with two ways to earn, it makes a lot of other cards seem one-sided. >> from new york this sunday, two days until the midterm election and the media bursting with analysis and speculation. republicans could seize control of the senate. even those on the left are calling it for the g.o.p. >> i think the republicans have -- probably take the senate back. >> if the going cannot win back the senate in a climate like this maybe they ought to look for another country. >> democrats are going to have a bad election day no matter how you slice it. >> come election night, there is a path to victory for democrats but narrow. >> the media pouncing on hillary clinton's latest gaffe and chris christie's latest eruption much.

>> until that time, sit down and shut up. the shadow boxing for 2016 is underway. decision time, fox news' digital politics editor on making the difficult calls on election night. plus, a watch and attack ad checking the negative spots is frustrating failure. this is special "media buzz." there are plenty of we tight as a tick races in the battle for the senate so a lot of anchors are correspondents are standing in front of the maps. >> president obama already battling with the republican house of representatives. will he face a republican senate? >> when it is done we could be looking at a very different balance of power in this country. >> if the election is held today, republicans are poised to pick up alaska, montana, south

dakota, iowa. >> criminal the senate hinges on eight or nine races that are dead heats. >> west virginia is comfortable for republicans. so is south dakota and montana. now you are at 48. >> in new york to examine this is andrea, co-host of the "the five," and a democratic strategy and fox news contributor and correspondent for "new york times" with us. >> what is the deep-seated urge to predict north dakota or new hampshire or the other races when no one knows what will happen? >> love competition. that is why we love sports. this is sporting season. it is politics. they are being more responsible than they are in 2012 because i see a lot of an lists got burned by bad predictions. >> we just play it next week? >> thank you is right. the way the media has handled it is different than in the past years.

in 2006 the scandal of mark foley and the media was salivating. i was working on a mid-term election and they were recovering it, incessantly. this time they have not recovered it the way they used to cover it because they know a lot of people in the media, the democrats are poised for losses. in comparison with 2006, 159 stories in 2006 between the major nightly news casts, nbc, cbs, and abc. this year alone? a paltry 25. abc didn't even do one story until october 27. >> do you think julie, that is because there are a lot of depressed journalists? or do you think that, perhaps, the bidding on the part of executives is that the public is sick of politics, it is not rating and putting up midterms

does not move the style? >> cnn is devoted to the concept that people are sick of politics and moving to another aspect. that is true. part of it is that people in general hate both parties. no one is rooting for anyone. the republicans are going to take the senate but it is not like people are rooting and vying for the republicans to take over. they cannot stand the republicans or the democrats and we just got through the presidential and now back to the midtermed and people are talking about hillary clinton 2016. people are moving on. we have ebola, isis, other crisis to worry about. >> you predict the republicans win. back to the predictions. "new york times" said "obama is braced for a shift in congress." "washington post" "republicans appear to be close in on senate roll." and poll gurus, "washington

post" said 94 percent chance, of republican take over. >> i think of the night ahead of the new hampshire primary in 2008 with the story wrote how hillary clinton lost again to president obama. women came out in record numbers and she defeated him by 3 percentage points and we had to rewrite our stories. >> sometimes the pundits are wrong. sometimes the polls are wrong. the truth, especially midterm, you doesn't know who will turnout. >> turnout especially will help the democrats. young people. women. white working class voters who skew democratic they are the ones who stay home in the mid-step. bill clinton is doing the huge get-out-the-vote efforts. that is a big part of how the democrats fare. >> looking at the coverage of the candidate, do you think the coverage has been fair to republicans? >> it has been fair but more stories that have not existed.

i don't think they have covered the local races the way they used to cover the races. thank god no republic has put his foot in his mouth like todd akin. that was a rope to cover the elections. i am happy they are not covering the local elections. they paint the republican as the woman hater so they have not been giving the coverage as much as they used to. they have been covering the fact that women and young people have broken away from the democratic party. that has been a surprise to me. women voters because of isis and ebola are moving toward republicans shockingly and the same with the disaffected millennials. the democrats are going to have a hard time getting them to the polls. >> there has not been as much coverage as previous years and the media is imploding. there are no papers left. unfortunately for all of us --.

