♪ stuart: romney still has the momentum. polls confirm a swing away from the president. headline from the nbc wall street journal poll, did he, 47-47 among likely voters. the president at five point lead in the same poll a month ago. gallup shows romney with a clear lead. rasmussen will have its latest numbers in 20 minutes. october surprise, saturday the new york times headlines, possible face-to-face talks with iran.

the markets this monday morning shrunk. it is dismissed as october surprise one of the. the final debate is tonight. if romney keeps the momentum he is the next president. we have not forgotten the markets. a very small bounce for stocks, gold and oil just ahead. "varney and company" is about to begin.

stuart: caterpillar is one of the stocks used as an economic indicator. makes construction equipment, sometimes reflects the state of the world economy. caterpillar's profits are up 50% strong sales and the u.s.. the rest of the world weaker than expected, and changed the opening bell. turn to the election. two weeks from tomorrow look at

the latest polls. they are tied at 47. dead heat that this poll had president obama leading by 5, the go. his trend is towards romney. look at this for momentum. the gallup poll has romney pulling to a seven point lead. the latest daily tracking poll, and adams sunday. best case of the president is a tie. and the latest number, scott will be joined us with those early monday morning results. what are we looking for in tonight's debate? what do when tudor libya, iran or israel? read your comments in the next hour. facebook please. look at this. a warning on firewood courtesy of none other than the state of california. that is on organic would.

if i am -- if only the cave men had known they were encountering division danger in their lives. this is the subject of my take in the next hour. a warning label on organic would. iran and libya will be major topics of the final presidential debate. senator john barrasso after the opening bell. did the president's miss lead with this statement? >> took the president 14 days before he called the attack in benghazi an act of terror. >> let me -- [talking over each other] >> act of terror. look, if you have copd like me,

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he loves risk. but whether he's climbing everest, scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the marke he goes with people he trusts, which is why he trades with a company

that doesn't nickel and dime him with hidden fees. so he can worry about other things, like what the market is doing and being ready, no matter what happens, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense, from td ameritrade. stuart: it is a minute to the opening of trading. don't forget what is happening friday. dow jones industrial average is off 100 points. the main problem, earnings report. this is turning season. this is the time the big companies tell us how much they may or did not make and what their outlook is for the future. big problem with technology companies, google, apple, amazon, ibm, intel, microsoft, they all came down sharply and brought the whole market down. what are we expecting today? this monday morning stocks are expected if you look at the

futures, expected to open relatively flat. i say this most mornings. the real movement is later in the day but this morning it is true. a relatively flat opening. as for oil and gold, they were down sharply last week especially gold, a very small amounts at best for the price of gold this morning and also for the price of oil. that is setting the scene as the opening bell finishes and we start trading and the opening trend for the dow is dead flat. we are down four points, but 13-3 is where the dow industrials are right now. get to caterpillar fast. we said that they uped their profit but a weakening outlook elsewhere. what is the stock? nicole: the stock is up 1.5%. this is a global indicator. when they see an outlook that is deeper than expected sales won't be as strong as expected, that is not only on caterpillar's

stock but also the minds of investors. it means -- stuart: mcdonald's is another indicator of the world economy. we are down big on friday. where are we today? nicole: we are trying to get a little bit to the upside, fractionally higher. this is some of the analysts cutting their numbers on mcdonnell's but they too saw the worst sales growth they had seen in nine years and tough economy, stronger dollars, competition. stuart: we were expecting a modest stock, look at the big board now, we're down 22 points. we did not get that modest bounce. back to you shortly. iran agreeing to face to face negotiations of its nuclear program. you might see the president make a big deal about that in the foreign policy debate. iran does say any discussions would have to take place after the election.

not exactly clear. the administration says fox will take place, might be a good idea. no market reaction to that at all. oil did not move on that story. it is at $90 per barrel. gas prices which have nothing to do with iran continues to go down another $0.02 over the weekend. the national average coming in at $3.66 and diesel at $4.11. tonight's debate the final debate before the election and will focus on foreign policy. the big issue will be the attack in libya and the administration's handling of it. here's what president obama said september 12th. >> nowak of terror will shake the resolve of this great nation, alter that character or eclipse the light of the values we stand for. stuart: no acts of terror. that comment came up at the previous debate between the president and mitt romney. >> you said in the rose garden the day after the attack it was

an act of terror. it was not a demonstration. >> please proceed. >> i want to make sure we get that record because it took the president 14 days before he called the attack in benghazi an act of terror. >> he did in fact. [talking over each other] >> he did call it an act of terror. it did as well take the 2 weeks or so for the whole idea of there being a riot to come out. stuart: he did not refer to an act of terror. he referred generally to acts of terror. joining us is senator john borerosso. did the president is lead? and if you consider that he did mislead, how vigorously should mitt romney mount the attack today?

