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♪ stuart: our producers have really remembers i like the rolling stones and chuck bernards healthcare rendition of anthony. lauren: they have. stuart: a nice day in new york. last night, halloween, it was fantastic and warm. just great. it's 11:00 in the morning, east coast time and friday, november the first already. a very weak jobs report sent interest rates down a little and market likes it. up 470 on the dow and up 230 on the nasdaq. big tech mostly higher and one loser and amazon, nvidia, microsoft, alphabet are up but apple is the loser and that is down. here's interest rates, the yield on the treasury coming up and going up now. 4.33% and numbers straight down and back up again. 433.

stuart: harris campaign wants everyone to know if elected to a second term, donald trump would be a dictator. debbie dingell worried about encampments. harris thinks he's a fascist. the message is clear: don't elect trump, he'd do bad things. how many voters believe this. it is fear mongering and par for the course. with kamala in the oval office, border stays open and can we handle another 8 million ill illegals? harris' green new deal is a climate core of activists and paying a visit to following rules and can't wait for a knock on the door. it's only fair. the teacher's union running

education and did such a good thing in the pandemic and going on corporations and only a nigh norrecession and those fears are real, especially when harris herself says if she were president, she wouldn't do anything different from the last four years. harris leads a dark and threatening campaign. fear mongering is a big part of it. trump goes to mcdonalds and rides a garbage truck and surrounded by cheering, excited crowds. he's the positive candidate. harris is the negative. third hour of varney starts now. stuart: do you think this work s? >> it's all they've got. i mean, exactly as you say, it's negative from the harris campaign because they have a negative record. where are the ads saying we've

done a good job on this and that issue and there's no ads like that because there's nothing positive they can talk about from their four years, same with trump. he's saying it riles up the democrat base and not enough to give them strict x-ray all the signs we're seeing, momentum with trump and he's been positive and side of the character we haven't seen much of in previous elections and he's winning that argument in terms of the last few days of this campaign. the energy is there, momentum is there. we'll see if the fear mongering works but it's a sad state of affair when is that's all you've got as a candidate and party. stuart: steve, you're our california guy. the democrats want to flip four california house seats -- flip

four seats and gop held now. the democrats want to flip them to democrat. flip the four seats and retack control of the house and you're in california. can the democrats flip those four seat s? >> these are all very tight races and i've been on the road supporting those candidates and actually i would add they have republican seats and deputies are talking and you've got democrat seats that republicans are targeting. three in california and katie porter's old seat and ran for senate and didn't get there and you've got a candidate and matt gunshot wounder son and going for the southern -- matt gunderson on the southern california toast and they're targeting and wins one, two, or three more and that really would guarantee the house majority. stuart: is there a gradual shift in sentiment in california away from democrats and democrat policies and ever so slightly,

more towards more conservative trump policy. just a slightest of shifts? >> i would say someones arguments and the things we should be looking at therefore, the ballot initiatives in california with a lot of ballot initiatives on big issues and i'll be looking at those to see whether the tide is turning away from the far left extremism on things like be tough on crime and limiting the ability of state government to raise taxes and minimum wage and they want to raise the minimum wage, that ballot initiative is looking 50/50 right now. ballot initiative wills tell us how strong that sentiment is. stuart: watching that real careful. steve hilton, thanks for joining us. have a great weekend. i'm sure you'll be out and about throughout the saturday and sunday.

back short term orientation the markets and green is with us and dow up 500 and nasdaq up 220 and that's 1.2%. that's a solid gain for the nasdaq. big selling yesterday. and john jonathan hoenig is wit. are you buying microsoft or meta? are you buy something >> no, stuart, i don't think you should add to weak stocks. most people the stock goes from 50 or 40 and think they've got a bargain. much better look averaging up buying strengths than buying weakness. in fact, it isn't just a couple of the names. yesterday for the first time in many weeks, we saw more 52-week lows than highs and majority of stocks now are actually trading below their 50-day moving average so not just the jobs report but some other technical indication the rally might be running out of too .

