6:00 p.m. eastern. if not, set the dvr, you don't want to miss a moment of "making money." monday morning with stuart varney. the guy who carries the torch from here on out good evening, everybody. the voters in virginia's seventh district gave the national pundit triand the team a surprise that not one of them saw coming. college professor ousting the seven-term congressman and the leader in last night's republican primary in a vote that wasn't even close. the congressman was beaten by an 11% margin after never getting closer to 11 points in any poll during any point during the campaign. congressman kantor's pollster was so far off the mark he had

the incumbent holding a 34% lead as recently as last week. the board of elections in virginia reported an increase in vote turnout over 2012. 18,000 more votes were cast last night and as you can see on the map on your screen, brat beat kantor in the precincts closest to the inner cities of richmond and suburbs. brat pulled off the surprise victory while in a major disadvantage in both money and endor endorsements. according to campaign finance data, kantor's campaign spent nearly t lly $5 million to brat $122,000. cantor spent more on state dinner. his big money donors include, the blackstone group, goldman sachs, oracle, credit swis and verizon communications. can you say establishment?

brat, mistakenly labelled a tea party candidate by much of the national media despite failing to win the backing of a single major national tea party organization. by the way, cantor himself is most closely aligned with the tea party or at least he was. brat told "the new york times," "i met with all of them, but everybody just wants to see the polls and how much money you raised. they do not know what's going on on the ground." and was he ever proved right? here is brat telling fox news how his honesty is conservative message delivered victory. >> i ran on rule of law, property rights. i ran on immigration. i don't think those are right and left issues. i think those are just free market constitutional issues. right now our political dialogue in the nation is just concerned with this right and left versus

debate and my entire campaign was built along a stump speech that took 20 minutes or so full of serious ideas and the people resonated with that. >> cantor critics point to his changing statement on immigration is just one of the main reasons for his surprise loss. the congressman has responded by claiming to be anti-amnesty. but has professed his desire to work with the white house and this president on issues such as the dream act and offered his support for a bill earlier this year that would have allowed illegal immigrants to serve in the arms services in exchange for citizenship. he also accused ofy taking attention from his district and accusation he refuted before blaming his leadership responsibility. >> i was in my district every week. so i, you know, there's a balance between holding a leadership position and serving constituents at home. but never was there a day that i did not put the constituents of the seventh district of virginia

first and i'll continue to do so. >> two of the best in the business analyze what this means for the republican party and these upcoming midterm elections. political strategist ed rollins and juan williams joining us to night. defense secretary hagel telling the house arms services committee that no one was killed searching for bowe bergdahl. randy ford questioned the secretary and he joins us here tonight. dr. dave brat, attacking congressman cantor and his positions on his way to a primary victory of historic proportions. here is brat on the issue of illegal immigration saying, "eric cantor is saying we should bring more folks into the country, increase the labor supply, and by doing so, lower wage rates for the working person. his policies make no sense."

and on corruption, "if i win, it will be the first time this century anyone's knocked out a majority leader. if you change that position, the shock waves will be heard throughout the country. it will give a lot of people hope. if i knock him out, i just fixed all the corruption at that high level." for more on the brat win and the cantor defeat and implications, i'm joined by former reagan political director ed rollins, columnist for "the hill," juan williams, both fox news political analysts. juan, let me start with you. the sense in that town has to be one still of shock. >> knockout punch, i say that with my boxing buddy ed rollins there. this is a moment where we didn't see anything. you know, you were mocking us as political class but it's exactly a deserving attack. the pollsters got it so wrong, they were 30 points out. i mean it was an 11 point win,

as you said. they had cantor or 30 or more up. a lot of the naem have big bucks in this town put their money behind cantor. that's how we end up with a 25-1 spending average. they all had cantor winning big. >> the idea that this -- by the way, i want to be very clear. i wasn't macking yocking you. >> that's fine. i'm a big boy. >> i would love to do it. in this case, i wasn't. >> there are plenty that mock us. >> sincerely, whether i said you are the reason you're here is because i have so much respect for your analysis and your thoughts and kind of like the both of you. ed, this is just perplexing to me that right now even knowing what happens in washington, d.c., every side of every issue

