ashley: a bit of frankie valley perfect for this valance today as you look at sixth avenue in midtown manhattan. not many people out braving the weather but it will warm your heart. good morning. i am ashley webster in for stuart varney. it is 10:00 eastern. the market is up across the board although it is muted ever so slightly but three exchanges finished positively yesterday. let's look at the treasury yield which will have a big impact on equities and 10 year treasury moving down, it is down 5. 6 basis points, 4.47 helps equities. let's look at the price of oil

on the rise, up $0.44, $71.63 a barrel. what about bitcoin? up $73, $682, 97,250. now this. pennsylvania senator john fetterman is once again breaking with many of his democratic colleagues, he tells the victim post there isn't a constitutional crisis. all of these things is just a lot of noise, that's why i will only swing on the strikes. guy benson joins me. 's fetterman one of the only common sense democrats left? it feels like it. >> it is surprising that he is holding that torch are pretty lonely it feels like because he didn't campaign for office, look at his history, this is

not someone who came across as terribly moderate or levelheaded but i guess he's taken to the new position. he's looking around the state of pennsylvania. he is looking at a place where he's halfway through his term and thinking ahead to 2028 when he's up again saying this is a state that's not going to be easy for a democrat to win. it's not the tinted blue purple state anymore. his longtime colleague with the famous last name bob casey got defeated, fetterman alter the election was warning about donald trump's special connection to the keystone state. he was right about it. he feels like he is one of the only guys who is looking at what the voters just did not just in his state but nationwide and making adjustments and a lot of the other ones are going back to a playbook that already has not worked. ashley: a new gallup poll shows

45% of democrats and democrat leaning independents want their party to become more moderate. do you think big changes are coming to the democratic party? as you pointed out fetterman is so alone it feels the majority of democrats learned nothing from the last election. >> some of them here. to be doubling down on the insanity that helped lose them the election. rank and file democratic voters want to win and they saw their loss in november and said we came across as the crazy party because in many respects, especially on the culture wars they are crazy. james carville has been railing against this to anyone who will listen. i saw stephen smith who is hardly conservative, went on tv and said the american people consider their options and saw donald trump as the less crazy alternative to the democrats and the democrats many of them making a choice to say let's go back to the playbook we've been using against trump in the

elections. yet again. the few clarion calls and the other direction are gaining attention because i think it resonates with a lot of people whether it is carville or fetterman. ashley: really appreciate it. donald trump just signing a reciprocal tariff plan targeting countries that tax or restrict american goods. how is taiwan responding to trump's tariff threats? >> we are hearing quick reaction from across the government but it is the largest producer of semiconductors and advanced chips, something that is down to the smart phones we have on us at all times. taiwan quickly responding.

this statement after trump's comments saying the tariff threats and pressure on the island, the semiconductor industry, in response to that is going to strengthen communication with the us and also what he calls a win/when scenario. we have a soundbite of more of what he had to say. >> we will expand procurement in the united states and promote bilateral trade balance, the government will strengthen guidance with taiwanese companies. >> reporter: donald trump warranty would impose tariffs up to 100% on foreign-made chips unless they set up facilities in america. he pushed to bringhe semi conductor manufacturing business back to us soil. >> taiwan took our chip business away. we have until, these great companies that did so well. it was taken from us and we want that business back.

we want it back in the united states. >> reporter: taiwan's president pushed back on accusations of stealing the semi conductor business although he did stress that taiwan is capable and willing to respond to new situations come already this week, taiwan semiconductor manufacturing company, also the largest chipmaker in the world, held board meetings in the us, that took place for the very first time, and taiwan his and two economic advisors to washington to meet with officials and the trump administration. david: let's check the markets moving slightly higher in a somewhat muted session on this friday. as you can see the dow, s&p and nasdaq up 10%. ken fisher joins us now, great to have you on board. let's begin with reciprocal tariff and the talk about them. difficult for investors to get

a handle on what is happening. could hurt the markets? >> it won't hurt the markets and the reason it won't hurt the market is simply stocks move on the difference between current expectations and future realities. even if things are bad if they are not as bad as expected than stocks will rise. it's all about expectations versus reality. tariffs are economically negative, always, as economists tell you, not as economically negative as economists think. as we saw in trump's first term they are mostly wiggled around by certain companies relabeling, going through brokerage firms, on capital equipment and mostly sidestepped. it is really not the negative, in some ways it is the positive.

