i am megyn kelly. this is "the kelly files." this is the final stretch in the race to determined who holds the key to power in congress for the next two years. >> welcome to america's election headquarters, midterm special coming to you live from the fox news world headquarters in new york city. i'm bret baier. >> i'm megyn kelly. we'll be right here bringing you the election results. >> a series of new polls were released today including kentucky, where senate minority leader mitch mcconnell appears to be moving away from

challenger allison lundergren grimes. in louisiana's three way race, the numbers show democratic incumbent mary landrieu with 40% of the vote, over republican challenger bill cassidy. this brirm race will go to a runoff if no one goes to the -- >> rights now the current makeup is 45 republicans, 53 democrats and two independents who caucus with the democrats effectively giving the president's party a 55-45 advantage. but democrats have a tougher hill to climb on tuesday night with more seats of theirs that are up for grabs. we have got team fox coverage for you. correspondent john roberts who's live in new orleans 69 but we begin with our chief political continue carl cameron live in kentucky. >> reporter: we are here at an

allison lundergren grimes event here in kentucky where she's going to have to scramble to fry to get back in this race. the latest polls show that mitch mcconnell may have turned the corner and won the election. he will be the senate majority leader, he has shown a great deal of confidence in the last couple of days, he has changed his rhetoric to talk about his future plans and the challenges the nation will face when he's majority leader. over $100 million worth of attack ads from out of state groups and special interests. he's also put out an ad that's quite positive featuring him with a pack of hound dogs, sure to make even nondog lovers -- ahead of allison lundergren grimes, and senators who are not up for re-election across the country are talking about what

they're going to do when mitch mcconnell is their majority leader and they control the u.s. senate next year. >> let's turn to iowa, the des moines register is out with a new poll, that's a well regarded polling operation, republican candidate joni ernst with a 7% lead there, 51-44. >> reporter: right, this is a blue state, this is a state that's traditionally a swing state and it's one that's currently occupied by a democrat who's retiring. joni ernst has emerged as one of the republican shining stars in this race, famous for her early ad about hog castration, she's now up 1.8 points in the real clear politics average. but that des moines register poll, very, very significant, coming as it does on this final weekend suggests that she's turn the corner and in iowa, one of the states that was part of a real three-state runoff. iowa is in big, big trouble, bret. >> you've got a democratic

imcoupi incumbent in north carolina. >> the real clear politics average shows that the incumbent, kay hagan is still with a slight lead. but the republican in north carolina has lashed her as republicans have across the country who -- hitting record lows just in the last couple of days, this particular race has never had a gap between the two candidates of more than four points and like kentucky here, it too has topped $100 million in spending and the attack ads are so dizzying and misleading, democrats don't know who they are to vote for or against at this point. and colorado, there the war on women has really gone bad for democratic incumbent mark udall. and some of the media in a debate, nicknamed him mark

uterus. and the republican cory gardner has pushed out to the lead. looks like the republicans are looking to push mitch mcconnell in the senate majority leader role. >> the polling also suggests tuesday night may not tell us who controls the u.s. senate going forward. senior national correspondent john roberts is live in new orleans. hey, john. >> good evening, to you, bret, with so many races so close this year, it could be a long time before we find out who controls the senate. in fact, because of the rules here in louisiana, and in georgia, it might not be until next year. >> reporter: in a final push to election day, senator mary landrieu's campaign is counting on high wattage appearances including this one saturday with hillary clinton to get out the vote. >> give her three days for six

more years. >> a new maris poll shows that if the election were held today, mary landrieu would get the most votes, but not enough to avoid a runoff. >> i don't know whether we win november 4, but if not, we will win december 6. >> reporter: republican david perdue narrowly leads michelle nunn and the real clear politics average runs just sort of the 50% needed outeight. >> we have so many republicans who don't vote in the midterms. >> if georgia goes to a runoff on january 6, history should favor the republican candidate. but a hard fought two-month cam pain could defy historic models. landrieu has survived runoffs twice before, but the this jun primary is far more hostile than in past years, so all the candidates in both races are trying to put it to bed on

