bill: 2:00 saturday afternoon, when the skies parted and sun came down and boom. martha: gorgeous weekend. beautiful weekend. bill: really, we deserve this. martha: after that winter. a little more sunshine coming your way with "happening now" starting right now. bye, guys. have a good day. jenna: we begin a fox news alert. the obama administration announcing strict new standards for carbon emissions. we have a live look at at press conference that just wrapped up, epa head gina mccarthy delivering the news that the rules will cut carbon emissions by 2030. critics say it could cost thousands of jobs and could raise prices for the rest of us of the president argues that it is good for the environment. he will be on a conference call with the american lung association as this news develops. we'll discuss the economic and political fallout from the new rules. first today's top headlines

and brand new stories you will see here first. >> prisoner of war finally free after five years in captivity. coming up we'll look at the growing criticism and controversy over that deal that released sergeant bowe bergdahl. there is an urgent manhunt underway right now. why the feds want to find a california man they say is armed and dangerous. police launching a new investigation into the 2007 disappearance of madeleine mccann. remember her? now they are closing off an area not far from where that little girl was last seen. it is all "happening now." jenna: after 11:00 eastern time. growing criticism over the deal that freed sergeant bowe bergdahl held captive for five years by the taliban. hope you're off to a great week. i'm jenna lee. >> hello, everybody, i'm eric shawn in for jon scott today. there is mixed reaction of the

prisoner exchange that led to release of five detainees from guantanamo bay, five dangerous terrorists. folks in bergdahl's hometown will be celebrating his freedom. there is growing controversy and concern over everything from the precedent this exchange sets to the fact it was done without consulting confess. now new questions this morning over the circumstances of bergdahl's disappearance. jenna: in addition to all that, eric, new concerns about the men that the u.s. gave up to get bergdahl back home. we're talking about the five gitmo prisoners, all very high-ranking taliban terrorists. senator john mccain, who himself was a prisoner of war in vietnam says it raises serious questions. >> these are the hardest of the hardcore. these are the highest, high-risk people and others that we have released have gone back into the fight. that's been documented. so, and it is disturbing to me that the taliban are the ones that named the people to be released. >> i caution anyone against

buying propaganda today terrorists, first of all. secondly, it is absolutely a situation with a long history and precedent where we engage in exchange of prisoners during an armed conflict. sergeant bergdahl was a soldier in our military and he was being held by the enemy and that is a situation where you do everything you can to secure his release. jenna: but there are those who say this is part of a big story. josh rogan, senior correspondent for national security an politics of "the daily beast" did great reporting over the weekend as always. josh, the title of your article today, bergdahl deal could be first step into emptying gitmo. why? >> this deal was the first major deal after congress loosened restrictions on how the administration is allowed to release prisoners from guantanamo bay. in other words, now that obama has proven that he can release worst of the worst out of this prison and congress can't do anything about it, there is nothing stopping him from going

ahead and releasing scores of more prisoners if he wants to fulfill his promise to close the prison by the end of the year. there is effort in congress to prevent obama by doing this, by ramping up those restrictions. but that effort will be too late there is no bills moving in congress right now. right now obama has a free hand. jenna: explain that a little bit further to our viewers, josh. why doesn't congress have oversight of this? >> for years congress put strict restrictions how the administration could deal with these dangerous and high-risk prisoners at guantanamo. last year in the defense bill, congress voluntarily gave up a lot of this in part because they knew these negotiations for bowe bergdahl were ongoing and they didn't want to get in the way. now that the floodgates are open, congress will be very hard-pressed to exert any oversight. considering that president obama didn't even consult congress or even tell them in advance before releasing these prisoners, there is a lot of concern, especially among republicans and amongst democrats that the president

will use this new authority in far more broadway than ever intended. jenna: we keep hearing this term over and over again the worst of the worst, to describe these five gitmo prisoners released, josh. what precedent do you think it sets as far as how future releases could be done? >> well for years the obama and bush administrations have been releasing prisoners but they have been doing it very carefully. the basic model we return them to third countries and in those third countries we have assuranceses they will be in prison and closely monitored and we will have some way to tell if and when they return to the battlefield. the administration won't release details what assurances the qatari government gave us for releasing these five high-risk guys. they have a one-year travel ban. after one year they can do anything they want and there won't be anything we can do bit and that will be troubling to those on capitol hill. jenna: it will be interesting, josh, what actually they have to