is now trying to devide what happened and taking the most favorable interpretation of their list of wants and needs in that town and making themselves a winner. >> the truth of the matter is people who live in richmond are 2 1/2 hours from washington, d.c., and they get to watch it closely. i think when they made a decision is eric cantor wanted to be a speaker. they found someone that were talking about boxing. this is like buster douglas knocking out mike tyson. any member of congress can be beat if they don't do the job. the millions of dollars he had, they could have done a voter id program. they could have do a poll nightly. they didn't do a poll in three weeks. they spent millions of dollars. they're not selling themselves and blowing up the other candidate and it didn't work. >> blowing up the candidate, and blowing up the issues here, everybody is talking about

illegal immigration. cantor was signed on 100% about it chamber of commerce. i don't think he can be criticized too strongly for making that allegation. the idea that eric cantor could hold himself up as an eally of the tea party while trying to push brat toward the tea party, if you will, label, is mind boggling. why would his strategist even think about doing such a thing? juan? >> well, you got to remember the tea party is not that popular if you do it nationally. if you go into his district in virginia, you know, they're still not that popular. but the key here, i think, was that he wanted to make brat unacceptable, an extremist, an after thought. >> but that's a silly thing to try to do that? >> turned out to be sillier. >> and calling him a liberal

college professor. >> which obviously is a foolish thing to do. >> eric cantor is a decent guy and ran a terrible, terrible campaign. and that's what the wholish sue going to be about that. we have to run different kinds of campaigns. we just watched romney run a campaign the same way. the sense is the big fancy tv commercials and consultants don't work anymore. grassroots campaign whether it's the tea party or volunteers or whatever. he has a very strong base down there. it turned out for brat and they're going to vote and they matter. >> illegal immigration. how important was it in outcome in your final and best judgment, juan? >> i think it's very important. laura ingraham, a talk radio host, made it a big issue. they were both behind brat. i think that the message from brat, obviously, was impacting the race. what you saw towards the end was that eric cantor then went to

advertising and direct mail on this point to say he's not for amnesty. i don't think that it could be sold even to the point of having a democrat from illinois come in and protest against cantor for not bringing the immigration bill to the floor.fn@y i think most people made the point cantor looks like he is trying to mislead the voters of the district from who he is, he is really a guy backing effortses including job boehner and the claim better to bring in cheap labor. >> eric tried to be both sides. he tridz to brided to bridge thy and what have you. he looked like he doesn't have standards. >> you're saying he sure he does. let me probe that a little bit. he is the darling of wall street. he's the darling of the chamber of commerce. he's trying to be the darling of the tea party. he's trying to tell constituents he's all about his home

district. he is absolutely committed to the leadership. he is a guy who took down the government in effect because he was the only guy who could introduce a bill last year and we saw what ensued. this is it a man who frankly doesn't look to be too firm and narrow on principle. >> i think that's what happened to him. i think at the end of the day he shut down the government. he opened up the government very quickly. i think to a certain extent, he wants to be all things to all people. it didn't work. >> wouldn't than nice if that turned out to be a -- >> it's a big, big tent but it's way too big for the people in my district. >> thank you. one more thing to think about. a national wave. honesty, truth, justice, the american way. is it time? dobbs for president! >> i got so much integrity i wouldn't think of running. >> who would have us on his show if he ran for president? we need dobbs right here. >> gentlemen, thank you so much. just when i told everybody how smart you guys were. come on. why did the obama administration exchange five radical islamist

terrorists for sergeant bowe bergdahl? congressman randy forbes growing defense secretary chuck hagel, defense secretary chuck hagel, looks like we're about to board. mm-hmm. i'm just comparing car insurance rates at progressive.com. is that where they show the other guys' rates, too? mm-hmm. cool.

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call. i supported it. i stand by it. >> my next guest today pressed secretary hagel on whether the military will put american lives at ris income exchank in exchan terrorists for sergeant bowe bergdahl. >> you said it here that if they rejoin the fight they do it at their own peril. my question is a simple one. would we put american lives at risk to go after them? yes or no? >> we have american lives put at risk -- >> i understand that, mr. ste secretary. will we put american lives at risk to go after these individuals if they rejoin the fight? >> will wiell, yes. >> joining us, congressman randy forbes. you are satisfied with what you learned from the secretary today

