to pull the lever. connell: absolutely. melissa: again the president, and all individual races, in my mind it comes down to local races and local districtis imf d who turns out. looks like a lot of turn out. that is it for us, david is up next on bulls and bears. melissa: we'll have this and watch you david, now. >> in my mind, to you, but, i am glad you important attention some attention to us, we have a show planned, i'm going to see a lot of connell. connell: i'll be there. >> doing the long haul. melissa: i am be eating this at home. >> watch and pray for us. melissa: i will. >> a few shore short hours to g. the feeling over is electric as balance of power is being decided in washington through out america. this is scene in fox square, just outside of new york

headquarters it has been raining all day, people from all over world gathering in rain to watch the results, they will watch live, rain is moving away. we're togetherring a bigger crowd. we have a big for you, covering key races, key issues, remember there are a lot of ballot initiatives that matter to and you your wallet. >> we have voter analysis, what people say at polls that coming in to fox business this hour, we break it down for you as we await the results, i am david asman thank you for joining us, joining me on panel for this bulls and bears, we have trish regan, robert wolf, art laffer, steve moore and our special guest for top of the show, my good buddy neil cavuto. here is president trump with his final pitch to voters.

>> setting records on a daily basis. we need to keep this jobs boom going. we need to keep our country going the way it is. >> there has never been a better time for the american worker. >> is the president right? what role are jobs and economy playing. >> me. >> i am asking you. >> i apologize, i better get my act together. >> we were told you have to go first. >> all right, interesting, even objectively reading the economy. the wage pick up. but condrafterring that for -- contrasting this with president is a conundrum people personally don't like him or they have issues with him, they battle that. but in a midterm that stuff is

really, hard to quantify, i think in midterm dave, all about anger, not so much about improving economy. if you are content and like when you see, you are less than kind to go out express rage, you are not enraged. i'm not minimizing what is going on, but that problem is that generally presidents face in a midterm, we'll see. >> great to be with many of my esteemed friends. i love the book. >> thank you. >> clear to me that economy is doing well. but president trump has not been talking about the economy. to neil's point he is talking about birth right citizenship, caravan, they are not local issues, tonight there are 435 issues that look at where their local issues hit them, protecting their healthcare, pro existing conditions, these are

things that are resonating more for left, than caravans and birth rights. >> there is a big debate about you know, we'll know the answer debate tonight. about whether donald trump and republicans running for congress, and the 35 governorships, should they have emphasize the economy more? you know trump's closer argument was on immigration and control of the border. we'll see, who am i to second guess donald trump in terms of marketing, we'll see whether that tragedy worked or whether it blows up in his face. >> you know -- >> i think a question, i'll jump in it is trish, congrats on the book. >> thank you. >> to neil for a second, one of the curious things about this, that president, he is packs crowds and stadiums, getting his base all riled up, but i don't know if that actually transfers

to all these local races. he is a personallity, a forces in and of himself, but does it mean you will vote straight republican ticket or split it right down the road. because you may have an afinnerty to a particular afinnerty to a particular candidate. >> he would not be first president who faces that where they like you even on a personal bases or improvements under you that does not translate since you are not on ticket, per say, to helping your party. barack obama experienced that twice, president bush certainly in his last midterm in 2006. i do think a lot of what happens in a midterm has to do with getting out the passionate voters.

in house races that is 435 separate races, anything can and likely will happen. but i think what is interesting is that there is a view that you know, the president cuts both ways for a lot of they like what he is doing on business and economic front. some of the wedge issues rile up key groups, that you need to be on your sydor more on your side in a midterm election to prevent defeat or losing one or both houses of congress. >> simply, i think if the economy were doing badly the republicans would get shellacked. given the good economy, i think that plays a role, i think that economy, it is always the economy. no matter how much trump talks about or not it is the economy. imagine if economy of 1% growth, and jobs numbers negative, republicans would not have a chance. >> art, here is where i slightly

disagree with you, it is economy most of the time, but republicans were still able to gain duive will number double ts they thought before. it was anger over way that administration at the time, bill clinton and hillary clinton brought healthcare to the public's attention. >> one second. he signed into law that silly tax bill. >> no doubt. >> not one republican voted for that. >> health care of a big reason, it was -- >> i don't think so, i think it was that tax bill, that was the cruncher. >> you know. >> another thing. >> -- never talking to you again. >> i love you, neil, come on. >> we're all friends here. >> don't buy the book. i have a hundred in my office, buy the book, spend as much money as you can on the book. >> most likely scenario that we'll see, everyone has been talking about democrat takeover