>> the president did mislead but the president failed even if you look at the run up to the murder, the assassination of these brave americans, the signals were all there, the alarm bells were going, the british pull out of ben gauzy and there had been attacks on our structures. the president should have seen this coming. then you have what happens in the next couple weeks. stuart: does governor romney lose the debate if he attacks the president on this foreign policy issue too vigorously? >> i think the governor will make a spirited defense of his gold in terms of foreign policy and the biggest threat to our national security right now according to the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff is our debt and this president has filed $5 trillion of additional debt on the american people which to me weakens our nation and that is the case to be made

tonight by governor romney. stuart: you think governor romney will say that? can't have a strong presence in the world if you are broke? will make that point? >> i would expect that he would and i expect it will resonate with people, ronald reagan used to say peace through strength and strength involved that -- economic strength. if you are bar wing $0.40 of every dollar you spend from china how view stay strong and independent nation? you can't do it. we need to focus on getting the economy going and the poll you showed which essentially shows a tied race on jobs, the economy and the debt, governor romney is doing well and the president is doing poorly. stuart: what to do you make of the headline in the saturday new york times saying that iran and america had agreed to face-to-face talks after the election on iran? what do you make of that? i read that as an october surprise. i don't think it has worked.

would come up tonight? >> i think it didn't work and the white house has denied it which shows a white house with additional ongoing leaks that had to be leaked out of the % white house. the president wanted to negotiate with iran and said that four years ago when he was running. four years later he said he was going to have a better relationship across the entire middle east as a result of the force of his own personality and his charisma and what we see as a worse situation. iran has four times as much enriched nuclear material now as they did four years ago through the senate, we have forced on to the president's sanctions to be used against iran. he has used them but has given a number of waivers so you have money from china going into iran. i want to make sure iran gets no nuclear-weapons. stuart: always, pleasure. thanks for joining us.

don't miss it. fox business special report, the final presidential debate. neil cavuto kicks off our coverage at 8:00 eastern from florida on the fox business network. on election day itself, "varney and company" of course on at 9:20 eastern in the morning but at 5:00 eastern that will be on november 6th, election day. you like "varney and company," you're going to love this one. new at 10:00, big number for you, 1 sixty-three million people, that would be everybody works, looks like they, we will be paying more in social security taxes come january 1st and there are very few politicians who oppose the increase. find out how much more you will have to pay. that will come up new at 10:00. an economic indicator will be fedex, it expects to ship nineteen million packages on december 10th. is that right?

nicole: ready for a record-setting year for fedex and holiday shipments? fedex, you talk about nineteen million, the overall for the season will be more than two hundred eighty million. the key dates will be december 10th. that is the day they are expecting a slew of shipments in record form which will be up 10% year over year. that will be the busiest day. stuart: that has to be an indicator not so much of the overall economy but the strength of online shopping. nicole: there is no doubt. that is what they are noting. they expect to shift personal electronics, luxury goods and so much to be purchased by ecommerce, online, internet retail. stuart: for they put this number out and say december 10th so that we will all brush and cents the fedex before december 10th to beat the big rush. nicole: if you are not here we know your fedex shipping all

your packages out. stuart: thank you very much. time is money. in 30 seconds here is what we are watching. this morning's governing body of cycling stripped lance armstrong of all his tour de france titles. he lost most of his endorsements too but he has not come between. doctor keith at the low will explain the psychology behind him at this point. more sports. the yankees stuck paying alex rodriguez $114 million over the next five years. will other teams look at this and be scared away from long-term contracts? we will ask a leading sports agent. a very unique my take this morning plucked from a weekend shopping trip. it is about how california's craziness affects us all. we want to hear from you. e-mail us at varney@foxbusiness.com and join us on facebook. it is monday morning and i have seven early mover is for you. the wall street journal

reporting ancestry.com has agreed to be taken private for roughly $1.6 billion. i expect to see that stock go up but it hasn't. microsoft windows 8 goes on sale friday. full disclosure i own some of it. yahoo!'s first earnings report with c e o marisa meyer at the helm "after the bell" today. stock is up fraction. we mentioned caterpillar. the global economy is weaker than expected stock is down $1.45. better than expected profits that has crow. sales missed the mark but stock down but not much. suntrust profits got a boost from sale of its coca-cola shares. it is down. coal miner peabody profits better than expected. it is up 10%. the dow is down 24, pretty flat. mitt romney closing in on president obama in key states. he has the momentum. if he keeps after tonight's

debate he may well be the next president. scott rasmussen has the latest national poll. fresh numbers breaking right now. scott bring them to us "after the bell" -- after the break. [ male announcer ] how do you trade? with scottrader streaming quotes, any way you want. fully customize it for your trading process -- from thought to trade, on every screen. and all in real time. which makes it just like having your own trading floor, right at your fingertips. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. try our easy-to-use scottrader streaming quotes. it's another reason more investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade.

