her pancreatic cancer fight now. so stick around for that. "fox & friends".com. >> brian: watch us tomorrow, our guest, emeril legasse, michelle malkin and bob massi and newt gingrich. a fox news alert. a major endorsement expected today for mitt romney. fox news confirming arizona senator john mccain will announce his support for romney today in new hampshire. mccain has huge backing in that race. new hampshire votes next tuesday. more details on that item as we get them here. there is more breaking news. michele bachmann will hold a press conference this morning. we're awaiting bachmann in iowa. she has canceled a trip that had been scheduled for south carolina after finishing in sixth place last night. her campaign manager late last night telling the associated press he was not sure if bachmann's campaign could continue. details on both the stories

as we get them here in "america's newsroom". so it is 9:00 in new york and wherever you are, how about that for some drama? then there is this. eight votes determine the winner of the iowa caucus with mitt romney proving victorious in the end. this from last night, 12:30 a.m. roll it. >> this is campaign night where america wins. we're going to change the white house and get america back on track. [cheers and applause] s. bill: former massachusetts governor, edging out former pennsylvania senator rick santorum. santorum surging in the polls at just the right time and promising now he is ready for a fight. >> game on. [cheers and applause] bill: all right. game on indeed. we're on. good morning, everybody. i'm bill hemmer, live here

in "america's newsroom" and a big welcome back to jamie colby. martha is working later for megyn getting on the big bird coming back to new york. >> she got a little rest jamie: i'm jamie coal by in for martha. the republican county chairwoman was woken up in a panic by a friend pounding on her windows. can you imagine the friend telling her the state party needed missing results from a precinct. bill: 53 for romney and 33 for santorum. sleep deprived john roberts in iowa this morning. turns out rick santorum's surge was real in the end. john, good morning. >> reporter: it shows awe couple things, bill. what a difference a week makes. shows you value of every vote. iowa will always end up surprising you in the end. what a rocket ride for rick

santorum. mitt romney might have won the actual caucuses. rick santorum came out the big winner or story of the night. a week ago he was polling 10%. he captured 25% of the vote last night. in the address that owe gave to his supporters he seemed genuinely thrilled about it. >> by standing up and being bold and leading, leading with that burden and responsibility you have to be first you have taken the first step of taking back this country. [cheers and applause] >> reporter: what really put rick san diego on the map was that 99 county tour he made a couple weeks leading into the caucuses. he got the inspiration in the keep going he said that in the speech from his 3 1/ 1/2-year-old daughter, isabella. she has chromosome 18 disorder. usually children with that disorder don't live to see their third birthday.

bill: that is remarkable story. ron paul did well last night finishing third. where does he stand, john? >> reporter: it was a very strong finish for ron paul. for a lot of the early part he was actually leading, bill. he comes out a real solid third which is a great place to be as he heads into new hampshire and south carolina after that. don't forget ron paul, movement. we'll hear a lot more about the ron paul nation and money bombs going forward. even though most political experts say he doesn't have much of a chance becoming the nominee. ron paul told the crowd last night he will stay in it for a while. >> we have tremendous opportunity to continue this momentum t won't be long that there is going to be a election up in new hampshire and believe me, this momentum is going to continue and this movement is going to continue and we are going to keep scoring. >> reporter: i was talking to ron paul just a few minutes ago over breakfast. he does seem genuinely pleased where he ended up last night.

he said he will take a couple days to go back to texas and be in new hampshire ahead of the big debate they have got coming up this weekend. get ready for the all-important primaries on tuesday. bill: there are two debates in the coming week in new hampshire. we're saving the best for last here because mitt romney was the winner. what is he saying about his campaign, the time he spent there, the money he spent and what his chances are now, john? >> reporter: here's the thing for mitt romney. he did come out the winner albeit by eight votes but a question a lot of people are asking how much better could he have done had he paid more attention to iowa? 2008 he blitzed the state. he had a staff of 52. this time around he only had permanent staff of five. he didn't visit the state a whole lot. when you look at the fact if he had been able to extend his lead past that ceiling of 25%, would he go into new hampshire with a head of steam that might lock it up for him early in the contest? because if he does win new hampshire he is going to be the first nonincumbent

republican candidate to win both iowa and new hampshire. he is so far ahead there. he also sort of over the last week really campaigning on, it was almost a presidential campaign. it wouldn't so much taking aim at his opponents as he was president obama and he did again in his speech this morning. >> you were working and i am working and we're all working together because of our passion for this country and our concern it is being led by a president who may be a nice guy but just is over his head. >> reporter: could be a little rough-and-tumble in the coming week going into the new hampshire primary because newt gingrich has apparently taken off the gloves. he is going after mitt romney and going after him hard. there could be a little bit of blood on the streets. bill: we'll keep our eyes and ears open for that, john. terrific work last night and early this morning. thank you, john roberts. jamie: blood on the streets. quite a prediction from john roberts. after a disappointing fifth place finish texas governor rick perry said he will go home to texas to rethink

things. he canceled campaign stops he had scheduled for today in south carolina, home of the third in the nation contest. >> with the voters decision tonight in iowa, i decided to return to texas, assess the results of tonight's caucus, determine whether there is a path forward for myself in this race. jamie: well the perry campaign spokesman said thursday would be the earliest any decision could be made. how about newt gingrich? finishing fourth in iowa but the former house speaker telling his supporters he looks forward to a great debate in the republican party, offering his congrats to rick santorum. >> i want to take just a minute and congratulate a good friend of ours, somebody who i admire and whose family we admire that is rick santorum. he waged a great, positive campaign. [applause] i served with rick. we've had a great relationship over the years.

and i admire the courage, the discipline, the way he focused and i also admire how positive it was. i wish i could say that for all the candidates. jamie: there is one person that newt gingrich didn't congratulate, that was the winner, mitt romney. the two have been sparring in recent days with negative ads. in fact gingrich even calling romney a liar yesterday. bill: a dig at romney too at the end there. how did this work out late last night? on the map behind us we can break it down based on county. what you see here, santorum is the brown color. romney is the red and ron paul is the blue. you see the center part of the state? this is des moines. polk county and dallas county. this is story county up here. polk and dallas, big population centers in iowa. mitt romney did well, much better than he did four years ago in 2008. where did santorum make his inroads? western iowa. all the border counties. that is conservative country

in iowa and santorum really cleaned up. where you see in a moment four years ago, mitt romney did very well this part of the state. on the eastern part of the state over by the illinois, illinois border over here, this is where mitt romney did very well four years ago but now you see a combination of ron paul, mitt romney and to a lesser extent rick santorum taking some of this territory from last night. go back four years ago, we can take this map and compare to how the results turned out for mitt romney when he faced up against mike huckabee. huckabee in the deep red. romney in the light red in the map behind us. center part of the state, huckabee dominated. this is only area in the center part of the state where mitt romney won four years ago. a different story last night. again the western section that he did so well in four years ago was really cut into this year by rick santorum. likewise on the east side, not just santorum over here but also by ron paul. i want to bring in steve

hays who hasn't gone to bed yet. he is live in des moines. how do you see it? >> do i look that bad? bill: no you look great by the way. good morning to you. what do you see? >> fascinating. what an unbelievable story rick santorum has had. two or three weeks ago this is somebody who was in single digits and roared to a comeback. look at entrance polls last night, 65% of those who sided in the last week or actual caucus day, 65% broke for rick santorum. that tells you everything you need to know about the kind of momentum he was generating here in iowa and the kind of momentum he hopes to carry forward into new hampshire, south carol -- carolina and florida. bill: new hampshire will be a challenge for santorum. huckabee won iowa and went to new hampshire and only picked up a 11% of the vote. that will be a big hurdle to climb. there is breaking news this morning. michele bachmann has a press