the house, and question is whether democrats and donald trump can work together, they have alike interests i think on unfortunately spending on infrastructure or drug prices they want price controls, but the question is whether they do that, workining in -- together r if they pursue prim impeachment. >> i don't see a company by -- kumbaya moment coming in around the corner, i would love to see it. democrats like it -- >> i don't like it. >> purple states everyone wants infrastructure. >> president trump's infrastructure is real estate and development. democrats infrastructure is energy driven like renewables. >> also, president trump infrastructure also more based on investment, as opposed to

government investment, more so getting private sector involved, that said, i think that there is a huge opportunity for him to reach across aisle and democrats to reach back. i don't think that will happen, we're in a state, unfortunately that shows how broken american government circumstance with maxine waters hitting campaign trail calling for impeachment. >> have you steve king, i have to go both sides, if we'll start there. >> both sides go to their corners. >> we need and my hope would be that we could get there, unfortunately we have seen time again increasingly so, i don't know why we could debate those reasons all day. >> can i ask neil a question, i am surprised boo question -- about trumka and union negative on the economy, i think that industrial american doing well, what was his reason that the economy is not doing well?

>> well, it could do better with wage growth, he argued, that this has been something that has been going on for decades, he is technically right, but trend are union member friends, i was surprised he said he has a number of republicans at local level he does support, did not name how many. i assume it a small percentage. but i will say, if you don't mind if i huff back to something you were talking about thisw this president, and working with democrats, if it turns out they take the house, i'm not sure about that, by the way, he is very pragmatic, he has more in common it seems on infrastructure, you touched on, david. than with members of his own party. and he is not a stranger to spending, his deficit, whether you like him or not are bigger than those left by his predecessor. there is a willingness on his

part to renew trade deals that a lot of union members did not like, trumka found promising some reworks, he claimed ignorance of some details, i take it at face value, but they are on paper to benefit american manufacturer and union members, and afl-cio workers. >> one thing to add, one lessons we learned in 2016 elected, virtually every union leader, was opposed to trump, he did well with union middle class blue collar workers, i am not sure trumkas of the world are speaks fo for the union members. >> i raised that point, a lot were union workers at the rallies, that is why trumka is sensitive to this idea that all

union guys are piling up. that is like you said not the case. >> amazing. i think when you get to heart of the issue, really that americans want what is best for themselves, their families, and for their own economic futures. that is really why we keep saying it does come become to the economy, i get it, midterms, not as emotionally an issue, perhaps why there has been a play on immigration front that tugging on heart strings more. but nonetheless the economy does matter, and former ceo mcon this morning with maria bartiromo. this morning had him on. >> everything about the economy has given people confident, people have confidence now that the investments they make will payoff, i see it in mcdonald's, they are remodeling restaurants like crazy, there is a confidence level attack re-- the tax change

that trump dthat is really important. because people want to keep more of their own money, i think that resonates quickly in household budget. >> confidence thing that ed was touching on, i think it is important, art and president sends tone for that being welcoming of business and talking about enabling people and businesses to keep more of the money they earn. president trump had a hand in establishing that confident. >> and in 2016 it was a terrible economy, that was reflected the election, i think 2016 trump's victory was as much economics as anything. >> neil? >> i don't know if it was a terrible economy. >> oh, steve, defend me. >> 1.5% growth is bad. >> okay i'm note here to take or disparage either party, the notion that president pushes he inherited a mess it was a

disaster, you almost think he took over from a depression. >> art, i will defend it a little, we're touting trump economics pause we want to keep talking about your book. looking facts last 21 month of obama 4.4 million jobs, and first few months of president trump is 4. let me finish. i know everyone is touting this amazing stock market, president obama had 2333% return. and 8 years of 16 --? thank the feds for that one. >> i can get you would not take 8 years you think. >> robert, i love you, you are a golfing buddy and a great golfer. you know just number jobs is not

issue. the wages that have gone up and uptick, i think it fair for both president and barack obama to take a bow over the recovery. but i think to favor one over the other. >> i am -- >> i was just trying to get my 2 cents? >> good-bye to neil, rest up, have you a long night ahead. >> is that tonight? the election tonight. >> tonight, cancel that dinner at rayos. >> i think weadoc we could do t. >> special coverage 8 p.m., a lot of us will be there to keep neil company, he is holding us up on his big shoulders, florida governor race deappears to be a dead heat, even with threat of higher taxes on ballot, we're live in orlando next. >> i live in florida i hope this guy does not raise income tax,

