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neil: stuart: you are looking at fox square. magenta coat, jane, janice dean. another senior moment. 10:00 eastern, don't laugh at this. the dow is up 520 and the nasdaq is close to 200 points. let me show you rising interest rates, it hit 4% earlier, backed off a little bit now. bitcoin, stable recently, looking at $19,500 a coin. a coin. just after 10:00 eastern time the latest read on homebuilder sentiment, what is the number? ashley: not good.

builder sentiment calling for the tenth month in october, the confidence of a newly built fencing the family home brought 8 points to 38, half the level it was just 6 months ago. except for the start of the pandemic in the spring of 2,020 this is the lowest confidence reading since august 2012, 10 years, the combination of rising interest rates, building material bottlenecks and elevated home prices continue to weaken the housing market especially among first-time homebuyers. stuart: now this. all you have to dig into the new york times midterm poll to find a golden nugget, here it is. in september independent women voters favored democrats by 14 points. by mid-october the same group favored republicans by 18 points, 32 point swing in a key voting group in a matter of weeks. what happened?

when the supreme court overturned roe versus wade abortion appeared to be a winning issue but within weeks it faded. look at this, the times paul showed voters made the economy 26%, inflation, the top issues, abortion just 4%. despite the president's best efforts to play down economic issues voters are not buying it, all after poll shows republicans gaining support is the inflation reduction act fails. another issue. crime. in a very big race it is playing a crucial hole, another republican winning issue. in new york republican the resulting closing on governor kathy huchul, 9 murders on the subway this year and a shooting outside zelda and's home on long island, that is turning the tide. imagine deep blue new york going red. i don't see how democrats can turn this around, their attitude toward inflation is wait till next year when extensive subsidies come through. inflation hurts now.

too late on the economy, there is universal agreement recessions are here now or coming soon. crime, democrats can't walk away from defund the police and no cash bail. we vote 3 weeks from today. second hour of varney just getting started. here is david of fellow. the economy is top issue. republicans have a 17 seat advantage in the house, pretty good. what is your prediction. >> very good night for republicans and as you point out we see the continuing shift of independent voters to voting for republican candidates and look at the last 40 years. it is where independents go in

midterm elections that decide the party in power, what their final number ends up being and in every election, majority control, independents of gone double digit to the minority party which puts them in the majority which we are seeing now in survey after survey. stuart: the msnbc host joe scarborough said he would be surprised if republicans do not sweep the midterm is. >> the house if you look at history, if you look at the latest inflation report at this point, i would be very surprised if republicans didn't have a good night in the house. it would have to be a historic occurrence. a lot of democrats still hoping the overturning of roe would cause hidden trendlines we are not seeing in the polls. stuart: a new poll shows 49%

plan to vote republican in november compared to 45% prepared to vote for democrats. why do you think the abortion issue faded? >> economically it has a bigger impact on every day voters lives and crime has a far bigger impact on voters in an every day life situation. that is what voters focus on, what impact them on a daily basis, why you see those being the top issues but you played it with scarborough even those who favored democrats being in charge are acknowledging it isn't going to be a good night for democrats and as republicans we may even need to send a thank you to the democratic party for playing a number of primaries thinking they were going to put a weaker candidate in. tutor dixon will win in

michigan, barbara kirkmyron colorado, folks democrats had a big impact making sure they were the nominees thinking they would beat them and they have done much to help get them elected. stuart: that was a political mistake of the first-order. thanks for joining us. republican and democrat state party headquarters could be targets of chinese hackers. tell me more. ashley: the fbi says chinese government hackers are looking for vulnerable systems over the midterms. over the past week agents have notified some republican and democrat state party headquarters they could indeed be targets. authorities say none of the targets have been hacked or breached but a national security agency memo said chinese hackers had scanned more than a hundred us state-level political party domains. in 2008 us intelligence

officials say chinese hackers infiltrated the computer networks of barack obama and john mccain looking for information that might shed some light on the campaign's positions on china. stuart: all right, thank you. back to the markets and scott she'lladdy has that neat jacket. does he go on planes dressed like that? this rally, i can't resist, is the doom and gloom over done when you have a thousand point rally like this? >> investors forget the stock market is a voting mechanism for the future. everything is priced in. we have to have something cataclysmic or especially bearish to have this take another leg lower.

