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tv   [untitled]    October 8, 2024 4:00am-4:31am EEST

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defense forward, well, to the reconquest of our territories. the wounding was as if it were an everyday working day, that is, the wounding could have happened at any time, because we usually worked behind the front line, well, in one way, how we led the brigade to their positions, which we already was prepared, we were caught by an enemy ptur, a guided missile and glory... to god, that the whole crew remained alive , my brother, well, your injury happened to me as well, a man dreams of standing confidently on his feet and helping the military, i want to continue to help my brothers, in the war, well, let's see, the main thing now is to get back on my feet in order to fully feel myself, that is, the classic protest did not suit me, and therefore we are now trying this integration and will try to walk normally. and
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thereby help their poor people. remembering and honoring those who defend our country is the duty of every ukrainian, you can express your gratitude in many ways, with warm words, sincere hugs, and of course donations to support the defenders. tetyana golonova, yulia belska, espresso tv channel. events, events that are happening right now and affect our lives. of course, novynna srichka reports about them. however, it was not enough to know what was happening. it is necessary to understand. antin borkovskii and invited experts soberly assess the events, analyze them, modeling our future. every saturday at 1:10 p.m., with a repeat on sunday at 10:10 a.m. studio zahid with anton borkovsky at espresso. a new week on
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espresso, a weekly summary information and analytical program, a clear understanding of the key events of the past week, analysis of the causes and consequences of these events from experts, forecasts of the development of the situation for the current week, the opportunity to ask your own questions and join the discussion. spend the final monday evening with us and confidently step into the new week. the new week project with khrystyna yatskiv and andriy smoly, every monday at 8:00 p.m. on espresso. glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers, on the air of the tv channel, the program studio zahid, we will analyze the most important events of this week, the world once again found itself on the threshold of the third world war, in particular, today we will talk about the iran-israel conflict and corresponding consequences, in particular for the security of ukraine, because... the enemy of our enemy is
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our friend. in addition, we will discuss the extremely difficult story with abramovich's mission, how it can affect the consciousness of representatives of certain western elites. of course, we will talk about what is called president zelensky's victory plan and how washington will react to it and what specific steps our american partners will take. in addition, today we will talk about an extremely important issue for polish-ukrainian relations. the issue of exhumation in volyn. today's guests of zahid studio are mark feigin and lukasz adamskyi. mark feagin, a figure of the russian opposition in emigration, a former state duma deputy, and a well-known video blogger, will be working on the espresso tv channel. glory to ukraine, mark, glad to see and hear. glad to welcome anton, glad to greet all viewers of the channel. well, mark, you know, our tireless doomsday clock shows the start of the army without a single minute. whether it is the apocalypse
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or the events in the middle east have shown how serious everything is, at the same time, so we understand that the united states has become extremely involved in the situation with the containment of iran, yes, well, they have deployed at least their air defense systems on their aircraft carrier group, yes, iran is now thinking, but here i wanted to talk not so much about iran or about the united states, but about the situation, how it can affect ukraine. russian war, we understand that on the one hand iran is an ally of russia, it supplies it with ballistic missiles, on the other hand we understand that the state of israel has extremely tense relations with iran, but on the other on the other hand, it quite calmly communicates with the russian federation or the same north korea, well, according to your estimates, as a situation or threat of a large, full-scale, bloody apocalyptic war in the near future. in the east can affect
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the situation with the russian-ukrainian war, in particular, when we are talking about the supply of everything necessary. still, i believe that the conflict is imminent. in the east will not reach a transformation into a more global world war, will not have such an impact, but this does not mean that the events there do not affect the situation in ukraine, and i would say that from a military point of view they can have a very positive effect, this is a simple linear diagram, according to which, if israel retaliates in the coming days on the territory of iran, there could be military facilities or energy infrastructure facilities , oil and so on, and among these objects there may also be... those that are engaged in the production of weapons supplied to the russian federation, namely ballistic missiles, drones, components for them, which kill ukrainians. therefore, it is very beneficial for ukraine for this strike to take place, so that israel led to this strike and destroyed at least part of
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iran's military industrial infrastructure, well, that's obvious. politically, it is definitely a loss in this theater for russia, and russia is directly involved, and moscow is involved in events in the middle east. it is obvious that its direct military allies are fighting, including iran, hezbollah, and hamas, and syria, where russian troops are stationed, and the same iranian queer are partly related to this. undoubtedly, a loss in one of the geopolitical theaters will affect the situation in ukraine. it means that moscow, although directly involved in the war, may lose somewhere. and perhaps her interests, to put it mildly, may be harmed, because they will lose. its allies, sooner or later the main one of them, represented by moscow, will lose, well, this is also a fairly straightforward logic. israel does maintain this contact with moscow. the logic here is simple: we have 100 hamas hostages. moscow is holding back what seems to be israel, in my opinion, the wrong way of looking at things, but this is my opinion