about the exchange? >> lou, we're satisfied that was their decision. we think it was a bad decision to make. i mean, lou, you got to realize what we released here. we released the equivalent of the deputy secretary of defense, deputy secretary of interior, deputy secretary of intelligence, governor and a commander and all of the asse assessments suggest that they'll be back on the battled fefield they go back, we'll put american lives at risk to get them. why in the world did they even make the calculation of how much risk we were going to put americans in to do that before they made this release? i think it was a bad deal. >> as the secretary responded, they did not make that calculation. and american lives are put at risk. those assessments also don't include a statement as to why it was necessary to be so urgent in the decision making and creating the exchange. did you get any part of that in

response by the secretary? >> lou, you got none of it. the administration just lied about this. they said they would not do it without consultation with congress. they did not live up to that promise. the second thing is they just broke the law. this administration got to the point where they feel like if they don't like the law, they're going to break the law. and then the secretary couldn't respond to any of those. what was even amazing, lou, is when they started talking about how they couldn't prosecute the guys. the worst terrorist we had at bai, we were going to have convictions from them or plea deals from them within six months from this administration came into office according to the prosecutor. the administration stopped that prosecution. we have not prosecuted them yet after five years. >> i want to turn quickly to eric cantor, the house majority leader's defeat and get your reaction and what you assume to be the likely impact both within

your state, two of most senior republicans remaining in the contest there. you and bob goodlaw. i mean your thoughts here? >> first of all, eric announced today he would be stepping down as majority leader it's end of july if they have an election for a new majority leader within the next week. that's going to be the initial impact that come from this. as far as virginia is concerned, we're resill yenlt. we'll continue to fight the principles that we've seen of this administration that we think is carrying the country in the wrong direction. >> i want to very quickly just press this one point. en that is as a member of judiciary, you guys put out four bills. i support the four bills as incremental and immediate immigration reform. they true leadership. will the leadership change its position and actually get behind those bills and create a program

based on them now? >> lou, i hope they do. i don't think they'll support anything else. we're not going to support this amnesty bill we see coming from the senate. we think it's the wrong direction. the big thing we see is you have no trust in this administration to enforce the laws once they're passed. i think it will be very difficult to get any immigration reform through the house of representatives. >> congressman randy forbes, thanks for being with us. appreciate it. >> thanks, will you. >> putin, chu, shin saky, my commentary next on howuch failure this nation can stand. keeping a billion customers a year flying, means keeping seven billion transactions flowing. and when weather hits, it's data mayhem. but airlines running hp end-to-end solutions

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do you ever wonder as i often do why anyone would ever take a job serving in president obama's cabinet? would you really want your name associated withcy bealous, chu, napolitano, holder? these are 15 heads of executive departments in the president's

cabinet who had a very rough go of it. so rough that seven of them have had to resign or have been under fire for their disastrous handling of their jobs. eric shin saky over the va scandal, kathleen sebelius over obamacare, there i said it, hillary clinton over benghazi, labors held over he is lease in scandals and homeland security's janet napolitano over immigration and tsa and customs enforcement and border protection and eric holder over fast and furious and the surveillance of journalists. and as we reported, it now looks as though the white house is trying to pin the bowe bergdahl terrorist swap on chuck hagel. so perhaps it's only a matter of time before hagel makes the obama hit parade. but it's these cabinet members who chosen poorly a president to

serve. not only do they not elevate themselves by being associated with the other cabinet secretaries of this president, their presence in his cabinet doesn't seem to matter much to their boss. otherwise, why would he simply ignore them? when he first took office in 2009, president obama held six full cabinet meetings. as you see there on your screen, those cabinet meetings have dwindled steadily each year. to just one held so far this year. why would anyone choose to be associated with such leadership, such failure? well now our quotation of the even, a little advice for our current president from our 44th. this quo indication from george washington, associate with men gf quality if you esteem your own reputation. for it is better to be alone than in bad company.

