since -- has won that since 19888. ron desantis, of course, won it as governor. but currently donald trump in miami-dade county is + 11. bret: thank you. electoral vote count about to go up. stay tuned. >> we are seconds including new york, colorado, texas, plus critical battlegrounds. >> we are going to win the state of michigan. >> arizona, we need to fight this battle on every front. >> 263 electoral votes on the line. we have the results as they come in. the moment is here. bret: it is 9:00 in new york. another 15 states have just finished voting and this is the heat of the matter here.

fox news decision desk says it's too early to call michigan. one of the two battlegrounds in the rust belt that just finished voting part of the blue wall we hear about all the time. martha: wisconsin and vice president harris and former president trump appear to be locked in a very tight race and again, this is too early, not to close, but to early to call many of these races. arizona also too early to call as the polls are closing there. bret: fox news can project that former president trump will win texas and locks 40 more electoral votes into the column and former president has a lead in iowa. there's no call at the top of the hour here. remember that iowa poll had people scrambling at the des moines register saying it was harris lead by three. martha: yeah, emerson had him up by ten and anne selzer is such a well known and correct pollster. see how that plays out. in nebraska, fox news can project that trump wins the

statewide vote and nebraska gives two electoral votes to the winner and the state and one to each of their district and trump wins nebraska's first and third districts and the second district, omaha, the blue to the we've talked about, it's too early to call but harris has a lead there. there.bret: giving the u.s. 28 s and a lead in minnesota too close in recent daying according to polling. martha: tim walz from minnesota and now fox news can project a harris victory in colorado as well. she gets 10 more electoral college votes there and new mexico, too early to call but harris has a lead according to our fox news voter analysis in new mexico. bret: former trump will win

louisiana and pretty sure we'd get that and trump wins kansas, adding another 6 electoral votes to his rally. martha: former president wins north dakota, a long time conservative state as well. he will also take south dakota so,which often mirrors the votef its neighbor to the north. bret: the former president will win wyoming with three electoral votes and the tally on your screen. 178 electoral votes to 113. that map of the u.s. is slowly filling in. we will continue to bring that to you throughout the night as we make more calls. martha: moving to the senate and back to rust belt as well, the fox news decision desk say it is too early to call this race, which we've been watching between incumbent democratic senator tammy baldwin, that's in a close race with republican banker and entrepreneurer i eric

huvde. bret: house representative rubin guillego has a lead on carrie. martha: in nebraska, the race between incumbent deb fisher and independent dan osborne is too close. too close and early to call i should say according to the decision desk. fox news can project that republican pete ricketts will continue to serve as a nebraska senator. bret: in texas, ted cruz is locked in a close race against current democratic congressman kevin alred and o too close to call and minnesota's democratic senator amy klobuchar sails to a fourth term. martha: christian gillibrand winning a fourth term and holding seat in new mexico where

martin heinrich beats fella. martha: how the senate it tacking up and 9:04 on the east coast and 46 republicans and one flip we have mentioned is west virginia waiting for other states that are on the bubble and close and early at this point of the night. 37 democrats are hanging onto their seats in the united states senate. senate. bret: i think this is like where everything starts to gel and more of the hard numbers and going to the bill at the billboard. harold, i'm sorry, texas went to the republican. >> i think the numbers, i'm only looking at some of the popup vote numbers and how the candidates are performing with minority voters and suburban areas. bret: i'm just joking. >> go blue.

what are you talking about? we'll beat ohio. in a moment. >> just want to show you this. i mean, this is really -- got to be your target right now. fulton county, heavily pop lated with a ton of votes and hasn't really moved and estimated number of votes has about 30% and kamala harris hanging in there with -- she's going to win the county, okay. question is the margin. question is whether or not trump is keying in the african -- queuing in the african american male vote and coming out to north carolina, i'll show you a connecticut, this is rural and it's also african american. 47% african american and small county called anson. trump is winning. what's that mean? this is biden four years ago by four points. okay. trump right now flipping that county and is there a minority vote out there that is helping to buoy his campaign? something we have to consider.