>> it costs money to push. we don't have the coverage of the controversial or extreme statements by a todd akin but you have coverage of candidate whose have made a lot of news negatively have been democrats, when difficult davis and alison lundergan grimes not saying she voted if obama and senator landrieu. is this covering the news or unfair to the democrats? >> what senator landrieu said is smart getting out the base and she has to appeal to certain demographics. alison lundergan grimes that is different, but the reason people are covering it, we want them to cover it. >> they have not covered it the way they would if it was a republican. you had a candidate call nikki haley a "whore," and it was

barely covered. if it was republican it would be played over and over. >> some weeks ago in the "new york times" they said the democratic party benched president obama and no trespassing signs for the candidates. is obama the central figure in the campaign? or the media making obama the central figure because it simplifies the story line in what other would be a collection of state and local races? >> it is inshayable -- insatiable superstar to now be not wanted. democrats have been pushing the narrative as much as republicans. alison lundergan grimes said repeatedly, i'm not an obama democrat but a clinton democrat and mcconnell said there is not a dime's worth of difference between the two. the democrats have made this as much about obama as the media. >> and competing story lines, i have seen more coverage of the nurse who was fighting with

maine authorities not to be quarantineed than the midterms. >> in fairness a lot of people are more interested in ebola and interested in isis than the midterm elections. the media is covering what the people want. however, a lost members know this is going to be bad for democrats, a lot of the comments have been pretty inflammatory toward female republican candidates, they choose to say, look, nothing to see here, we will not cover it this time around, so, very different with a republican win. >> even if the final week, not a single time with ebola or the space shift crash and that is the perception of the people who run the programs, that is what people are more interested in. >> what is the story? people are terrified of ebola. it is something that is very personal.

isis all are things people w to know about. midterm elections, just another election. the same old stuff it happens every two years. nothing new. >> but it is not the same old stuff in the sense we have a situation where it is likely or probable that republicans will control the united states senate which means they control what goes to the floor and nominations and subpoenas, investigations, and maybe when people look at this, they think that, yes, but it is washington, it is disfunctional, and nothing will happen the last two careers, regardless of who is in charge. >> thank you is part of it. people are not so interested in midterms and not just in the media but in turnout. people are not voting in the numbers this will in the presidential and there is a sense on wednesday the longest most expensive presidential campaign starts for the media and there is sort of preemptive

fatigue. >> it already started. several major articles about hillary clinton and the media are more focused on 2016 than on 2014 election in a week. it seems out of whack. >> i agree but that is the interesting and it is what you see in the midterm, bill clinton and hillary clinton on the campaign trail. >> it doesn't mean the cameras have to follow. but before i go to break we remembered "washington post" story saying that a convicted felon, an armed security guard, got on an elevator with president obama. yesterday, the "washington post" ran a story say, no, our sources now say he was not a convicted felon and that was on the bottom of page two. that is an embarrassing mistake. a look at what media fact

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what midterm? the media stays fixated on 2016 and especially hillary rodham clinton. especially after she said this at a rally this boston this week. >> don't let anybody tell you that, you know, it's corporations and businesses that create jobs. >> you cover hillary clinton. did this particular gaffe involved the media coverage or is everything she does

magnified? >> everything she does is definitely magnified. i think martin o'malley or ted cruz with would love it if everybody shows up wherever he went. i think this is how uncomfortable she is when she tries to get out of her comfort zone. she was trying to appeal to the progressive side of the democratic party and a few days later she had to say she stumble approximated. >> in fact, she did say a day or two later she was talking about tax breaks for business, but nevertheless, this got a lot of coverage. >> i think she was in her comfort zone. she's in massachusetts. i feel like she truly believes what she said. hillary clinton is a progressive at her core. i did think the media coverage was very fair, though. in "the washington post," people were analyzing why she said it and the implication is politically of why she said it. he said they would be her wall street problem. then you have andrew ross sorkin with the "new york times" wondering if this was going to hurt her with bankers.