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and i do not impose it on anyone, that moscow is holding back both iran and other players in the middle east from not crossing a line. in principle, as i understand it, it is only about iran and one way or another about hamas. after all, hezbollah is a direct proxy of tehran, so moscow, if it has any influence, is indecisive. still, iran is much more important. moreover, we will say that in the current state of hezbollah, taking into account the deaths of all its leadership members, it does not pose such a threat. this is the threat of activists, the weapons that are there. and... by the way, they get a huge income from drug trafficking, not much who is talking about it, but hezbollah is a huge organizer of drug trade and drug trafficking in this region, but never mind. in general, now hezbollah does not have the strength to confront
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israel, so the operation in south lebanon will be successful. i think that according to the results of what will happen, the relations between jerusalem and kyiv will still be. both militarily and in other ways will become closer, this is objective, and this will happen, if the role and influence of moscow in the region decreases, not increases, but decreases, i mean in the middle east, then israel has nothing fear, he will then be able to more openly support ukraine, at the request of common allies, primarily washington, to share military supplies, exchange of intelligence information and other means... with ukraine, to help ukraine in the confrontation with this eastern despotism, moscow. it can affect. the obstacle now is the netanyahu government. let's put it bluntly, because the opposition forces are just talking about changes in relations with moscow, which
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they consider responsible for many events this year. starting from october 7, when hamas, a hamas under the direct control of moscow not only, but also on... fell on southern israel and killed more than a thousand people. of course, moscow did not prevent this attack. could or not? in my opinion, she could. apparently, according to the israeli leadership, it could also, but the preservation of this communication with moscow seems to israel, in my opinion, illusory, that it gives an opportunity to somehow influence the situation from the inside. from his enemies. i think it is not so, but that is a matter of diplomacy.
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can definitely say 100% i think it is burns knows it, biden knows it, netanyahu knows it and putin knows it, yes, well, we already understand what the consequences could be, but simply returning to... washington's policy , we understand that an extremely important visit of the ukrainian delegation took place, in particular the president zelenskyi, who was dedicated to two super important cases: one case is permits to fire at russian military facilities beyond the urals, let's call it that delicately, there or under the mongolian border, to places where, in principle, they don't fly swarms of our drones. the second point, this is undoubtedly a victory plan, but here we are entering a... thin layer of secrets and conspiracies, yes, because the white house said: they looked, studied, familiarized themselves, there are
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interesting points, but everything remains, so to speak, confidential, well , conspiracy theorists multiply here, it remains to add more, you know, eternally cheerful professors, who already put putin in the refrigerator for the tenth time. so, i would like to start with this super important case, which is called the attacks on the territory of russia, in particular the novel. of whom objects, putin's hysterical reaction immediately appeared, he changed the nuclear strategy of the russian federation on the fly, literally live on the fly, in particular by using both strategic and tactical means, and accordingly, without even having it changed under his hands, all out loud, it means that putin started throwing tantrums in order to stop this decision. of course, he primarily wanted to influence the west, which decides to grant ukraine the right to use
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long-range weapons transferred by the west, transferred by washington to ukraine for strikes in the depths of russia. of course, to the west, because it definitely does not make an impression on ukraine. nuclear threats coming from moscow, of course, against the background of 2.5 years of war and hundreds of thousands of victims, will probably not have such an effect. moreover, everyone understands that, let's say... putin definitely realizes that the use of nuclear weapons and the threat of their use are different things. he tries to achieve the maximum effect, the maximization of this effect primarily from rhetoric, from threats, and not from the application itself. because rhetoric reverse you can always play back, as peskov did after putin's speech. there it has come to the point that even drones can be considered a reason behind which nuclear weapons can be used. then it started, but no, there is no need to exaggerate everything, it was not understood that way, and so on, that is, it says
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that verbal rhetoric itself is a weapon, but the use of nuclear weapons is irreversible, you cannot play it back, and how are you going to do it, and therefore those experts who believe that it is exclusively a tool of pressure on public opinion, on the west, on the establishment and elites event, and that it is not necessarily a bridge to application, most likely they are. putin is not ready to use nuclear weapons, because the consequences of their use, i repeat, will be irreversible. the question is, do these threats and this nuclear blackmail make an impression on the west? if they did not provide the opportunity to use it for strikes deep into russia, then it means that it has some effect, it certainly has some significance when washington and its allies make a decision. another issue is the internal political situation.