conference a little later. we're waiting on that. this endorsement we expect from john mccain in favor of mitt romney in new hampshire. that could be the story of today that has stolen this afternoon for romney's favor. >> it sure could. there is a history between john mccain and rick santorum. back in 2008 you may remember, rick santorum made it his mission, his word, his mission to stop john mccain's momentum once it looked like john mccain would beat mitt romney for the nomination. santorum came in. he appeared on conservative talk radio across the country. he told stories working with john mccain. how difficult it was to bring in john mccain the maverick, when santorum was in policy leadership on the issues senate republicans was wanting to push. santorum told that story to anybody and everybody who would listen to him. mccain took offense to that earlier two years when santorum wasn't doing well in his race against bob

casey. he talked to john mccain. come to pennsylvania. help me establish my moderate credentials come campaign for me. he did. he honored that request. he campaigned for him. santorum's campaign made little reference to george w. bush in the final month of that campaign. made great mention of john mccain. made his endorsement on the website. mccain felt burned by santorum. bill: that is interesting. there is so much history between all these men. 15 seconds or less. how is the romney team feeling now six days ahead of new hampshire's primary bring? >> i think they're both happy and sad. on the one hand they're happy rick perry and newt gingrich either out of the race or severely damaged. i think they're in a sense pleased to be focused with what looks like a won one one battle. on the other hand rick santorum came out of nowhere. he is surging. he clearly has momentum. he has low expectations in new hampshire. if he does well there he will be exceeding those expectations and then

santorum has a good ground game and some support in south carolina. i think we're likely to see the poll numbers for santorum in south carolina when we have polling coming up showing him doing much better than expected particularly if rick perry gets out of the race. bill: steve, see you in new york soon. get some sleep. >> thanks, bill. bill: stephen hayes, analysis from des moines. 9:13 we're just getting rolling. >> we are just getting rolling. will be action-packed two hours like last night. those are many of the stories we're following this morning inside "america's newsroom." five presidential hopefuls suing virginia to get on the gop ballot. judge andrew napolitano on whether or not they have a case. bill: look at the man of the hour too, rick santorum hitting stride at just the right time. what does this tell us what iowa voters were looking for in a republican candidate last night? the state's party chairman joins us live, next. >> we will be in new hampshire. we'll leave tomorrow.

we'll spend our time there. with your help and god's grace we'll have another fun night a week from now. god bless you. [cheers and applause] [ male announcer ] cranberry juice? wake up! ♪ that's good morning, veggie style. hmmm [ male announcer ] for half the calories -- plus veggie nutrition. could've had a v8.

jamie: fox news alert and this is out of the michele bachmann campaign. we hear she will being holding an 11:00 a.m. eastern news conference. she has also canceled a trip she had planned to south carolina but last night bachmann vowed to soldier on, telling her

supporters she is the only con conservative that can beat president obama. >> i believe i am the true conservative who can and will defeat barack obama in 2012. [cheers and applause] over the next few days. be prepared, the pundits in the press will again try to pick the nominee based on tonight's results but there are many more chapters to be written on the path to our party's nomination and i prefer to let the people of the country decide who will represent us. jamie: and actually bachmann got off to a really strong start in iowa at the ames straw poll. she actually won that over the summer, bill. bill: also her home state of iowa too. i imagine this is hugely disappointing to her. but we'll talk to ed rollins in 30 minutes, get more reaction on bachmann going forward and rick perry who apparently is going back to texas for now. all that is coming up. mitt romney wins the closest in iowa caucus history. take a look, eight votes between romney and rick santorum, 25% to 25%.

the man. the results show support evenly split there so what was iowa looking for in a republican candidate? the republican party chairman is matt strawn. good morning to you, sir. late night for us last night. >> good morning, bill. bill: we have somewhat we call entrance polling. this is what we did last night for people that showed up to the caucus. this is what we found, truly fascinating. what are romney strengths? 48%, almost half, say he can beat obama. then we asked them about santorum's strengths. the late deciders for rick santorum, 35%. the evangelicals, strong showing here at 33% which is less than what huckabee received from the evangelicals four years ago. matt, how does this shake down. >> that was one of the open questions going into caucus last night when we had two out of every five caucus-goers that could have changed their minds. there was some coalescing support behind rick santorum even though he didn't reach the huckabee numbers.

he was able in the last 24 hours to close that gap and coalesce support. what you see happened in iowa, what happens last night mirrors the debate we're having nationally as republicans to decide what candidate we want to go into the general election that can prosecute the case of a failed obama administration and also aggressively articulate governing republican philosophyes are better to address the challenges facing america. we're just the first step in the process. bill: apologize for the interruption. want our viewers to see what the issues were last night for those in iowa. on the screen, matt, we found the economy at 42%. your unemployment rate is rather impressive. you're about 5, 5 1/2% which is well below the national average. what does the economy issue mean in iowa? is it jobs? is it fiscal responsibility or taxes or government spending or is it all of that? >> you would lump that all together. when you look at the ads, for example, that ron paul, that mitt romney were running in the waning days,

it was about incredible spending increases we've seen in washington and how we get our arms around the $15 trillion in national debt aaccumulated. iowans understand, at the end of the day more debt we have the more it chokes private sector investment. even though iowa is doing well relative to the rest of the country, agriculture is still going strong, there are looming financial obligations that quite frankly we've seen the president kick the can down the road and we're looking for bold leadership and i think we'll end up with great leadership coming out of the caucus process and going into the primary caucus. even though we were very divided last night i know we'll be unified to defeat barack obama in this state come november. bill: iowans have done their job. matt, thank you for your time this morning. i want to share with our viewsers one more entrance poll we had last night. what is the most important candidate quality you're looking for? 31% said can they beat

president obama. that goes to the romney vote. matt strawn, we'll be in touch down the road. congratulations to folks in iowa. your job is done for now. four more years to chill out. >> appreciate it. bill: 20 minutes past the hour. jamie: not sure they chill out especially this time of year. the fight for iowa is now history but the battle to get on the ballot in another state has just gotten started. five gop candidates suing for the right to run in virginia's republican primary. the question whether or not they have a valid legal state. judge napolitano with that. bill: we're assessing campaigns this morning. rick perry, michele bachmann. we're waiting on michele bachmann. she canceled an event in south carolina. is the republican field about to get a wee bit smaller. wield find out after this. >> once again the people's voice will be heard there and make no mistake as i have said often and early on this campaign, barack obama will a one-term president. did you hear that, america? you heard it here from iowa.

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bill: again at 25 minutes past the hour. want to remind you, fox news confirming this morning. a major endorsement for the iowa winner, mitt romney. arizona senator john mccain will announce his support for romney later today in new hampshire. this only less than a week really before the primary in new hampshire. that is second on the calendar during this nominating process a bit earlier today on "fox and friends" romney did not confirm the news but said it would be big indeed. >> i'm pretty pleased that looks to be the case. john mccain of course is beloved in many parts of the country, particularly new hampshire.

some call him mr. new hampshire. so if in fact he makes announcement today, that would be big for me in a state that he knows very, very well. bill: very well. mccain won the new hampshire primary twice, including four years ago in '08 and went on to beat romney and earn the republican presidential nomination. more fuse -- news on that as we get it. here is jaimie. jamie: sounds good, bill. the battle foreiowa is over but the fight to get on virginia's ballot is heating up. rick santorum, rick perry, newt gingrich, michele bachmann and jon huntsman failed to meet the election requirements and now they're suing. judge andrew napolitano is the host of "freedom watch" on the fox business network. >> jamie. jamie: you've been talking about this for sure but will it be moot possibly if rick perry reanalyzes what he wants to do? but the question is, just as a concept could they retroactively changed this rule to allow them on ballot

with signatures they have? >> it would be almost impossible under the constitution to change it retroactively. they could have changed it if this lawsuit was filed before the signatures were due by arguing that the requirements imposed by the state were so burdensome that it somehow violated some federal constitutional right. i don't know what the right would be because the burdens were equally imposed on all of the candidates. but with the deadline having passed and only two of candidates, governor romney and congressman paul having met the deadline, it is nearly impossible for a federal court to find that those regulations were so invalid, so unconstitutional that they should be changed retroactively and the others should automatically be admitted. as for governor perry, he is the original and initial plaintiff. if he decides not to run, there are still four more plaintiff, the candidates whose names you just mentioned. jamie: the federal courts are reluctant to get involved with a state law like this?