stuart: the market seems to like the jobs ad to the economy. >> yeah, rates came down for a bit but, stuart, it's not just one report and keep in mind, the government revised down the last two reports now and the jobs market was one of the factors that the biden harris administration had been running on if jobs market was so strong and the fact the market is slowing if you're looking at fundamentals, it's certainly a bearish indicator. stuart: we want your exotic pick of the week, and i'm going to tell the audience what it is. alt shares merger arbitrage, arb is the ticker symbol. you have to explain this one. >> well, this is a bet on stocks going up, stuart, baa bet on a -- an investment philosophy and that's merger arbitrage and

value stocks are outperforming and souled see more mergers to come and syrianly see that if that trump reclaims the white house. arb is unusual stock and not tied to markets overall, but i think can do well even if the rest of the market falls or goes flat. stuart: has it been doing well so far this calendar year? >> yeah, slow and steady and acts a bit more like a bond fund, stuart, than a stock fund, again, because it's not simply betting on stocks going up. it's betting on the completion of arbiters and becoming like an every day version of ivan boski or 80s arbitragers that made so much money betting on mergers to completed and unusual and efficient way to do it. stuart: must spend a lot of time scouring the world to find these investments. >> that's what we do and bring it to you every friday. stuart: we like that, jonathan. see you next week. >> thank you, stu. stuart: lauren, tell me more about this one, supermicro. how much are they down this week? lauren: 41% and counting.

look, they're an accounting firm and earnston young resigned and didn't want to be associated with the company's management and ai server company on a tear and first the hindelburgburg research report and then a probe by the justice department. stuart: household products. lauren: arm and hammer, nair, baking soda. but the forecast is disappointing and price hikes push people back and online sales very strong now 20% of overall sales so people buy household products online.

lauren: in the one particular case the judge ruled in their favor and stock up 5.5% and hundreds of similar lawsuits. stuart: all right, thanks, lauren. the boxer and youtuber jake paul just publicly endorsed donald trump to his over 20 million followers. we'll tell you why he's backing the former president. trump says if he wins, he's cracking down on the border on day one. >> he's violated ore oath and eradicated our solve ran border and un--- sovereign border and unleashed violent migrants from the gangs and jails into our country. when i take office, the restoration of the country begins. stuart: if trump wins on tuesday, is that surge at the border going to get worse? senator roger marshal responds to the question and he's next.

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stuart: donald trump is campaigning hard in oregon and pennsylvania today. all about the economy again; right? >> she forgets she's been there for almost four years but supra aural headphones southeast going to do to help the economy. i say why didn't you do it before? why didn't you do it before? reporter: that's the question he

asks. also asking the people at the rallies: are you better off now than you were four years ago. that's the question people are going to think about when they go to vote. the former president has another part-time job, if you can believe it. i don't know how he finds the time, dressed up as a garbage man in wisconsin taking out the trash after president joe biden suggested that trump supporters are garbage. the black vote in michigan and detroit is going to possibly help swing the election and kamala harris said her path to victory in michigan would go through detroit and we talked to a pastor on the west side and salespeople feel like they've been ditched by the democrats. >> there's polling that comes out saying kamala harris doesn't track well with male voters and doesn't track well with male black voters across america. why is that? >> because we know that she nerve pathology did anything for black men. she was the ag in car, her policies -- california, her policies were against black men. reporter: we only have a few days left so there's just that final push and it's the last

weekend we're heading into before the election, before the campaign season finally wraps up if you can believe it. this is the moments that really matter so he's going to try and connect with more voters here in the midwest hitting wisconsin and michigan just today. stuart. stuart: alexis, thank you very much. now this, the man accused of shooting a jewish man in chicago is now con if i wered to be an illegal myo-- confirmed to be an illegal migrant. lauren: he's 22 and from a country in northern africa. he was apprehended last march, march 2023, at california border then released into the united states. now we know he was identified as a special interest alien. that means he was known as being a potential national security threat, but he didn't get additional vetting and allowed to walk free. the man is being charged with six counts of attempted murder, four counts of aggravated discharge of a firearm. there's still calls from the community to investigate this as a hate crime as well. he also attacked the police officers that responded to that