election night. >> what's going to happen tuesday? >> republicans are even urging voters to ignore third party or alternative candidates, dr. ben carson yesterday imploring tea party candidates -- >> a couple of votes, a couple of percentage could determine what we win this election or it goes to a runoff. >> if the democratic candidates in these races hope to win outright on tuesday, they need to turn out an african-american vote in numbers closer to a presidential election year, rar rather than a midterm. the question, though, bret, are they good enough? >> both sides are fighting for a majority in the senate. what is it going to take for either party to actually get there. >> good evening to both of you, how could you live without it? i mean it's been two years. >> or you. >> i meant me.

florida's back and to folks at home watching us tonight. this is the scenario we will put in play for how you can follow along just about 48 hours from now, and 48 hours from now this whole map is going the change. we took 16 states that are either too close to call riling knew, tossups, blue for republican, red for republican, that's your starting mark for tuesday night. based on polling so far, and talking to a lot of folks from the campaign, it is generally believed that republicans will get a pickup here in west virginia that will put them at 46, likely south dakota that puts them at 47 and montana that gets them to 48. where do you go? republican, it's a race to 51. republicans have many ways to get there, democrats have a couple of ways to stop them. so you just talked about iowa, perhaps joni ernst wins out in iowa. perhaps tim cotton wins in iowa.

that gets them to 50/50. and you need to go one more state to get to 51. maybe colorado depinnending on polling that's coming out of there. if you take iowa off the map, you're back to 50/50. so, again, republicans have a lot of ways to get to 51, democrats are a couple of ways to take it away. even if the republicans were to win in iowa, let's say, they would have to defend a couple of states. like kansas, where pat roberts is in a big race, georgia which may go to a runoff two months from now or even chokentucky. two things i think you can key on for tuesday night, the closing at 7:30 in the evening, north carolina, if republicans are in for a way, tom tillis will beat kay hagan.

if she beats out tom tillis, that's one way that democrats can stop republicans from taking back the senate. that new hampshire poll has jeanne shaheen up for an average of 2 1/2 points right now. we might be able to call it at 8:00 on tuesday night. but if shaheen hangs on, we could be in for a long, long evening to determine who will get the balance of power. first team to 51 wins, guys. >> make sure to follow us on twitter too, at bret baier. >> and megyn kelly, on fox news. on tuesday, 6:00 p.m., we're going to go straight to the kelly file, 9:00 p.m., the kelly file repeat, 12 m. >>. president obama recently

said his policies are on the ballot on tuesday, every single one of them. plus our all-star panel is here to weigh in on what they think this election is really about. >> we're in great shape in this race, we're very confident. i think everybody in kansas knows that if you vote for my opponent, you're voting for obama.

president obama doing some last-minute campaigning in connecticut and pennsylvania today. 2014 hasn't exactly been a banner year for the president. his poll numbers have hit record lows and many in his own party are refusing to say whether they

voted for him in 2008 or 2012. >> what kind of effect will that actually have on the midterms? head henry is live in philadelphia. >> reporter: the president says he's not getting involved in 2016, so we may have just seen his last political rally in office. here in philadelphia, democrats hope the obama effect will be higher, african-american turn youth for the governor's race here. but republicans are noting when it comes to those key senate races you've been talking about, the president's dance card has been empty. >> handing down something better to our kids, that's why you have to vote. >> reporter: the story of president obama in the midterms in a nutshell, a graying leader still trying to belt out familiar refrains of hope and change, yet playing at far mauler venues than he used to. the rock far aura just a vague memory. protesters repeatedly interrupting him demanding more action on immigration. >> this is a rowdy crowd today.