another thing to point out while i have you here, this is a prepared to rule of the state that was racked by the hurricane. this is trump territory. 61%, 68%, 81%. come 24 here for a bit. this is asheville. you expect us to go blue and indeed it has right now. about two-thirds of the vote. no, sorry, 60% of the vote and she's got two-thirds of the vote right now. these counties here, wonder if there's an effect here all right because 53, this is ruttersford with 72. a lot of that vote out there. your comparison for percentage is that you expect trump to do well out here. you know, 72, henderson, 58, haywood 62, so we're going to see through the night whether or not that storm damage had an

affect on the vote turnout in north carolina. just keep that in mind as we move through the night. also poking through here in ohio, we saw this a moment ago based on percentage spread. seems like trump is upping his number. i made the point he won the state by eight points in 2016, eight points in 2020. and he was trailing there the last time we checked out, the buckeye state, but right now the number has improved tremendously for trump so he's starting to track a little more toward that eight points and you were making the observation earlier about the iowa poll from over the weekend and folks in ohio vote like the folks in iowa if anne's poll, the des moines register had kamala harris winning in iowa by three points. a lot of people dismissed that and if you draw that comparison with ohio, i think right now you can say that maybe, maybe iowa is not going to go that way and see throughout the course of the night there. bret: i think we should get a cut from the des moines register.

we've mention it had like five times this evening. martha: that was the idea. >> just because i popped it up there. you're right about that. little something on the side. this is michigan, first time i've looked at it, 10% in. all right. look at this. robert kennedy going to make a difference in michigan? he's on the ballot and tried to get him off and court said no, you've got to be on. he's drawing 455 raw votes and michigan that close, we'll have to watch that throughout the night and see if that's a spoiler for the red team and whether or not it helps out team blue in michigan so far. that's for you by the way. bret: let's interact with the panel. trey gowdy is here and that point and third party, rfk jr. tries -- first of all democrats try to prevent him from getting on the ballot, then the democrats try to prevent him from getting off the ballot. he's on the ballot in michigan and wisconsin also minnesota but

michigan and wisconsin obviously, if it comes down to really tight, that could make a difference. >> well, why would anyone vote for someone that doesn't want to be the president and asked you not to? that's what i'm trying to figure out. who are the 0.4% voting for someone who has begged you not to vote for him? if you want to see him in washington, don't vote for him. it reminds me of jill stein and it cost hillary clinton a state. i know that ross puroux cost bush a presidential election and i was in the green room doing what i did in high school and finding the two smartest kids in the class and sitting in between them and looking on their papers. that's mccarthy and rove. there may be a 269 tie. i know nobody wants to hear that, but there is a scenario under which thanksgiving there could be a tie. bret: not the discussion. sean, you want to move on. >> yeah, move on from that. no one really wants that.

i would accept that because i would end up in the house of representatives and say republican odds at that point would be pretty good. >> it is a very dysfunctional house but they could coalesce around that, yes. >> i think they would. bret: what are you looking at? >> eight years ago, you might remember it was a while before we sense that had the trump upset was happening. one of the earliest indicators was from the bang odds, that was further point on the panel that night and by the time you got to me, bet everything smart had been said. i started talking about the betting odds and followed them ever since. we started this broadcast and trump stood at 57% chance of betting odds to win the election. e read this off the screen, 69.2%. so whoever is doing the betting out there and affecting the odds is increasingly of the view that he'll win the election. martha: how much does it impact it that it's the first year you're seeing some of the betting markets in the united

states? there's a lot of people playing them probably in a fundamental way. >> these odds composed by them are from bet fair markets predictive poly market call sheet. martha: it's a basket. >> an average. >> i am looking at some of this on x watching some of the democrats complain about the electoral college. you know, if -- about a week ago there was some conventional wisdom that she could win the electoral college and trump would win the popular vote and no complainting about the electoral college from them if it happens and too close to call and watching that to see what they'd see. i've been wandering about kamala harris and biden decision to un-again and when she knew he was incape and will asking their donors give us all your money. he's okay for four more years. and obviously he wasn't.

but then that did not leave her enough time apparently that's another complaint they have, for her to introduce herself even though they had over a billion to do it. it. martha: and they had over 100 tay days, harold, and she passed up a lot of tubs early on and went for 40 days with no press conference and took a long time to finally sit down with bret and have a substantive interview. there was time. >> sure. we're acting like this thing is over. martha: no, i'm playing off dana's point-blank layups. >> after the debate, she performed so well against trump and asked for another debate and i thought the interview that bret did with her was as substantive we saw with her throughout the last several years. would have thought she did well she'd want to go and do more of them. >> more interviews. >> sit down and tell them about herself. >> booted the question about when she knew he was not himself. >> i have a slightly different opinion on that.