i thought she was very tired, she was speak with the heart. when she back peddled, the media covered it and not as much as they covered barack obama's you didn't build that, but they covered it in a more fair manner, which is trying to examine the motives, whether or not she was tired, she lost herr mind. >> i think obama's comment, when you read it in the speech, you knew what i was saying. >> like she threw it out there because she was tired and didn't know what she was saying. >> elizabeth warren, the populist champion of the democratic party, it almost seems like a lot of pundits want hillary to be more like elizabeth. >> the flavor of the campaign. >> two years. >> for about 24 months. and hillary clinton was sort of old hat and people were tired of her. now this whom narrative, that hillary clinton is going to be the nominee for the press is a born narrative. there is no fight. so you want -- i assume if you're in the press core, you

want some sort of story, you want some sort of narrative. >> you need a conscious, you need a struggle. elizabeth warren might run, but she's not running. >> it's ridiculous. secretly, she might run. she's not running. hilla hillary, if she wants to run is going to be the nominee. >> hillary is running. she may decide to stop running. big story magazine article on hillary clinton this week and said she had met privately with the obama campaign manager who said stop the emplploy and run now. if she did that, there would be 2,000 people following hillary and scrutinizing her even more. >> that's true, but i think she was being scrutinized as if she is the presumptive nominee. we're seeing opposition research on the other side digging up things about the clinton. if she wants to stop it, she could always say i'm not running. but we talked to the voters in

iowa who said don't come here and play coy. ask us for your vote. i think there's fatiguers among this will she or won't she. >> everybody will be sick of her and the whole campaign by the time 2016 rolls around. gotta go. thanks very much for joining us in new york. ahead on this special edition of "media buzz," eric holder finally admits he was wrong to treat fox's james rowsen like a criminal about time. but first, the media used to love chris christie when he unloaded on some poor sap. now, not so much. what changed? than ever why now is the best time to be on verizon. one: verizon's the largest, most reliable 4g lte network in the country. that's right america. with xlte in over 400 markets. two: and here's something for families to get excited about. our best pricing ever! get 2 lines with an incredible 10gb of data to share for the low price of $110! or just $140 for a family of 4!

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>> it's been 23 months since then when all i've been doing is flapping your mouth and not doing anything. listen, if you want to have the conversation later, i'm happy to have it, buddy. but until that time, sit down and shut up. >> how did governor chris christie mark the anniversary of hurricane sanding hitting his state? attacked one of the victims of the storm. >> chris christie insulted a voert in new jersey. can't wait to see how that play necessary iowa. >> joining us now, rich lowery, and mark hannah. that christyrant went on four about two minutes. last year he was on the cover of time magazine as the boss, very upbeat piece. now the guy who the media used to celebrate being blunt is being painted very differently. >> you saw the media turn on him on the george washington bridge

controversipy. this is nothing new. for a potential presidential candidate, this is something novel. this is not the way we see any presidential candidate treat hecklers. and plus it involves entertaining video. so you get those two things together and you get the media stepping over it. >> if he was a talk show host, he could yell at the guests. now, new york daily news writing this up, mark. there's actually a picture of christie morphing into tony so braino and the tony soprano candidate is in the lead. >> you're taking someone who has a temper of -- maybe not a presidential candidate. i think rich was being somewhat polite and somewhat generous in describing his temperament. >> but this is comparing him to

a mob boss. >> right. but as somebody who has italian heritage -- >> aren't you offended? >> i'm offend. i take umbrage. but you've got this typical attitude. the rest of the country, when they think of new jersey, this is what they think of. unfortunately, he's feeding into that stereotype. the problem becomes, you know, is when you're faced with a heckler, you can't heckle back. you have to respect the voters, even if they don't respect you. and that, when he moves to the national stage is going to be chris christie's biggest challenge. >> i think voters want a president would gets aggravated. let me turn to jeb bush, there's been this big will he won't he question. jeb bush junior has talked to the "new york times" and says the family is now on born and bush's other son. i'll play that for you followed

by a brief reaction from the florida governor. >> i think it's more than likely that he's giving this a serious thought moving forward. >> that he will run? >> that he will run. if you asked me a few years back, i would say it was less likely. >> he has an opinion. he did talk to me. my so many sons were just out there and i had nothing to do with it. >> the object session with this was it was like a white puff of smoke to go up from the vatican when they're about to have a new pope. just the media examine a huge -- republicans are on the edges of their seat about this decision. obviously, it would be hugely sequential. it will literally define the american presidential field. >> i often criticize the shadowy sources the media used in this instance involving both sons of jeb bush. >> no, i don't think george bush is necessarily a political novice. he knows exactly what he's doing

