stuart: james brown. i remember him, 10:00 eastern,

straight to the money. dow industrials up 144 points. modest gain for the s&p. look at the 10 year treasury yield well above the 4. 3% level. the price of oil at $90. 9114 to be precise. bitcoin, 27,000 one hundred $54, that is the markets and now this. the price of oil is around $90 a barrel. when president biden took office in january of 20 when 20 when it was $55 a barrel. regular gas, $3.87. january 2021, $2.53, diesel, the industrial fuel, $4.58 a gallon today, that is energy

policy failure certainly for consumers and businesses. a bigger failure if and that. when biden cut production at halted pipelines he opened the door to russia. they don't care about climate change, they were willing to sell their oil to china. he played right into their hands. then he begs the saudis to produce more. he begs venezuela for their oil and they responded by sending us migrants. all of this and global co2 emissions go up. how many levels can you fail? biden has run down oil reserves, 350 million barrels left, half what it was when he took office. what do we do when there's a genuine emergency? that is a security issue, isn't it? biden has encouraged outflow of capital from the oil industry so you can't wave your magic wand and raise production. last point, 15 major oil companies doing business in the

us made $36 billion just between april and june. that's profit. i put that down to a win for big oil and lost for the big oil haters. afghanistan, crime, migrants, inflation, energy, failures all. second hour of varney just warming up. liz peek joins us, i think you agree with me biden's energy policies have been disastrous, you're not going to give me a fight on this. liz: you list a lot of things that have gone wrong for the biden administration. energy is top of mind but the politics of this moment. biden just canceled thousands of acres under lease in alaska and went after new mexico saying no more leasing in new mexico. what is he thinking? voters connect the dots between

all this warm fossil fuel he is waged since day one in office and the fact that gasoline prices are going up. it is the most obvious signs of voters that biden does not care about inflation, doesn't care about their distress financially and possibly isn't running for reelection. people running for reelection, he would pivot on this very easy thing to do. it would be easy. he has done plenty for the climate lobby. all he has to do is take a few steps back and say we have an emergency and we do. we have now seated pricing power to saudi arabia and russia. what could be worse for the united states? stuart: what could go wrong? i like your op-ed. fetterman dress code, fail fail. begs big question about america's steep decline. you've been to london or was it

paris but you came back, walked around new york, don't dress like sobs. liz: this goes beyond dressing like a slob. young men were out on the streets and coats and ties, looked ready to go to work, go to an office like they were adults and came back here, sixth avenue was full of people in gym shorts, this is summer and not very professional. obviously the fetterman issue goes beyond that. this is an august member elected to high position. the fact that he wants to show up on the floor, they are revamping of the unspoken rules to allow him to show up looking like a slob is incredible but i take this much farther. there is a dumbing down of standards, goals, and ambitions in this country, law enforcement, education and all kinds of spheres which is hurting our country. if we don't set the bar high we

are not going to achieve and that is where we are right now. in school, that kid, let kids get away with cheating, don't have grades, don't have testing do you think kids will do well in that environment? that is totally to the teachers unions and hurting education. ditto crime. look what is happening in new york. it's okay if you walk into a store and walk out with pockets full of goods. that opens the door to criminal gangs. if you are not going to rub shoplifters, a slippery slope. we are on it and fetterman is one more symptom. stuart: you are on the board of the fashion institute of technology. and standards. liz: and standards. stuart: linking fetterman to standards generally. that's a good point to make. what would we do without you?

we need one. pennsylvania just rolled out automatic voter registration. what's that about? lauren: when you get a drivers license you are registered to vote. give your age, citizenship, address, all the data they need for your license and then they have that information they ask 11 additional questions to complete your voter registration. it streamlines the process and half the country. stuart: you don't see a problem with this, do you? you raise issues with the problem. >> streamlined 24 states, they can be involved at the same time. stuart: back to the markets, the dow is up one hundred 40 points, the s&p is up, nasdaq up 18. richard sapperstein is with me, we go way back, good to see you on the show again.

