>> scott brown, kevin kelly, happy new year, mr. varney, "varney & company" starts now. stuart, it's yours. stuart: dagen, thank you very much indeed. donald trump does it again, he seizes the media moment, dominates the headlines and yes, frames the debate. this guy is good at politics, isn't he? good morning, everyone. did you see it? he held a news conference live on board his 757. he answers rapid fire questions and unveils a $2 million a week ad campaign and grabs hold of the infrastructure issue. i like to build, he said. i like to build under budget. have you ever heard that from any other politician? to the markets, and no, we're not making forecasts about next year. we're looking at 2015. amazon is the stock of the year, it's close to $700 a share today. and we're calling mcdonald's the come back stock of the year. we're at the full day and no--

and there were attacks planned on new year's eve and arrests in turkey, that's why there's a massive police presence across america: times square, the rose bowl, all potential terror targets and all heavily guarded. there's an ominous tone to u.s. celebrations this year, but "varney & company" is about to begin. ♪ >> this is serious and you need to know about it. massive flooding in the midwest. the mississippi river is expected to reach nearly 15 feet above flood stage tomorrow in st. louis which would be the second worst flood on record, almost as bad as the bad old days of 1993. officials say thousands of homes are threatened, at least 18 deaths over several days in missouri and illinois, they were blamed on flooding, mostly

involving vehicles that drove into swamped roadways. we've just received this footage out of st. louis, missouri. that is highway i-44 flooded, again, the mississippi river doesn't crest until tomorrow, but look at that, right now, in st. louis. that is a flood. and then we have a british couple they're being convicted of plotting terrorist bombings in london. they are radical muslims who prepared explosives for use in subways or a shopping mall. they were caught because the guy asked for advice on twitter. which target would be best, he asked? it's amateur hour, but it could have been a disaster. they have suicide vests. in turkey, police arrested two suspected members of an isis inspired terror group. they were allegedly planning bomb attacks and new year's eve. that's terror. quick look at your money. slightly lower on the markets.

you could see some selling to take a loss next year. that's a factor and so is this. oil is down. stocks moving in sync with oil, that's been the name of the game lately. $37 barrel on oil. as we head to new years, that's the average for regular across the country. you've got to get back to trump. seizing the moment on his private yet. talking infrastructure. roll tape. >> i love to build, when i build i like to build under budget. when we fix the infrastructure of our country, i want that to be under budget and it's going to come under budget because we have people who don't know what they're doing and we have politicians, it's going to be done in recent one not a cost 25 times overruns, where project that start out at x. some cost 20 and 25 times what they were supposed to cost. that's gross incompetence or theft or dishonesty or

something. stuart: who would have thought. who would have thought that donald trump would seize the issue of infrastructure, of all things? >> we might have thought that because it's a very smart thing to do. it's a popular topic. americans back in infrastructure. and secondly, trump has credentials here, one of the few things where he has a record of achievement in the political sphere. he's actually done this, built things under budget, including a public project here in new york city, the wohlman ice skating rink he's widely known for and we applaud our children got to skate there in their lifetimes. >> and this appeals to those in his corner, white middle age men, workers horrified at the loss of american jobs not all republicans, but people who want to hear the story, they want to hear they're going back to work, that we're going to spend money on project while they'll get jobs. sheer genius, more sheer genius.

stuart: he's going to do it right pan protect our money spending it efficiently and getting the job done. >> that's right. americans are frustrated. and we always hear how frustrated they are and in trump's corner. >> they're frustrated because you can't do anything about the cost overruns, about the excessive spending by government. he's empowering people. >> fascinating. stuart: listening to trump go after hillary playing the woman card. roll that tape. >> you bring up the woman cord i'm going to bring up the women card, too, and i'll bring your you husband and what happened with women and that's fair game. i wasn't going to, but all of a sudden she says i'm sexist and i don't like that statement and she mentioned it so i hit her back. >> always his excuse, they did it first so i'm retaliating. guess what i like this

approach. everyone tiptoes around the misleads of bill clinton while he was in the white house which were sordid and predatory. that was a word used by a washington post columnist, totally dead on. hitting on interns in the oval office, girls in their teens and 20's. when you're the president of the united states? it's appalling and by the way, let's put to rest the idea that hillary is a champion of women. when she talked about all the monica lewinsky scandal and all the other scandals as a vast right wing conspiracy, she was giving them no truth whatsoever. my guess is they were true, we all know they were true and by the way, it's gone on since, so this is a live issue in my book and it's perfectly fair game liz: the clintons have attacked and demonized the women victimized by bill clinton and they have spoke been that and hillary clinton recently gave a speech saying victims of sexual assault have a right to speak

out. not unless they're in the past. stuart: trump does it again. terror is in the news again. first off, ramadi, out of isis' hands, you go call that a win and coalition forces kill isis leaders connected with the november paris attack. look at this for a minute. >> over the past month, we've killed ten isil leadership figures have targeted air strikes, including several external attack planners, some of whom are linked to the paris attacks, others had designs on further attacking the west. stuart: all right, judy miller is here, knows a thing or two about this. the president is going to play this up as a win for his isis policy. is it a win for his isis policy? >> well, it's a better week than he had last week and in the previous weeks. it looks-- when you knock out ten top

leaders or so the military says, that's definitely improvement and the white house is just falling all over itself to say, you see? our strategy of careful, cautious, slow, but steady progress is exactly what's going to work. the problem is, this is what he should have done months and months ago or we wouldn't be in a kind of crisis mode where we have to have half of europe on la lockdown for fear of attacks. and we're on alert during our holidays, and syria, maybe or maybe not going to the negotiations table. stuart: you just brought this up and i think correctly so. afghanistan, that is a very different story. we've had people on this program the last day or two, people who know what they're talking about, that afghanistan

is about to fall to the taliban and win the whole country. we've got to release more troops there and keep bagram open. it looks like a tale of two countries. isis, iraq, maybe a bit of a win, afghanistan sliding down to disaster, what say you? >> which is exactly why general john campbell said we must keep 9,800 troops there through most of 2016. it's very, very important that the president back off on his extrication narrative now, and that's what the military is saying. we cannot secure afghanistan. we cannot keep our promise to the afghan people and to our own people to secure this area with only 5,000 troops. which is what the president wasn'ted. that's what i think, stuart, is on hold. it's not going to happen in 2016. not only is the taliban

researching. but you now have a three-way battle going on. afghanistan after all the blood, sweat and tears, is in danger and that's why the president has to back off of the strategy he's pureed relentlessly. stuart: and. stuart: and quietly he will. we appreciate you being here. >> happy new year to you, stuart. stuart: thank you. these are live pictures from valley park, missouri. river rescue is what you're looking at right there, someone is stranded on his pickup truck. fire crew on the scene. the ladder extended. there you see it, i think it's a gentleman, they try to get him off that truck. the mississippi river is going to crest, i think that's a correct use of the word, tomorrow. it's already 15 feet above flood level. it crests, goes further up

tomorrow. it's a serious subject liz: the highest level since 1993 for the mississippi river and flooding kills more people than tornados. that's why the situation is so very dangerous. stuart: that's a disaster and you're looking at it right now. i'm going to give you now something. change it, something entirely different. mike tyson trying out on hover board. looks good at first, there you go, riding steady and a couple of turns, actually, and there you go. >> i would say that's a valiant effort. >> i have a hover board, i love it. it's what i wanted, got it for my birthday and love it. >> do you use it in the grocery store? >> it's a $500 fine if you use it outside, it's appalling. i go kids who have gotten tickets, but i use it in my hou

house. stuart: okay, what a year for politics, 2015. you've got to say this. it was the gear of donald trump, wasn't it? a lot of others faded into the background. some of the most defining political moments of the here after this. >> i'm officially running for president of the united states and we are going to make our country great again.