here. and they're sending a signal. we were talking in the green room about why do people wait so long to announce? this buys us some time and gets them talking. >> where is the media? a lot of people think think he was running. >> new republic, preemptive headline the other day. it won't be ohm ba ma's fault when democrats lose the senate. should the press be blaming president obama for every democrat that's struggling? >> yes. it's the defining factor in these midterms. i don't understand how desperate so much of the media is to get president obama off the hook here. the "new york times" wrote an article saying it's not obama's time. it's all the democrats fault for trying to run away from him. but they're trying to run away from him for a reason, because they're rational people and they know that's the route to survival. >> is it unfair? >> i don't -- look, i think it's

not unfair if it is accurately reflecting the attitude and the opinions of the voters. and in a lot of these swings states, he's wildly unpopular now. that is a trial for a lot of the democrat candidates. >> and candidates are running away from him. >> i think the republicans, it's been prognosticated if they're doing so well. but there's an alternative vision, an alternative set of public policies that was affirmative, not necessarily oppositional or negative. >> just a few seconds, do you agree with that part? >> i think it would have been better to have a big, national agenda. now, in these individual races, there are republican candidates who are running on issues, but there's no big defining national issue besides the president and his policies. >> right. certainly not on terms of the national media coverage. thanks very much for stopping by. >> thank you, howie. >> next on media buzz from new york, how misleading commercials that work no matter how much pinocchios they get. and later, john roberts in

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ask your gastroenterologist about humira. with humira, remission is possible. >> a search for answers after a fire tore through an apartment building in the university of southern maine in portland. five people died. one person critically injured. it is not clear yet if all of the victims were students. investigators say that finding out how it start cod take some time, the deadliest in the state of maine in 30 years. new tensions rising in gaza, the decemberor group hamas opposes the u.n. reconstruction plan after the war over the summer with israel. hamas calls the proposal "unacceptable." early, israel closed the crossing point into gaza but for humanitarian aid after two rockets were fired into the territory. the israeli military saying the

rockets exploded in open fields with no injuries. >> television loves to play the negative ads and let candidates make charges without fact checking. here are a couple of spots in georgia and colorado. >> michelle nunn's plan that she funded organizations linked to terrorists. >> i am david perdue and approved this. >> my opponent led a crusade that would make birth control illegal and abortion a felony in cases of rape and incest. that is beyond troubling. >> in new york we have frank luntz a republican pollster and fox news contributor. that attack on michelle nunn was both us, that her points of light foundation funded the

udall against gashed neither was basically true but gardner has changed his position. your political guy involved in some races. when you are with a group making an ad and someone comes along and says that is b.s. and misleading, does it matter? >> accuracy matters. trust matters. that is why the american people don't trust anyone running for office on republican or democratic side. some positive ads have cut through because you don't have to challenge them because they are using some facts to prove a point. the positive ads are joni ernst castrating pigs, that ad put her on the map and that ad is going to elect her to the senate, i think. guard neither challenging what you saw there but the position now is in support of over the counter contraceptive but he delivered the response to camera in a positive way.

he referred to senator you'd doll has a nice guy. how often do you hear that? that is going to get him elected. you are talking about the architecture of making ads and unless you are a pig lover, and joni ernst castrating pigs is effective, when they come along and say, this is exaggerated or misleading or flat wrong, how much impact does it have when you play an ad hundreds of times. >> more often than not, no impact because so many see it on television than actually read about it. the campaigns take that political fact, your ad and turn it into a commercial. then it is too complicated. >> he said-she said. and it becomes not readable. you have a responsibility to tell the truing and the right do challenge, you have the right to

say the incumbent hasn't doesn't their job but you have the responsibility to be factor you'll and show the facts. when we do ads we put the fact that you are basing the attack on, on the scream, so the voter can read it. and, two, you have to have three points of 20 for what you have said or 9 voter will not believe it. >> but you are confirming that even the most diligent media fact check egg is accepting when that is the focus of a counterattack. you can now lay a glove on what are close to >> look at alaska. the republican candidate, the attorney general, sullivan will beat the abdulmutallab because begich ran an ad that accused sullivan of releasing a criminal who went out and killed someone and sullivan wasn't attorney genuine that person wasn't released and the family said it is not accurate, take it down.

how long did it take? 96 hours, four days. >> you are saying the ads can go too far and media scrutiny can backfire? >> begich was going to be re-elected. he still could. but because he did that ad, it went too far and the familiar said, "enough is enough." we have suffered enough. i believe he loses. he could lose because of the ad. >> you were through in 2010 with the "lie of the year," saying obamacare being debated was a government takeover of health care. >> now look at it. the government says to the insurance company, you may not offer these plans any longer. the government says people now have to go through the sign up, through the computer sign up. they can't figure it out. six million people, seven million or eight million, we are not sure how many millions, have lost their care.