situation. stuart: thank you, lauren. there's been a sharp increase in the number of border crossings in texas recently. senator roger marshal, republican from kansas joins me now. senator, if trump wins on tuesday, he can't take action till the inauguration till january 20th and you can expect, i presume, a huge surge at the border because -- and biden is not going to stop it; am i right? >> you're right, stu and that's why there's a mass increase of people headed to the border right now trying to beat president trump. look, we have two administrations here. president trump secured the border and joe biden, kamala harris made the situation worse. this is why we're 90% of kansasens don't feel safe in their own homes and communities and we're losing young people

every day to fete nil poisoning every day in the country and 300 deaths to fentanyl poisoning every day. stuart: that's extraordinary. senator, there's a new op ed and say farmers and ranchers are turning to donald trump to deliver. okay, senator, what do farmers get? what would they get from a trump administration? >> more trade mar markets and ls regulation as a record drop in net farm income and increased regulations and buried us in their regulations. biden is harris' fuel prices, fertilizer prices and interest rates have just killed american farmers. president trump rolled back regulations, but he give us these trade markets as well. gave us usmca, gave us japan and south korea as well and increased trade for american farmeers and i think it's a gret

example of pennsylvania, wisconsin and dairy states and increased from $6 billion to $9 billion thanks to president trump's trade agreements and of course the answer to how many trade agreements did kamala harris get done? answer is zero. stuart: we're gone ma cut it short there and have a problem with your audio and video too. we just lost you. thank you very much for coming by. see you again real soon, thank you, sir. hundreds of former, foreman employees at homeland security endorsed trump. i know why. tell us. lauren: more than 200 of them. they trust trump on the border issues because he's got a proven record and listened to the people who were in charge of the border and recommendations and i about it, they say they hold border patrol the front line and here's the open ledder and boarders of the u.s. more secure than the trump administration. on election day, you'll select a new president to lead us

evaluating the candidates and safety and security of the united states. they agree, every issue america faces is dependent on our national security and a lot of that is at the southern border. >> think of dhs employees, federal workers as natural born harris supporters but not these guys because they're 24 contention with the border. >> awe resources pull and 10 malcolm in they had to deal with. stuart: big jump in the dow and nasdaq and weak jobs report earlier today and stimulated some buying after yesterday's heavy selling. the dow actually is having its best day since the middle of august, august 15th. the biggest winners on the dow are as follows, microsoft, goldman, boeing, chevron, mcdonalds, collectively they add 205 points to the dow. how about the cryptos, are they doing anything today as the market goes up? yes. crypto, we have bitcoin going back do the $70,000 level,

ethereum also on the upside. key part of trump's campaign is all about making america affordable again. >> fur r furthermore, i'll adda task force to cut spending. stuart: what does economist ej antoni make of all this planning? he'll tell us because he's next. ♪

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stuart: rally molds in facts it's growing and dow up 532 points and 1.25% and nasdaq up 251 and that's 1.39%. solid rally. lauren lookerring at movers and amazon is moving. lauren: 200 a share. they're an ecommerce giant and sell a lot of stuff and made a

decision to compete with the chinese rivals and consumer that's slowing down to stock more cheap items and that would hurt their margins and they maintained them. that's impressive. also their cloud aws growth of 19% and most in seven quarters of amazon and stock up 7%. stuart: all time high closes at 200. all time. lauren: there they are. stuart: watching the show. chevron. that's up, i'm sure. lauren: yeah, 3.13% and record output over 1.6 million-barrel as day and mainly due to record production in the perm indian basin. basin. stuart: thanks, lauren. both campaigns going to win over the union vote and president biden going to be here today and

hard to make a case against the fact that biden has been the most pro union president in the picket line and first time a u.s. president ever walked with a union on the bibbing et line and they've done pretty well under biden is harris. axio s4 an interesting number this morning and pointing out that the year-to-date nonunion wages up 3.6%. unions have done well under biden is harris. question is whether that carries over to harris herself. biden had more support among teamster workers than trump did, 44-36% and then when harris became the candidate, the numbers completely changed from

