piping, 10 lords leaping, nine ladies dancing, 8 maids milken, 7 swans swimming, six geese laying, five gold rings, four calling birds, three french hens, two turtle drums ♪ why don't you sing with me? come on. programming note to save your life, we are getting ready to celebrate 15 years on the air. it's going to be in january and we want to hear from you. send in a message, 15 seconds or under, tell us where you are from, how long you have been watching, your favorite moment from the show. send the video to varneyviewers@fox.com. do you have a favorite moment of all your years on the show? >> i loved when olds was here. stuart: good stuff. we are completely out of time. coast-to-coast starts in three or four seconds. here is neil. neil: a few were to purchase

those items it is almost $15,000. it has never been higher. that's the best i've got. never been higher. there you go. i would like to add a little context. thank you very much. a lot of people are saying really? the inflationary spiraling, $50,000 for all those items. when i started, do you know what it was for all those items, $11,000, that's your democratic republican president, going back to fox news's earliest days. the slide in the dow, entering the ninth day in this, you have to go back to october 1974 to see a streak like that, gerald ford was president for a couple months, he had pardoned richard nixon a few weeks earlier, we were in a spiral of inflation that seemed out of control and things were not getting better. that was then, this is now.

some of that fall off would telegraph different times to come. we weren't enjoying a rally like we were enjoying, that was not extending to everybody, bath nasdaq and s&p are doing fine, the nasdaq, not so in video, that has fallen deeper into correction territory, decline of 10% or more from its highs. someone else in some other stock is making up for that magnificent seven times fall. lauren: let's start with in video. the month of december is so tough for nvidia, down almost 7% in december alone. officially in correction territory, it is down 10%, that means correction from 148-88 on november 7. it still has a tremendous

market share in a i and it benefits from a i corporate spending, responsible for the multiplier effect. analysts say for every dollar spent on and nvidia chip, $8 to $10 is spent through the entire tech sector. no one is counting them out as some investors start to rotate into other chip names like broad.com which is on track for its best month ever, bernstein names them and nvidia as their top chip picks for the new year. there you have broad.com. look at the green arrow. tesla is down a bit today, a third of one% at 461 and it did touch, their price target is a street high of 515, the same as well. that 515 is up from previous price target of $230. the reason is there's a romance

between tesla's ceo and donald trump. they expect lose rules on autonomous driving and i charted it, it is up 90% since it's close on election day, november 5th. it is the cleanest trump trade in my opinion because it's ceo has, you see it next to the big man himself in. neil: without toes or and that magnificent seven, where would they be? originally was the drag on the seven before the election it was percolating even then but without balancing things out, the magnificent seven would be testing even ground but it is remarkable. lauren: they are all up sharply. nvidia it is up 60% this year but matter is up 76%.

they have amazing gains and trillion dollar valuations. neil: that was great. i want to go to chad pergram. the day is going down down down. the dow is up 18% year to date. the latest catalyst might be no catalyst for getting anything done in washington. i don't want to say it is all on washington's parkway but as chad pergram would tell you there are worrisome developments. >> reporter: house speaker mike johnson is promising an entire room spending bill by the end of the day but still no text. funding expires 11:59:59 friday. republicans thought they would not glom the bills together at the end of the year again but here we are. you said back in september there would be no more

christmas on the buses, i know what you said had to be added to this bill but how is this not yet another christmas tree at the holidays? >> it is not. it is not a christmas tree. >> reporter: numbers say this is a cram is a cramdown, that it was garbage. those numbers -- >> i have a couple friends who will say that about any funding measure. this is not an omnibus. this is a small cr that we had to add things to that are out of our control. >> reporter: the bill runs the government at spending levels negotiated by president biden through march 14th. johnson says it was essential to add provisions to boost farmers, $100 billion in disaster aid to help people recover from the dual hurricanes. conservatives are not impressed. >> it is a total dumpster fire. it is garbage. this is what washington has done. i ran for congress to stop this

and this is happening again. it is shameful that people that celebrate doge coming in and yet we vote for another billion dollars to be added to the deficit. >> reporter: conservatives hope things will be different under johnson, the speaker expects to adhere to the 3 day rule to post the bill before voting. that means the house would vote on friday. >> speaker johnson said he wants to wipe the 72 hour rule but one of the relevant rules is on suspension you are not supposed to pass something that spends $100 million. there should be a rule built and by secret tradition they avoid rules and then it is in all these kinds of things. >> reporter: that does not address when the senate would move. johnson hopes to convince republicans to vote for this bill, otherwise he must rely on democrats. johnson also said he was not worried about back lash on the speakers vote come january 3rd. neil: has very little wiggle

