continent. >> san antonio is beautiful with the riverwalk, and most important thing it is cheap. love that. melissa: live that idea, thank you for joining us,. >> "bulls and bears" starts now. david: the clock is ticking as congress faces a jam-pack schedule this week, speaker nancy pelosi signals house will finally vote to send the articles of impeachment to the senate, tomorrow. while the president and china will sign a phase one trade deal. and senate majority leader mitch mcconnell made an announcement on future of massive north american trade deal. this is "bulls and bears," thank you for joining us, i am david asman, joining me today, caroll roth, jonathan hoenig, capri caforio and john burnett. >> we'll be able to process usmca here in senate this week. that is good news, something i

think we have broad bipartisan agreement on. with regard to impeachment, our understanding is that and i thinkure understanding is, well the house is likely typhoon alley send -- finally send articles on us it were that would set us up to begin the actual trial next tuesday. >> that was senator majority leader mitch mcconnell, joining us now, indiana republican senator mike braun. and senator, you voted in two committees today to push through usmca. will the big trade deal pass the senate and be signed into law before impeachment trial tuesday? >> leader mcconnell is the master of scheduling stuff in a tight time frame. sad that we have to do all this within the process of a couple of days we've been, this could have been across the finish like last year, but it is so important farmers, and state

like indiana, agriculture a big deal, number one manufacturing state per capita, this finally -- picks was what in place. i was disappointed that speaker pelosi was playing footsie with it for a long time, not wants to give president trump a feather in his cap. >> this is caroll, speaking of timing looking on impeachment trial, how long would you expect that might take. >> i think it depends on how well the cases are made, by the house. which i think struggled they took three versions to get it here, behind closed-doors information leaked to public selective tie, and public trial that did not have a fair process, because the president did not get their witnesses in

and constitutional experts which i thought was kind of a staged presentation. i think that big dynamic difference will be that president gets to make his defense. and i think if that is done well, we get through phase one it may be enough for 51 senators to come to a conclusion much if not and we get to witnesses, that could belabor from 10 days to a couple weeks out to 4 or 5 or 6 weeks who knows. david: wow. >> senator, thank you for that background, you look at -- i listen to mcconnell, he used the word process. right, i would have preferred him to use word pass, this thing, david said it has to go through several committees, i think 6 or 7. what is likelihood of it actually getting passed by next tuesday. and we already know that there is still trade between the 3

countries, but how much is being held back, that way we can measure the impact of this signing of the deal. >> i think it will be disproportionately impactful for forkin agriculture. they are best years, were 09-13, then the input prices went through the ceiling, since then commodity prices have been historically low, i think we'll get it through the process, it has made it through most of the committees, it has structure unique in and of itself in terms of timing between stages, all of this could have been done by fall of last year. but, i think now that we have to in front of us, leader mcconnell will make sure we do get it through by the end of this week is my hope, a big relief for hoosiers.

>> thank you for joining us. democrat and republicans alike have louded usmca, that are within the usmca. you know assuming that this is passed and ratifies and signed. what is the ajudication process, in basic terms, if there a violation that occurs in regards to the provisions within the usmca, if it comes to for example with the worker provisions in mexico for example. what happens. >> i think there was some concern went our conference that would be bureaucratic, it may be hard to adjudicate through it, but not knowing the technologies, i feel comfortable from folks that have worked on it, that it acknowledges, stuff

for everyone in there i have been here a year. but i now know that you are never going to getting any across the line in its pure form from your point of view. i'm happy that is mostly, manufacturing like i say, important to indiana. our manufacturers are fairly healthy. vis-a-vis the a g market, this opens mark not market in canadad mexico. and china, it it fixes things tt needed to be fixed that had been given to other sides through oural truism over the year. >> altruism over the years. >> right. what can you do to hasten president's effort if you toll

