fact that they take parts of this document from the interview of president zelensky, or from the american or european press, and as it is already named, they grouped it into five sections, the first section is the issue of current security, and they relate to the problems of anti-aircraft defense systems and necessity. available

weapons in order to protect ukraine from constant, continuous attacks from russia. the second part is the geopolitical, political place of ukraine, that is, these issues are related to joining nato, the european union, the security model of the european union, the continental, global security model, and so on, and the role of ukraine in this structure, in these structures. the third part is the current support for the operations of the armed forces of ukraine, where we are talking about what is being done today, in the tactical steps of the armed forces. forces of ukraine in donbas, in kurdistan, the issue border security from the north and so on. and the fourth thing is the issues related to economic aid, and this is a post after the victory. well, the fifth thing that is the most

discussed, and it is resonant now, is the actual issue of permission to use certain long-range types. weapons that exist today, it sounds like the removal of restrictions that exist, and that applies here, as well as the supply of long-range high-precision weapons, well, i would say so, it is a distance of + 200 km, and everything that follows it there , and up to 500, 600 and so on, as can be seen from dialogues that took place and are continuing, the main mechanism for agreements in this regard is the mechanism of the big seven, and here is what has been resolved to date, what has been made public: the first is the completion of the dialogue of the seven on the frozen assets of the russian

federation and sub enterprises, here the decision is clearly on the way out, which means that the figures that were announced in the spring of the current year. 50 + 50 each, they will most likely be implemented by the nearest official decisions of the big seven, because it is already clear from the conversations, with what both the european and american press writes, there is a positive solution here. next: yesterday's adoption of the budget before the end of the current year in the united states of america should be credited to the administration, and to biden, they are already signed, opens the way. and actually makes it possible to draw up six more than 6 billion, which remained from the fund of 6.1 billion voted by the congress, that is, there will be no problems here, the plans in this regard have been drawn up, and i hope that

there will be no more obstacles here. now, as for the announced eight billion aid, which is in question, because it... from my point of view is currently unclear, part says that these are funds that will be used from the frozen assets of the russian federation, part says that this amount is accumulated from various sources and so on, but in this amount, in this amount, there is still no answer to the question, what kind of package it will be, at least i can say for sure that one can only guess that... it is payment including long-range bombs, well such as cabs, guided aerial bombs, are also included here air defense system, and anti-missile defense, i am convinced that in this package there is also an answer to

the question about high-precision and long-range weapons, why, because it is necessary to understand that a one-time package of this size is a very valuable thing, and under it, well... you can't find the caliber of cannon shells or things related to air defense and pro systems, even in such a huge country in terms of potential from the point of view of possibility, as the united states of america. in fact, how to act correctly in this case. well, obviously today it can be seen that approximately half of the press and the american european write that the issue has been resolved positively, and half write that no, it has not been resolved. positively, this is a very good basis for not talking about what solution, because forgive me, but from my point of view, the issue of supplying ukraine with long-range, high-precision weapons, there as far as

within 800 and 1000 km, is only a matter of time, it is clear that even the bluff that you and i talked about at the beginning and everything that was said before that is no longer working on washington. and this tells about what conclusions are drawn there and the central intelligence agency, because when it sounds like this to me, when burns says in a meeting with moore that... putin is bluffing, and then i read this headline: united states intelligence against providing ukraine with high-precision long-range weapons, i understand very well that in the united states has more than one and a half dozen intelligence agencies, and the person who writes this phrase simply expects that these texts will be read by people who simply, well, by the word intelligence, they mean only the central intelligence agency, but if we take the white house, then he serves information and the intelligence committee and the central

intelligence agency, but there is also the joint intelligence of the ministry of defense, the authority of which is much higher for the state apparatus system in the united states of america. that is, roman petrovich, in your opinion, the united states, for example, the current administration of the current president biden, they will be ready to take a risk, a serious risk, we understand. so that president biden will go down in history in any case, so little is left for him, and in principle he does not have any limitations, because he doesn't go around kamela harris's election rallies with a flag and doesn't hand out sugar candies to voters, yes, that means kamala harris is somewhat separated in the imagination of americans. so, biden can take a risk with the idea that russia has adjusted its nuclear doctrine, yes, but we understand. that most likely, it may not happen in the public sphere, but it may just be another toropets,

toropets-2 or toropets-3, certain drones will fly in, so to speak, swarms of drones, one or another long-range device may be hidden, yes, which can flag something called a concrete protective cushion and so on, well, and anti-missile russian air defense systems, but we also understand that in... our enemy is not just irrational, he is vengeful, and putin very often implements all his macabre threats , yes, you are one of the few who seriously considered the reality of a russian attack on ukraine, both in 2014 and in 2022, so if we take extreme, risky scenarios, yes, the first and most important. writes: the chordal style in the united states of america, i will immediately postpone it, it is impossible, because it is purely