ashley: i want to get to this issue. why america is lagging behind europe. it slain what is going on if you can. >> let me go to what i said before. expectations versus reality. if you look, for example, specifically at europe, a lot of countries outside europe, the fact is opinions about them and within them are more dour and pessimistic than reality warrants moving forward and as that is happening they go up. let me shift that to a different perspective quickly. the us market is dominated by tec and tec like stocks, 40% of the market value of the us market. if growth stocks do worse than value stocks, by definition america does worse than the non-us because tech stocks are almost nonexistent overseas.

the fact is this for the first time in many years is a value led market and if you look at places that people have the lowest expectations about economically that is where the stock markets are doing the best, germany up 12% year-to-date, france up 10% year to date, britain up 6% year-to-date, the fact of the matter is it is all expectations versus reality. david: we have to leave it there but fascinating stuff as always, thank you so much. appreciate it. come in here, lauren. thank you. looking at some of the movers. lauren: calls is up 2 thirds of 1%, best buy up 1.1%, january retail sales fell 0. 9%. winter storms, wildfires shoppers away, shoppers away, i will say looking at the performance right now the retailers turned around, many had been lower moments ago. palo alto, cybersecurity

company, their earnings were okay, not great, investors are overexcited for bigger beats from cybersecurity type names. take a look at this. serve robotics make delivery robots that walk on the sidewalk, a chipdesigner and sound hound, that's an ai voice assistant, look at these losses down 40% for serve robotics. nvidia said they either cut or exited their stake in these names while rotating into some new ones. when a big player like nvidia scaled-back, you're in trouble. ashley: thank you very much. still had. from g-7 to g8, donald trump says russia should be readmitted to the economic alliance. peter doocy will have that report from the white house plus trump wants to restart nuclear talks with russia and china, part of a plan to reduce

defense spending. remember this army were, dead that aired during the biden administration? recruiting is getting a new look under trump. >> people harder to kill. ashley: a new approach for sure. we will tell you how the new ad is being received right after this. ♪ where ya headed? susan: where am i headed? am i just gonna take what the markets gives me? no. i can do some research. ya know, that's backed by j.p. morgan's leading strategists like us. when you want to invest with more confidence... the answer is j.p. morgan wealth management

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ashley: j.d. vance will meet with zelenskyy of the security conference. peter doocy, do you think of this meeting should said light on trump's ideas for peace plan? >> absolutely. we believe the first step towards peace for ukraine and ending this war is a security guarantee they want from the united states in exchange for rare-earth minerals, an agreement to be signed later today as the vice president says everything is on the table. >> today in brussels, introduce realism to the conversation. the reality returning to 2014 borders is part of a negotiated settlement is unlikely. the reality of us troops in ukraine is unlikely. >> reporter: but it is

possible, donald trump thinks vladimir putin wants peace it is dangling addition back into the g-7 as an incentive. it has been g-7 since russia invaded ukraine in 2014 and got kicked out of the g-8 but we don't know if other partners would agree to that. >> talk about gaza. >> no answer. the administration laying out new priorities on the world stage with vice president vance making their trump prioritizes cutting spending more than cutting emissions. >> i say this with all humor, if democracy can survive greta thune berg's golden you can survive elon musk. >> reporter: marco rubio is part of the delegation on the us side, he was deal laid, over

a cracked windshield but swapped planes and just landed. ashley: let's bring in victoria coates now? donald trump spoke with vladimir putin and zelenskyy separately. how optimistic are you that we could see a end to this almost 3 year war or will it continue to drag on? >> that's an important point, marking the third year anniversary of this war and donald trump has been clear on the campaign trail since he has been inaugurated he wants to bring it to a close, the loss of life, the destruction is too costly for everyone involved and he is putting more on the table as peter reported, the potential swap of a security

guarantee for certain natural resources out of ukraine is a deal that would be in the interests of the american people, into the g8 which doesn't cost the united states anything. it was a messaging device but perhaps that is incentive for vladimir putin to make good faith gestures. ashley: it would be interesting to follow. donald trump whats to restart nuclear arms control talks with russia and china. he wants to see all to figure 3 countries agreed to cut their defense budget. listen to this. >> i had constructive talks with vladimir putin about denuclearization of the two countries and we were going to go to china after a deal, he wanted to do it, so did i. denuclearize and so it is such a beautiful term when you think about it. i did speak to president xi and getting a good response.