do in this year. we all know, we can do a lot by computer. we don't really have to travel that far to do much. josh, let me ask you a little bit the tiling. that is suggest touched on in saturday on your reporting as we first heard who was being released. you said this, their release, referring to the five men from gitmo, will end up replenishing the afghan taliban at the moment the united states is winding down the war. what do you make of the timing on this that we got the announcement that we should have all combat troops out of afghanistan by 2016 and considering the va scandal? what think of the timing? how risky is it where we're at the war? >> that is great point to bring up for twoone, remember for thee years we were negotiating for the release of bowe bergdahl it was in the context of pushing for a peace deal with the tall pan and afghan government. we just didn't want our prisoner back. we wanted taliban to make moves

to renounce terrorism and enter reconciliation process. that was the deal. now the deal is just a prisoner swap and president obama on the same exact week announcedful withdrawal of u.s. troops from afghanistan by 2017. the administration will say that is coincidence. the fact is the taliban's number one ask for years the u.s. troops leave afghanistan. now they have got that they're under no more pressure to make anymore concessions about what they will do with us, what they will do with the afghan government. we have no more leverage. even if it was a coincidence, now that we have announced our policy, any prospects for greater reconciliation between the taliban and afghan government or any further negotiations to get what we want from the taliban are greatly diminished. jenna: that is an important point to underscore, the afghan government was not involved in this at all. the government we poured a lot of money into, continue to do so and support with our troops in afghanistan was not empowered in this process, josh. this will be one of the things we'll talk about over the next

several hours as well. josh, great to see you as always. look forward to have you back. >> anytime. >> jenna, more about the infamous five freed in gitmo, in 2008 defense department memos branded them high-risk threats to our country saying they should never be released and if so they would rejoin the taliban to again fight expense our forces. they are the taliban deputy minister of intelligence who the u.s. said, would pose a direct threat to the united states if he was ever let out. the government said he has direct links to al qaeda, and trained islamic terrorists. senior taliban commander, wanted by the united nations for possible war crimes, suspected of murdering thousands of shiite muslims. deputy minister of taliban defense and chief of staff of the taliban army who the government said also pose ad high-risk threat to our country and had direct links to usama bin laden. a former head of taliban security, also with ties to al qaeda, who like others directed attacks against our troops. yet another official with ties to al qaeda also wanted by the

u.n. for potential war crimes. as part of the deal as we have been reporting, they must stay in qatar for that one year. jenna: last week at this time they were in gitmo. this week now they're in a different country. let's talk a little bit what is happening at guantanamo bay this week, the facility housing taliban detainees that were released in exchange for bowe bergdahl. president obama signed a executive order to close gitmo after taking office in 2009. nearly 150 detainees at are guantanamo bay now. that is way down from the high at more than 680 detainees back in june of 2003. as of march of this year, 104 of the 614 detainees, have re-engaged in terrorism activities. so one out of six there. while another 74 are suspected of doing so. adding that together makes nearly 30% confirmed or suspected of rejoining the terrorists after leaving guantanamo bay. jon: general. >> jenna, a lot of questions

being raised by sergeant bowe bergdahl's disappearance five years ago. they're awaiting for him to return home in idaho. he is not back here in our country yet. he is undergoing medical treatment at a military hospital in germany as well as debriefings. but his family and friend who tirelessly campaigned for his freedom are gearing up for his return home. >> five years is a seemingly endless long time. but you have made it. i imagine you're more patient and compassionate than ever. you are free, freedom is yours. i will see you soon, my peloved son. i love you, bowe. >> dan springer live in bergdahl's hometown of hailey, idaho. hello, dan. >> reporter: hi, eric. this small town of 7,000 residents in southern idaho really came together when bergdahl was captured five years ago or almost exactly five years ago. his yellow ribbons you see everywhere were put you, they