a psychological thing and the data and fundamental thing and when you have headlines like bloomberg economics predicting 100% chance of recession with those things coming over the tape all the time and we've got everything priced into the market you have to think to yourself what is going to take for someone to want to sell stocks hard again and that will lighten up a little bit. we used to say in the commodities business when the milkman wanted to loan milk it was time to sell. we haven't gotten any news to bring the market lower even though there's horrible things there. 7 or 8 months with 8% inflation, bad housing data will be horrible, that will hurt the wealth effect but as long as earnings and employment aren't playing along that tune it is giving them some hope here and if you are a big bear i suggest you tap the bricks here to send the market lower.

stuart: i get the impression consumers are in two groups in america today, $90,000 a year for the household not doing badly and spending some money. the rest getting hurt by inflation not doing well. consumers split into two camps. i see consumer spending on expensive items doing very well indeed. >> i agree with you and to your point, the key element going forward is employment. if that starts to check up, interest rate hikes with unemployment at 3.5%, it is a no-brainer, it won't be a difficult decision for the fed but wait until you see unemployment get to 4. 5% or 5 because they have been doing these rapidfire rate

hikes and we haven't seen inflation come out like we want to than they -- that's a difficult job, they shuffle their feet a little bit and you might see a pivot. than another million people out of work for 2 tenths off of the inflation rate. stuart: that is where you get the pressure, thanks, see you again soon. former treasury secretary lammers summers criticizing quiet quitting. what do you say about this? ashley: the federal economy. quiet quitting is one of the key reasons the us worker's productivity fell 4.1% in the second quarter. some saying it is a factor in pushing the economy into a recession saying, quote, given dismal productivity growth likely caused by quiet quitting wage inflation will have to

come down significantly if it is to be attained. i do not understand the basis for believing this is likely without a meaningful recession. not everyone agrees, some economists say you are overstating the impact of quiet quitting. stuart: some companies are charging employees thousands of dollars after they quit. explain this to me. ashley: for all the time and cost they invested and that employee who decided to quit. growing numbers of workers in healthcare industry is complaining to us regulators some companies are charging employees who quit large sums of money for their training, 10% of american workers surveyed in 2020 are covered by a training repayment agreement. h workers union says some companies charge drivers $6,000

if they leave before a certain time. some nurses say they were not told about the training requirement requirements before beginning work even a beauty salon in washington state charged an employee $1,900 when she quit. that case was later thrown out by a judge but the practice is drawing scrutiny from regulators and lawmakers and some states who are considering updating their guidance to protect employees from big bills. stuart: thanks. ye west acquiring social media platform parlor after he was temporarily locked out of twitter over and anti-semitic tweet. will that allow total free speech even if it is anti-semitic? i will ask the ceo of parlor who is on the show. the housing market slowdown continues, high prices and high interest rates, sounds like the perfect storm for housing. i will ask jerry how what he think later on the show and peter doocy asked karine

jean-pierre about the administration's handling of inflation. >> who thinks the president is doing a good job on inflation? >> we understand there are challenges in front of us in this country. that is why the president has taken action to lower costs. stuart: she dodged the question. doctor ben carson takes it on though next. ♪ then i got the dexcom g6. i just glance at my phone, and there's my glucose number. wow. my a1c has dropped over 2 points to 7.2. that's a huge victory.

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i'm not surprised at the number of people walking down the boardwalk. if you like the music we are playing follow us on spot is a but ify, search varney and company or search the qr code right there. check the market, the rally is going strong. we are up 600 yesterday or whatever it was, 500 this morning, a thousand point rally in the space of 24 hour, the nasdaq is up 2%, solid gains this tuesday morning. top economists worn a recession will likely come in the next year. i believe you asked the white house when people can expect some economic relief. what is the response? >> interesting how they dodge and maneuver these questions. economist bloomberg survey showing 100% recession in the next year if we are not in one and that goes into inflation which is more entrenched according to the data so i want

to know when all the spending the administration has done would make a difference and bring down that inflation. take a listen. >> you they'd out what the president has been doing. is there a timeline for when americans get started feeling second -- economic pain. relief. >> regarding the inflation reduction act early next year we will see some of the pieces of that. thinking about energy costs, medicare benefits from that, we will see movement on that next year but when we talk about inflation, gas prices, something that the american people have seen for the past several months. >> always at some point in the future so you see where president biden came into office and started reversing every policy of donald trump and reportedly, another 15

