neil: character arising the markets, nothing to do with the markets but the dow and the nasdaq down a little bit. the dow has been remarkable

because it is dismissing a lot of concerns. some earnings weaker than expected, data that isn't supportive of a run-up in markets. even in the case of the nasdaq, google and microsoft disappoint better by the sake token, don't get overly punished, there's some confusion over that. many other developments in these markets. >> hard to get a straight narrative out of all the current happening at the same time. spotify, we saw this from alphabet, the latest company to flag slowing advertising growth hurt its profitability, stock is down 11% so spotify is saying we might as well raise prescription prices to make up the difference and why not because apple music and google's youtube of increased prices. the good news is they push this through with monthly active

users they rose 156 million of them, paid premium users double-digit so it has the dedicated growing user base willing to pay more. look at twitter near $53 a share $52.87, that's the price for elon musk to buy the company and reportedly he told bankers on a video call he plans to close $34 billion deal to buy twitter out of the 5:00 pm deadline. bloomberg is reporting they signed documentation to provide $13 million in debt financing. pool pull up tesla shares, they are higher on what the twitter deal is fully financed and elon musk was also ceo of tesla, having to sell more tesla shares and the nasdaq is struggling, s&p up and down after major disappointments

from its biggest contributors. the dow, best 4-day stretch since november 2020. the thinking is it goes back to the fed, the data we keep getting on the earnings front isn't that great so they might stall or pause their rate hiking campaign and if you look at this there's a 40% chance the fed might have 75 basis points and that number was double that last week. neil: thank you for that. to scott martin on this. it is interesting, what they think the fed will do, they are saying it is even money for big rate hike in december, the money goes against it being too big, not like we get next month, 75 basis points or less then that, do you think they are betting correctly?

>> the tide turns almost daily and it is right, the fed is starting to realize, from market performance not only inequities but also as the 10 year yield which is the falling precipitously all week as discoveries have been rallying, they are figuring out housing numbers, consumer spending or confidence numbers they need to take the choke out and that means a slower rate hike pace, 50 in november and maybe another 50 or 25 in december and let this phase out and see where the economic data goes. they can add more rate hikes if they need to or step off completely the beginning of next year if the economy is soft. neil: what if they are dialing things back? we don't know that and we are making hunches but what if we have got it wrong? >> reporter: it was supposed to be about big tech and big

earnings and disappointments, gullah parent alphabet disappointing others, microsoft disappoint outlook so the market perceives bad news in technology, every layoff is good news for the market because it's these this is enough to make the fed if not pivot pause. may be that is wishful thinking. the market here's what it wants to hear and believes what it wants to hear, you did see in canada, canada did not raise rates as much as people thought so in the united states the fed will take the same policy. at the end of the day, people are really focused and as yields come down and you see week new home sales, that is good news, the fed had enough and they will take a pause. neil: how much of this could

be, the market factoring in a republican win on tuesday beyond the house and senate as well. >> there is some hope their too, the market will see this, at the very minimum you will get the spending plans out of control, and if you look at historical performance, splitting dc after a positive midterm election result markets do pretty well and if that leads the fed or alongside the fed pausing here, you have a nice operating environment, stocks going into 2023. neil: do you see the same? >> it is a bullish set up and as we learn from these experiences, we get a ton of volatility in midterm election years. the incumbent party tends to

lose congressional seats, that seems likely based on the polls and tend to have twice the turn of the market than we do in non-midterm years. it is a bullish set up. a lot has to go right. the fed is in charge. a lot of things considering, is too big part of the movement. coca-cola and all these businesses leading. if the dollar weakens earnings will be okay. that's the message. it is a good set up. if the fed stops it will be good. >> that is the set up we need to see him s&p coming from overseas. neil: the strong dollar, not looking at that. thank you very much. in this race there are blue states and some that are bluer

than blue, navy blue, that could be changing a couple of dynamics. the national correspondent, something is changing their. >> it is crime. what we found looking at the political races crime has become an economic issue in the state of oregon especially true here in the city of portland, talking to small business owners, jim rice, their costs are going up between the riots and break ins, one hundred grand, has been dropped by two insurance companies in both say something has to give. >> it is a strong liberal state and what we are seeing today is the policies that have been put into place have led us to the challenges to increase crime

and homelessness. that is swinging today, people are recognizing it, we didn't vote for that. >> i don't feel safe the neighborhood doesn't feel safe. >> in north portland is a homeless encampment in the middle of a suburban neighborhood we visited. tom showed us his backyard shed which was broken into, all his tools stolen and another change, businesses, they don't want to be here. >> a safe way and a cracker barrel move, fred meyers is close to possibly moving. we had dollar tree closed because of that and local businesses like ace hardware all had problems. >> reporter: tom is a supporter of the democrat, a 3 day race.