she gave that interview and i thought if i were here, i'd have done more. she did some and -- >> so cautious. >> pre-debate answer. said biden is great and fine and all this wonderful things. >> i would have done it very differently than her. the way she did did she put herself in a position to be 50/50 here this evening and listening to the two smart guys in the green room and 269 and must have done something right. i look at michigan and pennsylvania and wisconsin since 1980, those three states have not gone all together other than 1988. if the numbers are tracking right and continue along the lines, we could find ourselves in a position to have a conversation about a congress. then i'll be curious, sean, if the democrats win the house. how does that play? i hope we don't get there. i don't want this fight. for this country or anything. martha: the senate and vice president and president trump and vice president harris. >> but they vote after the

election. bret: they vote after the election and one vote per delegation. we'll cross that bridge when we come to it. cbs news is digging into the voter analysis and how it tracks with the raw vote and how we're seeing. >> trying to keep your conversation there, martha. you were asking about the suburban vote and seeing with the fox news voter analysis and really interesting findings i'll put up here for you. as far as the suburban voter is concerned, what we're seeing in pennsylvania. okay. supporter bush ban voters -- suburban voters, kamala harris has the lead and about a six point difference. if you were to put this in perspective with what we saw in 2020, biden was leading with this group. suburban voters in pennsylvania by 10 percentage points. this is a 6 point margin be which she's leading and not leading with the suburban voter in pennsylvania by the same margin as joe biden in 2020. all right, and gender, this is

telling another story. asking about this. this is what we're seeing in pennsylvania. they've been courting those voters on the ground there. this is almost identical, the margin she's leading by, joe biden led by this over donald trump in 2020. so not a lot of movement there. we also talked about the story that was developing with the black voters down in georgia. i can also report to you, bret and martha right now, that he, donald trump, is leading by more with the black voter in pennsylvania than he was in 2020. bret: big numbers. great call to make. martha: fox news can now project that donald trump will win the state of ohio, 54.2% to 45%. so obviously that was what was anticipated in the early polls and ahead by l points and 9 point stretch and higher than the most recent polling in the state of ohio and a solid win

for him in what used to be a swing state. it hasn't been for quite some time. bret: obviously 54% of the vote in but looking at the electoral college, 195-113. again, ohio used to be the swingiest of swing states and no longer. very republican. much like florida. and now it ticks on. obviously we're looking at these battleground states. one of them, sean hannity, is seems is virginia. you just got a message from the governor? >> i've been communicating with governor youngkin, and last text at one point i said so it's not in reach? he just said, hold on. really tight. exact quote from glendown kin. what's interesting and all -- gleglen youngkin and all night looking to answer alaska the turnout in philly and suburbs of philly. we talked earlier about the university population and that's one part of the population. the vote lead was 700,000 below what they were in 2020.

that's a lot of ground to make up. from the trump campaign, take it this is what they're saying, they believe this is going to be a tortoise hair kind of night in pennsylvania in as much as they don't think harris got 200,000 of the 700 she needs to make up. those are the numbers they're saying. now, if that is true, that would mean african american turnout did not appear to the number and degree that they wanted. and secondarily any of the vote they thoughted the union vote workers are not going her way either in pennsylvania. anecdotal, that's their side but i'm telling you what they're thinking. martha: that raises obvious questions. if you're joe biden at the white house sitting at home thinking i'm janua scranton joe and great relationship with the unions all these years and if she does end up and we want to continue to caution that we're waiting for a lot of data to come in here, he's shaking his head saying i could is won. >> they're analyzing this data

like we all are, and that is their take on it. i'm sure the harris campaign for the better part of the night was hearing from either reporters or democrats, believe it or not, i have a few of those friends, and i was hearing from them oh, huge turnout in philly. huge turnout in philly. tell me, where's the turnout? could never get an answer. so finally now the answer is beginning to come in. that would be the trump war room, mar-a-lago crowd, they're degree of confidence is going up minute by minute, take that for what it's worth. bret: harold, let me ask you this, i was in communication with harris' folks, democrats. they haven't had anything in a while. are you hearing anything from -- >> my communication resembles yours. not a lot either. i think these numbers are concerning. the numbers that sandra is raising on the other side combined with what you said, sean, is room for concern in virginia and pennsylvania. i'm not heard anything either.

