tv Fox News Democracy 2024 FOX Business November 5, 2024 8:00pm-9:00pm EST
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noting, martha, that this is the political malpractice that she didn't pick josh shapiro -- bret: we've got a -- >> -- jewish-americans. i think we'll be talking about that. bret: we will look lot at pennsylvania. election night in america just getting started. >> we are seconds away from 17 states plus washington, d.c.. including new hampshire, illinois, tennessee, florida. plus, the critical battle groun- >> if we win pennsylvania, we win the whole thing. it's very simple. >> pennsylvania, or it call -- all a comes down to this. >> we have results as they come in. the moment is here. america is watching. ♪ martha: it is now 8:00 in new york. polls have closed in other a dozen states. all eyes, of course, on pennsylvania which could be the
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deciding state in this race, 19 electoral votes at stake. fox news decision desk says this is, obviously, too early to call in pennsylvania as we will be watching that one really million the bitter end. bret: fox news is projecting president trump will win the state of florida putting him 30 electoral votes closer to the white house. to too early to call a winner in new hampshire where vice president harris has an edge. martha: in maine, the fox news decision desk says it's too early to call the state a wide desk, maine gives 2 electoral votes to the winner and 1 vote to the congressional winner in each of their districts. a too early to call in the state of maine. bret: in the southeast, fox news can project that trump will win tennessee, a longtime republican stronghold, not a surprise there. further south the former president will, again, win alabama. big numbers there. martha: and the former president
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will win neighboring mississippi. trump will cruise to victim i -- victory in oklahoma as well where democrats haven't won a single county since 2000. bret: and missouri will also deliver a win for the former president. vice president harris will take some big victories this hour, the fox news decision desk can project that the vice president will win illinois adding 19 electoral votes to her tally. martha: also new jersey, another reliably democratic state. some people had thought new jersey might be tight, but we're ready to call new jersey -- my home state, exactly. voters in massachusetts deliver a clear victory to harris as well, no mystery in those states. bret: fox news can project that the vice president will win connecticut. he will also win maryland. that state worth 10 electoral votes. an interesting senate race there. martha: harris will also take rhode island, and she has a lead in delaware, president biden's home sate, of course. buts it is too early to call in
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delaware at this point. bret: the vice president will win the district of columbia which has never voted for a republican. and continues not. if you look at the electoral college and the race to 270. it obviously changes with all of these numbers. s it is in the corner of your screen, 105 to harris' 722, and -- 72. and as we start to fill in this map little by little, we're going get closer to the 270. there's some big states including california all the way out west that'll adjust this number for the vice president. we're back with jessica, jessie and kellyanne, we added you with. thoughts? >> we sure about new jersey? [laughter] voted next to a guy this more thanking wearing a garbage bag, so i thought the state was a lock. i guess i was wrong about that. i also just heard from a person who is not going to vote and then his girlfriend called him and said if you don't vote for kamala harris, we're breaking up. [laughter] so he just drove with two hours
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os to the polling station and waited two hours in line. i still don't understand people. and i'm9 no going to give you the county by county because i don't have that in my wheelhouse, but i was just watching something interesting in georgia where she's not performing as well with black voters as joe biden, and donald trump has flipped the script with indies, he's up 1 is 11 -- 11 with independents. those are interesting things to look at. other than that, if you look at these exit polling or the fox news voter analysis, you would hi this would be a runaway donald trump victory. i don't understand if only 13% of americans feel they're getting ahead financially that kamala harris is even competitive. and bravo to the democrat machine to make this race competitive, because she came out of no in to where, no one knows who she is, she didn't run a specific campaign, and she is making it, they are making it a
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very competitive race. we haven't called anything surprise except for new jersey. [laughter] martha: you were surprised. >> i was. martha: jessica tarlov, good to see you. >> thanks for having me. martha: your thoughts so far. >> not surprised by new jersey, and i'm sorry for you. you have been bragging about that one for months to me. >> i was wrong once. >> one time. it's been interesting to see, obviously, what's going on in the suburbs, if this is a harbinger of a good night for kamala harris, that's where it's going to happen. you need the urban turnout to be huge, and i think philadelphia was a big story, already in the first hour of election day polling, that they were smashing records. we'll see where that all turns up. but what i'm focused on is seeing once all the exits are out, you know, what ended up being the one, two two and three most important issues because in final polls of iowa, preserving democracy was number one. that also showed up in the maris polling, and if it is preserving democracy, that bodes very well for kamala harris' evening.
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and if it goes preserving democracy, the economy and then abortion, that's definitely a good night, especially, to your point, bret, from a few minutes ago where you said she had closed the gap with donald trump in terms of who's best to handle the economy and cares about a people like me. bret: harold, can we talk a second about florida? it wasn't close. we just called it for the former president. it's a big electoral vote haul. but if you think about it, you know, in elections past florida was a swing state. >> yep. bret: 2022 ron desantis changes that and makes it a red state. and even in miami-dade county, the republican is taking home a vote including latino vote which could bode something else beyond florida. >> desantis will probably be a big part of that story. it's important to note they also had an abortion initiative on the ballot there in florida, and it looks it's going to win, the right the to an abortion with, 57-43. almost like the same numbers that trump won with maybe a little bit better.
