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tv   [untitled]    October 5, 2024 1:00pm-1:30pm EEST

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combined with the presidential elections, all of this will be packed, i really want to be wrong, but it is very similar to the fact that nato is being set, well, impossible tasks, not because it is not possible to accept ukraine into nato, because it is not possible to do in a month or two, and then accept us in nato, give us such and such a list of weapons in such and such quantity, give us so much money, if you don't give, then you have abandoned us, and therefore we are forced to... go, taking care of course, about the people, for negotiations, at the negotiations we hear the demand for neutral status, and neutral status - this is a referendum, which means a ceasefire is necessary , which means no extension of martial law, which means a referendum with simultaneous presidential elections, such a scenario is now widely debated in political circles, but what about the constitution, where it is written that we are joining nato, so on a referendum to change the constitution, i’m talking about it, a referendum...
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to change the constitution, a combination with presidential elections, that is, there is a candidate and his course, that is serhii, honestly, i’m not happy that they are discussing all this, but i have before my eyes faces, words in their ears, but i won't repeat them here, what they say about it at the front, they all feel that the politicians started some kind of maneuvers, but simply in their lives, there is no place for such maneuvers, so m... i i now consider it absolutely unacceptable, irresponsible to organize any elections, well, to me, as a person who is not the opposition, god had mercy without any mandates and everything else, well, it would seem, it would be interesting, no, categorically not interesting, because i believe that now any political campaign will weaken ukraine, we need it now, well divided ukraine, we now need to unite and strengthen ukraine, and therefore... i am in
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favor of president zelensky, for whom i did not vote, whom i strongly criticize, as you may have noticed, to remain in his position and start talking with with his people, as with adults, as with the main actors, in order to go to victory together, and not play a political reset, well, personally. thank you, yuriy vitalivych, it was yuriy lutsenko, a politician. former prosecutor general of ukraine, and friends, i would like to remind you that throughout our broadcast we are conducting survey, we ask you about whether you support the idea of ​​economic reservation from mobilization, the interim results of our tv poll: 19% yes, 81% no.
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glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers, on espresso tv channel, west studio program. we will analyze the most important events of this week. the world once again found itself on the threshold of the third world war, in particular, today we will talk about the iranian-israeli conflict and the corresponding consequences, in particular for the security of ukraine, because the enemy of our enemy, our friend. in addition, we will discuss an extremely difficult story with a mission. wants, how it can affect the consciousness of representatives of certain western elites, of course, we will talk about what is called president zelensky's victory plan and how washington will react to it and what specific steps our american partners will take, in addition to this, today we will talk and about an extremely important issue for polish-ukrainian relations, the issue of exhumation in volyn. today's guests of zahid studio are mark fegin and lukasz adamsky now
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, a figure of the russian opposition in emigration, a former deputy of the state duma, and a well-known video blogger, mark feigin, will be on the air of espresso tv. glory to ukraine, mark, glad to see and hear. glory to the heroes, i am glad to welcome you, anton, i am glad to welcome all the viewers of the channel. well, mark, you know, our tireless doomsday clock shows the beginning of armageddon or the apocalypse without a single minute, and the events in the middle east have shown how serious everything is. at the same time, we understand that the united states. turned on extremely powerful in the situation of deterring iran, yes, well they have engaged at least their air defense systems on their carrier group, yes, iran is now thinking, but here i wanted to talk not so much about iran or the united states, but about the situation, how it can to influence the ukrainian-russian war, so we understand that iran, on the one hand, is an ally of russia, it supplies it with ballistic missiles, on the other hand. that the state of israel has extremely
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tense relations with iran, but on the other hand it communicates quite calmly with the russian federation or north korea itself. so, accordingly, according to your estimates, how the situation or the threat of a large, full-scale, bloody, apocalyptic war in the middle east can affect the situation with the russian-ukrainian war, in particular, when we are talking about the supply of everything necessary. still, i believe that the conflict in the middle east will not reach the transformation into a more global world war, will not have such an impact, but this does not mean that the events there do not affect the situation. this is a simple linear scheme according to which, if israel retaliates in the coming days on the territory of iran, there may be military facilities or energy infrastructure facilities, oil facilities, and so on, and among