bret: okay. the polls are closed in battleground wisconsin. we're going to check in there on the ground with senior correspondent mike token be milwaukee learning about issues is a dozen tabulation machines, what's that about, mike? reporter: more than a dozen tabulation machines and 31,000 ballots and the city put in all call for volunteers and fire fighters, healthcare wokes and it workers all showing up here to help with re-tabulation of those 31,000 ballots. now, the heart of the problem i can show you zooming in over my shoulder and tabulation machines and 13 of them here at central count. look close at the back of the machine, there's stickers on the back of the machine. those act as the seal. the seals were in place according to city officials and election commission officials but a locking meigs any of them there as well and -- locking meigsmechanism as well and it wt engaged and then all 13 machines

and 31,000 ballots in question. the city says they believe the integrity of the votes was never compromised, still, out of 107,000 ballots, they need to be retabulated and 43,000 ballots have been counted here as of this point, but there's additional volunteers to try and speed up the process. we expect to get final numbers somewhere around 1 or 2:00 a.m.. the city now says it'll be later than that. the city wants to pass this off as an abundance of caution or very cautious move. republicans are upset about it. rnc chairs i michael wattly and laura trump put out statement calling unacceptable example of incompetence and wisconsin officials are here to try and get questions answered. bret and martha. martha: long night in milwaukee. thank you, mike. vice president harris will win delaware. the home state of president biden and there is the look at the race to 270 making trump 195

and harris 113 at this hour. we have another call to make as well. bret: in a key governor's race, fox news can project that republican kellly ayat will win in new hampshire and 2024 coverage continues. it'll be on the screen all night long. ♪ the next president of the united states is... lord, to you we entrust our communities,

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martha: texas senator ted cruz will have a third term and defeated democratic congressman and former nlf player colin a lred and there was movement and tightened a bit and talk that ted cruz would lose his seat. he won it though. bret: democrats poured a ton of money in that race and colin alred was a good canned gait. candidate.

look at balance of power, 47-37. and west virginia already fliflipped and majority at 51 ad looking at states like ohio, the sharrod brown race, montana, the john tester race as a possible flip in the u.s. senate. brook taylor at cruz campaign in houston. good evening, brooke. reporter: good evening. i can tell you some behind the scenes info right now. we have fox news playing on both screens right now. the screen -- the crowd going wild because we threw up the race and have cruz again with that strong lead so everyone is very exc excited and i can tellu talking to the cruz campaign, they've been taking it raise extremely seriously. when you think of texas, you think of this deep red state. a democrat has not won an election here in 30 years so since 1994.

begin since 2018, democrats have seen a opportunity to possibly switch the seat. we saw it with beto o'rourke and cruz won by just three points and cruz's campaign hoping to have the real win and not going to make that mistake and going to take this extremely seriously but again, the crowd here going wild and they are very excited about this. i will toss it back to you guys. >> of course she is. >> can you hear us? reporter: yes, i (&.k i'm sorry, bret and martha, we're at kid rock's honky tock in nashville and i can't hear a thing or

myself think. you're on the tvs here in the bars as well. i'm here with clay travis and momorgan ortagus and kid rock ad watching here on fox and everybody is watching you and you're doing a phenomenal job. pull up fox nation on your second screen and have a party with us. the vibes here on the ground, we're talking to voters today too. this feel as lot like the 2016 vibes as you see the results. you can tell the crowd here and we love watching you guys and what you're doing. this sentiment is a reflect flexion of what's happening in this election could be a very good night for donald trump. i can't hear you but i love you. bret: brit hume and kailey

mcenany and bill hemmer behind the screen. >> one thing to keep in mind here looking at this data here, is got to remember how they count the votes, you know. they start processing at 7:00 a.m. this morning. all that's mail in stuff too. that's the vote that's put out first. so i want to do something funky and fancy here, guys. bear with me. in 2020, it's important and important for us to understand and important for our an life-threatenings know and important for the audience to understand at home, this is four years ago in pennsylvania, okay. this is just a 24 hour span from november # and november 4 from 4 from 8:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. the following day.