get to phase 2 and phase 3 of a deal with china. >> well mexico and canada, that by its definition would be easier than china. other issue is what about the eu. but china, our geopolitical challenge in the future, they have patience, endurance and they are playing the long game. i think only because their economy has gotten to the point where in the short run they had to do something. they have got issues with pork production there with the african swine fever. a lot of different things are circling to where pressure of tariffs, even though i don't like them in the long run, i don't know what else would have gotten their attention to fix the egregious stuff of the huge gluts, dumping them on market,

and theft of proprietary stuff, and currency manipulation, i think they will be relieved of that moniker. it will benefit farmers, manufacturers i think are hedging their bets in the future on how deeply to take their supply chain into china. david: senator braun have you been in business with farmers most your life, i hear your father as well, you know them well, they were big on president trump in 2016. and electing him, are they sticking with him now, i know thathat -- tariffs hurt them. >> they like it, when it comes to farmers particular that shows you how shrewd the chinese are, they knew when they counter punched with soybeans, they now

need to bring in pork. they know how to play the game, they will be in this mode, i think, of doing some stuff short run subject on what happens if trump dit gets reelected in 2020, if he does there may be another paradigm shift with getting more things done with more substance and more broadly to see if they will blend in with fabric of world tried. david: quickly. ry emphasis question. are farmers standing by president trump and will they continue to support him in 2020? november electtion. >> i definitely think so, farmers would be the hardest small business in u.s., they are used to weather, tough times in general. and they knew somebody had to take chinese on their are for their own sake in the long run.

david: thank you senator braun. >> privacy verse security. attorney general big bar bill bd that doj. would it. debate that coming up next. >> apple needs to make sure we can open up two cell phones, to make sure that this is not something that is is part of a cell. t curiosity. it'll ruin your house. so get allstate and be better protected from mayhem, like meow.

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>> we asked apple for their help in unlocking the shooters' phones, so far apple has not given any assistant. we call on apple and other technology companies to help us fine a solution too better protect the lives of the american people and prevent future attacks. david: apple facing demands from attorney general william barr

and doj to assist authorities in their investigation to deadly shooting at a naval airbase in pensacola, florida last month. it is being treated as a terrorism. apple has stopped responded. tech giant s create a backdoor for law enforcement, stating, backdoors can be exploited. should apple be forced to comply? >> last time i checked we're a nation of laws. right. in last thing i want is my privacy to be e encroached, the thing is, we're a nation of lays and deputy of justice, or law enforcement' private information, they should go to you through the courts.

not just sending an e-mail, hey, by the way, we need x, y, z,y understand the tragedy. we don't need this to set a precedent. >> there have been examples court ordered apple to provide information and they have not. for them privacy is number one. that their whole credibility, apple has provided information here, maybe not substantial as attorney general barr would say, but they did provide a lot of data, every time that government had a secret backdoor, that is what government wants not just one specific piece of data. david: that is disputed by app displeapple. >> they would destroy apple's credibility who would want apple. >> i am torn on this issue, if you recall to tragedy in san bernardino, california, a number of years ago, maybe 4. we faced the same issue, i think under a different

administration, i believe president obama of still in office. and therefore you know his deputy o department was in char, we heard the same thing from apple them. they were reluctance to give information. if you could get access to this stuff the government ethen no one will be able to -- what happened, the government hacked it, and they got the information you what -- do we know what happened between san bernardino and today, has there any any type of legal -- like all the same. >> i think there are two separate issues, first question is should the government mandate that technology company create a boobackdoor to access informatin that is a no. they should not. that is a bad situation, in this particular case, if they want to see if apple is able to do, that you go through the courts and if

they are able if there is already some way for them to hack it great, if not, then, they didn't create that. david: there were two phones that the terrorist had, we have to say alleged terrorist, one of those phones he shot, but fbi put it together. and all need to unencrypt it, they could get possibly contacts the guy had. >> that is national security is it not. >> if there an encryption code that apple has access to, they should go through port, and let them do that, but they may not be able to. >> if fbi is investing in any thing, they should invest in to boasbest hacker ever. >> i think they did that? san bernardino, if i recall, they did have some great hacker.