you are buying bonds, municipal and corporate bonds. tell the audience why. >> 15 years before the fed raised the funds rate we had 0 interest rates, bonds are not investable and didn't provide ballast and asset out location. today, with the fed having raised interest rates from ankle-deep to knee-deep we have an investable bond market so clients can add and expand asset out locations to provide the asset class which is largely missing for 15 years where clients overwhelmingly hit equities because bonds didn't have yield. neil: stuart: what is your balance, bonds, stocks, what's the proportion of each? >> depending on client risk allocation, objectives, liquidity needs, probably around 40% to 50% and equities, 30% to 40% bonds. stuart: what about going forward?

that depends on your stock market outlook and interest rate. >> exactly. right now the market is pricing what i characterize as a bullish slowdown meaning all the chips fall in place where inflation will come down, economy will slow and the fed will start using and i don't see that happening. i don't see earnings being met. as to what the expectations are in the market i would rather be waiting more towards bonds, using the opportunity in the bond market versus adding to the equity market given the current environment. early when i like treasuries at 5.5%. >> i have to caution you on that. in my outlook, the fed will slow the economy and interest rates will go lower. i want to get past the point where that 6 month treasury

will mature, you might be reinvesting it at a very low rate because rates already came down as a natural response to a slowing economy. that's why we are going 10 years on high-grade corporates, 5% is easily achievable. what is interesting now is 4% tax-free is equivalent to 8% free tax. stuart: i like the way you talk. at the top of the hour delving into politics. come back soon. >> the best opportunity in the equity market is in the oil sector. all that presents a great set up for oil equities. stuart: thank you very much, see you soon. we've got some movers on the market, we always do. 2. 7%. lauren: their coverage, they say purchase it, price target,

22% upside, they expect double digit revenue growth thanks to branching out performance for golf and tennis. used to be just yoga, leisure, now they are going into specifics. stuart: how about livable? lauren: what does one wear typical ball? stuart: gym shorts. i don't play. smith & wesson, move on please. lauren: a $50 million repurchase program. stuart: ars pharma. lauren: they have an epipen nasal spray, and allergic reaction, spray it up your nose, did not get fda approval and stock is down. it isn't an extensive stock, $2 come down 57%. this would not be the first needle free emergency treatment. stuart: we talk a lot about ai.

how this could replace some workers. does that include replacing ceos? lauren: a new poll finds 49% of real-life human ceos say ai could replace us. the same members say that's a good thing. do these executives say ai would be a transformative. it's a positive thing. the ai takes over the mundane, the paperwork, isn't that why you have assistants to do that stuff? what humans can only do, whether that is human relations, talking to people, i don't know. no matter what these executives say, we are going to be nai mode soon and that is because of intel. do you know they had ai capable pc, planning to launch a new chip that power pcs to have artificial intelligence in december this year.

this laptop will soon be ai powered. stuart: i should have bought intel. lauren: it is cheap today, 2. 2%. %. stuart: still above 30, $35. senator mitt romney said he will not seek reelection, he wants to make way for the new generation of leaders. feel former utah congressman jason chaffetz is a possible replacement, could he jump into politics? can't imagine but i will certainly ask. remember when donald trump claimed he would end the ukraine war in 24 hours if president? ukraine president zelenskyy is calling his bluff. we will explain. president biden criticized for not mentioning taiwan once in his un speech, roll it. >> did not hear a specific mention of taiwan and the president's speech. >>'s position on tensions across the taiwan strait and how we don't want to see you devolve into conflict.

if you look at the speech itself it was about how to deter conflict. how to improve international cooperation towards peace and debility. blue and former cia officer on the white house's response coming up next for you. ♪ ♪ don't you forget about me ♪ don't you ♪ forget about me ♪ ♪ explore endless design possibilities. to find your personal style. endless hardie® siding colors. textures and styles. it's possible. with james hardie™. ♪ is it possible to fall in love with your home...