totalitarian post-totalitarian system, what is on the table, we will do it now, once and for all, everything will be something, i postpone such a thing, this is the first, the second, but the implementation of the permit according to the scenario you named, it has already happened more than once, conditionally... speaking, we are attacking with a wild fire, the polyanitsy choir brings a surprise with it, and from my point of view, this is one of the most likely options in this situation, and in this polyphony that sounds today, this is the most likely option, and as for topics of nuclear blackmail, introduction changes in the doctrine and so on. it will be written about, it must be written about, but already today it is obvious that neither the pentagon, nor the military intelligence,

nor the cia, do not reflect on it, they simply do not react, they clearly understand that putin is bluffing, and that both the british intelligence and burns, who at the briefing, including with michael more, ah... the head of mi-6, talked about it, have repeatedly stated recently. now is the deadline for voicing and implementation of this project. from my point of view, it can't be earlier than, the end november, beginning of december. let me explain, there are technological problems here. the fact is that in some cases, five or even six states are involved in the production of these things. actually, the seven is going to get it. consent to the use of these weapons, therefore the seven became a tactical

tool for solving and forming a response to the issue of using frozen funds and to the aa, including the lifting of restrictions and the granting of permits, the fact that the meetings are closed by scholz, the fact that almost no information on the materials is received meetings with tarmer with... prime minister trudeau, with others, with the prime minister of italy, talks about talks about the fact that these issues are actually being discussed there, because those stamps discussed the level of singing. and the size of trade and economic relations, when i read such things, i understand very well what is written in order to write no more and no less. it is obvious that a key issue was discussed there, which concerns the lifting of restrictions, plus the provision of certain types of weapons and taking a certain position. it is important here that representatives of the european union spoke at

sides of ukraine. it means what is left. to solve the problems associated with, let's say , japan's participation in this process, because some of these types of weapons have japanese components, and japan is bound by a number of international e-e agreements that prohibit this , from here it is obvious that they will look for partners who will take on this role not only from the point of view of production, but also from the point of view of the layout of the corresponding types of weapons, so from my point of view a... and the option that you voiced is rather we will have everything in at the end of november, at the beginning of december, but there is a problem here, which is connected with the elections of the united states of america, and from my point of view, why is no decision announced today, because actually everyone believes that in the current situation, when some

will insist on doing it, and others will not, it will just completely ... open the electoral road for one of the candidates, after the rollercoaster with a visit to the retirement home of biden's factory, when such a ruckus was raised, obviously in the united states of america no one will withdraw now to voice, and not by chance, pay attention to how the tension in posing this question coincided with the release of information by bloomberg and the new york times about the fact that... intelligence denied, that is, it is as if the information stop in this situation, and it is explained by political the situation in the united states of america, from my point of view, as i say, the decisions have been made, the option of its implementation should be expected in the period of the end of november, the beginning of december, and i do not see the option of a chord,

dembelsky, as we would say. give joe biden on these issues, they are connected to a whole series, a whole series of budgetary and administrative powers in the united states of america, so the president of the united states of america, he will never take such a step. now there will be a short pause for a couple of minutes, after which roman immortal will continue the analysis of all the most important events of this extremely busy week.

so, roman petrovich, we understand, as you rightly pointed out, that no one will go to the dembele chord, but when we talk about the peace plan, the victory plan, it also means the war plan, yes, we cannot afford

to underestimate the intentions of the enemy, the enemy has prescribed for himself quite clearly. scenario, they are going to destroy our energy infrastructure, and then sometime, maybe in the spring, with the help of the people's republic of china and brazil, try to implement their plan, hoping that the spirit of our ukrainian society will be significantly damaged by this extremely difficult winter, well at least so it is commanded how we should act, how we should do it correctly and what we should prepare for. and in general, if we talk about the brazilian-chinese so-called peace plan, well, i would ask you to analyze it, because the chinese foreign minister has outlined his visions so clearly. his formulas, and once again he mentioned well-known maxims, unfortunately, beijing does not follow them when we talk about our ukrainian interests. first,

it is clear that the most important thing in the packages that are now announced by the european union and germany, including the united states of america, is to protect the skies of ukraine. and this has been voiced more than once both european partners and... and american partners, and germany, italy, the united states and great britain play a key role here. this is the first thing that will be done. second, what is important? it is not by chance that washington announces two documents: the strategy, and this refers to the war plan, because this strategy consists of certain tactical steps, both on the front line and actions in the rear. and the second is the victory plan, it is a political document that provides for the relevant, appropriate political strategy in this regard.