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so people split the ticket there. those that were going out and, indeed, perhaps some republicans voted for that. you've got a strong governor like in florida, one in north carolina, she's going to need that governor, kamala harris, to help her get over the hump there. a democratic governor there that's now been elected. i'm curious about these suburban areas. i listened to karl and now jessica, kellyanne, it may be even virginia -- and you were talking, bret, you hook at the issue around lgbtq+ and how those issues have played in the virginia school system there and loud. en county number is -- loudoun county number is an interesting number. in indiana, she's ott not performed quite as well. so it's interesting to see maybe these states are a little different -- [inaudible conversations] >> bill, you have loudoun count- >> that's an urban county -- >> what was 2020? >> look at 2020 versus now. >> the fox insights that we
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have, you see this green outline? we can show you what the vote was at this point four years ago, okay? let's go ahead and click on this and find out together, okay? if loudoun county with 96% of the vote reporting in that county, rump's got a 3 -- trump's got a 3.3 jump higher than he was performing 4 years ago. now we'll clear this off of here. how it computes here on computer with four years ago, that's a slip of about 4.5 to points in that this county for harris. maybe it is the transgender issue that the trump team pushed so much during this campaign. and maybe that's having an impact on that. let's move away from virginia. a couple interesting stories that i want to bring our viewers up-to-date on. punching around this map here, you can find a little good muse for kamala harris. -- can good news. you can find good news for donald trump, and i'm going to show you why.
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look at duval county in jacksonville, okay? this is advantage trump from where he was four years ago in duval county. see that? you see that swath? flipped it by 5 points there. now i want to go up to georgia here. and in the rurals, east of atlanta and to the south, another fox insight here, okay? that's baldwin county. the county seat in baldwin county is millageville. it was the confederate capital of georgia during the civil war. our fox insight is telling us right now, look at this, okay? it has two colleges in this county. the african-american population is about a 44% countywide. trump right now at this moment with 84% of the vote reported in baldwin county is up 77.9 5 points -- 7.5 points from 2020. the trump team's going to take that. likewise, okay, the metro area of atlanta, let me pop out here. you've got 26 counties to concentrate on. the harris folks are telling us in douglas county that she's
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performing better than biden did four years ago, okay? these are suburban voters all over the atlanta lawyer. area. you've got about a quarter of the vote still out there. biden finished in douglas county with a net gain of 17,360. that would be good news for the harris campaign if this number holds there in douglas county. let me preponderance out here a -- pop out here a moment and show you another thing -- bret: can you say in georgia for one second? >> i can. bret: just before we leave there, the fox news voter analysis and the network's exit polls we're being told show the former president doubling his percentage of black men in georgia. he was at 111% in 2020 the -- 11% and now atta% -- 25% according to these two -- >> so that may sync up with -- bret: it's starting to match the raw vote. >> that may sync up with what we're seeing in fulton county. almost half the vote still the
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out there, okay? 5 a 2 is the estimated number of votes that are in at the moment, okay? so offly 48% out there -- roughly 48 out there. this is fulton county. clam harris is going to to win the county, but look at the raw vote total. 129,000. look what joe biden did in the same county, okay? if 24 2,000. you'd have to go to the precinct to know where the rest of the remaining vote comes from. maybe we can take a look at that in a moment here. but you're 1 of 159 in terms of population. so maybe what you're saying about the african-american male vote there is true in places like fulton county, georgia. just want to caution you, there's sill a lot of vote out there, but we're going to keep a very close eye on fulton county start right now into the night many georgia. martha: bill, do you have any indication that turnout is a bit lower than 2020? because that would affect if some of what you're doing in these comparisons as well. >> i can tell you this, martha, before election day brad after
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fence pirger, the secretary the of state, set up an awesome went site. just county by county with the early vote. i was on there every hour just trying to analyze it. one thing that was evident from the early vote -- don't know about today just yet, but based on the early vote -- the african-american population in georgia is about 33% statewide. what the political analysts will argue is you need in order to win as a democrat, you need 30 of that vote. and the early vote indicated that kamala harris was just a tick above 26. so that's another indicator, maybe another data point that we need to keep an eye on throughout the night as to what b rrgs et was talking about. bre breath brit, what are you looking at? >> i've been keeping an eye on this issue raised in our voter analysis. fully half of all voters say the future of democracy is the most important factor, that's big number. that's a lot of people worried about that. now, trump gets some of those
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voters. but 60% of hem are going for harris. i think that that issue, democracy, is about one thing, about a trump and fear of trump. it's the same, it's the same factor we keep tom coming back to time and time again. the trump factor in this race, is he able to overcome the resistance to him which has been so dominant in three previous cycles. bret: because if you were just running on thish shows including the most important, economy and inflation -- >> right. bret: concern you wouldn't see that. >> wouldn't see that. yet you've got half the people -- that's a trump -- maria: it was a huge issue for 2020, and it also resurfaced a wit with candidate selection in '22 that he got blamed for. >> certainly did. martha: the question is, are we going to see the increase in his approval if -- numbers translat- >> and if you work your way to what that's about, that's about january 6th. the price he paid politically for january 6th is still being paid. martha: it and also was hammered over and over again by former
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president -- by current president biden, the former candidate -- bret: and vice president harris didn't take that a lot, but she did come back to it towards the end of the campaign. >> it shows you the power of the media because in many ways it's a b.s. issue. go back to the january 66th-supposed to be the moment when we all thought we should peer our democracy was fragile. it was the premise of the january 6th special committee that we, as the co-chairman of the committee put it, we came create critically -- critically close to losing our democracy. it's ridiculous. our democracy's pretty sturdy. our checks and balances worked. the thing was over many a matter of hours and here we are, it's still a factor to. bre breath and here we are with a political rise from january 7th, 2021, to a candidate who is at least tied and in a good position that has a path to 270 to win the white house. stand by, panel, if you would. martha: speaking of that, let's check in with aishah hasnie at