barrels of oil, the strategic petroleum reserve, the top energy advisor told me they are assessing another release but you see where the reserve is at the lowest level since 1984 and experts warned we will not be ready for an emergency. >> the whole thing is a shell game, the use of the strategic petroleum reserve is a scandal and i wish we had issue with the american people that they know they are robbing peter to pay paul and we are down to the spr being half-full. half full. >> no plans to replenish the strategic petroleum reserve now that oil is $80 a barrel. stuart: i just noticed that right in the middle of your report there goes the jackhammer. they never fail, do they, there is again. see you again tomorrow. karine jean-pierre was

questioned by peter doocy about the handling of inflation. watch this. >> who thinks the president is doing a good job on inflation? he received his lowest job ratings on inflation, minus 38 points. >> we understand there are challenges in front of us in this country. that is why the president has taken action to lower costs. neil: i don't think she answered the question. maybe doctor ben carson can answer it. great to see you again. what action has the president taken to lower costs that you know of? >> good question because i don't know, very tough but they talk about equity and making it fair for everybody and in a sense they have achieved that because they have made it difficult for everybody, black, white, old, younger, doesn't matter.

it has become much harder to acquire a home because of the policies. neil: stuart: i believe wells fargo has given $7.5 million to expand equal housing opportunities for homeowners. it seems like we are trying to collectively shoehorn people of color into houses, special treatment, special conditions, back to 2007-2008, same mistakes. it. >> it would be nice of people based things on things they knew to be true. when you look at the previous administration homeownership for minorities increased from the second quarter of 2016 to the second quarter of 2,020 for blacks, up 5. 3%. hispanic 6. 3%, asian 7. 7%, whites 4.5% so for

minorities it was increasing faster and the philosophy was not let's handpick this group or this group of the philosophy was arising tax floats all boats, that is what works. that is america. let's do things that work for everybody. stuart: are we setting up the same problems we saw 10 or 12 years ago in the future? >> we are doing the same thing and not doing people any favors if we manipulate things to get them into a house they can't afford because then they lose the house and their credit takes a big hit and that is what we saw happen before, let's do things that work for people. what is wrong with looking at things that work and basing policies on those as opposed to ideology? stuart: do you oppose the concept of equity? >> i love the concept of equality and doing everything for everybody but equity means

equality of outcome. your outcome should be based on what you do and that is what distinguished america from so many places and it is one of the reason so many people are attracted here because you could come here, lead the life you wanted to lead, benefit or you could not benefit but it depended on what you did, not what somebody else did. stuart: were you involved in the separation of the siamese twins in south africa? >> yes, type ii vertical joined at the top of the head. first case of complex joint twins. stuart: and you did it. >> i was -- stuart: you were good at it. honor to have you on the show.

twitter erupt after president biden says guessing california has always been $7 a gallon. watch this. >> the inflation report is out, gas prices out here in la, $7 a gallon almost. >> president biden: that has always been the case. stuart: we will have the real numbers, the it ministration takes tax credits to weatherize your home will fight inflation. grady trimble will try to explain that when next. ♪

♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪

stuart: one hour into the open market and a rally holds, dow still up, nasdaq is up one. 5% adding to yesterday's gains. tax credits to weatherize homes reduce inflation next year. grady trimble is with me. explain to me how weatherization eats inflation.

>> the claim from the white house is if your home is more energy efficient energy costs go down and will reduce inflation. starting next year there is the inflation reduction act, eligible for a tax credit of $1,200 to weatherize their home but look at the costs of doing that, they are pretty high. $95 per door to at window installation up to $65, and one thousand dollars, the list goes on, it could cost as much as $39,000 to winterize your home. it comes from the so-called inflation reduction act which the white house is still claiming with no proof that they will do what its name says it will, reduce inflation. >> many parts of the bill will take effect next year. for example there are tax

credits for energy to help people weatherize their homes and bring forms of energy costs. we are focused on helping to make that transition to clean energy in a way that brings out energy costs for families. stuart: attacks foundation says it seems like making your home more energy efficient would in the long run reduce inflation but in actual practice there are two main problems, this effect will be tiny in the context of across the economy inflation and take significant time for improvements to be put into service, with downward pressure on inflation will take time to show up as well and for many americans they can't wait until 2,023 to make these improvements, step outside in chicago, the same thing in new york, winter is here and