the vote count that came in here, it's heavily blue. well over 70%. then around 11:00 p.m., you get a cross of the line and that's where the republican vote started coming in for trump and went well past mid midnight and trump maintained his margin for almost the entire day on wednesday and further off this map see where eventually the bar is there crossing the over way for joe biden. with that in mind, okay, we're going to show you pennsylvania and we'll try to digress all this together. haven't looked here in some time. only a quarter of the vote in now and at least 75% is still out and there's a lot of blue in the areas where kamala harris needs to do well, namely pittsburgh, allegheny county and namely philadelphia, or the collar counties around philadelphia. but the argument for this hour is that there's a strong democratic vote in that vest that's now been counted. there's two counties in

pennsylvania that you watch because they are bell weathers and they are flippers too, okay. one is erie, along the border here of new jersey -- excuse me, lake erie. north hampton is one county that anymored last time and kamala harris with a lead with 27% of the vote reporting in north hampton and the other is erie i mentioned a moment ago up on the lake front. i don't know why we're getting zero% in and there's some of the vote that may lend itself to some of the confusion with early vote being tabulated from the mail. i don't know. i can't vouch for that, i'm not sure what's going on there. what we'll watch less than half a percent. that's right. like 0.5% of the votes now being tabulated and that's why we can't get the 1% there in erie county. in all likelihood, you'll see the t-stater to form here in pennsylvania and the t will be all red. and we'll see what happens on those sides of the state and they're going to be blue. the question is how blue will

they be? we'll watch that here. you guys mentioned virginia popping on down and seeps like there's a pretty good race going on right now. trump is just upping his margin here with about a two point lead statewide. too soon to call i should say with more than half of the vote in. here is where you need to look. this is washington dc, this is fairfax county. number one populated county in all of 133. there's 40% of the vote that's not yet been tabulated into this. bret: sorry. where was it for biden? go ahead. >> i sure will. a lot is 40% outstanding going for harris, but talking about how much in the most populated county. so go back four years, this is 2020, this is joe biden, 70%. kamala harris, she has time to make up for that given the fact that vote is still out and i would say just looking at

georgia a moment ago, fulton county looks to be somewhat similar and the reason is and i'll explain this to you, okay, fulton county is the most populated county in the state of georgia. there's a lot of democratic votes from out there. she's up by 46 points. pretty good margin by 202,000 raw votes, okay. so four years ago with joe biden, he won the county with 242 and he's a margin on merri bowl sen tajikistan basis a bit higher -- margin is a bit higher and four years ago with his margin. sorry, excuse me. i apologize. go statewide here. a state determined by 11,779. let me go to my cheat sheet, guys. i'll do something that's a little ugly. but for the sake of the audience at home and for our knowledge too, this was georgia in 2020. wow, look at this. okay. again, we've taken a 24 hour

period from four years ago. blue with the democratic vote and red is the republican vote. you see all this. you know, at 7:00, boy, it was all over the place. and then in the 8:00 hour, trump easily took a lead there and then the margin started to close overnight around 3:00 a.m., the lines moved and they moved and they moved several days until finally we reached that margin of 12,000 votes separating biden from trump in the peach state s- bret: that was a covid election and a lot of mail in vote and not the same early vote for republicans; right? >> you were right about that in georgia. the important thing to keep in mind is how states report it. in pennsylvania really is good example where you're going to get a heavy blue some would argue mi mirage in the beginning and see if this is the real throughout the night and into tomorrow. >> bill, broadly speaking and exceptions to this, does it appear to you that she is

underperforming biden nearly everywhere? >> that's a great question, br rt. anecdotal and i'll poke around some good news for her by a point here or there. i can find a lot of good news for him. point here and point there. it seems the areas where she is gaining the most is where the votes are. areas where he's gaining the most is the area that he targeted and that's the rural area. whether or not you can extrapolate that over -- place like hall county, 72%. right. 89%. the problem is that's 94 out 06159. i can -- 94 out of 159. i can move along the northern state 06 georgia. that's dominating.

81. >> comparing to 2020? >> show you that. that's 86. 2020, the same counties i'll go in reverse. 84 still improves. 81. >> what is it now? >> 82 right now. so this is fan noncounty about 14,000 votes in that county alone and 14,000 okay. if you've taken and extrapolated over 159 counties it can add up and to answer your question, b brit, four years ago the county was # 82 and now at 80. he has a chance to do a point or two better and he's not meeting the number he hit in that rural county four years ago. bret: we'll make a quick call and come back to the board and panel. fox news decision desk with predict that vice president harris winning new hampshire and former president trump came closer than expected and #cities and -- cities and suburban areas

and there was a time new hampshire thought was closing and we saw that kelly ayotte wins in the governor's race there and now we're calling that for vice president harris. martha: the former senator for new hampshire and popular in the state and not enough to really turn new hampshire red in this situation. so the maryland senate race, we have for you next, democrat angela alsobrooks defeating larry hogan and never really was able to move past her. he was obviously a difficult race for the former governor trying to become a senator. bret: that sticks with the u.s. senate and still on track. there's a one pickup for republicans and again looking to ohio and west virginia. maybe a couple other races and still waiting on michigan and pennsylvania about where # that goes. martha: and montana, that's not closed yet. obviously a very helpful pick up for -- hopeful pickup with republican tim sheehy.

