>> thanks to all the kids for coming and of course, thanks to all their nervous parents who are behind them. ted, get a shot. have a safe halloween, everybody! we'll see you back here on monday! bill: that is a crowd. morning everybody, happy halloween. we've got breaking news on the dangerous fugitive finally captured after a seven-week long manhunt. there is arraignment set to get unwade for eric frein who came out of the state patrol car in northeastern pennsylvania. see the marks on his face. after the apprehension late last night in an airport hangar. he is accused of killing a pennsylvania state trooper in an ambush on a police barracks and wounding severely another. now prosecutors say they will seek the death penalty as he moves inside the courthouse and courtroom a moment ago. welcome to friday. it is halloween. i'm bill hemmer. welcome to "america's newsroom." martha: good morning, bill i

have my orange on for halloween. what a seen we've been watching. good morning, i'm martha maccallum. eric frein has been charged with multiple crimes including first-degree murder and carries weapons of mass destruction. anothers says that he ultimately surrendered when he was caught but hunting him over the last seven weeks, clearly not an easy task. >> we knew he had a handgun. we knew at the beginning he had explosive charges with him. i can't think of a more dangerous occupation than going into the woods after this individual. >> senior correspondent rick leventhal has been covering this story since the beginning. he is live this morning in the poconos where there is tremendous amount of relief and where frein was ultimately caught. good morning, rick. >> reporter: good morning, martha. police are still processing and investigating the scene where frein was caught. about a half mile up the road behind me here that happened of course yesterday evening around 6:00.

we're roughly 20 miles from the blooming grove barracks where the troopers were shot and five miles from a campsite found during the search for frein who managed to elude total more than 1000 police and federal agents using helicopters and high-tech heat-seeking equipment and k-9s for 4days. but today, right now, frein is at the pike county courthouse. he just arrived minutes ago for his first appearance as people yelled at him, coward, as he was walked inside. he will be arraigned in front of a magistrate judge on numerous counts, first-degree murder, homicide after law enforcement officer, first-degree attempted murder and numerous other charges. the d.a. says he will seek the death penalty. at a news conference late last night, the commissioner of the pennsylvania state police explained why it took seven weeks to capture the self-taught survivalist. >> the reason this took so long is that such a big wooded area, that he was totally familiar with. that he had a lot of placeses to hide in.

and we had to be very careful in how we searched it. >> reporter: cops say frein looked better than they thought he would. they also say they don't think he had any help. i'm told by sources he is being cooperative with authorities. guys? martha: everybody is curious, rick, how it actually went down when they got him after all this time. what do you know about that? >> reporter: well we're in an area that they had been searching and have been searching for the past seven weeks. he was caught outside of an empty hangar at the birchwood pocono airpark, next to the abandoned birbirchwood park. they spotted him alone out in the open unarmed. he left a rifle and handgun inside the hangar. he got on his knees when they yelled out at him and he surrendered. when they turned him over to the pennsylvania state police they shackled him with the handcuffs of the trooper he is charged

with killing, corporal brian dixon. he was driven to the barracks the same car dixon was supposed to drive that night when he was shot in cold blood by frein. the wounded trooper, alex douglas is out of the hospital, said to be improving. we're told the troopers families acted with relief and gratitude and that might describe everyone here in the poconos, martha. martha: huge amount of relief and great sense of accomplishment he was taken into custody. great work by all those involved. rick, thank you very much. bill: we'll let you know what happens inside the courtroom. this long search taken a toll on pennsylvania's pocketbook. no official tally but estimated $1.4 million total of $9.6 million. that does not include cost of housing and feeding more than a thousand officers in that hunt from five states that took part in the search. they helped scour 35 miles of heavily wooded terrain to find

him. pennsylvania has 184 people on death row. frein would make it 185 if that is the route it goes in court. they canceled school from time to time. they called off half wean as a precaution. they get their guy on the night before october 30th. martha: joyous celebration that he is finally in custody and really such strong symbolism they cuffed him with officer dixon's handcuffs and brought him down to the station in his patrol car. ire heart goes out to his family, all of his friends and supporters in the area. bill: we have two crews out there. when we get news from the courthouse and the judge we'll bring it to you. meantime, get it rolling, four-day until the midterms. louisiana democratic senator mary landrieu locked in a tough re-election fight coming under fire for comments she made about southern voters, essentially accusing emof this bias against minorities and against women. listen. >> be very, very honest with you. the south has not always been the friendliest place for

african-americans. it has been a difficult time for the president to present himself in a very positive light as a leader. not always been a good place for women to be able to present ourselves. it is more of a conservative place. so we had to work a little harder on that. but the people trust me i believe. really they do, to trust me to do the right thing for the state. bill: so why is she talking like this? chris stirewalt, fox news digital politics editor. how are you, sir? good day to you. what message is she trying to convey? what is the, what is the effect that she is trying to get out of comments like that chris? >> i don't know what she is trying to convey. what she is conveying she is losing and she will lose. that is the message there is, she is jammed up. she is desperate. and she is excusing her poor performance by blaming voters, by the way. here is a pro candidates. not a good idea to blame the people. so imagine this. you say to someone, that, the

reason people oppose the president is racism. and the reason they're against her is sexism. then you say, but by the way, opponent of president obama, can i have your support? that is not very flattering and it is probably not something that, she wasn't survive likely anyway. this probably seals her off. bill: unbelievable. so landrieu, a woman. kay hague ban a woman in north carolina. michelle nunn, female candidate in georgia giving perdue a run for his money. a african-american president who won twice now in national elections in 2008 and 2012. you look at comments and circle back. do you talk like this when you're close in a battle? or do you only talk like this when you believe you're behind? >> i think that is pure screw-up and relates to her inability to accept her deficiencies as candidate and wanting to blame voters. i think you hit on it when you talk about north carolina and georgia.

those races are very competitive. those are essentially ties, in both of those races democrats relied on very divisive messaging to try to motivate black voters because that is what they're counting on to take both kay hagan and michelle nunn over the finish line to win essentially toss-ups in those two races. how do you, they can't do it without moderate voters. they can't do it without voters who oppose the president. and if the argument is, that the reason you oppose the president is racism, that is not a person who is going to want to go vote for you. today we'll have a to hear from both nunn and hagan whether they agree with landrieu about the prevalence of racism and sexism in the south as driving this animus against the president. bill: maybe they agree. >> right. bill: it adds more fuel to the conversation here s that the strategy, 15 seconds or less? >> i don't think this represents any strategy. i think this represents desperate people making desperate mistakes. bill: chris, thanks.

chris stirewalt. see you in new york. >> you bet. bill: don't be late. here's martha. martha: all of this in the mix making it very exciting as we look ahead to election night here. we will be led by bret baier and megyn kelly anchoring the coverage here for us at fox news. bill will be at the board showing us how the numbers come in, how it all balances out in the balance of power. exit polls what people are saying as they come out of the vogting booth and how that affects the outcome of these races, what really on their minds on election day. chris wallace, brit hume, charles krauthamer, george will, karl rove, dana perino. not too shabby that lineup. we'll start at 6:00 p.m. eastern. we'll see you on sunday evening with an election special here at 8:00 p.m. on fox news. get you back to this story for an update. the maine nurse is staying steadfast in her defiance of the ebola risk quarantine. she went on a bike ride with her

boyfriend yesterday which caused all the press to chase after her to find out what she is. main governor, paul lepage will use full extent much his authority to keep people safe. laura engle is live. what is the going on since the big bike ride we saw yesterday? >> reporter: kaci hickox is sticking to her buns and saying she is perfectly healthy and not a danger to the public as she continues to monitor herself for any signs and symptoms of ebola. you're right everybody is talking about that bike ride and it took place yesterday. her mile-long bike ride with her boyfriend in fort kent, maine, is defiant act nicely and repeatedly to remain quarantined in her home until the recommended 21-day incubation period is over, still 11 days away. lawyers with the governor's office in maine say they were very close to an agreement to outline safety guidelines for hickox and the community but, those negotiations broke down