>> reporter: and this is one of the few places where he actually was invited. senate democrats wanted no part of a presidential visit. which is why in the past few days he's been relegated to stumping for gubernatorial candidates in blue states. enthusiasm for if the has cratered. his favorable rating in a abc news washington news poll, is 44%, a 16 point drop since the start of his second temprm. >> people want a change, as long as you have the same players, harry reid and kbaum obama blockading any -- >> reporter: even some of the president's so called safe gubernatorial stops didn't go so well, with some people hitting the exits early, while some key democrats didn't want him to enter at all, preferring he stay in washington and deal with isis

and eboebola. >> with all that's going on, i don't think it makes sense for the president to visit philadelphia right now. >> reporter: what they did not see on tv, let me show you real quick is? black curtain, what's that covering up is the other half of the basketball arena here at temple university. they were going to have a lot more empty seats, so they didn't seat anybody over there, they covered up half of the arena, a long way for the president when he had greek columns and adoring crowds. we will learn a lot about why the democrats made the decisions they did. plus, get a load of this lineup, charles krauthammer, juan williams, dana parino all here with analysis of what's really moving the numbers this tuesday night. >> well, you mean, he has been a drag. i mean i'm just going to be

honest about that. people here know that i have had my father share of disagreements with him.

. one of the best ways to find out why people voted the way they did are exit polls.

>> so we have none for you tonight. but we know the questions wire going to ask immediately when they exit the polling station. and martha mcechanicc -- >> our exit poll team will be looking at what's really on people's minds as they exit the polls on tuesday. what is motivating them, especially in these senate and governor's races. fox news will interview people as they exit the voting booth to ask how they voted and why. so president obama not on the ballot this year obviously. but is he? he has said that his policies clearly are. so one of the questions we're going to ask is one of the reasons for you to vote to show support or opposition to the president of the united states? that one's going to be telling. how much of the time do you think you can trust the government to do what's right. these are big issues that are going to underpin the answers to these questions.

you've got obama care, the irs scandals, ebola, isis, we'll see if americans trust their leadership or if their vote tonight is to register a lack of that trust. and how about 2016, this is going to be interesting. do they like jeb bush, chris christie, rachbd paund paul, cr christie, we're also going to talk about terrorism u about the economy, what's the biggest thing that weighs on your vote tonight. that's all coming up on tuesday night. >> crunching the numbers, martha, thank you. so the hot button of race playing a big role in this final weekend before the midterms and our panel will be weighing in on that. chris wallace is here with the campaign cowboys. karl rove and joe trippi, what they're seeing on the ground. that's indicating how tuesday will turn out, we'll talk about all of that.

48 hours to go until ele election day. chris wallace is the an anchor of fox news sunday. >> i will be spending campaign -- and joe trippi who has run a number of democratic campaigns, they'll be looking inside the numbers for signs of how these midterm elections will turn out. we want to talk first of all about the ground game, i think it's fair to say, carl, the democrats outorganized republicans in 2012, the question is are they going to do it again? you want to focus on the state of kansas where at this point, incumbent republican senator pot roberts is trailing independent greg orman by about a point. what do you see in kansas? >> if he does win, it will be because of the ground game. through thursday night, 115,000 people had voted early or

absentee, 50% were republicans, 30% were democrats and 20% unaffiliated. >> so you fig it's 55% -- >> i wouldn't have expected all those affiliates to go for. i would suspect this probably points to about a 60/40 margin or thereabouts for roberts and that's a good sign. >> what do you see on the ground foreca kansas. >> together with the kansas republican party they have got an extensive ground game. they have made over the last eight days 100,000 phone calls or door knocks each and every day. and orman has no extensive network of volunteers and no extensive ground game. >> and a possible pickup for the republicans is alaska, that's a state where the former republican state attorney general dan sullivan leads as

you can see there, leads the democratic incumbent mark begich by 2 1/2 points, what do you see in terms of the ground game in alaska. >> mark begich has always been an organizational guy, he's been running a strong organizational campaign the entire year, 15 field offices, 90 field staff, and polling now reports that 43% of voters in alaska say they were contacted by the begich campaign and some of the move he is has made in the past two polls, the -- sullivan on the republican side, came in in october and really started to slam on the ground as well. if begich wins up there, and i think it will be the ground game that pulls that off for him. >> the top issue for voters in all of the polls as usual is the economy and today on fox news sunday, former governmeor mitt romney, and democratic senator