>> they should be on government payroll. david: and government can contract. >> that is bad. >> how about we have seen with government contractors and their ability to somehow leak, i would be careful with government contract outside influences for hire. >> from a business case, i am a shareholder it makes me happy apple a strong advocate for privacy snow this i. >> this is a very sticky wick it. more people are leaving to jersey than and other state. why is that government go offer in push -- governor pushing today for a new reason for people to want to leave the state, new details, they never learn, next. oh, your mom just texted.

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david: more people fled new jersey than any other state last year, driven mostly by higher taxes. now new jersey governor murphy, announcing revival of a new millionaire's tax this afternoon. >> i will fight every day for middle class values that built new jersey. it is why i am not giving up the fight for a millionaire a tax to ease property tax burden. millionaire's tax will allow to us ease property tax burden on millions of middle class families and seniors, it will do more to help fund our public schools, millionaires ask

corporate ceos made out fine in last regd, i assure you, they will -- last recession, i assure you they will again. >> does that make any sense. >> we're doomed to repeat history, i don't know if he knows history, but he is making the system mistake, the more you tax millionaires the fewer millionaires you have. you talk about trickle down economics it is trickle down poverty, the millionaires are leaves the state in droves, they are leaving illinois in droves they take with them the jobs and opportunities. the trickle down poverty for middle class. they never talk about real issue that constituen state spending. >> i served in state senate for 10 years in ohio. i can tell you at least in buckeye state we'r we're constitutionally candidates to

balance our budget, we did tax reform. our tax burden is low. yet we're still losing a ton of population in the state of ohio. probably -- partially because of our weather for better or worse. we'll lose probably 2 congressional districts, i would say not necessarily just issue of tax burden, i am not advocates for higher taxes but i think there is a larger picture whether issue of workforce and quality of living, you know and regulatory climate, it sounds like governor is trying get creative on how to tackle education funding, sounds like propped up by property taxes. >> i am from illinois, which is not only number one for last 10 years but number two this past year, we have moved down by a spot, because in our state, we have economic moreons runs the

state. david: simple. >> true. we have people who have created one of the worst situations from a fiscal stand point wanting credibility on how toking or my the economy they don't relied that dividing a pie is a finite exercise and shrinks the pie. david: john, we have breaking news. we could tell you about new york. a fox business alert, chinese trade delegation, arrives moments ago at office of u.s. trade representative in dc, ahead of tomorrow's signing of phase one of u.s.-china trade deal, it was created by robert lighthizer, we have more coming up, we'll cover it tomorrow. >> and battleground iowa 6 democrats take the stage tonight to make the final case to swing state voters, as a feud between two of them heats up more, we're

live in des moines, coming next. ♪ do you recall, not long ago ♪ we would walk on the sidewalk ♪ ♪ all around the wind blows ♪ we would only hold on to let go ♪

♪ blow a kiss into the sun ♪ we need someone to lean on ♪ blow a kiss into the sun ♪ we needed somebody to lean on ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ all we need is someone to lean on ♪

david: we're hours away from first democrat debate of 2020, and last debate before iowa caucus, only 6 candidates take the stage tonight in des moines, peter doosy i doocy is there, wn

we expect. reporter: elizabeth warren and bernie sanders share a lot of important positions but there is a difference, elizabeth warren is now accusing senator sanders of telling her, she did not think that a woman could be elected president, they had a private dinner in 2018, here is how warren said he remembers it. among topics that came up, what would happen in dem chat democrt nominated a female candidate, i thought a woman could win he disagreed. bernie sanders said this is ludicrous. and wrote, it is sad, it is a classic she said-he said. they are worried about hurting chances next year, this back and forth is counter productive for progressives. they want everyone to work together to beat president

trump. this is the first debate since drone strike that president trump authorized to take out the iranian general soleimani. if last couple of days bernie sanders has been focusing a lot on foreign policy, now there is this other issue, and we're not sure if it will come up. david: bernie put out a video proabout 20 years ago saying a woman could become president, he is countering with that. reporter: right, and if senator warren and senator sanders are not satisfied with each other paper statement they have a chance to bring it up on tv tonight. david: we could have a little spark. >> thank you peter. >> timing is everything, is warren coming out with this claim now because here poll numbers are falling. capri. >> i think everyone right now is playing to win, sure elizabeth warren will try to make a last-ditch pitch, you know

