us tonight. let greta know what you thought about tonight's show on her blog greta wire.com. o'reilly factor is next. good night, everybody. >> "the o'reilly factor" is on. tonight: >> i'm going to get rid of obama care. it's killing jobs. >> are you willing to fight as hard for working families as you are for the wealthiest americans? >> bill: president obama and mitt romney going man on man in new hampshire today. is this preview of the campaign to come? karl rove, dick morris and a charles krauthammer will analyze. >> bullying came so intense victim number one was reportedly forced to change high schools. >> what is that like for somebody who has come forward after being victimized for so long? >> it's very scary. >> bill: one of the boys accusing penn state coach jerry sandusky of molesting him has to leave high school because he he is now being bull idea. is it legal now investigating

that. >> i thought he called me a washed up has been d list celebrity bitch. witch. whatever, dumb. >> bill: what is the responsibility of a cable news network when a commentator guest says something that is untrue? bernie goldberg has some thoughts. >> bill: caution, you are about to enter the no spin zone, the factor begins right now. captions by closed captioning services >> bill: hi, i'm bill o'reilly. thanks for watching us tonight. president obama's big gamble. that is the subject of this evening's talking points memo. now quite clear that mr. obama and his advisors believe the only chance they have to win re-election, outside of the republic candidate blowing up, is to convince americans that rich guys have caused the bad economy. the super committee is a fraud as democrats would not back away from demanding a $1 trillion tax increase even though they knew republicans could not possibly accept

that. based on the election of 2010. and the promises made. but the 6 committee dems wouldn't move. would not agree to restructure the tax code to raise revenue. they simply demanded 1 trillion in new taxes. think about that the golf the super committee was to cut 1.2 trillion in spending over 10 years. a pittance. and the whole thing is deraltd over a tax increase? the u.s.a. owes 15 trillion plus. and the democratic not willing to curtail spending. simpson bowles wanted 12.2. mr. obama ignored that what we have is a citing president who does not want to cut back, it seems. just today the nation spent another $4 billion it doesn't have. just today. in 2012, the president and the democrats will put forth that rich americans, and corporate greed heads are responsible for the economic mess, including the massive debt and sadly millions of americans will buy that. failing to understand that another four years of wild spending will pretty much doom

the country. talking points isn't a partisan. i think you know that i recognize the republic party is in disarray. divide between the moderates who will compromise and zealots who will not. the republicans do have an advantage. every poll shows the americans have lost confidence in mr. obama's economic leadership and if the republic candidate can show a plan of fiscal responsibility, and ward off the class warfare attacks, he will win. it will be nasty getting to next november. that's the memo. now for the top story tonight. president obama already campaigning in new hampshire where he challenged congress to expand the payroll tax cut. >> so congress has a very simple choice next week. when push comes to shove, are you willing to fight as hard for working families as you are for the wealthiest americans? what's it going to be? that's the choice. >> bill: joining us now from austin, texas, fox news analyst carl rove. is it really the choice?

is that really the choice that congress has between protecting the tax cuts in place now, which are about 35% for people like me, the 1 percenters or expanding the payroll tax cut? is that a choice? can't you do both? >> well, you could do both. let's are be clear about. this the president earlier this year with bipartisan support got an agreement that we would roll back part of the social security payroll tax this year thereby reducing the revenues that go into the social security by about $175 billion and havening the day when it goes broke. now he is asking for us again to do it for next year. if the congress does do it they need to offset this by reductions in spending, otherwise we are simply going to do. >> bill: that's right. >> and make social security less solve solvent. >> bill: i don't understand. this i'm not being disingenuous on any level at

all. certainly president obama knows that the super committee failed, that the spending $4 billion a day now that we don't have continues. that we could get downgraded and do you think we are going to get downgraded next week or the week after? because if that happens the stock market goes down another 500 to 1,000 points. certainly knows. that he is right on the cliff. is he not? >> yeah. well, yeah. here is what he is counting on. if you take a look at the latest quinnipiac poll they said who do you blame for the failure of the super committee. obama manned at democrats 38, republicans in congress 44. the president hopes the people blame republicans more and more. i think this is a mistake. you see another question recently asked. do you approve or disprove of president obama's ability to deal with congress? in may it was -- they approved by a 49% to 44 disapprove. today it is 38 844 -- him

versus republicans in congress. is he diminishing people's confidence in him as a leader. look, as a president, the most powerful asset you have is the vision of you as a strong leader. the president somatically this year gone about stripping away confidence as a strong leader. >> bill: why, in your opinion, didn't president obama give an address to the nation and say we got to cut the deficit down. we have got to cut the debt down. and i want $4 trillion in cuts made over whatever period of time. 10 years or whatever. and here's where i would suggest that we cut. why didn't the man do that? why hasn't he done that? >> because this is all about politics and has been all year long. the president had the ability to do that -- look, he had two years in which he had super majorities in the congress in which he could have restrained spending and did something to reform entitlements and make our fiscal position better and he wasted those two years.