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>> donald trump said he would end more, what is zelenskyy saying about that? ashley: good morning.

zelenskyy wants trump to release details of that plan, the former president claims would end the war in ukraine within a day. trump has bragged in several intra-twos that if elected president he would lead piece negotiations between zelenskyy and russian president putin and have a conflict resolved in 24 hour period. he has refused to provide details only saying he would get both sides in a room and say things to each that would end the war immediately. zelenskyy says trump should reveal that plan to save ukrainian lives. stuart: you never know what trump would actually do. that's the whole point. during his un address president biden called out russia. he says we can't let their war in ukraine go unchallenged. >> president biden: russia big leaves the world will grow

weary and brutalize ukraine without consequence. i ask you this which we abandon the core principles of the united states who he's an aggressor, can any member in this body feel confident they are protected? stuart: former cia officer laura baldwin joins us which are we giving ukraine the support it needs? or are we forcing them into a stalemate? >> we are giving them the aid they desperately need more advanced air defense missile systems. imagine if the united states were engaged in trench warfare, ten miles either way spanning from miami to new york. that's the distance ukraine is dealing with and kyiv is relatively sheltered, odesa and the ports on the danube river are not. this is important to us because

it is a critical element of the international supply chain, if we don't protect those ports and don't protect the ability for ukraine to get that, human beings will go hungry. stuart: i get the impression america wants a stalemate. >> the united states does not want a stalemate. i understand why you say that, ukraine is facing in terms of gaining us support, facing production challenges in the united states. political will to continue supporting them to the level we have. and concerns, valid concerns that we don't want to escalate. weapons system this with longer range, could we end up in a bad situation like the market bombing which happened recently when evidence suggests ukraine

use an outdated russian system that doesn't have perfect aim and unfortunately many civilians were killed. stuart: a different subject. during his un speech the president did not mention taiwan, not at all. nikki haley, republican candidate for the presidency was on the show earlier and responded to what the president said missing out taiwan. >> not only would i mention taiwan but the fact that china had a spy balloon going over us and the fact they killed more americans than the air ask, afghanistan or vietnam war combined. i would mention they steal $6 billion of intellect will property, the fact they are putting a spy center off the coast in cuba. there's a lot i would mention. stuart: asked what she would say if she were president at the un, do you think biden is afraid of mentioning taiwan? >> reporter: nikki haley is right in terms what she outlined, the question becomes

at what moment is the time to go aggressive outwardly or bore more subtle in language. i was speaking with and ambassador from china's neighborhood and he said we are all united in constraining china. they are a real threat and extremely sensitive to overt criticism. culturally they want to save face. we need to balance how overt we are and how subtle we are. i think china was there implicitly in the president's speech. i too may have been a little more direct in the some of my statements if i were his speechwriters but i do think china was put on notice that not just the united states but the entire world is watching your buddy, your dictator friend in vladimir putin so in

that way china was addressed. stuart: unfortunately, russia, china, india, britain, france, security council, they weren't there. thanks very much. iran's president condemned the us, take me through his comments. stuart: the uranian leader stoking the war in ukraine, he himself had overcome us intelligence efforts to topple his regime and asserted the future belong to countries and his sphere and the days of the west were over. watch this. >> translator: to endeavor to universalize american ideals have proven to be failures, iranian nation takes pride in

having unmasked the true nature of the rulers in the east and west, islamic revolution. ashley: piece of the world is transitioning into a novel international order and the project to americanize the world has failed. ambassador to the un, to protest the speech and was detained by un security personnel. she can see from the video holding a picture of a woman murdered by iran's so-called morality police for not being properly addressed. president biden scheduled to take part in a bilateral meeting with benjamin netanyahu. stuart: power rankings show most republik and primary voters prefer populist candidates over traditional conservatives as donald trump

is considered a populist, widens his lead. alexis will have the full report. vice president harris is climate anxieties making young people doubt whether to have children or to purchase a home. is anyone buying that? ben domenech is next. ♪ (sfx: stone wheel crafting) ♪ the biggest ideas inspire new ones. 30 years ago, state street created an etf that inspired the world to invest differently.