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yosee us bank on busier highways. on once empty fields. everyday you see all the ways all of us at us bank are helping grow our economy. lending more so companies and communities can expand, grow stronger and get back to work. everyday you see all of us serving you, around t country, around the corner. us bank. stuart: as we approach the election the trading oh on the stock market goes down because the election will make a big difference on the future fate of stock market money. dead flat monday morning we are down 36 points. the price of oil pretty flat but we are below $90 a barrel, $89.89. two weeks ago before the big election and hours before the final debate and we have the latest numbers from rasmussen

for you. daily presidential tracking poll shows mitt romney 49, president obama 47. no change from yesterday. let's bring in scott rasmussen. this would seem to imply that mitt romney no longer has that surging momentum. would you agree with that? >> yes. numbers today are exactly the same as they were the day of the second presidential debate. the first debate took place governor romney gained some ground, gained four points. second debate to place. president obama had a better night and stopped the bleeding but did not turn the race around and tonight could be a very significant impact. stuart: how about florida? what do numbers show there? >> florida we show governor romney up by 5 points. it is one of three states that moved to romney.

stuart: pennsylvania? a big headline today, not sure which paper it is in. pennsylvania is now in play. what are your numbers? >> latest numbers show the president still up 51% to 46%. romney gaining ground. he was down by a dozen points. still it is a tough state for the republicans would always looks good. never quite pull it off. if mitt romney wins pennsylvania probably means we will have a significant electoral college landslide. stuart: if mitt romney were to win pennsylvania. that is and a love for college landslide. ohio. what is the latest number? >> ohio the closest and biggest of all states, we show president obama up just one point. this race has been close in the buckeye state. if mitt romney were to win florida, virginia, where he is up 3 and ohio is almost certainly he would move into the white house.

if barack obama can hang on to ohio there are other have still a romney victory but they're more challenging. stuart: ohio is still dead center the most important stage as we speak. >> absolutely. stuart: i said earlier if mitt romney can maintain the momentum he has a achieved over the past couple weeks that he would be the next president of the united states. that is if he maintains the upward momentum. do you agree with that? >> yes. he is up by two points in the national popular vote numbers. of that shift another point you can feel comfortable you will win enough swing states and the left for college when we look at it we are projecting president obama with 237 lot durrell votes, mitt romney with 235 and handful of states with 66 electoral votes left that will decide the presidency. stuart: that is close. scott rasmussen. i don't know when you sleep and i presume you do on occasion.

thank you, appreciate you being with us. 9:49. where is the price of gold? it stayed for two weeks that we were approaching 1800. we are not. we are down 1727. at elevated levels but no longer tracking ford's 1800. tonight at 9:00 eastern a last presidential debate. at 8:00 the st. louis cardinals and san francisco giants face-off for their chance to make it in the world series and monday night football. what will america watched? elizabeth macdonald and sandra smith our necks and bones wearing something.

stuart: it will be game 7 tonight. san francisco giants score four runs in the second inning of game 6, therefore they beat the card 6-1. the two teams play the deciding game, facing detroit and five years in the world series. that is tonight. a lot of people will be watching that game. also a game between chicago and detroit. four major markets with teams

playing in prime time. the previous debate have all attracted huge audiencess but what about tonight? the debate's impact i suggest might be lowered because of the sports programming elsewhere and the foreign policy issue, will that be an audience grabber? let's ask the two ladies in red. they did not coordinate their outfits before appearing this morning. nevertheless, what the thing? sandra: the voice is number one on nbc. people will be watching that leading up to the debate. i think people -- it is a musical singing contest. it had huge ratings. that is before leading up to the debate. here's the bottom line. people were interested. people were tuning in even people who never watched debates before. they will come back. stuart: 65, sixty-seven million

for the first two presidential debates. liz: you watch the highlight reel the next day and sports and that is the point. people will watch the highlight reel of the debate tomorrow. stuart: they will watch "varney and company". we won't say definitively who we think won. we will do that. that is what we do after these debates. could be the impact is lessened because very attractive programming elsewhere is about foreign policy as opposed to your job, your house, your car. liz: people think the gloves might come of. stuart: it could be. we will have the definitive judgment at 9:20 tomorrow morning. it is the tax increase nobody in washington is talking about or seems to care about that matter and it affects everybody who works. 1 sixty-three million people. that will be our new at 10:00

story next. national security analyst kc mcfarland, outspoken critic of the obama administration at handling of the benghazi terror attack. she cannot get over this. >> in fact, this was not our preplanned premeditated attack. what happened initially was it was a spontaneous reaction to what had just transpired in cairo. as a consequence of the video. ♪