>> i am officially running for president of the united states, nobody would be tougher on isis than donald trump. i will build a great, great wall on our southern border and i will have mexico pay for that wall. stuart: who could forget that? donald trump announcing his run for presidency. we have some more memorable moments from the past.

let's bring in charlie kirk, he's a young guy and we think he'll be president of these here united states one day. did donald trump's announcement, june 16th, you're watching, i know you were, did it inspire you? >> i don't know if it inspired me, but it definitely proved, i think, the status quo wrong. 2015 will be known as the year that things did not go according to plans and i think that donald trump embodies that. when he announced for president i said, come on, you're really going to gain support? he went against the entire status quo and he's been successful because of it. >> unbelievable. >> who would have thought that now, he would dominate almost every newscast everywhere in the country. who would have thought these things? >> i don't know. >> are you a trump supporter? >> no. >> if he's the candidate would you support him? >> i would, absolutely. if he's the candidate i would get behind it, but tell you what, he brings up topics and issues that need to be discussed and he's crushing

politically correctness which i think is incredibly important. stuart: and you're a politician, come on, charlie, i haven't made up my mind. speaker boehner stepping down, we've got the video, this is the moment he stepped down. charlie, were you glad to see him go? >> in many ways, i was. he was widely ineffective. i don't think he was a good spokesperson for the conservative type of coalition that was supposed to be putting forth reforms in congress. i think it's a good thing we have a younger leader in congress who i don't agree with everything that speaker ryan is doing, but again, it all ties together. donald trump, speaker boehner, the year where things did not go according to plan. who would have thought that a sitting speaker of the house would have resigned out of nowhere in the middle of session? 2015 was a year where things did not go the way they were supposed to go. stuart: trump was a shock,

boehner was a shock and how about this, the faltering of jeb bush, he was a one-time front runner and that's a shock to the political system. >> again, people thought jeb bush will be nominee, 120 million in the bank, no one, at least he'll be competitive in iowa i think he's at 3% and donald will remind everybody of that jeb is only 3%. 5%, new hampshire. and things went one direction and it went completely the other and the establishment is put on its heels. and it's been six months of political chaos. stuart: it's december 30th, 2015, have you started your campaign committee yet, the financing? >> 15, 20 years away. stuart: charlie kirk, great to have you on the show all year, you're a great guy. >> happy new year. stuart: thank you. california out with a new gun law. police will be able to ease

seize your private legally owned weapon without charges. yes, they can. details next. this is the one place we're not afraid to fail. some of these experiments may not work. but a few might shape the future. like turning algae into biofuel... ...new technology for capturing co2 emissions... ...and cars twice as efficient as the average car today. ideas exxonmobil scientists are working on to make energy go further... ...no matter how many tries it takes. energy lives here.

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and joined by 6,000 police officers, bomb sniffing dogs, the whole thing. up to a million people are expected to pass through the area, they will be heavily guarded. attention california gun owners there's a new law that says you can temporarily lose your legally owned gun based solely on word of mouth liz: it starts friday. basically says if a family member or the police think you will pose an imminent danger to yourself or somebody else, the family or police can go to a judge and get what's called a gun violence restraining order. it's basically a three-week timeout to assess that person's mental state. that person can challenge that court order. >>. stuart: i've got to say on the face it it sounds like intrusion into my second amendment rights, which it shouldn't do. on the face of it i can see how it might be a good idea for some people. >> in response to a shooting in

california where the parents complained he was acting strangely and they had a cache. and off that, they didn't restrain him. >> it's elliot rodgers who killed six people. >> this is the kind of thing that n.r.a. says it's the slippery slope, right? >> of course. >> and exactly, they can take away your priefly owned legal guns with someone else weighing in. the person has to appear before the judge. stuart: that's a good point, but opens up to gossip, doesn't it. he's acting suspiciously. >> i think they have to have hard evidence, posting things and the the like. stuart: hard evidence, that's hard to define objectively, isn't it? >> we'll see. california has already the

strictest gun laws and obviously the people in that state approve of this and will vote it in. we'll see what the actual developments look like and the n.r.a. is going nuts for sure. stuart: they have already, i'm sure. >> sure. stuart: mcdonald's pulling off the comeback of the year, that's my opinion and then we have amazon and i'm calling that the stock of the year. it's about to make a run right at $700 a share. we'll bring you the opening quotes and opening bell in just a moment.

>> look, it is not profits. what do you make? >> the momentum. i will move on to netflix. it is the biggest gainer on the

s&p 500 this year. all right. am i right in saying that this is the runner up stock of the year? >> i agree with you that it is the runner up stock. just like amazon has caught a lot of momentum. this is another six and a half billion dollar revenue companies that produces practically nothing in terms of profit. i think you stick with it. you get out and do take your profit. it is not a great company, as far as we are concerned. stuart: all right. dan, what do you say? >> i will agree with almost everything. if i own it, i will not buy more. if you do not own a stock you do if you get a sudden shock to the downside, it is probably worth

buying every time. it comes right back and it comes back stronger. >> actually, i like netflix. buy on the dip. i think that that is good advice. stuart: mcdonald's. i am calling this one the comeback stock of the year. the comeback stock of the year. you look at a company like mcdonald's. when something goes wrong, they did down. they try to find what to do. i do not think that that is the reason to jump up. >> making a good point there.

the hockey stick action starting in august is when mick donalds decided to have all day breakfast. three years of these problematic sales. hit the problem dead on. they face it squarely. stuart: you are a breakfast all day kind of dow. >> you should know that. stuart: let's not forget microsoft. up 20% this year. >> microsoft is one of those that has been off my radar. again, i will sound really cheap here. i am not buying at this level. i would like to see it drop back.

>> i want to hear. a consistent supporter of mine. are you still looking for $65 a share? >> love microsoft. a long, long time. i am calling for 65 on the stock. there is no reason not to own microsoft here. maybe a little bit of a dip. very comfortable with it. absolutely on target and on par with everything he said he is going to do. the trajectory is right on. >> it is a bad bet for ibm.

the downturn hitting its railroad businesses as well. this is only the 11th time since 1965 that it will have a down year. it will pan out later. the halo seems to be slipping. stuart: don't like his politics. that is simple. the europeans are saying global growth next year will be disappointing. >> she wrote a guest article. trade will slow. i was just thinking it was coming from her. that has been the story of the year for the markets.

it is just part of the slowdown that we will see. they will crack down on trolls in a big way. trish: someone who is posting abusive content did that is where this is really coming from. they will stop that. they will intervene and take it down. >> they say they will implement this new policy. >> it is a very difficult day to do. for this couple zac dimity. there was that activity here in the united states. a new bill that died in the

senate intelligence. they will not have to report that to law enforcement. stuart: we are eight, nine minutes into the trading session. we are going straight to the new york stock exchange. chesapeake. chesapeake energy. we have never seen anything like this. down 7.4% today. this company, let me tell you. trading at $0.25 on the dollar. now $3.56. the whole sector in trouble, as you know. very loud in here today. 76%. down 71%. what a mess, stuart.

>> yes. what a mess. here is a look at oil right now. it is the commodities story of the year. you know the oil market. it is broken good all the way down to $36 a barrel. is it going to break all the way down to 29 or 30? that is the key question. >> you are seeing it now. i think oil prices continue lower. the saudis created this with this game of chicken. now, they cannot really control it. nobody wants to cut production. the non-opec countries do not want to discuss production either. prices continue lower.

this market is going lower. >> you have to tell me about natural gas. it is that an extraordinarily low. good news for people like me. do you think that that price, 225, is that going to go down more? >> it comes down to storage levels. the midwest uses mainly natural gas. just not enough to really make a dent. piling into this market. we continue to have a cold winter. not enough to make any real impact.

stuart: the only guy that will dress the oil and gas markets to make us really understand. check that big board. down 47 points. how about this. robots. more realistic than ever. they want her to look after your kids. china coming after american technology companies with a new anti-terror law. more on that in a moment. ♪ [vet] two yearly physicals down. martha and mildred are good to go. here's your invoice, ladies. a few stops later, and it looks like big ollie is on the mend.

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stuart: look at that. a university in singapore has created the most humanlike robot. she is named nadine. she can also remember the people she has met and their conversations. scientists hope to use nadine as a personal assistance or a companion for the kids and elderly. this is all in the future, of course. moving on swiftly. technology for firms now forced to hand over sensitive encrypted information shared including private messages. gordon chang is here. this is a direct threat to american companies.

hey, you, microsoft, start, apple, open up. >> absolutely. they will get the encryption keys. they will be leaving everybody messages. they want to give it to chinese companies so they can better compete with the microsoft stand out. did reducing its dependence on foreign technology. >> at the moment, apple, for example, uses high-end encryption. we cannot hit into this. we cannot take this. is china going to say we want in? >> they will definitely do that. largely because they believe they can impose their standards on companies.

they can force them on entering the china market. especially when apple was given an opportunity on china's rules. it refuse to do something. tim cook, apple's ceo. stuart: are the american companies going to cave and say we have to do business in china? >> there is a real risk. period. stuart: which administration? they have to put pressure on china. quit. knock it off. do not do this. >> china will go through with ease and christian roles. they cannot do business with american companies. i hope that they will enforce it. this is important for american companies across the board.

