absolutely does not change the legal basis for the application of a nuclear state, so let's put this package aside, moreover, it is also interesting that a lot has been said on this topic, but the final version has not been made public, yes, yes, and here i would like i agree with you, bravo, roman petrovich, so we understand that what putin announced may differ from what will be written down, yes, and it may... as the classics say, two big differences, of course, that's why here here it is still too early to talk about anything, although i want to point out to you once again that this is a doctrinal thing, and tying a doctrinal thing into material legislation, well, that's exaggerating the situation a little bit, now, as far as the events in the united states of america are concerned, because in this situation, i would, let's say, allow myself to combine several things, and you already tell me... on

what focus attention, and yes, the first is the un general assembly and high -level debates, this is the main thing that is happening in the united states of america right now, because it contains, including russian aggression in ukraine, including a lot, a lot of well-known , important, decisive for the fate of the world, for of ukraine's affairs, this is the first thing, the second is the meeting of the big seven, because it is taking place almost a... it is constantly meeting, then interrupted, because it is necessary to make some decisions, current decisions, this is, from my point of view, the second most important thing, which is happening now in new york, although it is not formally publicized as a gathering of a large haystack. the third thing is, of course, the visit of the ukrainian delegation and its participation in all these processes, and especially the dialogue with washington. issues related to

what is called in ukraine the victory plan, v the united states of america, thanks to linda thomas greenfield, and the representative at the un, this has already been called a strategy and a plan for victory, because then at the briefing, and on september 17, the ambassador of the united states of america said that we got acquainted with the strategy and... the plan , they deserve support, and we are focusing our work with the leaders of the heads of state so that they express their opinion and support the proposals of ukraine, and this position was picked up later by the spokesman of the state department , matthew miller, pointing out that the united states with documents, got acquainted and more precisely, he pointed out that both the strategy and the plan with... deserve attention and he

supports the position of the representative of the united states at the organization of the united nations. victory plan for roman petrovich, yes. i think that this is the starting point for our analysis. we understand that this is an extremely ambitious application on the part of ukraine. we will hope that the united states will agree to all points of this plan, but, as the classics said, option b is also possible. well, given that ... some points may not be covered by of the united states, i want to believe that everything will go smoothly, but we understand that real politics, unfortunately, sometimes prompts very unpleasant decisions, and in this situation, the most interesting thing is that no official discussion of this document in the united states of america is already goes on, but the writing of it in kyiv never ended... so that at least some

conceptual drafts of this document would be seen in ukraine or made public. and what do analysts use today? the fact that they are from the interview of president zelensky, or from the american or european press, take parts of this document, and as it is already named, grouped it into five sections. the first section is a matter of current... security and they relate to the problems of pro, air defense systems and the need for existing weapons in order to protect ukraine from constant, continuous attacks from russia. the second part is the geopolitical, geopolitical place of ukraine, that is, these issues are related to joining nato, the european union, the security model of the european union, continental.

the global security model and so on and the role of ukraine in this structure, in these structures. the third part is the ongoing support of the operations of the armed forces. forces of ukraine, where we are talking about what is being done today, in the tactical steps of the armed forces of ukraine in donbas, kurshchyna, the issue of border security from the north and so on. the fourth thing is questions related to economic aid, and this is a post after the victory. well, and the fifth thing, which is the most discussed, and it is resonant now. this is actually a question of permission to use certain long-range types weapons that exist today, it sounds like the removal of restrictions that exist, and that applies here, as well as the supply of long-range high-precision weapons, well, i would

say so, it is a distance plus 200 km and everything that follows it there, and up to 500, 600 and so on. as can be seen from the dialogues that took place and are continuing, the main mechanism for reaching agreements in this regard is the mechanism of the big seven, and here is what has been resolved to date, what has been made public: the first is the completion of the dialogue of the seven on frozen assets of the russian federations and economic entities, here the decision is already me... on the way out, which means that the numbers that were announced in the spring of the current year by 50 + 50, they will most likely be implemented by the nearest decisions of the big seven, official, because already it is clear from the conversations, from

what the european and american press write, that there is a positive solution here. next: yesterday's adoption of the budget until the end of the current year'. the united states of america should give due credit to the administration and biden, they have already been signed, he is opening the way and in fact makes it possible to draw six, more than six billion, which remained from the fund of 6-1 billion voted by the congress, that is, there will be no problems here, the plans in this regard are drawn up and i hope that there will be no more obstacles... there will be, now, as for the announced aid of eight billion, which is in question, because from my point of view it is not clearly defined today, part says that these are funds that will be used from the frozen assets of the russian