>> yes, the federal courts are generally reluctant to overturn a state law that has to do with management of some function of state government. years ago these primaries were run by the parties not by the government and the parties paid the state, they rented the state, they rented the state's voting machines and they rented the state's voting places. now these primaries are run by the government. why that happened is a function of history and money but the fact that they are run by the government means these are government regulations, not political party rules. and the courts are reluctant to interfere in a government managing its state unless what the government is doing is so obviously unconstitutional that nobody could justify it. jamie: that is interesting though because a lot of what has been talked about in this election campaign is the federal government getting involved in a lot of things that a lot of people on the state level would prefer they mind their business on. >> well, it is interesting. governor perry's lawyers in my view did the right thing

going to federal court. a state judge in virginia would have thrown the case out the minute it was filed. a federal judge will look at it qualifily but ultimately will say this is not the business of the federal government. if you don't don't like the laws, elect people that can change the law. don't look to the court retroactively. jamie: the attorney general seems to have changed his position. >> the federal judge yesterday said to attorney general ken cuccinelli, who we know, he has been on fox many times with all of us, you have criticized this law, can you defend it? basically he will file a document in court saying i criticized it as a private person but as the chief law enforcement officer of the commonwealth of virginia, yes, i can defend it. jamie: has he got it right and do you think ultimately will it be changed because it is considered one of the strictest of any state? in terms of burdens imposed on candidates i think it is absurd. in terms of changing retroactively i don't think it will be changed.

i don't think the courts will force a change. i think the legislature will change it next time around. jamie: there is your prediction. >> i don't always come through threw on these prediction. >> i rely on your opinion. >> 8:00. ron paul with us at the top of the show. bill: there you go. breaking news there then. >> thank you. bill: more political news in a moment here. confession from a suspect in a string of firebombing. surveillance helped police make an arrest. it worked. the suspect is talking and what he is saying in minutes. also, jamie? jamie: mitt romney wasting no time taking aim squarely at president obama. >> four years ago tonight he was giving a victory celebration speech here in des moines and he had been going across the state making all sorts of promises. the gap between his promises fou[óñi years agoñi andxd his performance is asñi great as anything i have everñi seen in myñr lifeñiñi so, this is delicious

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jamie: the next stop, new hampshire. mitt romney's campaign looking forward to the contest there. it is nearly his home turf. congressman jason chaffetz has been stumping for romney and he joining us now. great to see you, sir. thanks for being with us. >> good morning. jamie: you have been really an ardent supporter for mitt romney. how are you feeling this morning? >> hey, fired up. the expectation was, hey we wanted mitt romney came in the top three. he came in the top spot. rick santorum had a great night too but move on to new hampshire. the romney campaign was always set up to be a national campaign. he has got the organization, he has the money, more importantly he has the message. people recognize with his strong family and family values he has the right message. he is right person to beat barack obama. jamie: but how is the message that he will want to share with the folks in new hampshire differ from what he had to say in iowa?

>> well he is running a national campaign because in order to beat barack obama you have to do this from coast to coast and so his message about jobs and the economy, getting people back to work, about undoing mess of obamacare, undoing the mess this president put us in it is about jobs and economy. given mitt romney's success four years as a governor, more importantly four years success in private sector, he told every stop in iowa, takes somebody who actually had a job to help create jobs. so, it worked well here in iowa and i think it will work exceptionally well in every state he goes to. jamie: clearly your reference the fact he held a job and run a business is the fact that president obama has not necessarily had similar experience. so my question for you is, how will governor romney make that point? do you expect negative ads to continue? will he now go toward the president in his comments more as he has basically

included the other candidates when it came to iowa? >> yeah. no, absolutely. his message is a national one. it is talking to voters from coast to coast and really is focused on the contrast with barack obama. the reality is the economy is not doing nearly as well. this is a president that has really over the course of time tripled our national debt. we can't sustain that. and so the reason people i think are attracted to mitt romney, remember he was only here in iowa 18 days. spent less than 2 million dollars. compare and contrast that to four years ago. he had i think great success. that message will translate into new hampshire and south carolina and florida and on ward. jamie: some of the entrance polls, congressman, that we took a look at say folks in iowa wanted someone that could beat barack obama. that was one of their priorities. what lessons were learned by the campaign in iowa that will improve, in your opinion, the chances that mitt romney could take on president obama if he gets

the nomination and win? >> the more and more people get to know mitt romney his family and his wife ann and these great wonderful kids but his message of success and how we'll turn the economy around. he spent a considerable amount of time campaigning in lots of different states. iowa was one of them. but as he met i was on the bus with him. we met from stop to stop to stop. he stalked about a need for strong national defense but spent most of the time talking about how to get the country back on its financial footing. right now it is totally unsustainable and everybody knows that. a lot of candidates were comparing and contrasting themselves to other republicans you see mitt romney trying to take on the president. people look at debates that have happened they have been consensus that mitt romney has won those. people will see that mitt romney is in the best position to beat barack obama. jamie: congressman, i have to leave it there. very good to see you this morning. >> thank you. jamie: i'm sure your enthusiasm is shared by the campaign this morning. thank you. >> absolutely. thanks. bill: as we move forward

president obama is not giving the entire state to republicans certainly. he is on his way to ohio. later tonight he goes to shaker heights, that is east of cleveland today. last night he talked to iowa support he is by way of video link. you have ohio and iowa, two battleground states. douk mckelway on the north lawn of the white house. did we get an idea about his strategy last night, doug? >> reporter: we sure did, bill. in contrast to the republican message so well expressed by the republican governor of new jersey, chris christie, hopeless and changeless. we heard the president touting about his record of accomplishment began with his victory in iowa caucuses in 2008 and started his ascendency to the presidency. >> because of those caucuses four years ago, we ended the war in iraq as promised. our troops are now coming home. because of the work that so many of you did, even before the caucuses four years ago, health care is a reality for

millions of americans, seniors have seen the price of prescription drugs lowered and there are two million young americans were able to keep their insurance even if they're not getting it through a job. >> reporter: the obama administration also simultaneously released a video to its supporters, not only in iowa but also across the country touting his achievements over last four years, using clips from his victory speech in iowa in 2008 saying in effect he kept all the promises that he made four years ago. the trick for the obama administration and the obama campaign obviously is to galvanize the same level of support that he had in 2008 and in the face of and economy which is stubbornly resistant to recovery. bill? bill: doug mckelway, thank you, from the north lawn of the white house there. we'll watch that clip and pick up the message. thank you, doug. >> reporter: sure thing. jamie: shifting gear as little bit, we're awaiting autopsy results this morning from a body found at one of

queen elizabeth's estates. police say it is murder but they have few clues at this point. they are hoping to break that case. bill: also what is next in 2012? ed rollins will examine each candidate in a moment. who's in, who's likely out, who's on life-support and who has new life after last night. rollins on deck. >> we have a tremendous opportunity to continue this momentum. it won't be long there will be an election up in new hampshire. believe me this momentum will continue and this movement is going to continue and we are going to keep scoring just as we have tonight. [applause] [ male announcer ] cranberry juice? wake up! ♪ that's good morning, veggie style. hmmm [ male announcer ] for half the calories -- plus veggie nutrition. could've had a v8.