he had simpson bowls last fall, a year ago this past year. and he appointed the commission. by part son in nature. they issued a cut $4 trillion he dismissed it. in january he said republic congressman paul ryan h serious entitlement. >> we know the facts the people who follow know the facts. >> he is more interested in getting reelected than he is confronting the problems that confront us. >> bill: the economy is so bad and the debt is so high, how does he think he is going to get reelected from that? i know. >> by creating a strategy. >> bill: blame the others, i got it. >> yeah. >> bill: what if we get another downgrade next week and the market is down 500 points which is certainly possible. >> it is possible. i think that's unlikely. one good thing going for him is that there was a back stop in this measure. they are going to cut through sequestrations across the top. but, look, here is the point. the point is that he has made a determination he he can't get reelected because people

approve of what he has done on the economy or what he has done on health care and he has got to disqualify the republic candidate whoever he or she is. part of the way to do that is to run against the republic house of representatives and pretend that a, he is not the president and responsible for things and b there is not a democratic senate. i don't think it's going to work. i think, in fact, he has made a big mistake starting a year ago this month when he decided this was going to be all about politics in 2011. and not being about being president. >> bill: last question. do you think that he wants to bring down the national debt at 15 trillion? do you think that the man wants to bring it down? >> no. i think he wants to raise taxes and make government permanently bigger. and as a result, is he looking for a way to maneuver in all of this. you pointed it out. they wanted a trillion dollars in additional revenue at the same time that there was supposedly cutting $1.2 trillion in spending. that simply guaranteed them the ability to spend more

money in the future. he has grown the size of the federal government. the day that he was sworn into office from 20% of g.d.p. to roughly 25% of g.d.p. today. and he has grown the public debt of the united states compared to the economy from 40% of g.d.p. when he was sworn in to 70%, more than 70% today and he will hit 72% by the end of the year. >> bill: all right. mr. rove, thanks very much. happy thanksgiving. next on the run down, a child who accused penn state coach jerry sandusky of molesting him has to be taken out of school because is he being bull idea. is it legal on the case. and later, bernie goldberg on what the cable news network should do when people lie on the air. coming right back. how can you get back pain relief that lasts up to 16 hours? with thermacare heatwraps. thermacare works differently. it's the only wrap with patented heat cells that penetrate deep to relax, soothe, and unlock tight muscles for up to 16 hours of relief.

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>> bill: a 17-year-old high school student at central mountain high in mill hall, pennsylvania. apparently fellow students are blaming him for penn state coach joe paterno getting fired and now the student had to be taken out of school. joining us now to analyze attorneys kimberly guilfoyle and lis wiehl. why is this kid being persecuted. >> because he is the first boy, the first victim that came forward andaid that jerry sandusky had been molesting him. >> bill: how do the kids in the high school know that if it's a grand jury secret deal. >> you know things get out. people talk. fingers being pointed. here is probably why. some of those kids saw him with sandusky over the years. don't forget this is several

years. >> bill: each one of the accusers, 17-year-old boy. and then got around the high school and what were they doing to him? >> taunting him. threatening him verbally. as far as we know, nothing physical happened but a lot of verbal assault to the point where the mom had to pull him out. this is a kid, a 17-year-old boy in the middle of a senior year in high school. she had to pull him out. >> is he already that mat advertised enough. the alleged abuse acts against him 11 and 12 years of age over a two year period of time. acts alleged in the indictment very offensive in terms of what was adding to have happened to him. the abuse was pervasive as well and continuous course over the two years. >> bill: is the school culpable here. >> the school is culpable. they have the failure to act here is what is alleged because the fact they did not prevent. >> bill: that is the law in pennsylvania. >> in pennsylvania. and federally speaking so there is a number of means available for these parents. they can sue the school district. there has been historically a large number of cases that we were able to find where