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the trump campaign headquarters in west palm beach, florida, tonight. what's the mood over there? a long way to go on the to be, but how are things looking aishah? >> reporter: things are looking good here. the crowd behind me still hasn't a really filled up the convention center, and that's because i'm told there's a long security line, apparently. a lot of folks are at the hilton party next door and still haven't made their way over because there's a really long security line, they've got to to go through that before they get in here. that is what's holding up the people, the spaces that you see behind me and why that the hasn't filled up just yet. you guys were on the big screen when you called florida, and everybody erupted into a cheer. i was talking to congressman mike waltz of the great state of florida, and he was telling me it was a record early vote turnout and that's why. and he thinks that's going to resonate across the country today. people are going to come out and vote for trump. back to you guys. martha: thank you, aishah. bret: let's check in with jacqui heinrich at the harris campaign
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headquarters in washington d.c. >> reporter: hey there, guys. it's quite a different scene a out there compared to where aishah is. i should note that at. harris: we don't have harris campaign officials a because they're all in wilmington tonight. we're trying to get a sense about who was invited to this event, how many thousands will be here, who's in the crowd. but i am hearing from people close to the vice president sort of watching these reports come in, they started tonight very anxious about georgia,9 and the first batch of data they're getting is feeling -- leaving them feeling pretty buoyed about it. a source close to the vp says they're seeing really high turnout in the metro atlanta area and as of a short while ago, they had a 10 plus point lead among women showing up. and also they noted that black turnout was slow the start, but it is the finishing strong. and they attribute that the to their get out the the vote effort. one thing they've been wrestling with is whether or not they underestimated trump's get out the vote effort.
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so far they're not seeing signs of that, but they're definitely feeling happy about it, guys. bret: before we make some calls, harris -- harold, you wanted to clarify -- >> the florida abortion initiative, it didn't pass because you had to have 60%. they got 58% but fell by 2. they had a marijuana initiative, which i would have voted against, i might add, but it didn't reach the number either, so both failed. bret: governor desantis is out toing both of those things. okay, we have some calls. martha: we begin in pennsylvania, hem to a razor thin senate race between incumbent democrat bob casey and republican businessman dave mccormick. the fox news decision desk says this is too to early to make a call in pennsylvania on that race. bret: this could be a big cheer, fox news can project that rick scott, the republican senator from florida, will win his second term. we'll pause for applause down there with aishah.
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in maryland it's too early the call the race between democratic county executive between angela alsobrooks and former governor larry 40 michigan -- hogan. as we wait for the raw vote total. martha: and a too early to call, missouri's senate race between josh hawley and lucas coontz, republican senator march marsha blackburn will win once again in the state of tennessee the, another reliably conservative state. bret: longtime gop senator roger wicker in mississippi will take home another victory. the fox news decision desk can project democratic senator elizabeth warren will win her third term. martha: connecticut's democratic senator chris murphy will also win a third term. not enough data to project the maine senate race quite yet. bret: and andy kim in new jersey, this is the bob menendez
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seat. lisa blunt, proare chester, will win her first senate race. martha: in rhode island, sheldon whitehouse will return for a fourth 'em de, and let's take a look at the balance of power and how it shapes up, 818 d -- 8:18 on the east coast, 43 republicans securing their seat. senator jim justice in west virginia. 34 democrats have secured their seats in the senate and a long way the go in the upper chamber as well. bre breath we have a lot of raw vote totals starting to dump in from those early states. more democracy '24 coverage ahead as we await the next round of poll closings. many. ♪ ♪
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we believe at newday usa we have a noble purpose. our purpose is not just closing a loan. we want to do whatever is best for the individual service person. we want to be known as america's mortgage company for veterans and active duty service people, and they and their families. we're the ones that are there to help them. people are doing hard, arduous, difficult, dangerous things. some of them are giving their lives right now today for the freedoms that we have here in this country. they're willing to do that for you for me and for our family. so for us at newday,
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to have the opportunity to turn around and help those people at this point in time. it's a labor of love. it's a noble service. and that's what we're all about. ♪ martha: so economy, obviously, the biggest issue in this election. let's go to sandra smith with a look at how that is playing out in our fox news voter analysis. >> hey, martha, may -- yeah, just taking a look. before i dive into pennsylvania, we want to get a look at how voters were thinking about the economy there when they decided who they were going to vote for. but this is their view on the nation's economy. and as we knew leading up to election day, it's pretty negative. but the the thing to point out here is when you compare it to 20
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to -- 2020 to, this is about 6 points higher than it was 4 years ago. i want to look at pennsylvania and show you what we're seeing there, okay? when it comes to those that are looking for change, we know this is a big part of the story of this election day. those that are looking for total upheaval, this is pennsylvania voters, okay? 28%. and you are to break that down by candidate, which we can now do as we work our way into closing time there in pa, 66% voted for trump. this is a really interesting story. those who are looking for substantial change, it is about split with the edge going to donald trump by 3 points, okay? so a substantial change. those are people looking for still big change, and it is the about a even in pa. we've got a lot more we're going to dig into in pennsylvania. we'll have that for you in a bit. bret: thanks. let's bring in our fox business panel, maria bartiromo, or larry kudlow, charles payne and kevin o'leary.