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>> let us restore the greatness of america and keep this land the hope of the earth. thank you so much for all your help. on to new hampshire!. on to new hampshire. let's get that job done. [cheers and applause] >> we will be in new hampshire. we'll leave tomorrow. we'll spend our time there and with your help and god's grace we'll have another fun night a week from now. god bless you. [cheers and applause] >> i think there's nothing to be ashamed of. everything to be satisfied and be ready and raring to move on, onto the neck step which is new hampshire!. [cheers and applause] >> everyone one of us should

remember this process survives because young men and women risk their lives to allow to us do this. we should act worthy of them. thank you, good luck and god bless you. on to new hampshire! [cheers and applause] >> i decided to return to texas, assess the results of tonight's caucus. determine whether there is a path forward for myself in this race. >> the people of iowa have spoken and they have written a the very first chapter in this long journey to take our country back from barack obama and make no mistake take, we will. [cheers and applause] bill: bit of color from last night. most of those happened well after midnight last evening. what now, what next? rick perry you heard is going back to texas to reassess. michele bachmann has canceled a trip to south caroline. right now she will host a news conference in about an hour in des moines, iowa, not south carolina. that is developing now. ed rollins, republican

campaign manager and strategist and fox news contributor. he helped mike huckabee win iowa four years ago. good early morning to you. >> thank you. i held mike huckabee's coat last year. he held iowa. bill: i see. i don't think he would say that necessarily. want to run down the order here. mitt romney wins by eight votes. your evaluation? >> mitt romney went back and got the vote four years ago. 30,500 vote. he got that vote again. he didn't expand the race but he did what he had to do. i think to a certain extent he comes out of there as a victor, narrow margin but i think at the end of the day i think he has chance first guy in modern times to put iowa and new hampshire together. that will certainly reinforce his base. bill: first time in modern times. interesting. we'll watch that in sick days. rick santorum what a finish. >> he had a tremendous finish. came from nowhere a few weeks ago. he set out. he had the blueprint which is huckabee blueprint of social conservatives. he went without money, resources organization and his own personal effort and

basically converted them one by one. the collapse of gingrich gave him the opportunity to move to the forefront and i think ran a tremendous campaign. he has a big task to put organization and raise money to be competitive. he is viewed now as conservative alternative. bill: twice in the last two weeks here on the fox news channel you predicted ron paul would be winner. he was not but finished third, a strong third. what is your evaluation? >> my evaluation was hurt last couple weeks about some of the newsletters he had several years ago and was beat up a little bit. he had a strong finish. if the vote hadn't been as big as it was. his vote would have stayed the same. i don't think this is anything to be ashamed of. i think this is his high mark. bill: his high mark. you have two debates next week which leads us not only ron paul but newt gingrich where he gained traction in the past and fell from lofty perch. >> 40 years ago i used to be a boxer, key thing you never show pain. newt gingrich is showing pain every place he goes.

showing a mean side. you don't call one of your frontrunners a liar on the closing day of a primary. i expect newt to fight hard. i expect him to go to ham am -- new hampshire and really hammer romney as he made it clear. he took a terrible beating the last two weeks. my sense he will be back in the game because he is smart. bill: next stop for rick perry, austin, texas. >> i think he will unpack his bags. i think the smart thing at this point in time to stay in texas. get back to being governor. there is it no path for him. bill: despite strength? south carolina? >> he has strength difference because of santorum's win everybody will go to new hampshire. before i thought bachmann and perry would have mini thing and get a couple weeks start on south carolina. everybody will go to new hampshire. bill: in one hour we'll see michele bachmann in iowa. yesterday you were here in the afternoon saying that she should get out. is that what happens today. >> i believe so. she was a tireless campaigner.

she wasn't as experienced running a race as someone like santorum. they both were going after the same vote which is the old huckabee vote. she just didn't make the sale. we identified 21,000 strong supporters for her straw poll. she lost that vote over a period of time. i don't think she has the resources to go beyond. what you don't want to do is end up million dollars in debt and that is what would happen. bill: that would be pretty good advice from strategist and as a human being. >> abs absolutely. she has nothing to be ashamed of. bill: jon huntsman is waiting in new hampshire. he has been campaigning nonstop there. >> he has a big task now. he had to have a second place finish in new hampshire to have any justification to go on. it will be hard for him to get attention now in the next week. santorum will get attention. he has to compete. interesting thing romney has four players against him. gingrich will go after him full bore.

santorum will go after him. certainly paul and huntsman and has been doing that since the beginning. it will be a real test. even though he has a big lead i think you will see erosion. i expect him to win but i think it will be much closer than today. bill: in 2008 i know you give the credit to mike huckabee and perhaps rightly so but we were sitting here last night wondering how come we don't know what is happening out there in iowa? because at 5:00 in the afternoon four years ago, you told me in des moines, iowa, that mike huckabee would be the winner. so i asked huckabee, last night how did you know at 5:00 in the afternoon you were going to win? it was 9:30, 10:00 here in new york city we had no idea. it was much closer race between three men late into the night. he said we were in contact with all the counties and all of our people in the counties and we knew who left their home to go to a caucus site in the afternoon. >> we absolutely did. the interesting thing everybody knew huckabee won except mike.

mike was in a plane coming from waterloo, iowa in freezing cold plane. he was last to know he had won. we were leading a month. romney really went after him but he was extraordinary candidate. i say again if mike huckabee would have been in the race he would have 50% of the vote in minimum. bill: wow! terrific stories from 2008. now there are terrific stories in 2012 we'll talk a lot more about. ed rollins. >> thank you very much. take care. bill: jamie. >> early as today, bill, the republican presidential field could be thinning out. rick perry as you said is heading home to consider his options. we are awaiting that news conference from michele bachmann. what else can we expect moving into new hampshire? that's ahead. >> this campaign has never been about me. it's about a movement of americans who are, who see our country, that is really not on the track that most of us want it to be on. i'm really glad we took this last minute trip!

you booked our room right? not yet, thanks for reminding me. wait, what? i have the hotels.com app so we can get a great deal even at the last minute. ah, well played sir. get the app. hotels.com. prego?! but i've been buying ragu for years. [ thinking ] i wonder what other questionable choices i've made? [ '80s dance music plays ] [ sighs ]

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jamie: fox news alert. turns out no rest for the weary. what are the candidates up to today? mitt romney will hold a town hall meeting in a while in manchester, new hampshire. we'll wait for that. newt gingrich holding his own townhall in concord, new hampshire, the first of three events gingrich will hold today. they have have three days to prepare for this saturday's debates and next tuesday's primary. bill: he finished dead last in the primary but that is okay for jon huntsman. he put his all his chips in new hampshire. former homeland secretary tom ridge is a supporter. ridge is already in new hampshire. good morning to you. >> good morning. thanks for the invitation to join you and your audience this morning.

bill: make your case? why huntsman? >> how long do we have in we'll give you the cliff notes version. the most consistent conservative in the race. there haven't been any political epiphanies in his life. he is a fiscal conservative. he is absolutely the most accomplished governor. he has the most favored economic plan according to the wj. he is the best when it comes, the most experience in terms of foreign policy which is very low threshold because nobody has any foreign policy experience. and finally he is the most electable. put them all together, new hampshire is a game-changing difference maker. we take momentum and go into south carolina. bill: we'll see if that is all the case. he trails mitt romney badly in this polling in new hampshire. he is down about 33 points. how do you make that up in six days? >> well, you don't. you just say, listen, you have the one thing i've known in my work with governor huntsman, you take the cards as they're dealt on the table. this is romney country.

