Skip to main content

tv   Maria Bartiromos Wall Street  FOX Business  September 29, 2018 5:00am-5:31am EDT

5:00 am
other things, the facebook cyber attack, cyber terrorism expert morgan wright joins ups as we take up the facebook cyber attack. from new york. have a great weekend. >> announcer: from the fox studios in new york city, this is maria bartiromo's "wall street." maria: happy weekend, welcome to the program that analyze the week that was and positions you for the week ahead. my exclusive interview with treasury secretary hank paulson. but first susan li is standing by. >> the senate judiciary committee voted to recommend brett kavanaugh for the supreme
5:01 am
court. they agreed to delay the vote for one week while the fbi investigates the allegations against brett kavanaugh. >> this country is being ripped apart and we have to make sure we do due diligence. i think we can have a short pause and make sure that the fbi can investigate. reporter: more trouble for tesla founder elon musk. he's being sued by the sec. tesla stock has fallen over 20% this square. the fed raising short-term interest rates for the third time this year. the fed raising rates from 2 to
5:02 am
2.25%. they are expected to raise rates three times in 2019. markets also finishing mixed for the month. trade and regulatory concerns. facebook is seeing its worst month in six years. the shaky september didn't stop the record bull market as markets finished in the green for the quarter. maria: the federal reserve raised interest rates this past week by a farther percentage rate. from 2% to 2.25%. it's the second of three -- it's the third this year and three more expected next year. you expected the feds to raise
5:03 am
rates? >> we did. and we expect another raise in december. the question is how many times they will tighten next year. they are plotting four, in my opinion that would be too many. inflation is still quite calm. but i think this is a good process because you are getting the fed out of the way. you are using more than monetary policy to stimulate the economy. maria: later we'll talk with about this. third quarter earnings begin flowing next week. what are you expecting the rest of the year? >> i think the standard consensus view on wall street is we are in the late inning of the business cycle and the most non-consensus view is we mayor
5:04 am
in the 6th not 7th inning. the -- the supply side impact of the tax cuts have not been fully seen in terms of capital spending and hiring. the earnings picture couldn't be much better. even with the fed raising rates. it's still very accommodative. there is a lot more to go in the bull market and the business cycle. the news will be good. i think investors will have to be more choosey. but i think it's going to be a good period for the economy and the market. maria: i think i agree with you. we just saw another revision to the gdp. we had a great third quarter and we are expecting earnings to back it up. one thing with this economic policy out of the trump
5:05 am
administration is the rollback of regulations. doesn't that correlate to businesses investing in the economy and their companies. >> business confidence and business round table, big companies round table confidence spiked after the election and stayed very, very high. that bodes well. when you have profits up 22% for the third quarter, and you have business confidence that's high, so in my opinion, this is not over by a long-shot. and hopefully we don't make any self-inflicted errors. but the rollback in regulations is a big part of the reason why business confidence has been higher. it's not just the tax cuts it's the fact that you are not a small business owner knowing regulations won't be worse. that in and of itself inspires
5:06 am
confidence and makes you focus more on your business as opposed to keeping regulators happy. >> i think there is a long runway here in terms of the economic policy. obviously some valuations have gotten stretched within technology, elsewhere. how do you want to allocated capital knowing this backdrop is strong. >> you want to be in similar places. two sectors that with benefit most of from that would be financials and energy. there is 11 sectors. but we are overweight financials and industrials and technology. in my opinion financial energy will benefit the most of from the deregulatory process we are seeing. i think it's a very, very -- it's a very important policy goal to get the velocity of money out and get banks to lend more. maria: thank you so much.
5:07 am
stay with me. my one-on-one with hank paulson is next. >> announcer: how close did the great recession come to become an actual defletion. >> there were many, many tense moments. i'm hoping these nature sounds will help me relax a bit.. at least we don't have to worry about homeowners insurance. just call geico. geico helps with homeowners insurance? good to know. feeling better? i love you, pookie bear. [parrot 1] i love you, pookie bear. [parrot 2] i love you, pookie bear! [parrots] i love you, pookie bear!!! get to know geico and see how easy homeowners and renters insurance can be. and our shirts from custom ink help bring us together. we just upload our logo, and if we have any questions, customer service is there to help. - [male] custom ink has hundreds of products to help you look and feel like a team.