when they did. hickox headed out for spin on her bike. her boyfriend ted wilbur told reporters last night they did nothing wrong. >> we went for a bike ride today. and there is this wonderful heritage trail out here and it goes all the way down to st. francis, which is like 16 miles that way. if anyone in the community might have noticed, we went bicycling that way. we did not go into town. we did not go into the grocery store. we are not trying to get anyone sick. we are, we don't believe that we can get anyone sick and, we, we are not trying to put anyone at risk. >> reporter: earlier this morning the local police chief was seen going around hickox's home but no one appeared to be home. police say they were not attempting to arrest anyone. there are currently 12 states throughout the nation which have people either in quarantine or

are being monitored for ebola. some states like maine, new york, and new jersey are going beyond cdc guidelines requiring automatic quarantines for people that come in contact with ebola patients. quick mention, dr. craig spencer remains in serious but stable condition at bellevue. bill: depends on what happens with the nurse up in maine and dr. siegel joins us next hour with that. secretary of defense chuck hagel dropped a bomb on the white house questioning the commander-in-chief's strategy. what we're learning on that this morning. martha: stunning development. up. plus where are we in the battle for congress receipt now? larry sabato has the crystal ball out this morning. he is fortune teller for halloween. he will talk about whether or not there will be republican victory as many prognosticators have suggested. and then there is this. bill: that is not a halloween show. martha: no. bill: that is not a fireworks

show. that was planned either. what set this thing off in a moment as we continue on halloween.

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that contributes to ra symptoms. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened, as have blood, liver, and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure. before treatment, get tested for tb. tell your doctor if you've been to areas where certain fungal infections are common, and if you've had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. don't start humira if you have an infection. talk to your doctor and visit humira.com this is humira at work bill: four days now. there are 10 races that are still too close to call in the battle for the u.s. senate and this is where you need to focus. this is where the action is. with his crystal ball, larry sabato, director center for politics, university of virginia. how are you, sir, good morning to you. >> doing great, bill.

bill: i saw what you wrote two days ago, bet on a gop senate majority. we'll try to prove that right now. you correct me as we go, okay? what-if scenario, we'll give to the republicans west virginia, south dakota, montana, based on all the polling right. you don't quibble with that, sir. >> yes. bill: 52-48. come up to new hampshire, right now because jeanne shaheen and scott brown are within 2 1/2, three points. would this be the biggest upset of the night if brown wins there? . >> it woe be up with of two or three of the biggest upsets. it would suggest there is a little surge for the republicans at the end, maybe a break with undecided voters if that happens. bill: okay. that is possible, right? you're not taking that off the table? you see that as a possibility? >> no, it is very possible. that is right now leaning shaheen, no more than leaning. bill: brown keeps inching closer and closer together. we saw the debate. north carolina, kay hagan and

thom tillis, they're neck-and-neck, less than a point. do you see hagan pulling out? if so, how does she win if there is democratic firewall in north carolina? >> it is a virtual tie, it really is. tiny edge to hagan because democrats organized north carolina better than they have in some other states and african-american voters seem to be energized there and in georgia. but look that is another one if there is a little last minute surge, tillis could upset hagan. bill: come down to georgia, you mentioned this. looking early voting right now. democrats are pretty pleased what they're seeing. michelle nun has given david perdue a battle. i don't know if they get 50%. if so we'll see them in two months. how do you see this race now? >> democrats and michelle nunn have to win it on november 4th. unlikely to win a january runoff. it is very close, surprisingly close. republicans say it should have never been close. they're quite unhappy about that

one but, that's, i would give perdue the slightest edge there but it is not much of an edge. bill: i see. history tells you a runoff in georgia favors republican. that what history told us anyway. >> that's what history has said, yes. bill: iowa, joni ernst wants to turn that from blue to red. look at campaign she is running professor. she is up a point if you put all averages together. look at early voting in iowa, republicans seem generally pleased with what they are seeing thus far. do you agree with that? >> i do. we leaned it to ernst several weeks ago. but again, it is a slight lead. you were correct in saying that there are nine or 10 super close senate races. this is going to be a nail-biter through tuesday. bill: also in colorado, another blue state that republicans want to turn red. cory gardner seems to be running a pretty good campaign. a lost early voting too, see as lot of republican interest in this battle as well. gardner has the edge by two, three points, with all averages

put together. are you willing to say that colorado will go republican at this point? or are you still cautious there? >> well, we colored it red. it doesn't mean much but we have colored it red. we think gardner will win. that the only way udall can do it is if democratic ground game and all-male -- mail balloting and larger than expected hispanic vote. he needs all the things together to be able to hold off-guarder in. bill: i have 30 seconds left. can you do alaska, dan have sullivan, mark begich. >> that one we'll not no for days i guaranty you. will take days to count the village and bush vote. don't even bother on election night. bill: polls close 1:00 a.m. wednesday morning. larry sabato, final predictions come out monday. we'll we'll check back in then. enjoy halloween. >> you bet. bill: larry sabato down in

charlottesville, virginia. we'll see whether he is right or not. bet on the gop majority. we'll see whether or not on monday. martha: these things are getting tighter and tighter, watching them come out day by day. a key senate race republicans can not afford to lose they say. why a key democratic state down south could be turning red. we'll look at that one as well. bill: fiery plane crash leaving four people dead. a number of questions still unanswered today. listen. >> as i was coming out of the post office i heard a loud crash. it didn't sound like a real crash like somebody dropped, pots and pans. it was a big loud, very loud muffled crash.

bill: so a fire, at a fireworks warehouse lighting up the night sky. look at this thing go. watch it. i mean, that's better than the planned show. isn't it now? four workers were injured. two more said to be missing after a fire broke out in a warehouse in england. there were reports of an arrest as well. it took hours for firefighters to get the flaps under control because of the sheer amount of explosives inside. it goes on and on. no word how it started, from england. >> recovery effort is getting underway after a deadly plane crash. a small aircraft plowed straight into a flight training facility killing four people and creating a fire that was so hot officials will have to remove portions of that building just to get inside. >> there was heavy smoke on the horizon as you approached the airport for miles. very challenging fire as you might imagine.

it appears the aircraft struck the top of the building, catching the building on fire and would have caused some fire to be inside of the building. martha: alicia acuna live with the latest here. so what will they be doing on the scene there today, alicia? >> reporter: well, martha, authorities say the real work today will be to recover those victims and then of course the investigation into what caused this crash. but as you just heard that fire burned very hot and the building the plane crashed into is still considered unstable. so getting to the bodies is a very dangerous job. heavy equipment is expected to arrive today to remove portions of that building a-team from the national transportation safety board which investigates crashes like this has begun to arrive and according to the ntsb they will be looking into reports that the pilot was having a left engine problem on the beechcraft king air 200 he was three flying. in addition to those killedfy people went to the hospital. four were treated and released. one is in serious condition,

martha. martha: what can you tell is about the pilot and victims here and what do they think happened? >> reporter: three of the four victims are from the wichita area. one is from another country. and the pilot was killed just only person who was on board the plane. the three vick who were found inside of the building were inside of a flight simulator and then they also found one victim on top of the building. the pilot has been identified as 53-year-old mark goldstein. according to local report in the wichita eagle is retired air traffic controller and working as an independent contract pilot. one friend says this about the incident. >> it was an accident 100%. like i said, the thing that would hurt mark the most is knowing that somebody else got hurt in this accident. that would hurt mark terrifically. >> reporter: and he adds that goldstein would want to be remembered as a pilot. martha? martha: tragedy.