he was a neighboring governor. he has one of his homes here. he has establishment support. mitt is probably going to get 50, 60% of the vote. he should. and that's all right but remember we were 9th in the polls around here i think three or four months ago. i think we're third now. there will be a very strong showing and we've got staff and a lot of people. we're waiting for us to build some momentum here in new hampshire on our way to south carolina. we are --. bill: we're about to see all of that. sir, thank you very much. we'll catch up with you down the road. tom ridge. >> look forward to it. thank you. bill: stumping in new hampshire for jon huntsman already. big new hour coming up next too, right, jamie? jamie: a shift now, bill. the tension is turning to the nation's heartland and to the northeast. next hour we'll have more what is next in new hampshire for the primary and beyond that. >> the message i shared with you tonight is not an iowa message or an iowa and south carolina message. it is a message that will

resonate across this land. it will resonate i know, in new hampshire because you think i've been in iowa a lot? i've been to new hampshire 30 times and been more times and done more events than anybody but john huntsman. and he cheats because he lives there call imperial structured settlements. the experts at imperial can convert your long-term payout into a lump sum of cash today. because for every two pounds you lose through diet and exercise, alli can help you lose one more by blocking some of the fat you eat. let's fight fat with alli. ♪ my high school science teacher made me what i am today. r science teacher helped us build it. ♪ now i'm a geologist at chevron, and i get to help science teachers.

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can you enjoy vegetables with sauce and that's pretty cool. and still reach your weight loss goals? you can with green giant frozen vegetables. over twenty delicious varieties ha sixty calories oless per serving and are now weight watchers-endorsed. try green giant frozen vegetables with sauce. bill: whole new hour and breaking news now and fox news alert. michelle bachmann will hold a press conference in one hour.

we are waiting foray rival a waiting for her ae arrival. they are not sure if her campaign can survive. breaking details, more through the hour as we await the minnesota congresswoman. fresh new hour in "america's newsroom," and that race for the white house off to new hampshire now following this nail-biting finish late into the night in iowa. it has never been this way before. mitt romney beating rick santorum by 8 votes, the sli slimmist margin in iowa caucus history. >> you are working, and i am working and we are all working together for our passion for this country and a concern that it is being led by a president that may be a nice by but is just over his head.

>> i want to take a moment to congratulate someone, whose family we admire, and that is rick santorum. he waged a great, positive campaign. >> you, you by standing up and not compromising, by standing up and being bold and leading, leading with that burden and responsibility you have to be first, i think there is nothing to be ashamed of, everything to be satisfied and be ready and raring to move on, on to the next stop, which is new hampshire. [applause] [cheering] bill: there are your predictions out the window. iowa always throws you a curve ball, right? good morning, i'm bill hemmer, good morning, jaime. jamie: i'm in for martha. she will be here later. you heard ron paul trying to

rally the troops as they move forward to new hampshire, the first in the nation primary is just six days away and waiting for the mayor of new hampshire jon huntsman, the former utah governor skipping the hawk ka hawk-eye state in iowa. he's predicting a victory in new hampshire like mitt romney enjoyed in iowa. bill: romney town hall in manchester, he's not on the ground there, he's due in about two hours i believe. good morning to you, molly. >> reporter: good morning to you. for now we are at the fox news headquarters. we are keeping an eye on all of the candidates because today new hampshire is definitely the place to be and it will be until january 10th when the voters head to the polls there. very different contest from iowa where they do a big caucus there. independents can vote here on the republican side of the primary. mitt romney, rick santorum newt

gingrich and jon huntsman all here today beating the pavement in new hampshire. that's what you have to do here. you have to do the retail politicking. they are covering a lot of ground in this state. one of the big events expected to happen today is senator john mccain is expected to endorse mitt romney at a rally. romney hedged a little bit when he was chatting on this on fox & friends this morning. here is what he had to say. >> herman caijohn mccain is beloved in many parts of the country. some call him mr. new hampshire. if in fact he makes an announcement today that would be big for me in a state that he knows very, very well. >> reporter: of course john mccain won here in 2008 and went onto become the party's nominee running up to the 2008 election. also on the ground today rick santorum as i had mentioned. he'll be under the spotlight as he arrives in new hampshire. this is sort of his chance to show his conservative roots and appeal to the conservative

social voters in the state, a much smaller contingent than we saw in iowa. this is his chance to kind of shine in the lime light. we spoke with voters to get their take to see if iowa matters to new hampshire voters. >> i feel like what happens in iowa is iowa, what happens in new hampshire is new hampshire, and all politics are local so -- >> reporter: i think a lot of folks here in new hampshire have had a chance to meet these candidates one-on-one already in the course of the past year, plus the candidates have been coming to visit and believe they will be making up their own mind in the coming week or so. michelle bachmann holding a press conference here in roughly and hour. one other bit of news here in new hampshire is that newt gingrich is stepping up and sort of going on a counter attack. he feels he's really taken a beating here in the course of this election, a lot of negative ads pointed this way. today he put an ad in the union leader going after mitt romney

as a massachusetts moderate. whether or not that will impact this race with voters who are actually very familiar with mitt romney already we have yet to see. bill: there is a lot to cover up there, molly, thanks, well done. mamanchester new hampshire, molly line leads our coverage up there. jamie: mitt romney may be looking ahead to new hampshire, we are waiting a major announcement from a former frontrunner, michelle bachmann has canceled an upcoming campaign trip after a poor showing in her own home state. steve brown is showing us live in west des moines, iowa at the bachmann headquarters. steve, what are you hearing about the developments? >> reporter: i have had a chance to talk with some staff. they have not disclosed the content of what it is that miss bachmann may be saying this morning but did disclose so far that it was hastily put together about 8:10 this morning, her iowa campaign manager was asked to start making phone calls to local media. that was followed up by her

national campaign manager alice stewart to try to put this hastily together. still setting up this particular venue. this is the venue where the caucus reception was for the bachmann campaign last night. as noted at the top of the hour the national campaign manager for the the bachmann campaign suggested -- getting out of the race may be a course she may want to consider. sarah palin said something similar on the air last night, while she was complimentary of congresswoman's bachmann's effort and her role in her campaign that her best role may be back in the house as a u.s. congressman from minnesota. if you read voices and body language it does look like the decision is made to discontinue the campaign, but that is just a sense i get, not something official i get from the campaign. jamie: we could know in less than an hour, thanks so much, steve brown, live in des moines. bill: as we await bachmann's big

announcement she is getting advice from one insider with plenty of campaign experience. sarah palin says bachmann may drop out for the sake of her own bank account, palin adding that the congresswoman still has plenty to offer. >> down the road, you know, unless something really turns around for her, i don't see a way to progress her candidacy to become the top-tiered candidate. i'm not saying to disparage her personally, people can quit the shots i've taken just because i voice my opinion about the candidate, she's got good things to offer, she's done a great job, i'm proud of her and i think she will be back in the house of representatives and we will be thankful for her being here. bill: palin on fox late last night. bachmann has until june to file for re-election for her seat in minnesota here is the top finisher now mitt romney late last night.

>> thank you so much for all your help. [applause] >> onto new hampshire. bill: he had more to say than just that, however, and rick santorum was only eight votes behind romney in the end, the closes finish in history of the iowa caucus. he makes the point late last night, well after midnight that although he has spent time going to all 99 counties in iowa, he's laying the groundwork in new hampshire as well, sapbt tor santorum. bill: i've been to new hampshire so many times and have done more events than jon huntsman and he lives there. bill: chris stirewalt joins us. good morning to you, my friend. check out your power play at foxnews.com. your leadline was, iowa did its job again, explain.