heating costs will be 28% higher compared to leo go. stuart: that is now as opposed to next year. thanks very much. i want to bring in jerry how who runs the national association of homebuilders who joins us frequent the. i would like you to respond to the idea that whether rising beats inflation. respond police. don't just give me one word. i need 30 seconds. >> weatherization can help but it costs so much, to get the ultimate payback an american would have to stay in their home larger than the average american stays in their home. that's why they haven't taken advantage of it previously. it is not cost-effective yet. when the technology gets more cost-effective than it will work a whole lot better. stuart: that was good. 25 seconds. let's get serious. the latest read on homebuilder

confidence dropped 8 points in october, the reading was 38, that is half the level it was 6 months ago. could this get any worse? >> i hope not but so far this is the tenth month in a row it has gone down. i see no reason it will come back up anytime soon. stuart: do you have supply-chain problems? i'm hearing about people waiting months to get a refrigerator or new flooring. is that a problem? >> we have supply-chain problems and problems with increased regulation. has we as we talked about before, the homebuilding sector is facing a perfect storm. stuart: does it go into a depression, the housing business? >> we are in a recession right now and i've got to tell you, one of your previous guests said it was a shell game in the situation. we talked to the administration, how to stop

inflation, the supply shortage, to get at the front end of the pipeline, we can cure inflation, they are putting band-aids on everything. stuart: can't get a reduction, can't get the red tape cut. >> talking to the administration since they came into office and, their answer to stopping inflation is to increase the value of american baby boomers largest asset when they are getting ready to rely on it, but at the same time make it increasingly difficult as doctor carson said for young people, first-time homebuyers, first generation homebuyers to get into the market by collapsing the housing market, that will end inflation but that's a risky way to go. stuart: don't worry, when the

weatherization kicks and everything will be fine. don't worry about it, you are all right, see you soon. president biden claimed gas has always been $7 a gallon in california. when he said that social media went crazy. take us through the whole story. ashley: he didn't just say that. the president told a reporter gas has always been $7 a gallon in california and then confusingly turns to housing in the same breath. >> president biden: that has always been the case here. nationwide, still down, going to work on housing. ashley: okay. social media let up, bidenism

at its highest, that was james galler, the mock minority leader, california assembly tweeted that. senate candidate mark mauser jumped in tweeting, california does not usually have $7 gas, prior to you becoming president, $5 gas in california was considered extremely high, you're out of touch with how policies are destroying this nation. the average gas price in california, $6, still above the national average. fox and friends talked about our first ever varney town hall. >> had him on the show, did town hall and forgot my name. sean was with me, and -- >> out of everything he has done, did a lot with the body.

stuart: brian kilmeade was on the show, i will have to explain myself. prices at disneyland going up again. i know how much more it will cost and she will tell us. ♪ ♪

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stuart: last quarter netflix suffered its first-ever decline in subscribers looking for new ways to get the number up again. what are they doing? ashley: netflix worried the decline in visits get more likely they would cancel their subscriptions. netflix has subscribes between

2 consecutive quarters, now the streamers digging deeper looking at data such as whether a specific program is deemed sticky or 75 minutes over the course of 28 days and giving users, giving content to they really like like a double thumbs up. adding more urgency to netflix's efforts is the launch of its first ad supported tier, the revenue the company can expect to generate from ads will depend on how many see them. netflix told investors that expects to add a million subscribers in the third quarter and we will find out if that is the case later today when a report earnings after the bell, stock down 60% on the year. stuart: chipotle says they will raise prices but not because of inflation?

ashley: it is about rising minimum wage in states like california. watch this. >> we pay beyond $15 an hour in california. the fact there's legislation that has the potential, i believe it is $22 an hour, to raise prices. it was unfortunate, the economic model, that opened in the future in a state like california which is a real shame. ashley: they will probably have to raise prices. 15% of chipotle's locations in the us are located in california, gavin newsom established a fast food the fast food counsel that will set standards for working conditions for fast food

workers, the international franchise association says the state hikes minimum wage, it will raise prices, lower income californians and accelerate businesses leaving the state. stuart: the president of the united states of america, that is a long shot, really long shot. ashley: i am with you. stuart: ticket prices on the rise in disneyland, california. kelly o'grady is there. how much more will families have to pay? >> reporter: october price hikes are tradition at disneyland, they will pay 9% more than last year, that is ahead of 8% hike last year as well. i want to break down the numbers, $249 to go on your favorite rides, $179, charging