alicia, thank you very much. >> some breaking news on the american nurse in maine, kaci hickox. the state now has finally been granted this temporary court order they have been pursuing for two days now. hickox has not been arrested but the judge is ordering her to submit to direct, active monitoring and coordinate her travel with public health authorities. not to be present in any public places like shopping center or movie theater. looking at house in northern maine. not to be present at work places. to maintain a three foot distance from others in public activities or walking, jogging, riding a bike as she did yesterday. not leave city the fort consent without consultation with public authorities. this is on behalf of a judge. the state went to court two days ago. there is a big legal fight. looks like they have won the first battle here in trying to get a little more control over her movements.

she lives very far north in the state of maine. martha: not running into too many people in the regular course of a today. >> she is about a mile from the canadian border. really far up there. the state was won now. we'll see what her attorneys do. she said she would fight it. martha: we will see. all right. here is what is next for you this morning. the president says he really doesn't get enough credit for the economy. he believes that is the best story of his presidency and that it needs to be told better but do people agree and how do they feel about the economy? we'll talk about that. >> did you see this last month, martha? hello, cleveland. >> very sense testify subject around here. bill: yes, indeed it is. a big homecoming for that man, king james. king james he said. back where many people say he belongs. with his hometown team. ♪ big day? ah, the usual. moved some new cars.

hauled a bunch of steel. kept the supermarket shelves stocked. made sure everyone got their latest gadgets. what's up for the next shift? ah, nothing much. just keeping the lights on. (laugh) nice. doing the big things that move an economy. see you tomorrow, mac. see you tomorrow, sam. just another day at norfolk southern.

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bill: if republicans want to achieve their goal of recapturing congress the senate specifically, one state they can not afford to lose is arkansas but democratic senator mark pryor is considered vulnerable, his challenger, republican tom cotton now leading in most polls. john roberts traveled from charlotte to little rock, arkansas. john, good morning to you. how is this race shaping up as you see it? >> reporter: that's not an easy trip to make, either, bill. the race so far is looking very good for republican tom cotton. the latest "real clear politics" average has him up seven points now. the democratic incumbent, senator mark pryor making a last push to hang on to his seat, meeting with republicans in fort smith arkansas supporting him. pryor going farther than he ever has distancing himself with president obama, telling me yesterday the biggest drag on his re-election bid is the president. >> well, you know, he has been a drag. i'm just going to be honest about that. people here know that i have had

my fair share of disagreements with him and you can look at, you know, gun control issues. you can look at keystone pipeline. you know, never supported one of his budgets. >> reporter: tom cotton meanwhile showing confidence of a candidate who has victory within his grasp. harvard graduate and iraq war veteran thanking phone bank workers in jonesboro, arkansas on other side of the state. pryor camp despite the lead that pryor will be ultimately prevailed. while not letting his guard down, he doesn't seem to worried about that prospect. >> we're not concerned. voters make an assessment of senator pryor's record and my plan to move arkansas again. senator pryor's record is not good for arkansas and it is lockstep support for president obama's agenda which is not good for arkansas. >> reporter: if elected he will be youngest member of the senate at 36 years old.

bill: what about charges by pryor that cotton is too conservative for arkansas? >> reporter: that is one of the main points of attack leveling at tom cotton. pointing out he is only member of the arkansas delegation that voted against the farm bill which is very, very important piece of legislation for this state. i asked cotton about that last night. he told me that despite those charges he said he is willing to work with anyone, across the aisle, republican or democrat to do what is best for arkansas, bill. bill: see you on election day. john roberts, little rock, arkansas. martha: a brand new poll shows the economy is the most important issue for voters. look at this. according to the ap, 91% of likely voters say that it is an extremely or very important issue to them personally, which it usually is but we had some other big issues talked so much about t this number is very, vey strong and slightly surprising in its dominance. juan williams joins me now, fox news political analyst.

mary catherine ham, editor-at-large of hotair.com and fox news contributor. welcome to you both. happy halloween all around. juan, i want to start with you, something you said in your talking points really caught my eye. you said this is seinfeld election that is about nothing. really? >> yeah, that if you talk to people who are designing commercials, looking at what is working in terms of moving the needle, martha, there really hasn't been much. you're talking about the economy. clearly people are saying by far that is the most important issue to them. if there is anything that brings us together it is concern about the economy. now of course you've got to distinguish between, for example, folks on wall street who are worried about things like trade deals, trying to reduce regulation on wall street, trade, those kinds of issues and people who are at their kitchen table who feel anxiety over the jobs picture, to some extent although unemployment numbers are down but have been responding, i think, this is the last hope for democrats, to what they call their fair chance message about raising the minimum wage, equal

pay for women, help with student loans. and the even president obama talking about, you know, growth in the economy with a third quarter numbers that were released today, or yesterday, coming in pretty strong, trying to say things are not exactly bubbling but that they're on the right path. martha: i don't know, juan. i think people are, you know, when you look at the numbers, 83% of the people in this country are either very or extremely concerned about the future of the country? you're feeling like this election is about nothing? i mean you talk about isis. you talk about people worrying about attacks that happened in subways and street corners. i find it really shocking that you're saying that you know some of these issues about trade on wall street, i mean, these are very, very low under the bar it would appear to me. >> i don't think there is, i'm not saying that there is not a dominant issue as we look at this cycle. would you think, going back if we were a year out, martha, oh, it will be the affordable care act or it is going to be the unemployment numbers.

it is more the, it more overall anxiety. martha: i would say that 83% of the country thinks we're headed in the wrong direction. mary catherine, what do you think? >> i think you have this baseline concern about the economy and if it is a "seinfeld" election it is because people look at recovery go it is not real and it is not spectacular. so that is part of the problem. when you have that baseline you add all other issues on top of it, ebola stuff, isis and how that is handled within the white house, increasingly looking like with great incompetence so people get worried. that is where that is coming from. i think some of the stuff which is frankly about nothing, attacks about birth control in colorado, not working because cory gardner neutralized himself as good candidate, didn't make mistakes and people are concerned about other things frankly. >> i think because people are concerned about very big things undermining the confidence that they have in the future of the country. i think that is no small impact on this election.

let's listen to what the president said about the economy because he really wants this to be his legacy and numbers are not bearing it out at least at this point. >> over last four 1/2 years american businesses have created more than 10 million new jobses. [applause] this morning, this morning we learned our economy grew at a strong clip over the summer, even stronger than we had expected. in fact over the past six months our economy has grown at the fastest pace in more than 10 years. martha: all right. take a look at numbers. look at this poll which shows how people think the president's doing on the economy. 56% disapprove of how he is doing. so as much as he might like a good story here to be his legacy, juan, people aren't absorbing that. they're not expressing that in these polls at all. >> no, but it what the president said is exactly right. you know what, if you look at wages, just go to the kitchen table, and what you're seeing from the voters is, our wages aren't going up and people know that it is hard to get a job,

even though unemployment is down. so you're seeing that kind of general, disapproval, concern and wanting to see that the government does more and not satisfied. let me tell you, martha, anti-incumbent sir, general anxiety, if you're looking somehow put a stamp on this election, i think you go in that direction. people don't think washington doesn't work. they want to throw out all the bums, from old people, republicans an democrats. martha: we have to got. >> unfortunately when people don't think washington work, they look at party goes arguing for washington all the time and maybe i should something else. martha: thank you very much. catherine ham and juan williams. >> happen halloween. bill: eric frein has had the charges read to him. let's listen. >> possession of an instrument of crime and reckless endangerment. i would like to remind everyone that while eric frein is now in custody the investigation is still ongoing. the pennsylvania state police, the fbi, and the atf will

continue the investigation so we can build the best case in order to achieve justice on behalf of corporal brian dixon, trooper alex douglas and the pennsylvania state police family we have now started to find the answers that the community desired in this case. the families in this matter of corporal brian dixon and trooper alex douglas and the pennsylvania state police have suffered an unimaginable loss of unspeakable proportions. they will never be the same but, today, we find some comfort as a community, that we are taking these next steps towards justice. to my left a man who needs no