he thinks she would be the best to change things. christine grayson, the race has been polling well from a donation that came in from nike's founder. the fox power rankings have that, a tossup. that is not it. there are three house races we are watching in the state which is a story in and of itself because it is the bluest of blue states. neil: thank you very much. as we get closer to the big election in two weeks, there have been a series of big debates, won and done after a single debates. new york or pennsylvania, just happening. >> fracking, i don't -- i support fracking -- >> he has been try to get as

many murderers -- >> still hasn't talked about locking up anyone committing crimes. >> the change they made to bail has consequences. don't know why that is so important. >> i just heard inaudible gas around town when gretchen witmer said the kids are out of school for a few months. politicians try -- >> $40 billion of border security -- >> senator bennett has been in the senate for 13 years, i would have hoped he ran into thousand 10 to get this issue. i applaud the fact that he was with the gang of 8 but that issue needs to come back and it needs to come back right now. neil: the won and the nature of this means not as much opportunity to clash again.

shannon, did these debates, >> they could. and in pennsylvania there is one debate. she is a reporter, has covered the inner workings, i said to her, i'm a nerd, i am watching everything, are voters watching, what are you picking up, is this going to make a difference? those who cover politics, we know the struggle mr. fetterman has had, the people who were watching this debate, for the first time have to look at how he is recovering in the reaction was shock. they haven't followed us the way we do.

to see him on stage having to handle this and struggle with answers. she think that will make a difference in pennsylvania. neil: it was a disaster for him. you just felt for him. by the same token there might be people watching the same thing and rallying around him. the party is rallying around it. they voted in pennsylvania and has many of those but i can't imagine him having the same numbers a week from now that he had before this debate. >> a lot of people don't watch the debates like the weirdo expand himself to me, watching multiple states. what they see are the clips, turn up in ads and campaign

ads. even you didn't cringe these, in your town or state, you are going to see clips from this at each side we use the ones that work best to their advantage saving time of watching the debate so as millions of dollars of ads will air over the next 7 days. neil: i was catching lee selden and governor huchul debate, if it were a drinking game and all the mentions of trump you would be trash 30 minutes into the thing. i can see the strategy. in new york city, donald trump is not nearly so popular as he might be upstate in conservative areas and if she can rally your base and democrats to vote in an overwhelmingly democratic town that might help offset the anger and crime driven, inflation driven support for

lee's delta in upstate. >> republicans are feeling very bullish in new york, in their house races they feel they will flip some seats, very good conversation for the. the current governor has to do well in that democratic stronghold of manhattan, new york, the boroughs and that is why lee selden hammered her on crime. she wanted to talk about the previous president, january 6th, electors and votes that congressman selden has or hasn't cast but went back to the issue of crime. no one think he will pick up a majority in new york city but if he can up his percentage 5% to 10% that could be enough to make a difference state wide. it was a heated debate. neil: thank you very much. she does follows closely. if you wanted to google and search on candidates, you might

have a devil of a time see anything about republican candidates. it a concern about the google search and why it tilts that way after this. ♪ ♪

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neil: welcome back. ever done a google search on a candidate you want to know more about that? it sounds crazy but they are looking into this, there is something to it. >> google is accused of trying to manipulate their search results to hurt republicans in 12 senate races, 10 republican sites were ranked lower than their democratic opponents so we dug into these claims. if you type in a candidate's name followed by senate race