gallon -- galvanize women, but bernie sanders also is doing a lot putting out scripps to -- scripts to individuals that are phone banking, trying to systemically limb by limitatione on his close of opponent, poll numbers in w wa iowa are confl. everyone is pretty much 4 candidates, bernie biden, mayor pete and elizabeth warren close together. i think right now everyone is trying to make their way to the finish line, but out of all these, it is bernie sanders i think will benefit the most from his run last time in 2016, he has a preexisting infrastructure in iowa -- in iowa for caucus. >> when it comes to warren, i have said about her, she does

not scare me because she is dumb, she is very smart, she is very untruthful, we have a history of things she has said that are untruthful, that is a hail mary attempt by her to separate herself from someone she sees as her biggest competition, unfortunely, i don't think this is the lifeline she thought it was, i think a lot of people saw right through it. >> her whole career is fre predicated on fraud, bernie, he has been consistent since he went to soviet union in as a 1988 honeymoon. i think more likely bernie said not so much a woman can't be president but that elizabeth warren cannot be president. my perspective, so unlikeable she is fading. >> to caroll's point, you are smart and you don't tell the truth that makes you a liar,

that is right, i said it on air. elizabeth warren's campaign is fueling in polls her -- falling in polls her fundraising is dipping, she does not know what to do, she has a terrible plan for america, so she tries to take out the pinch on th person. also when you look at hillary's results, yeah she did win popular vote, but you know, have to campaign. i think that is what point that bernie was trying to make. does not sound like him, that is the wrong narrative. david: and we have that video from 20 years ago. house minority leader kevin mccarty is looking out for bernie sanders campaign, concern it could suffer in sh he is stuk in an impeachment trial. >> senator sanders has a chance to win. but not now that nant nancy peli has held the documents, only rightful saying of joe biden to make a blige not to campaign but

bernie sanders cannot. >> come on. >> equipmen come on. david: do you think that biden, buttigieg and gler bloomberg all nonsenators should have to layoff campaigning. >> absolutely not, this is a plan. that coming through fruition that authored by democrats, right, they delayed things, now it is coming to a head just before iowa. and bloomberg biden, buttigieg, they will all benefit bying what other senators actually in dc . >> imagine where any other working person would have somebody holsomeone hold there r them while they go out seek another job this crazy. >> capri, go ahead. >> nancy pelosi held back the articles of impeachment help joe biden and hurt bernie sanders is ridiculous, i think that is a bernie sanders conspiracy

theory, he has always felt and maybe rightfully so that establishment is against him, she not only u.s. senator in the race, amy klobuchar and elizabeth warren. >> he is at the top of the fold, look at impact. >> from des moines register, everyone is running close, monmouth has joe biden up 24%. and bernie down 16 or 17%. i don't think that this is calculated. >> notion that we to be equal, this is pure democratic leeing wellegaltear yunism. >> they ul need to campaign. >> bernie sanders has bully pulpit of the government. david: don't you have to admit those candidates who will sit in impeachment trial will miss precious time in the campaign

trail. >> that is how the cookie crumbles. david: okay. >> leave it there thank you, trade negotiators sign phase one of u.s.-china trade deal at white house tomorrow, but democrats are slamming the deals impact on america's farmers, usda trade adviser tom kehoe responding next right here on "bulls and bears." at fisher investments, we do things differently and other money managers don't understand why. because our way works great for us! but not for your clients. that's why we're a fiduciary, obligated to put clients first. so, what do you provide? cookie cutter portfolios? nope. we tailor portfolios to our client's needs. but you do sell investments that earn you high commissions, right? we don't have those. so, what's in it for you? our fees are structured so we do better when our clients do better. at fisher investments we're clearly different.