introduction. lieutenant colonel george bivens to my right, first assistant district attorney, bruce desar off. other members of the pennsylvania state police and my staff. we'll take questions now and also lieutenant colonel bivens will be available for any questions. >> can i ask, what was the, what was the real break in this case? was there a sighting? was there a clue? what ultimately led you to him? >> i will let lieutenant colonel bivens address that. >> this was not a result of a type or a sighting. this was the result of the ongoing pressure put on frein by law enforcement. and so we had continued the grid searches, the woodland searches, the house to house, cabin to cabin searches. as a result of that, one of the teams in this case, u.s. marshals, located him as part of a routine sweep through the

woods that they were conducting. >> why did he do it? any ideas? >> we're not prepared to discuss motive today. that would be part of the ongoing investigation. >> has he said anything yet? >> [inaudible]. >> he has spoken since his arrest but again that is part of the ongoing investigation and we won't be commenting specifically on any statements that he has made. >> when he was arrested did the troopers or marshals tell him anything? was there any message said to him once he was arrested, anything at all? >> no, there was no message. he was transported and then interviewed by members of the pennsylvania state police. >> what is today like for you, even though he has been arrested? that one of your own is no longer with you emotionally what does it feel like? >> it is difficult for everyone in the state police and particularly for the dixon family. but i think that there's also a sense of relief that this has ended. relief that there won't be anyone else injured in the

course of this manhunt. that was always a big concern. this individual has shown himself to be very dangerous, both with rifles that he carried, the handguns and explosives that he had built. so there was always a lot of concern for the safety of law enforcement but very proud of the work that the men and women of the state police and also all of our fellow law enforcement agencies did in apprehending frein. >> what did you find -- [inaudible]. >> tell us what you found -- >> the searches are ongoing as we speak. >> how long was he at the airport? >> has he said anything after being captured? have you spoken to the frein family? >> we've been in contact with the family but i'm not prepared to discuss any, anything that may have been said there. >> any idea why he didn't have arms on him at the time of his arrest? >> i'm sorry i couldn't -- >> pressure he was under, any idea why he didn't have arms physically on his person? >> no. i wouldn't want to speculate.

>> [inaudible] >> we've gained some insight. i think without going into a lot of specific detail i would characterize it much as we said all along. he was able to get into cabins, into other, other unoccupied structures, find food, in other cases, he had things hidden but he was able to get shelter and get in and out of the weather much as we suspected was occurring. >> specifically what he said, can you tell us if he expressed any kind of remorse? >> no, we're not not going to characterize or comment on anything he said. >> [inaudible] walk us through exactly how that happened. >> my understanding he was outside of the hangar and did not go back into the hangar at all. a team was sweeping through the area. surprised him as he was outside of the hangar. gave him command to surrender and complied with those command and was taken into custody. >> do you think he was assisted

by anyone last 48 days. >> we have no reason to believe he was assisted by anyone. >> there looks like it was struggle. >> there was no struggle with law enforcement. he talked us about things that occurred while he made his way through the woods over that 40 plus day period. that was an injury that occurred to him at some point in his flight. >> any other sightings of him throughout the last 4days -- [inaudible] >> we're still working through all of that. that is all part of the ongoing investigation to determine, where exactly he had been and, we'll determine at some point here which of those sightings were in fact legitimate but it is going to take us some time. >> any idea -- >> [inaudible] >> again that is all part of the ongoing investigation. >> any idea how long he was staying in that hangar and what other locations he had been in? >> that will be part of this investigation. there is a lot of evidence we're in the process of collecting right now and it will take us some time to analyze all of that, compare it to statements

he has given us, and allow to us really kind of map out his entire time out in the woods or in those cabins. >> is he being cooperative? >> more explosives in the woods. >> i'm sorry. >> did he indicate there are more explosives in the woods that he left behind? >> he has not. >> any idea how long he has been or was planning to ambush the troopers? >> still farther of the investigation. >> still part of the investigation. we said previously he planned it for years based on other interviews we had done and information we had found. we know it was extended period of time. as far as we're finding that belief, that is all part of the ongoing investigation. >> [inaudible]. >> i'm sorry? >> any indication he had plans to attack law enforcement? >> that will be all part of the investigation. we've seize ad significant amount of evidence already and there are ongoing searches so we may have a better idea of that in the coming days. >> why he did it? do you have a good idea why he

did it? you still don't know why he did this? >> i have characterized his actions in the past as pure evil and i would stand by that. >> any idea of the cost? >> [inaudible] >> i'm sorry? >> [inaudible] >> we remain confident that he was in this area. again everything pointed that he was here and that's why we focused the vast majority of our efforts in this area. >> how about a cost of the search? >> -- investigation. >> just one minute. as far as a cost, we're calculating those. in the past i've said were in the ballpark of $10 million. i think that is probably a fairly reasonable estimate. in the not-too-distant future i expect we'll have specific costs available for you but i think that gives you a rough idea. >> where in relation to where -- >> that is all part of the search that is ongoing right now. there were, i can tell you that we know there are weapons in t

hangar and, and those will be all those will be collected and processed as part of the ongoing search warrant down there. >> murder weapon, was that there? >> we'll have to determine that. >> is he cooperating, talking to you? >> he has, he has spoken with law enforcement but i'm not going to go any further than that at this point. >> does the hangar seem to be the most significant place he stayed for a long period of time. >> that will all be a part of this ongoing investigation. really not prepared to say that's the case. we know he moved around. hopefully we'll be able to determine how long he stayed in what locations as this unfolds. >> [inaudible] >> do you know? >> that will be up to the warden of the pike county correctional facility. >> -- length much search, what is the general morale or feeling

of your men after -- [inaudible] >> the morale remained high. i will tell you that, we brought in numerous waves of people from across the state, troopers, that were anxious to come here and, there was never a shortage of volunteers offering to come up. and while they were here, they gave us a very good effort. i'm very proud of the work that they have done. again i commend the other agencies as well but i will tell you that i'm proud of the way our people stepped up and never lost faith and got this done. >> mission accomplished in northeastern pennsylvania, job well-done. at one point they had more than a thousand officers looking for eric frein now in custody. you hear a smattering of applause in the background. eric frein before a judge earlier today. he is back in court next wednesday, november 12th. for the people of pennsylvania this is huge relief. martha. martha: coming up the secretary

of defense, chuck hagel, reportedly blasting the white house's strategy in syria. how could that kind of divide be tolerated? we'll talk about that when we come back right here moments moments away. means keeping seven billion ctransactions flowing.g, and when weather hits, it's data mayhem. but airlines running hp end-to-end solutions are always calm during a storm.

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bill: defense secretary chuck hagel with some pretty blunt words for the white house a the strategy on syria. in a memo to national security advisor susan rice hagel reportedly saying while the airstrikes slowed advance of isis, the u.s. quote, needs sharper idea what to do about the assad regime. retired navy captain chuck nash, fox news military analyst. good morning, captain. expressing concern about overall strategy, expressing concern about assad. consider what do you make about this coming out?

>> i think secretary hagel may keep lid on politically explosive revelation, rumored in washington one of the joint chiefs is so disgusted about what is going on he is think about resigning. that may or may not be true. once upon a time if you have choice of looking disloyal, or looking stupid, look stupid. looking what is going on in syria and degradation of u.s. prestige around the world, i think the people in uniform have about had enough of following that advice and they reached the max limit of looking stupid and i think one of them is about to go public. bill: wow. which one? >> i don't know. i really don't know, bill, but they all have to be looking at this shaking their hoses. and at many -- heads. at pom point secretary hagel is telling white house, you have to step up and pay more attention to what we're telling you. bill: we have 30 seconds and computer will cut us off. are they defending their own

turf? are they trying to get president obama's attention? what is moving behind the scenes do you imagine. >> this is last desperation wake-up call for the white house that you are messing up our national strategy, you are ruining our prestige in the world and we've got to make some serious changes. i think this was the shot across the bow to the white house, if you don't do something quickly and pay attention to us somebody will go public and it will be a political disaster. bill: i remember the story from 48 hours ago, suggesting hagel doesn't say a word in these cabinet meetings and, then this memo comes out 24 hours later. captain, thank you. chuck nash out of washington. that was quick. appreciate that. got breaking news today as i'm sure you understand. thank you. we'll talk again. >> you bet. bill: here's martha. martha: airstrikes pounding new targets in syria but information suggests that the bomb something actually not doing enough to stop the isis recruiting machine. details on that straight ahead. tomorrow we're booked solid.