2022, republican sites are lower. in pennsylvania at the senate race, you might type in john fetterman and he would be the fifth result that the same for doctor ours, doesn't appear on the first page at all and that could be damaging to voters doing their research. >> 1% of the population goes past the first page, republicans have been pushed to page 2 so that if you are somebody searching vote republican, that person doesn't exist. >> we spoke to google and they denied saying the search results are too narrow saying statement this report is designed to mislead, testing uncommon search terms people rarely use, the study focused on senate races but it extends beyond that. try googleing carrie lake, the campaign website for arizona governor, doesn't appear in the

first 5 pages of results at all. her opponent comes up first. there are a lot of dynamics how the algorithm works and based on your search history you and i might get different results but this is concerning because google controls 90% of the search market so i have voter might feel they are doing research using google but not might not get exposed to certain ideas under this accusation. neil: i did a search on you and then a quick search on me. the overwhelming response on your site is they love you. on my site, i can't repeat that language. thank you very much. there we go. it is working, it is working. in the meantime everything going on, kids bad scores, you got to wonder about planned purchase of one million dollars of electric buses for kids to

get to school, not so much to cover when they get better grades and learn at school, after this. ♪ ♪ to get on the bus that takes me to you ♪ ♪ i am so nervous i just sit ♪ ♪

neil: with all the attention on the infrastructure bill, and more than that for electric buses which might be cool and reading these test scores, how they are not doing well, the priority should be putting on the classes, not what gets to classes but edward lawrence has this out of the white house. what is this about? >> reporter: the math equation has to work out.

any minute the vice president will announce plans for $1 billion in rebates to school systems so they can buy more expensive energy buses. there's a bus driver shortage in the us and so far no announcement on that. the president catering to his climate change base. and trying to say he's helping the economy in the process. >> president biden: how much your monthly bills have to pay for necessities and just a little breathing room. we are making progress bringing down costs to families. >> reporter: the president outlining how the department of education will use $80 million to make schools more efficient. we saw math scores plunge. former education secretary says that should be the number one focus. >> this means our top students are dropping in their ability to do math which means the next

generation of scientists will be smaller. the next generation of technical experts will be smaller and less we address it. >> reporter: some republicans say the president is out of touch on every big issue facing americans. >> we are blaming the dog for our homework, bringing the saudis on oil prices. the border is secure, inflation is not a problem, inflation is not going up. just like the kid that comes in and wants to borrow the car keys and hasn't accomplished his homework or his chores. >> reporter: the white house is acknowledging their efforts but moving forward with their agendas. neil: kamala harris is talking about this, the electric car thing, keeping an eye on what she is saying, the deputy director of parent voice and outreach.

electric vehicles are pretty cool, whether it is good for taxpayers is another matter but given the grades these kids are getting, whether this is a priority, to help them in the class. >> thanks for having me. the reality is things are brought to perspective. clean energy, we all hope for that. we want to create a cleaner world for everyone. but our children are suffering now. brand-new buses, electric buses, almost $1 billion diverted to provide green buses where the school transportation issues have not been taken care of. it is not good for our kids. right now out of $120 billion

of federal funding, only 2 thirds has been spent, and these schools are not lose it or use it situation and they have no idea what they should be doing but we have parents, families and caregivers of children screaming they need help. they said it. it is there. the reality is there. our children are in crisis. these are future leaders, caretakers and yet voters. parents are now ready for these midterms, ready to make their points known. and they want something else to be done. children's basic needs are not being met. neil: you are right about everything you said but we want to repurpose funds met for covid that are all spent. you put the priority on what?

>> i put the priority on the need of the school district, the need is to be able to provide educators and support staff that are quick to help the immediate needs of our children. schools shortages, staff shortages is a very prevalent thing across the country. i could say that because of that, our educators are being worked to death. worked to the point of leaving the profession and there are issues of support staff not being compensated enough for the work they do, to make them want to stay, providing a shiny new toy is great. that is what i would say. and electric bus would be great in the future but our needs need to be right now and children should be the priority right now. the mental health issues

children are experiencing is astronomical. the funds need to be allocated to more social workers, behavioral health technicians, more school psychologist, more school counselors job people needed in these schools to help all of our kids. our children need to have free tutoring, absolutely free tutoring options because not every family can afford to pay for private tutoring. those programs need to be there. parents need to be brought to the table. that is why national parent unions platform is to ensure nothing is done without us. we need to have things happen immediately. we can't wait for $1 billion to be allocated for buses, especially with the school transportation issue being so prevalent. they will be sitting in lots. there will not be anyone available to drive.