bret: kaylee, what are you think something >> the map and supporter bushes and it seeps to be breaking more like 2016 than 2020. but we'll see. when you look at supporter bushes, the kamala harris team is making much of the fact that the supporter bushes of indianapolis and donald trump underperforming and they point to fayette county in georgia and get fox news vo voter analysis d not hitting the marks that joe biden did and hillsborough county, florida and that's tampa and almost urban and hillary won by seven, biden won by seven. at this hour donald trump is leading by three in hillsborough county. let me say this, this should be discussed and hasn't been discussed and might have bigger implications for the republican party moving florida. that is the fact that the republican party lost every pro life ballot initiative post-dobbs till tonight in florida and see amendment 4 went down. the difference was you had a leader and governor desantis,

that owned the issue and talked about the issue and out on the air waves on the issue and i'm told by sources familiar with the ten ainitiatives happening across the country, they're helpful in nebraska. why? pete ricketts leaned into the issue. that might be a lesson that's instructed moving forward to the party. you've got to speak on the issue because hiding from it thus far has not worked. bret: both of the candidates at this hour have a path to 270 and wide open and there's a number of different ways to go. who would you rather be right now? >> rather be him because she's underperforming where biden was in states that are very close. i'm also watching the senate because what does it profit a person to win the presidency if you don't have the senate to get your cabinet? nebraska is interesting to me. who is he going to caucus with if the independent wins? i don't think he will, but if donald trump wins the presidency, you've got to get around lisa and susan to get

desired cabinet and kamala harris and win the presidency, you're not getting desired cabinet if you have a republican senate. bret: yeah. charlie. >> i want to make a prediction. i'm growing more confident as i sit here and listen to everybody and i am talking to people that know their states as well as anybody. i think the finest numbers people, finest sources and i don't think it'll be very long until you call north carolina for donald trump. i think georgia will immediately there follow -- follow thereafter. then we're at a -- we'd be at a point and i believe arizona is baked in. immigration was a big issue out there. that now means that would bring us to a point in this race if i am right, if i'm wrong, everybody call me out and hannity was wrong, t-shirts and tell them on donald trump.com. okay, if that's true, that means she would have to sweep the blue

wall. and based on the information that we have in the early voting success of the republicans in both wisconsin and pennsylvania, i don't think she can do it. bret: with that prediction, we're going to take a quick break. race to 270 continues and we're about to get our first look at state of play in the battleground state of nevada. special coverage continues after this. ♪ good ranchers is delivering american sourced proteins

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it's our son, he is always up in our business. it's the verizon 5g home internet i got us. oh... he used to be a competitive gamer but with the higher lag, he can't keep up with his squad. so now we're his “squad”. what are kevin's plans for the fall? he's going to college. out of state, yeah. -yeah in the fall. change of plans, i've decided to stay local. oh excellent! oh that's great! why would i ever leave this? -aw! we will do anything to get him gaming again. you and kevin need to fix this internet situation. heard my name! i swear to god, kevin! -we told you to wait in the car. everyone in my old squad has xfinity. less lag, better gaming! i'm gonna need to charge you for three people.

martha: 9:43 on east coast and taking you on the key states and nothing that is happened so far is shocking. and we're watching virginia and we're waiting for north carolina and going for pennsylvania and going for them shaping up at this hour going for them to end on that in pennsylvania and 32% and waiting for a lot more vote to come in for pennsylvania and hearing it's not surprising the order of vote is coming in not surprise together red team at this point.