the essence of both documents consists of the following: this idea, which sounds like the so-called summit, is a kind of gingerbread. but what concerns long-range high-precision weapons, anti-aircraft, anti-missile defense systems, long-range guided aerial bombs, this is... what is called batih. now, what to do with these plans, chinese, south african, ah, middle eastern, i call them so generalizing, joint sino-brazilian. the most interesting thing is that if you take this joint sino-brazilian document from may 2023, the six points can be... treated as program things only up to the first point, which he talks about: the cessation of firing, the ban on any provocations in any areas and

parts, and the third is the beginning of a dialogue, a political dialogue, everything is there if you read the second, third, fourth, n the seventh and sixth points, expand, deepen, there we are talking about... humanitarian aid, medical care, accommodation of the civilian population and so on, that is, those things, they do not relate to issues related to the relevant theater of hostilities and hostilities . can such a document be considered one of a kind plan, and these documents are written by those who wrote documents about the freezing of the situation in donbas since 2000. 14th year and about the current cessation of hostilities, planning that this will lead

to the war winding down, as it happened in some cases on in the balkans, as was the case in the sino-vietnamese war, it will fall to pieces, but it will blow from there. they fought for 11 days, then laid down their weapons, stopped...shooting, ran away. in general, the scenario of the korean war, when close to at least a million people were killed and the war went to exhaustion, yes, and it began to fade, fade, and after that they drew along some parallel, the corresponding temporal border, yes, which became , well, almost, almost eternal. so, mr. andin, just as you and i have been insisting all these years that it is impossible to freeze... the war in donbas , so it is impossible to stop it in connection with a total, fragmentary cessation, as bild has already written about it, it is impossible, why,

the war was originally of an existential nature, it is a war that has been going on for centuries, those who say that it determines the fate of the world are right in this war, so if these are three days or four. days listening to what is being said from the podium of the un general assembly, they are talking about a very clear thing: no matter how tragic the situation in the middle east is, the future of the world is determined by the russian-ukrainian war. the words that gitanas neuseda, the president of lithuania, said, he was the first to say them, and i quoted him, he is absolutely right. what is happening in the russian...ukrainian war cannot be frozen or stopped, it can be solved only by defeating the enemy, and it can be secured. only

coalition of the forces of freedom and democracy, only then can the moscow führer be stopped from implementing his plans. the idea that kyiv's healthy position can somehow be accepted by moscow is a self-delusion of those who harbor such plans. despite the fact that the world has been telling for a long time that beijing rules moscow. the world is wrong about this, and the main premise of both the chinese position of 12 points, and the so-called six points, of which only one can be called a program point, of the sino-brazilian proposals, they cannot be implemented, because they come from of the false premise that the kremlin can somehow stop, any stop for the kremlin... this is

only a build-up of strength to continue the war further. i don't know who else needs to be explained that in this situation, an attempt to convince someone that trade in the territory of ukraine can somehow satisfy fuhrer moskovsky? well, didn't munich teach everyone? if next year russia increases the budget by 40%. military budget, war budget. if expenditures on the military budget exceed three times the total expenditures on education, health care, and all social together, according to three articles, isn't it clear that the level of militarization of the economy is the basis for the fact that the führer will wage an endless war in the future, and his behavior in the current situation

is connected. with all these jerks, jerks, information releases about the change in nuclear doctrine, isn't this proof that he is actually imagining an eternal war, while bluffing with the use of nuclear weapons, bluffing that he will attack nuclear plants and so on, he understands perfectly well , that he does not have a ticket to travel in this direction, and therefore he nuclear... blackmails with things, in fact, through the militarization of the economy, spins up the infinity of war. hence the opposite side - ukraine and ukrainian allies, they either unite and strike defeat, and the führer, or the topic of drop-by-drop supply of military equipment, ammunition and equipment to ukraine is only one means, this is the so

-called... means of regulating or managing tension war, this is what we can talk about today, and what is happening in the current situation only proves that our partners adhere to the issues assistance to ukraine of the principle of managing the war process, and i was finally convinced of this when i left the from the meeting with donald trump, the prime minister of great britain, after it was clear what kind of conversation took place, threw the phrase that yes, but it is necessary to understand that there is only one means to influence the situation today, it is to manage the tension in the course of military actions that

are taking place today on planet earth. this means that the published phrase, which refers to the doctrinal approach of our partners not only to the russian-ukrainian war, but also including to the war in the middle east, to the war in africa, and not here, without realizing it, starmer's lips announced a brilliant conclusion. the fact is that both before the war in africa, because these are wagner's private armies and... all the other armies of russia, and before the war in the middle east, because the biggest beneficiary of this war is russia, i am not talking about russian - the ukrainian war, here it becomes clear that all these flames of war are actually ignited from one center. roman petrovich, well, there are people who nurture illusions, yes, we have certain hopes, we understand that a second peaceful one must take place.