>> the administration oversole it but it is still administered by private insurance. >> as determined by the government and even nancy pelosi herself has acknowledged that the government has made the decisions on behalf of the american people so she says it is a positive but acknowledges that the government is now directly involved. do they take it back? no. more people know about it because of the we interview but do they take it back? >> whoa, four years later your message is? >> don't let your political bias get in the way of your accountability. you serve an essential purpose in holding candidates and campaigns accountable but you have do get it right as you expect the candidates to get it right. >> all right, frank luntz, thank you for joining us. just ahead, how did this nutty

story about michelle obama running for the senate get any traction? and projections for tuesday night. ♪ music

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having to make difficult judgment calls under realtime pressure. plenty of people remember the night of the 2012 election when karl rove questioned the vote in ohio chmd mean mitt romney lost the race. >> when you see that map, the biggest one being kie yo cuyoga, cleveland. we'll see them chip away at that 3%. >> is this just math that you do as a republican to make yourself feel better or is this real and you genuinely think -- >> absolutely, yes. >> joining us now is chris, fox news digital politics editor remembering that moment when you were on the decision desk. broadly speaking, if you get the call right, nobody remembers it. if you blow it, nobody forgets it. >> look, a call, we were very happy to be right. and we always like to be first. but it is a low value news item,

right? there is an internal -- there is internal competition among the networks to call first, right? we always want to be first. >> why is that? >> because we're human beings. but the risk, if you go to quickly, you remember 2000 and the recount that follows is that you wind up with that guy. >> there is that, but there is also we want our viewers not to go some place else. we want to call -- and on tuesday, it's not just to call individual races. it's about control of the senate. so we have the narrative laying out across the country and across time zones. so we want to stay in the space so people don't say, oh, these guys, there's nothing going on here. i'm going to flip around and see what's going pop. >> i think it will create preb your to maybe pull the trigger too soon. are you conscious at cbs or cnn or nbc has called a state race and you haven't? does that make you feel uneasy? >> we don't pay attention to that. i know that other people do, but we, as much as is possible, try

to have each decision be the decision. now, will it confess that after election night, did i ever go back and see who called what when? maybe i do. but what we want to do is as you rightly point out, the downside to being wrong is so bad and the upside for being right is marginal and minimal. so what we do is you have to be right first. and then being first is good, too. >> so when you're on the decision next tuesday night and you're looking at the polling and races close, it seems to be polling one way with some of the guys that reported, what factors go into making that call? >> we are very blessed because we have an excellent team of statisticians and the people we have. >> these are the unsung heros? >> these are the people inside the nerd tank. it takes a lot to make me look good. but inside the nerve tank, these are the people driving the data. then what i think i bring to the process is something human intelligence. how did the county go? what have the ads been?

what's the spend here? what do we expect? what are the historical priors and knowing about races and knowing about bringing them together. and then we have the great william b. bill salmon who is there to screen and filter and everything by judgment in the end to make the right call. >> so i just got a tweet from jim laney saying really tired of hearing about the midterm elections. i do, however, tune in when you are on the air. let me look at the second part -- >> which is great. >> do you sense a lot of political fatigue out there among viewers? >> no. what's great about the media climate and environment is self-select. people that don't want it don't have to have it any more. what midterms? yeah, i'm sure it's just the ratings. >> you think it's a big republican year and the networks are shying away? >> i think if you have a bunch of democratic viewers and the news is uniformly bad for democrats -- i'm not making a

specific accusation, i'm saying human nature being what it is, a programming choice might cause somebody to say people hate this story, let's not show it as much. >> all right. watching you in a long evening on tuesday night. thanks for joining us. after the break, how much assets do the candidates give correspondents in these midterms? john roberts is live in louisiana in just a moment. there are two reasons why i need to keep an eye on my health. that's why i take metabiotic, a daily probiotic. new multihealth metabiotic with bio-active 12 is proven to help support a healthy immune system. experience the meta effect with our new multi-health wellness line. nothinchocolate chip cookie.rite nestlé toll house made with real butter, eggs, and brown sugar for that scratch made taste.