neil: let's get priorities straight. we will focus on where to go from this as well as the view from a former obama top economic adviser on the message democrats are sending this year. are they tone deaf? are we appreciating what they are saying? after this. meet leon the third... leon the second... and leon... the first of them all. three generations, who all bank differently with chase. leon's saving up for his first set of wheels... nice try. really? this leon's paying for his paint job on the spot... and this leon, as a chase private client, he's in the south of france, taking out cash with no atm fees. that's because this family of leons has chase. actually, it's león. ooh la la! one bank for now. for later. for life. chase. make more of what's yours. ♪ ♪

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be change you are about to elect a new governor and the choice couldn't be clearer. my friend wes moore was the leader of illinois. neil: some have likened your campaign to barack obama's nationally. >> the history making nature of this race, i would be the first african-american honor in the

history of maryland. i'm not in this race to make history. i'm in this race because we are going to make environmental inequities history. we can make the wealth gap history. i'm in this race because getting beat by virginia and neighboring states economically. neil: you may not more that you may not know weds moore, but larry hogan turned out, he could be the next governor. hogan is not supporting the republican candidates. we will talk to the republican candidate on the 4:00 p.m. :00 pm show. this is more than an anomaly given what is going on with republicans, not everywhere but jim messina, president of barack obama's white house to

beatty chief of staff, for resident obama's 2012 reelection effort. his skills shepherding healthcare into law. he was kind enough to join us now. welcome. >> thanks for having me. neil: i mentioned the exception of this race in maryland, not across the board but it is a tough year for democrats, might be missing something in the polls, apart from the ones there, don't look good politically. do you agree with recent sentiment that they could lose the house in the senate? >> history is important. or years, since world war ii, three senate seat and 28 house seats. americans like divided government, the president's party typically gets thereir bt kicked, 26 of the most

important races, that's a pretty tall order. neil: the map favors them in the senate. is there a breakdown? >> i don't think yet. if you look at the early numbers, you talked about this. i hate polling, polling is garbage and wrong every two years. i look at the real numbers. 12 million americans have voted. looking where the parties are coming out strongly we will have record turnout. the question is where swing voters will go. women are moving toward democrats, men towards republicans. in the close senate races, 5 to 7 races determine everything, pennsylvania's the most important race in america. i think he lost a battle but won -- won the war. dr. oz's, to but local politicians in charge of abortions, they will put on tv.

neil: a lot of people had a chance to see what is going on with fetterman. i felt for him. >> a lot of americans understand he's on the recovery. i don't think one debate finishes you. barack obama lost the first debate to mitt romney, wound up cleaning up his clocks. neil: that was a won and done debate. >> mostly focusing on senate races. neil: we talked about democrats and the conundrum with the economy and inflation and i'm wondering how you think the president has responded. for example today talking $1 billion for electric buses for kids. grades are failing and we should focus on how they get to school.

>> we need to focus on both, walk and chew gum at the same time. passing bipartisan infrastructure bill, the inflation reduction act. is real legislative are complements democrats to be running on, they are not running on that. neil: they made this inflation worse. >> everyone is struggling with these issues. neil: the president seems to blame -- i do the same. i just wonder why he does that, he takes credit when gas goes down, points fingers when they go up, oil companies are gouging, no proof of that. i wonder is he on the same page as reality? >> absolute the. he's calling balls and strikes. neil: is he calling the more staff calling them?

with barack obama, i have a feeling it was his call, his take. whether you agree with his proposals, same as bill clinton, he pivoted after the 94 midterms. he changed. will president biden change? >> all presidents change. neil: i wonder about him. >> all presidents get through the first election. neil: say he is swamped in the midterms, you hope that doesn't happen. crew clinton -- clinton quickly pivoted. i can't see president biden saying i will expand production, oil production in this country, open to tax cuts or whatever. i don't see it. neil: when i was negotiating obamacare it wasn't obama who made it deal, it was joe biden. neil: he was trying to win them

over. >> he was the guy who cut the deal and put away politics. neil: i agree. i'm not criticizing that he is old. i'm cognizant of this. it is a high-pressure job. i am wondering britain's move to a young prime minister, the governor for 44 years, should the next president we have be younger? >> i think they should be competent. let's have competence. that is what biden is saying and doing. we can argue about the substance but the way he presents it, the fact is we need someone who knows what they are doing in tough economic times. neil: you don't see is showing his age? i see a drop in cognitive skills. there are days i will forget you were on my show but should

we be worried? >> no. i was with him alone a month ago talking like you and i are talking about politics, sounded just like you and me, smarter than you and me. neil: that is easy in my case. you have been pursuing block chain technology. we have crypto, some people love it and some hate it. they say it is times past. where are you on this? a big proponent. >> block chain and crypto is one of the most exciting to balance of our lifetime. we are known for reimagining the financial system. i am bullish on this. it is important to have a crypto winner. neil: what about bitcoin itself? >> i am bullish. neil: in and around $20,000.