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...you're about to find out! you don't even know where i live... hello! see the grinch in theaters by saying "get grinch tickets" into your xfinity x1 voice remote. a guy just dropped this off. he-he-he-he. so lionel, what does 24/5 mean to you?rade well, it means i can trade after the market closes. it's true. so all... evening long. ooh, so close. yes, but also all... night through its entirety. come on, all... the time from sunset to sunrise. right. but you can trade... from, from... from darkness to light. ♪ you're not gonna say it are you? david: one of most closely watched races in country is in florida, voters decided to elect

first democrat governor since 1994. christina is live in orlando with the latest. voters have a stark choice a progressive democrat or a conservative republican. reporter: right. both ends of spectrum with andrew gillum, the progressive party, medicare for all, and increase corporate taxes. then on other side, you have ron desantis, vows to implement president trump policy, not long ago, desantis comments on the economy. that say topical issue, said if you want more education funding, you need a strong tax base, if you increase taxes were corporate taxes then you kill that base, the funding, you have andrew gillum proposing to increase corporate taxes, right now higher echelon 5.5%, he wants it 7 f .75%, that is a 40%

increase. why not have a strong economy, increase corporate taxes to fund educational programs and environmental policies, that has been going back and forth, what is really got voters to polls, a lot did go to the polls, so much enthusiasm here, more than 50% of registered voters already voted as of noon, good numbers for a lot of counties in florida, have you healthcare, a major issue, immigration and environment. given red tide, algae problem on coast that affects tou tourism industry, they are big topics for a lot of the voter. david: all right christina thank you. >> we have 300 thousand people a year moving to florida, eye lot because of low tax rate, imagine moving there for tax break, then

you have a governor who wants to raise taxes. >> yikes. true, i think a lot of people do move there because they don't have to pay income tax, that is really good thing, if you are retirees and you have money, and market, you don't have to pay income tax or any capital gains tax on that money. that said, that may change, right? art. >> it may change if gillum gets his way. >> that is why we in tennessee put no tax into our constitution. it could not be changed by a change in governor ship, that is important. but by the way we in tennessee support increase in corporate tax in florida. >> that is good. >> a couple comments. >> this reason i rank florida governor race as single most important. the stakes are high, a of contblik between thofofconflicke

2. you know, every year and i do an index of state in terms of how they do economically, i think florida is 4 or fifth best. >> it is great. >> that is -- rick scott has to be like greatest governor of last 10 or 15 years. my saying, texas is new california and florida the new texas it would be a shame to bring to to a halt. >> gillum was a surprise win for democratic party, not actually the one people thought would win, he was too far to the left, i think we're in this time right now, healthcare is number one issue in florida. and andrew gillum probably most vocal on protecting preexisting conditions with the aging

population. >> environment is critical, and with rising tide, whether you believe in climate change or not, the they do in florida, and immigration is key, rhetoric on caravan and birthright citizenship not played well, i think why in last two weeks it leans more left with gillum. david: i think steve is right. it is most critical elected that we're looking at right now, and really a bellwether for which way the country is going, final word? >> one quick thing. robert, you are right healthcare and environmental issues are high. in florida. because the economy is so prosperous, my worry that people take prosperity for granted. david: coming up next, democrat slamd trump's tax cuts for benefiting rich. but there are tens of thousands of americans who have bechamomileionaires in --

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david: the number of 401(k)s with plans over a million bucks reaching record 187, 400. up 41% from a year ago, average 401(k) account balance also reached record high that is very important. proof that tax cuts are boosting stocks. not just are in millionaires but middle class as well, larry kudlow always talks about remark. thing about this economy boom it is a blue collar economic boom. >> great, we want so many team in this country, regardless

party. reality every one regar regardls party should want to see economic success, larry is right, it schmidt el class benefiting from this, i know a lot of people will try to tell you only wealthy and only corporation, but, wages are going up. you know robert wolf, something to be heartened by we're doing better. >> well, we have the two leads of trickle down economics, i'll get my 10 seconds in before they pound the table. i was on woot fo woot wall stres years, trickle down economics from 80s is not same, i have debated art and steve on this for years. i am not as much a believer, there is no question that tax cut is working, i am more nervous to fiscal deficits, i

pass buck to those who devie the plan -- devise the plan. >> art, you want growth first, right, grow before you budget. >> you can't cut spending when people rely on it when they are desperate, whether they are unemployed, you need to wait to get growth, then you cutback the entitlement programs, i fully expect trump to do that in second term, and it will be a great process, but right now we need the economic growth, trish not just that wages are up, but also number of people employees, people from 0 wage to a positive wage is a big plus. david: 401(k)s are a big part of middle class americans ove nerv, if their 401(k)s are devastated, eye lot kiss retirement good-bye. >> and look at art, in addition to wage -- the number of

workers, look at hours worked. because it is a tight labor market, art and i and larry kudlow working for then candidate trump, we said, you top create a tighter labor mark wet more capital investment to get wages up, number of hours worked, you take into ecount those thing robert i am looking 4 or 5% increase in take home pay and tax cut. when you have consumer confidence, david, hit its 18 year high last week, that indication that people have money in pockets and feeling good. >> since we work together, i won't total hit you, but using consumer confidence from 18 years ago, we know what happened following 6 months. >> okay, yo -- woo had.com bubbe and worst market.