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these facilities there may be those engaged in the production of weapons supplied to russia federation, and these are ballistic missiles, drones, components for them. which kill ukrainians, therefore it is very beneficial for ukraine for this strike to take place, for israel to lead to this strike and destroy at least part of the military industrial infrastructure iran, well, that's obvious. politically, of course, the loss in this theater is for russia, and russia is directly involved, and moscow is involved in events in the middle east, it's quite obvious, its direct military allies are fighting, it's iran, and hezbollah, and hamas, and it partly has to do with it relation to syria. where there are russian troops and the same iranian queer. undoubtedly, a loss in one of the geopolitical theaters will affect the situation in ukraine. this means that moscow, although directly involved in the war, may lose somewhere. and perhaps its interests, to put it mildly, may
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be harmed, since its allies will lose, sooner or later the main one of them, represented by moscow, will lose. well, this is also a fairly direct logic. israel is indeed saved. the logic here is simple: we have 100 hamas hostages, moscow is restraining, as it seems to israel, in my opinion, a mistaken view of things, but this is my opinion, and i do not impose it on anyone, that moscow is restraining both iran and other players in the near east from not crossing some line. basically, as i understand it, it is only about iran, and one way or another about hamas. after all, hezbollah is a proxy of tehran, so moscow, if it has any influence, is indecisive, and after all, iran is much more important. moreover, let's say that in the current state of hezbollah , taking into account the deaths of all its leadership members, it does not pose such a threat, it is the threat of activists,
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the weapons that are there, the accumulation of a large amount of money. by the way, they get a huge income from drug trafficking, few people talk about it, but... the disease is huge the organizer of the drug trade and drug trafficking in this region, but no matter. in general, now hezbollah does not have the strength to confront israel, so the operation in south lebanon will be successful. i think that as a result of what will happen, relations between jerusalem and kyiv, both in military and other terms, will become closer. this is objective. and this will happen if the role and influence of... moscow in the region will decrease, not increase, but decrease, i mean in the middle east. then israel has nothing to fear, it will then be able to be more open to support ukraine, at the request of common allies, primarily washington. to
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still share military supplies, exchange of intelligence information and other means with ukraine, to help ukraine in confrontation with this eastern despotism, moscow. it can affect. the obstacle now is the netanyahu government. let's put it bluntly, because the opposition forces are just talking about changes in relations with moscow, which they consider responsible for many events this year. starting from the seventh of october, when hamas, and hamas under the direct control of moscow, not only and including, attacked southern israel and killed more than a thousand people. of course, moscow did not prevent this attack. or not, in my opinion, it could, probably in the opinion of the israeli leadership, it also could, but the preservation of this communication with moscow seems, in my opinion, illusory to israel, that it gives the opportunity to somehow influence the situation from the inside. from his enemies. i think it is
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not so, but it is a matter of diplomacy, a matter of great politics. perhaps, after the results of this war and after the results of this escalation, it will be clear. try outline the current disposition, we don't know a lot, there was a very important visit, well, for example, whether nuclear weapons are believed or not, that's who can say for sure 100%, i think that burns knows that, biden knows that, netanyahu and putin know it, yes, well, we already understand what the consequences could be, but simply returning to washington’s policy, we understand that there was an extremely important visit by the ukrainian delegation, in particular president zelenskyi, which was dedicated to two super important cases , one case - these are permits to fire at
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russian military facilities beyond the urals, let's call it so delicately, there or under the mongolian border, where, in principle , swarms of our drones do not reach, the second point is undoubtedly a victory plan, but here we are entering the thin air of secrets and conspiracy, yes, because the white house said, looked, studied, got acquainted, there are interesting... points, but everything remains, so to speak, confidential, and here conspiracy theorists are multiplying, it remains there add more, you know, eternally cheerful professors who are already putin was put in a refrigerator for the tenth time. so, i would like to start with this very important case, which is called that the strikes on the territory of russia, in particular on military facilities, putin's hysterical reaction immediately appeared, he on the go, literally live on the air, changed the nuclear strategy of the russian the federation, in particular by using both strategic