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♪ stuart: new at 10:00 a.m. if you work in america, your taxes are most certainly going up on january 1. you will see the lower rate for social security expire, go away. washington appears to be letting it happen. we will get to that in a moment. call it an october surprise. did not work. the "new york times" reported over the weekend possible talks with iran over the nuclear program. a big your -- so much for an october surprise. you can expect libya to be the hot topic in tonight debate. governor romney will bring this

up. >> the best assessment we have today is that in fact this was not a preplanned premeditated attack. it was a spontaneous reaction to what had just transpired in cairo as a consequence of the video. stuart: k.t. mcfarland is here. she will join us in a few fifteen days before the election, the rasmussen poll has romney still leading. the two candidates are in a dead heat in the "wall street journal" poll. forty-seven-47. president obama had been beating that one the entire way until now. to the big board, as we said earlier, dead flat. we are down just six. there you have it. sandra smith, elizabeth

macdonald and nicole petallides are here. let's talk caterpillar. week global output. nicole: it was dragging on the dow. it moved into positive territory. we cannot lose sight of what caterpillar is really saying. they are lowering their numbers for 2012. they are cutting their outlook for the long term forecasts. this is the second time that we have done this. about a month or two ago, we said the same thing. stuart: profits were up 20%. they did see revenue on the rise. nicole: they will not see the growth that they had expected. stuart: thanks a lot. the dow is dead flat. i mean dead flat.

every american who works will probably see a tax increase january 1. that is 163 million of us. a tax cut expiring. a worker making $50,000 a year will have to pay an extra $1000 roughly throughout the year. neither party seems interested in extending this tax cut. >> prior to the tax cut being enacted, everyone thought this is a great idea for more money. did it really helped? it is also being overshadowed by the fiscal cliff and the bush tax rate expiring. >> politicians also feel like they will not get any credit for it if they extend it. the question is whether or not it was actually working. stuart: if you don't get the credit, you don't do it.

plus, it takes a little over 100 again dollars out of social security. >> you are basically defunding social security with temporary tax cuts that have to be paid for. stuart: the aarp. fifteen days until the election. tonight is the last debate. let's go to rich edson. i want to know what format i will see that is different from the last two tonight. rich: it will be all foreign-policy. america's role in the world. the changing middle east part one and two. two-minute responses from each candidate. the moderate will attempt to lead a conversation for the next

60 minutes. stuart: the first debate they were both at a podium. the second debate it was, hostile where they were walking around and getting into each other's space. tonight, they are sitting at a table across from each other. rich: that is right. that was the same setup we had had in the vice presidential debate. stuart: we will be looking very closely at facial reaction when someone is talking in the other is reacting on camera. rich, thank you very much. iran in the united states have agreed to have face to face talks. that was according to the "new york times" over the weekend. the meeting would come after the election. they want to know who they will be dealing with. president obama or make romney. was this an attempted october

surprise? k.t. mcfarland joins us now. >> i think it was a dry run for an october surprise. the problem with doing anything like this, i was in the white house in 1972. henry kissinger said we are negotiating with the vietnamese. as a result, nixon got a bump up. could obama do the same thing now? maybe. only if the iranians came back and said this is what we are going to do. stuart: he will bring it up tonight. sanctions are working. it will wwrk if you do it my way. >> he will definitely say that. he will say i killed bin laden and i will keep us out of a bore with iran. romney will make the case that he will not get us into a war

with iran, but you also be able to stomp around nuclear programs. stuart: the new york times is offering obama a october surprise. you said it is a dry run. >> october surprise. bomb that al qaeda training centers. they should have done that a few days after they killed our ambassador. they formed a commission and they will study it. they still do have that option. we know where they are. [ talking over each other ] stuart: isn't that a little obvious? >> why? because they are a little desperate? romney can criticize on a whole series of issues. romney's job, though, you do not know which romney will show up at this debate. the george w bush or is it ronald reagan who said we use

economic power, we build up our economy first, which romney is good at, and when we have a strong economy pushed through. stuart: one of our previous guests was saying that governor romney will bring up the economy as the best way to have a strong board policy. you were nodding your head. >> absolutely. if you have a strong economy, you have collateral damage. make that case. we know he already made that fail. stuart: how does the president handle what many people think was his misleading of the american public over the benghazi attack? blaming it on a video for a couple weeks and not acknowledging a terror attack. >> he will blame everybody in sight. it was their job to provide the security.

romney's comeback should not be to focus on timelines and eight and words. what romney should say is, okay, you had a real-time video. why did you not send in anybody to rescue them? that is a sharp edge to take. we have the video now that has been leaked. >> k.t., the president could set you are trying to -- you and your administration politicized the killing of osama bin laden. >> absolutely. all americans think killing in london was a good idea. romney should not take that. they should not have to back them into the corner because he had an inappropriate comment early on about libya. the american people want to know what the heck happened. they sell for americans killed at an american embassy. they have not yet had an explanation. stuart: does america care?

that is a terrible way to phrase a question. what do they care more about? >> what do americans care about is they want a president who can fix the economy. there is a foreign policy part. a president who can keep them safe and keep them out of war. at that point, they can go and live their own lives. give a bye to all the criticism that he will not keep us safe. stuart: governor romney comes out and take if elected president i will never bow to a foreign dictator as this president did to the king of saudia arabia. >> that would be a great place to start. you do not think this will be a dull and boring debate? stuart: no. but some other people may be watching baseball.