>> will america enforced that? >> probably not. this will be a case-by-case forecast. >> if china gets in, they could be radically read my messages to you in america. >> happy new year. there has been a 101% increase in the number of illegal miners crossing the texas border into mexico. up 101%. congressman from texas. favorite guest on the show. he is here to explain this in the next hour. then we have peyton manning. still considering a lawsuit. more on that in a moment.

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stuart: that is tons and roses; right? reuniting for the coachella usenix festival. a lot of people said they are very excited about this. ashley: it is looking good. stuart: guns and roses. cheryl: the first time they were united and 22 years. stuart: checked the big board for me. the dow is down 25 points. the price of oil coming down. that is why stocks are down. 36.85. a spokesperson for peyton manning says the tv network is backtracking from its report on human growth hormone and peyton manning. he has not ruled out the possibility of suing.

first of all, katie, have to straighten this out. never said peyton manning uses homing growth -- growth hormones. >> well, probably needs to go back and check the transcript of this report. i watched this investigative report. peyton manning, his wife ashley was coming to the clinic after hours. that hgh was shipped to him all over the country, but under her name. maybe they did not say he took it, but it was shipped to him. i think that that is a problem. stuart: okay. point taken. why doesn't peyton manning flat out sue?

>> if you sued, everything came out in court did anything that they want to put in court, they put in court. >> under the discovery process all of it comes out. he wants to vindicate his name. he might sue. as a public figure, he has to prove actual malice. reckless disregard for the truth. coming forward and actually recanted. on youtube, he lied here at he lied about involving peyton manning in any of this. peyton manning has been very circumspect about his wife ashley. he has not actually stated that his wife did not receive hgh. stuart: if he goes to court, if jesus, the privacy of the relationship of his wife, that

all comes out. privacy gone. >> it does. making it an issue. an actual place that is an antiaging clinic where they ship out the hgh to peyton manning or his wife. they have actually argued violated have bylaws. peyton manning has also put it out there. it is difficult. stuart: you do your homework for us and we appreciate that. thank you very much. >> absolutely. the obama administration spying on israel. joe lederman is with us. he is here in new york with us. in a moment. amazon. very close to $700 a share. the second hour of arnie and

company is two minutes away. ♪ ...

>> hour two "varney & company" 10:00 eastern. donald trump held a news conference on board of his private jet announcing a $2 million ad spending program per week and unveils the infrastructure plan. trump knows how to work the crowd and the media. huge increase in unaccompanied miners crossing the border. more aggression from iran launching rockets in the straits of hormuz, missing an american aircraft carrier by less than a mile. how about that? i think it's safe to say, it's my opinion, shares of amazon up since january. there you have it. hour two of "varney & company" starts now. ♪

breaking news, just crossing the wires. sources telling the associated press that bill cosby will be criminally charged in the investigation of an alleged sexual assault dating back to 2004. that just crossing the wires now. and after being battered by severe storms, central states are dealing with historic flooding and i mean historic. there are concerns that five major rivers will overflow straight into the industrial southland. evacuations have started in some states. an estimated 49 people have been killed in the past week during this severe winter weather. countries around the world upping their security in preparation for new year's eve. london authorities say there will be increased police presence for their facilities after a british couple arrested, charged with planning a big bombing on the underground or at a shopping

mall around new year's eve. in turkey, two men arrested for plotting a bombing in the capital city of ayn ankara. and the ball drop in times square, there's an ominous tone, i should say, to the celebrations this year. donald trump on his private plane, 757, last night he says he's going to spend $2 million a week on new ads. that's a first. and he gave us a taste of what's to come. watch this. >> isis has claimed responsibility. >> the ability to produce fraudulent passports. >> explosive devices rigged. >> okay, everybody, i've got to get to "star wars." stuart: that's pretty direct, isn't it? liz, that's a days of the $2 million a week ad campaign that's still to come

liz: there's more to come. he's going to cover the pourous borders, trade, isis, national security and this roll out of ads. stuart: cheryl, what we just saw there was a taste, but that was different from your regular political ad, wasn't it? there's a tone to it. >> i think it had a little bit of the tv excitement spin that i'm sure mr. trump and his team have learned in his years on being on nbc and entertainment business, using it to their advantage. stuart: let's check the big board. this is wednesday morning everywhere in our listening and viewing area. breakfast time in california. the price of-- we've got down 35 for the dow and the price of oil is down, actually oil is down about a buck now. 36.85. that's been the case several days in a row. we've got oil down, stocks down. that's what happens. amazon, very close to $700 a share. 688 to be precise. we're calling this the stock of the year. and the company of the year,

more on that later 687 right now. and saying that iran has tested missiles that came within 1500 yards of u.s. naval ship. actually i believe it was an aircraft carrier. look who is here. senator joe lieberman. senator, welcome to the program and an honor to have you. >> thank you, stuart. stuart: you opposed the iran nuke deal and now this. what do you make of this? >> it's hard not to see this action of the iranians as an intentional provocation. they knew the u.s. carriers was going through the straits of hormuz in international waters so it's another piece of an argument that says that the administration's faith, if you will, hope that signing a nuclear deal with iran would loosen up iran, would make iran more moderate, was not based on fact. in fact, since the agreement the iranian regime has gone out

of its way to put its finger in america's eye. stuart: we're stuck with it, nothing congress can do about it as far as i can see. >> well, they can if they want. the president is, will the president veto what they try to do. really, there has to be pressure now on the administration to make sure that iran keeps the word that it gave in this agreement. as bad as the agreement is, iran made some promises, but not keeping them. the whole investigation at the international atommic energy agency did, whether they had potential military developments of their program. we've settled for an incomplete investigation. the iranians testing of nuclear missiles, ballistic missiles, contrary to u.n. resolution, we're kind of turning our eyes away from that. if we do that, the iranians will do what i feared all along they would do which is to cheat. they will get the $150 billion to strengen themselves and

terrorist proxies. stuart: we're stuck. there's knowing you can do about this. as you say, congress could do something about it, but it would be vetoed by president obama. >> likely vetoed. stuart: we're stuck. >> this is another issue that ought to be debated in the presidential campaign because the next president, whoever it is, can change this agreement. stuart: i don't mean to speculate, but what do you think that trump would say about the iran nuclear deal. >> this is a family friendly hour. stuart: yes, it is. >> he'd say to heck with it, i think, i think. [laughter] >> and the nsa allegedly spying on conversations between israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu and u.s. lawmakers like yourself. how do you feel about that? >> well, look, this is a little bit like the scene from cast is a blanca. stuart: i'm shocked. >> it's not shocking, but accidentally, gambling at rick's place was illegal. [laughter]

and this is wrong and it will have adverse consequences on our relationship with good allies, not only israel, but appears we're still eavesdropping on some conversations with germans and french, too. and it also has adverse con consequences on congress. congress will want to investigate it and they should. and it will have adverse consequences on the nsa, brought into what i call a political battle over legislation in the u.s. congress when really, what it ought to be focusing on 100% is protecting the american people from radical islamist terrorists. stuart: i'd like to see us be realists. everybody spies on everybody else. they always have and always will. you've got to do it and i'm all in favor of it. are you with me? safe for you to say, senator. >> the question, it takes me back to rick's place. and this requires discipline by

leaders. remember, president obama said that after the flap when it was discovered that we were listening to merkel's phone conversations we weren't going to do it again, but there were some exceptions and he invoked the exceptions here, everybody does it, but honestly, if you're found out there are adverse consequences and assuming the story in the wall street journal is true, it has a ring of credibility to it, then there are a lot of adverse consequences for us. i think the administration has to draw some clear alliance. there's splitting of hair in this article where the administration says, oh, my god, we're listening in on conversations the israelis are having with members of congress, we can't do that so we won't tell the nsa to do that, but we won't tell them not to do that. well, there's no such line. if you're allowing it to happen, it's happening and when it comes out, the administration is accountable. >> senator, would you just hold on for a second?