federation, part says that this amount is accumulated from various sources and so on, but in this amount, in this amount, there is still no answer to the question, and what... what kind of package will it be, at least i can say for sure that one can only guess that it is a payment, including long-range bombs, well, according to the type of cabs, guided aerial bombs, this also includes air defense systems, and anti-missile defense systems, i am convinced that this package also contains the answer to the question of high-precision long-range weapons, why, because you have to understand that a one-time package of this size is a very valuable thing , and under it, well, the caliber cannon shells or things that are related to air defense systems and pro cannot be found, even in such a huge country in terms of potential in

terms of opportunity, as the united states of america. in fact, how to act correctly in this case? well, it is obvious that today you can see how about half of the press. and american and european write that the issue has been resolved positively, and half write that no, it has not been resolved positively, this is a very good basis for not talking about which solution, because forgive me, but from my point of view, the issue of supply to of ukraine long-range, high-precision weapons, there even within 800 and 1000 km, it's only a matter of time, i understand. it's nice that even the bluff that you and i talked about at the beginning and everything that was said before that is no longer effective in washington, and this indicates what conclusions the central intelligence agency draws there, because when it sounds to me the kind of thing when burns says in a meeting with moore that putin is bluffing, and

then i read this headline: united states intelligence opposes providing ukraine with high-precision long-range weapons, i... i understand very well, in the united states there are more than one and a half dozen intelligence agencies, the person who writes this phrase is simply counting on the fact that these texts are read by people who simply, well, by the word intelligence, they mean only the central intelligence agency, but if take the white house, then it uses information from both the intelligence committee and the central intelligence agency, but there is also the joint intelligence of the ministry of defense, the authority of which is much higher than the system of the state apparatus in the united states of america, that is, roman petrovich, to your the opinion of the united states, such as the present one. the administration of the current president biden, they will be ready to take a risk,

a serious risk, we understand that president biden is going down in history in any case, he has little left and in principle he has no restrictions, because he does not drive according to the election rallies of kamela garis with a flag and does not give out, give one or another candy bars to the voters, that is, kamala garis is somewhat separated in the imagination of americans, so biden can take a... risk , taking into account the fact that russia adjusted its nuclear doctrine, yes, but we understand that , most likely, this will not happen in the public sphere, but it may just be another toropets, toropets-two or toropets-3, certain drones will fly, so to speak, a swarm of drones may be hidden or some other long-range device, yes, that will be able to whip through what is called a concrete cushion. and so on, well, and russian anti-missile defense systems, but we also understand that

our enemy is not just irrational, he is vengeful, and putin very often implements all your macabre threats, you are one of the few who took seriously the reality of the russian attack on ukraine, both in 2014 and in 2022. so, if we take extreme, risky scenarios? and yes, first and foremost, i will immediately postpone the chordal style in the united states of america, it is impossible, because it is a purely totalitarian post-totalitarian system, what is wrong, we will do it once and for all here now, everything will be something, i postpone such a thing, this first, second, but the implementation of the permit according to... the scenario you mentioned, it has already happened more than once,

relatively speaking, we attack with a shriek, a chorus of shrills brings a surprise, and from my point of view this is one of the most likely options in this situation, and in this polyphony that sounds today, it is the most likely option, and as for... the topic nuclear blackmail, changes in the doctrine and so on, it will be written about, it must be written about, but already today it is obvious that neither the pentagon, nor the military intelligence, nor the cia, do not reflect on it, they simply do not react, they clearly understand that putin is bluffing, and repeatedly recently, british intelligence and... uh, burns, who

spoke about this at the briefing, including with michael moore, the head of mi-6, now the deadline for the announcement and the deadline for the implementation of this project, from my point of view, it is not may be earlier than the end of november, the beginning of december, let me explain, there are technological problems here, the point is that the production of these things... in some cases five, or even six states, actually seven are going to to obtain consent for the use of this weapon, that is why the seven became, as it were, a great tactical tool for solving and forming answers to the issue of using frozen funds and to aa, including the lifting of restrictions and the granting of permits, the fact that the meetings are closed by scholz, the fact that... almost no information is received on in the materials of the meeting with tarmer, with