[ laughter ] stuart: k.t. mcfarland, thank you very much. neil cavuto will have coverage tonight of the debate. do not miss it. another special report you do not want to miss. on election day you get two servings of varney & company. back to the markets. what is going on with netflix? nicole: it is one of the best performers in the s&p 500 today. number three, right near the top. netflix getting a nice job. they are reporting earnings tomorrow. we are seeing a jump ahead of earnings. we talked about international expansion. in some cases it was good news or bad news. now they are starting to see job postings on the web for about eight countries including, germany, india, korea, japan and

turkey. it will be interesting this level expansion for netflix. a 5.5% jump. stuart: you think it could expand to new countries and continents. you have yourself a winner. nicole: that is right. not too much overhead. let's see what they can do. stuart: i want to see some of those south korean soap operas. i am addicted to them. i really like them. nicole: my husband watches a lot of that asian films with the subtitles. he loves them. stuart: it is real drama. every sentence. my producer says i am getting. my producer says i am getting weirdmac.

gas prices down another two cents over the weekend. >> romney gains in the polls. romney is the one with the plan. stuart: you think there is a connection? >> it is fair to make a connection. romney is talking about more drilling. he is energy family in this country. we are still seeing gas prices come down. this is a seasonal selloff. i have to be practical. >> still stubbornly high and california. >> they are the farthest from a source and have a lot of

regulations. stuart: very interesting. >> if people want to type the stock market to it, they can tie the election. stuart: lance armstrong. armstrong still denies any wrongdoing. what does that say about his personality? dr. keith ablow is next.

tomoko. stuart: i will call it a quiet start to the new week and the stock market. right now the dow industrials are up ten points. that is nothing. remember the dow lost 205 on friday. it said december 10 will be the busiest day ever and expect 90 million packages to be handled that day because so many people are shopping online. advanced auto parts are down since people are spending less to fix and maintain their cars. that is also hurting autozone. that stock is down. lance armstrong officially stripped of all of this to a different titles. will he ever come clean about what he did or did not do? we will ask dr. keith ablow in 90 seconds from now. ♪ i'm a conservative investor. i invest in what i know.

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stuart: i have breaking news for you. we have the latest news from rasmussen swing both. romney 49 and president obama 46. pretty much in line with what we have been seeing recently. lance armstrong stripped of all of his tour de france titles. he has lost nearly all of his endorsements also. they are teammates willing to testify that armstrong used

performance enhancing drugs. armstrong refuses to admit to any of that. joining us now is dr. keith ablow. i am not suggesting for one moment that lance armstrong did indeed dope, i am asking you to give me a psychological profile of a man who denies it for a decade in the face of overwhelming evidence that he did it. what does that tell you about the psychology of the man, doctor? >> stuart, i think you have to decide which side of the fence you are going to sit on. is he someone who in the face of adversity maintains the truth no matter the cost and that would be if you believe he never used performance enhancing techniques or is he someone who can maintain that steadfastness even though he knows internally that he did do it. let's say that this document that indicts him and which so many of his cycling partners and

teammates say that he did in fact orchestrate a sophisticated campaign to evade detection and did all these performance enhancing techniques, let's say it is true. you would have to have someone who has such a high level of personality disorder, a narcissistic band if that is true that he literally is not moved by the criticism of others. not the way that you or i might be. always thinking how do i went against these odds. what kind of armor do i need in order to battle. what is the next thing i need to do in order to optimize this for me having no concern for other people. that gives a man terrible freedom to do some very unusual things. stuart: could it have nothing to do with this psychological profile and everything to do with lowliest?

if he admits everything, he will be sued for every single thing he has and he is boxed into a corner by lawyers who will demand every penny he ever made in his cycling career. >> it is more than just this moment to judge from, though. after all, he has been the speeter of performance. the idea that you would wait until seven victories in the tour de france, never be able to step back from it and say maybe two is good since i used techniques that are not accepted and are in fact against the rules. the fact that you have to keep coming back and back and back, that suggests somebody who may have deep-seated low feelings of self-esteem. he does not know what to do without the drug of cycling. without the drug of high-performance. who cannot just take being a wonderful cyclist.

he must be the best in the world. or he has to visit questions, deep questions whether he is worth anything. in that way he would be a little like arnold schwarzenegger in terms of that poking up and taking every woman he can and marrying the famous daughter of a famous family. some people are so empty inside that they have to cross the finish line first and be actually did by millions in order to feel anything like distance from the self-hatred they feel inside. stuart: doctor, that is absolutely fascinating. you are painting a portrait of a man who is absolutely driven. thank you so much for being with us, sir. i hope i am never on the couch facing you. >> i reserve an hour every day for you, stuart. you just do not show up. [ laughter ] stuart: thank you very much.

the yankees owe alex rodriguez $114 over the next five years. even after his terrible performance this year. they may have to pay a bunch of money to get rid of him. will this feature teams from signing players to long-term contracts in the future perfect eugene lee answers that question. 10:33 a.m. this morning. warning. do not burn far word. the state of california says it is bad for your health. fire would now come with warning labels. my take on the next. ♪ can your hearing aid do this?