5:08 am
get started today at customink.com. to help you look and feel like a team. ♪ as moms, we send our kids out into the world, full of hope. and we don't want something like meningitis b getting in their way. meningococcal group b disease, or meningitis b, is real. bexsero is a vaccine to help prevent meningitis b in 10-25 year olds. even if meningitis b is uncommon, that's not a chance we're willing to take. meningitis b is different from the meningitis most teens were probably vaccinated against when younger. we're getting the word out against meningitis b. our teens are getting bexsero. bexsero should not be given if you had a severe allergic reaction after a previous dose. most common side effects are pain, redness or hardness at the injection site; muscle pain; fatigue; headache; nausea; and joint pain.
5:09 am
bexsero may not protect all individuals. tell your healthcare professional if you're pregnant or if you have received any other meningitis b vaccines. ask your healthcare professional about the risks and benefits of bexsero and if vaccination with bexsero is right for your teen. moms, we can't wait. ♪ just a second, we also have the mendez mediation. brian is going to take the lead just follow his- hello. uh, no i need it right now. yeah... success is a numbers game. and you're not going to win if you keep telling yourself to wait. the more often that you choose courage, the more likely you'll succeed. the most inspiring minds. the most compelling stories. download audible. and listen for a change. download audible. ron! soh really? going on at schwab. thank you clients? well jd power did just rank them highest in investor satisfaction with full service brokerage firms...again. and online equity trades are only $4.95...
5:10 am
i mean you can't have low cost and be full service. it's impossible. it's like having your cake and eating it too. ask your broker if they offer award-winning full service and low costs. how am i going to explain this? if you don't like their answer, ask again at schwab. schwab, a modern approach to wealth management. maria: welcome back. we are just about 10 years away from the worst global crisis in a generation. in a fox business exclusive, i sat down with hank paulson. he tells me he's amazed and relieved how far we have come in just a decade. >> obviously our economy is quite strong today. the financial system is better regulated, better capitalized. so there is a lot to be grateful
5:11 am
for. but the enemy is forgetting. the crisis placed a very heavy burden on many americans, particularly those with modest incomes or at least able to bear it. i think we don't want to forget where we were and we also need to recognize how much worse it might have been. >> are there days or instances, issues you remember to be, that was the tale signs? >> the crisis really began in august of 2007. and it had been grinding on for a long time before we saw the bear stearns failure. but there had been a lot that happened up until that time. i would say there were many, many tense moments that i underestimated the extent of what we were dealing with every
5:12 am
step of the way right up until we got the tarp authority from congress. when i think of the tense moments, there are plenty of them. there was lehman going down. the first time congress voted on the tarp. there was the time when the money markets were imploding and commercial paper funding was drying up for major industrial companies. it was a tense time. but we -- i think we can look back on it and while recognizing how difficult it's been for so many americans, recognized it could have been far worse. we were very, very close to a real economic catastrophe that could have rifled the great depression. maria: fannie mae and freddie mac, you stabilized them at one
5:13 am
point. that's an area where people feel it could have gone in a terrible direction. >> i think the thing we did that was most of impactful that's least noticed today, these two agencies are huge. they have $5.4 trillion in securities outstanding. they were insuring half of all mort gangs originated. their securities were sold and held all around the world. and when they began to implode, it could have been a disaster if we hadn't couple with a way to stabilize them and nationalize them. can you imagine if we had not nationalized fannie or freddie before lehman went down? the roltr -- the other thing that's not generally recognized. i believe putting fannie and
5:14 am
freddie into concern toreship did more -- into conservatorship, by nationalizing fannie and freddie, it's the only source of financing during the crisis. just imagine if they hadn't been nationalized how much farther home prices would have fallen and how many people would have lost their homes. maria: investors in fannie and freddie today say i am shocked they are still federalized. and federal officials were using money from fannie and freddie and taking it out and putting tonight other places. >> when we nationalized fannie and freddie, no one thought they were going to continue in their present form because it was a flawed model. no one was defending it.