i was saying we should not use it. >> you say we should have low confidence, and -- >> i would not. >> come on. >> no one says that. making that all of a sudden then thing we look at, i will say, i think trish, you were talking about gdp last week. we've seen good gdp based on benefi basilsmikled base --base. >> i get nervous, i worry. sometimes years before i should be. i was worried before 2000, i was worried in 2004. my point is there were signs at that period in time, what are signs that you so worried about, aside from the size of the deficit. but what do you think are debill debilitating. >> we only have a half hour.

>> i don't want to see it happen, i don't think it will happen. let me preface we want a strong economy and strong market. i think last numbers i saw business inventory was slow, experts slow. -- exports slow, gdp was on tax cut, consumer confidence and government spending, all other markets oka around it did not sw good signs. >> we have to leave it deregulation a big part of the economy growth. >> we're just minutes from first polls closing. we'll look at some of tonight's key races coming next. (vo) 'twas the night before christmas

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not days. plus, allstate can pay your claim in minutes. now that you know the truth... are you in good hands? david: polling closes soon in some states bring in our own

connell mcshaneism we'r. connell: we're going over so many possibilities probability and soon will have actual data in first house of representative and plan of power, we start 240-195, republican to democrat then math on possibilities and what may en up happening. democratic side have to go plus 23. 3 and 2 are boater but that is your magic number, plus 23, to take control of the house. now there are a number of early races. we're watching. map of what ifs, this all night, 29 toss up races, true. in house of representatives, polling not told us anything about what might happen, there also a number of state that lean one direction or the other, when

you add them up could we watch 75 races or more. tonight. on map, in early going, we get to top of the next hour, we'll get a better idea, at least if some of the presumption, prediction data before the elects is playing out as we expected it. kentucky 6, you heard that before? 6:00 eastern, close, can the democrat unseat republican in kentucky 6. a district that president trump won by 16. it within for romney it has strong democratic roots. idea that mcgrag might win that race would be a good start tonight for democrats of i will say, this ware watching so many races in state.

state of virginia, true, toss ups, eye lot are focused on virginia 10. we'll see when the results come in 7:00 hour, i saw some edward lawrence report on virginia 7, how does dave brat do after unseating cantor. is he disrupted tonight by former cia operative on democratic side running against him, that is the house overview of house, early senate race that we're watching, many of the states, where a diagramcrattic incumincumbent. look at state of indiana. we start get results, eastern part of state at 6:00. eastern time. we'll have to wait for other side, western part of the state. see highway presiden how the prt

time around. that is one of ones to watch, remember, if we look. at what if map, in senate, we start 51-49. i keep saying all day long for being fair, north dakota assumed to flip. if it does real starting point heidi heitkamp seat might be 52-48, is it up hill for democrats yes, is it possible? yes, but they have to hold early state, mccaskill seats and florida. if they do that then we could have conversations about out west. >> connell mcshane mec rises

of detail of united states, there are a bunch of initiative that deal with taxes, colorado has a flat tax, they are thinking of adding 5 brackets, raising upper rate by double, washington state carbon tax, california repealing a 12 cent gas tax, these are not individuals we're focusing on but issues particularly tax issues. >> steve? >> well, you know one that you mentioned i'm worried about, is a flat tax guy, david, i voted my life as art has with flat tax, the idea of going away, we find in our analysis, that states with flat taxes or no income tax do a lot better

economically than those in northeast where you are new jersey, new york. david: let me add. >> in colorado a big thing in colorado, jared polis appears to be way ahead. everyone talks about him being openly gay that is irrelevant. but he really is, is pro growth with major tax reform, he was my intern for years, a phenomenal person that could be a big game change are in colorado. david: we'll get rest of you in. in next segment. running out of time, coming up voter head to poll, fox news analyse priorities of american and preferences, stay with bulls and bears for latest developments, we'll be right back after a quick break. what if numbers tell only half the story?