ashley: it all sounds positive. do you think trump could make a deal on this? ashley: the thing he's pointing out is china because the nuclear deals we reached with the soviet union in the 70s and 80s don't apply to china. the problem beyond russian cheating, the inherent problem is they don't apply to china, china can do whatever it wants in the nuclear sphere and the united states's hands are tied by deals with the former soviet union. any deal has to include china. i would extend that to india, pakistan, nato allies who are nuclear. if we go down this road it has to be everybody, not just the united states and russia. ashley: talking of china, one

more for you, trump says china should help end the ukraine war. listen to this. >> they can help get this war over with ukraine and russia and i look at india and i see the skirmishers on the board which are vicious and continue to go on. that has been going on for a long time and it is quite violent. i would hope china, india and russia and the us can get along. very important. ashley: what do you make of that? >> it is a key point. china is pulling the strings on the ukraine war because it is an asset to russia's banker, the russian economy would tank. xi is in control of this, put

on notice to de-escalate and get to a resolution and one last thing about the india/china thing. india is dependent on russia for weapons supplies, partner of choice. the problems they face with of the skirmish on the border is in the event of war with china they will resupply china because of that relationship. that's a huge opportunity with prime minister modhi's plan, that we are going to be your nato compliant partner of choice going forward. ashley: things are moving quickly. as always, thank you for your expertise on this. we appreciate it. now this. the military just released a new recruitment ad. what is the strategy? lauren: non-nansen --

no-nonsense, that contrast with a woke ad during the biden presidency. first you are going to see the one under the biden administration followed by the new one. >> it begins in california with a little girl raised by two moms. i had a fairly typical childhood, took ballet, played violin. i also marched for equality. i would like to think i've been defending freedom from an early age. ♪ >> people harder to kill. lauren: you heard a story in the first add. for the military, in the second dad you got one simple message, dead lift 500 pounds, you are stronger and harder to kill. messages like that work. last month the army had its best recruitment numbers in 15 years.

ashley: that first one was awful. thank you very much. epa administrator leave zeldin helping the trump administration save money by slashing millions of dollars for climate justice, wait until you hear where your money was going. bureaucracy, this is democracy, state attorney generals are suing over elon musk's authority to cut spending. the legal fight next. ♪ ♪ ♪ the flag replacement program got started by a good friend of mine,

a navy vet, saw a flag at the office that needed to be replaced and said wouldn't this be great if this could be something that we did for anyone? comcast has always been a community driven company. this is one of those great examples of the way we're getting out there. choose advil liqui-gels for faster, stronger and longer-lasting relief than tylenol rapid release gels. because advil targets pain at the source of inflammation.

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so, what are you thinking? i'm thinking... (speaking to self) about our honeymoon. what about africa? safari? hot air balloon ride? swim with elephants? wait, can we afford a safari?

great question. like everything, it takes a little planning. or, put the money towards a down-payment... ...on a ranch ...in montana ...with horses let's take a look at those scenarios. j.p. morgan wealth management has advisors in chase branches and tools, like wealth plan to keep you on track. when you're planning for it all... the answer is j.p. morgan wealth management. ashley: let's look at these markets. it has been a subdued market, slightly higher on the s&p and nasdaq, down slightly on the dow. some portion around those tariffs. nevertheless, certainly some caution. you've been looking at the other movers. let's begin with applied materials, down more than 5%. lauren: a top maker of chip manufacturing equipment. there forecast for this quarter disappointed. there are restrictions on sale

to china. china is 1/3 of applied materials sales. berkshire hathaway warren buffett's, he has cut it steak in the kidney dialysis company to 45% but devito reported earnings, stock is down 12%. we need a winner, stronger earnings in vegas and it is gaining market share, stock is up almost 9%. ashley: not bad at all. we do have a winner. a federal judge will consider whether to block elon musk and doge from having access to the treasury department app central payment system. at the manhattan federal courthouse, brian yannis, 19 states are suing over this. on what grounds? >> reporter: on privacy grounds, cybersecurity grounds and constitutional grounds.

in a few hours lawyers representing donald trump and his treasury department will try to convince a new york federal judge to lift a temporary restraining order that has been put on elon musk and doge blocking them from direct access to a majority of the us government spending, doge wanting access to the central payment system called the bureau of fiscal service, this accounts for 90% of annual federal payments or $5 trillion. according to the government accountability office, they estimate 10% of that money could be lost to fraud. this payment system is how most money is dispersed by federal agencies including social security payments, veterans benefits, tax refunds and federal grant money given to states like for medicaid. new york attorney general letitia james argues it is unlawful to give access to