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martha: new reports today raising concerns about the effectiveness of our airstrikes against isis as foreign fighters, it turns out, continue their steady stream into syria regardless of those strikes. welcome, everybody, brand new hour of "america's newsroom," i'm martha maccallum. bill: and i'm bill hemmer. the coalition conducting about 800 attacks since the air campaign started in august, but a source telling the washington post the steady surge of foreign fighters entering syria still remains constant, and the numbers still rise. chief intelligence correspondent catherine herridge life on this, now tracking it down, good morning. how many fighters are we talking about here? >> reporter: well, bill, thank you and good morning. fox news has independently confirmed that the rate of foreign fighters entering syria and iraq, as many as a thousand a month, has not decreased since

the airstrikes began. if the trend continues, the number of foreign fighters may exceed 16,000 by the end of this calendar year, surpassing recent conflicts including afghanistan that were magnets for jihadist. one government official cautioned there is a lag time 2007 the strikes and the data of -- between the strikes and the day to of about two weeks. yesterday donald ray morgan became the latest example of the impact of the foreign fighter threat here in the u.s. the north carolina man pled guilty to terrorism charges which included a plan to travel from lebanon to syria to join the fight. morgan had pledged allegiance to the isis leader and was a follower of the group online. bill: why is the air campaign not having more of an impact? what is the thinking there? >> reporter: critics charge that the tempo of this operation is a fraction of other campaigns

such as the kosovo campaign which averaged more than 100 strikes daily. according to one former senior military official, it should be hundreds to degrade and destroy isis, the administration's stated goal. at the defense briefing yesterday, secretary hagel described limited progress. >> they've made some gains in both northern and central iraq. their initial progress is encouraging, but these are just first steps, first steps in what we have said will be a long and difficult multiyear effort. >> reporter: the new call on social media from isis to its followers in the former soviet republic to carry out attacks at home, there now seem to be two clear battlefields, the one in iraq and syria, and one in the countries where these jihadists are traveling. bill: catherine, thank you, watching that today from washington. martha: another big story here this morning, the rise of isis

helping to ease tensions between the u.s. and iran, and the obama administration planning to take advantage of the uneasy alliance by brokering a nuclear deal. an audio obtained by the washington free beacon, deputy national security adviser ben rhodes is heard several months back comparing this effort to bridge the gap with iran in its importance to obamacare to this administration. watch this. >> bottom line is this is the best opportunity we've had to resolve the iranian issue diplomatically since president obama came to office and probably since the beginning of the iraq war. so no small opportunity, this is a big deal. this is probably biggest thing that president obama will do in his second term on foreign policy. this is health care for us. just to put it in context. martha: he says, basically, detente with iran is health care for us, it is that big of a motivation and a plan for the

second term. very interesting sound that comes from a while back, early in the year, from ben rhodes, national security adviser. steve hayes joins me now, a fox news contributor. what's your reaction to this sound? >> it definitely gives you a sense of just how important the administration sees a deal with iran. i mean, remember what the administration did to pass health care. they twisted arms, they gave favors. the president wasn't going to take anything less than full, comprehensive health care reform. i think that's the way they've approached a deal with iran really since the beginning of the first term. there's nothing that would get in the way of a deal with iran including military conflict. they wanted a deal. martha: let's listen to one more piece of sound here, and it goes to your point about what they would be willing to do to get that deal because, obviously, the president feels it's very important to his legacy, it's something that he would like to see happen. let's listen to this second piece of sound from ben rhodes. >> we're already kind of picking through how do we structure a deal so we don't have to require

legislative action. and there are ways to do that. martha: there are ways to do that, he says. your thoughts, steve? >> it's an extraordinary comment in part because we had a report in "the new york times" just last week that the white house denied suggesting exactly that, the white house was seeking ways to work around congress to implement some kind of a deal with iran, and the white house denied it. i think it goes to show you exactly how determined this white house is to do some kind of deal with iran, and to put it into broader context, remember as a candidate and as a senator before he was elected president, barack obama made clear that he thought the problem in u.s./iranian relationships was the bush administration. now we see him carrying out policies that open a door to some kind of a detente, rapprochement with iran, and i think we're going to rue the day ththat he's done that. martha: yeah. there was a lengthy piece, front page of "the wall street journal" the other day, u.s./iran relations move to day about the, and in it -- detente,

and the timing is once again curious. think about when the president forged ahead with health care, and a lot of people asked why would you do this at this point. the same question arises with rapp, because you're ticking off our allies in saudi arabia and the uae just at the same moment you're trying to get them onboard to help extinguish isis. >> right, exactly. and if you look at it from the administration's perspective, they see at least in this moment a time when u.s. interests and iranian interests align particularly on this question of isis. but the number of people that this isolates, the number of people that this upsets that are our erstwhile allies and also the prospect of a nuclear iran, i think to understand the administration's position on a nuclear iran, you have to start with the understanding that the goal all along, the primary objective all along has been to avoid military conflict at all costs. and a secondary objective would have been to keep iran from getting a nuclear weapon. if you look at it in that context, sort of through that prism, it becomes clear that the

administration's willing to do anything and everything to avoid that military conflict. we know this, certainly the iranians know this. martha: and then you've got an administration official, you know, calling names you can't say on television to the israeli prime minister, benjamin netanyahu, saying he wasn't willing or didn't have guts to go after iran and this nuclear weapons program, and you add to that bigger question about who our allies with. we're in a bad situation with turkey, a bad situation with israel, and we seem to be softening our stance according to the reporting in that piece i just mentioned with hamas and hezbollah. >> yeah, there's no doubt we're softening our stance in particular with iran. but i think the most important aspect of that piece, i mean, everybody's been focused on the name calling, and while that's not unimportant, i think the most important aspect of that piece is a second administration official who told jeffrey goldberg from the atlantic monthly, in effect, that the u.s. had pressured israel to keep from having a preemptive strike on iran's nuclear

facilities, and this was something the administration official was boasting about. i think those comments in that jeffrey goldberg article, a top u.s. official boasting about having stopped an attack on iran's nuclear facilities are not going to look good when iran has a nuke. martha: yeah. and they even quoted several officials, plural -- >> right. martha: -- in that piece from the administration who spoke out on this on the record to jeffrey goldberg. steve, thanks very much. bill: at the pump gas prices plunging to $3 a gallon nationwide. according to the aaa, the national average of price has fallen 33 cents in a month, hitting an even $3. what's behind the drop? how low will it go? joining us now from fox business network, here's stuart varney. stuart, how are you? good morning to you. >> bill, i've got a big smile on my face. bill: tell me more. >> okay. the price of crude oil down 25% very, very quickly, big supply

from texas and north dakota, limited demand, down goes the price. in fact, we just broke below $80 a barrel for oil, 79 right now. that results in a rapidly-falling gas price. as you reported, bill, down about one cent per day for the past month. you can find some stations in some statements which are down to $2.50, $2.60 a gallon, i'm paying $2.75 in new jersey. it's flat out good news for everyone. bill: good news for the economy, right? bad news for the other side. >> it puts about $700 cash into the pockets of the average family in america with two cars. that's not bad. bill: what about russia and iran and venezuela? >> very bad news for them. they're our rivals, our enemyings, if you like -- inmies, if you like, and they need much higher oil prices. they're deeply, deeply in the red. and actually this is also good news for wall street which is