ben carden both made their cases. here they are. >> we're feeling good about what's happening, look at the economy, as you pointed out, 55 months of job growth. unemployment rate the lowest it's been since 2008. the economy is usually what turns voters directions, so we're feeling good. >> the question is whether or not anything's going to get done in washington. of course the economy comes back after recession, the president's policies delayed that recovery, have made it much more difficult for americans to get back to work. reported numbers of americans have dropped out of workforce. >> carl forget the merits politically, which side has the better arguments here. >> it's not the democrats side, because the president's approval rating is in the 30s. many people have left the workforce, anemic growth of 2% per year. when the democratses say everything's going good and we got the jobs and the economy, it

just grates on people who have a much more different view of the economy. >> if you look at the macronumbers, unemployment, gdp growth, there's no question that gret has him proved, but when you look at what people feel in their daily lives, they're not sensitive that things have gotten better. >> that's what i have been saying since june, even if you did turn the economy completely around, voters don't feel it for three, four, five, six months after that move starts happening. it didn't move in time for it to change in width of a percentage point in november. >> all right, finally we asked each of you to pick a bell weather state, a state that you'll be looking at early in the evening to get a sense of which way the world is going to turn on tuesday night. you, joe, picked new hampshire where democratic senator jeanne shaheen is holding off former

massachusetts senator scott brown who has moved across from massachusetts to new hampshire by 2 1/2 points. what do you see there and what are you going to be looking for on tuesday? >> polls close there at 8:00 eastern time, so it's going to be one of the first states to close and there are four counties on the vermont border that tend to, even if a republican is winning, they tend to broaden out. if the democrats are running good, that -- democrats are leading there. so i'm going to look at those counties early on. >> but in terms of new hampshire, if jeanne shaheen holds on, what does that say about the night, and conversely, if scott brown takes new hampshi hampshire. >> if he is in it and on her, she could end up eking it out at the end. just that being contested that way means it's probably going to

be a bad night for democrat who are countingsing on holding. >> carl, you want to focus on one of the other states where the ballots close early and that's north carolina, where democratic senator kay haygan is holding a run to a tight, you can see there, 1.1-point lead over state house leader tom tillis, what are you going to be looking for there. >> hagan has outspend tillis 2-1. i'm going to be looking at how close in each jurisdiction is she to her 2008 performance. if she is running 5% or further behind in those early returns, she's in trouble. and again, it's like new hampshire, joe kapp chured it exactly right. it's going to be a bad night for the democrats as we move further

west. >> even if democrats hold it in both of those cases, that's an indication it's going to be a bad night. and conversely, if the republicans take those, it's going to be a wave election. >> as you can see, my guys here can't wait to start breaking down some numbers, picking up some trends and wait for this, because look for the cam pain cowboys, we're going to break out our stetsons and bandannas sometime on tuesday, so you may want to stick around. >> you have really ridden that campaign cowboy thing. >> we haven't begun. >> i don't know if i would accept the invitation otherwise. our political panel be their ann analysis of what's moving the numbers. >> this is really the last chance for america to pass judgment on the obama administration and not it's policies.

this week marks the final time president obama will be campaigning for an election that directly impacts his presidency. >> charles krauthammer, juan williams, dana parino and former white house press secretary under george w. bush, and brit hume is our fox news political analyst. >> what is it about? obviously we'll learn a lot from exit polls on tuesday. when you look at it now, brit. >> we see it in the media all the time, this has been an election about nothing. in fact to say that is to say that the last two years of the obama administration, since his

re-election have been about nothing, but they obviously have not, and people's judgments about him and about the conditions which his policies have led to or they believe have led to, has, the view of that has deteriorated sharply and mitt romney was suggesting that this is people's sort of last chance to register their objections to what they have seen and the only way to do it is to vote against his party and that is i think principally responsible for the condition of the race that we see. and the weakness of the republican party that there's many close races as there are. but that's what the race is about principally. >> why now, charles? why would they be willing to do that in 2014 and not back in 2012. >> in i think in part is because we have now had six years to see what obama's hyper liberalism does. the 2010 midterm was about ideology, this midterm is about confidence. and i'll give you an example.