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stuart: on the markets, wednesday all day, the dow is up one hundred 64 points, 34,682, the nasdaq, slipped into negative territory. and intel, down 4%. >> worst performer, they had their big investor day yesterday and analysts are skeptical over their ability to simultaneously take on nvidia which is down, artificial intelligence, defend their core market and build up their foundry business where they make semi-conductors for other companies. bottom line, they are still in prove it mode, the ceo is

happening. stuart: chewy, the pet folks. lauren: they are down 4. 5%. oppenheimer downgraded them to perform, no price target. they see a couple more challenging quarters, the pet food industry not resilient? general mills flat spending when it comes to pet food. what is going on? lauren: what's the morality of feeding your dog a lesser brand? lauren: do you want an answer? stuart: you've got 10 seconds. lauren: if you give your child a lesser brand of food you might as well for your dog lesser brand. stuart: let's move on to cot why. lauren: they lifted the revenue outlook for the first half and entirety of fiscal 24 thanks to perfume. they have a license deal with a newer perfume setting market records and they are in big on it. stuart: i will leave you alone. i require no further comment.

lauren: the bottle's bid for, i've got it. stuart: the latest fox power rankings out today. alexis mcadam is trying to sort through them and is sitting next to us listening to the stuff. >> don't know how i follow this conversation. i think you are spot on. stuart: the biggest take aways. >> fox power rankings, donald trump widening his lead which doesn't surprise a lot of voters but top 3 candidates, donald trump, ron desantis and vivek ramaswamy fall into a category of republicans that mike pence called populist. take a look, populists and conservatives differ in three areas, foreign policy spending and trust in institutions, populists don't want to spend more money or send it to ukraine, don't want to make cuts to social security and medicare programs. less trust in government institutions, traditional conservatives say helping allies is in the country's best interest and the us must reduce

the debt, they also distrust the government, don't call for the elimination of the fbi. call rankings show most republik and primary voters prefer populist candidates over the traditional conservative philosophy. trump, vivek ramaswamy are in the populist category, desantis leans in and out of the camp. these three polling 84% of the primary voter base. 70% of gop primary voters believe the country should pay less attention to problems overseas according to the latest new york times siena paul and 86% of republicans don't trust washington according to foxnews paul, donald trump holds the top spot ahead of the other candidates you are looking at and there's still shifting going on, vivek ramaswamy up one spot from the last power ranking, nikki haley also climbing, tim scott down two spot from where they were about to go showing more traditional conservative camp sitting on the outside looking in and chris christie is listed in these power rankings as a

wildcard so we have to see how he continues to do in new hampshire and keep a close eye on the debate where you will be. stuart: yes i will. coming up soon. thank you. let's bring in ben domenech on this. what do you make of a voters embracing populism over conservatism? is this no longer ronald reagan's conservative party? >> populism is not an ideology unto itself. it is a posture. it modifies conservatism to a certain degree and looking back at ronald reagan's approach to governance when he was president he wasn't in that same camp of people who wanted to cut back on medicare entitlement programs, prioritize military spending, winning the cold war was the more important thing. what is interesting is whether these populists are able to essentially be long-term example of leadership in the party as opposed to something

just tied to donald trump. he won as a populist in 2016 and changed the party in so many ways but we have never seen that expand beyond the him to the degree a lot of people expected. how much is this tied to them as individual? something we will find out not just in this election but future elections. stuart: trump is far and away the front runner in the power ranking polling. is there anyway you see other candidates to catch up? seems to be they will rely on iowa and new hampshire. what say you? >> what has to happen is ron desantis has to win iowa. if he doesn't it is over. the only conceivable case as an alternative to trump's if he wins that state and builds on momentum. a real problem is there are two south carolinians in this race. looking at polling data out of south carolina almost 1/4 of