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and tactical means, and accordingly, even without having it changed at hand, all by heart. this means that putin started with erasure in order to stop this decision. yes, and of course, he primarily wanted to influence the west, which makes a decision on granting ukraine the right to use long-range weapons. nuclear threats coming from moscow, of course, against the background of two and a half years of war and hundreds of thousands of victims, will certainly not have such an effect. all the more everyone understands that, let's say, putin definitely realizes that the use of nuclear weapons and the threat of their use are different things, he is trying to... maximize the effect, maximizing this effect primarily from rhetoric, from threats, and not from himself
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application, because the rhetoric is reversed, you can always play it back, as peskov did after putin's speech, there it got to the point that even drones can be considered a reason for which nuclear weapons can be used, then it started, but no, it's not necessary exaggerate, misunderstood, and so on, that is, it says that verbal rhetoric itself is from'. but the use of nuclear weapons is irreversible, you cannot play back, and how are you going to do it, and that is why those experts who believe that it is exclusively a tool of pressure on public opinion, on the west, on the establishment and elites of the west, and that this is not necessarily a bridge to application, most likely they are right. putin is not ready to use nuclear weapons, because the consequences of their use, i repeat, will be irreversible. the question of whether these threats and this nuclear blackmail make an impression on the west,
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if they did not provide the opportunity to use it for strikes deep into russia, then it means that it has some effect, it certainly has some significance when washington and its allies make a decision. another question is imposed here the domestic political situation in the united states itself, after all, there is an election campaign going on there. democrats are fighting republicans, candidates are fighting. trump and kamala harris. and a very shaky advantage, if it exists, for example, in harris, then it has yet to be realized. therefore, until november 5, before the election day, until the results of the elections in the usa, this factor will probably be decisive in the matter of giving ukraine the right to use western means to strike deep into the territory of russia. why? because they do not want a built-in situation, they are afraid that trump will come, and not only because of that that the democrats will simply lose to trump, because change. first of all, to the biden administration, to
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biden himself, we still talk about the fact that this is support that is institutionalized, declared and implemented, well, as they can, it will change under trump, already now, based on his public statements. and what else should it come from? what should be the criteria for defining trump's agenda. this was the reason for the dispute. discussions sometimes cancel the meeting with zelenskyi, sometimes they hold the opposite. just zelensky's statement is completely fair, because he said. listen, the programs are in there is no trump, but really, what is it, trump himself answers, everything has its own time. since our time, you and i have honestly talked about the fact that a full-scale invasion is being prepared, you know, there, no, no, we didn’t wrap it all up in a piece of paper, we didn’t talk about what you think and the economy will win, that is, putin’s
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body language, he quite eloquent, his body language, yes, and putin's hysteria, it happens directly. on the faces of those of his followers who sat in this ratbez, and here they were, not even a fly flew by, they all sat like that, yes, yes, yes, you know, during these 2 and a half years of war, its course, its intermediate results, kyiv was not taken in three days, it must be clearly said that the system itself has changed, after all, it has changed, the war has changed it, that is, now it is more personified. it is totalitarian, it finally developed in it, despite the fact that some signs indicate that it is an authoritarian, rigid dictatorial regime, but there are still totalitarian elements. and to imagine now that in putin's entourage there could be at least some shred of doubt is impossible, unacceptable, it is on the one hand. and then, we have already seen
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type of such systems, the harder you strengthen the system, as it was, for example, done. that is, you remove the most loyal ones, shoot and imprison the most loyal ones. why, and what if they return to the disloyal, start looking for ways to get rid of you? especially since external conditions contribute to this. putin has no way out. elites have a way out, they can hide, then pretend that they are not guilty of anything. and to whom will putin shift responsibility from himself, to whom? putin has no way out, the elites have, even some bortnikov is the way out. yes, he may not be hanged, shot, or imprisoned for life. he will show you,
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you know, a third zimbabwean passport as a proof of residence. by the way, yes, interesting logic. maybe they really have a mossad id card, but putin does not have such an opportunity, even though he had a fan of these passports and id cards, he has no chance, because for putin this is a fundamental, unavoidable, fatal situation, which he must go after , and for the elite this is not a move in the bank, the elite can jump off all this, i am retired, i am in the garden, i i'm sorry, i didn't make the decision about the war, putin will make it. that is why you mentioned the events of february 22, when they at the council of security decided to recognize the republics of the ldpr, and in fact we understood that the issue of starting a war was being decided, and putin needed to show it on tv, putin needed to involve his entire entourage in order to accept a collective decision, so that you can always say that it was a collective decision, it was not my