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it's not just the betting markets on the election, it's the market's markets that were betting prior to this election day. what is, what are we to do devine from all of --ty vain from all of that tonight? >> i think when you're talking about investors and businesses, i think you really have to look at economic policy and tax policy in particular. the one issue that is bothering investors and corporations out there is the plan of kamala harris to raise the corporate tax rate to 28%. we haven't seen that the in a long time, and the word on that is that that cuts into wages. something's gotta give. when a corporation is looking at a 28% corporate tax rate, it's likely that that means less money for employees and wages. so that's one of the issues that a business and investors are worried about, her economic policy. of course, trump has talked about a 15% corporate tax rate if you're doing business in america. also you want to expect issues and differences on energy policy and probably the sleeper of
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them all is regulation. kamala harris is likely to come out with a whole host of new regulations around the climate change aa general da which has been a real issue for the biden-harris administration already. things like a company that is -- has to evaluate and assess the impact from emissions from their companies and that company's customers. very expensive, creates the need to hire lots of consultants, if that's what a business is worried about. when it comes to economic policy. martha: larry kudlow, tell us what you're watching as we start to get more of these numbers loading in here on the electoral college massachusetts. >> well, i think right now -- map. well, i think right now i'd like to be in trump's shoes, but i don't think it's conclusive. we need more number, need more data. some good news, but i just don't think there are enough numbers. you know, i agree with, i agree with the assessment that maria a made on the policy front.
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but to be honest with you prowhere, i -- here. number one, i don't think the stock the market yet knows who's going to win or what the policies are going to be. it's watching like a hawk, but i don't think it knows yet. i mean, i don't know. we've got to see what happens tonight. number two, trump has this working class coalition. a different republican party, you know? it started with him in 2015, 2016, it's ebbed and flowed. i think his close in high tide. with that type of coalition, whites, blacks, hispanics, young people, others, will it work? will it hold? was there enough of an expansion in mr. trump's base to put him over and win? i mean, a lot of people think he is. he's going to get much better numbers with hispanics than he ever had before. he's going to peel off a lot of black votes, young people's vote. that was his strategy. i think it's a good strategy. it's not your father's republican party anymore
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p. it's not that they hate business, but business round table, ceos are not the center of the new party. the question is, could he expand that working class coalition enough to win this election. bret: yeah. >> give me another hour or two, and i'll try to answer that a question. [laughter] bret: we'll try to get you some more data there, larry. charles, the republican party has changed, but the issue of the economy, vice president has closed that according to the latest polls. i mean, he was up big when you asked that a question early, but as she closed, it got to within 2, 4, 6 points for us in the closing days. >> yeah. vice president harris benefited from a couple thing, i think. first, the media. every time economic data comes out, it's great, phenomenal. of course, friday we learned that last month we lost 28,000 private sector jobs. and, by the way, you can talk about all the storms you want, all the experts who they put together to come up with these consensus numbers also factor that in.
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our jobs numbers have been going down steadily since 20211, is and now wages are really beginning to drop big, bigi'm. last week we had employment cost index, wages are dropping, and that's bad news for everyone. particularly folks who are already having trouble keeping up. the inflation if issue. and trump went out on a dangerous limb when he talked about tariffs because conservative economists hate it. , obviously, the media's going to hate it. no one will often the fact that the tariffs he put in already have worked tremendously, have really hit china really hard. and, by the way, the biden administration pounced on them. they didn't take them away, they actually added to it. but all that negative press with everyone saying it's going to hurt the economy, a lot of people were listening to that. but still, folks know the bottom line is that the top 20% of americans are doing 40 of the consumption. they have made all of the money under biden-harris policies including flooding our country with cash we did not need. it was fun for regular
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folks when you got the s, the i -- stillmy check and went to the mall or -- >> may i add one thing, martha, to the comment on jobs? here, too, it goes right back to policy, and that is the open border policy. the open border has not just had the effect on national security and our own personal security. the open border is an economic issue. for the last several years, what we have been seeing is an increase in jobs for noncitizens. illegal and legal. and a decrease in jobs for american citizens. that's -- martha: kevin o'leary, just with the quick time we have left, she has talked a lot about being from the middle class. it was the first sentence out of her mouth a lot. president trump has been promising a golden age in an american economic future. what do you see winning these voters over tonight? >> well, i was disciplined when i was listening to both parties and disappointed we didn't get into policy enough because it got crazy towards the end, last few weeks. let's go back to
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taxation. we compete internationally. it's not like this is just isolated to the u.s. the 28% tax rate takes us into the bottom quartile of competition. that means capital goes to other places. that's ooh's not a good outcome. i would have liked to have talked more about that. the idea of taxing unrealized capital gains is beyond insane. i have to invest if tomorrow morning no matter what happens. and the idea of price controls, that's a bad idea too. we left those alone, and they are very, very dangerous. >> don't you think, i mean, with all due respect, trump hammered away on every single thing you just talked about. he completely opposes the corporate tax -- >> all i remember was nazi hunters -- martha: we've got a call to make, and we will come back to you guys. >> you immediate to read the -- bret: you guys continue to argument, larry, maria, charles, mr. wonderful, continue that -- martha: thank you all. bret: if we're going to make some calls.