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it has yet to be implemented, so until november 5, before the election day, before the results of the elections in the usa, this factor will probably be decisive in the issue of giving ukraine the right to use western means to strike deep into the territory of russia, why? because they do not want a built-in situation, they are afraid that trump will come, and not only because the democrats will simply lose to trump, because the strategy will also change, we already understand this, the strategy that will be directed at supporting ukraine, if the democrats, despite all the criticism, with all claims to them, to their indecision and so on, primarily to the biden administration, to biden himself, we still talk about the fact that this is support that is institutionalized, declared and implemented. what should be the criteria for defining
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trump's program, this was the reason for the dispute, the discussion, sometimes they cancel the meeting with zelensky, then they hold it on the contrary, precisely zelensky's statement is completely fair, because he said: listen, trump does not have a program, but what is it really like, here trump himself answers, everything has its own time. we talked honestly about the fact that a full-scale invasion is being prepared, you know, there is no, no, they didn't wrap it all in a piece of paper, they didn't talk about what you think, and the economy... will win, that is, putin's bodwig, he is quite eloquent, his body language, yes , and putin's hysteria, it directly occurs on the faces of those of his supporters who sat in this council, and here they didn't even fly, they all sat like that, yes, yes, yes, you know, for these 2 years war, its course,
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its intermediate results, kiev was not taken in three days, it must be clearly said that the system itself changes after all, the system itself has changed, the war has changed it, that is, now it is more personalized, it is totalitarian, this has finally developed in it, despite the fact that some signs show that it is an authoritarian, rigid dictatorial regime, but there are still totalitarian elements, and to imagine now that putin's entourage could have even a hint of doubt is impossible, unacceptable, it is on the one hand. and then we have already seen from the type of such systems, the more rigidly you strengthen the system, as stalin did, for example, then you try to copy any risks that related to the threats caused to your system, that is, you remove the most loyal ones, shoot and imprison the most loyal ones, why, and how will they return
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to the disloyal ones, they will start looking for ways to get rid of you. putin has no way out, the elites have to pretend that they are not guilty of anything. and on the way out, they can hide, then who will putin transfer responsibility from himself, to whom? putin has no way out, the elites do, even a certain bortnikov has a way out. yes, he may not be hanged, shot, or imprisoned for life. he is a mossad id will show, you know, whether there is a third zimbabwean passport. by the way, yes, the logic is interesting, maybe they really have a mossad id. here, putin does not have such an opportunity, even though he had a fan of these passports and certificates, he has no chance, because for putin this is a fundamental, unavoidable, fatal situation.