i've got to deal with a breaking news situation on bill cosby, i want to bring you back in just a moment. it's now official, bill cosby charged, cheryl, criminally. cheryl: this is the first time he's been criminally charged. lots of civil suits. he's been charged, aggravated felony assault, this is stemming from a case over a decade ago he allegedly assaulted a temple employee she told police at the time she was drugged and raped near her home-- his home, excuse me, near philadelphia. it's coming out. pennsylvania originally said they did not want to pursue this, but new evidence came to life in his civil case and about a dozen women came forward against cosby. this they've reopened the investigation and there's a warrant issued for bill cosby in pennsylvania. stuart: and the word is criminal, that's the deal,

ladies, thank you. i want to bring back senator lieberman here. i want to talk to you about donald trump. you may or may not wish to talk about donald trump. he's going after hillary clinton via bill clinton. at the end of the day when donald trump does that, does hillary win or lose, in your estimation? >> i don't know. i mean, actually, donald trump is remarkable happening in american politics and he didn't just come out of nowhere. he is the result of a lot that's been happening in our politics, the increasing disdain that a lot of people have for people in washington because they're not getting anything done, the nastiness of our political discourse and he steps into it and he's kind of a vehicle for people's anger, so he sees the possibility that secretary clinton is going to accuse him of sexism, she did. and his response is an immediate counterattack, right

to president clinton and his personal problems. i hope we don't have too much. it's because it's not what the campaign ought to be about. the campaign ought to be about how are you going to protect the american people from terrorism. how are you going to get the economy going even better than it's going. stuart: with you all the way, but trump bursts forth in other ways and he's winning. >> he's the result, what is i'm saying, stuart, is the direction in which american politics has gone for the last couple of decades. stuart: are you still a democrat? >> yeah, i'm a registered democrat, i call myself an independent democrat, i make up my mind every election. stuart: the party left you behind? >> i joined the party to give you a sense of my antiquated age. my hero was john f. kennedy. it stood for capitalism, strong defense. muscular foreign policy. we're not there then. senator kennedy supported,

would you believe, it's shocking, a cut in the capital gains tax. stuart: we had a boom the thereafter. i'll see you soon. up next, donald trump, the show continues. yes, more varney after this and trump. we live in a pick and choose world. choose, choose, choose. but at bedtime? ...why settle for this? enter sleep number, and the lowest prices of the season. sleepiq technology tells you how well you slept and what adjustments you can make. you like the bed soft. he's more hardcore. so your sleep goes from good to great to wow! only at a sleep number store, find the lowest prices of the season. save $600 on the #1 rated i8 bed, plus no interest until january 2018.

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>> all right. a very small loss for the stock market after the dow industrials, we're down 33. a much bigger loss for the price of oil, look at that, there she goes, 1.21, a 3% drop, that's at 36. market watcher, michael boyle, come in, please, i want some dividend stocks, that's a recent play and you're telling me that procter & gamble is a dividend player? i never think of p&g as a dividend stock. >> well, if you look at it, stuart, it has a reasonable dividend. a little over 3.3%. one of the other things that we

like about that is in the consumer staples area and we're in a very old stock market here. it's close to the third longest that we've had in 1900. the dividend has been growing at per year and lower volatility and good growth rate makes it an attractive area. and altria, what's the yield on the dividend yield on altria. >> you're picking up just a little over 4%. a little over 3.9% like-wise, a good growth rate there on the dividend of about 8 to 9 the%-- percent per year and it's helping that when your customers are buying back over a billion dollars in stock in a 18 month time frame as well. it has a great stability to it.

>> 3.3% on png and that beats a bank cd by a country mile. that's a huge win. how about amazon? we've been saying, i've been saying, this is the stock of the year, 2015. i want your opinion on that. not as a dividend play, obviously, there's a capital gains play. >> definitely not a dividend payer at all. but amazon has gone from back in 2012 losing money, making about 1.50 this year and is expected to go up by 200% next year. the stock up over 100% on the year. however, when you look at its valuation, it trades at a p.e. of over 900. so, it is a good company, and it does have very good growth to it, but it also goes back to the old saying of there is no investment that is so good that price doesn't matter. so, the price having gone up as much as it has, i'd be pretty cautious at this point. because, earnings will

eventually start to slow down. something we've seen the same cycle with apple and wal-mart and others. >> we shall see, what a stock, what a company, actually. >> thank you for joining us and we wish you a happy and prosperous new year. >> thank you, stuart. >> all right. back to you know who? who else could it be that we go back to? yeah, back to donald trump, he continues his attack on hillary clinton by bringing in bill and his sexual history. come on in, margaret clifton, a democrat consultant. welcome to the program. >> thank you, happy new year. stuart: now, okay, trump goes after hillary by going through president clinton and his sexual escapades. does hillary win or lose in this attack mode situation from trump? >> well, this, to me, says that trump is out of things to talk about and running out of things to attack her on, this is digging back more than 15 years ago. look, i think the public is

exhausted by that particular topic. we've been there, we've done that and frankly, i think how she handles it is going to speak everything. everything about hillary's run so far has been an endurance test. you look at the benghazi questionnaire, the 15 hours of questioning by congressional and trump going after her trying to probe her with lots of different things. to me it's another. stuart: so she wins? hillary wins? >> i think she wins by handling it gracefully. stuart: trump is going to come out there and say it was hillary who attacked the women who were sexually assaulted by bill clinton. i mean, where does that leave her? >> i don't know, i'm not understanding that angle there, but again-- >> you're not? look, hillary clinton sat through her years in the white house enduring bill clinton's dalliances with various women and she went after those women

and insulted those woman and she had them followed and made nasty comments about all of them. that's not going to come out again? this is what the woman does? >> well, you have to rook look at the power of the women's vote and most women felt empathy for hillary clinton than anger at her being incensed by had he her husband's activity. the fact that she endured and didn't let it get her down is a testament to her own power and strength and rise above and frankly, make her own career. again, i think that people have vetted-- you also have to look at it this way. it's a different day in 2016, for better or worse, people's judgment about their personal indiscretions is different than it was say back in 2009 or-- or 2000 and 2000 when this was all going down. and i don't know how the public will judge. you could also run, you know,

donald trump through the wringer on his personal life and wives and all of this. stuart: he did tell a reporter yesterday, he would be open and discuss his own personal discretions. he'll do it. >> that's a smart move to get in front of it. again, this was not hillary's doing, it was her husband's and i don't think she will be judged by her husband's actions, again, so long ago, it's a new day and what they're looking at is how she reacts and so far her not reacting and handling it with strength played well for her and i think it will continue to do so. stuart: we like to hear from you, no, no, we do. love to have democrats on the show. >> and independents. stuart: are you an independent? >> i actually am, but, you know, people like to call me a democrat, but i also vote by election. stuart: wait a minute, you're a former consultant to the obama campaign and you're independent. >> i've spoken on both sides of the aisle.

stuart: with the republicans? >> well, we can go check out by my bio on-line and i've worked-- >> with you republican did you consult with. >> i did consulting work under the bush administration as well in different agencies, not directly to him or his campaign, but i did do work under his investigation. proudly so, happily, though. stuart: okay. thank you very much for joining us. come back next year, okay? amazon, i keep saying it, stock and company of the year. mcdonald's, the comeback story, yes, microsoft gets an honorable mention as well. my take on all of that is next. this is the one place we're not afraid to fail.

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>> the number of unaccompanied minors crossing from mexico is doubling in the past year, the congressman on that coming up. and bombshell report. obama administration spying on allies and congress members, too. amazon is the company of the year, too, we're supposed to offer you a forecast for 2016. i find at that pointless, nobody knows what is happening in stocks next year. i don't trust many of those making the forecast. amazon is there any other company whose stock more than doubled this year? namely, but no other company

came to dominate in so many areas, cloud computing, streming, drone delivery and how about amazon prime. a quarter of all households have it. amazon has become synonymous with big, good, fast, ground breaking and frankly, brilliant. how about the comeback stock of the year. my candidate is mcdonald's. it went down to 87.50. it was written off as old, tired and irrelevant. that was wrong, the stock bounce back 50%. all day breakfast clearly helped and so did the absence of e. coli. take that, chipotle. well while we're on stocks of the year, at&t, telecom, as it was called, was steadily and reliable. it pays nearly 5%.

cd's, i'll call it a strong performer in the dividend class. i hope you can find the amazon's, mcdonald's and at&t's of 2016. p.s., i even microsoft stock, i it did well. i'll give you honorable mention as runner up of the stock of the year, the company of the year and the comeback stock of the year and i'm still not selling.