americans most private financial data to doge political appointees rather than career civil servants with career security clearances and the access is unconstitutional. that power belongs in the hands of congress. last night treasury secretary scott bessent highlighted the importance of musk overhauling a payment system that led to $2.7 trillion in improper government payments since 2003. >> that's where the waste, fraud, and abuse is. the treasury is the actual algorithm. how things get paid and whether things are properly accounted for. i can tell you from the information i see, there is very improper accounting, there is no notations. >> reporter: musk wants to implement direct to liturgy --

technology, including artificial intelligence to weed out waste and fraud, scott bessent argues that can't happen if doge can't have access to the system. we don't expect a decision today but we will see what happens. ashley: thank you for that. guy lewis, how do you think this plays out? >> reporter: i know how it should work out, trump and his team should win. can you imagine walking into court and to the other side saying the president and his team can't find abuse, fraud, and waste, let's keep pumping out the money as quickly as we can print it. it is quickly ridiculous. i think the government will eventually win, if not today i am certain they will win on appeal but they have a good chance today of winning.

ashley: in the case of elon musk, one lawsuit says he's been deemed a principal officer of the united states government and should be nominated, a special government employee. how do you answer that? >> no basis for the argument. and the president is to appoint various members of the team. a tiny bit of credence. security clearances, this is

the guy who works with nasa sending rockets into space, they are super qualified people, this is one of a series of lawsuits, 40 or more just to slow down the president and it is all politically based. ashley: it has been a wave of lawsuits since donald trump took office. is this going to end up? which issue will end up in the supreme court. >> ultimately the constitutional authority of the president to combat waste, fraud, and abuse. several congress people are already drafting articles of

impeachment against several judges. one judge in rhode island, another in dc, the ultra left picking these forums because they know we get biden appointed, obama appointed liberal judges that do whatever the left says. i think musk and his team will keep their eyes on the ball. ashley: thank you so much. we will move on. democrats not giving up their protests against doge's elon musk. what is the latest target? lauren: the department of veterans affairs. democrats protested outside va headquarters in dc using very pointed language. watch here. >> talked about the golden age, he talked about delivering even

more money to elon musk and the tech titans. >> make sure unelected felon musk, you can't spell felon without elon. >> don't believe the dog whistle. don't believe the fraud, waste, abuse, they are dismantling the system to delay. lauren: doge is looking into systems that are inefficient. she called elon musk a felon but remember dean phillips who ran for president? a democrat? told cnn most americans think elon musk is popular. ashley: and he is right. shows how off-base those democrats are. still ahead. 20 minutes from now the eagles parade through philadelphia with the lombardi trophy bringing it to you live at the top of the hour.

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ashley: take a look at the market for you, the dow ever so slightly lower but the s&p right at the flat line and the nasdaq at the flat line, looking for some direction. we continue to follow it. it is valentine's day and people are buying gifts for their romantic partners. what else are they spending money on?

lauren: their pets. $1.5 billion on average is spend on fido and not joe. i forget the names of your dogs. ashley: i have one dog and it is iris. lauren: the average spending is $31. cats less, $27. did you know that 6 million people get engaged on valentine's day? it is an easy anniversary. overall valentine's day drives the economy, $27 billion to be spent today. more than last year when it -- household. i laid out valentine gifts. ashley: iris just said $31 won't cover it.

thank you very much. you are running out of time to find the perfect valentine's day gift. >> flowers, diamonds, 3 course meal. >> pizza, soda, the moon, someone to share it with. ashley: kelly saberi joins me now. how much are people i people spending on valentine's day this year? >> reporter: it is a record level this year, $27.5 billion, back to pre-pandemic levels, jewelry, chocolate, and in chicago they are making heart-shaped, it smells

delicious, it's ladies hard at work making the most coveted pastries you get for your honey this year. the prices of all the ingredients that go into every baked cookie has skyrocketed. 81% increase from last february thanks to a variety of factors. egg prices up 65% from the bureau of labor statistics, it has been a shock even though they have locally sourced eggs. the farmers are having trouble meeting demand. some of those farmers are turning into wholesalers. take you to the front of the store to show you the other baked goods. everything has increased in price. to figure out how these ingredients are increasing in price.