the electorate they like nikki haley and tim scott. so i think the problem for desantis, he has to get rid of one of them, probably tim scott and hope he gets out before the home state. the extrication's we have. stuart: got to get rid of tim scott. vice president harris is climate anxiety is making people not want to have children or purchase a home. i will roll that tape again. >> i for young leaders talk to me about a term called climate anxiety. right? which is fear of the future, of the unknown, whether it makes sense to think about having children, whether it makes sense to aspire to purchase a home, what will the climate be? stuart: sorry to say this, i

don't consider that to be serious politics. >> may not be serious politics but she has some data on her side especially among younger left-leaning members of our society. they've got things backwards. we need to be having more children, not fewer, we need to be optimistic about our future and hopeful for the promise that science has when it comes to solving these problems, we need to have more people in this country, the fact is what we see is societies that don't have children at that rate, the don't reproduce to that rate, tend to spiral toward decline. that's not something we want to experience in america. people need to have more kids, more frequency, not less and that something important to get right in this next administration, to encourage those policies. stuart: very interesting take on kamala harris. glad you are on the show.

see you again soon. >> best of luck with the debate. can't wait to hear what you ask. stuart: okay. moving on. thanks for being here. always a pleasure. the administration is under fire for its open border policies so what do democrats do? they blame republicans. we will tell you how congress one jiapol is handling this. charged with murdering in texas after being released into the us, bill. melugin and has that story next. (fisher investments) in this market, you'll find fisher investments is different than other money managers.

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stuart: a migrant from peru originally apprehended in may was released into the united states. the migrant has been charged with murder.

all right, bill, he was released into the us and had a court date. >> his court date was set for 2025, breaking news if we look at that, we have an enormous mass illegal crossing take place. probably being conservative with that. this has an enormous illegal crossing, 2000 people cross in the same spot. in venezuela, my producer talk to some of them, they just arrived on a train in mexico and our ago. they went into the mexican city directly across from us. all at once this massive group crossed illegally.

a couple buses, these mass crossings completely overwhelm border patrol and manpower and resources. you can see how many people are under this bridge and it doesn't do it justice compared to how long a line there was in the water and walking up to us right now. if we can pull the drone away, we have some people arriving here, crossing the river and being escorted by the texas national guard and border patrol. this was an enormous group, the mexican military is deployed on the other side of the river. they are not stopping these illegal crossings, they are doing whatever they want, not fearing any consequences. this is still streaming into us right now. we have a lengthy line of people crossing the river, heading our way and have at least a thousand people under the bridge now. this will end up being one of the biggest mass illegal crossings we had ever seen at the southern border two days after we had another crossing where i am standing.

we showed the video from monday morning of 2,200 illegal immigrants streaming here at eagle pass two days later it is now repeated itself after these masses of migrants arrived in mexico via train, they are crossing illegally into eagle pass, broad daylight, no fear of consequences whatsoever. we will send it back to you. stuart: absolutely incredible. you caught it all on camera every day. thanks for being with us, great report. democrat congresswoman pramila jayapal says republicans are to blame for the crisis at the border. it is your difficult job to explain that one. ashley: i am not sure i can but pramila jayapal said donald trump in 2019 ended support for central american countries to help stop the migration north to the us. she's also blaming republican governors for tricking, she

says, migrants to get on buses and shipped to places that are not ready to receive them. i thought they were sanctuary cities and accuses the gop of playing into the hands of smugglers. listen to this. >> republicans continue to talk about open borders and it helps facilitate smugglers to get people to pay a bunch of money to come across. we need republicans to stop talking about open borders, that facilitate smugglers and to get to work passing comprehensive immigration reform instead of vilifying immigrants constantly. ashley: because the borders are open. new york mayor eric adams is planning to limit shelter stays for single adult migrants to 30 days. he is also considering putting restrictions on how long asylum seeking families with children can stay in the city's care. city officials say they are being forced to make difficult decisions because they are running out of room, 60,000 mostly latin american migrants