room. are you need is one or 2 congressmen who aren't keen on what he's doing and this could go kirk louis. >> reporter: you need to have an outright majority of the entire house, 434 members. he will will come in at 219. that means the magic number is 218. he can lose one. on january 3rd. it's about the math. neil: chad pergram following that on capitol hill. a possibility of a shut down, speaker battle. they don't like any surprises. the portfolio manager, i would be curious about your take on the possibility of another government shutdown around the holidays. it could happen. then what. >> reporter: we've been to this rodeo before. it could rile up the markets. that is part of it.

we know that there is no way washington is going to give call at christmas time. it will not happen. they will be a way found. i'm not concerned about it does show there is some strife, some arguing and fighting and not everything is peaceful. neil: could this, don't want to take that leap, lord sleeping on the 12 days of christmas, 15% leap in the 12 days of christmas, the cost, but the one i did wonder, if we've been assuming there's full control of the executive branch, senate and house that they get anything they want, the house proves when you have margins that narrow, there is no given. >> absolutely true. the gray zone, the margin is very narrow indeed. we are going to see more of this taking place and hopefully

a little more in the cloak room and we don't have to sit around worrying on wall street because all translate into our money. neil: nine straight dow down days a harbinger of things to come. you can assemble any sort of bearish argument and bullish argument if nasdaq is defying it but how do you feel about that? do you obsess about this? >> the statistic of down 9 days, we haven't seen this since the 70s is definitely sobering and a wake-up call but when you look at the numbers which is what we do and see that it is rotation that is taking place, unh and unitedhealth is a drag, we've seen chevron a drag, oil prices lowering expectation that there won't be as much demand. microsoft up, i love it, boeing is up.

the employees at boeing need to see that. honeywell. we also have to look at what the stock market is telling us on the macro level. when i see honeywell up and bowing up, you might be going to war. neil: let me get your take, two back to back years of 20% returns of the s&p, it has been done. what do you think for next year? >> we will have this third year and d5 what the statistics are. madison: you by march of 26%? >> probably not that but we will see a double digit year. neil: you are not in the goldman sachs camp that says it is getting narrow or we will see 3% or 4%. >> it might happen in 26. if you are a long-term investor, beer ready, strap your self and but if you are short-term you want to earn stocks from 6 months to 9

months you could probably do 10% to 15% if not higher. neil: i don't purchase green bananas. it's a waste of time. i am wondering couple will we see a divide among investors, younger gains. >> look at the stock of robin hood and how well robin hood is doing, they have all the clients, customers, younger demographic and buying crypto and tokens and investing in hot stocks. nvidia and broad.com, it is down the pipeline. and they may see the returns very muted, 60% bonds. neil: they are saying throw the

rule out, should all be stocks, i am as bullish as anyone get, that to me could encourage frothy in us, that type of recommendation. >> between all that stuff. it is important to have a tiny bit of gold, diversification. bitcoin has $200,000, you could go to $500,000 but i worry about the last person who goes in is the person least likely to have a lot of money. neil: small part of portfolio. so there's a certain wisdom to that but it is a wild ride. >> it will be and diversification, the way to go and diversification is proven in this market when you see how the stocks are switching.

neil: you see we would see it spreading out. not talking about my waste. very sanguine advice. in the meantime i want to go to the wisconsin republican in the house, i don't want to get too into that, things will get dicey for your narrow majority in the house, speaker johnson is in trouble, avoiding a government shutdown could suddenly look unlikely, what do you think? >> the american people decided it was a mandate, in support of donald trump's policies, we are in this lame-duck session and we have chuck schumer in the senate and president biden at the presidential level and the concern right now in the conference is we don't want to give the money to spend overseas and bought take care of americans here right now.

we haven't seen the text of the current bill, the continuing resolution but i'm looking forward to going through that hopefully here today as we will make a good decision on it but i am concerned about the reckless spending that's causing the inflation in this country and we will take a look at it. neil: there are various measures, not that you are responsible for the parliamentary mechanisms to keep the lights on but a lot of your colleagues look at this and say we are talking a good game on getting spending under control and getting elon musk and vivek ramaswamy to address needless spending but it is tough to practice in earnest on a daily basis. what's happening now in the florida house is proof. >> these are tough decisions and it does take consensus to move things forward. i'm looking forward. i joined the doge coccus. looking forward to that. the people voted on reining in the reckless spending. this is a big topic, a difficult thing.