36% to 58% and harris with 36%. quite clear that labor, mostly big labor sports harris walz. everybody from flcio to uaw asks me, service employee's june, steel workers, teemers, a large number of labor is on the side of the democrats. trump, it's a national border patrol council and that union and police unions. that's where he's making the case that he's got the support from those guys but making the case that it's not just who's about more pro union. union guys vote on a whole lot of issues and i talked before we get away here, i don't often talk to the voters and here's somebody undecided, just met a guy that was undecided and he's with a stage and union and he's setting up the stage. it's interesting. >> me personally, i'm a bit divided and i don't really know.

i feel like i come from a different generation and we're dealing with things that were started not because of us and we're here to kind of fix those for the people we have in place that are trying to fix those things and more so for the older generation and not for us. hard for me to make a decision and trying to figure out -- reporter: you're still undecided. >> very much so. reporter: a union worker and still a few of them out there and the battle continues. stuart: got it, jeff flock right there, thank you very much, jeff. back to the jobs report. only 12,000 jobs added to the economy in the month of october. ej antoni is an economist and joins me now. ej, that was a very weak jobs report just before the election. that's not what harris wants to see, is it? >> not at all, stu. the eternals are even worse and include for example the huge

downward revisions that we got yet again, it turns out that we basically lost 100 jobs and i know a lot of people including in the biden harris administration are trying to blame this all on hurricanes and strikes but look at household survey, which is where the unemployment rate gives us measure of employees and for the month it fell over 300,000. that survey and brings people to employee and out of work because of the semi-prayer disruption like a strike and in other words you can't tell me that all of these losses are simply coming from things like strikes because the data say that's not true. stuart: going for 2025. >> that's what the leading indicators are telling us and pointing down for quite awhile now and one of the reasons why the reports have not gotten much worse than they have been is

simply the fact that things were skewed essentially coming out of the pandemic. when you reopen the economy, all of a sudden for example you get a massive surge in new orders and as things normize, it looks like a big downturn and what we're seeing today that i think is different, is we're moving away from his toric norms and going even lower so that's where we get those negative indicators from that tell us in the future things are going to continue slowing down. stuart: trump plans to create a new cab gnat position and job to reduce the cost of living and ej, can a cabinet position do that? >> ordinarily, stu. i would say absolutely don't do this or create another cabinet position or three letter agency or whatever the case may be. if we're talking about something that will aim at bringing down the cost of living, which today means reducing government, reducing government not just waste, fraud and abuse, but the size and scope of government to

reduce spending and the money printing and reduce inflation and this sounds like a real win here and we've talked about this before and would love to see somebody like elon musk head this up. stuart: that would be a cabinet position and i don't think musk would want to be in the cabinet and walk away from investments and not going to do that. let's get back to this, elon musk the $2 trillion he wants to cut out of government spending. john paulson, that's a potential treasury secretary under trump and he says he could get $1.7 trillion worth of cuts just especially by ending the ev mandate. that sounds very promising to me. >> absolutely, stuart. especially when we consider the fact that not only is this waste from the standpoint of we're spending taxpayer dollars on something that we could very easily go without and once that money goes into the private economy, it's causing a misallocation of resources and things that would be better

suited for more productive ends we're having to forego those other goods and services and in other words the opportunity cost here is huge so not only would you reduce government bloat but on top, grow the private economy faster. stuart: the big picture purposes of trump's plan is cut taxes, put money into consumer's hands, cut government spending and take money out of the government. that's the balance they want to do; right? >> absolutely. when you consider that it's exactly the opposite of what we have seen over the last several years, we should reverse the effects of what we've had over the last several years. stuart: ej antoni, have a great weekend. see you next week after the election. now this, boxer and youtube star jake paul came out and endorsed donald trump for president. lauren: yep. stuart: what else did he have to say? lauren: tens of millions of followers and long and fiery video and vote for change because democrats have been in charge for 12 of the past 16

years and trump is that change. >> nervous and scared to make this video because of what it means in terms of my career, my life, people coming after me, more accusations, more turmoil, more division potentially. things just don't feel right. america doesn't feel good. vote for donald trump. not because i said so, not because beyonce said so, but because it's what's right. lauren: he went for 18 minutes and filmed that in puerto rico where he lives. so he can't vote, but he spoke about the comedian at the madison square garden rally that insulted puerto ricans calling them a floating island of garbage. he said i know that donald trump doesn't feel that way and he got his endorsement and was nervous to do it. he's preparing for fight against mike tyson, that's the younger male audience that trump is trying to get. that's jake paul.