....

usaa makes me feel like i'm a car buying expert in no time at all. there was no stress. it was in and out. if i buy a car through usaa, i know i'm getting a fair price. we realized, okay, this not only could be convenient, we could save a lot of money. i was like, wow, if i could save this much, then i could actually maybe upgrade a little bit. and it was just easy. usaa, they just really make sure that you're well taken care of. usaa car buying service. powered by truecar. online and on the usaa app. stuart: we have breaking news on oil. it really is affecting the markets. up by 2.6 million barrels. that is a lot. the demand for home heating oil is down. that is what a warm winter will do for you.

3648 auto oil at the moment. down a sharp $1.39. as oil goes down, stocks go down a little bit more. up 65, hundred points. oil down, stocks down. we have a lot more oil in the supply pipeline. the department of homeland security says there has been a 101% increase in the number of minors crossing the texas border just over the past year. the number has doubled. congressmen, welcome to the program. nice to have you in new york. what is a guy in texas sting?

i thought we had been told we had control about order. the number of youngsters crossing it has doubled this year? >> i am glad you are covering it. so many are not anymore. this administration and the united states, really, we are code listed in homes being destroyed. it is because of this shiny object. if you can just make it to texas, then homeland security will ship you anywhere in the united states. you tell them you are unaccompanied. i have better all hours of the day and night. it is tragic. we also know that there is a certain percentage of those schools.

i was hearing this week that there is outreach to girls that i've been pulled into sex slavery. as young as six years old, stuart. this is a disaster. stuart: i am told i am in human if i say this is wrong. we should not have this influx of youngsters. i am the inhumane guy. i think that it is the other way around. >> absolutely. there is a land of oz up there if you can just get there. i have been there. i have seen how it works. they talk pretty openly. they have to converge and process. and then they have a watchman in other areas. they, up. those are the ones they do not

want to have caught. we also know, two-four times that many make it in without being picked up. it has to be stopped. stuart: donald trump said i will build a wall. give us your opinion. i will build a walk. as we know i wall is 75% feared that works in israel. it can work here. do not a border that we can defend. that includes the north. refugees that are not vetted as well. stuart: a fence north. between canada. 3000 miles.

>> we appropriated billions of dollars. the obama administration, it you know what, we will just not do that. she just decided not to do that. people are being harmed. one thing is happening, fundamentally transforming america in the process. stuart: you cannot do anything about it in the next year. >> yes, we can. stand up as members of congress. make it a law. it is what the democrats did in vietnam. we need to stand up and do it. >> you have not been able to do that. >> we are able, it is just we have not been willing. jill with paul ryan.

>> i did not vote for him. we have major differences. he will do what majority of the party feels we should do. stuart: you know that. always a pleasure to have you. thank you. you are in new york city. great pleasure. great to be with you. stuart: check the big board. the reason for the slippage is the price of oil has fallen. we have a report. a lot more oil in storage. down goes the price. now my next guest is one of the sharpest critics of president obama's isis strategy. iraqi forces did retake romani. it has been announced that 10

isis leaders were killed. lieutenant general is with us. old friend of the program. welcome back. good to see you. >> thank you for having me, stuart. stuart: i am re- characterizing the retake. a pretty good week for president obama. you are a big-time critic of the president. >> i would say it has been an excellent week. why did you not do it sooner. it shows the precision with ground forces. they killed 10 high-value targets, as we call them, isis leaders, in this particular attack feared shaking the

battlefield in july. they made the push with the ground forces, that meant 800 had either been killed or they got out because the precision air power. that is a very good tactic. stuart: on the other hand, if it was a good week, it has been a terrible week in afghanistan. now we have a general saying we have to keep more troops there. we have people on this program saying not too long before the taliban wins and takes control of the whole country. afghanistan is a very different story. >> not looking good, stuart. you are absolutely correct.

campbell's desire to keep 9800 troops are more, to bring more and, i think the administration should support. we do not want to have afghanistan go in the direction that iraq and syria with beard. stuart: that would be a complete reversal. >> absolutely. is he going to try to keep stability in the region? stuart: if we were to be it ran out of kabul, that would be a disaster for president obama. i would suggest he is likely to agree to more troops staying there. hold the line at lease for another year. last 10 seconds to you, general.

>> i agree with you. stuart: sir, a pleasure to have you with us. we wish you a prosperous and healthy new year. >> same to you. stuart: the sector report. have to look at amazon. online shopping. they still dominate that. stop of the year. runner-up for stock of the year. how about netflix. the biggest percentage gainer on the s&p 500 neared 50% up from its low. all breakfast all day. no e. coli. [laughter]

that was a nasty comment. >> the obama administration spying on our ally. israel and members of congress. we've got it for you next. ♪ we live in a pick and choose world.

choose, choose, choose. but at bedtime? ...why settle for this? enter sleep number, and the lowest prices of the season. sleepiq technology tells you how well you slept and what adjustments you can make. you like the bed soft. he's more hardcore. so your sleep goes from good to great to wow! only at a sleep number store, find the lowest prices of the season. save $600 on the #1 rated i8 bed, plus no interest until january 2018. know better sleep with sleep number. >> from the floor of the new york stock exchange. i am gerri willis with fewer fox business brief.

down a quarter of a percent. the nasdaq down. oil is bringing all of these indexes down. oil down 3%. let me tell you about the dow losers today. intel down almost 1%. pep boys doing extremely well this year. a $1 billion purchase price from car alike on. helping dramatically this year. more varney after this. ♪

stuart: and a lot of us have been enjoying the warmer winter weather. ski resorts have been hit pretty hard. jeff flock is in wisconsin. >> you know why there is a lot of snow here. the first day that they will actually be able to make snow. that is essentially what it

looks like when you have compressed air and water. you stand over in that. it is a little bit like standing in a blizzard. sometimes we like that. >> this is the first time we are really getting good weather. we see it re- times already. what slopes look like, stuart. as far as the eye can see. usually open on thanksgiving. this year, open tomorrow. pretty amazing. stuart: jeff flock. part of the best demonstration. jeff flock, we will be back to you. an essay has indeed been spying on conversations.

u.s. lawmakers from new york, i will point out again, the only jewish republican in the house. it is possible you are conversations were listed into. how do you feel about that? >> for the obama administration to somehow relate what may be in the national security of our country somehow having anything to do with what is the president's personal political security, i am concerned that there are orders given that go higher than the nsa. it is of great concern that my conversations between whether it is prime minister, the u.s. ambassador, the israeli ambassador to the united states,

that these conversations were listed into. i would like to know how far up the chain this goes. >> there will be an investigation, i suspect, into congress. >> there should also be a special investigator by the department of justice. i do not see how there are not members of the obama administration not implicated for conduct that really never should have taken place in the first place. stuart: we have a report of iran firing missiles. that puts them into perspective the whole iran nuke deal. what do you make? the real question is, it is a done deal.

>> i would say it is not even a deal. you talk about this. the fact of the matter is, on so many different levels, the refuting of the obama administration saying we can expect military sites. collecting their only on soil samples. the list goes on. there really is not even a deal. unilateral concessions being made. stuart: i am sorry we cut it short today. we do appreciate you coming on the show on short notice. >> thank you. stuart: report on hgh. still considering a lawsuit against that network. we are on that one.