we will go through the text as soon as we get it and we will make a difficult decision. we have a lot of work to do and we need to reign in the spending. neil: tariffs are a big issue for donald trump when he assumes the white house again and a lot of your colleagues are worried about the fallout of that, inflationary fallout, donald trump doesn't ignore that possibility but it could boomerang as well. history has examples of that. are you worried about that? >> i'm not worried about it. the voters do as well. that's a great negotiating tactic with canada to secure the border, to stop the deadly flow of drugs so it is a tactic, i look at it as a smart tariff to negotiate and to negotiate things in our favor and we need to focus on our country first. neil: of the other side doesn't

cave and respond to that, then they have tariffs on us. in the back-and-forth, all of a sudden you've got problems. you don't see that happening? >> i don't. it comes down to leadership and strength. i believe in this country, we need to have the strongest leadership. i'm looking forward to having a strong leader like donald trump and that is what we need and it comes down to those negotiations. we need to do what is right for this country and i believe in donald trump's policies. neil: hope you have a merry christmas. congressman, they've got to cobble something together in the next few days to avoid the shutdown and pave the way in early january for the speakership phot which seems to be going in congressman johnson's favor. there are no guarantees. meanwhile, taking a look at tiktok, there was a time donald trump was advocating shutting it down. he has met with the tiktok leader and maybe not so into shutting it down after this.

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ban on tiktok? >> we will look at tiktok. i have a warm spot in my heart for tiktok because i won youth by 34 points and there are those of the say at tiktok had something to do with it. >> a big driver of young voters who in large numbers went to him this past election so not keen on shutting this puppy down just yet. charlie gasparino joining us on that and the tiktok ceo trying to make amends. >> he does the thing, the debate with harrison talks about eating the dogs, eating the cats, eating the pets of the people that live there. it is a great line. everybody was like this is horrible, casting aspersions on poor people and whatever it was in ohio. the next day kids were dancing to it. you eat the dog, eat the cat,

eating the cats, eating the dogs. and they were dancing. he knows tiktok got his message. is there a legitimate espionage concern about them using biometric markers to create fake people or whatever. i don't know. that's been the charge. neil: do you pursue it? charles: i broke the story they would have to sell it. i got into it. but that was 2020. i forget things. it's the marijuana usage. but what i find interesting about this is go tomorrow lago

and you have utility and look at the last. julie: have jeff bezos, mark zuckerberg, the google families. and it is a good business move. charles: they went over the top and attacking him. tiktok is another thing. brendan car is a huge critic of tiktok i wonder if he will do that. from the trump people. neil: the issue becomes how do you know the connections have been severed? >> something known as project texas maybe oracle would monitor it. i don't know how you know but if you are worried about

biometric markers from tiktok you should be worried what these brokerage firms that take your social security number. if you are worried about this at tiktok there's a bigger worry. neil: the common theme is china china china. charles: he will use all this as a negotiation with xi, the chinese don't want it forcibly sold and he will get some concessions out of him through trade. he wasn't really invited. neil: i thought he was. you invited me. i would go. charles: i want you to dance to eating the dogs and eating the cats. it is so unique.

it is so good. neil: i want to go to aishah hasnie because she has been following a lot of politicians, what are you learning? >> sometimes questions work. he might pop out of this meeting with senator marshall and a few seconds and if he does i will try to ask his personal stance on abortion. it has been a concern for some conservative republicans. some told us he's going to fall in line with trump's stance on abortion but we are trying to get that from him. here is him earlier, try to get an answer from him, watch this. >> what is your stance on abortion?

>> bill you ban red food dye? will you ban read food dyes? what do you think of all from processed foods? a lot of americans are worried about their health, will you ban processed foods? i have also asked if you would cut gender affirming care for minors and a lot of questions he's had opinions on but is not talking about on the hill. he seems to be getting a warm welcome among senate republicans. he will meet with john thune later today, vowing that he will get trump's nominees confirmed. >> one of the first priorities is confirming donald trump's nominees. the american people added donald trump decisive mandate in november but we are going to get the job done and that means nights and weekends, so be it.