>> i think it has substance and depth, i think there is a decoupling between china's economic system and ours, but i still think that china will continue to go. david: jamie dimon applauding the china trade deal.

bloomberg news spooked investors with a headline of old tariffs staying in place. not everyone is cheering on deal. you may expect the dnc slamming the trade agreement, trump's reckless trade policies cost american farmers billions of dollars in lost exports now on eve of trump signing the phase one trade deal there is no sign china will deliver on president trump's promise to buy ten tensf billions more from u.s. farmers, tom key h kehoe is joining us n. will farmers get some kind of assurassurance from china they l buy what they pledged to buy. >> we have told will be built in safeguards both sides adhere to what they promised, if they don't there' -- if you don't do that, you promised to, we can go

to john, say, david is not doing that, then, there will be very accurate ways to be measures for both sides. >> this is caroll, you represent the agriculture industry, you have thought there, but i talk with small businesses, not everyone is getting the same type of treatment, it seems that government is taking winners and losers, because there is no commicommitment to buy in every industry. >> i say be patient. the deal is supposed to 200 billion dollar worth of business in united states, and 4 different silos, not not just a, this got a lot of publicity because china was focusing on it with swine flu and et cetera.

manufacturer sector to get a nice shot in the arm, i think that everyone will benefit. >> like a big family, not everyone gets what they want, they don't all get the end cut off the roast. you know, he will get it because he is the biggest guy at the table or daddy gets it. but everyone will get something, we'll slide to phase 2. >> we know this about politic, democrat held it up for a year they sign it. then this took two weeks after signing it. this ridiculous. but the thing is we know they will play politics even though they passed it, but how long will it take for the businesses to take advantage of this. >> i think you will see action right away, this is not 5 years down the road this is now 2020. i think you will see agshift, and you will see all these different sectors move quickly and be representatives. >> sooner the better. >> absolutely.

>> this is capri, if i could jump in, back to agriculture sector, my understanding that commitment in phase 1 about 32 billion over next two years, there is speculation. >> 24 million in each year. >> there is speculation that this flood might have an impact on global commodity pricing, do you think that is possible, if so wha how could that impact commodity pricing in u.s. and other markets. >> jonathan traded in commodity pits in chicago, we could talk to him. it is can't be a bad thing for american farmers, only good, maybe we'll pay more, i was going to bring in a big piece of unsliced bacon today. bacon and commodities are not democratic commodity or republican commodities, it is food. people need to eat. >> america. >> and federal reserve had a

study that said tariffs in effect pushed up prices and destroyed etch a employment for manufacturers, is this still a good policy to advocate. >> i think you will see more manufacturing come back to united states, and tax advantages for american manufacturers to reemployees, i think president trump announced some big automobile manufacturers decided and tim cook not long ago in louisville showing a new factory, not the biggest but. we have never had a salesman like donald trump. he is a great salesman, you may not to like him or buy a funky looking eye glass case but she selling it, he is touting america. >> we have to leave it there tom kehoe thank you. >> thank you. >> thank you. david: bev break, what is coming up on "evening edit," elizabeth

macdonald. >> the democrats debate in a few hours, the division to explode into view, charges of sexism, victim identity pol politic, wek about what the moderators are likely to not talk about. about. >> also top wall streeters warn a president warren or bernie sanders would wipe out as much as 40% of everyone's pension flanplans and 401(k). david: 70 per of the world economy, i don't think they will make that. >> 60 trillion for bernie sanders plan. >> thank you, very much. >> speaking of 401(k). cyber thieves are targeting your 401(k), there is no guarantee you could get your money back if they are successful.