stayed up and this town never gave up hope. we understand there were shouts of joy and horns honking in the street when word spread quickly on saturday morning he was finally released. these people know the process of recovery and reintegration will take a long time. it is a long process. he will spend some time this week at u.s. army hospital in landstuhl, germany and two to other hospital in san antonio, texas, for more treatment. his parents have not spoke to him yet which has to be tough but they talked about being patient through a long and dangerous process. >> he has been gone so long it will be very difficult to come back. it is like a diver going deep on a dive and has to stage back up through recompression to get the nitrogen bubbles out of his system. if he comes up too fast, it could kill him. >> reporter: parents didn't take any questions at that news

conference. they said time for questions and answers are all in the future. they said even a couple book deals might be down the road. right now, just about letting him go through the process and getting him back home eventually. eric. >> dan, we heard from his parents at the white house saturday night and at the press conference. what about his neighbors? >> reporter: seems like everyone we talked to in this town has a personal story about bowe bergdahl or his parents. he is known by everyone. had a couple offed jobs here in town. worked at a dance studio and i worked down the street as a barista. they're not blind to the fact this is controversial, this prisoner swap and there are serious questions why he was alone, unarmed off combat post when he was captured. but they have remained loyal to the family and mission of bringing him home. a local pow-mia group met with the bergdahls twice a year for the last five years. several were at the news conference yesterday.

>> it gives us hope. we still have 1642 mias from vietnam. managed to get nine home last year. that is a big accomplishment. time is running out. >> reporter: we know that there is a big celebration planned for june 28th. every year on the anniversary of bergdahl's capture in late june, they would plant a tree and put a ribbon around that tree. now they're were planning for the fifth tree to be planted this june 28th. now they're scrapping those plans. they will have a big welcome home party whether he is here or not. frankly nobody knows if he will be here because all questions about reintegration process and how long he may be in texas. they're hoping he is back for the party an june 28th. eric? >> later on in the newscast we'll look into the circumstances surrounding his disappearance. jenna. jenna: we mentioned one of our other big stories of the day, the epa cracking down on carbon

emissions, announcing tough new standards for power plants t could impact really everybody in the country. critics say it could cost jobs and hurt the economy especially in states where democrats are vulnerable in november. we'll break down potential political fallout and what it all means next. (vo) after 50 years of designing

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eric: the obama administration announcing new carbon emissions standards that some experts say could force hundreds of coal-fired plants to shut down. the environmental protection agency plans to cut carbon emissions by 30% from 2005

levels by the year 2030. but some charge that the economic impact could be devastating to coal-producing states. two of those states, west virginia, montana, hold key senate race this is november, not to mention kentucky. so, could there be a political price for a democrats in november because of all this? joining us now is the senor politics reporter for "u.s. news & world report. david, good to see you. first and foremost, will these new regulations have any meaningful environmental impact? >> well, i mean i think they definitely will. that's why you see environmentalists coming out today hailing the decision. business groups being a little more suspicious, wondering what this will mean for them. this does give some flexibility. each state is going to be able to tailor their own program to meet these targets. so the obama administration would point to that saying, look, we didn't go whole hog here for environmentalists. we're trying to give some flexibility to states to

implement this rule. so, certainly, this is a big deal and it's a big deal because smack in the middle of an election year. you've heard for months now democrats have been grumbling that the president hasn't really been engaged with them. there is no strategy for the midterms. he really doesn't get involved. this certainly doesn't help given the races that are on the map that they face this year. eric: one hand, look, we don't have any control over china. they surpassed us in terms of coal emissions and pollution there is horrible as well as india at the same time. our business groups say this will cost $50 billion a year, 250,000 jobs. so what do the democrats do in november to try to counter that? >> well, you know, first of all the obama administration would say that you know, we can't get china on board unless we provide an example but i certainly see your point. look, the democrats are going to have to run away from this, especially in coal-producing states. i mean i think kentucky is going to be the epicenter of this