>> reporter: just watching and waiting, his security team is right outside this door and looks like he might pop out. interesting to note his meeting with senator marshall who is a former ob/gyn, don't know if he is still practicing but probably has been asking him questions about the abortion issue. senator kennedy said rfk junior has been all over the map about this, he's popping out right now. senator kennedy, can we get your stance on abortion? what are you telling senators today? mr. kennedy? mr. kennedy? mister kennedy, are you going to fall in line with donald trump's views on abortion? mr. kennedy? any comments on your meeting today?

so that is what we have been experiencing pretty much all day. he doesn't want to talk. the only thing he has commented on is a polio vaccine. that only happened after donald trump down in mar-a-lago said he was not going to be as extreme as some people think and he supported the polio vaccine. that the only thing he has been willing to talk about. nothing else. neil: you didn't get him to respond to you but you hit 20,000 steps so congratulations. you are amazing. great job as always. if you are not coming to me, i am not coming to you. drones big in the news but some new jersey residents have had a unique response to this after this. ♪

>> the 737 max incident was scary. the fallout from this is a worldwide search to check the safety of these planes looking at these bolts and all the rest. here we are in iowa. i've got to tell you two things immediately hit me.

it is incredibly cold here. the other thing was the sense of history. you can feel it in the crisp, cold air as we speak. he is exonerated but he is embarrassed to. i'm talking about the special counsel report that absolves him of any crime to pay for these documents. >> we all have senior moments but this was not a good day for the president yesterday. neil: a billionaire former president trying to come up with $355 million and the fear among many businesses in new york that there but by the grace of god they could someday go as well. beginning to get more details on the bridge collapsed in baltimore including the ship behind it, the power went out, the lights went out at the bridge went out. shipping companies rerouting around that area.

retailers talking about pricier products beyond that area. the crypto king is going to jail and if prosecutors have their way and the judge absented stance, 25 years. millions of americans felt the earth move under their feet in an unusual place, the northeast, 4. 8 powerful earthquake resonating for folks who never really experienced anything like that. even if not everyone is seeing a total eclipse of the sun, most everyone in this country at least the lower 48 states will see some eclipse of the sun. all rise, see what we did with the trial going on in new york and market averages rising again in record territory, a goods sort of reference point for where we are because all those averages are indeed at a record. nvidia the most valuable company on the planet, nasdaq

up seven days straight, the s&p scoring its 31st record of the year. taking a look at what happened. i think you hit the key issue. donald trump's election to lose. that's how the markets are reflecting this. unless there's a big surprise it is playing out a potential trump win, maybe a big one. the democratic convention, this is the big nice, kamala harris's introduction to the american people. even though she was vice president for four years a lot of us don't know, this is the big introduction. did you see this spacewalk today? this is surreal. they had to make sure that the full crew would be suited up and get ready and exposed the vacuum of space because once they open the hatch they are all dealing with this. florida tries to pick up the

pieces from all of this, we know six dead, 3 million without power and we know of cost estimates for this going up, up, up. i assume the boat behind you didn't just park itself there. take a look at that. we've had a huge run up and a huge rally for the last couple of years and the fact of the matter is by historical standards, this 2-year bull market is kind of young. me thinks that he will have a very big victory today, very encouraged by early voting numbers that have been showing very high numbers in republican areas. a lot of people extrapolate that's a good sign for republicans. it is better than 82 million votes that we've seen before anyone went to vote today. brian thompson ran the largest vision of united health group, you heard he was killed today

on a midtown manhattan and altoona, pennsylvania, the shooter of the united healthcare ceo was found at a mcdonald's quietly eating until he was arrested. this will not stop. over $100,000 of coin, in case you are trying to keep track of this it is already up in excess of 140%. more than that. this really has been a crazy year and we are not done with it. we still have a couple weeks ago. the fact is the more things change the more change we see and a lot of this built on optimism of late about donald trump returning to the oval office and changing the game but in the middle of that we have these drones. this is one of the more unexplainable, some say inexplicable development we had this year, ending with hundreds of these things seem first around the garden state of new jersey, new york, picked up to

points west out in california but new jersey was the epicenter and no real explanation as to these devices we are told are the size of an suv, no accounting for whether they are from the military, from another planet, from another country. nate foy has been following this in elizabeth, new jersey where he has been so long, he just bought a condo to follow what is going on. this is crazy. what's the latest? >> reporter: this is crazy. you mentioned change. there hasn't been much change that we are hoping for some today with the white house briefing the house intelligence committee at 2:00 at a full briefing with the house after that at 2:30. donald trump says he believes the white house already knows what is going on and they won't tell the american people. john kirby agreed with donald trump but not in the way he meant. take a look.