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homeland security jay johnson today was grilled over whether the president is the one to blame for the huge wave of n unaccompanied children crossing the border. there was a committee meeting today. >> this is a disaster made by the administration and only the president can correct it by sending the signals that these people should not be brought

here. and that the law is going to be enforced. in other words, the president must take responsibility. unfortunately, the administration does not seem to be prepared. it failed to propose any collusions that will prevent children from being put in this situation in the future. >> a member from the heritage foundation joins us now. i didn't think secretary johnson looked particularly respectful for interested in what senator grassley was saying to the man. >> well, i mean, look, this administration, jay johnson is now a part of, not only is not what they talk about, they say oh, yeah, we want to solve this problem. we want to solve this crisis. the fact is their policies have ignited this crisis. i mean what we see coming across the border in texas in, arizona right now, i believe is 95% in response to the fact that our laws that we have on the books, the administration is not inforcing to secure the border.

and then the new not law but executive orders, the president has come up with his own saying we're going to give those children some some case who's come here, we're going to delay deportation, that is encouraging people to come here in droves. >> they're pushing amnesty and to put it in context this is 1800 miles between the borders of honduras and guatemala and mexico. this is a strategy executed by the government of this -- of the united states and this administration in cooperation with the governments of central america. >> that's right. >> and with the government of mexico. so you're going farther than. this you have to say, it seems to me that, either president obama's directly responsible for this or there's not much to say. this is too important an issue for everybody to keep pussyfo pussyfooting around the issue. >> that's absolutely right.

he's absolutely responsible. he and his administration because they've done nothing to stop this, lou. and not only have they not done nothing to stop it, they've done things to encourage it. i argued in word and d, they encouraged more illegal crossings. the more you have, the more you're going to get. that's exactly what we're seeing. and let's be clear. these folks come across, i heard members of congress today saying well, they're -- and jay johnson saying these folks are misguided. the law isn't that they're allowed to stay here. forget what the law is if you're not enforcing it. they're being allowed to stay and we're giving them shelter while we find relatives many of who themselves are here illegally. then we're giving them bus tickets and plane tickets to meet up with the folks. then we're telling them in 15 days go and report to the local ice office so we can start your deportation process. do we really think a majority of the folks are going and reporting? no. they're not.

because our border control is busy with this other stuff. >> how stupid a country are we? first of all, that we get -- that we sit here discussing the impact of this as if this administration did not organize this result, this outcome and all of the political opposition to those who would open our borders, open up the floodgates to those who would simply create amnesty aren't winning and winning by a huge margin in the political contest. what are we doing here and how dumb are we going to persist in being? >> i think we have to make it very clear. i think the pictures that you saw coming out of texas and arizona this past weekend, many of which got out for the border patrol people were taking with the cameras and sending them out. >> that's the only way they got out. >> it's the only way they got out. i think people have to come alive on this issue and realize this is a crisis on the southern border. and, lou, it's not just a crisis

for america, as bad as it is that we're having to take this infl influx, it is terrible for these children that are coming in and the fact that it's not even -- >> everybody responsible for this crisis should be held accountable for exploiting the children in the most cynical, horrible way that i investor seen in the part of any government, any president in our country's history. thank you for all you do. plesh appreciate it. >> thank you. thank you for drawing attention to this issue, lou. >> longest day president obama and vladimir putin spent the 70th anniversary d day trying to avoid each other in normandie. lauren fox and michael goodwin on their relationship and what's next. ship and what is show me the carfax®

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what we're learning about -- well, the political scene in washington, d.c., and the direction of this country. joining us is lauren fox, political reporter with "u.s. news and world report". michael goodwin a fox news contributor. let me start with you, lauren. why do you suppose it is we're not seeing more reporting of referencing the outstanding report of rolling stone magazine and michael hasting? >> i think one of the reasons is that this is still very early on. and the white house has been very careful to defend its decision to get back sergeant bowe bergdahl. i think one of the reasons we're not hearing is that the white house got this information to leak out slowly. they're not interested in getting ahead of themselves

before sergeant bowe bergdahl is back in the united states and back with his family. >> they're so far behind them seflgz. they couldn't get ahead of themselves, could they? that couldn't be a remote concern for this white house bowe bergdahl exchange. they have been outranged about this. she really wishes the white house was aware previous to this exchange. i think it's fair for the president on both sides of the aisle. >> michael, your thoughts? the same question. there is so much in the public arena. this is such -- i mean the rolling stone article, michael hastings indepth. he said five would be swapped for bowe bergdahl. two years later, it's five.