fight. given the attention on that race. eric: that is mitch mcconnell obviously and alison grimes. miss grimes already said, coal, keeps the lights on in kentucky. she is running as far aways as she can from this. >> she will run away from it very much some she already has been. but i, emailing with a mcconnell aide this morning about this topic. what is the impact on that race in kentucky and he was telling me, look, allison lund der again grimes, worst performance were in the coal country states. southeastern part of the state. western part of the state and a democrat can't win kentucky unless she or he breaks even in coal country or wins it. i think they're going to hammer this and tie her to the obama administration. tie her to democratic controlled senate. remember what harry reid said about coal, coal makes us sick. i think you will see that in a

lot of republican ads to put democrats on defense including grimes. also in a lot of other red states where coal is not as big of an industry but certainly part of the big government intrusion narrative that republicans want to put democrats on defense. eric: that is going to be a theme. also have west virginia, natalie tennant and shelly capito there. shirley will be an issue. david, thank you for your insight joining us this morning. >> thank you, eric. jenna: another story we're watching out on the west coast, a nationwide manhunt underway for that man, 42-year-old, san francisco resident ryan kelly chamberlain, considered armed and dangerous. and apparently terror-related. a live report what is going on here. plus in portugal a new search in the mysterious disappearance of madeleine mccann. where police are looking today next. okay, listen up! i'm re-workin' the menu.

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[ bottle ] ensure®. that corporate trial by fire when every slacker gets his due. and yet, there's someone around the office who hasn't had a performance review in a while. someone whose poor performance is slowing down the entire organization. i'm looking at you phone company dsl. check your speed. see how fast your internet can be. switch now and add voice and tv for $34.90. comcast business built for business. jenna: new phase of the investigation into 2007 disappearance of madeleine mccann. crews will start digging over some scrub land near the portuguese resort where the little girl vanished during a family vacation. jonathan hunt live in the new york city newsroom. jonathan, where exactly when we say scrub land but where exactly is the new search taking place?

>> reporter: a resort town where the mccann family were on vacation when madelyn disappeared may third, 2007. it is about the size of three football fields, the area they're going to look at. they're going to use ground-penetrating radar to see if the earth has been disturbed anywhere. now they haven't told us specifically what evidence they may or may not have but former cops say there must be something significant to make them go back to this particular area. listen here. >> well clearly all the points

are leading to this particular point and, that they wouldn't be just identifying that part, you know, plucking it out of thin air. they have obviously have hard information and evidence that is leading to that. >> reporter: this particular search expected to last several days, be completed by the end of this week and british cops have also asked their portuguese counterparts help them search two other areas near that resort where madelyn disappeared. jenna. jenna: mad din's parent have been so involved since the beginning, jonathan. are they hat at the search or going to be there? >> reporter: they are not on this occasion at this point intending to travel to portugal. they're say staying in a home at the u.k. as you rightly say, jenna, they have made, many, many trips to portugal in the seven years since their daughter disappeared. they will be given constant updates bit british police as they continue to try to get

answers in the disappearance of the little girl you see right there, madeleine mccann. she was three years old when she disappeared. she would have celebrated her 11th birthday this past may 12th. jenna. jenna: we'll see if we get answer this is time around. jonathan, thank you. >> we know sergeant bergdahl was released after five years in captivity is a big story but is the media covering the deal that freed him, painting a complete picture? and as to how he got into enemy hands in the first place being covered correctly? i'm on expert on sofall. and tea parties. i'll have more awkward conversations than i'm equipped for, because i'm raising two girls on my own. i'll worry about the economy more than a few times before they're grown. but it's for them, so i've found a way. who matters most to you says the most about you. at massmutual we're owned by our policyowners,

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>> right now federal agents are launching a nationwide manhunt for this man, take a look. he's 42-year-old san francisco resident, ryan kelly chamberlain. chamberlain is considered armed and dangerous. he's wanted after a massive team of agents and hazmat crews searched his home and they say found mom baking materials. here is the very latest. what do we know right now? >> well, eric, police say he's armed and dangerous but refuse to tell us what they found what in his apartment and what he's allegedly armed with. agents wearing gas masks, rubber suits, did sweep through his building on saturday examine sunday but the search warrant and police affidavit supporting it are sealed. reportedly they did not find a biological or radioactive weapon but a chemical used in suicides can be fatal if not handled