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martha: the hour is upon us, 8:30 p.m. on the east coast, and the fox decision desk can now project that former president trump will win arkansas. the state hasn't voted for a democratic presidential candidate since bill clinton. bret: and as you look at the race to 270 as it ticks up, 111 for tomorrow ther -- former president trump, 72 for vice president harris. hal be on your screen there on the ticker on the bottom, and and we'll scroll through the races by state. we'll look at senate races, some house races and governors' races as well with. we're back with our, panel here in studio. i think, brit, they're still talking about the economy in that other studio -- [laughter] >> i kind of wish we'd -- sorry we missed it. martha: well, they're talking a lot more substance than we heard on the campaign trail, and they're absolutely right. we did not have a good debate, for instance, over economic issues and it, clearly, is the number one issue on people's minds. >> we didn't really yet into policy. i'm keeping an eye here
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on what are called the non-maga republican voters. martha: yes. >> and there have been a lot of discussion over the past several years about whether anti-trump republicans, the never trump movement would end up mattering. our voter analysis memos tells us that if she wins, that will be the decisive factor. i'm not sure, i'm not quite sure i buy that, but it's interesting. and i think that what we have here and the fact that the biden -- that the trump campaign has made such an effort to turn out these low propensity voters, what we might if call unlikely voters, that would, that might be how they plan to make up the difference among republican voters that they might if lose. martha: and that has been the strategy, right? if i mean, or kellyanne? >> sure. what we've said all night and all week, gee, we don't know writing. we do know that the two parties had a primary season, and if only one party participated in it. the republicans. we had a lot of strong men, and i think one
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woman, running in the republican primary. one candidate spent a quarter of a billion dollars to get 9 electoral votes. another one got 97 electoral votes, spent over $100 million. i like them all very much, i'm glad they're part of the party. donald trump has expanded this party. good candidates expand their party demographically, geographicallyly. florida, iowa, ohio, these are states president obama won twice with well over 50% of the vote. he's going to get a million extra that votes in florida potentially tonight. so i have to push back a little bit about is it this effect -- every time there's a republican of note, of name out there that goes and supports kamala harris, liz cheney and john kelly, everybody has to cover it, they're missing the big story. the millions, maybe tens of millions of would be, could be, have been democrats voting for donald trump, the rank and file people. hay don't have big names.
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they're not going to go campaign with kamala harris. they're showing up today, and they're showing up early, and the fact that he hasp converted this into the party of the workers and he has told america not everybody has to be stuffed into a 4-year college degree, that the welders, the steel workers in pennsylvania, the coal miners, they've got a seat at the table, they can work again, it's a big deal. she's not doing that. she's not winning black men. barack obama did the not help her bridge this gap at least in georgia so far. bret: we will see that, because that blue wall will really tell us something, interest ca. it is changing, the party is changing. there's a lot of reagan democrats in this coalition. one of the things to note right now at this hour, we have not if called the state of, the commonwealth of virginia. >> right. bret: it is a lot closer than people thought it would be. you know, the trump campaign did a stop in virginia. they thought it was closing. it's not -- we're not calling it yet. >> no, not yet. we'll see when that happens. my expectation is still that the kamala harris will win it, but i
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understand that the president trump ran an unorthodox campaign in terms of where he went and certainly the things that that he was saying. and that's really what i'm faying sustains to -- paying attention to and what's gone on in florida. that's great if for him, a feather or in his cap. ron desantis has done incredible work. but that is an inefficient vote when you are trying to become president, and donald trump went to the9 hot love places -- a lot of places. madison square garden, coachella, spending time in new mexico where he lost twice, and i think if kamala harris is victorious tonight, there should be some examination of why those campaign stops happened and if his time would have been better spent parked in north carolina, in georgia, in arizona and one of the blue wall states that he has to pick up. pennsylvania for sure. bret: we've got -- martha: yeah, we'll see how that inefficient vote,s a real issue, and we have to see whether or not it actually pans out. one of the reasons he went to and new mexico
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were these house races. i mean, there are house races in all of those places, so -- and she did the same thing. >> martha -- bret: hold on. we're going to take a quick break, we're going to be right back with the panel and dig into a lot of these numbers. major poll closings coming up. we'll get our first look at arizona. remember arizona? michigan, wisconsin. s this is fox news democracy '24 marching on. ♪ my kingdom does not belong to this world. repay to caesar what belongs to caesar and to god. what belongs to god. jesus, we trust in you. amen. i got this $1,000 camera for only $41 on dealdash. dealdash.com, online auctions
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since 2009. this playstation 5 sold for only 50 cents. this ipad pro sold for less than $34. and this nintendo switch, sold for less than $20. i got this kitchenaid stand mixer for only $56. i got this bbq smoker for 26 bucks. and shipping is always free. go to dealdash.com right now and see how much you can save. martha: back and let's get a live look, she said, at pennsylvania where al sand are drink ya of is in newtown, tonight. hi, alexandria. >> reporter: hi, good to be with you. you know, in theory polls have closed, but that is not the case everywhere. one county, for example, a judge ordered that the poll hours must
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be extended to 10 p.m. due to a machine issue earlier in the day. then in lieu certain county one polling location is staying open until 9:30 for similar issues. the dnc also made a legal push to try to keep polls open in another county later, that actually ended up being denied by a judge. that was due to there being very long lines of lehigh university students there and polling issues as well. in theory, polls have closed, but if you are in line even by that deadline, you were still able to a ballot. bret: thanks. let's check in with bill hemmer. bounce around. you've got virginia, texas, or a number of things, ohio. >> yeah, yeah. let's get to it, okay? so this is georgia. i just want the to set this up for a moment here. she's performing slightly better than biden in douglas county. you saw the metro counties of georgia. slightly better in cobb county. i still see a sticky move here inton county, okay? and maybe that -- in fulton county, okay?