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>> the president wanted to negotiate with iran and he said that four years ago when he was running. here we are four years later and he said he was going to have a better relationship across the entire middle east as a result of his -- of the force of his own personality and his charisma and what we've seen is a worse situation. stuart: that was a senator in our last hour shedding some light on president obama's foreign policy. remember tune in sharp 9:20 weekdays. catch it all. time for a market check. dead flat. down 4. dead flat. israel has been highly critical of president obama's policy on the jewish state. now iran says it will meet with

u.s. officials after the election, maybe, all comes down to a nuclear iran? deputy speaker of the israeli parliament will join the company from jerusalem. what do the israeli people want to hear in tonight's debate? that is at 10:45. did you know that throughout history we humans have been taking a terrible risk. yes, we have. i found out by reading a warning label on firewood. here's my take on california. please, let me explain, i saw the warning label on firewood on sale in new jersey, but because it is a national brand and could have been sold anywhere in america, it had to carry a special warning from the state of california. here's what it said, california proposition 65 warning, all wood, including this wood, produces chemicals known by the state of california to cause cancer, birth defects or other reproductive harm when burning.

the wood is from estonia. it is all natural. quote, virtually mold mildew and insect free, but using it, burning it in your fireplace is dangerous. those cavemen just didn't know what they were doing, keeping warm and cooking their food like that, did they? think of this, california is insolvent. it is chasing business and middle class people out of the the state. it's about to impose even more stringent climate change restrictions, and it insists on a nationwide warning label on firewood. i will leave you with a question, when california comes begging, and it will, are you prepared to send your money to bail them out? we have big dreams.

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stuart: i want to look at this on the market now, apple shares, contrary to a lot of tech stocks this morning, they are going much higher. what's going on nicole? nicole: we are seeing apple doing well ahead of the ipad mini. that's something we're continuing to follow. as i talked to one of the traders here on wall street, mark newton, he actually was talking about the trend for apple and maybe you see a jump here. but he thinks it is going to 575 in the next couple of weeks. the trend remains to the down side. that the stock is not oversold yet and actually has more

momentum to the down side than to the upside. here's a look at it right now at 621, but he's saying it can continue to sell off because tech overall has been selling off. bucking the trend today. stuart: microsoft really took a drop today, threatening to drop below $28 a share as we speak, but we won't get into that, now will we? nicole: i guess not for the moment. we know that you own that and you could have bought apple and didn't and bought microsoft and you still have high hopes. [laughter] stuart: time's up nicole. nicole: uh-huh. stuart: nicole, i want you to listen to this, the new york yankees are looking for any team willing to take alex rodriguez off their hands. a-rod is clearly on the down side of his career, batted only 120 in the play-offs. i'm told he tried to pick up a girl in the stands during the game, for heaven's sake. and the yankees still owe him 114 million dollars over the next five years not including bonuses. is this going to scare teams away from signing any players to

long-term deals? joining us now is the sports agent himself, eugene lee. >> hi stuart. stuart: do you think this really will upset the whole idea of long-term contracts? >> i don't think so. i think you will see with elite level athletes, players like kobe bryant, tom brady, michael jordan, they are driven by championships. that's what was so disheartening about the whole a-rod -- stuart: yankees could actually owe him some bonuses if he hits certain milestones. that was a terrible business deal. you don't think that will inhibit others from making 3 similar long-term deals? >> i think you will see teems be wary -- teams be wary about signing players on the north side of 30 realize as they progress in their careers as they get older the productivity is going to decline. but at the same time when you have teams that are large market teams that can afford to pay the luxury tax, they will play to their strengths. they will try to outspend, sign elite level talent, beat the the

small market teams. stuart: so it is worth it to the yankees. i believe this was a steinbrenner deal from way back. >> it was. in 2011 they paid almost 14 million dollars. stuart: it's worth it for a team, a marquee team to get marquee name star players? it's worth it, no matter what they have to pay, even if they don't perform, you're saying it's still worth it? >> i think winning -- it comes down to winning. teams want to sign -- stuart: rodriguez didn't win. >> i know, that was so disheartening the fact he was indifferent. sandra: you may have vested interest in these guys making a lot of money. i'm going to challenge you and say maybe the general public should be excited this happened because arguably these big bucks have changed the game of baseball and other professional sports. maybe this is a sign that teams will look for heart and not just go after the big buck players. >> i think you will see a correlation, the way it's always been, elite level talent demands elite level dollars.