wisconsin, 47.9 to 50% and wisconsin has 23% of the vote in. also expected to be a tight race and they've both been a ton of time there and michigan, which we have talking to them yet and looking to show us on the board what michigan looks like. 14%, lot of votes still to come in in michigan and this is too close to call and that's 45-42 and let's go to grady trimble. just outside of detroit, michigan. part of the blue wall. high, grady. reporter: expecting them for the top elections and update throughout the day and going for them and strong in the wolverine state and when combined with early voting, it's quite possible that it sets a new record, the previous record, set in the last presidential election in 2020. like most of the battleground states this is a story of rural turnout versus urban turnout,

but there's an interesting story line playing out in the detroit suburbs, particularly in the dearborn area, in the arab american community. the trump-appointed campaign has really -- the p campaign has been targeting that puny and getting them to vote and going to talk to arab americans and casting their ballots for green party can date jill stein and could be a spoiler candidate and we know that many arab americans are sit out this election entirely, which could tip the scales in favor of former president trump. we're also watching the senate race here, mike ronnellers, the republican -- mike rogers, the republican candidate spoke to the crowd and says it'll be a nail biter and probably a very late night. bret and martha, back to you. martha: thank you. bret: some democrats are saying north carolina is on the edge. i don't think they're fully agreeing with sean. >> with north carolina?

>> bret: may make t-shirts. >> not joust saying north carolina but north carolina and georgia will go donald trump tonight and i'm as confident in that prediction as any i've ever made. bret: wow. okay. bill hemmer tracking that. are we backing that up on the wall? bret: sean, you're right about that in north carolina. >> i've showed you this county last hour. this is anson county, 47% african american population. sometimes in these elections where you're seeing an outcome, that hasn't happened in 100 years. something just happened for the first time since 1876 in north carolina, and a republican won this county for the second time since the 1870s. so i just like something to stick in the back of your head and think about. well, that was a data point along the way. you guys mentioned the blue wall. go ahead and we're moving toward the central time zone and talking wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania. show you a lot of stuff right now, okay, but this is anecdotal stuff and data points on the map.

going to wisconsin, you have to look at dane counties, university of wisconsin. in the midterms, they had more than 85% voter turnout. in one county, okay. you're going to get a ton of democratic votes out of here. about halfway into it right now. you see the margins but i was poking through and looking at milwaukee. there's a lot of votes and only 25% coming in right now. kamala harris has almost 66% so this is where joe biden finished, same county, same city four years ago. he was almost at 70%. right now she is under performing in milwaukee so you have to ask yourself, that little pattern you saw in the rural county in north carolina, is it repeating itself in some of the bigger cities? is detroit -- right now wayne county is red. we don't expect to stay that way but one thing to look at as well. this is the county with ann arbor, university of michigan, expect to get a good number here

and another county to watch as well. then let's flip over here and complete the blue wall. this is where we are in pennsylvania and showed you the male vote, heavily democratic is put out first and we still think we're probably see ago lot of that right now in the composition. go ahead and look now, let's look at vote difference in pennsylvania. what we've done here is we've gone back to the year 2000, okay, so you have six presidential races to look at. for so long this was not even a battleground. it was heavily democratic. thinking about what barack obama did in 2008, it was off the map and romney cut it in half and state cam back a bit toward the republican party and really wasn't till 2016 when donald trump won the state by just less than a point. look at vote difference now for michigan. very similar, maybe not as

extended, okay. someone argued more democratic in michigan. but that was the difference in 2016 for trump, 0.2% points and that's where obama was, that was not contested and look at vote difference in wisconsin. very similar. blue but not nearly as extreme. in fact, if you take out the obama years in 2008 and 2012, you find wisconsin is what i find this to be the swingiest state you find out there. all right, bac we're looking at florida, look what happened 24 wisconsin. four years later, john kerry, look what happened. see donald trump in 2016, it's just by a nose he was able to win and that one back to biden in 2020 again and all those races, four out of six over the past 20 years have z been decided by less than a point. it might well be the case again

tonight in the land of cheese heads. go ahead and clear this right now. bret: bill, can we go to wisconsin? >> we sure can. bret: go ahead. >> you want to see how this is shaping up. i mentioned dane a moment ago and milwaukee. sean duffy, one of our colleagues, former congressman for the state of wisconsin, when he ran for congress, all the area here was blue, okay. and when he went to washington, it all flipped and all became red and stayed that way. it's been a source of political strength and power for donald trump, and we'll see whether or not that remains the case right now. all right. so you know, we're just about the 30% mark in wisconsin and kamala harris with a slight lead there by about 3 points and this is where it ended as i showed you out there on the map. 20,682 were the votes four years ago. if i come to 2024, what am i looking at, i'm looking at dane.

bret: how about sauk and kemp know kenosha. >> there's a little more lead here and kennedy and wisconsin all night long. trump has a lead here and let's go ahead and see. half of the voting here in wisconsin, this is where it finished. i find that interesting. bret: what about -- >> let's find kenosha down. bret: this is the swingiest state. i spent time there on two recall elections with governor scott walker and it was extraordinary. >> we don't think about it they walleye but it's true. this is kenosha but you asked for it and got it. half the vote in and trump is shy of 58%. so he's overperforming now in kenosha as well. i can keep going if you want. call it out, guys, if you want. sorry?