>> i bet it gets back to 60. neil: life is good if you have that. good seeing you. predictions on who the next republican nominee will be? not governor desantis? >> evan are desantis is great on tv but there is something missing in his ability to connect with voters. neil: donald trump -- to oppose me if i decide to run? >> how many times has he cared what other people think? once you have that job, democrats say i hope he's not going to run, they are both running. neil: the commute is great. helicopters -- absolutely. i remember george bush junior saying no one lets me win at golf anymore. it could be that. th thm the ths

thi thank you very much, jim, very gracious when people are cursing at each other. it may be suspicious but we've got the dow a little up today. this is a 4-day performance the likes of which we've not seen in the last year. after this. if you wake up thinking about the market and want to make the right moves fast... get decision tech. for insights on when to buy and sell. and proactive alerts on market events. that's decision tech. only from fidelity. i've never been healthier. shingles doesn't care. but shingrix protects. proven over 90% effective, shingrix is a vaccine used to prevent shingles in adults 50 years and older. shingrix does not protect everyone and is not for those with severe allergic reactions to its ingredients or to a previous dose. an increased risk of guillain-barré syndrome was observed after getting shingrix. fainting can also happen. the most common side effects are pain, redness and swelling at the injection site,

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(soft music) neil: they call it davos in the desert, our investment ceos are over there with the sultans, the ones who are not keen on what president biden is doing. charlie gasparino is here with this. charles: i didn't do a lot of reporting about this. he mentioned what is going on in the markets and wide is up so much. i will tell you the mood out of davos in the desert put on by mohammed hammed buhammead bin mentioned a recession. markets are up on a recession, the fed will back off raising

interest rates and somehow we have a lot of inflation. that was the economic post. there was an undercurrent that was interesting but i get from multiple ceos. this is probably the first time i heard jamie dimon was going to attend this conference which tells you why it is important to wall street and the us. generally they think the biden administration is airing by being so belligerent with the king, they are hearing it from both sides. what you have is wall street as an intermediary to mend the fences. what saudis are telling wall street guys as we cut back on oil because oil prices are flowing and we need to protect our oil.

that's the benchmark. the biden administration knew that and we are in that range. they know that. for them to be surprised we will cut oil production among oil prices, heading for a recession is ludicrous. wall street is telling the saudis this is a difficult time, we are in the middle of a midterm. let's just say tensions are high and they are trying to bridge the gap. we get no benefits according to wall street of being at odds with the kingdom. not just because of their own self interests. every major firm deals with the saudi family. let's be clear. we want lower prices. if we are not going to drill at home we need some relationships with the kingdom. we need the kingdom as an intermediary, a buffer for the ambitions of iran. this is an important relationship.

it's not just me saying this. listen to comments by jamie dimon. he thought the relationship would remain solid and it is just a bump in the road because we need each other. it is an interesting conference. the other thing i found interesting is as this rift between the us and the saudis are going on, people tell me the chinese were represented in bigger numbers than ever before. china wants to make inroads with the kingdom. we are at odds with them. this is an interesting geopolitical balancing act, high-stakes economics, business prospects and of course the cost of oil. neil: the saudis cut production by 2 million barrels a day. how do they feel about biden? they screwed us. that is not what friends do.

charles: put me in oppose session to defend the -- put me in a position to defend the saudis. to protect $90 oil, shouldn't be surprised it will protect $90 a barrel oil. one thing the wall street guys are telling the biden administration is approve a couple pipelines. it would help the situation a lot here at home. that is the word i am getting from them. neil: i had the impression from the energy minister they would not have done this had the president not tapped the strategic petroleum reserve. we will see. charles: because of the price. they want to protect the price. neil: it is all money. i've got lots of money, always the best. we have a lot more coming up after this. (vo) while you may not be running an architectural firm,

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