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for which he should go to the uvabank, and for the elite it is not a move of the uvabank. you can get away from it all, i'm retired, i'm in the garden, i'm sorry, i didn't make the decision about the war, putin made it. that's why you mentioned the events of february 22, when they are on redbez were deciding the recognition of the republics of the ldpr, and in fact we understood that the issue of starting a war was being decided, and putin needed to show it on tv. putin needed to involve his entire entourage in order to make a collective decision so that one could always say. portray something, everyone already understands that the war is his area of ​​responsibility, and of course, all those who stand behind him, he was already going to fight for three days, at that moment he tried to use the old approaches, collective, collegial
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decision-making, and now he can't to lose, the elite can lose the war in ukraine, but what will happen to it, and what will i take moscow? no, the loss of russia is simply a failure to fulfill putin's goals of capturing ukraine, you understand, and what does the whole environment lose from this? it doesn't matter whether you are a member of the security council or an ordinary employee of some district administration, well, he doesn't lose anything, he stays where he was, works and does what he used to do, but putin loses everything, you see, here is mark of the entire war and putin's goals, i discussed with my american friends the situation with the plan zelensky's victory and so on, well, they rated it so, they say, in general, the idea is not bad, a key story where there will be elements not just of deterring the kremlin, but of the kremlin's interest in entering the negotiation process, we understand , so america must hurt putin so much that he would be forced, but as
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they say, not a fact, so we understand that putin failed to achieve those military goals. military and political goals that he set for himself, accordingly, the operational situation on the battlefield changed, we entered into a long, bloody war, yes, and our prospects are quite, you know, vague, according to your opinion, the victory plan, putin's reaction and what is called, you know, very different signals, there is one from scholz, well, i don't want to list all those people , who would like, so to speak, to start a certain negotiation process. you know, i'll tell you this, putin would not have paid any attention to zelensky's victory plan and his discussion, if not for one thing, but the kursk region. but if it concerned the front line in ukraine, aid to ukraine and even an attack on the territory of russia, but still without a bridgehead on the territory of the russian federation, two districts in
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the kursk region, almost 1,000 square kilometers, where battles are currently ongoing in an attempt to push the armed forces of ukraine beyond the state border, then probably putin would be lenient about this, as he was about the peace formula . proposed three conditions that must be met for these negotiations to begin. and everyone understood that these conditions were not feasible. i will remind them, on the eve of the peace summit in lucerne, he said: liberate four regions in the administrative borders, i.e. will withdraw parts of the armed forces from there. cancel all sanctions and first, from the start of the negotiations, accept the commitment on ukraine's non-aligned status, that is, in fact, on the end of ukraine's sovereignty. let's call a spade
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a spade. ukraine outside nato and ukraine in nato are two different ukraines. and everyone understands this very well, no one is stupid. and this is where the kursk region happened. and actually, how can he continue to behave as brazenly , taking into account the fact that you do not know to what extent. the troops will remain there for a long time, what will be the losses, will units of the armed forces advance further, and suddenly they will still enter the bryansk region, and what if something completely unbelievable will happen, and suddenly, this was not believed before, but now it is a common place, foreign troops have been there for two months on the territory of the russian federation, occupy administrative centers, and this is certainly an exciting, irritating factor that affects putin's decision-making, in some sense he has become ob. for example, judge for yourself, he says that it does not matter to us what the bandits do,
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bandos, there are provocateurs from the ssu, what provocateurs, what are you talking about, there is a war, you occupied 20% of the territories of ukraine, so what did you want, this is the way, as he said, we will continue what we were doing on the front line in ukraine itself, at the same time, i believe that the kurdish region and the situation there... this is the biggest challenge for him after two years of war, because the talk that the war will spill over into russia itself, they came true, here they are, yes, now, if sooner or later there is a decision to strike deep into the territory of russia, then absolutely it is clear that these strikes may lead to the continuation of the operation, during which the armed forces of ukraine will occupy new territories in russia, move further to kursk or to kurchatov or to other large cities on the territory of the kursk oblast. certainly, this is an irritating factor, and the victory plan has become not just a slogan, but a kind of threat, because if it is only about ukraine, then win, don’t
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win, you liberate your territory, here you can suffer, and the population of the european part of russia can turn out to be an object of war, and not an episodic one, a pin strike by drones, and rockets that carry 200 to 500 kg of explosives are okay, and a drone has 50 kg, if... to compare, there are different types of drones, but none the less. it is absolutely obvious that the damage will be many times greater , taking into account the presence of foreign troops on the territory of arref. could putin be afraid of some indignation inside using this situation surrounded by those who are not happy with him to get rid of him. for example, troops of the armed forces of ukraine reached kursk. what then? it is only 50-55 km from the same suzha, not such a long distance, but from kursk to moscow 500, i'm not saying that it will happen, i'm just talking about the political influence of this factor, and therefore the victory plan is already perceived differently, there are other feelings that