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david: polls closing soon in some states, 6:00 eastern time. we will have a better understanding of voters deirdre bolton with fresh voter analysis. >> we want to share results with you, we asked voters which issues are most important to you. you can see by healthy margin health care.

what we heard back. then next up is immigration. economy and jobs in rounding out top 3. from the analysis taxes and abortion rights not cracking the double digits, further to this question. one of most important issues facing nation, how they felt about the economy. you will see overwhelming vote as far as optimism. that on the voter analysis. we asked voters how do you feel in secure in your job in you lawyer paid? we got -- job? are you well paid? response excellent to good 65% that is 2/3 of voters. then not so good or poor, that is remaining third. as far as the number of voters who are focused on the economy as their number one issue. overwhelminoverwhelmingly votine candidate they chose republican.

that is about 55% versus 37% for dems, we have tons more data coming in, but so far, first results starting to build from fox news voter analysis. david: great stuff, this is really, pioneering research that we're doing during this elected, deirdre bolton thank you. >> bridg bring in voters, roberu spoke about healthcare, and whether if that is your number one concern automatically means you vote democrat. >> it is not surprising to me, because, you know, local election thigh loo they look att the most, health care cost has not changed. we could say affordable care act, but for last two years we've done nothing to iterate our healthcare laws. david: there has been tweaking on presidential level. >> not really. >> guys?

>> the mandate. >> and also these you know plans that are sort of you know for example the association plan, that allowing people more choices. we want as whic conservatives to expand that people have choices. >> i'm with you, i think idea of us to a single payer is not happening. >> we agree! >> i believe healthcare is a right, i don't think we're transitions to medicare for all and single payer. but we have to make sure that pharmaceutical costs go down, that we protect pre existing conditions, this whole idea of preexisting conditionings has beees hasbeen a narrative. >> what struck me on that pole how important immigration was. up there more than taxes. >> 23%. >> taxes not that relevant to people, maybe in part because of

compliecompliescomplies en see. i wonder. the caravan a central issue, in this campaign, stephen moore is that because what plays emotionally or. does this resonate more than a tax cut that 4%. >> a great question, we don't know. ask me the same question in 4 hours, some may be hostile to what trump has done with immigration. but i asked democratic polsters, about the 2016 elected, and issues that work for trump in the blue states, they -- democrats polsters said that immigration issue played well for trump. people are just upset about illegal immigration. we'll see whether he over played his hand on that, but this eye big issue for a lot. >> you and i have breakfast with bannon it was clear that build the wall, illegal immigration,

china, those would be populous tones. >> i would have loved to have been at that breakfast. david: a fly on the wall, to healthcare for a second. have people forgotten of false promises of obamacare, you can keep your doctor and your health plan, that is not turn out. >> president obama is not on ballot and neither is secretary clinton. >> you could have surprised me in georgia. >> they are not. people are saying, do i want my healthcare changed? and answer is affordable care act is a current regulation, it has not been unwound, it is past and policy, at end of the day people will say, they want their preexisting conditions saved, and pharmaceutical costs down.

and president has to stay to his word get it happened. >> a big issue. >> i was -- trish, what do you think will happen tonight in the election? >> you know i hate giving prediction. >> i think have you more insight than anyone. >> thank you, i hate to give predictions, i think it is procareious territory. but as much as democrat said that republicans are not pulling through, i think we might be surprised in some cases, i'll tell you, i don't trust polls any more, i don't. david: i don't either. >> i trust my gut, and a travel, i hear from people, it is caused me to discount a lot of the polling, we shall see, it could be a long night. david: 2016 told us a lot about polling. >> there is a good shot that republican pick up house -- keep house and do pick up more senate. but -- >> wow. >> we're going to le to the resf panel weigh in after, a final quick break, up next, with polls

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important? trish: oh, yeah. it's a biggy. 2016 was historic. and this could, despite what i said earlier. i hate to predict things. but i think the republicans will be okay in this environment. but we don't know. there are a lot of people who don't like donald trump, and they see this as a referendum on him. >> what i would say is we don't know anything. one thing i will say, democrats will do well in governorships that could change redistricting in 2020. the one race i want to call out to you to watch tonight. arthur and my good friend in connecticut. wouldn't it be something if a republican governor won in connecticut on a fiscal agenda to save that state. >> it's 1994.

but i think it leaves the power base just about the same as before. david: certainly the most of expensive mid-term race of all time. and you don't have to turn the channel. keep it here on fox business. that's it for bulls and bears. here's evening edit rsh. liz: we have a jam packed hour for you. you are looking at a live shot of the capital right here tonight. we have all of the angled covers for you tonight. we'll bring to you indianapolis, orlando, florida, scottsdale, arizona. with carley shim kuls covering the fox square. , carley shimkus covering the fox square. we