talk about extraordinary reporting. >> we might ask why we need these answers. if hastings knew that, why didn't congress know that? >> there is no excuse for them not to have known, is there? >> certainly right. don't they have staffs who read rolling stone? >> i ask the same question of the national media. why in the world -- i mean there is so much -- i reference it again. my hat is off to "rolling stone." it did an incredible job here. michael hastings, he nailed it. >> and it's also unfair to ask them if, the white house knew any of this and it certainly should have if it didn't, how much was out there, what was known about bowe bergdahl? why did it try to re-create a template where it's a day victory, a day of celebration? so the president goes in the

rose guarden with the parents. susan rice goes and says served with honor and distinction? then the white house says we have to get him back because his health. he was in danger. >> can you believe this? >> none of these things ever appeared to be true right now. the white house is constantly on the defensive until they get the stories straight. >> are we to ever expect truth from this administration, lauren fox? >> i think that -- i think that -- >> what should we expect of them? >> i think the administration went to the rose garden, the president has defended that decision partlycomplicated this going to be in terms of the rollout. >> the rollout? the rollout? >> there is a discussion that has to happen about what's going to -- what is going to be the reaction on capitol hill. obvious lit white house wasn't telling members of congress what they were proposing to do. so i think that was part of the decision making process and going after the rose garden. >> go ahead, mike. >> but i just think whatever

their explanation, they look foolish. i mean no one is celebrating this. his own hometown canceled its welcome home ceremony. >> and that's extraordinary. >> yes. >> i mean that is sad. >> so how did the white house not anticipate any of this or did they think they could just get away with it? i mean the whole idea of susan rice saying he served with honor and distinction when there were written horreports that he deserted. >> and then tried haplessly, awkwardly embarrassingly to try to justify her words. she can only bring into context one of them. it was a lame reach and the other she dismissed. >> right. >> just because he enlisted voluntarily that is an honorable thing to do. but that is not what she said originally. he served with honor and distinction. well, this is a desserter. imagine yourself one of his colleagues. you know the truth. here is the president and the

secretary -- or the chief security adviser saying these things. i mean it makes you sick. you know the truth. >> think how you must feel in uniform today. the va scandal. the way in which our veterans are being treated. how you must feel that young men died going after a man who right now is a desserter. and in a white house in which the commander in chief has attack those who served with him. who question his loyalty to them and to their country. this is a horrible day to even reflect on these circumstances. >> and d day of all days for that to be happening. >> thank you very much, michael goodwin. lauren fox, thank you. >> thank you. >> bowe bergdahl, the va, border crisis, foreign policy failures,

has president obama desensitized our entire nation to his failures? psychiatrist dr. keith ablow next.

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we're here now to break down what pea what appears to be a desensitization by the american public and we'll be turn to dr. keith ablow to psycho analyze

this administration to the degree he can. psychiatrist, member of the fox news medical a team. >> thanks for having me, lou. >> this is strange to me, as i say to the outset, does this administration seem to not provoke outreach? no matter how outrageous its behavior. is there a new condition that gripped this country? >> i think so. i think the berth right of the administration came add mist the fear that evolved after 9/11. i think that people felt very much in peril. i think that president obama from the beginning said part of us needs to admit our wrongdoing to retreat from places where we have been too aggressive. and he's been consistent in that. the apology tour. and then assaults on capitalism. you didn't build that. the collective did.

so here we have a stockholm mentality. i think kmewe were command earey a fellow that doesn't embrace this country who questions the core of america. he's not sure of us at all. in fact, he's likely more likely than not somebody who deep inside is critical to an extreme degree of our character and people signed on in that in a self-hating way. we have to come out of that. this is a psychological morass where we're questioning ourselves and he's leading us to do that. >> as i follow you as best i can, you're saying that there is some sort of residual guilt across modern american society for transgressions, black, african-americans in our country. and i'm always stunned to hear so little discussion of what this country has done to free slaves. we talk about the 300,000 people

that died to keep them bound in chains. you don't talk about the 300,000 americans who gave their lives to free the slaves. >> to free the slaves, to end tyranny during world war ii. america's always been there. america always is the bastian of freedom and the world's court of last resort. but, listen that, takes work. that takes courage. and that takes putting yourself on the line. when somebody is says to the presidency, you neend do any of. that all you need to do is sit back, withdraw. don't express yourselves so much. it's attractive to people who question whether we can overcome tyranny, who question whether it's our place and say he has appealed to that and i think a very expert way. look at the hostage exchange. five -- five plus one, six people who question america's place in the world including the pow that was released.