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the problem here is that you've got dekalb county, the polls were suspended from that a threat, so this is the first number i've seen from georgia met. about of 0% of -- can 60% of the vote. let's move away from georgia as requested. this is kind of interesting, guys, a lot of folks live in the washington, d.c. area, and right now this is, you know, with 40 percent of the vote in in virginia, the commonwealth, donald trump's got an edge here, okay? 8,000 raw votes. that's .4 percentage points. here's the catch, however. in a lot of this map starting to fill in, this right here across from washington, d.c. is fairfax county. that's number one out of 133 counties in virginia based on population. at the moment you still have at least half of the vote still outstanding, and you see, you know, kamala harris with 67 percent. you would expect that in fairfax. i'm just making the argument there's a lot of votes still out there, and it may determine whether or not the margin
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statewide hangs where it is right now and whether or not it changes, okay? to watch that. you mentioned texas. let's jump on down there, and i'll tell you what's going on in texas, all right? too soon to call. half the vote is in, half of the estimated vote is in at 511%. trump's got a lead right now. 51%. percentage wise, 5 points, okay? so that was, that's kind of what a lot of the poll pollsters had in texas. i'm going if to come back to georgia in a moment. let me see a when's to happening in pennsylvania because this is critical. a ton of vote out there, by the way. no conclusion to the keystone state. you're at 11%. i would keep an eye on pittsburgh, keep an eye on philadelphia. in fact, if we can, do we have a moment here, why don't we go ahead and do the vote -- let's go ahead and do that, right in let's do the vote margin for pennsylvania. and let's see what's happening here. what we've done for you is we've tried to set up the state in a way where the more prominent if counties are more expend tended
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than the others. you see philadelphia in the east and pittsburgh and allegheny county in the west. and the darker the blue, the more democratic the vote is. the darker the red, the more republican the vote is. if you see shades of blue, that means the margin in that county is 10% or less. if you see a shade of red like a pro se, it's happy hour somewhere, if you see a shade of rose, that's 10% or less too. those are the counties we want to watch. let's look at the vote margin now for georgia. this is interesting, all right? we just went over there on the board and showed you the metro counties throughout atlanta. let's find out where the outstanding vote for georgia is at the moment. so what we want to do here, the deeper the purple, the more outstanding votes. so you can go to the more populated counties perhaps like dekalb county. look at that on the map, 0% on the upper right-hand corner. can't know anything from dekalb.