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personal decision, now he no longer has this reflection, he does not need to try. portray something, everyone already understands that the war is his area of ​​responsibility, and of course, all those who stand behind him, he was already going to fight for three days, at that moment he tried to use the old approaches, collective, collegial decision-making, and now he cannot lose, the elite can lose the war in ukraine, and what will happen to it, and that is what, moscow will be taken, no, the loss of russia is simply a failure to fulfill putin's goals of capturing ukraine, you understand, and what will the whole environment lose from this , it doesn't matter. are you a member the soviet security service or an ordinary employee of some district administration, well, he doesn’t lose anything, he stays where he was, works and does what he used to do, but putin loses everything, you see, that’s mark, the goals of the war and the goals of putin, that’s what i discussed with their american acquaintances, the situation with
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zelenskyi's victory plan and so on, well, they assessed it as such, they say, in general, the plan is not bad, a key story, where there will be elements not just of deterring the kremlin, but of the kremlin's interest in entering the negotiation process. we understand, so america has to hurt putin so much that he would be forced, but, as they say, not a fact. yes, we understand that putin failed to achieve the military goals, military-political goals that he set for himself, accordingly, the operational situation on the battlefield has changed, we have entered into... a long, bloody war, and we have quite a lot of prospects, you know, vague, accordingly, in your opinion, the victory plan, putin's reaction, and what is called, you know, very... putin
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would not have paid any attention to zelensky's victory plan and his discussion of the debate, if not one, but the kursk region, if it concerned the front line in ukraine, aid to ukraine, and even an attack on the territory of russia, but still without a bridgehead. two districts in the kursk region, almost 1000 km, where fighting is currently ongoing in an attempt to push the armed forces of ukraine beyond the state border, then probably putin would be lenient about this, as he treated the peace formula, the august events, before the beginning of the armed forces operations, he but contemptuously, i would even say, with some ultimate insolent tone... proposed three conditions that must be fulfilled in order for these negotiations have begun. and everyone understood that these conditions were not feasible. i will remind them,
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on the eve of the peace summit in lucerne, he said: liberate four regions in the administrative borders, that is, withdraw parts of the armed forces from there. cancel all sanctions, and first, from the start of the negotiations, accept the commitment on ukraine's non-aligned status. that is, actually. let's call a spade a spade: ukraine outside nato and ukraine in nato are two different ukraines. and everyone understands this very well, no one is stupid. and this is where kursk happened region. and actually, how can he continue to behave as brazenly, taking into account the fact that you do not know to the end how long the troops will remain there, which will be lost, or whether the units of the armed forces will advance further, and suddenly they will enter the bryansk region. something completely unbelievable will happen, but suddenly, i didn't believe in it before, but now it's a common place, foreign troops have been on the territory of the russian federation for two months, occupying
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administrative centers, and this is, of course, an exciting, irritating factor that affects on putin's decision-making. in a sense , he has become more cautious, much more cautious in public statements as well, unless we are talking about nuclear blackmail. for example, judge for yourself, he says. here they are, yes, now, if sooner or later there is a decision to strike deep into the territory of russia, then it is absolutely clear that these strikes can lead to the continuation of the operation,
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during which the armed forces of ukraine will occupy new territories in russia, move further towards kursk or to kurchatov or to other large cities in the kursk region. of course, this is an irritating factor, and the victory plan has become not just a slogan, but a kind of threat, because if it is only about ukraine, then win, don't win, you liberate your territory, here you can suffer, and the population of the european part of russia may turn out to be an object of war, and not an episodic, pin strike by drones, but by missiles that carry from 200 to 500 kg of explosives, nothing, and a 50 kg drone, if you compare, there are different types of drones, but nevertheless, absolutely obviously, the damage will be multiplied greater, taking into account the presence. foreign troops on the territory of arref, could putin be afraid of some internal outrage of using this situation surrounded by those who are not happy with him to get rid of him.