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putin catches and understands that in reality everything is not so simple: those that you will take ugledar and pokrovsk, you will not solve the problem of the kurdish region, this is not an automatic solution, they are not connected, you can capture a few more places before the new year or after it, although there will probably be a winter break, but this does not mean that you you will automatically solve the problem of the presence of foreign troops on the territory of the russian federation on their occupation of a significant part of the territory of about 1000 km, that is the problem. but there is still such a moment, yes, if there are really some additional tools or additional, so to speak, moments that will interest putin, and he will be able to get into one or another, be it behind the scenes, be it through the americans, be it through those or other countries are mediators, such as switzerland, a negotiation or pseudo-negotiation process, well, he cannot just jump out of the war. explaining to the fascist population, which, i don't know, over the years until full-scale invasion, fooled by all his propaganda stuff, can't tell them,
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well, you know, we've decided to rethink our attack on ukraine a little bit, let 's somehow withdraw the troops from the new subjects of the federation, that is, we understand that this act is illegal, but that's how they behaved in order to completely cut off all the ways of retreat there, i don't know for patrushev or anyone else there, who could hold conversations with björns there, or we understand it like this, and that's how this is the moment of exit, from the other side we understand, so what... putin is ready to play for a long time, that is, well, we have not agreed on anything, which means that everything will continue at approximately the same pace of a long, bloody meat grinder. well, this is definitely a dead end, specifically for putin, for the elite, for russia itself, for the population, not a dead end. you know, there is a thesis that putin will sell anything to the population as a victory. not all, still, not all. here i adhere to that opinion. that
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you will not sell absolutely everything, you will not portray absolutely everything as a victory, if it is only a concession, loss, compromise and so on. that is, he cannot sell everything due to his political position, he proclaimed something completely different, de facto they were going to take kyiv in three days, three days or a month, it doesn’t matter, now we are talking about the truism that ukraine is not capable of resisting at all and so on, this did not happen, which shows that ukraine is a full-fledged state that... continues to resist, and even if you imagine that there will be no allies, then how will you manage this territory, that you you can, you can only there is no other way to subjugate ukraine in the form in which it is now a national state, a european one, by means of repressions, mass murders of coercion. putin has nothing to offer ukrainian society to change its attitude to the war, to the government, to the alliance with russia, there is no tool, for putin
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it is definitely deaf. didn't think that this was possible, that's the point, they didn't have a backup plan, putin didn't have a backup plan, in fact, eliminating all those who started this war with him, and patroshev, and shoigu, and so further, this is precisely his attitude, and gerasimov is holding on, i think, until the new year, he will also be changed, because he must be visualized... resist and insist that this peace be concluded on his terms. of course, putin is looking for peace talks. of course, he wants this peaceful process and an end to the war, because it gives him relief, but he does not see or consider another way yet, because if he makes
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any compromise, allowing not... the release of those new subjects of the russian federation , but simply agree with the sovereignty of ukraine, that's it it means that the 80% that is controlled by the central government in ukraine goes to nato, the western integrated community, the eu and everything else, all this is a defeat, he lost ukraine then, you understand, because of course, no one will ever recognize the occupation of new territories, that is, legally he does not solve this issue, and he has nothing to do with them, what do you think mark could do? putin, yes, we understand that there is a public part, there is a non-public part, and there, well, in the public part, everyone starts talking, well, not everyone, but there is yavlinsky, for example, there, let's freeze, let's freeze, we understand that this is a cry to nowhere, well, but at least it is there, this story about stopping the war, a ceasefire, people will stop dying, we have heard this rhetoric, they will not stop dying, and the war in this sense will not stop, and will continue, it is necessary
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for creation. it is done only for this, for nothing else. as a matter of fact, even these people with a feedlot say that everyone is ready, but only ukraine is resisting. this is definitely a deception, a large-scale deception, a kremian scheme, for which it is impossible to behave, because i emphasize once again, it is directed against ukraine, because it is empty chatter, simple lakmu. a simple example, how can this be achieved? very simply: i am sure, i suspect, there is insider information that putin was offered many times to stop mutual shelling, that is, you stop shelling the territory of ukraine, and ukraine stops shelling the territory of russia, without using drones, missiles. moscow always refused, always. here you are fighting on the front line and fighting. let's define a zone no more than 20-30 km along the line
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front, but no more... strikes on the territory of ukraine, even in kherson.

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