2008 miss america will join us next hour. who is sexist? hillary clinton or donald trump. that is next. ♪ at's not going to happen. (applause) announcer: one candidate tough enough to take on isis. jeb will destroy isis... and keep america safe. jeb bush: the united states should not delay in leading a global coalition to take out isis with overwhelming force. announcer: tested and proven leadership matters. jeb bush. right to rise usa is responsible for the content of this message. some of these experimentse're notmay not work.il. but a few might shape the future. like turning algae into biofuel... ...new technology for capturing co2 emissions... ...and cars twice as efficient as the average car today. ideas exxonmobil scientists are working on

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shutting their doors today. to the question, where are they going to go? >> toys "r" us is looking for new space here. there was a line outside. some of them were pretty sad that toys "r" us is closing up shop. >> it is sad that everything is going away. >> cheryl, the toys "r" us is clearing out. some of it costing up to $2500 per square foot. it has been a pretty tough environment. they may not hit their holiday target. that comes after three years of revenue decline in a row.

it looks like it is going to be gap and old navy. gap plans to move in sometime in 2017. those plans are now taking shape. looking for new real estate around the area. >> it will be missed by a lot of new yorkers. joe, thank you. coming up next, donald trump preparing. it could transfer the rates to the white house. we have donald trump spokesperson at the top of the hour. peyton manning still threatening to sue over allegations of using hgh. right or wrong, the reputation is not on the line.

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stuart: classic, trump last night. he held a news conference. he answers questions. rapid fire. another free publicity goes to the donald. this guy is very good. here is something he did very well last night. he confronted an issue. framing the debate this back issue. the issue, infrastructure. to most politicians, that is code for more spending. that is very different. i love to build. i like to build under budget. he framed it right there. he has building experience.

hillary or bernie, can they match that? he went on. projects start at x. we are going to and all of that. from trump, that is believable. they could build a road or a bridge on time or under budget. how many have any experience of building on time and under budget at all. infrastructure to them is just buying votes. saying the right thing to please a constituency. trump has only been a politician for a few months. he is really good at it. in a few sentences, he laid out his views on infrastructure. now, hillary and bernie have to respond to it. i am dying.

trump has made politics fun. 2016 will be great. ♪ let's get right at it. donald trump had a pretty impressive press conference last night. he answered questions rapid fire. here is the taste of what we can expect from the campaign in the future. >> isis has claimed responsibility. >> explosive devices. >> okay, everybody. i have to get to star wars. >> pretty dramatic. direct and straight at it. trump spokesperson.

>> a taste of the $2 million ad campaign. what we may be seeing a lot more. >> absolutely. we are in a position. everyone agreed across the board that he is the best one. many other things when it comes to national security, the economy. all of these adjectives going to be reinforced. >> he will use these ads as a big push. i well, new hampshire and south carolina. that is what this is all about. it is about squeezing out its competitors.

this is really important to control your own narrative. they waited until the very last minute. every candidate should be able to control their own narrative. mr. trump wants everyone's vote. stuart: i was impressed with what he said about infrastructure yesterday. he will just say i am going to do it. that is his style. we have had that for decades. the same exact points from the

same think tank. he says he will do it and that is why voters like him. he will be embarrassed if donald trump or in the white house. that is a major negative. we have to remind people that there is a conditioning in this country. they look at him and say, wow, he is different. there is justice understanding that breaks the political paradigm. pay new man. a very well known, you have to tone it down. you have to pull back a little.

do you think he will do that? >> i think that he well. he came out swinging. yes, he admitted he will tone it down a little bit. stuart: thank you very much for joining us. we appreciate it. i will get you a weather update. dangerous and deadly weather in the midwest. massive flooding. mississippi river expected to reach 15 feet above flood stage. mandatory evacuations in valley park, missouri. 6900 residents told to leave their homes. new footage of highway i 44. that is just outside of st. louis. that is a major highway out of

action. this could get worse than the mississippi crests. >> there are warnings going out to locals. that could seep into the area. >> the national guard has been activated in missouri. we are not down much. twenty-nine points. the price of oil. still down more than a dollar. more supply. down goes the price. thirty-six at the moment. amazon. we are calling this the stock of the year. it is $9 shy. criminally charged with sexual assault, bill cosby.

>> this could be punishable. potentially a $25,000 fine. potentially facing jail time over the assault of women. many allegations. this is the first time it has been criminally charged. he befriended her. next thing you know, he is giving her pills and sexually assaulting her. it is a brave charge. supposed to be arraigned this afternoon. they put the arrest warrant out an hour ago. the arraignment will be later today. he had a heads up on all of this.

the prosecutor also said the press conference just ended. there could be more to come. they're looking out more cases now. stuart: the tv network is backtracking from a report linking the. welcome to your program. they have said that his wife took a lot of delivery on that stuff. you are telling me that that diminishes your reputation. >> it just puts a little blotch.

they don't want to have it documented. obviously, it went to the same residency. i did not touch it. that is why her reputation -- >> obviously, we discussed earlier. speaking on his behalf, sort of fixing or putting damage control on this thing right now. i have known him for years. i am not saying he is not a topic j person, but putting on a little bit of size.

if i was on hgh, i do not need to. eating cheesecakes like they are apple. you would not put on any fat. it helps speeds metabolism. everything comes out in court. that is a tricky decision. network / intern. trying to say that he did this, this and this. he has strong people behind him. his reputation is being

diminished. >> what is the use? for what? stuart: and put them on the map, doesn't it. >> cannot do it like here. thank you for joining us. appreciate it. trump accused of sexism for bringing bill clinton's sex life into the campaign. we have a former miss america to comment on that. a christmas mask. as of her board down the aisle. he is in hot water. more after this. [laughter]

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stuart: here is an interesting stock price movement. weight watchers out 15%.

why is it up like this? new ads featuring oprah winfrey for weight watchers. does the trick. watch this. a catholic priest in the philippines. writing a hover board. what is the problem with doing that? >> basically did not respect the sanctity. made the service about himself and not about jesus. he has been reprimanded and he has apologized. stuart: pass judgment. >> i think that this is a great way to connect with the people. donald trump and hillary clinton still trading below. using what some have called derogatory language. one in 2008, i believe.

number one, is trump a sexist? >> i do not think that he is a sexist. not very nice things. let's be honest. stuart: is hillary sexist? >> no, i do not think so. when after women that accused bill clinton of sexual assault. >> or disguising any of her male counterparts. just because they were mailed they could not do the job. i do not think either of them when i bringing this into it. we look historically. iowa is coming of age in watching the television. people who grew up seeing all of this unfold. the people were empathetic towards her. now, 20 years later, it is huge.

a bit of a serious issue. now, all of a sudden, she is a champion for women's rights. it does not really make sense. it keys into that view. millennial's, they will check into that. >> that is a tivo. that is you. you are not buying the victim card did. >> when everybody else is attacking them. thirty under 30 summit. this would help me. at the moment that it matters most, hillary clinton did not stand there. how about bill clinton? >> bill clinton.

you know, everyone smiles and laughs now. this great humanitarian that is basically a great guy. the truth is, there are women that are still hurting today. their reputations were destroyed. i think you have to look at him honestly. they gain a lot more respect. >> you must be the most articulate former miss america. if you had been wrongly crowned the winner in 2008 -- [laughter] >> i would handle it with great dignity. >> and long life after that.

>> i travel and i do a lot of speaking. i have a nonprofit that raises money. substance abuse. eating disorders and depression. from other people and nonprofits. will you come back on this program? thank you very much. appreciate it. tornadoes leveled the town of texas. eight people dead. we're talking to the town's mayor in just a moment. ♪ you both have a

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call today at see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. stuart: at least 49 people have been hit. garland texas was one of the hardest hit. he joins us right now. welcome to the program. we realize this is a personal tragedy. it is also a gigantic financial problem. what you estimate it will cost to get back in shape. >> i cannot at this time. red cross and fema has not released any figures right now.

you can estimate a million dollars for every two homes. almost 1500 structures that have been effective. the cities and counties and other agencies. the mac now seeing some of the damage done in texas. very extensive. do you have any idea where the rebuilding of money may come from? >> it will be quite extensive, of course. they are ready started a recovery process. going back to the residence. trying to recover. trying to return. there is a number of uninsured people that i talk to.