5:15 am
but it worked so well that there was no, you know, compelling reason to change things. as you said, once they are stabilized, they generated income which helped reduce the deficit, went into the national coffers. so am i unhappy, am i surprised there has been no permanent reform put in place? yes. do i expect anything to be done in the near term? no. maria: do you worry given your experience in china in terms of this spat going on between the two largest super powers? >> it's a grate concern that trade wars ultimately will hurt everyone involved. but it's totally and completely unacceptable for china not to move to open up its markets.
5:16 am
this is an untenable position for them to expect the rest of the world to keep our markets open for their companies if they don't open up for foreign companies. so they need to do more to open up. maria: my thanks to former treasury secretary hank paulson. >> announcer: the markets are hitting new highs. so what could i get it all the time.
5:17 am
"have you lost weight?" of course i have- ever since i started renting from national. because national lets me lose the wait at the counter... ...and choose any car in the aisle. and i don't wait when i return, thanks to drop & go. at national, i can lose the wait...and keep it off. looking good, patrick. i know. (vo) go national. go like a pro.
5:18 am
where we're changing withs? contemporary make-overs. then, use the ultimate power handshake, the upper hander with a double palm grab. who has the upper hand now? start winning today. book now at lq.com. but some give their clients cookie cutter portfolios. fisher investments tailors portfolios to your goals and needs. some only call when they have something to sell. fisher calls regularly so you stay informed. and while some advisors are happy to earn commissions whether you do well or not. fisher investments fees are structured so we do better when you do better. maybe that's why most of our clients come from other money managers. fisher investments. clearly better money management.
5:19 am
maria: welcome back. we just heard from hank paulson
5:20 am
10 years after the financial crisis. my next guest is predicting a recession for the first time in 10 years. are there hazards on the horizon? joining me to discuss, economist nouriel roubini. he's called by "foreign policy magazine" one of the top 100 global thinkers. he predicted the 2007-2008 housing collapse. you have concerns about where we are on the horizon. but characterize where we are in terms of the economy. >> the economy in the u.s. and globally is doing well. next year the will be slightly less than 2%. but i expect a slowdown and likely a recession by 2020. the next two years things are fine, but then we'll have a
5:21 am
significant slowdown in growth. maria: why? where -- how do you get there for a slowdown and recession in 2. > in -- in 2020. the third quarter looks like around 3%. the economy is growing around 3%. this year and next year, 1% of gdp. consumer confidence is better and business confidence is better. but most of of the movement from 2 to 3. the way they designed it to 018-2019. and it's a cliff. the stimulus goes away and the beginning in 2020.
5:22 am
and it will get bigger and bigger by 2025. the 3% pushes you below 2%. around 2.pay the, and 1.pay the by 2020. they have no other choice, you have the trade war, you have trade wars, not just trade friction. it will slow down growth. lack of spending, and the rest of the world is weaker. maria: there are many people who feel the roll back regulations was so significant because under the obama administration you had a scenario where businesses were sitting on cash. this administration rolls back regulation. that's why they believe there is a long runway, that it will
5:23 am
continue to impact corporate america. they will increase cap x because of the lack of threat of new regulation. you don't buy into that. i believe reziewtion regulation might have economic growth in the short time. the ceo is. 0.1 over a decade. 0.01 every year, then the drag after 2020. but there are other times of regulation that slow down growth. immigration, not just on countries from arab. it slows count potential growth of the labor supply. we'll start not just a trade war with china. but into the u.s. from china and other countries. we'll restrict the ability of
5:24 am
firms to invest abroad or hire abroad. the whole motto of trump is hire american, buy american. so you will have the allocation of labor capital will be worse. that will slow down growth. maria: you said inflation could be an issue. we have the ppi and the cpi in the last two weeks paint was nonexistent. >> wage growth has started to pick up from 3%. the inflation last we are bottomed out at 1.3%. close to the fed. where fiscal sometime st. louis was overheating of the economy. yes there are some changes in trade. but the policy of trade restriction, migrationw and
5:25 am
other -- migration and other things will lead to higher prices. i'm not speaking about high inflation. 2.2, 2.3%. and we'll have to gradual think raise the rates all the way to 3.5 from 2%. maria: thank you very much. nouriel roubini. more "wall street" after this. i'm ken jacobus, i'm the owner of good start packaging. we distribute environmentally-friendly packaging for restaurants. and we've grown substantially. so i switched to the spark cash card from capital one. i earn unlimited 2% cash back on everything i buy. and last year, i earned $36,000 in cash back. that's right, $36,000. which i used to offer health insurance to my employees.