with an a-rod, that was the part that was so disheartening for everybody involved. usually players of his caliber, are dedicated, they are only focused on one thing, and that's winning championships. and for him to send the baseball up in the stands during the middle of the game where he was benched for poor performance, it is unheard of. liz: now he's saying he wants to make things right. he says he wants to come back and make things right. he does not want to be traded. even the general manager of the yankees is saying wait a second, he's never going to be mvp caliber ever again. what do you make of that? >> i agree. my prediction in this off season even with the no trade clause and even with the 114, 118 million left on his contract, i think you are going to see a-rod wearing a different uniform next year. stuart: what is that about sending a baseball up into the stands, what's that? >> apparently, allegedly using the legal term, during the middle of the game in he was benched he had a bat boy take a ball up to a woman in the stands to get her phone number. sandra: during the play-off game. stuart: what do you make of that ladies? liz: i would be so turned off by

a baseball with a phone number on it. sandra: if i were a true yankees fan and i was sitting right behind home plate where these gals were, i'd probably take that baseball and throw it back at him and say get your head in the game. liz: -- right between the eyes. stuart: it is an interesting prospect isn't it you pay these players an arm and a leg, and it's really changed the nature of baseball. i think it really has. sandra: absolutely. stuart: the high paid are not performing, are they? >> i don't think you're seeing it across the board. i think, you know, you have the pujols who didn't have a good year this year and you have a-rod. you are going to have teams that predicate their success on players that perform. they will believe that these guys will be interested in one thing alone, that's winning a championship. stuart: you are a sports agent you want these mega salaries because you get your percentage, don't you? >> not necessarily. sandra: look what has happened to the yankees fans. they don't show up on their own

play-off games anymore because they expect to win. if there's a sign they're not going to the world series, they are out. they are screaming we have paid for you guys, we've paid for this championship, they think they rightly owe it. you go to a cubs game, every seat is filled because we have heart every single year. [laughter] >> you must be from chicago. sandra: i am, but i mean -- i think this money is just -- liz: you're saying new york fans don't have heart? >> i'm not saying that at all. liz: sandra is saying that. >> in this town there's a saying, if you're not first, you're last. stuart: do you agree with this one? american football is running away with sport in america. basketball, baseball, hockey down, football, way up, that's where the money is, that's where the ratings are, do you agree? >> absolutely. football is the number one spectator sport in this country. stuart: you only represent football players don't you? >> that is correct. [laughter] stuart: eugene lee always a pleasure. >> thank you. stuart: israel was only

mentioned once in last week's debate. you can bet it will come up tonight. israel's deputy prime minister joins us after the break. what does he want to hear from the candidates tonight? he is next. ♪

chances are, you're not made of money, so don't overpay for motorcycle insurance. geico, see how much you could save. stuart: a temporary tax cut for social security is very likely

to expire. now look at the price of oil this morning. we are below $90 a barrel, $89.61. we're in the middle of a big decline in gas prices. right now the national average is $3.66 down 12 cents in a week. as for the dow industrials, i'm still going to say we're flat, down 19 as we speak. remember, the dow was down 205 on friday. look at ancestry.com, this is a website that helps you learn about your family tree. a european private equity fund is buying the company, 1.6 billion dollars. offering 32 bucks a share. that will take them private. back in 90 seconds with the deputy speaker of israel's parliament. what does he want from tonight's debate? isk. but whether he's climbing everest, scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the marke he goes with people he trusts, which is why he trade with a company that doesn't nickel and dime him with hidden fees. so he can worry about other things, like what the market is doing

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isn't that the exact same thing ? it's pretty clear. still sticking with verizon. verizon. more 4g lte coverage than all other networks combined. stuart: a report in the new york times this weekend, saturday actually indicated that iran would hold face-to-face talks with the united states, but it would be after the election. joining the company from jerusalem is danny dannon, israel's deputy speaker. he's the author of israel, the will to prevail. all right, so welcome back to the program. it's good to have you on again. i want you to tell us what you think about that report in the times that america could hold face-to-face talks with iran after the election. >> it's great to be on your show again, stuart. i think that the u.s. administration must understand that they are buying time, they are using us, using our

democracy in order to buy more time. at the beginning talk about committee, then about inspectors now about direct talks but at the same time they are continuing to build a nuclear reactor. it is very similar to what happened in north korea. they spoke with everybody, but were busy building the bomb. we need to be clear with them and tell them enough is enough. we will not allow you to acquire nuclear capabilities, either the u.s. or israel will stop you from doing so. stuart: tonight in the foreign policy debate, president obama is very likely to say look sanctions are working. iran's economy is near to collapse. we should pursue diplomacy, not warfare. my opponent, governor romney, will take us to war. he will likely say something like that. and what do you say? >> i think that we have to look at the four years of president obama and ask him what are the results? what happened in iran in the last four years?