rallying to a record high, and low gas prices are part of the reason. bill: if you get the economy going again, does gas move with it to the higher side because the economy's picking up? >> i think it depends on different factors. so long as you've got this big supply of crude oil and a strong dollar, you've got a low price for oil and a low price for gas. it may stabilize around $2.95 a gallon, somewhere around there, but it's not likely to bounce back up to $3.20, $3.30, $3.50 anytime soon. bill: thank you, sir. see you at 11 a.m. if you're not sure where to find the man, log on to foxbusiness.com/channelfinder. thank you, stuart. >> sure thing, bill. martha: well, president obama could make his mark on history next week but not, perhaps, in a good way. could the democrats face a second devastating midterm election? we don't know at this point. it is looking very tight. that is what some say will happen. what would be the impact on his

legacy? we're going to talk about that. bill: also a horrifying sight at a halloween parade, a freight train plowing into an suv only minutes before the start. martha: and pennsylvania police revealing the details of how they finally caught their man. cop culler eric frein perp walked this morning, as you see here. will authorities and will the courts get the death penalty? all that coming up. >> the family of trooper dixon, to the family of trooper douglas and to trooper douglas, let me assure you from everybody here, justice will be served. [ male announcer ] approaching medicare eligibility?

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bill: some people gathering for a halloween parade in a st. louis suburb, instead witnessed a deadly crash between a train and an suv. police say three siblings inside the car were killed ranging in age from 10 to 18 years old. the driver and another passenger critically injured. the crash happened about a block away from the parade route just ten minutes before that parade was set to begin. >> we're not sure exactly, we're still collecting information from our witnesses. the gates were, as far as we know, functioning properly, so we're not completely sure of how the accident occurred yet. bill: no word yet this morning on the condition of those injured inside that car. wow, what a tragedy.

>> very dangerous, both with the rifles that he carried, the handguns and the explosives that he had built. and so there was always a lot of concern for the safety of law enforcement, but i'm are proud of the work that the men and women of the state police and also all of our fellow law enforcement agencies did in apprehending frein. martha: new reaction from pennsylvania authorities on the capture of the fugitive, eric frein, after a nearly seven week manhunt. there he is, as he came out, he was perp walked earlier this morning leaving court. prosecutors will seek the death penalty in this case against eric frein. you can just imagine the emotion that all of them are feeling as they finally brought him in. he killed a state trooper, one of their own, officer dixon, in an ambush that happened on police barracks. rod wheeler is a former d.c. homicide detective and a fox news contributor. rod, good morning, good to have you with us today. >> good morning, martha. martha: what goes through your

mind when you look at this guy finally in custody and the emotion, the loss for the dixon family and what these troopers had to have been feeling as they waited for this moment? >> well, i can tell you, martha, that perseverance and determination clearly paid off, and that was the perseverance and determination of these state police there in pennsylvania. they did a tremendous job. now, you know, it's been about 48 days, martha, that this guy was on the loose after he shot the police officer. he tried to evade the police for a number of days. he's a survivalist, and they were using different kinds of techniques and were able to track this guy down to an airport hangar that wasn't in use at the time. and at the time, which is really interesting, at the time they actually tracked him down, this guy had access to ak-47s, high powered weapons and pipe bombs that he was waiting to use, but the police made it so that he could not get access to those things, and they took him into custody without incident. martha: how do you think he managed to stay undercover for

seven weeks, rod? >> well, you know, this guy had been practicing, he had been rehearsing, and he had been preparing for about a year according to the state police there in pennsylvania as far as surviving out in the woulderness. that area -- wilderness. that area is a very mountainous area, so there's a lot of areas out there that somebody can survive. he had food, he was making campfires, water, all kinds of things and tools that he could use to survive there in the mountain areas, and that's why he was able to survive so long. martha: yeah. we're looking at the scene last night, and they say that he was outside, and they were doing a grid search. basically, the routine sort of looking around that they had been doing ever since then when they happened to stumble on him, right? >> well, they knew this guy was somewhere within a certain parameter of that lawyer up there in the mountains, so they set up a dragnet. not only the state police, but the u.s. marshals s.w.a.t. unit and the fbi. they set up a dragnet, so their

plan was to close in on this guy from all four sides, and it actually paid off. that's exactly how they were able to track him down to where he was. you know, they actually told people that live in that community up there not to come outside for a period of time because they knew that they were gaining ground on mr. frein, and they knew it was just going to be a matter of time and a matter of days. and i think this case clearly goes to show, martha, that a criminal can run, but they can't hide. martha: yeah. and they are seeking the death penalty, as we said, in this case for the death of officer dixon and, clearly, these people have been living on pins and needles. they canceled a lot of things, they thought they were not going to be able to trick or treat, so the timing is sweet in many ways that this is finally, finally over. >> and especially for the children there, martha. they had decided to go ahead and reinstate the halloween parties for tonight. this bad guy is now behind bars where he belongs and, hopefully, he'll stay there a long time.

martha: fantastic work and so much determination on the part of officer dixon's colleagues and also many state troopers from the surrounding areas who came in to help, and we commend them all. rod, thank you very much. >> thank you, martha. bill: now that these controversial statements from a longtime fixture in the u.s. senate. democratic mary landrieu saying she and president obama have had a tough time in the south because of gender and because of race. we'll play what she has said lately, and our panel will have it out. martha: and the nurse who has become famous for defying the ebola quarantine is now under strict guidelines from the state of maine. she is convinced she will not make anybody sick, but is that true? dr. marc siegel's going to join us with his answers on that next. >> it's just not affecting, you know, the aid workers and what not. it's affecting their partners, right? i'm not able to go to school, and if we had kids, they probably wouldn't be able to go to school as well.

so more me, it's disrupting things.

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martha: well a thrill seeker getting a bit more excitement than he garre -- bargained for in st. louis, this base jumper left dangling for hours. his parachute got caught on a power line, firefighters had to use ropes to get him down safely. wonder if he's going to try that again anytime soon. there he goes. ♪ ♪ >> personally, my life has been rather, you know, disrupted by this whole thing, and i don't know about you guys, but this thing doesn't just affect kaci. bill: well, that's the boyfriend

of casey hickox to, the american nurse. the state of maine one hour ago has taken action against her, serving her and her boyfriend with a court-ordered quarantine after hickox defied the state's order to isolate herself by going on a bike ride yesterday. she has said she's the one that is suffering. dr. marc siegel, professor of medicine, nyu, a member of our fox news medical a-team. hello to you. >> is hi, bill. bill: coordinate your travel, don't utilize long distance commercial travel, don't be present in public places, if you're jogging, maintain a distance of 3 feet, don't be present in a workplace and don't leave the city of fort kent in maine. what do you think of that? >> by the way, that's still not the full quarantine. the full quarantine would be to be homebound, you know, which is what we're seeing in several states. that -- well, i think if that actually is followed, it would be pretty much a zero chance of

catching ebola, and i want people to know out there that i don't really think the risk of catching ebola is the issue here. i think that she's probably right that the risk is extremely low, and i want to present both sides to this. on one side i am worried about this being a deterrent. if we put people in 21-day quarantines, i'm worried about it being a deterrent to more aid going over there. we need that. we need the fight to take place in west africa. there's a tropical medicine meeting going on right now which is where doctors without borders learns things. they can't go to those meetings. that's on one side. on the other side, there's an issue of public confidence here. they're following three cases, bill, which were all fumbled. first duncan went parading around dallas, then you adam bear vinson going on frontier -- amber vinson going on felon tier airlines -- frontier airlines. as a physician, doctors are big