>> i want to ask you a difficult question. do they have the spirit to combat? what is morale like? >> there is no question of that. some of those literally and bathrooms under beds. they had to be dug out. their parents were literally under a pile of rubble. a tree on top of that. able to get them out in about 45 minutes. not a single person has been crying or talking about being a victim. we have had so many volunteers. we opened up all the neighborhoods yesterday. the most severely damaged

volunteers were going door to door. cleaning up. cutting down trees. a newly american citizen. i am proud to join this country. >> we are glad to have you here. stuart: i am sorry we are out of time. donald trump. at the moment, he is winning hands down. that is a problem. that in a moment. ♪

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stuart: we're down 41 points on the dow, and the price of oil is also down about a buck and small change. we had a rise in the amount of oil in storage, more supply, down goes the price. oil right now is 36.69, down $1.18. some big energy names taking a hit because oil is down, we've got, let's see now, southwest, chesapeake, nrg, cabot oil, kinder morgan, all of them down bigtime. donald trump and ted cruz, they are holding the two top spots in the latest round of polls proving that the so-called

establishment gop is really struggling. bob ehrlich is the former maryland governor, and he is a republican and, bob, forgive me, i think you are a republican establishment kind of guy. [laughter] >> guilty! by the way, you started the show with how much fun you're having. stuart: yes. >> you look like you're having fun, my friend. you are smiling, you're laughing. you're reporting. stuart: well, you know -- >> i will say this though, it's a little premature. remember, three-quarters of new hampshire has not made up their minds as of yet. iowa is its own thing, its own dynamic, so i will at least admonish you to remember we are early in the process, but i am establishment. stuart: okay, got it. the if you add up the voters who support trump and support ted cruz, and i call them nonestablishment guys, they've got more than half the vote. that's way too much for the next establishment guy, rubio, to -- >> rubio, yeah. stuart: he can't. how can you catch up?

>> well, as you say -- well, i'll go back to my previous answer. still early in new hampshire, very early in south carolina, but you're right, this is unplanned. the establishment is maybe striking back, who knows? but remember this, trump understands if he's really in this to win, which a lot of people believe he is now, he's going to want to win. you saw his comments yesterday. rubbing back a little bit, taking the temperature down a sense. if he's in this, if he's really winning, he wins these primaries, he comes out new hampshire, south carolina, even florida strong, he thinks he's going to be the nominee, you're going to see a little bit -- he's not going to change his personality, but you're going to see a little bit more presidential attitude. stuart: you like to watch him too, don't you? you tell me i'm smiling, i'm having fun, i am reporting on an extraordinary campaign season, i'm enjoying it, and i think you're enjoying watching trump as well, aren't you? >> here's what i really enjoy: winning.

here's what i really enjoy: ending this progressive phase in american history. here's what i really enjoy: having conservatives run the government. here's what i really enjoy: market-oriented solutions to our problems. so you're right, we're having fun, we're laughing and all that, but the bottom line is it's about beating hillary clinton, and that gets real serious. stuart: now, if the election were held today, trump versus hillary, you think hillary would win? >> we have two-thirds of the country who think she's a serial liar. you have a republic, or don trump -- republican, donald trump, who's very polarizing. i don't know who would show up. [laughter] i gotta tell you, i mean, it could come down to this, but i just don't know, is my honest answer. i just don't know. and that's what scares me. after eight years of barack obama, after eight years of weakness, after eight years of apologies, where we are in the world with respect to our culture, our national security,

our internal security, our economy, i would hope the country would want to look right. so, again, for me it's about winning, it's about the candidate. not necessarily i'm 100% with, but the candidate who's most conservative who can win. stuart: yeah. i think that's the calculation most people will make, actually. >> i hope that's the case. by the way, stuart, everybody should read in this book, you should read it, i'm sending it to you, my friend, a free copy. herein lies the answer. stuart: you wrote it? >> yes. my new book, be out in a couple weeks, january 26th, and i'm sending you a copy. stuart: okay. and you can come back too. happy and prosperous 2016, and let's see if we win, let's see if the republicans win. >> love your show. stuart: thanks very much. good luck. now, the europeans, what are they saying? i'm a reformed european, recovering european -- >> we'll be the judge of that. [laughter] stuart: yeah, you will. dow's down 40 points, better tell you that. the europeans are saying global

growth next year will be disappointing. >> well, it's a french woman named christine lagarde that you may have heard of that runs the imf. she wrote an op-ed and said, basically, global growth is slowing. she doesn't completely blame the united states for once -- stuart: i think she's flat out right. >> okay. she says it's because of raw material prices falling, she's saying it's because of a lot of banks still need to have loose monetary policy. she also said the fed raising rates if it's not handled properly by us and by the british and their issues with their banking system -- i had to bring the brits into it -- [laughter] stuart: somebody else's fault. on record, i agree with her. i think global growth next year will be abysmal, flat out. >> now, i'm got an article on sea world. they're suing california. they want to resume orca breeding, breeding killer whales. liz, why should i care about this? >> because this could be,

basically, sound the death knell for this company. it's not just breeding them, it's also transferring these orca whales as well. in other words, california is saying you can't transfer the whales to other facilities. now, sea world is saying, wait a second, this is our star attraction, this is our matinee this is the basis for our ticket sales. if this takes effect, this could kill off seaworld, the company. stuart: i've taken my kids to the see the performance, the whale splashes everybody at the end. everybody's seen this, but now no more? >> critics are saying they don't belong in holding tanks, but seaworld is saying we are expanding our park. however, the california coastal commission is saying, wait a second, you're not going to be allowed to breed or transfer them. seaworld is fighting this one in court. >> look at that. one of my favorite memories, i was 32 years old, was getting to be the person that gets to pet the killer whale.

stuart: wait a minute, you were 22 years old when you did this? >> yeah, at san diego, it was a great memory, and, you know, it's a shame it's come to this. stuart: moving swiftly along -- [laughter] i'm still calling it the stock of the year. i'm still saying amazon is the company and the stock of the year. it's up 1120% in 2015 -- 120% in 2015. eddie gabor is with me, am i right? be amazon is the stock and the company of the year, yes or no? >> yes, absolutely. amazon is just going to continue to be a terrific company. it's a great story. and the fact of the matter is they have a service that yo one else can -- that no one else can provide. and they're going to continue to capture more and more market share. and i just think that the future is very, very bright for amazon. stuart: okay. how about mcdonald's? we've been calling that the turn around stock of the year. what do you say to that? >> yes, i would agree 100% with you there.

when they said they were going to do breakfast all day, i questioned how that was going to benefit the company, but obviously it has. kudos to the management team for making that decision, because it has certainly turned around the company. as my wife says, everyone can make a burger, but not everyone can make an egg mcmuffin. [laughter] stuart: we're on a roll here. do you agree with me on microsoft? i own it, okay? i think it would be an honorable second place in the comeback stock, the comeback company of the year. what says eddie gaborsome. -- gabor? >> yes, microsoft is a great story too. one thing to keep in mind though, these companies and these stocks have had some tremendous growth this year. as an investor you have to make sure that you're still rebalancing your portfolio. one of the toughest things as an investor to do is to stay disciplined and sell some winners and buy some losers to keep that balance in a portfolio. but still hold those companies, but stay in discipline, again,

as the key to success for any type of investor out there. but it's the hardest thing to do also. stuart: you're right, it absolutely is, eddie. thanks very much for being with us, i've got some breaking news. eddie gabor, thanks a lot. now, look, this is news about ethan couch, this guy. he's the affluenza teen who's just been found in mexico after being on the run for a month. liz, what's the latest? >> basically, there's a temporary stay against his deportation. he may -- he did flee the country while on probation for allegedly violating his probation, caught and possibly allegedly social media in a drinking game. but here's what's going on, his lawyers filed a writ of stay meaning they have -- it's a habeas corpus case. they have to prove it, they have to prove that he did violate probation, is he's staying in mexico. this could go on for months, if not a year, this fight to get him back into the united states. >> the associated press and, by the way, they're quoting a

mexican official as saying he has won that temporary stay against deportation. remember, this is the wealthy mother that fled with her kid, you can afford a mexican attorney -- stuart: bottom line, we thought he was coming back, he's not, he's staying there -- >> we thought he was -- stuart: -- maybe up to a year. that's the story. >> until they can prove that he violated it. stuart: the story is, he's staying. he ain't coming back yet. all right, the republican candidates face off at the second fox business debate thursday, january 14th, in south carolina. the chair of the south carolina republican party on the rise of the anti-establishment candidates. he'll discuss that in a moment. s you should know that only one penny of every dlar donated goes to local pet shelters. hsus is currently being sued for fraud and recently paid over five million dollars to settle a bribery lawsuit. if you want to help pets, support local animal shelters in your cittty.