successful lawsuits for hundreds of thousands of dollars. >> bill: the school denies it didn't do anything? >> they are not returning our phone calls by the way. have been trying all day. >> bill: the school does not return the phone calls. >> not a good move. >> not a good move. >> the school is culpable in two ways. one because they brought in sandusky as a volunteer coach for all these years. >> bill: they brought him. >> in they brought him in. so they allowed it to happen. >> bill: now they won't even explain what is going on. >> and the bullying central mountain high in mill hall, pennsylvania. >> 30 miles from penn state. very tight knit community. joe paterno did issue a statement. >> knock it off. unacceptable. >> paterno fired. >> bill: my god. some of the abuse is said to have happened in that school. >> taken him so long to -- >> bill: central pennsylvania going to step up and help this kid because it has to stop. >> yeah. >> bill: here is a viewer warning this dopey company

taking off shock ads. abercrombie and fitch does it and they want to get attention. we play right into that. here is the pope. this isn't a real photo. it's a doctored photo. get it off. that's enough. here is president obama and chin talk. here is hugo chavez. one more and we don't have to see this again. here is netanyahu and abbas. so, benenton hides behind the campaign. >> unhate. should be called desperation campaign. their stock is down 34% on the year. already struggling. historically kind of the first people to start with these controversial ads and then abercrombie followed in their footsteps. they have spent $13.5 million on this campaign. the "new york times" has said they are not going to run it. but there are billboards up. in fact one of president obama that you can see just a few blocks from here and, of course, the white house said that they're always against the misappropriation

commercials, use of the president. >> bill: not famous people can do in b. anything. >> that is a problem. federal strayed copyright all the random act. potential charge or civil liability under there. the problem for a public figure you have to show it was used for commercial purpose. no problem there. you can do that. the public would be mislead. thinking that really obama is kissing chavez. >> bill: come on, wiehl. have you ever ridden the subway into town? all right. come on. there are morons everywhere. >> you are going to have to have a lot of morons in a pool on a jury to say i really would have thought that. >> bill: the vatican is suing. >> the law in italy is completely different. they are suing them in italy because it's an italian company. >> right. >> bill: they are going after them. >> they don't have the first amendment and they don't have the fair use act. >> bill: then there is god. god has got to be punishing these people. >> that's another moment. >> bill: let's hope. you know what happened with

lot's wife? >> yeah. >> bill: you have no idea because you are -- do you know what happened to lot's wife? >> turned to stone? >> bill: she didn't turn to stone. she turned to salt. why? because she looked back and god told her not to. >> kind of like stone. >> bill: maybe the ceo will turn to salt. if he does we we we will know why. charles krauthammer on mitt romney. still running second in the latest poll. does charles think he can win. leno last night dennis miller had soming this things to stay coming up. [ male announcer ] it's simple physics... a body at rest tends to stay at rest... while a body in motion tends to stay in motion. staying active can actually se arthritis symptoms. but if you have arthritis, staying active can be difficult. prescription celebrex can help relieve arthritis pain so your body can stay in motion. because just one 200mg celebrex a day can provide 24 hour relief for many with arthritis pain and inflammatio

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>> bill: in the impact segme tonight even as president obama campaigning in new

hampshire today president obama launched an attack ad. [ applause ] >> thank you, new hampshire. >> i am confident that we can stir ourselves out of this thing, thing, thing. >> we need a rescue plan for the middle class. >> we need to provide relief for homeowners. >> i'm going to do something for government. i call it the smaller, simpler, smarter approach to government. getting rid of programs. turning it back to states and finally making government sufficient. i'm going to get rid of obama care. it's killing jobs and keeping our kids from having the prospects they deserve. >> bill: joining us from washington fox news analyst charles krauthammer. is this a preview? you know, i was talking to karl rove earlier about it. is this a preview of what you think is going to happen? romney versus obama? >> when what i think right now running in new hampshire in the middle of the campaign against other republicans is very smart. structurally it says, look, i'm not doing a positive ad, a perry ad, here i am.

here is what i believe. he doesn't need to do that you know me, i have been around the block. and, also, he is not doing an ad about anybody in the field running against him right now. i'm presidential. i'm on top. i deal only with the president himself with obama toe to toe. it shows disdain for the others who have been nipping at his leg one at a time in sequence. in the end it's been stewardship. it's about competence. it's about running the economy. that's his strong suit. that's what he is going to run on. we as youd in obama care because he knows on the ideological front that's the one area where obama is extremely weak. you cannot even imagine obama ever mentioning this was his -- which is his signature legislative achievement. he would never even dare to mention it in an ad. i think it's smart in both ways. stewardship and ideology. >> bill: you said romney is on top but he really not.