this is a no-brainer for barack obama. people who think oh, well he must have miscalculated. no. he added up the numbers. five plus one equals six people who think negatively about america. by the way, it's seven. barack obama thinks negatively about america. how can the president -- no, that's what happened. we got scared. we elected somebody who didn't like us. >> and the price is a high one, isn't it? you talk about huge -- i don't know where this is going to lead. but it means at this point that this administration for all of the scandals is unwilling to speak the truth to the american people, fully, completely, openly. and it means that we, for whatever reason as you suggest, as a people, as a government, are not bringing the full force of our demand for the values that made this country great to be applied, to be respected across our government and our

society. >> if not us, then who? the truth is no one -- see, that's the answer that nobody really wants. the truth is no one. this is our place. we have to lead. and here we have the potential candidate for president hillary clinton saying what difference does it make? what difference does it make that you pedalled a false narrative to the american people and painted them as blameworthy in provoking a protest that got people killed? what difference does it make? how can you possibly be in fronts of the american people asking for votes after you porty us in that fashion. >> appreciate you being with us, doctor. the good news is all she's asking for is your folks to buy your book. >> so far. >> we'll see where it leads. >> sounds good. >> thank you very much, doctor. up next, california is experiencing earthquake frequencies not seen in 20 years. we'll be talking with a leading seismologist on what the science tells and whether earthquakes on

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lou: i want to get straight to a distinguished professor of psychics and geology at uc davis, the executive director of the collaboration for earthquake simulation. it is great to have you with us, professor. these tremor that's are being felt in southern california, i understand it hasn't been like this in two decades s this showing more activity and perhaps a big one that is always used in a vernacular? >> well, you can't really say one way or the other. all question do at the moment is predict or say probabilities. and so essentially what we find when we do our calculations is the mix of small earthquakes

cha changed. magnitude 3s. we did have this one magnitude 5.1 in california which we worry about a lot. >> that is in southern california, near los angeles. >> that's right. and it goes right under downtown los angeles. so that one is a particularly dangerous one. we did have the, you know, the april fourth 2010 baja, california, earthquake which was a 7.2. >> so while you deal in probabilities, you're also getting more empirical evidence than seismologists before your generation they had to survey and to analyze. what do you see when you look at areas that you think are going to be most vulnerable, most in jeopardy across the united states? >> well, you know, it's very interesting. the most seismically active

state in the u.s. right now is oklahoma. and that's because of the deep injection of fraccing fluids. their buildings are not built to withstand earthquakes. so they're at risk. the biggest earthquake they had there was a 5.6 in recent times. and that's pretty worrisome. >> and that fault line there, is that the new madrid area or is it a different system of faults? >> it's south of new madrid but a continuation of the gee logical structure. the most active faults. >> and you said as a straight forward matter of fact that it's a result of the fluid injections from fracking. you obviously believe that to be the case. what is your thinking about the areas where there is -- is it because it's a fault line that makes it especially so or is that a concern anywhere there is fracking in your mind?

>> so basically what it is, it's not the fracking per se. it's the reinjection of the fracking fluids into a deep rock formation. so what happens is you got a fault. there is some kind of pressure on it that wants to flip it wlachlt the fluid does is forces it apart and makes it easy to flip. >> and your last area of concern, you are more concerned with california as a state, north and south, or oklahoma or is there yet another area that we should be paying attention to or is oklahoma the most active, the most concerning? >> well, the big ka hoona would be the cascade zone off the pacific northwest. there was a magnitude 9 earthquake there that cause a tsunami very similar to the japanese tsunami in 2011. so we have no evidence to suspect that is going to let go any time soon. but it's been 300 years. >> professor, we thank you for being with us.

wish we had more time to be honest with you. i'm going to need to take this up in small doses over the course of the next few weeks. i hope you'll come back and keep us up to date. thanks so much. >> just . neil: this is what happens when you draw a line in the sand, you don't deliver, bad guys kick sand right back in your face. welcome, everybody, i'm neil cavuto. ever since president obama threatened syria over chemical weapons and did nothing, it has been down hill since. i think the whole implosion in iraq, this whole explosion in oil prices goes back to the moment that evil called the president's bluff. i really do. ever since the president failed to act on what he said, nuts the world over were very happy to do whatever the hell they want. it would have been better had he said nothing at