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what about fulton? fulton. you see fulton, 70% of that vote is now in. but that's certainly one to watch. what about gynette? what about cobb county? newt gingrich's old district, heavily republican for decades. around 2016 it flipped towards the democrats and right now a little more than 50% of the vote in. kevin, come on back down here. one county i haven't checked in on when you look at the african-american turnout, look at chatham. chatham is where savannah is down there along coast. you only have 5% of the vote reported. one of the counties in 2020 the that took forever the goat -- to get the vote in. i don't know if it's going to be the same, but we're waiting to see about african-american turnout as we suggested a moment
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ago about a african-american men supporting donald trump. let's go ahead and look at the vote margin for georgia. right now, let's go statewide. so we move away from chatham, we go statewide in georgia. so chatham's still at 5%, and for statewide you're at 44. so a lot of vote out of the peach state. go ahead and clear this, and we'll get back to this in a moment. georgia and elsewhere. bret and martha, back to you. bret: that's really interesting about what's's coming in. i think as a these numbers come in, democrats is have high hopes about someplace like,, about something like ohio where they look at the ann seltzer poll from des moines and say is this the indicative of the midwest. but we're not seeing that in our fox news voter analysis -- >> you got a minute? bret: yeah, go ahead. >> i hadn't checked ohio yet. it's a good state here to examine because trump won it
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twice by 8 points. let's measure his strength right now. in 2020 the about halfway in, okay, kamala harris doing better on the margins here,? about 3.5 points statewide. still some vote out there. but trump has proven to be pretty strong here in ohio the last two times around. we'll see whether or not -- big senate race in ohio as well, or bernie moreno and sherrod brown, we'll track that throughout the night as well. basically, in ohio you've got cincinnati in ham a illton, columbus, cleveland, your three main population centers. they have been blue for some time. i would not expect them to be even a shade of rose, let's go into my hometown, hamilton county, strong performance here. about two-thirds of the vote going to kamala harris. this is one of the places, you know, the cities where the progressives and the democratic movement has gotten pretty strong especially in local government as well in that city. this is franklin county, ohio state university there, a strong
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student vote as well. greater than two-thirds going to kamala harris right now. in to 2020 the final vote in franklin county, which is columbus, you had 6 a-- 65% of the vote for joe biden there. so a little bit of the vote still out there, but she is overperforminging biden's number from four years ago, and this, i'll just finish up here, guys, chi cuyahoga, 3 to 1 in cleveland, ohio, just about a third of the vote is in and kamala harris, 71% and biden was at 66. so that'd be a good number for kamala harris if, indeed, that holds up. and i think that a kind of tells us a little bit about why this number is closer than it's been -- are. bret: you want to talk to your co-anchor, dana? >> well, one of the things i think is pretty interesting can the especially when you're looking at or considering the political realignment that we're living in and also the population changes, right? so post-covid, people leaving the north and the midwest and
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going south. it's one of the things that as somebody from colorado will say, all these people moves in from california, and colorado was rebiblely red when i -- reliably red when i was a kid, and now it's reliably blue. that's not happening in the stout. -- in the south. so if people are leaving the northeast and moving to florida, they're not all of a sudden bring a -- bringing a bunch to to democratic politics with them. so there might be a little bit of a change to watch in the numbers there. the oh thing i wanted the -- the other thing i wanted to say is one of the things i think we're seeing especially with some of these lower propensity voters or whatever we're calling them, unlikely voters, is that the policy of the biden-harris add administration pushed them into politics and into voting because their situation is dire. and they want a better life. so they went to the rallies and and they went to the podcasts and they had fun and they got involved. what will be interesting to see as kellyanne might be able to
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correct me, but as i understand it, if you are -- don't vote often or if you're a first-time voter,, the whichever party you vote for the first time, you're likely to vote for the second time. so the political realignment that is happening and the coalitions that harris and trump put -- are putting together could have longer legs. martha: it goes to what kellyanne was saying about the working element of the republican party shifting. and i think when you look at ohio, you are seeing a concentration likely coming from the suburbs which is leaning more to harris. >> there's something else i see very quickly, and i see it in virginia. remember, this is the first presidential election since glenn youngkin was elected on the issues of wokeness in education, just really post-covid policies. this school board elections. i think we're having a parents' rights renaissance in this country that continues. and i think two pillars that we don't cover enough in all the themes here are wokeness and weakness. in our fox news voter analysis,
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trump is seen as the strong leader by more than 10 points over kamala harris. strength over weakness. but it's also fairness over wokeness. people feel like life is increasingly unfair. they don't want member in women's sports, they don't want to think their kids are stuck in schools based on zip code, they don't want to pay for student the loans of doctors and lawyers, and they don't want 10 million people to come a here and get cash and cell phones and clothing and hotel rooms. they just say it's unfair. but wokeness is on the ballot whether we feel it or not. i'll never understand how kamala harris chose someone in tim walz who was to the left of her on the woke agenda. bret: harold, quickly. >> we talk about early surprises, i love sports, so do you, bret. when you get a quick touchdown in a game against somebody your not supposed to beat, if he wins virginia, this is a big thing. this is one of those early things that could go your way. similarly, her numbers in ohio are interesting to me. i did not think -- you talked about the seltzer poll, that number suggests that's what she
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was suggesting it could close there. we'll see as the night goes on. but georgia and north carolina, the states she's not to perform well in, maybe win one, and if he can win virginia, we thought we were going to have a long night, we might have a longer night if as we think about these numbers here over the next -- bret: it'll be interesting. it might be a shorter night. >> or shorter. bret: virginia. >> so we really have to look at the gender breakdown in these states and where we are with half the vote in in someplace if like ohio and texas. where that vote's coming from, we're going to get that -- martha: yeah, in minutes. minutes away, bret. we've got some major poll closings that are coming up. arizona, michigan and wisconsin all about to to close, and sean hannity will enter our chat as our special coverage continues. ♪ ♪