gingrich has passed him as herman cain did a few weeks ago as rick perry did a few weeks before that he has got to deal now, mitt romney with newt gingrich who is a better debater than he is. and i assume that, you know, mr. gingrich is thinking about one guy and one guy only and that's romney. >> no. romney doesn't have to deal with him yet. on that list you have to add bachmann and trump. romney first waits to see whether gravity will bring this last pretender down. and as we have discussed, newt has a lot of baggage. i'm not talking about the personal stuff. but ideological, look, what's the weakness of romney running in iowa and new hampshire, elsewhere. that he has changed his opinions on lots of stuff, important stuff that conservatives care about. well, it's equally true of newt. so, let's -- he is not going to do anything about newt until he waits to see whether he will come down from his own unforced errors. if he doesn't, which means

probably in a couple of weeks, then he will have to -- he will have to direct fire at gingrich himself. i'm not even sure that's going to happen. >> bill: is it all over for cain? >> i think it is. and has nothing to do with the allegations from the women. it has everything to do with competence. i don't think you recover from the libya episode. i'm not sure you recover from the debates, or even on domestic policy. he has asked about china. he responds 9-9-9. he is asked about medicare he responds 9-9-9. and on all the stuff about foreign affairs. look, here's a guy, herman cain, who said last week proudly. you know, talking about his not knowing about foreign affairs, we need a leader not a reader. you can imagine ronald reagan ever saying that or thinking

that? that's kind of a sort of expressing a pride in his lack of knowledge that i don't imagine that republics in the end, however much they admire him, his gumption is life story, his energy, and his charm, i don't think they will see him as a presidential. >> bill: i was watching you on bet baier. none of us surprised the super committee didn't do anything it is divided as brit hume says along the ideological fault lines. as soon as the democrats went in to demanded a million dollars in tax increases it was no. that's it. it was over three months ago. who is going to win this in the pr battle? democrats going to win or republicans going to win. >> democrats win in the short run because the media will join in the narrative that it's grover norquist, it's republic on citizen nens over raising taxes. they may get a bump right now. in the end, on election day, people are not going to make those calculations as to whether some congressman in

the house will responsible for our condition. >> bill: will be obama. >> it will be a presidential challenge. the president is the one in charge. if the economy is lousy and nothing has been achieved, he suffers. >> bill: all right. charles, thanks very much. happy thanksgiving. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. dick morris make a come back and rick perry gain momentum as well. bernie goldberg what a cable network should do when a guest last thanksgiving, abo 2 million people tried to deep-fat-fry their turkey 15 succeeded in setting thr houses on fire. at christmas, there was a lot of driving ovethe river and through the woods. and a lite bit of skidding on the ice and taking out grandma's garage door. so while you're celebrating, allstate will be standing by. trouble never takes a holiday. neither should your insurance. that's allstate's stand. are you in good hands? ♪

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but think about your heart. 2% has over half the saturated fat of whole milk. want to cut back on fat and not compromisen taste? try smart balance fat free milk. it's what you'd expect from the folks at smart balance. in barack and hard place segment tonight, when we last left colmes he was pointing to tesla. based in silicone valley, california, recently received nearly $500 million in guaranteed federal loans to build an electric car like this one which should be ready next year at a cost around $50,000. the question is that a success story? here now monica crowley and

alan colmes. you know i'm a green guy. >> you are going solar, right? you finally found solar company. i got all this email from companies. >> bill: all these crazy people there are a legitimate guy on long island who does it i'm going to have him come over and he will give me a price. i will come back to you. i don't want to be dependent on opec i don't think anybody does. kicking 500 million to this tesla company. you are making it sound like they are giving the cars away. >> actually investing in a factory, a place to build not only the car you mentioned but future cars. the first one going for 50 grand. next one going for 30. so that they have, you know, a plan in place. >> that's not what the -- next one goes for 60. because of it increases the amount of mileage you get on your electric plug- >> in there are a series of them. you can add another 10 grand. >> by the time we get to 20 or 30, we will not be able to drive. >> building factories and also in afact that they are building these cars promote