the major issue in 2010 was obama care, a kind of symbol of obama's kind of liberal overreach and he got a resounding rejection, a shellacking he caled it. in six years, remember in 2010, obama care was -- now it's reality. what is the most important -- the actual launch which was a disaster and the ultimate incompetence in the government and you add on to that all the other displays of incompetence, everything from the va scandal to -- with 50% of americans saying we're going to hell in a hand basket. which is incidentally is a heck of a question to ask on a poll. the sense of the world and the country being out of control. this really is about performance, not ideology. >> democrats have to feel a

little heartened that despite the president being under the water in many of these states, a lot of them mitt romney won in a number of races, there's still questions to this point. >> i think one of the intriguing aspects of this race to me is why aren't the republicans doing better? because clearly we're playing on republican turf, this is a home game, if you look at the states, especially in the south, as you point out bret, obama won overwhelm bri overwhelm overwhelmi overwhelmingly, not even close. we can go at it in a different way, i disagree with brit about the content of this election because when i see the numbers, what do i see in i see mostly republicans who say it's about president obama. but if you ask the rest of the electorate, they don't think it's about obama. >> why are all these democratic candidates running away from him. >> they're in states where people voted for mitt romney and

they're strong republicans. >> in those states obama carried. >> obama really did not, even in north carolina where you could say obama -- what did he win by one point? >> only one. but overwhelmingly -- >> i mean jeanne shaheen has been running gems him in new hampshire. >> the shape of the electorate is such that who turns out in midterms, older white, republican men. who turns out in 2012 in presidential races then you s younger crowd, the minorities, the women -- >> none of this makes the relationship any less about obama. >> when you ask people what it's about, what do they say? the economy is number one, then they talk about issues like health care, they go on down the line. if you're saying what make this is election here, i don't think we see it. >> let me ask dana a question, whether it's about obama or not, what's going to happen if the republicans win control of the

senate, i mean they already control the house. and they have put a stop to a large part of obama became's agenda, which was their mandate when they got put in the house in 2010. so what tease n's the new mandae republicans take over in 2012. >> it's not a mandate, we want you to do x in washington. i agree with charles that it's about competence but it's also about achievement and accomplishment. one thing that's different this year for republicans and in recent elections has been the credible candidate alternative. so since 1980, republicans have only been able to beat two incoupinku incumbent democrats. that's not just a president obama issue, that's better candidacy, better messagerying and strategy. because there's not a very clear agenda, i do think the

republicans are going to have a little bit of a hard time. it depends on how president obama wants to play this, is he going to be recalcitrant or is he going to want to cooperation. hillary clinton, if she's the nominee, she will be the one that will be able to run against that. >> first they have too get there, one of the big states that is key to all of that is iowa. des moines republican -- des moines register is a pretty good polling operation. independences break for joni ernst 51-39 independents in that poll. in that article, senator harry reid is questionoted saying if iowa, we're going to do just fine. iowa is critical. >> that's one of the states that the president carried and the

democratic candidate is in real trouble and you're right, bret about the des moines register poll, it has a very good reputation, compared to the other polls it should be noted at the moment it looks like a bit of an outlier because the margin is so much greater, but it is the latest poll and i think the last poll that will be taken in that state. so it's worth paying attention to and it looks likes joni ernst has a margin of error. >> the question of what would get done if the republicans took over the senate. today mitch mcconnell suggested more will get done, there will be less gridlock in washington. mitt romney had a take on what would happen specifically with respect to immigration and a bill there. this is what he told chris wallace earlier today. >> you're going to see a provision first of all to secure the border, second of all to deal with those who come here illegally and third to make sure that our immigration policies