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>> we're going tog john, how much of a feel do you feel when you just pop up? >> there is in place like the big easy, but arkansas, north carolina, georgia, even though i live in georgia, you pop in and you get a feel for the race and you are on to the next race but we have been able to because we have been following the races for so long and you get a good feel for the lay of the land in each individual state. in terms of access, well, most of the campaigns have been good allowing us on the democratic and the republican side to get close to the candidates. >> thank you is my confess, you come from out of town with the national television crew, are there some instances where the candidates do not want to talk to you? >> mostly, they do want to talk. for example, here in louisiana yesterday we spent time with senator landrieu and spoke with her and spent time with bill cassidy, the republican candidate. same in arkansas the day before.

and senator pryor, spent time with 9 candidate and with tom cotton. the only problem is the state of georgia wherefore some reason, the nunn campaign did not want to talk with fox low -- although we have been reaching out. we went to their campaign headquarters in person to talk with the communications team but they would not see us. that is the way they have decided to run the campaign but mostly, democrats and other campaigns have been happy to spend time with us. >> weren't you supposed to moderate a debate in georgia? >> i was on the 26th of october, georgia public broadcasting had a final debate and i was asked to be the moderator and the nunn campaign complained and i was removes. they went with a local fox channel but the idea someone from the fox news channel would moderate the final debate did not sit well with the nunn campaign and despite my long

track record of working with fox and cnn and cbs before that, for 14 yours, they does not like the idea someone from fox would moderate the debate so i was out. >> maybe candidates these days with youtube and social media don't need television quite so much or campaign on the streets so much. >> social media obviously a great source of outsource for the campaigns but traditional television is still pretty big when it comes to viewers and voters in particular and in states where you have to get independent republican votes, they are doing something with the fox news channel is something they need to do. >> john reports thank you on heart assignment in new orleans. >> hardship, zest -- definitely. >> the attorney general finally admit a bumbling of a case.

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swanson® makes holiday dishes delicious! >> i could have been more careful with the language in the court. >> it wasn't a subpoena it was secret surveillance video involving reading his hail and that of his family and something you can go do court and oppose. i am glad he is admitting it was flatout to on go after james rosen and the same for associated press reporter,

slapping co-conspirator on a reporter, that is something i hope never happens again. >> as the coverage of the midterm substantive or super official and is it fair? >> i would say superficial because of the ebola coverage. >> fox reports on the right and cbs and abc and nbc on the left. fox has a lot to say, the others, not so much. >> the media wants to pen the story, rather than the electorate. >> we use computers. >> wonder how a nonstory is started? >> the first laid hats made clear she doesn't love politics but this was an item saying she is being urged to move to california and pursue the senate seat that will be vacated by senator feinstein in 2018. urged by who? that was outside the story's orbit but it was picked up bit "new york post," and from there

to cnn. >> i cannot let you go, senator, without asking about an article i read that suggested that the first lady would like to run for the senate in california, and i do not believe it is true, but, i would be flattered if it were. >> attention, media people, the first lady is not, repeat not, not running for office like hillary clinton. >> it would be a juicy story if it has the virtue of being true. that is the special "media buzz," from new york. glad you could join us. we hope you like our facebook page, we have a lot of dialogue with you and we take questions by e-mail and you can psychiatry to us. i will see you on twitter be as well. we are back in washington next sunday at 11 o'clock and 5:00 eastern and a former reporter

will talk about a bombshell report that has gotten a lot of special with a special guest and we will bring you the latest media buzz. "f new >> i am chris wallace. two days until the midterms and the battle if control of the senate. >> this race comes down to one question above all others: who is on director side? >> the reason why the election will be so poorly for the democrats it will be a referendum on the president's policies. >> from the campaign trail we will look at hottest races. >> every crazy liberal wishes me ill and the president has been trying to beat he for years. >> you are the ones that will deliver the knock outs to mcconnell. >> we will hear the closing arguments from leading voices in both parties, for the going, mitt romney and for the