deniers, nurses too. we don't always admit when we're sick. i don't think we can rely on all physicians or all nurses to say leave it to me, i'm not going to put you at risk. bill: so that's why you come back to the 21-day -- >> right. i want the public to be reassured here. bill: as you say, nurses and doctors don't make good patients. you believe that? >> i don't. i'd be the last person to go to a doctor. bill: so this is what you write on screen, it isn't because i believe she's a personal risk to the inhabitants of maine, the problem is that i don't believe in the honor system in part because i don't believe that all doctors and nurses make the best patients. are we working through this? have we found an area where we're comfortable as a nation -- >> not yet. not yet because we can't believe our public officials. they're reassuring us, and bad things are happening. we don't know ebola yet, it's new to us. we have to have a learning curve. back in 19 -- 1985 when i was

first treating hiv, i was afraid to go near it. we have to consider public fears as an issue. if the public is afraid of her. if she reeds a bicycle -- rides a bicycle and that makes everyone afraid, we have to factor that in. i would degree with people who say how do we know for sure? we have to look in the retrospect scope to know for sure that, you know, spencer traveling on a subway isn't going to get someone sick. meanwhile, i think it's noble as a role model, stay at home. bill: yeah. the state's been pursuing that legal action for three days. we'll see whether or not she pushes back. >> i bet she'll push back. bill: martha, what's next? martha: well, democrats could be concerned that they face big losses in the midterms, but it could be a historic loss perhaps for the president as well. we're going to talk about that coming up. bill: also when the lava's flowing, do not get too close. this is a warning.

>> i was a little frightened. and as we were up there about 20 minutes, i looked behind, and i said, hey, it's circling around us, we've got to get out of here. óqoqúúñ@

♪ ♪ bill: a lot of anticipation on the senate, but president obama's on the brink now for the worst showing for back to back midterms since president truman in 1950. after losing 63 house seats in 2010, many analysts believe democrats are on the eventual of losing anywhere from phi to maybe twelve -- five to maybe twelve seats this time around. the former communications director of the republican national committee, brad woodhouse, former communications director of the democratic national committee. gentlemen, good morning to the both of you. >> morning. bill: you guys are knee deep in numbers and precincts and counties, and that's why we brought you both in. brad, do you believe this is about to happen? >> well, the numbers in the house, i don't know. i mean, look, i know this piece

was written comparing president obama's potential losses to harry truman's, and i know stu was probably around for the truman administration. i really don't think, you know, i don't think comparing one political era 50 years ago to now is relevant. bill: really? why not? >> what's curious to me -- well, the political situation was vastly different, you know, back in the truman era to now. and, look, the house, the house races, for what it's worth, have been pretty well locked in because of gerrymandering. we've known for a long time where probably 90% of these races are going to land. i think what's more important is, and i know we'll talk about it in a minute, is what's going to happen in the senate races. bill: okay. let me push forward on that in just a second. doug, where are you on this? can i show our viewers the history here? truman, 83 seats in 1950, so that's two midterms, president eisenhower lost 66 seats between

'54 and '58, how do you see this going, doug? >> i think we're going to get close to ten seats, and the it's a really -- if it's a really good night, we could get 12 or 15. we're going to pick up really good candidates. the youngest woman ever elected to congress who's going to be a great figure for us, mia love is going to be a good puckup in utah. brad and i are both from north carolina, and mike mcintyre's seat is another pickup for republicans. we're going to have a good night, the question is whether or not it's going to be a great night. bill: okay. let's put the history aside right now. i want both of you gentlemen to take a moment and tell our viewers here what the keys that you're watching for on tuesday night. brad will go first. >> a key state is north carolina, and doug and i are both from there. there's been clash 100 million -- $100 million spent in

this race, and i think it is probably the bellwether. i think if kay hagan wins in north carolina and she has the lead right now, i think. >> if she wins, then i think we've probably won in iowa, we've probably won in colorado, probably won in new hampshire, and i think that we will, we'll hold the united states senate. bill: wow, that would be -- okay, so we'll watch that. it's an early closing time, too, and we'll see whether or not we can call it that. >> yep. bill: doug, what do you want us to watch as your key for tuesday? >> the first thing i'm going to be looking at is tuesday morning. as we see so many close races in north carolina, georgia and louisiana where republicans are all in a good position to win, barack obama's been absent from the campaign trail. but on tuesday morning we may see him, and i think it's a safe bet we'll see him making phone calls to african-american radio. we've seen a lot of focus on whether or not the black vote is going to turn out for democrats this year. if it doesn't, republicans are going to have really good opportunities in those three seats because they vote overwhelmingly democratic.

barack obama's been absent. bill: doug, you're studying this early voting. what do you see there? north carolina, georgia, colorado, iowa, is there good news for republicans and democrats? does can it just depend on what you're looking for? >> typically are, democrats look better in early voting. i look at iowa, or joni ernst is doing much better than republicans timically do in -- typically do in early voting. we have more republicans than we ever have in iowa before, and they're voting earlier. bill: okay. hang on a second. you study the early voting as well. what do you see that would favor democrats at the moment? >> well, let me say this, i mean, you hear a lot, i heard a lot of this about the early voting in 2012 and how great the early voting was for romney in ohio and then he lost, iowa and he lost, colorado and he lost. i think the key is the combination of early voting and

turnout on election day, in colorado, for example, republicans have a slight lead in the ballots that have been turned in, but it doesn't look like it'll be enough for cory gardner to win there. it's just part of the machine on the ground. and there's a good machine on the ground no matter what you think about barack obama and where he's campaigning, there's a good machine left on the ground -- bill: okay, we're about to find out. i think, you know, different states depend. they have different historical trends for early voting. and it really is there's no blanket statement you can make -- >> that's correct. bill: thank you, brad, doug, gentlemen, thank you. at ease. >> happy halloween. bill: you too. martha: it is one of the most expensive senate races in the country, and it is in alaska. more than $50 million has been poured into this state of just 500,000 voters. it's also one of the tightest races the real clear politics average has dan sullivan up two

points over incumbent senator opponent mark begich. big name in alaska politics. dan springer joins us live from anchorage. how does this race look now? >> reporter: oh, baby, it is heating up. it is a seat the republicans are counting on as they look to retake the majority in the senate, and they are pinning their hopes on a relative political novice. dan sullivan is a harvard graduate with a georgetown law degree, a lieutenant colonel in the marine corps reserves and has served as dnr chief here in alaska as well as assistant secretary of state in the bush white house. his campaign against incumbent democrat mark begich has largely been an attack on president obama who has an approval rating of 30% in this state. begich is a fierce campaigner, and most people believe he has cut into the lead as he runs away from obama. >> my record is an alaska

record. there's been times that i've disagreed with the president clearly, he's wrong on gun rights, he was wrong on the issue of oil and gas -- >> look, i think what you've been saying is that president obama'ser relevant, and i couldn't disagree more. as he said it himself, his policies are on the ballot this election, and you have supported his policies the vast, vast majority of the time. >> reporter: a record $57 million has been spent on this race so far, mostly from outside groups. that works out to be about $200 for every vote that will be cast. martha? martha: one side or the other is going to consider that a bad investment. we'll see who this is come tuesday night. dan can, thank you very much. just a reminder, if we can't remind you enough, you've got to know where you want to be on tuesday, and that is right here on election night. brett behavior and megyn kelly hosting our special coverage, bill will be working on the board showing you all the different ways that it could

come down depending on what happens in the early returns that we get starting 7, 7:30 in the evening, i'm going to look at the exit polls, see what people say as they're coming out of the polls. what do they care about? what's on their minds? often a big indicator of which way this thing's going to go. it starts tuesday, november 4th, 6 p.m. eastern, and we'll also see you here sunday night, 8:00. bill: four-year stint in miami, the king of the nba holding court once again back home in ohio. >> st. mary high school from akron, ohio, number 23, lebron james! [cheers and applause] bill: you know what so impressed me with this, martha? martha: what's that? bill: there was so little hype. martha: he didn't even realize it was his first game back. bill: officially kicking off his quest to brick the city its first title in 50 years. and like anything, with this.

watch. >> it's time! [cheers and applause] bill: that's his thing, you know? signature cloud of chalk pregame. martha: nicely done. he has cut some fantastic commercials. bill: back to reality though. the new york knicks beat the cavs 95-90. james scored 18 points, but he had eight turnovers. big night, nonetheless. martha: i know they're trying to make themselves feel were the, there's 80 some games left, you've got to feel not so great about it when you make a big deal about the first night back. bill: they've got a good team though, so we'll see. martha: well, we'll see, won't we? [laughter] all right. all right. here's what's coming up.

a leading democrat taking some heat about comments that she made about southern voters, what louisiana senator mary landrieu said that has got people very upset. we're going to play it for you coming up. plus this -- bill: now, the good news about this is that you don't really get hurt when you're fighting in a football uniform because everything's protected. but the competitive spirit got a little too much of these guys, and this went on and on and on.