>> reporter: absolutely. what iowa's job is in the nominating process, really in both parties is not about picking winners it's about picking losers, it's about deciding who is not going forward, who is not going to get ahead. michelle bachmann, we've been talking about, michelle bachmann really whether she decides to keep running or not running isn't that consequential only because her numbers are so small her influence on the race is so small. iowans, she is a native they know her best, they said know. rick perry spent $4.5 million in iowa, made appeals to the cal taour cultural conservatism of this state, could not beat romney. now you're left, this is a very interesting moment and probably what no one expected, bill is where you end up in the primary within the primary in the pep party for the conservative, who can unite the right, rick

santorum and newt gingrich now to have duke it out to see which one of them gets to go the distance with mitt romney. bill: i don't know what iowa was saying last night but when you look at the three-way finish it looks like they were looking for a little piece of everyone, a little bit of rick santorum for his social views, a little bit of romney for his financial background. a little bit of ron paul for his fiscal responsibility. do you see that it way? >> reporter: it's true. it reflects a divided party. the republicans have to make up your mind. they like a lot of what ron paul says, they like a lot of what rick santorum says, they like a lot of what mitt romney says but they can't decide what is most important to them and that is this process that has to go forward now. you're going to go to new hampshire and what will happen up there is basically the test for rick santorum. rick santorum in a tie with ron paul here needs to do better than ron paul in laura ingraha new hampshire.

he needs to get mojo going so he can prove he is not just a one-tier candidate. bill: there is a lot more coming up as we await michelle bachmann. there is a possibility that mccain comes out in new hampshire and endorsess mit endorsess mitt romney. jamie: scott rasmussen tells us who is rising and falling with six days to go. bill: the top target of presidential hopefuls is president obama's medical law. marc siegl will be with us to break it down. jamie: michelle bachmann holding a news conference at the top of the hour con canceling the trip to south carolina she said she had already bought her ticket for. we'll bring you that as soon as it happens. here is bachmann last night. >> the people of iowa have spoken and they have written the very first chapter in this long journey to take this country

back from barack obama. and make no mistake, we will. [applause] sweetie i think you need a little extra fiber in your diet. carol. fiber makes me sad. oh common. and how can you talk to me about fiber while you are eating a candy bar?

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questions ... and impartially shop the highly rated term life companies selectquote represents for your best rates. give your family the security it needs at a price you can afford. call this number or go to selectquote dot com. selectquote. we shop. you save. bill: a quick business note here, american shoppers feeling a post christmas sales surgery find ousurge, we find out from friends. the mall trade group said sales rose 5.3%, retailers crediting a bump in gift yard work. that is not all, mild weather, a

holiday on the monday after christmas helped out. it boosted sales for all of december up to 4.5%. jamie: thank you so much. newt gingrich taking his fight to new hampshire, one of the candidates moving on. recent rasmussen would also has the speaker trailing president obama. scott rasmussen here in person, president of rasmussen reports.com. let's take a look at that poll. do you think it would change today? >> probably not. speaker gingrich has been trailing by ten points now for three or four weeks. he's showing a little bit of hurt. he looks personally wounded by the negative attacks on him and so he's lashing out a bit, don't think he's going to help that imagery going forward. jamie: he and mitt romney really going head-to-head in iowa. >> they sure are. jamie: any surprises for you from iowa as compared to the polls done and the outcome? >> you know, rick santorum was

the surprise. he was the last person surging, in our last poll we showed him at 16 perfected 16% moving on up, but i wrote yesterday morning we don't know how high he could go, he could finish anywhere, first, second or third, not a huge surprise but for rick santorum very good news. jamie: this is a non-binding situation, the caucuses. >> right. jamie: how do you think the rolls will respond given the fact that rick santorum did have this great finish, that mitt romney was only a few votes ahead of him? will the polls in new hampshire that you'll now be con tkeubg conducting reflect a bump out of the caucus. >> absolutely. we don't know how far the surge will go. the last time we polled in new hampshire is right before the surge for rick santorum, the former senator was at 3% in our new hampshire poll, down with michelle bachmann and rick perry. i don't know how high he'll go but it will be much higher than that. the other question is, newt gingrich was in second-place with that last poll with 22%, i

expect his numbers will come down. there is jon huntsman, jon has been trying to figure out a which to get in the race and he's been around 10%. jamie: here is the poll we just put up. another question is whether or not the country is going in a right direction. the folks in iowa have certain concerns, the folks in new hampshire may have different concerns. the south may be mostly concerned about something like national security. let's take a look at this poll about the right direction and whether or not -- wow, 71% of the folks you polled, total americans, wrong direction. >> 7 out of 10 people say we are going in the wrong people.e. 22% say we are actually okay. that is up a bit over the past month. a lot of this ties back to the economy. people are not feeling good about their personal finances. there are regional differences and emphasis but the economy is the issue. the number that i would watch the most carefully of all in this political season is the way people rate their own personal finances. the day that barack obama took

office it was 35%, it's right at that level today, people were expecting him to bring it up a little bit. it's a cause for concern if you're in the white house. jamie: it's the economy stupid, it's still the economy stupid. >> it is the economy stupid. jamie: in terms of future polls what can we learn from new hampshire in polling that we can then move forward to south carolina? >> the big question will be who is going to be the challenger to mitt romney in south carolina? really it's been the story the whole season. mitt romney has been sort of the default, safe choice, a lot of people have been looking for an alternative, three out of four people in iowa last night were looking for an alternative. nobody has emerged with staying power. rick santorum is going to face a lot of challenges this week, he's going to face a lot of challenges in the debate on saturday night, and he hopes to consolidate some support and be the one, single challenger to mitt romney in south carolina. we don't know if that will

happen until half new hampshire. jamie: i've got to wrap, jon huntsman in the game? >> he hopes so. i think it's a big mistake to totally ignore iowa. that is where the game is played. he is doing retail politics. he needs to get to at least double digits in new hampshire and he needs to shine in future debates. jamie: i'm sure you will tell us if he does. scott, great insight, great to have you here. >> great to be here. jamie: bill. bill: if you are tuning in right now we are awaiting a news conference in des moines, iowa from michelle bachmann. that should be on our way in about 40 minutes. we are awaiting the fate of rick perry, the texas governor saying he would go to texas and not new hampshire or south carolina first. news on that as it happens. will mccain endorse romney in new hampshire? all that awaiting on "america's newsroom." the future of your healthcare and the real problem that our own dr. marc siegl says all politicians are neglecting. the doctor is here in a moment, jaime. jamie: can't wait for that. he's accused of setting more

than three dozen fires. now police think they may know why.

>> we don't know the final vote tally is going to be, congratulations to rick santorum. this has been a great victory for him and his effort, he's worked very hard in iowa. we also feel it's been a great victory for us here. for ron paul as well, ron paul has had a great night. bill: that really sums it up for the three winners from iowa. let me show you for a minute how this all went down, for ron paul how he did well, romney and santorum as well. santorum is in brown, all the brown counties that you see here in the state of iowa were won by rick santorum. romney is in the red.