prime minister trudeau, with others, with the prime minister of italy, he talks about talks about the fact that these issues are actually being discussed there, because those stamps discussed the level of cooperation, and the size of trade and economic relations, when i i read such things, i understand very well what is written in order to write, no more and no less, it is obvious that i will discuss there... the key issue, which concerns the lifting of restrictions, plus the provision of certain types of weapons and the occupation of a certain position, is important here in because the representatives of... the european union came out on the side of ukraine, this means that it remains to solve the problems that are connected, say, with the participation of japan in this process, because some of these types of weapons, while having japanese components, and this is japan connected by a number of international ones agreements that prohibit doing this, hence

it is obvious that they will look for partners who will take on this role not only. from the point of view of production, but also from the point of view of the composition of the corresponding types of weapons, so from my point of view, the option that you voiced, most likely we will have at the end of november, the beginning of december, but there is a problem here, which connected with the elections in the united states of america, and from my point of view, why is no decision announced today, because actually everyone believes that the current one. situations when alone will insist on doing it, and others will not, it will simply open the electoral road completely for one of the candidates, after the roller coaster with a visit to the pennsylvania home of biden's factory, when such a raivah was raised, it is clear that no one in the united states of america will withdraw now

voice, and it is no coincidence, notice how coincided ... the tension in posing this question with the release of information by bloomberg and the new york times that the intelligence denied, that is, it is as if the information stop in this situation, and it is explained by political situation in the united states of america. from my point of view, as i say, the decisions have been made, the variant of its implementation should be expected in the period of the end of november, the beginning of december . and i don't see the option of a chordal, dembelian, as we would say, solution, forgive joe biden on these issues, they are connected by a whole series, a whole series of budgetary and administrative powers in the united states of america, so the president of the united

states of america, he will never take such a step. now there will be a short pause, literally for a couple of minutes and after it. roman bezsmertny will continue the analysis of all the most important events of this extremely busy week. events, events that are happening right now and affect our lives. of course, the news feed reports on them. however, it was not enough to know what was happening. it is necessary to understand. antin borkovskyi. and invited experts soberly evaluate events, analyze them, modeling our future. every saturday at 13:10 with a repeat on sunday at 10:10. studio zahid with anton borkovsky at espresso. new week on espresso - weekly summary information and analytical program. a clear understanding of the key events of the past week,

analysis of the causes and consequences of these events from experts, forecasts of the development of the current situation. week, the opportunity to ask your own questions and join the discussion, spend the final monday evening with us and confidently step into the new week, the new week project with khrystyna yatskiv and andriy smoly every monday at 8:00 p.m. on espresso. so, roman petrovich, this is how we understand, as you rightly pointed out, that... no one will go for the dembele chord, but when we talk about the peace plan, the victory plan, it also means the war plan, yes, we cannot afford to underestimate the enemy's intentions, the enemy has written a pretty clear scenario, they are going to destroy our energy infrastructure and after that, possibly sometime

in the spring, with the help of the people's republic of china and brazil to try to implement their spod plan. something to the fact that the spirit of our ukrainian society will be significantly destroyed by this extremely difficult winter, well, at least this is how we should act, how we should do things correctly and what we should do to prepare, and in general, if we talk about the brazilian-chinese so-called peace plan, i would ask you to analyze it, because the minister of foreign affairs of china has so clearly outlined his visions, his formulas. and once again he mentioned well-known maxims, unfortunately, beijing does not follow them when we talk about our ukrainian interests. first, it is clear that the most important thing that... is in the packages that are now announced by both the european union and germany, including the united states of america, is to protect the sky of ukraine, and this has been voiced more than

once by both european and american partners, and germany, italy, the united states and great britain play a key role here. this is the first thing that will be done. second, what is important? not by chance. washington announces two documents: the strategy, and this refers to the war plan, because this strategy consists of certain tactical steps, both on the front line and actions in the rear, and the second is the victory plan, it is a political document that provides for the corresponding political strategy in this regard. the essence of both documents consists of the following: this idea, which sounds like a so-called summit, is a kind of gingerbread, but what concerns long-range high-precision weapons,

anti-aircraft and anti-missile defense systems, long-range guided aerial bombs, is what is called batikh. now, what to do with these chinese, south african, middle eastern plans, i call them so generically. joint sino-brazilian, the most interesting thing is that if you take this joint sino-brazilian document from may 2023, out of six points can be considered programmatic only to the first point, which he says: cessation of firing, ban on any provocations in any areas and parts, and the third is the beginning of a dialogue, a political dialogue, everything is there if you read the second , the third, fourth, fifth and sixth

points, expand, deepen, there is a question about humanitarian aid, medical care, accommodation of the civilian population and so on, that is, those things, they do not relate to issues related to the relevant theater. hostilities and hostilities, or can such a document be considered a kind of plan? and these documents are written by those who wrote documents about the freezing of the situation in donbas since 2014 and the current cessation of hostilities, planning that this will lead to the war ending, as it was. in some cases in the balkans, as was the case in the sino-vietnamese war, and cut me to pieces, but it blows from there.