the idea of getting off oil and getting on renewable energy. they are also partnering with other companies. they are partnering with with toyota. partnering with a bunch of companies to provide parts for these other companies. >> bill: why do they need our money, monica to do this why can't they partner on their own money in the private sector. >> which is what they should be doing if they could compete in the marketplace without a government subsidy. already have a car in the market. chevy volt. they have sold like three because nobody, a, wants to drive a toaster oven for a car. secondly, we don't have the infrastructure in this car to support mass electric cars. and number three you have thought about what's going to to your electric bill replacing your gas bill when you go to. >> bill: how about thanks we don't know what the metrics are about that you are making assumptions it's going to be bad. >> bill: absolutely. >> the fact it is renewable energy. this. >> bill: it's cleaner. >> cleaner and also it helps

the manufacturing base. >> bill: colmes, look, the argument that electric cars are good or bad i think you win. i would like to see electric cars, all right? for the environment. come on. >> sure. >> bill: i don't understand if it's such a good thing and people would go over to it why can't it be in the private sector. >> hard to get incredit. >> you can't get credit. >> this loan began in the last administration. this loan program. >> bill: remember henry ford? remember him? >> yes. >> when everybody was riding around ons ors had. henry didn't go to william mckinley and said can i have some money to build the model t he built it? >> created nasa a whole series of industries. government investment has led to a whole series of things which could not be done in a private sector. >> bill: what do you mean it can't be done in private sector. >> because companies can't get credit now. you cannot raise that kind of money right now. this is good for the economy.

>> either you believe in the free market or you believe in a centrally planned economy. this is what socialists nations do. especially what the auto industry, which is the basis for the industrial base, right? so now you have got a, we had a partial nationalization of the auto industry with the bailout. >> paid back, by the way. g.m. paid it back. >> in the private sector, tried to get these industries not only off the ground into the marketplace but also social engineering, what they want the cars to look like. >> dr. crowley, this began the last administration. >> consumer. >> under your president george w. bush. >> bill: colmes, if there wasn't a 15 trillion-dollar debt i would be more sympathetic to your position. but the government is trying to get an environmental agenda passed by investing in these companies. it's a dual thing. >> it's because we have the debt and bad economy and had a recession that business could say not get credit that you have the need for the government to do this. >> bill: you put an ipo out

there, nancy pelosi buys it like we reported last night. john boehner. >> that's very funny. this is ultimately going to be good for the economy. you have me back and say this was a great idea. >> bill: take it out and let the people buy the ipo. >> if you believe it's going to be so great for the economy. then people in the private sector would see that as an opportunity to venture capitalists. >> bill: warren buffet. >> capital is not always available. >> bill: buffet has a lot of capital. >> this is l. spread to other creating a manufacturing base we now don't have. creating jobs. it's doing a whole number of things that you are in denial about. >> bill: we're in denial. >> i'm a free marketeer. >> that hasn't worked so well. i have a -- >> bill: she is your sister-in-law. 18,000 people in south africa just collapsed. they are related. >> next to my mother-in-law, monica is a liberal. >> bill: your mother-in-law.

>> very conservative. >> she has been trying to get me out of the family for many years. >> far left end of the table. >> bill: that's where alan could be. >> under the kiddy chair. >> bill: i hope happy thanksgiving dinner subsidized for colmes. what should the cable networks do if a moderator or guest lies on the air? ♪

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♪ there it is. awesome. that's what we do! that's so cool! now, that's sweet! yeah, that was awesome! [ cheering ] i wanna see that again. ♪ we build jet engines. ♪ >> bill: thanks for staying with us. i'm bill o'reilly. you may remember barkin telling joy behar that i verbally attacked her. >> i'm very flattered that i'm on bill o'reilly's radar. >> did he call you a pinhead, probably? >> i thought he called me a has been d list celebrity, [bleep], you know.