western iowa out here is conservative country. rick santorum really chewed in from rom no's lead from 2008, four years ago and took a lot of this vote last night. in the eastern half of iowa you see ron paul, ron paul is the blue area here, ron paul shooed into mitt romney's lead in this part of the state in 2008 as well -p up around the border i up here. right here in the center part of the state is polk county where you find des moines and dallas county to the west. romney did better this year than he has four years ago, that's part of the reason he was successful by eight votes last night. let me take you back four years ago and i'll show you and compare. we'll jump out of this right now. and we'll go to -- stand by one second, guys, give me a moment here, on the historical map we can show you how it plays out from the iowa caucus four years ago. that was a year when mike

huckabee beat mitt romney. we put huckabee in deep red and romney in light red. see this area where santorum did well last night, romney dominated the western part of the state more conservative last night. the eastern part of the state is where romney picked up so many votes four years ago. this time around ron paul and to a lesser extent rick santorum cleaning up right here. this was the only area four years ago where mitt romney won a county. by four votes dallas county four years ago, he improved on that mark last night. in a moment here we'll talk to brit hume and pwreup th bring up the whole issue of the economy. what iowa has seen, they are only at 5.7% well above the national average. what the entrance polling told us last night an is how important the issue of the

economy is to the voters in that caucus last evening. here is jaime. jamie: bill, thanks. the supreme court is take it on and they are taking it on soon, the controversial healthcare law that was passed. that will happen in just a few months. some doctors are arguing neither political party is putting it forth with real solutions to the problem with healthcare in america. dr. marc siegl, fox news medical a teamer, professor of medicine at lmu and langome is here to discuss it. who has it right. >> reporter: none of them are looking at the doctor shortage directly, we are supposed to be a lot of doctors short and doctors that are in place are dropping out of insurance, are cutting back on medicare, aren't

doing as well with private insurance. with all the regulations coming in doctors are in trouble. tphofrpb thnone of the candidates look directly at the over use syndrome, it's too use he to use insurance. rick santorum says insurance should be for illness only. he's interested in expanding health savings accounts. awful the candidates would expand health savings accounts, the president has shr u.n. k health savings accounts. you get a tax deduction for paying out-of-pocket. i am very interested in patients paying out-of-pocket because when they do they are more aware of what they are paying for, otherwise it's an mri, a ct, eyes thousands of dollars, you never get to see it. jamie: let me jump in for a second, dr. siegel, because they are more apt to go and get those tests or go see their doctor if they know that the money they'll have to pay initially is tax-free. president obama didn't just cut the healthcare spending account he cut it in half. >> that's right.

i was going to add, jaime that in massachusetts, mitt romney's plan in massachusetts has led to the highest healthcare ko*s in thcosts in the country. it is, to be fair true that premiums haven't risen. there is a doctor shortage. emergency room sreuts are u visits are up by 9% in massachusetts. he has an albatross around his neck with this. he favors caps on healthcare insurance. he favors tax credits, i think all of the candidates would like to privatize the healthcare system, but i want to point out that private insurance, in my opinion, and most practicing physicians isn't much better than public insurance because it still causes an interface between the doctor and patient, it's loaded with paperwork, it's not user friendly. jamie: let me ask you about that. at the same time that the

supreme court will consider the mandate that you have to buy insurance and you raise your question in your article about the ability to buy it across state lines, insurance. how are doctors affected either way, if , quickly if you can sum up. >> i think doctors absolutely favor competition in the system. it's crazy when someone moves here from colorado they have to get a new insurance. they may come here at first with the colorado insurance which i then can't accept. most physician tph-z answe physicians in answer to your second point do not believe we should be in the business of mandating insurance. if they want to get involved let them say they need an ap antiviral drug. healthcare is not health insurance. jamie: you do a lot of talking to your patients and i'll be talking to you sunday morning.

thank you so much, dr. marc siegl. bill: breaking news from the white house the obama administration about to appoint richard cordray at head of the consumer protection bureau to get around the senate's rejection of that nomination in developments he is going to announce that in cleveland, ohio, he's in shaker heights, east of cleveland. this could spark a legal action from the senate. expect something from john boehner in a minute. who do voters believe has the best chance of beating president obama in 2012? the results from last night and the reaction from brit hume in minutes. [ male annouer ] juice drink too watery?

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headquarters live this morning. screen right is michelle bachmann last night with her husband back over her right shoulder from last evening around midnight last night, when she came out and was accepting the 6th place finance admonish her home state of iowa. we do not know, fox news has not confirmed what bachmann will say, but we also can say this. she had planned to go to south carolina today on an airplane flight and that trip is not happening at the moment. will michelle bachmann suspend her campaign? there are various reports out there that say that is the case, her campaign manager telling local reporters last night that he doesn't see a way forward at the moment. so we await michelle bachmann and the headline will happen and come from her in about 25 minutes live in des moines, so stay tuned for that. there are revealing insights too from the entrance polling of iowa caucus goers. nearly a third say that beating president obama is their top priority, 31%. i'm going to talk to brit hume

right now fox news senior analyst with me. good morning to you. >> reporter: good morning, bill. bill: why don't we start there, huh? >> reporter: exactly. that one-third, i believe that the indications are that romney did very well, nearly half of that segment of the election threat that was concerned about that. that would sort of explain how he ended up where he did. the other two qualities, through conservative, he doesn't do very well on that and rick santorum does well on that, and i think both men have strength when it comes to moral character, although it may have been in the case of rick santorum because of his strong emphasis on family, and the values associated with that, something that people kau more clearly in his case, and would help to spline why he did as well as he did. bill: i made this pointer lee with chris staoeu stirewalt, it seemed like iowans are looking for a little something from all three of them. the turn out four years ago and

also last night 1 22,000 vs. 118,000 from 2008. it shows you voter intensity. the governor told bret baier and special report that he expected 130,000. based on that number they did not get that many people to the caucus last night. how do you reflect on that number. >> reporter: i think it's a dispointing number. you look at what happened in 2010 where you had a wave of turn out for the republican candidates energized by the tea party, th the electorate was. let's see if we get a great big turn out in high what that beats what we had last time and it basically comes out about the same, a few thousand more, but a disappointment. bill: the unemployment rate in

iowa is respectable given the state of the country right now, 5.7%. national employment rate is well over 8.5%. is the economy do you believe about jobs, or is it about fist alresponsibility, government spending, taxes or all of that. >> reporter: it's about both i think, bill. this is an important number, it's a reflection of republican sentiment only, we don't know what the democratic caucus goers were focused on last night. in a state where it's moderate and farm places are up, recoverd strongly you would think that the economy might be less of an issue. it gives you a sense of the level of anxiety in this country even among people who have jobs who are currently doing well and it suggests that at least among these voters and perhaps others across the country as well that improvement in the employment rate will not be enough to counter act the weight that the condition of the economy will bring on this president as he

seeks re-election. bill: that would success the $15 trillion in debt is not going over well in any part of the country. >> reporter: no it is not. but i think it's terribly important, we always think of the unemployment rate as the most sensitive indicator and it is, but people have had a tendency over the past election cycles to not feel good about the economy even when the unemployment rate was much lower than it is now. if that carries over into this election it means the president has this awesome burden regardless. you add to that the feeling among so many that there's been a fiscal train wreck in washington, that he's greatly aggravated, these constitute a couple of powerful issues that are likely to be there all this year and through election way. bill: we have a shot of a camera inside her headquarters in des moines, iowa. she will be out 11:00 eastern time, 10:00 des moines time what

do you expect? >> reporter: i don't see where thee goes here. she might try to limp along a little further. when you see a candidate in the aftermath of a dismal finish canceling trips to the next places, that is a sign that the end is at hand. bill: thank you, brit hume in washington. 20 minutes before the hour. jamie: someone who had a great night last night rick santorum following his surge, grabbing the spotlight of the iowa caucuses many would say, but can he ride the wave to start showing in new hampshire, how about beyond? one of rick santorum's biggest backers in congress tells us why he can. bill: president obama making a big push in that key battleground state. does mr. obama's message resonate in a state he won in 2008. great panel on that, a fair & balanced debate right after this. >> this is a record who is awful. they are going to do everything in their power to attack who they think the republican

nominee is going to be. get ready for a blistering attack. i'm going to go after his record, he'll probably try to go after me personally, and i don't think it will be successful for him.