5:26 am
my unlimited 2% cash back is more than just a perk, it's our healthcare. can i say it? what's in your wallet? (nicki palmer) being a verizon engineer is about doing things right. and there's no shortcut to the right way. so when we roll out the nation's first 5g network, it'll be because we were the first to install millions of miles of fiber optics. and we'll be the first to upgrade the towers and put up the small cells that will power the smart cities of the future. when i started at verizon, i knew i was joining a team that was pushing the industry forward. now, with the launch of the only 5g ultra wideband network, we're doing it again. this time, changing the way we learn, work and live. and i'll always be proud that we're not just building america's first 5g network. we're doing it right.
5:27 am
copd makes it hard to breathe. so to breathe better, i go with anoro. ♪ go your own way copd tries to say, "go this way." i say, "i'll go my own way, with anoro." ♪ go your own way once-daily anoro contains two medicines called bronchodilators that work together to significantly improve lung function all day and all night. anoro is not for asthma. it contains a type of medicine that increases risk of death in people with asthma. the risk is unknown in copd. anoro won't replace rescue inhalers for sudden symptoms and should not be used more than once a day. tell your doctor if you have a heart condition, high blood pressure, glaucoma, prostate, bladder, or urinary problems. these may worsen with anoro. call your doctor if you have worsened breathing, chest pain, mouth or tongue swelling, problems urinating, vision changes,
5:28 am
or eye pain while taking anoro. ask your doctor about anoro. ♪ go your own way get your first prescription free at anoro.com. -we're in a small room. what?! -welcome. -[ gasps ] a bigger room?! -how many of you use car insurance? -oh. -well, what if i showed you this? -[ laughing ] ho-ho-ho! -wow. -it's a computer. -we compare rates to help you get the price and coverage that's right for you. -that's amazing! the only thing that would make this better is if my mom were here. what?! an unexpected ending! maria: welcome back. here is a look at the big market events that could impact the third square. construction spending data and
5:29 am
earnings for cal main foods. we'll get the latest on jobs with the services pmi. thursday we'll get initial jobless claims and earnings from costco. the big event in the september jobs report will be out. be sure to tune in for "mornings with maria." earnings will begin to flow fast next week and the following week as the fourth quarter kicks off. coming up next week join me for home depot co-founder. and tray gowd why is my special guest on "sunday morning futures."
5:30 am
be sure to follow this program and facebook, twitter and instagram. get the latest videos and pictures from the program. send us a >> i'm bob massi. for 35 years, i've been practicing law and living in las vegas, ground zero for the american real estate crisis. but it wasn't just vegas that was hit hard. lives were destroyed from coast to coast as the economy tanked. now it's a different story. the american dream is back. and nowhere is that more clear than the grand canyon state of arizona. so we headed from the strip to the desert to show you how to explore the new landscape and live the american dream. i'm gonna help real people who are facing some major problems, explain the bold plans that are changing how americans live, and take you behind the gates of properties you have to see to believe.

56 Views

info Stream Only

Uploaded by TV Archive on