>> i do want everyone to understand when we increase prices, it is not just about raising the cost. it is also about keeping the qualities the same. >> reporter: consumers are taking a hit but i can assure you it is a hit on both sides. >> doing my best to keep prices as low as i can as long as i can because i want to do right by the consumer. >> reporter: i asked ash and john what the most popular item is in his bakery and he says whatever seems to be the cheapest. i will leave you with that. ashley: a lot of cheapskates, i put 5 pounds on watching that. thank you very much. still the lead, new york city mayor eric adams met with tom homan to talk about ice on rikers island, sanctuary city laws and the best border

narrative. listen. >> the far left has hijacked this narrative, ice is running in our schools, our churches, they are creating this frenzy. they are not in the business of just grabbing children. ashley: we will have more from that interview. the head of the teachers union isn't a fan of doge. >> what we are hearing is complete chaos. what he's doing is taking money from kids who really need it in the field. ashley: didn't she see the nation's failing report card. more on trump's plan to deed this -- -- dismantlers board of education next. ♪

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the way i approach work post fatherhood, has really trying to understand the generation that we're building devices for. here in the comcast family, we're building an integrated in-home wifi solution for millions of families like my own. in the average household, there are dozens of connected devices. connectivity is big part of my boys' lives. it brings people together in meaningful ways. ashley: former democrat congressman calling on his party to stop fight elon musk and join him in cutting

government waste. aishah hasnie joins us from capitol hill. who are we talking about? >> reporter: former congressman dean phillips. he was the canary and vocal mine when it came to the presidential primary season, president biden's age, calling out his party for not having a primary, nobody listen to him and we saw what happened. now we are wondering if they will listen to him now because he's calling out the party once again and telling them to stop fighting elon musk. he says this. i think we are missing is the boat as democrats, sometimes it is better to join them and play a role in how the strategy works rather than so pathetically, he says, try to combat something that clearly is a steamroller. he sees that it is popular among americans and he is worried about his party. democrats may be too far gone and their doge warfare, chris murphy calling for a full-scale

opposition to musk so they are holding press conferences, rallies, slamming it on musk and kennedy hearings, bringing back doge and nomination hearings, republicans have the opposite problem, they can't keep up with dogisa they are trying to codify doge, make the cuts permanent. executive actions can be reversed by another president, has to go in and passmore executive actions to reverse the work donald trump is doing. right now dogyou will keep on doging and democrats will keep complaining that some people in their party are voicing concerns that this might not be the most popular best strategy for them. ashley: keep on doging, now to this. donald trump's nominee for education secretary, linda mcmahon appearing before the

senate health committee yesterday, the future of the department hanging in the balance. erica donalds, faculty member at the leadership institute, you were at the confirmation hearing. does the man have the votes? >> reporter: it was an honor to be there and watch her show the worldwide donald trump selected her as executive of the department a lot of the shut it down as he promised to do, not only is she experienced as executive of an international organization, the wwe but she knows education it is passionate about it having served on the state board of education in connecticut. the hearing was uneventful in some ways because there wasn't anything they could get her on. she was well prepared except the hecklers, there were quite a few hecklers, haters, the teachers union and their allies but other than that it was a display of her prowess as an

executive and how well prepared she is to lead this agency. ashley: the haters will always hate. next one for you. teaching union head randi weingarten is calling on elon musk for wanting to audit the education department. >> what we are hearing is complete chaos and a whole bunch of cruelty because at the end of the day you can make department more efficient. i'm not a big believer in bureaucracy. what this feels like as elon musk said to you a destination. here's a guy who has hundreds of millions of dollars of contracts from these departments and is not touching them but what he is doing is taking money from kids who really need it in the field and these departments. ashley: what do you make of that? >> let me tell you what is

cruel. what is cruel is forcing parents by rule of law to send their children every day for 8 hours to a school that's not teaching them to read or do math, not giving those parents any other option outside of that failing school, that is cruel. it is cruel to say from the federal government we are giving funds to students with special needs to meet those needs and not meeting those needs i know is occurring as a former school board member and school leader. that is cruel. cutting bureaucracy and wasteful contracts where people are getting paid millions of dollars to set up meetings, that is not cool. that is what needs to happen. ashley: great stuff. still ahead in the show, steve hilton on democrats calling out kamala harris for being nonexistent during trump's second term. rosanna sciotto on ice age and

skin rikers island and jonathan morris on borders are tom homan saying stay out of us immigration policy. the 11:00 hour of "varney and company" right around the corner. ♪ the way you look at me ♪ o is for the only servicenow connects every corner of your business so people can do all their work on one platform. no more mindless swivel chairing between platforms. or swivel chairing between apps. no more swivel chairing! i don't feel so good. what does he do here again? mostly that kind of stuff. will you push me back? no. where ya headed? susan: where am i headed? am i just gonna take what the markets gives me? no. i can do some research. ya know, that's backed by j.p. morgan's leading strategists like us. when you want to invest with more confidence... the answer is j.p. morgan wealth management we are on a mission to visit every national park in the states. we've done a lot, but we have a lot to do.

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