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♪ ♪ martha: we are getting a lot of new numbers in here, and we are about to see a close in arizona a, michigan and wisconsin. all, obviously, battleground states, all very hotly con testedded, and those closes are just minutes away. meanwhile, let's check back in with harris faulkner who is speaking with voters and hearing their voices. hi, harris. >> and watching everything you guys are doing, martha. thank you. this is voters' voices, and i'm harris faulkner. here with me, polling expert if lee carter, and we're talking
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about the top issues in the race for the white house. most polls show the economy is the voters' top issue. now a clip from vice president kamala harris, the lines on the screen show how voters reacted to the comment in realtime. that's' what you've gathered. and the red lins -- lines represent republicans, the blue, democrats. >> while inflation is down and wages are up, prices are still ooh too high. you know it and i know it. and unlike donald trump who had $400 million served to him on a silver9 platter, i come from the middle class, and i will never forget where i come from. which is why my common sense plan will lower the prices you pay on everything from prescription drugs to groceries to housing. donald trump will raise costs on you and your families. in fact, independent economists have analyzed our plans and found that mine if will cut your costs and strengthen our
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economy. his will increase inflation and lead to a recession by the middle of next year. >> independent, republicans didn't find what they wanted. we're watching for independents. >> that's right. you can see there ine dents gave this a d, democrats gave it an a, republicans gave it an f. i think what's so interesting about the independent voter there, they really were turned off when they heard her talk about the middle class. and i also heard from voters they wanted more specifics on the economy and they said you can find experts to reinforce whatever you want to believe. i'd rather here what -- hear what you're going to do for me. >> al sand a drink ya now or, republican registered voter, still not if sure all the way up until the time you voted. what did you do and why? >> thank you so much for having me tonight the, the or harris. and i think that for me both candidates really had to prove themselves. they had to win my vote. and they can talk about a everything relative to the economy, but what really matters
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is what actually happens. and we have to ask ourselves, was it easier to buy groceries under the biden administration or under the trump administration in and for me, i can say personally that i am concerned with the direction that the country is headed in, and i would say for a vast population of the electorate that the same can be -- the same sentiment is shared. so i think that we all have to really contextualize all this information and ask ourselves the actual questions of how we feel in the circumstances. >> who did you vote for. >> i voted for donald trump. >> this is the second time, you're 2222, that vowf oat voted in a presidential election. was it different than 2020? >> i did not vote for him last time. >> sounds like the economy made a huge difference for you. getting to know all of you as we watch in realtime. we've got some races that are coming in, we don't want to miss a minute with bret and martha. we will hear more from the voters voices throughout this evening. so glad to be with all of you. back to you. martha: we welcome sean hannity9 to the panel.
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you're watching all of this along with us tonight, and you say that you have some significant takeaways already. >> i have a lot of takeaways from tonight. obviously you guys have gone over the issues and what is important to people, what they've been telling all the pollsters, exit polls, etc. i'm looking at this from a little bit different perspective tonight. to me, it's a numbers game. i was on with dana and bill hemmer earlier today, and i made the point going into today that kamala harris and her team had a numbers problem. and the numbers problem was they didn't have anywhere near the votes or the percentages of votes that they had in 2020 the when it was biden and harris. now that's a math problem that you have to overcome with unprecedented day-of voting which democrats are not used to doing. i've checked in with a lot of people i trust, a lot of people that have knowledge many individual states. reince priebus, long conversations with him. he feels that the turnout was so
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massive for republicans in the leadup to today that the democrats did not show up in the numbers that would be needed to overtake that early lead that was built up in the early voting. and that's also backed up by mark halperin. if you look a -- took a look, he's within doing a really good job of analyzing. now, in philadelphia, i'm trying the get an answer. i did notice other networks kept showing temple university and a massive line of studentses, okay in the only problem was if you go back to early voting in 2020, the democrats had 1.1 million vote lead heading into election day. this year it's about 400,000. so that's a 700,000-vote decline in a year. that would mean today they would have needed massive turnout. they would need massive turnout, yes, with the university. it seems like they got it. there's about 25,000 students
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that go to temple, there's about 10,000 that a go to penn state, there's about 6,000 that go to lehigh university, okay? in that's ooh to not making up 700,000 votes. then we look at traditionally, who else is voting in philly? african-americans, unionworkers. did they show up in the numbers? there are people reporting that it was a massive turnout in billy today. i just got -- in philly today. i just got off the phone with the war room in philadelphia, the trump team, and they said, they don't see it. the fact that hay don't know the answer is a little surprising to me, if those numbers aren't there, that means pennsylvania is a state that is in the state of play bigtime tonight. it may not show up early, but it'll show up as the night evolves just like wisconsin will. martha: one other thing about the college students, there's been such a focus on young men and these podcasts are the podcasts that college boys are watching and listening to, theo
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vaughn, joe rogan, jake paul, all of these guys. just because they're in college doesn't mean they're necessarily voting the way you think college students would. bret: kayleigh mcenany, trey gowdy. kayleigh, interestingly we've called florida for the former president, but inside those numbers there's a massive pert if rico -- puerto rican turnout in osceola county and other places. >> yes. bret: that msg rally really upset the puerto rican vote turnout, but trump won that overwhelmingly. i'm not sure it affects things one to one, but it is interesting the look at. >> it is thement osceolath county, as you point out, a big puerto rican county. with 95% reporting currently, donald trump is leading by 1. now, what other national lessons can we take from florida? miami-dade county, a huge latino population, no presidential
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candidate has op won that since -- has won that since 19888. ron desantis, of course, won it as governor. but currently donald trump in miami-dade county is + 11. bret: thank you. electoral vote count about to go up. stay tuned. >> we are seconds including new york, colorado, texas, plus critical battlegrounds. >> we are going to win the state of michigan. >> arizona, we need to fight this battle on every front. >> 263 electoral votes on the line. we have the results as they come in. the moment is here. bret: it is 9:00 in new york. another 15 states have just finished voting and this is the heat of the matter here.
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