>> [inaudible]. >> the counties have been solid republican forever but not during the trump years and they got softer and softer and they're one of the counties west of milwaukee. waukesha, excuse me and then get into washington and over in the lake is osakie here and trump at 53.5 and comparison point, 2020, a little under right now in that suburban county north of milwaukee. pop on over here to washington and see what we're doing. 70% is an impressive percentage. four years ago, what did he do? a little bit better right there in washington county. then we'll move over and most populated of the three waukesha west of milwaukee and shy of 60% raw vote shy of 40,000. from four years ago, okay. all right. so he ended up with 55,000 net so either has some space to make

up or he's not going to get to the number from four years ago so that's something to watch. the wild counties in milwaukee. my favorite county in all of wisconsin, maybe my favorite county in the entire map this year, right here. know what this is bret and martha? b door county. >> talking about door county. don't want to be there in the winter because it's cold and frozen. but in the summertime, it's got to be beautiful, half the vote in, trump has an edge here. four years ago, you see what happened here, biden won it. go back to 2024, let's go statewide and watch all the map going to play here. this is a flipper county in wisconsin. the shade of blue is just very slight. so it shows you how close it was so we'll keep an eye on it and sometimes those are the bell weather statewide and we'll see whether that develops there in wisconsin. martha: thank you, bill. bret: bill, wisconsin, oh, yeah.

martha: little trip to wisconsin. door county. in the great lakes and obviously this is going to be an area that is going to probably tell the story of this election that in the sun beltability and getting close to 10:00, around the corner and full closings in utah, montana and nevada. this is our special coverage kicking into high gear and the electoral count continues to load in 195 for trump and 117 for vice president harris. that work better together. like your workplace benefits and retirement savings. presentation looks great. thanks! thanks! voya provides tools that help you make the right investment and benefit choices so you can reach today's financial goals. that one! and look forward, to a more confident future. that is one dynamic duo. voya, well planned, well invested, well protected.

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♪ ♪ ♪ bret: election night unfolding before our eyes. we've got a lot happening as you take a look at the big board on the scorecard. right now the electoral vote count stands 59 former president trump at 195 to vice president harris at17. 1117. martha: we're still waiting, obviously, for georgia to fill in and north carolina to fill in, but there's a lot of cushion the about that outstanding vote and whether or not it will meet the level that vice president harris would have to meet, and we've been talking about philadelphia county. she would have to clear 7000,00n order to -- >> in 2020 the, yeah.

martha: all right. let's go to jeff paul from the if headquarters of republican senate candidate sam brown and that wiess going on -- what's going on there. >> reporter: we'll be there in a little bit, but right now we are outside maybe one of the biggest and most expensive polling centers in the country, home of the las vegas raiders. and one of the things i want to mention to to the folks at home is people are still showing up here the cast their ballot to. we are a minute away from polls closing, and under nevada law if you are in line by 7:00, you have the right to vote. and we are hearing about some instances where there are some pretty long lines throughout the state. also keep in mind that they will not release any results anywhere in the state of nevada until the last person in the state votes. so we could be looking at a very long night ahead of us here in the state of nevada. martha? bret: all right, jeff paul, thank you so much. we're waiting now for these calls at 10:00, and we're looking at basically a scenario

where the democrats are putting all their hope in the blue wall. the question is, what happens when we make a call in north carolina and georgia if you believe sean hannity, it's coming soon. we'll see if it does. it is time to see how many more electoral votes will fall as we get ready for our next calls. martha: stay tuned. >> we are seconds away from three states including montana, utah plus the critical battleground -- >> together we will fight to win nevada. >> nevada, we fight for the future. >> 16 electoral votes on the line, we have the results as they come in. the moment is here. america is watching. ♪ ♪ martha: very quickly, it is now 10 p.m. here in missouri. three more states -- in new york. three more states in the west have just finished