access to particular rides, 2 to 3 hours for rise of the resistance, pay 15 when you are paying so much, $25 to even wake up at the crack of dawn to see who has the quickest fingers to reserve ride time. a family of 4 shelling out $1000 to get in the park, and many lifelong fans saying disney lost its magic and high prices make this dream vacation out of reach. we spoke with the source and disney saying it is about lucian making the customer expense, the rides are not too crowded though they are continuously investing to compete against neighboring parks, to universal studios, hollywood, it does bring sticker shock, the cost of admission might be lower but if you buy their version of a fast pass you are looking at 279, it was actually a bit higher than

disney. it is not just extensive to go into the park, not only have food prices risen and portion gotten smaller, but these mickey ears have gotten 33% $10 but you can see clearly people will pay the price, people have been streaming all morning. stuart: i don't know how regular folks can afford that kind of thing. thank you very much. new yorkers living in fear but if you ask the mayor of new york city, the perception that crime was out of control. role it. >> we can't get away from the fact that 3. 3 million people using the subway station, those average of 6 crimes a day is not giving the impression our system is out of control. stuart: the problem is what about the people being attacked in broad daylight, there is a perception of crime for you. we will be back. and, no matter how much i paid, it followed me everywhere.

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stuart: 20 seconds you will see brian kilmeade, telling you about the rally on wall street. a lot of people making some money, dow is up 400, nasdaq up 160, 1.5% up, all of those indicators. 10:51, here is brian kilmeade.

congresswoman stefanik could move to impeach biden next year. i think that is a rotten idea. i don't think people want another impeachment fiasco. i am opposed to it. what do you say? >> i am and she points out saudi arabia,. do me a favor if you're going to limit your production of 2 million barrels a day can you do it after the election? saudi's came back and said it had everything to do with the election, we understand it and the answer is no. they talk about the hunter biden thing the president could be involved in. on partisan lines the country stops for 2 and a half weeks and i don't know, maybe somebody writes a book a couple people want to buy but for the most part it is a waste of time unless you have obscene corruption and i would love to see that cycle of we don't like that person so let's impeach him stop. what they did to trump is bad for the country.

stuart: the mayor of new york downplaying the city's soaring crime. >> we are dealing with actual crimes, twee 8 homicides and dealing with perception that people are feeling, that's the combination. and can't get away with the fact that those using the subway system have to be honest about that, those average of 6 crimes a day is not given the pressure the system is out of control. stuart: the perception, those being robbed and beaten in broad daylight, we were all afraid. >> keep your head in a swivel, no doubt about it, no one is saying they are getting through in the tracks but the randomness of the crime, perpetrators, the recidivism,

no one goes to jail, and catching them on camera because there are cameras everywhere, they give the people the sense they shouldn't bother riding the subway. overall crime is up 36%. take saturday night, 3:45 in the morning, up the road from us. they smash into a jewelry store, in and out in 3 minutes, $700 worth of jewelry, we see in chelsea yesterday one guy sitting there punched a woman, took her baby carriage, held another woman and said i was a cop to come so i can get killed by a cop, this guy was arrested 12 times, this is what is going on in new york. you have to empower the police, get rid of this immunity, these cops to be immune from legal action against them and empower them, pay them a decent wage,

that will bring things back. stuart: i've got to digress. rachel campos duffy claimed on fox and friends your show this morning, but i forgot her name during the live town hall yesterday. i did not forget her name, i simply had a senior moment. >> i'm going to side with you. because for the most part, when you are doing a live show with 200 people there and doing a bunch of things and you look over and sometimes you stare at people and need to pause. a pause is different from forgetting. rachel was on her you asked her she casually mentioned at one point you forgot her name and you see each other all the time but it was funny. we did not know at 7:00 you were going to storm onto the set and come back in at 7:00 and dominate and give us huge

ratings after that but your live show is excellent. stuart: thanks for being with us. you going to catch hell on fox and friends of the ceo of parlor, george parlor, morgan ortagus and neil sean. iran, russia's partner and putin's brutal war and we are still talking to iran about a nuclear deal, when you're negotiating with saudi arabia's more let me no longer -- no wonder they said no to biden begging for more oil, that is "my take" and that is next.

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>> inflation if anything is getting worse, spending, regulating. turning off gas spigots and raising money on investors and what work have they done? >> the problem with the democrats, very, very fe