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for example, the troops of the armed forces of ukraine reached kursk, what then? there are only 50-55 km from the same suzha, not such a big distance, but from kursk to moscow 500. i am not saying that this will happen, i am just talking about the political influence of this factor, and therefore the victory plan is already different perceived there is another feeling which putin catches on and understands that in reality not everything is so simple: taking ughledar and pokrovsk will not solve the problem of the kurdish region, it is not an automatic solution, they are not connected, you can capture a few more places before the new year or after it , although there will probably be a winter break, but this does not mean that you will automatically solve the problem of the presence of foreign troops on the territory of the russian federation by their occupation of a large part of the territory of about 100 km, that is the problem, but there are still such... the moment yes, if really will there be any additional tools or additional, so to speak, moments that will interest putin, and he will be able to enter into one or another, be it backstage, be it through
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the americans, be it through... these or other intermediary countries, such as switzerland , negotiation or pseudo-negotiation process, well, he can't just jump out of the war, explaining to the fascist population, which, i don't know, for years before the full-scale invasion was fooled by all his propaganda, he can't tell them, well, you know, we've decided to rethink our attack on ukraine a little here, let's somehow we will withdraw the troops from the new subjects. federation, that is, well, we understand that this act is illegal, but well, this is how they behaved in order to completely cut off all avenues of retreat there, i don't know, there for patrushev or someone else who could have conversations with bjorns, there or on ryshkin, we understand that, and as this is the moment of exit, on the other hand, we understand that putin is ready to play for a long time, that is, they have not agreed on anything, so everything will continue for approximately
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that... putin, for the elite, for russia itself, for the population - not a dead end. you know, there is a thesis that putin will sell anything to the population as a victory. not all, still, not all. here, i adhere to the opinion that you cannot sell absolutely everything, you cannot portray absolutely everything as a victory, if it is only a concession, a loss, a compromise and so on. that is, he cannot sell everything due to his political position, he was really proclaiming something completely different. de facto, they were going to take kyiv in three days, three days or a month, it doesn't matter. now we are talking about the truism that ukraine unable to resist at all and so on. this did not happen. what does this indicate? about the fact that ukraine is a full-fledged state that continues to resist. and even if you imagine that there will be no allies, how will you manage this territory? what can you do you can only
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with repression. mass murders of coercion of ukraine in the form in which it is now a national, european state, to subjugate it to oneself, there is no other way. putin has nothing to offer ukrainian society to change its attitude to the war, to the government, to the union russia, there is no tool. for putin, this is definitely a dead end. yes, it could have been a forced entry into kyiv, the landing of a puppet government, and that would have given some kind of chance, and if there was none,... they didn't even think that such a thing was possible, that's the point: they didn't have a backup plan , putin did not have a backup plan, in fact, eliminating all those who started this war with him, and patrushev, and shoigu and so on, this is exactly his attitude, well, gerasimov is holding on, i think, until the new year, he will also be replaced, because it has to be visualized symbol of defeat, failure in ukraine. for putin, this is a dead end, he will continue, for some time, until
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some kind of... resists and insists that this peace be concluded on his terms. of course, putin is looking for peace talks. of course, he wants this peaceful process and an end to the war, because it gives him relief, but he does not yet see or consider another way, because if he makes any compromise, allowing not the release of those new subjects of the russian federation, but simply agree with sovereignty of ukraine, this means that the 80% that are controlled. the central power in ukraine is transferred to nato, the western integrated community, the eu and everything else, all this is a defeat, he lost ukraine then, you understand, because of course, nobody ever recognizes the occupation of new territories, that is, legally he does not solve this issue, but to do he has nothing to do with them, what do you think, mark, putin could get to, so we understand that there is a public part, there is a part that is not public, and there, well, in the public part, everyone starts talking,
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well, not everyone, well, but ... let's freeze, let's freeze, let's understand that this is a cry to nowhere, well, but at least it is there, this story about stopping the war, a ceasefire, people will stop dying, we have heard this rhetoric, they will not stop dying, and the war in this sense will not stop, and more will continue, it is necessary to create an atmosphere in which ukraine looks like an opponent of the war, it is necessary to worsen the image of kyiv, that it resists this and... not blood, it is done only for this, for nothing else. as a matter of fact, these people are saying that everyone is ready, huh only ukraine is resisting, this is definitely a deception, a large-scale deception, a kremlin conspiracy that cannot be followed, because i emphasize once again, it is directed against ukraine, because it is empty talk. simple litmus is a simple example.

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