dumb. >> it's always the same. >> it's always the same. >> bill: turned out to be totally false. i never said anything like that against ms. barkin nor would i. i asked them to issue apology and they refused. with us the burr vary of bernard goldberg.com. cable news in prime time is dominated by opinion. and it goes all over the world. not just in the united states. you have operations do they have no responsibility when something like that occurs? nothing? they just say too bad, we don't care, see you here is my rule of thumb, bill. if ellen barkin, or for that matter henry kissinger or steven hocking, if anybody went on a cable program and the other night candidate and he ought to be impeached, then

everybody involved needs to apologize because that kind of slander cannot stand. the person who said it would have to apologize. the person who let it go by without challenge would have to apologize. and the network. some executive at the network would have to come forward and apologize. because. that kind of accusation is important. but when a celebrity makes a dopey comment as celebrities have a tendency to do on a silly little cable tv show, that's not important. >> bill: it doesn't rise to what you are saying. wait a minute. let me challenge that let me challenge that. i don't care what they say about me. my problem in this country isn't with people who watch me every night. it's with people who don't watch me and don't know and hear third hand from people like that. that's a bit of a problem. but since we are the dominant number one program. not much of one. but what if i'm not famous and

what if i'm just a doctor or a lawyer or, you know, an iron worker a blue collar worker and my name comes up in a conversation and somebody says well, that person did this or said. this and it's flat out false. headline news, bernie, knows this is flat out false. they know it. >> right. >> bill: they basically said, you know what? we don't care what she said. we don't care. >> so that means there are no rules over there. >> right. in a better world, somebody -- in a better world where everything is corrected that's incorrect, there would be a media culpa and somebody would come forward and say we got that wrong, we didn't know, we're sorry. the difference of taking a shot at you you come back the next day on a cable program. >> bill: you bet. >> that has a thousand times the audience of the other show and you slap down everybody involved, that sort of the end of it. if they ever do something

really nasty to a working guy, a carpenter, somebody who works on a railroad, some woman who is a secretary or a school teacher, you know, the rules of libel apply to those people in a different way than they apply to people like you and me. and that person can take action. >> bill: if that actress and miss behar and by the way miss behar's show has been cancelled but it hadn't h. nothing to do with this. she didn't get very good ratings. >> it's a shame. >> bill: if they were discussing a civilian, north somebody who was famous that say both of them had a business dealing with or both of them had a run-in with or a car accident, a car accident, and they -- this person did f, -- x, y, you believe that person could take them into a court of law and sue them. the person would have to show damages which isn't easy to do in the court of public opinion. >> no, you are right. you are absolutely right. and a the fact of the matter is, and this is something that

we all have to understand. that in the real world, sometimes people get away with crummy things. i mean, there isn't a solution to everything. >> bill: no, but there should be rules. there should be rules of behavior. >> there should be rules but they are not -- they are not tv rules. if you are telling me that a civilian who has no actual damages except that they have been slimed on tv. there should be rules, yeah, there should be rules that the legislature passes. not that the tv cable association passes. >> bill: i disagree. on this program, if a guest says something that is untrue on this program, i will correct it as soon as we know it's untrue. and i think all the networks should have that rule in place. you have to do that. now, i have got a minute left on this. >> go ahead. >> did you know that ellen barkin asked me out once? >> bill: that is a frightening thought to consider. >> i was in her trailer at the time and she said get out. so that happened.

>> bill: goldberg. fbi data, 2010, hate crimes against jews, 10 times as many as hate crimes against muslims in the u.s.a. you are not going to hear that report on many news programs. you are not going to hear it? >> right. because a story line developed after 9/11. and the story line was basically that muslim americans are under attack. now, it wasn't true. there was some isolated cases. but even the "new york times" ran a story that said there was a torrent of vandalism against muslim americans. you would think there was an epidemic. but the fbi statistic that's made reference to. >> bill: very small. >> far greater among jews. but that doesn't fit the story line. didn't even fit the story line in the occupy wall street story where there were plenty of examples of anti-semitism. >> bill: they didn't report those. i just want to give the facts. >> muslim-americans are seen as underdogs and liberals in the media root for underdogs and that's why that story took off. >> bill: violence against

jews, 1040 victims in 2010, violence against muslims 197 according to the fbi. bernie, thanks very much. happy thanksgiving. coming right back with dick morris, herman cain continues to slide in the polls. can he make a come back? dennis miller gives leno a piece of his mind moments away.

>> bill: back of the book segment tonight. >> latest poll quinnipiac registered voters, republicans. newt gingrich is now favored by 26%. mitt romney 22%. rememberman tan >> bill: last night michele bachmann was asked about her competition. >> romney?