still sleep in the city shelters every night. stuart: what a mess and we report on it daily. thanks very much indeed. florida congressman byron donalds considering a run to be florida's next governor. the election will be in 26. will florida congressman kat cammac support her colleague? tanking a procedural vote on a defense bill. it was defeated. now it looks like we are on track for government shutdown. aishah hasnie has the latest and capitol hill next. ♪ ♪

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stuart: a government shutdown much more likely, the freedom caucus running a mock in congress. it is chaos. what do these republican hold outs want from speaker mccarthy? >> reporter: they are trying to get the speaker's attention and i think they did yesterday.

they are trying to draw a line in the sand. some members don't want to talk about cr at all, don't want to talk about it or look at it. they want to go to passing these 12 appropriation bills but first, they want a topline number on the budget from leadership. i got to ask speaker mccarthy when he walked to the capital if he's willing to give them is that. watch this. >> looking for a top line number of free covid levels. >> let's walk through that. does that mean they will change that? no. voting against the rule, no rationale for that. you say they can't come forward. that number was never going to change. they are working through different ones.

>> reporter: that answer may not go over well with the 5 people who take the defense bill, increases likelihood of a government shutdown and i tried over and over to press mccarthy on telling me if it would bring the cr to the floor for a vote tomorrow as planned despite that he knows plenty of members vote against it. he would not answer. stuart: right in the middle of it, great stuff. congresswoman kat cammac joins me, seem speaker mccarthy can't get his house in order and i blame the freedom caucus. sorry about that, but where are you on this? >> members, i've been in the negotiating room all day yesterday. leadership is allowing factions to come together, the house

freedom caucus, free-agents, they come together to drive this train when it comes to what do we do now that we tanked five members tanked defense appropriations bill. many people on capitol hill, and you screw around and find out. you are a gentleman. i cleaned that up for you. stuart: i know where you are coming from. you shut down the government, defeat a defense bill, vote against money for the defense department, don't know where is the wind? >> the cr everyone has been talking about is dead on arrival. that's not a viable option. that was established late last night. moving forward we are in agreement we want to see the appropriations come to the floor. if members want to play games and tank these appropriations bills that is on them. they have to answer for folks back home but i will tell you this, there's not going to be a government shutdown.

i know that for a fact. there are members who said i will cut deals with of the senate, with democrats. people are finding out either you take 80% win or take a loss and entirely and have to make a decision, do they want to play politics or grow up and actually get to the negotiating table. that is where we are today. stuart: you are coming from the same place as myself. trying to read between the lines. quick on this one. her colleague from florida, byron donald's thinking about a run for the governor of florida in 26. would you support him? >> byron and i are best friends on capitol hill. he's a great guy, incredibly intelligent articulate leader and i think he would do one heck of a job as governor of florida in the sunshine state. it's a long way between now and then but i think he would do a great job. stuart: he's a trump guy. are you a trump lady? >> i'm an american.

i have not weighed in. you try to get me on this which i'm in america first person at whoever puts forward the most pro-america agenda will have my support in this president torres. until that point i will be working hard to get the wins in this majority we were given by the american people. stuart: you are a republican and a diplomat at the same time. cat cammack. martha maccallum on another poll showing a majority of voters concerned about president's age. jason chaffetz on hunter biden and morgan ortagus on a shocking surge of migrants at the border that we have been reporting on all day. the 11:00 hour is next. ♪

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>> there are things i say that are populous and things that are conservative. what the media decides to label you, they get it wrong every time. at the end-over the day, all i care about is what the american people want. >> i can't believe the biden white house isn't awar