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♪ ♪ >> from the floor of the new york stock exchange, i'm gerri willis with your fox business brief. a lot of red today at the new york stock exchange, let's take a hook at the market dub a look at the markets. the nasdaq down 21, the s&p down 7. take a look at those numbers. energy leading the way here, three stocks the worst s&p performers. take a look at them, chesapeake energy down 4.5%, southwest energy down 5%, console energy down as well. we tried to find some green on the screen but not a lot of it. treading water here, caterpillar, ibm and travelers, best stocks this year. netflix, amazon, nike and mcdonald's. more varney coming up after this. you both have a perfect driving record.

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stuart: now, donald trump has just begun to speak in hilton head, south carolina. the first thing out of his mouth was he took the stage and said hillary rodham clinton says donald trump has a pep chant for

sexism -- penchant for sexism. i didn't start it, she did. in other words, right from the get go in south carolina he comes right out there and says he's still going with that theme, trump versus bill and hillary on sexism. still at it right now. by, the -- by the way, the next gop presidential degate is in south carolina. matt moore is the republican chair of the party, and he joins us now. matt, he's my feel -- here's my feeling. the establishment candidates are so far behind the nonestablishment guys, donald trump and ted cruz, it's almost impossible for the establishment people to catch up. that's a huge hill to climb, and that's a problem for the establishment wing of the republican party. what say you? >> well, first of all, stuart, congrats on becoming an american citizen. i hope you'll do your duty next november and cast a ballot for president here in this country, and we look forward to having fox business here in south carolina in just 15 days. i think the idea of

establishment versus nonestablishment is just overdone, it's overvaunted. look, all these people running for president are very qualified, very talented. voters have a lot of different choices. this is a national process right now. it's going to become a state-by-state process here in about four or five weeks, so we'll see what happens going forward. stuart: at the moment i believe the polls show trump winning in south carolina. is that accurate? >> yeah, the polls here in south carolina are very similar to those we see nationally right now. again, though, there's a lot of time. remember in 2012 the debate process how newt gingrich caught fire here in south carolina with two debates in the final week. i think these debates will become more important as we get into the early primary states, and momentum matters in that process. stuart: yes. we'll first get the iowa caucus, then the new hampshire primary, and then it's the south carolina primary. you're right, sir, momentum has been built at that point. the debate two weeks from tomorrow, that is going to be absolutely vital. not just in your state, but

across the country, i think. >> that's right. traditionally, iowa's been a test of organization, new hampshire a test of message. south carolina's a test of both of those things, but also it's a test of project about that the southern states follow soon after, on march 1st. you've got to go from there with the national cam indiana -- campaign. and these debates over the next 6-8 weeks will really matter as we go into march. stuart: are you allowed to tell me how you feel about trump and what he's said so far? can you tell me really what you think? [laughter] >> well, look, democrats and the media love it when republicans attack other republicans. i'm not going to do that. what i will say is he's brought a lot of people to the political fray. we as republicans immediate those people many november of 2016 to defeat hillary clinton, i think she's the worst nominee for the democratic party of my lifetime. we need every single republican who believes in our party's

principles to get out and vote next november. stuart: yes, sir, matt moore. we're coming to you, fox business. matt moore, everybody, thanks so much for joining us. and the second fox business debate is thursday, january the 14th. it's here on the fox business network. it's going to be quite something. unreasonably, i should say unseasonably warm weather hurting ski resorts this year. jeff flock has become -- [laughter] our winter sports expert, believe it or not. [laughter] stood in front of a snow gun just an hour ago. he's next, he's back. >> hit those -- oh, i got that one pretty decent! now, if i can just steer this into a straight, narrow line, and i do! and i've got a world record run, yes! you pay your car insurance

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later on, we'll conspire ♪ ♪ as we dream by the fire ♪ a beautiful sight, we're happy tonight ♪ ♪ watching in a winter watchlist land, ♪ ♪ watching in a winter watchlist land! ♪ xfinity's winter watchlist. watch now with xfinity on demand- your home for the best entertainment this holiday season. stuart: this is the understatement of the winter. ski resorts have been hit hard by unseasonably warm weather. no snow. jeff flock, however, is at mountain ski resort in where i believe the slopes are open, but is the snow natural or created, jeff? >> reporter: oh, this is not god's work, this is man's work, and the slopes are not open yet, but with any luck at all, they will be open tomorrow. i've to got dennis with me, the general manager.

you've taken a hit here not getting open until now. >> yeah. last year we were open before thanksgiving, and we're losing part of the holiday season, but we should be ready to go by tomorrow at noon. >> reporter: i was going to say, if you look over here, maybe you see this snow-making machine over here. lori, can you see over here? this is one of the big ones. we showed you a snow gun earlier, what's that, a snow cannon? >> yeah, high energy efficiency machine, we can get well over 100 gallons a minute, we're probably around 15-20 right now because the temperature right now isn't cooperating -- >> reporter: that's been the whole problem, it's been too warm. >> right. but the temperature should be dropping all night, and we should be able to get the majority of the water that normally come out of these machines going by evening. >> reporter: what do you think? institute varney says -- stuart varney says it's global warming that's causing this warm weather. [laughter] >> i have no opinion one way or the other. last year it was so cold it was ridiculous, this year it's warm.

it changes every year, and it has ever since i've been here. >> reporter: all right, i'll tell stuart that, not a problem. there you see the snow cannon blasting away here, but it's too warm, stuart, to really do the real job. so i don't know what the reason is. stuart: global warming. thank you, jeff, for putting me right in the middle of that one. jeff flock, everybody. great guy. all right, now, it really has been a very big year for me because i became, officially, a citizen of this great country. roll some tape. >> stuart, celebrating your becoming a u.s. citizen is a very special thing. millions of people want to come to the united states, and so through the magic of television, i did have a flag flown over the united states capitol that we would like to present to you in coordination with your producers, hopefully this reaches you at your desk. stuart: yes. and look at that. [laughter] >> i wanted to welcome you as an american citizen. stuart: oh, thank you very much, indeed. now, you be careful how you

handle that flag, there is flag etiquette observed here. >> we're going to bring this to you right now -- stuart: so help me god. [laughter] >> i'll never forgive him! stuart: i willingly took the oath to. >> hey, congratulations to you, becoming ast citizen, that is really exciting. >> congratulations on becoming an american. >> you know, i want to welcome you as an american citizen, stuart, and in my family we celebrate with a game of bocce ball and some pasta marinara, so you're invited now. stuart: you want me to socialize, neil cavuto? >> scratch that, what was i thinking? stuart: i feel honored and privileged to be here. thank you, everyone. choose, choose. but at bedtime? ...why settle for this? enter sleep number, and the lowest prices of the season. sleepiq technology tells you how well you slept and what adjustments you can make. you like the bed soft. he's more hardcore. so your sleep goes from good to great to wow!

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♪ ♪ >> this administration and the united states really, we are complicit in homes being destroyed, mexico, central america, south america, because of this shiny object lure.

if you can just make it to texas, then homeland security will ship you anywhere in the united states. stuart: he's got it right. that was representative louie gohmert, a favorite guest on this show. here's what some of you said about the rest of the show. joe says this about donald trump: trump is the master of efficiency. he will repair and develop infrastructure. however, michaela says this about me: someone should probably tell varney that trump is not going to be able to come into the u.s. government and change things overnight. well, michaela, you're right. i'm not suggesting he changes things overnight, but the way he says it changes the tone of the debate and controls the debate. >> yeah. makes people really believe him. and with republican control of both houses of congress if he wins? who knows. stuart: cheryl, however, is a little skeptical, a little undecided. you've got, what, 15 seconds? >> i'll do it in ten. i think we still have a long way to go. the primaries are, yes, around the corner, but, you know, when

push comes to shove and people go into a booth to vote their conscience, i think that's when we're going to get the real news on donald trump, and i'm not so sure america's going to be behind him. stuart: there's only three seconds left in this program, and i've just used them all up. neil, it's yours. neil: thank you very much, stuart. these floods that are certainly continuing now through much of the south, particularly the state of missouri, we're getting the latest now from fox news' matt finn who is in valley park, missouri. matt? >> reporter: good afternoon, neil. i am standing here in front of the intersection of interstate 44 and route 141 is. you can see behind me the water is inching closer and closer to the top of these light poles. we've been here since the sun came up, and the water is steadily rising. to my right you can see a lot of the restaurants and businesses starting to take on water, several feet of water. here in valley park there are mandatory evacuations right now for hundreds of homes in low-lying areas. loca