are more open and transparent to the many people who do want to come here illegally. you will see a bill actually reach the desk of the president if we finally see someone decides harry reid sitting in the senate. >> i hope the republicans do construct an immigration reform that will look exactly like that. it will be a grand bargain, on the one hand you really do border control and you really do some kind of legalization, which i think the american people would accept if they had a sense this is the last cohort of millions who would be legalized because the border would be secure. but i'm not sure it's the weisest political step for the republicans to do because it's going to be really hard internally and in negotiations with the president. i would start with low hanging fruit. keystone pipeline, deregulation of the energy, allowing the sale of oil overseas and perhaps corporate tax reform. because on that you could get,

there are a lot of democrat who is want to do that. that would demonstrate that the republicans are a party who can govern, which i think is the key, if they take control of the senate, the key to winning the presidency in 2016, other than having a good candidate of course is to show the country that they aren't only the party of no and seizure of the senate is the way to do it. >> it's interesting, juan, like michelle nunn, the democrat in georgia, she's saying vote for her to get rid of gridlock, this gridlock game is being used by both sides. >> you know what's interesting to me is you watch the commercials and so many of the commercials, the candidates are áq) side, in the michelle nunn case, she's saying i worked with the organization, there's a tremendous effort to say i worked against the gridlock in d.c. it come backs to the idea that i think people are mad at all of

washington. and what people want is, i think an increasing appetite for compromise, and i know that's a dirty word in many quarters. i think right now since things are at such a low ebb, republicans are saying, can't you work on anything? current you get anything done? >> whoever is the democratic minority leader in this election goes the way it appears it will will be in the same position as mi mitch mcconnell is now. they will have plenty of votes to sustain a filibuster if that's what happens. if listen interewill be interesf the republicans in the house are block bid filibuster. point two is the president will make noises like he has in the past about his willingness to cooperate with the new congress. my guess is he then won't do it as he didn't in the past. but most of our colleagues in the,)heñ media seem not to noti

that and they talk got how hard the president tried to cooperate and what a big outreach he plead to the republicans, actually substantively they -- >> if your sole goal was to elect a republican president in 2016, would you be rooting for the republicans to win on tuesday, or would you refer for them to stay this minority party, only controlling the house, making big promises to the electorate about what they could do if they only controlled more? >> i think the election is so important i think it's always better to win and it's better for republican candidates who think they want to run in 2016, whether you're in a governor's office. if i was the republican i would find some moderate democrats and try to bring them into the fold and then send obama legislation that he might veto.

let's see that, because harry reid will be president obama's -- >> stand by, we're going to have much more with our panel when with come right back and look at how both gender and race are playing in the final run to the 2014 midterms, and we have breaking nutz that just came in on that. next. >> why does it makes sense to tie tom tillis, who's the state house speaker to the shooting to trayvon martin in florida, how does it make any sense except for playing the race card.

>> why does it make sense to tie tom tillis who's the house speaker, the state house speaker in north carolina to the shooting of trayvon martin in florida, how does it make any sense except for playing the race card? >> i think you're isolating one particular part of the race card. >> what about kay haygan has our senator leader. >> that race has been won on the issues, some people would even

call it race-baiting. is that taking it a little far? >> look, i am not a fan of any of these independent expendit e expenditur expenditures, i care what side of the aisle they are, i would like to overturn the citizen's united case. >> back with us, charles krauthammer, juan williams and brit hume. >> georgia, north carolina, others, thoughts about how this plays. >> there's no question about what's going on here, i don't know why they engage in those games, the fact is if you look at louisiana, arkansas, georgia, north carolina. you have the democrats relying heavily on increasing the level of black turnout in the midterm elections. and i think, unfortunately, they're relying on a great deal

of stirring racial animosity. there is no legitimate way to time tom death of trayvon martin. there's no legitimate way to look at that little kids with their hands up to say somehow that's the responsibility of a republican who voted for a stand to revoke that's a distortion to me. democrats say an eye for an eye because we are worried about voter id and all of the rest. the basic point is let's look at the map and what you sees democrats looking at let's say a state like georgia 2012 i think it's 1 and a half million black voters. then you come back to 2010 and it's about half of that 700,000 or so who turnout for a mid term election. democrats know they have to pump up that turnout just as a sign of pump up the women turnout in those states.