♪ martha: getting a lot of attention this morning, a new controversy after longtime senator mary landrieu says pote she and president obama have to work harder for votes in the south because of gender and because of race. or here she is. >> to be very, very honest with you, the south has not always been the friendliest place for african-americans, it's been a difficult time for the president to present himself in a very positive light as a leader. it's not always been a good place for women to be able to present ourselves. it's more of a conservative place. so we've had to work a little bit harder on that. but, you know, but the people trust me, i believe. really, they do. trust me to do the right thing for the state.

martha: so what do you think? join ised now by guy benson, political editor at town hall.com and a fox news contributor, mark hanna was an aide in john kerry's presidential campaign in 2004 and in the obama campaign in 2008. mark, let me start with you, what's your reaction to that comment? >> hey, martha. my reaction is that mary landrieu said something that wasn't necessarily politically correct, and whenever you're speaking in generalizations, yeah, you're going to be imprecise and say things that are going to make people sensitive, and i think republicans have been very sensitive here. but let's think about the words she actually used which is that the south hasn't been the friendliest place for black politicians. and historically, true. even in the present moment, it's true. it took a little bit of political courage for her to say that, and, you know, if we're going to ask our politicians to basically paper over that fact or basically try to hide or shield us from that fact, we're asking them to lie to us, and we're asking them to be

hypocritical. martha: she's been elected three times. this is her forty election. so -- fourth election. so to suggest they're sexist --? that's not what she said. >> martha: it's because of gender as well, we have to work a little harder here because it's not been a good place for women to be able to present ourselves. before that she said it's within a difficult place -- it's been a difficult place for the president to present himself as a positive leader. now, the polls i look at suggest many other reasons that people are unhappy with the president. >> that question presumably wasn't asked in any poll and, frankly, if republicans -- and guy's about to say this right now -- people are unhappy with the policies of president obama. martha: well, they are from the polls. >> huh? martha: they are, according to the polls. >> yeah, according to the polls. and, frankly, according to mary landrieu who said before the clip you shows that people are mostly unhappy with energy policy, and louisiana's a drill, baby, drill state. but if you think there isn't some level of identity politics

going on here, that people aren't voting in a way that's a little bit emotional, then we're lying to ourselves. and i, you know, of course there, you know, it's not the case that the south is big olded in any kind of blanket way, but -- martha: i just think -- >> racial discrimination has residual and political reality. martha: guy, am i wrong? >> you're not. and, look, this is pet lance from a losing candidate. -- petulance from a losing candidate because she's frustrated. her premise, her sort of bait and switch trying to blame shift premise is completely ridiculous. you pointed out, martha, that she's a three-term incumbent. the people of the state have educate willed her three times -- have elected her three times. the current governor of louisiana, last time i checked, is bobby jindal, an indian-american with brown skin, son of immigrants. he won re-election in 2011 with

66% of the vote. >> are you suggesting this is proof that there's no racism in the south? the south doesn't have any kind of problem with racial politics? >> no, i'm not, but i'm suggesting barack obama's problems in louisiana are not a product of racism, and i just gave you an -- >> maybe not solely. >> hang on. if this is a racist issue, why elsewhere in the deep south are conservative voters poised to send tim scott back to the u.s -- >> guy, you and i i, both white guys here debating this issue -- martha: yeah, but he raises a valid point. >> there are people that know the e racial sort of heritage tn this state better than you or i do. i've spent a lot of time in a traveling, i'm going to be there in february as well, i have a lot of friends in the south that acknowledge, a little bit reluctantly, that this is a factor on some levels.

there's no question that barack obama, of the 60, over 60 parishes in louisiana -- martha: we've got to go, guys, ten seconds to the break. >> at least 45% african-american. martha: mark and guy, i've got to cut you off because we're about to get cut off.oup we'll be right back. growth is gratifying. goal is to grow. gotta get greater growth. i just talked to ups. they got expert advise, special discounts, new technologies. like smart pick ups. they'll only show up when you print a label and it's automatic. we save time and money. time? money? time and money. awesome. awesome! awesome! awesome! awesome! (all) awesome! i love logistics. wouldn't it be great if hiring plumbers, shopping online is as easy as it gets. carpenters and even piano tuners were just as simple? thanks to angie's list, now it is. start shopping online from a list of top-rated providers. visit angieslist.com today. ok, now let's get straight to the point.

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martha: so a high school football game in tennessee ended with an all-out brawl. check it out. these two teams are pretty big rivals, and things got out of hand after both teams met after the game for the customary handshake. this is not supposed to happen. sheriff's deputies and coaches had to break up the fight, but i guess they were mad about the game. they have their nice pink jerseys on. breast cancer month. but that kind of good feeling did not extend, apparently, to the handshake period of the

game. bill: tough to hurt a guy wearing a football helmet. [laughter] the generosity of americans for our wounded warriors should be by a couple that phil keating has just met live in ft. lauderdale with more on their story. good morning. >> reporter: good morning, bill. take a look at this boat. pretty sleek, isn't it? the design by cain and andrew, they wanted this boat, the only one specifically manufactured for wounded warriors who come back from iraq and afghanistan severely disabled. the idea is the boat looks like a regular boat so it doesn't look like a disabled person's boat. you've got this cutout for a wheelchair, it can get up the hallways no problem, you get back here to your chair to go fishing, and it's got a 50,000 donated seakeeper stabilizer to keep the boat stable. >> they go up there, they defend the country, they defend our way

of life, they come back, they're permanently changed. they have to adapt and change their lives to cover their injuries, so what we've decided to do is to try and help them out the best way we can. we just thought it was the right thing to do. >> reporter: the patriotic thing. >> the patriotic thing. >> reporter: the head actually has a floor that rises and lowers which is critical for helping somebody in a wheelchair, bill. bill: that is very cool. i bet they love it, right, phil? what do you hear from them? >> reporter: they absolutely do. in fact, one of the wounded warriors coming back from afghanistan, he woke up a week later without any legs, he was one of the advisers of the boat design, and he says it's going to help all the warriors mentally just to get out of the house. bill: thank you, phil keating in ft. lauderdale. martha: this morning we it would you that the grueling manhunt for the accused cop killer is finally over. suspect facing justice in the handcuffs of the state trooper that he gunned down in cold blood. we'll be right back.

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martha: ready to put your costume on? bill: i think so. what are you going to be tonight? martha: i will be lady who hands out candy to the kids. i like that part. you know, you to the to bring pictures. bill: maybe. never pictures. martha: happy halloween, everybody. "happening now" starts right now. bye-bye. jon: a massive sigh of relief this morning in northeastern pennsylvania where accused cop killer arick frein was captured after weeks on the run. welcome to the halloween edition of "happening now." i'm jon scott. >> imheather nauert in for jenna lee. jon: happy friday to you. >> that's right, u.s. marshals finally put the collar on frein. they found the survivalist near an abandoned aircraft carrier o