they fought for 11 days, then laid down their weapons, stopped shooting, and ran away. in general, the scenario of the korean war, when at least a million people were killed, and the war went on exhaustion, so it began to fade, fade and... after that, they drew a corresponding temporal border along some parallel, yes, which became almost, almost eternal, that's right, mr. antin, since you and i in these years all they insisted that it is impossible to freeze the war in donbas, so it is impossible to stop it in connection with a total, fragmentary cessation, as bild already wrote about it, it is impossible, why? the war was originally existential in nature, it is a war that has been going on for centuries, those who say that it determines destiny are right in this war

of the world, so if you listen to what is being said from the rostrum of the un general assembly for the past three or four days, they are talking about a very clear thing, no matter how tragic the situation in the middle east is, but the future... of the world is determined in russian- the ukrainian war, the words that gitanas neuseda, the president of lithuania, said, he was the first to say them, and i quoted him, he is absolutely right, what is happening in the russian-ukrainian war cannot be frozen or stopped, it can only be resolved by victory over the enemy, and only a coalition can be ensured. forces of freedom and democracy, only then can the moscow führer be stopped from implementing his plans. the idea that a healthy

position... of kyiv can somehow be accepted by moscow is a self-delusion of those who harbor such plans, despite the fact that the world has been telling for a long time that beijing rules moscow, the world is wrong about this, and the main thing parcel and the chinese position of 12 points, and the so-called these six points, of which only one can be called a program point. there sino-brazilian proposals, they cannot be implemented, because they proceed from the false premise that the kremlin can somehow stop somewhere, any stoppage for the kremlin is only an increase in strength to continue the war further. i don't know who else needs to be explained that in this situation, an attempt to convince someone

that... trade in the territory of ukraine can somehow satisfy the führer of moscow, well, didn't munich teach everyone. if next year russia increases the budget, the military budget, the war budget by 40%. if spending on the military budget is three times higher than the total spending on education, health care and all social services. together on three articles, isn't it clear that the level of militarization of the economy is the basis for the fact that the führer will wage an endless war in the future, and his behavior in the current situation is connected with these tugs, tugs and information emissions regarding the change of the nuclear doctrine, isn't it not proof that he actually envisions an eternal war. while

bluffing with the use of nuclear weapons, bluffing that he will attack nuclear ones stations and so on, he understands very well that he does not have a ticket to travel in this direction, and therefore he blackmails with nuclear things, in fact, due to the militarization of the economy, he spins up the infinity of the war, hence the opposite side is ukraine and ukrainian allies, they are either... connect and strike and defeat the führer, or the topic of drop-by-drop supply of military equipment, ammunition and equipment to ukraine is only one means, it is the so-called means of regulation, or management of the tension of war, that is what can be said about today to speak, and what is happening in the current

situation only until... that our partners adhere to the principle of managing the war process in matters of assistance to ukraine, and i was finally convinced of this when, after leaving the meeting with donald trump, the prime minister the minister of great britain, after it was clear what kind of conversation took place, threw a phrase: yes, but it must be understood that there is only one means of influencing the situation today, and that is to manage the tension in the course of the military actions that are taking place today on the planet earth, this means that a phrase has been released that refers to the doctrinal approach of our partners not only to the russian-ukrainian war, including the war in the middle east, to the war.

in africa, and here, not without realizing it, the mouth of starmer announced a brilliant conclusion, the point is that as before the war in africa, because these are wagner's private armies and all the other armies of russia, so before the war in the middle in the east, because the biggest beneficiary of this war is russia, i am not talking about the russian-ukrainian war, here it becomes understand that... that all these flames of war are actually kindled from one center. roman petrovich, well, there are people who cherish illusions, yes, they cherish certain hopes. we understand that there is to be a second peace summit, yes, or some other peace summit, and perhaps the agenda will be formed with the help of...