>> why not be honest about it? if you want to make the argument and say african american communities if you don't get out there and vote you will wind up in a situation like you had in ferguson missouri where you feel disempowered, et cetera. now you have completely dodged the question rather than take it out and just be honest about the point including harry reid not like random democrats are trying to make. >> they split to cbs what happened in ferguson missouri will happen in the state of georgia. that wasn't an outside atd it was an ad put out by the democratic in georgia. it was put up by a democratic party in georgia. it was distributed only in certain key areas. what the democrats are trying to

do is say certain things to this certain subset of voters to stoke the fires there while not playing that kind of campaign game for the purpose of reaching other voters. it is a tricky thing to do. president obama you remember when david axle rod his policies were on the ballots and so on. he later said these candidates supported him and he was part of the team spo to speak. >> look where he said it on al sharpton's radio show a narrow audience. presumably in his mind at least an african american audience. this was a party that has been trying to have it both ways. >> the reason they wouldn't own up to it because it was scandal louse. patriotism used to be the last refuge and today it's racism. the democrats know it.

the reason they are doing it is because they can't argue on economy and they can't argue on foreign policy and can't argue really on anything, so they are left to create, to invent the war on women and here is the war on african americans. the reason it is so really disappointing is obama when he came to the american people originally, the promise was he would restore the confidence in government and lowest ever than today. the great speech he made in 2004 he would bring america together. there's no red america, no blue america, no white america, no black america. for his party to be doing this is a desperate attempt to salvage a few seats in the senate truly divisive but truly scandal louse. it is the ultimate leg gages of the promise of his entire

presidency. it is shameful. >> we saw mary landrieu come out and suggest that the reason he is falling behind in the polls is his gernd and women have a difficult time if the south and race in the south and president obama's poll numbers there. today just before air time tom mar ki harkin senator from arkansas said don't be fooled because ernst is really attractive. i have been watching these ads. hear so much about joanie she is really attractive and she sounds nice. she goes on to say i don't care if she is as good looking as tail tore swift or as nice as mr. rogers if she is voting for michelle bachmann she is wrong for iowa. if republicans said that it would be national news. wall to wall news. in this case he will probably get away with that. remember in 2008 when hillary

clinton lost the primary in iowa one of the things she said in talking about her loss is i was very surprised to see that iowa never elected statewide a women to office. now iowa is about to and it will be republican women jody ernst. with landrieu i am surprised she is won statewide elections three times. she is well liked in the south. this is knotted her year. if i were here i would have insisted president obama had a campaign down in new orleans. if the race is that close it could have helped turnout the base to her and it would have been a different story. she is going to change the media environment completely. she will be the only one that did it. >> we have to run, juan. he may still have a chance because it may go to a

>> thanks for being with us to look at the runup to the mid terms. so much more to come as america heads to the polls. >> and decides who holds the key to power in the next two years. we will be right here with the entire fox news election team. coverage begins 6:00 p.m. eastern tuesday night and goes -- we don't know how far it goes. >> through january. could go through a runoff in december and again in january. >> we will be here. >> we have our caffeine. check us out. >> follow us on twitter@bret baier. >> and megyn kelly.

or on facebook. >> you snuck that in. >> it has five times the reach they tell we are done. >> controversial from the start. >> if you like your doctor, you'll be able to keep your doctor. >> keep your insurance if you like it. >> obamacare has fundamentally transformed our medical system. >> i want to stay with the doctors i have. >> tonight we go to new hampshire, one state that is a microcosm of the nation. >> i'm married to someone of the same sex but i'm made to purchase birth control coverage. >> on doctors. on politics. >> we have had it confirmed. it's a disaster. >> your life may depend on it. >> in obamacare is not repealed and replaced, the american