correctly. >> it's presumptive for me to assume he's armed with explosives or firearms but someone with that type of equipment or, you know, bomb making material, whatever it may be, you know, we are going to consider as law enforcement agencies and officers, armed and dangerous. >> chamberlain is 42, 6' 3", last seen driving a white ultima with california or texas plates. >> what else do we know about him personally? >> he's a self described political junky. he worked in multiple political and p.r. campaigns including that of then mayor newson. he's active on twitter and youtube. he spoke about mental health on facebook after attending the university of iowa, he wrote about music. he taught at the university of san francisco. friends say he stopped answering his phone after losing his job

at a marketing company. bottom line, if you see him, call police. >> 911. thank you, william. jenna: back to top story of the day, the growing controversy over swapping five high level taliban detainees for bergdahl and concerns that washington set a dangerous precedent that we will negotiate with the taliban. how is bergdahl doing right now from what you're hearing from your military source snz >> u.s. military officials say he's still being seen by medical specialists at landstuhl in germany. as his father said over the weekend, he's still having trouble or choosing not to speak english. there are indications he may have converted to islam. his parents still have not spoken to him. on capitol hill there's anger at the white house for breaking the law which requires the president to give congress 30-day notice if they plan to release guantanamo bay prisoners. >> they talked about the fact

that they were diagnosticing with the taliban for a future peace. never talked about sergeant bergdahl and if they had been talking for three years, you would think they could have let us know. >> congressman is in charge of the armed forces oversight and he said he was not told about the prisoner trade. jenna: one of the lingering questions coming up is do we know anything more about the circumstances that took sergeant bergdahl off his base in 2009? >> well, we know from members of his unit and from senior military officials at the time that bowe walked off base while he was supposed to be standing watch. he left without a weapon, took a journal and a compass. statements have raised eyebrows about what his intentions were. >> most of all, i'm proud of how much you wanted to help the

afghan people and what you were willing to do to go to that length. >> reporters flying with defense secretary hagel over the weekend asked whether beg -- bergdahl would be prosecuted. >> our first priority is assuring his well-being and his health and getting him reunited with his family. other circumstances that may develop and questions will be dealt with later. >> there were very few public statements issued by top army leaders after bowe's release this weekend. secretary dempsey offered a short statement. jenna: we'll stay close on that. thank you. >> is sergeant bergdahl a hero or desserter?

susan rice, national security adviser, said he deserved with distinction and honor but some colleagues say he went awol, simply walking off the base and then there are controversial emails to his parents reported in a 2012 rolling stones story. he wrote, quote, the system is wrong. i am ashamed to be an american and the title of u.s. soldier is just a lie of fools. u.s. army is the biggest joke the world has to laugh at. it is the army of liars, back stabbers, fools and bullies. bergdahl went on, i am sorry for everything. the horror that is america is disgusting. is the media reporting the whole story? joining us now is jim pinkerington and alan colmes, host of the alan colmes show and author of laing t -- thank the liberals for saving america. there is understandable relief that he's safe but he is coming

under harsh criticism from those who served saying he laughed, and even put others in harm's way. >> i think susan rice really ought to give more thought to what she says on television. they googled the rolling stone article you mentioned or any number of other accounts of bergdahl, it's pretty clear that he's -- looks to me like a deserter or trader or both and why president obama would give five terrorists to get him back is beyond me. the headline on cnn this morning is fellow soldiers call bowe bergdahl a deserter, n a hero. "the washington post" is tough this morning. >> do you think that matters if he's supposedly a deserter or a trader? >> i'm glad you got benghazi in

there. look. we should be celebrating his freedom. gtmo, we have people sitting in gtmo without due process for years. if this leads to further release and a closing down of gtmo, that's good. if this releases to further communication and peace talks to the taliban, that's good. you want to be the one to call his family and say, i'm sorry, we're not going to negotiate for the release of your son and let me also say this. and this may rub some people the wrong way but if he -- after serving in the military, evolved toward becoming an objector because he became a buddhist, that strikes -- that's many more in hero territory to me than in trader territory. he saw the horrors of war and didn't like what he saw. >> is seeing the horrors of war enough to make him a hero? >> the real horrors of war are experienced by the five american soldiers who apparently were reportedly killed searching for bergdahl. he walks off his post voluntarily, just simply quits