they've acquired nuclear capability, much more than before. they are ignoring the u.n. the obama administration is sponsoring the u.n. heavily, and i think it is about time that the u.s. would take a role. i don't mean that you would engage in another war but to take a role and tell iran enough is enough we will not allow it to happen. today ahmadinejad is laughing at the u.s. and laughing at israel and continuing to build the bombs. i think somebody will have to show some leadership. it will come either from washington or from here from jerusalem. stuart: when you say somebody will have to show leadership, do you mean military leadership? >> i mean that we will have to do whatever is necessary to stop iran. iran is not only a threat to us in israel, threat to the american people. listen to ahmadinejad, he said it very clearly, first i will go after the saturday people, but then i go after the sunday

people, people in the u.s. you cannot ignore iran. the capability is a threat to the region and to the u.s. as well. >> would you say that president obama is the favored candidate in israel? or do israeli people, not that they vote in american elections, but would they favor romney instead? >> well, i have one candidate that i endorse. that's prime minister benjamin netanyahu. we also have elections here in israel. but very specifically that president obama made a lot of mistakes in the middle east. when he came in june 09 to cairo and try to appease the muslim world, he made a mistake. when he put pressure on israel, he made a mistake. he made a lot of mistakes regarding his middle east policy. and i think today we see the results. we see what's happening in the middle east what's happening in libya, in egypt, in syria. you cannot appease the radical muslims. stuart: danny danon we always appreciate you being with us.

thanks for joining us. thank you very much sir. >> thank you very much, my pleasure. stuart: one last check with nicole. i see peabody energy is up and quite sharply so. do we have a reason for it? nicole: we sure do. they came out with numbers and earnings, basically outlook and revenue. the revenue is key here. topped more than what analysts had expected, seeing that rise there. you know, a lot of folks obviously have moved switching from -- over to natural gas as prices have been lower, but we talk about the environment going forward, and we are hearing that they are -- it remains a challenge, but they see markets stabilizing and gas to coal switching happening, europeans, that's good news for them actually. european coal fuel generation. and last but not least increase china infrastructure spending as well. all of that will help this type of company. stuart: i just wonder if peabody is politicized. is it in part because governor romney is coming on strong and would favor all forms of energy production in a romney administration? nicole: you bring up a great

point because that was something that came out of the first debate when we talked about that, and we're seeing those names higher again. when you talk about alpha natural resources, arch coal, and btu, peabody, it could be directly correlated. stuart: we will see. nicole thank you very much indeed. over the long-term, stocks housing or gold? are you a bull or bear on those three asset areas? you know how i feel about housing. what do liz and san dra think about stocks -- sandra think about stocks gold and housing? time to buy, maybe? three different investments, three probably different answers. coming up next.

stuart: i will call this a whole they are lightning round on the markets. both warfare on stocks long-term? >> bowl. that cash on the sidelines has to go somewhere. interest rates are at record

microscopic lows. people will have to come into stocks sometime. i would say buy on the dip. i have a lot of cash on the sidelines ready. >> that is one area i do not think to get worse. i do believe money is basically free right now. if you have the credit to get the mortgage, get it. we are starting to see that trend improved. i think it will get better. stuart: gold? >> bullish, long-term. i think they will pick up. stuart: let me rephrase all the last three questions. stocks, housing, old. let's suppose governor romney becomes the next president of the united states of america. then would you change your mind on stocks? >> no. i am bullish on stocks, but not

gold. >> buy stocks, by housing, so gold. stuart: why would you so gold? >> our currency would improve. there would be less of a need to own an alternative to the dollar. >> i agree. gold is basically -- who else will sell it to you at what price? it is not thorough dividends. >> if romney gets in, you want to own medals that are more tied to the economy. copper. stuart: let's turn it all around again. let's suppose obama gets a second term. >> nervous about certain stocks. certainly dividend stocks will get crushed as the fiscal cliff occurs. you have to watch out for that.

stuart: obama wins, housing does what? >> housing i still believe would improve. people are fearful of obamacare and taxes. i would be weary of the fact that the stock market goes up so much. stuart: gold, obama wins a second term? >> own it. >> bullish. stuart: fascinating. all right, everybody. the highlight reel is next. follow the wings.

you see us, at the start of the day. on the company phone list that's a few names longer.

you see us bank on busier highways. on once empty fields. everyday you see all the ways all of us at us bank are helping grow our economy. lending more so companies and communities can expand, grow stronger and get back to work. everyday you see all of us serving you, around the country, around the corner. us bank. stuart: here it is. the highlight reel. >> dead heat. >> you do not think this will be a dolt and boring debate. stuart: if romney keeps the momentum, he is the next president. >> two minute responses from each candidate. the moderator will attempt to lead the conversation. >> it took the president 14 days before he called the act in

benghazi an act of terror. >> they want the fog of war to clear. >> i will point out that is the same set up we had in the vice presidential debate. stuart: if governor romney keeps up the momentum, he will be the next president of the united states. that is my opinion, and you say? >> i do not think this will be a dull and boring debate. the last two i was on the edge of my seat. stuart: if they are not watching baseball or football. >> the gloves are coming off tonight. the fight over benghazi is so critical. i want to see how romney plays out. people are worried about national security. stuart: if he keeps up the momentum, he is the next president. >> he has a great go at it. stuart: dagen and connell, it is