>> we do have a good sense of what is happening, i don't disagree with him in that regard. we've been looking at this very hard and as you saw in the joint statement last night from four federal agencies, our assessment to date based on the information we have seen at people we talked to, this is lawful, legal aviation activity, manned and unmanned drones, civil aviation. >> reporter: another part of that statement, we 've not identified anything anomalous and do not assess the activity to date to present a public safety risk over the civilian airspace in new jersey or other states in the northeast. federal drug detection technology is being used in new jersey and new york, new jersey governor phil murphy says it hasn't found any evidence of something threatening and the

technology is powerful enough to disable a drone which is illegal in the united states. congresswoman call malliotakis says the biden administration needs to tell us more. >> what i think is the problem is the lack of communication, and the lack of answers we are receiving from our government that is making people think there is something wrong happening. >> reporter: congresswoman malliotakis told me she doesn't expect many answers in the house briefing at 2:30 but we will see as tomorrow will mark one full month since this mystery began, the first drone siding november 18th. neil: almost all of these sightings are nice, these drones come out at night and when they turn their lights off they go back to wherever they came from. what's going on? >> what is interesting about

that specifically, you heard john kirby say that these drones aren't breaking any laws that are flying with their lights on which is part of the reason we know they are there but if you think back a week ago at this point new jersey governor murphy said when you get close to these drones the lights turn off which make them more difficult to track. we are trying to learn the discrepancy. neil: we will see. it is not adding up. at first i thought this was an effort by the real estate industry to showcase homes that would be up for sale but it is happening at night. don't know what you do with a night view of a home, there was recently a lot of buzz that america is open for business, wasn't just talking election results but real estate, the economy and global demand. he is next, he is now. ♪

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neil: i had a chance to

interview a lot of great people. i caught him when he was big, now he's really big, commentary speak clearly about the state of the real estate industry, what's going on, frames it in a nice way i can understand. one thing i noticed, congratulations on the netflix success, people's curiosity and fascination with real estate and then this report out today that they are looking at 10 year bond rates which means 6, 30 year mortgages could be 7-9. >> i think so. i don't see any great macro micro indicators pointing to significantly lower rates. the depressed rates we saw post

2008 is a long-lasting response to subprime mortgage collapse of 2008. no one wanted to ruffle feathers until we hit this mass state of inflation. the housing market is dictated by only three things, interest rates and supply and demand. significant demand. neil: a lot of people can't pay. >> i think there's an affordability crisis was a starter home is over $1 million, two hundred thirty seven american cities. that's not a housing crisis but affordability crisis. if you look at the rental markets, over half of all renters are spending 50% of

their paycheck on rent, doesn't include utilities, incidental, the holiday presents. a lot more needs to be done to make the housing crisis something to talk about as housing fix. it's about fixing affordability more than anything. neil: this comes when prices are not coming down. those people who own those properties are not selling. that is a standoff of their. >> i'm trying to find is available with my drones but it is a little weird recently. luxury markets, new york city as an example, contracts are up 40% year-over-year. julie: who is doing that? >> a lot more people than you think. there's a lot of money on the

sidelines not just during covid but since 2,008. housing 32008 was a want and also a need. people wanted to own real estate but also needed it. then for 12 years, housing was a need class. investor based class. today, similarly coming back to one class. they decide not to live in california and pay those taxes. they don't need to live anywhere. neil: you don't see anything like a bubble buying homes sight unseen, that's not happening. it is not a bubble right now. >> you know how hard it is to get a mortgage? the pain it is to get and loan financing for regular american who is married with 2. 2 kids. it is incredibly difficult to get a loan. easier than that. neil: is driven by the very

rich. >> that is a small percentage. neil: they are the ones paying one hundred billion dollars for somebody's penthouse and in florida, god knows what's. what. is that sustainable? >> it is sustainable in the luxury sector. they are moving quickly. typically -- neil: their trickle-down? >> there's a trickle-down if there's more homes. something trump talked about his opening federal land. of the 20 what do you think of that? >> i think that the government owns 650 million acres in the united states, that's between federal and state governments, parks, alaska -- lauren: 1 won't start building condos. >> not at yosemite. a significant amount of money, how many -- neil: if that land was clear, you would be, like nobody's business.

>> i also think it needs to come with an incentive. look what new york city did after 9/11. the tax abatement incentivized developers to take buildings, sometimes city buildings, no real estate taxes, go for it, pass it on, you get to recoup those benefits but please build, we need more houses and it created more housing supply than new york has ever seen and went into a bull market with other issues. if you use that, there's a lot we can do for housing. neil: the founder and ceo at netflix star, more after this. m with savings, right? (♪) somebody just got their first debit card! ice cream on you? your money is a part of your community, so your bank should be too. like, chase!

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