the military. military earnestly goes to try to find him and according to many who have been following this, again, five americans were killed looking for him, at least, and i think if anybody needs a phone call or some rea insurance or some condolence, it's those five families saying, listen. we're sorry we sent your sons out to be killed looking for this trader. >> it's unfortunate that soldiers get killed and sometimes going to rescue one of their own. there's also a notion no man left behind as we're getting prepared to get out of afghanistan, do we leave a prisoner of war behind? and yes, it's a treacherous, terrible thing to be in the military and put your life on the line at every moment even the commission of trying to save one of your own. >> should he be brought up on charges? what do you think is going to happen? >> i do. i think there should be a thorough investigation but i also can't resist noting what

david berga, a tweeter said this morning which is at least the five prisoners from gtmo will no longer be getting better health care than americans now that they're in the middle east so there's some progress here. very ironic and tragic, though. jenna: primary elections heating up as tensions between the establishment republican and the tea party movement play out in local races. one mississippi senator is facing a tech challenge tomorrow. could it be the end of the 36-year run in the senate? we'll get into that. plus the denim indicator. we talked about economic indicators, right? is it time to throw out the g.d.p. and take a look at jean sales and what they tell us? mcdowell will be up next. fiber. try phillips fiber good gummies. fiber. they're delicious, and an excellent source of fiber to help support regularity. wife: mmmm husband: these are good! marge: the tasty side of fiber. from phillips.

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>> it's one man, one woman but not at "outnumbered" at the top of the hour. >> the controversy growing over the taliban prisoner swap that freed the last u.s. p.o.w. in afghanistan. plus actor gwyneth paltrow's woe is me comments, another celebrity saying the media coverage around here is like being raped. >> p.c. police at it again. a college frat accused of racism for hosting a fundraiser with students dressed in grs skirts and coconut bikini tops. >> aren't we past the idea of men always paying for the first date? maybe not. we'll ask our hashtag one lucky

guy. >> "outnumbered" at the top of the hour. >> we're going to move on here to business news. gold, old american jeans hitting a bit of a rough patch. jean sales dropping across the board year over year. is this telling us something about the economy? dagen mcdowell has the report on all of this. what's going on with jean sales in general? >> they're down which is surprising at the end of march, overall denim sales were down about 5%, down for men, women and especially for children. this is according to a retail analyst and there are two things going on. one is a little bit surprising. jean sales are usually fairly steady because jeans are such a staple in people's wardrobes, even for work. now you see people shifting to, oh, lord, leggings of all things and more comfortable like yoga pants and i dare say even high

end sweat pants. you see people walking around in these all the time and also, the jean basis hasn't been innovating. we have light jeans and dark jeans and then we have boot cut, straight leg and skinny jeans and maybe a pair of colored jeans so we have everything that we could possibly need. in terms of innovation, now you're seeing things like black waxed jeans and floral jeans. if you're going to like a lover boy concert, maybe you need a pair of those or a photo of nicky menage and she has ripped jeans on. and that's why sales are falling and frankly, we can both talk about this. these jeans are tight and uncomfortable. jenna: amen, sister. i don't really see you in the floral jeans. >> and i don't wear white jeans because they make everybody look fat. jenna: i love my white jeans,

dagen. let me just say that as a pregnant lady, i think i have the solution for the entire industry of jeans. i think everyone should just -- even if you're not pregnant, start wearing maternity jeans. they have that big stretchy band that comes all the way to krur chest. there's a picture of it. they're maternity clothes and you can see that big band. it doesn't matter if you gain five pounds or 20, you'll fit in your jeans. that's innovation across the board that potential logical save the industry. >> if you're planning on wearing those things after the baby is born, your husband and i are going to have to do an intervention. jenna: i think my husband wants his own pair because they're so awesome. i'm just saying. i'm just saying. gives you a little extra room to grow. >> but you know what all these jeans that are out there, they're uncomfortable and unflattering and just -- people don't need them. that's why sales are falling. >> too tight does not translate