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david: your retirement funds the risk, cyber thieves found a new target your 401(k). while overall cyber fraud and acun fraud are down, hacks on retirement fun o -- funds on th, crooks found a soft target. here is kirk imu imud imeud. >> that is posing a think he problem 7 thousand financial institutions that are affected in this rel am, and 14.7 billion dollar in cyber fraud, most

recent year, still huge problem. and pro institutions now to you and me, you want to do is check right now, find out does your your araccount holders protect r loss from your account. now ask fidelity or charles schwab they put in writing 100% of unauthorized loss they will protect but not everyone does. >> my password is pass word 123. i same that okay. knowing that hacks with passwords do occur, does it make sense for people to break up their investment accounts to smaller accounts. having two or three small holding. >> you know, no, they will fine those anyway. you and i get an e-mail, it looks real like from some authorized source a friend or

this financial institution. we reply, now we're hooked, they needed was our e-mail address, now they can buy all sorts of pieces of our life off dark web for penny osdol ar --s on the dollar, they find out where our accounts are by looking at our credit and looking through e-mails they find from our e-mail box. for me, i do a don't do any of my financial retirement type of investment activity on-line. zero. i am the cyber guy, i've done enough stories i have said put in my account do not allow on-line access. that is extreme but it is the most broad e prudent thing. >> i am scared of doing anything oon-line.

i have a question, someone who served in state government for 10 years, i am curious, we were talking about 401(k)s. what about defined pension plans like the state pension plans not necessarily a 401(k). >> usually equally at risk, review each of the paper statements from your account, in the past i would get it sit it is, side, next thing i know a year has gone by they are unopened, i now open them each month, a glance, and i put them away, create a very strong pass toward for anything with money attached in your life, and then a strange thing happened where i live, our mail carrier said, there has been a lot of theft in neighborhood ask your postal

carrier, if there is any reported mail theft where you live. our investment i think 150 buckers on 200 we switched to a locking mailbox. we don't have any mail stolen. >> we're running out of time, apple fight with doj, over terrorist iphones, your opinion is there anything that apple could do moreno than what they -- more than what they are doing. >> this is a very touchy subject, apple could reinvent the world if they wanted to but they believe very strongly in not creating a path in their own products that allow for that sort of look at data from another party, they tro t trieso keep their hands-free of data, they can answer we don't have that,. if we dean have access, either, we cannot help you. there are companies there --

bigger than apple that are out there in terms of getting at data, they can crack into phones, and devices believe me. david: i don't think there is a company bigger than apple. >> kurt thank you so much. >> president and first lady receiving a standing ovation as crowds chanted usa at last night's national football college championship. a brief encounter between trump and major hollywood actor at game is sparking outrage, details and maybe a debate, coming next. it's just not right. but with sofi, you can get your credit cards right by consolidating your credit card debt into one monthly payment. including your interest rate right by locking in a fixed low rate today. and you can get your money right with sofi. check your rate in two minutes or less.

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david: actor vince vaughn facing major backlash from liberals after he was scene shaking hands with the president and the first lady at the national championship last night in new orleans. when it is a mortal sin to shake

hands with the president, carol. >> if this is civil if this is adults do. if you are outraged you are the reason trump won, why he will win again. it is for behavior like this. >> leave it to the democrats make a handshake a symbol of hate. this is ridiculous. you know what the thing is? , that we should find every picture with president trump, bloomberg, bernie and blast it throughout the internet. >> basic civility enjoying a game. we should agree on that. haters got to hate. he should take a page from day swift and shake it off. >> there you go. the man is president of the united states. i don't care what celebrities do with their politics either. get over yourself, people. david: even ellen degeneres, she is no conservative but shook hands with george bush, met with him. got along. she was castigated for that. i just don't understand this

environment we're in. >> people think that they're moral heroes for being able to dictate who you can and can't converse with. david: beware of moral heroes. beware. that does it for "bulls & bears." we'll see you back here next time. liz: okay. we have phase one of the china trade deal coming tomorrow. today more news of historic job growth. one record after another being broken for the stock market. stocks on a tear. tonight they are already lining up for the president's rally in milwaukee, wisconsin. but the president's opponent, they look weak and divide. house speaker nancy pelosi lost the politics of impeachment. she delayed. got nothing. she caved. tomorrow, the house votes to send the articles of impeachment to the senate where the trial will start tuesday. republicans saying the case is really weak. now in just a few hours the democrat debate, the democrat divisions will explode into view. victim