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bill: fox news alert. fox news now confirming michelle bachmann will suspend her campaign for the republican nomination. steve brown is inside her campaign headquarters, in west des moines, iowa, steve. >> reporter: just a few minutes

ago a source within the campaign confirmed to me that the announcement will be that michelle bachmann will be getting out of the race. there is some question as to how it will be worded, whether it will be a suspension of the campaign or complete withdrawing of the campaign or, you know, we are going to be thinking about this. but the effect will be the same. important to point out that bachmann may not have, quite frankly, the financial resources to continue, even if she had done better than 6th place last night. for television ad buy in the last weekend was reportedly less than $10,000, and dollars go a long way in iowa, but even that wouldn't cover too much. bill: is this a realization they came for this morning or did they know this last night? >> reporter: um, according to her staff this was something that popped up this morning. people on her staff were alerted that they needed to put together a news conference, put together

a press pretty quick. they were asking to put it together inside of two hours. her staff have been scrambling around. they have not testified a lot received a lot of indication of what was going on. what i've been told from inside her campaign is this is the end for her and the race. bill: michelle bachmann is going to suspend her campaign for the nomination. steve we'll talk to you in about 16 minutes when the news conference gets underway there in west des moines, iowa, steve brown by telephone. jamie: what a difference 24 hours can make. while the gop candidates were rallying for last-minute votes in iowa now headed to new hampshire president obama was addressing democratic caucus goers via live video conference. what was behind that idea? alan colmes the host of the alan colmes radio show and brad blakeman the former deputy assistant to george w. bush,

gentlemen, good morning, thank you for being with us. brad, i have to ask you and i'll ask each of you about this anticipated indication that michelle bachmann will drop her bid. >> i think michelle bachmann understands there is no path to victory. she will suspend her campaign which has really no effect as a matter of law. there is no federal law regarding suspensions of campaign. this allows her to continue to clean things up and to wind down her campaign and to exhibit. certainly perry and bachmann who not have a pathway to victory, i think its smart. they can't -- they are not wealthy in their own right and they can't subject themselves to personal debt which you would have to do in order to continue on. jamie: alan, we'll hear at the top of the hour whether or not the finances really played that big a role. rick perry still in the game saying he's going to go back to texas to think about it. what is the impact of michelle bachmann leaving this race? she said she is the only true conservative that could beat president obama. >> i think it helps rick santorum who obviously has

momentum based on what happened yesterday. clearly brad is correct in everything he said. there is no money that is going to come in to a 6th place finisher, or perry. this was a definable moment in terms of the campaign. she is doing what she's got to do. jamie: brad, iowa a swing state, president obama speaking to democratic caucus goers last night. was that necessary? >> i think it was necessary. the president couldn't ignore that the democrats were having a caucus too but it was kind of anticlimatic because the excitement of the presidential race are for the gop nominees, the battle that went way into the morning was exciting compared to obama sitting in front of a computer screen. it wasn't the obama in 2008 which started his campaign in iowa with thousands of people screaming his name and almost, you know, a fervor that hadn't been seen in this country.

while 2008 was a time for home and change they have seen no change. i think the democratic caucus was pathetic compared to the republican. >> it was a different dynamic. you had a caucus where you didn't know where the victor would be. we already know obama will be the democratic nominee. about a hundred thousand more than turned out yesterday shall not a big turn out, not excitement about mitt romney. you're not going to have the level of excitement when you know who won, so you can't compare them. >> alan when you have an incumbent president who narrowly would have a record to run on, he would have been an all-star and would have up staged the republicans. the fact is here you have the president of the united states sitting and skyping to his adoring fans on a computer. jamie: that is not all he's do, alan he has a ground game in iowa, he opened eight offices or so and they were working the phones and doing everything they

could. what did president obama and his campaign team learn from iowa that will help him in his re-election bid? >> are you asking me? jamie: yes. >> i think what he's learning is that he's got, you know, he's got a great organization, he's got a good ground game. he's going to have energized republicans. they'll coalesce around two or three candidates, probg plea t probably two candidates, rick santorum and romney. and he gets to base his campaign around two candidates from the republican organization. bill: checking on jon scott, "happening now" rolls our way. jon: breaking news in the race for the white house. michelle bachmann has called a news conference for 12 minutes from now. word is she is suspending her campaign. we will take you to her appearance for what could be her exit from the race. it comes as a nailbiter of a

night in iowa is finally over. we'll talk about rom no's ver romney's victory. ron paul's surge. we'll talk with journalists from three states coming up next, new hampshire, south carolina, and florida. iran, how close are we getting to doing war with that country after some iranian threats. john bolton weighs in. bill: michelle bachmann comes the way at the top of the hour. we'll bring that to you live. also rick santorum stealing part of the show last night. can he do it again, maybe a repeat performance? [applause] or even 20 years? call imperial structured settlements.

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bill: as we wait on michelle bachmann, rick santorum feelin stealing part of the show, eight votes between he and mitt romney. that is no small task when you consider this. rick santorum would often say you can't buy iowas, referring to hig rivals. his expenses was one receipt from target for $17. one from wal-mart under $5. the biggest splurge a receipt from price line.com for nearly $700. how did he do it? good morning to you. big challenge ahead, going to new hampshire, polling right around 5%. now this man very well. you sang in the choir with him back in 1992, which i think is the first year he won a

congressional seat. what is rick santorum's appeal? >> what -- we literally sang in the choir together, after church services rick would knock on doors after church and be at it seven days a week. all along rick's approach was talk policy and bring people together. he talked about freedom but tied that with personal responsibility. the district that he ran in, which is now the district i have, the 18th district appealed to blue color voters, reagan democrats, and he had to do that by pulling people together. i expect that he has the same tenacity and relentless necessary in iowa. going everywhere and talking to as many people as he could about the issues and being positive about america and that's where you see his message coming through. bill: this is a guy who ran for the senate in pennsylvania and lost in his home state. how did he come back from that? >> pennsylvania lost five

congressional seats that year, lost the governor's race that year by record proportions. it really was a year that was a low point for republicans really across america. what rick did over time was sat back, really worked on building up coalitions with people again. and i suspect he'll continue that kind of hard work carrying through the coming months. bill: we have talked to many campaign strategists, you need a strategy in place to help you go forward in the next contest, be it new hampshire, or south carolina, and you know rick santorum he had gas money in iowa. i mean that is essentially how he did so well, because he went to all 99 counties. i just want to ask you about one point you made earlier. you said he won because he built around the policy and not the party label. explain that. >> yes, well that is what is going to happen and that is what is going to help win an election in the fall. what happened with regard to rick working on policies, he talked to people beneficiary use that are important to them, issues about family, about

nation nat security, turning the economy around. years before when people in pennsylvania may not haveee elected them, what they have now is real buyers remorse. if we had had that 41 first vote in the senate we won't have the healthcare bill, we wouldn't have another 2 trillion-dollar in debt, we wouldn't have the stimulus bill. people are saying, we should be looking at the wide spectrum of the policies involved. that is where senator santorum i would expect built up a lot of his strength and will continue to do so. bill: tim murphy a surrogate, a friend of rick santorum back there in his home state of pennsylvania. sir, thank you. good luck to your steelers in the scene season. you guys are going to need it. jamie: fox news alert, back arto end her campaign for president. we just received confirmation moments ago, we are waiting to hear from the congresswoman herself, her news conference live from iowa, that is next.

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ask me how i don't wake up anymore when he comes to bed... these are real tempur-pedic owners...ask someone you know...check out twitter, or your friends on facebook... you'll hear it all...unedited! ask me how i wish i had done this sooner. ask me how this is the best investment i've ever made. tempur-pedic brand owners are more satisfied. than owners of any traditional mattress brand... to learn more, or find an authorized retailer near you visit tempur-pedic.com. tempur-pedic the most highly recommended bed in america. bill: michele bachmann what is she going to say in a moment? steve brown confirming live from west des moines that she will suspend her campaign. we're waiting on that. what will rick perry do? he is expected to go back to texas. john mccain in new hampshire this afternoon. a whole lot moving today after iowa. >> i hope you