stuart: he's got 20 million followers. lauren: more across channels. stuart: during the pandemic, boat sales got a major boost and apparently sales are falling. ashley webster, lucky guy. he's at international boat show finding out what's behind the drop in sales. it's a tough assignment. he'll show us around after this. ♪ ♪(voya)♪ there are some things that work better together. like your workplace benefits and retirement savings. voya provides tools that help you make the right investment and benefit choices. so you can reach today's financial goals and look forward to a more confident future. voya, well planned, well invested, well protected. ♪ i have type 2 diabetes, but i manage it well ♪

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leaving you lost. you need to hire. i need indeed. indeed you do. sponsored jobs on indeed are two and a half times faster to first hire. visit indeed.com/hire stuart: dow up 550 points and nasdaq up 250 and this is a rally, folks, on a friday morning. check the how about the two

yield, 4.17% and not hurting the stock market. los angeles county suing both pepsi and coke. on what grounds? lauren: plastic pollution and misleading the public about it. the beverage giants allegedly deceived us about the recycleability of their con stainers and all la county residents and pepsi koenen and coca-cola not responding and going for them and going for the country at 71%. stuart: can we move on. i'm done with california, thanks very much indeed. now boat sales, they surged during the pandemic, however they've been declining recently. ashley webster at ft. lauderdale international boat show. is high prices the big problem,

ashley? ashley: partly, stuart. depends on the sector and ashley: they're expecting more than $900 million inform direct sales and somebody is buying something and it's remarkable and boats here, 250 feet, luxury i ci cyachts down to 10-foot di, which is more my style. the growing segment is the solar is and battery powered boats and standing up on one that's silent yachts, great name. solar panels here and this is a growing sector that a lot of people are -- the technology improves all the time. let me bring in phillip, the vp of she's from chester, not too

far from darby. >> we have a backup generator if anybody wants to go faster or in areas where there's little sunlight, integrate the generator and carry on as normal. ashley: how is business? >> business is great. you know, boat sales overall has shown down from the post-covid craziness, similar to realize. not as much as people weren tis pating but in the particular nearby, solar electric power, it's the u.s. debut of the sun 62, and we've been packed and it's incredible. we're happy. ashley: good for you. lots of commissions too. great for you, phil. this boat is just under $5 million compared to some, it's a steal. talking about politics, phil mentioned that politics is

discussed here, and selling point is if you buy a boat, >> this boat is a city and has all the sanitation and you've got your food and put it in asia, europe, or wherever you want and they pay attention to what's going on globally. ashley: so, stu, they tell me there's more than 1200 guests at this event that are -- have a net worth of $20 million or more. i'm not one of them, but maybe if i wear the sailor hat i can get away with it. stuart: it's an aspirational thing, ashley. that's what it is. ashley: yes, yes. stuart: great stuff. ashley, have a good time at the boat show. see you next week. ashley: i will. stuart: stick around, ashley will stick around for the friday feedback, he'll be playing in that one as well. first though, the price gap between new and used cars is wider than ever. take me through the numbers. lauren: the gap is at $20,000

for the first time. edmonds says new car costs $4,750 and new car is $27k and come down 6% in the past year and that's one reason why used cars are pretty popular right now. they're more affordable. good luck finding a car under $25,000. it's basically unheard of these days and heard from carvana yesterday, great report. their quarterly sales just about doubled because people want a bargain. they also want bigger cars so new cars are tougher to come by, more expensive. bigger with more be bells and whistles and people want affordability, go to use car market. stuart: $27,000 for a used car? lauren: use. new car pushing 50 on average might as well buy a boat. stuart: it's that time showing you the dow 30. see how the dow is doing and best day since august 15th. up 550 points, 1.3%. that's a rally. don't go anywhere, friday