[sigh] >> hair. no, just a minute. >> you have another one? >> vice president. [ laughter ] >> obama? >> finished. >> perry? >> that's not one word. i have got to do three. >> governor, texas, i can't remember the other one. [ laughter ] >> bill: joining us now from stanford, connecticut the author of the new children's book dubs goes to washington which you can get on dick morris.com. mr. morris. now, in the beginning of this whole debate cycle and everything like that, it was fluid. all right. so, then you have rick perry come in. he rocketed to the top, and then you had herman cain, he took perry's place and now he is going down and then you have newt gingrich. when are things going to start to stabilize so we know who the real contenders are? >> probably after iowa.

this is still an unstable situation. because your two frontrunners, gingrich and romney both have great difficulty getting the votes of tea party people and romney because of his religion and his position on health care and gingrich because of some of the stuff he has done on global warming and climate change and the personal stuff. and the -- therefore, the tea party evangelicals who are a very large portion of the vote haven't voted yet. >> bill: in iowa, you are talking about in iowa? >> well, all over the country. iowa more than new hampshire, but all over the place. and the thing is that they started off with bachmann and then they went to perry. and then they went to cain and now they really don't know what they are doing. i believe that the final race has got to feature romney, most likely gingrich, and one of those other candidates, most likely cain but possibly

perry, possibly even bachmann. because those voters have to have somewhere to go. sometimes we forget that this is divisional play. this isn't all the teams compete in the top three or the playoffs. there is the establishment economic division. they are nominating romney. the reagan conservatives. they are nominating gingrich. and the evangelize and tea evangelical and tea party division they don't have a candidate yet. we need to see who wins that division. >> bill: herman cain got hurt down in the poll can he make a come back. >> i think he has been hurt by three things. obviously the sex harassment stuff but also gingrich's rise, which he helped cause and then is suffering from. but also that the last debates have been basically about foreign policy and national security and he shines when they are discussing economic policy. he needs one ever those debates to be on that.

can come back. otherwise 30% of the voters don't have a horse to vote for. >> you would think that newt gingrich would appeal though, conservative people. >> once for the individua mandate and health care and then there is the obvious personal stuff. >> bill: all right. but what about the taking of the money when he was a lobbyist from fannie and freddie? is that going to hurt him? >> well, that could either hurt him or make him president. it will hurt him -- but if he is able to demonstrate, that in 19 -- that in 2002, he saw what was happening with fannie mae, he wrote a memo about it, he warned them about it, like he said in the debate, i told them this is a bubble that's going to burst. if he can substantiate that,

that alone in the united states he is the one that saw this coming, that could be huge for him. >> all right, dick. thanks very much. we appreciate it? >> thank you. >> happy thanksgiving. pinheads and patriots starring dennis miller and jay leno on deck. p and p moments away as the

>> if you buy a book of my book the publisher will send a copy to troops overseas. we gave shoe box a nice donation thanks to you because of all the stuff you buy on billoreilly.com. and now the mail.ñiñi >> well, i appreciate your great letter, sergeant, and i will try hard with my words. happy thanksgiving to you and everody in afghanistan and iraq and all the other overseas basis. sergeant, if you are of in new york city, please stop by and see me.

from new york. >> i disagree, peter, you need power to track inside and journalists don't have that. it's enough for a legal investigation. and justin from los angeles. >> nelson, chicago. >> frank, meeker, colorado. >> the problem comes in america is downgraded again, frank. then the blame game will begin. from missouri. >> i hope you do, jason. if this book doesn't get those interested in history, nothing will. finally, pinhead or patriots.

>> tell me about the tour. you and bill o'reilly are on door? >> yeah, i go out and do comedy and bill comes out. the guy is fearless. sometimes whenñi you follow a comedian, i follow them and i am back stage and think oh, my god, what is this like? i hit the ball pretty well. not pounding my chest but hit it prettyñr good. and o'reilly doesn't go into the same area, he tells story, they are humorous, kills. he take a 15 minutes break, come back do a little q and a with each other. i like traveling with bill. he's like a big irish beat cop with the stick. remember the cop that walked the line and if you got out of line, wham. >> if you want to get hit with a stick, be in richmond on saturday and atlantic city saturday. >> yeah. >> it's my favoritir room in new jersey.

>> you can decide if we are heads or patriots. that's it. please check out our website. if you come in a little bit late for the program, that's okay. we would like to you spout off about the factor anywhere in the world. o'reilly@foxnews.com. word of the day, no chuffiness when whering to the fact for and absolutely no chuffiness when eating thanksgiving. you know look it up and know the word because if somebody starts with the chuffiness, you can tell them to knock it off or no pie. i ll be off tomorrow and then we will be floating around the whole