into great sales. >> you end up pulling at them walking down the street and people think there's something wrong with you. >> i'm going to bring some maternity jeans to your office. >> i'll probably be wearing them all the time. jenna: i'll talk to you later. thank you. >> thank you. >> i thought the super bowl was like an indication of the economic indicators. up next here on "happening now" more on the exchange of one u.s. soldier for five gtmo taliban detainees. is it a diplomatic game changer? what could it mean? frantic search ottoman who they say is in possession of explosive materials in california. we'll have the latest word on the suspect who police consider armed and dangerous. and the white house this morning, setting in motion one of the most significant actions, they say, on global warming so far. so what does the landmark plan really mean for our bottom line?

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>> alice, are you all right? >> i'm fine. noisy but fine. jenna: she played a memorable role in tv history. ann b. davis, best known as alice the housekeeper on the brady lunch has died. she hit her head on saturday and never regained consciousness. she played from 1969 to 1974 and in many reunion specials over the years. ann b. davis was 88 years old. >> fox news is america's election headquarters and voters go to the polls for primaries in eight states. two big races, one in iowa and the other in mississippi are grbing most of the attention.

pundits say their outcome could impact the republicans' chances of regaining senate in november. chief correspondent is in des moines, iowa and you know, when campaign carl hits des moines, in my book that means the campaign season has officially begun. hi, carl. >> hi, eric. eight states as you say coast to coast from california all the way to new jersey are voting. there are a variety of house and gubernatorial and senate races to talk about but really, four that matter most. not a lot going on in the primaries expected to be fairly normal but in both iowa as well as mississippi, two major battles. first let's look at mississippi. incumbent senator cochran is considered one of the most embattled in the country. chris mc daniel has had a lot of help. over the course of the last several weeks there's been a major controversy in mississippi wherein four supporters of

mr. mc daniel have been arrested and charged with videotaping and photographing rose cochran, the senator's wife, in a nursing home where she suffers from dementia. mc daniel denies any involvement but there's been a sympathy boost for mc cochran. the establishment could hang on. the other big race is here in iowa where there's an open senate seat like montana, like south dakota, this is one where republicans are looking at this as a possible pickup. the republican primary tomorrow is very, very important. joanie ernst has trailed by double digits by mark jacobs, a businessman who is self funding and then there is matt whitaker and he's a former u.s. attorney but also a football hero here, having gone to the university of iowa and played there in the rose bowl, scored touchdowns, et cetera. it doesn't look like any one of

them is likely to clinch it tomorrow. should that happen, should ernst fall short of the 35% she has, the state convention made up of more than 1,000 g.o.p. activists will determine who the nominee can be. those are two races most important to watch tomorrow and montana and south dakota also among the republican target lists. g.o.p. needs six seats to pick up the senate. all four of these are on their wish and must-do list. jenna: he's a ledge understandary voice, top 40 in america but he's suffering from dementia and the drama overtaking his home has gone from strange to absurd. casey kasem's family in an ugly battle over his care. there is more on the next hour of "happening now." thanks to angie's list, now it is.

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woman: this is not exactly what i expected. man: definitely more murdery than the reviews said. captain obvious: this is a creepy room. man: oh hey, captain obvious. captain obvious: you should have used hotels.com. their genuine guest reviews are written by guests who have genuinely stayed there. instead of people who lie on the internet. son: look, a finger. captain: that's unsettling. man: you think? captain: all the time. except when i sleep. which i would not do here. hotels.com would have mentioned the finger. jenna: time flies when you're having fun. see you here in an hour. >> tie -- take care.

>> this is "outnumbered." today's hashtag one lucky guy is outnumbered. >> i am. >> welcome back, pete. >> i was in the midtown tunnel 20 minutes ago. i'm just glad to be here. >> you have to be the one lucky guy via smart phone or and like that. we begin with a controversial prisoner swap. the joy of the americans' soldier's release quickly giving way to doubts and fears that some of the world's worst terrorists could be back at work and that more americans in uniform now have a price on their heads. the white house defending its exchange of taliban detainees from guantanamo bay to free sergeant bergdahl. jay carney insisting this is simply not a case of negotiating are