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stuart: ashley is ready to government so is lauren. we're off. melissa writes this, what's your favorite halloween candy. kitkat and milk duds. stuart: ash. ashley: reese's pieces all day long. stuart: straightforward answer. stuart: what's your favorite costume? never dressed up. lauren: elvis presley. four years ago was the last time i dressed up.

ashley: halloween stuff and i missed out. stuart: halloween was unknown in england. didn't have it. when it first came to america 50 years ago, i couldn't understand what was going on. all the kids running around in the street with bags of candy. i couldn't believe it. ashley: begging for candy. stuart: yeah. this is from robert. stuart, you and ashley have turned me a yankee into a rabid premier league fan. go nottingham forest. what the heck are you doing with nottingham. achier nottingham forest dreaded enemy is darby county. boy, blew it on that one. stuart: and darby county was my

home team. i like manchester city because they always win. sure fire way to enjoy the league. this is from thomas, have you used chatgpt. if so, what for? yes, sir, i have once. what about producers? turn to me, chatgpt speech at a birthday party and used it. thank you very much. ashley. ashley: wow. i haven't. i played with it but haven't used it. stuart: lauren? lauren: plan to use it because i have to officiate a wedding for the first time and i don't know where to begin. stuart: wait a minute, you're a minister of some sort? lauren: no, not a minister, but i'm ordained to officiate a friend's wedding. stuart: you can do that? lauren: yes. stuart: it's a one off? lauren: do it and get paid. you'd be great, stuart. stuart: you can do this and ordain yourself? lauren: i'm in the process of figuring it out, yes. stuart: we're going to move on i think. this is from jessica. with the election right around the corner, how do you permly prepare for -- personally prepare for coverage-over the day of and morning after

especially in a race as tight a this one? ashley, you're first on this one. ashley: yeah, i mean, obviously once the polls close and it's difficult in america with so many time zones but a very late night. sometimes you don't noisy recordings the result and of course all the drama the following day. frankly, i don't know if i should be saying this as a news person, i can't wait for it to be over. stuart: careful, son. lauren. lauren: i check the markets and betting markets and key races maybe smaller districts, get a feel and then after, you check the actual markets; right, financial markets. stuart: i'll stay up all night on tuesday. lauren: you are? stuart: i'll have to and then i'll get a couple of hours of sleep then come in and most important show we do will be wednesday morning and hopefully we have a result and that's what we want to see. this is from mark. stuart, i really like the music on the station breaks. what's on the top? start me up rolling stones.

lauren: i love sackmary b sabria carpenter lately, but i also have a 9-year-old daughter. ashley: david bowie, jet city. stuart: what's something you want to do but haven't yet. i've lived a charmed like i've never wanted to swim. stuart: something you've wanted to do. ashley: the northern lights and go to iceland or upper norway, finland or whatever and see the northern lights. that'd be great. stuart: one thing our viewers don't know about, ashley, he was almost a professional soccer player with brighton, is that

correct? ashley: almost but didn't make it. stuart: thanks for sending in all the messages about friday feedback. now time for the friday trivia question. how many calories are in the average trick or treater's halloween bag? lauren: nobody wants to know. stuart: 5, 7, 9, or 11,000 calories. the answer when we come back. lauren: damage is done. ♪ ..

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stuart: do we want to know how many calories are in the average trick-or-treat halloween back? you are first. ashley: i'm going to go with the lowest, 5. ashley: will go with the highest, 11,000. stuart: i will go somewhere in the middle, 9000. the answers 11,000 according to children's healthcare testing, the equivalent of 6 pounds of candy. can you believe that? lauren: a lot of parents throw it out. stuart: it's been a great week, next week will be spectacular, the election week, thanks very much, see you next week. it is now yours, neil.