followed by "fox & friends" at 6 a.m. >> and if you have to run for the tv, run to the radio. we've got an all-star line - up on kilmeade and friends. ainsley, you have a wake up call pretty early tomorrow. >> i know. >> we'll see you tomorrow. bill: good morning. it's tuesday after a month of campaigning. the ads and campaigning is all over because it's election day. who will control the u.s. senate come january which means who controls congress. a lot of you may have voted already. it's popular they say these days. i'm bill hemmer. martha: i'm martha maccallum. early vote come a big indicator for the day and the night. both parties are trying to read

the tea leaves in the 18 million number of ballots already cast. >> reporter: president obama who has been mostly absent from senate campaign tells tarheel voters to pick democratic senator kay hagan. she is in a tight race with tom til his and a third-party candidate. mark prior's opponent this morning says pryor cannot distance himself from the president too much. >> president obama said it best a couple weeks ago when he said his policies are on the ballot. mark pryor votes for arkansas 90% of the time.

>> reporter: the democratic party sent their brightest stars to campaign. and in new hampshire residents may elect republican scott brown over jeanne shaheen. in kansas an independent candidate greg orman could unseat three-term senator pat roberts. orman would not tip his hand about which party he wants to caucus with if he wins. at the end of the day i think harry reid and mitch mcconnell have been partisan far too long to be majority leader. >> reporter: if the gop takes the senate he could replace harry reid as the senate majority leader.

the gop fakes control of the upper chamber by picking up six of the 36 senate seats up for grabs today. bill: we'll put this map into motion. 7, 8, 10 hours from now. a lot of movement, the balance of power. democrats have the majority with two interests voting with them 55-45 in the senate. if you go to the maps, the what if scenario we have 16 states more or less that are too close to call. in less than 10 hours away, at 7:00 p.m. eastern time a critical race in kentucky. will mitch mcconnell win reelection? will mitch mcconnell be the next majority leader? kansas is being decided tonight or will that go to runoff two

months from now. 7:30 later in the night. watch north carolina. very close race between kay hagan and thom tillis. too close to call. as we move throughout the night, that's when new hampshire closes in the northeast. they are in a death match with jean she mean. -- jean shajeanne shaheen.>> e. the states are polls close early in the evening, that's where democrats have got get the job done. kentucky, georgia, the name of the games we are going to look to see what does the electorate look like today. we'll get the core sample of the electorate. are republicans fired up?

are democrats fired up? is anybody disaffected. the giant brains will start churning and what we'll see count road. kansas is crazy. you get better get your johnson county ... bill: we'll be ready for that, too. greg orman was on this morning. it's the first time he has done an interview in some time. when candidates do that, what does that tell you? >> help at the beginning of the republican strategy labeling him anne a de facto democrat. but now we have seen his numbers among republicans falling off. he can't do the stealth strategy. now he has to convince voters across the political spectrum. bill: i think 10:00 eastern time

will be intriguing because that's when was closes. joni ernst will join us a few moments from now. >> center square for the block right there in the middle. whoever has got iowa, it maybe early, it may be late. whoever end up with iowa i think will end up with the senate. paul lynn. martha: you know what i was doing after school. if republicans win control of the senate will they be able to break the gridlock and get some bills to the president's desk? he's criticizing senate majority leader harry reid for not forcing hard votes. >> reporter: the senate has

been a place to debate the big issues. you win some, you lose some. since july last year there has only been 12 republican amendments voted on. martha: today's mid-term elections price tag tallies at $3.7 billion. so are those candidate out there worth all that money. we'll talk about republicans outspending democrats by $105 million? all those tv ads cost an estimated $1 billion. somebody is happy about all that. the race between thom tillis and kay hagan is going down in history as the most expensive senate race in history.

some folks will be happy with what they sent, some not so much. $114 million in north carolina. bill: the justice department sending poll watchers to 18 states. they include the battlegrounds, too, such as north carolina. at the same time holder slamming voter i.d. laws. but saying the justice department will do nothing to block them. martha: i'll have a look at the exit polls. chris wallace, brit hume, charles kraut charmer, george will, dana perino. what a lineup. bill: we'll need a bigger

studio. joni ernst is on deck. many republicans tying their oh own don't president obama. now the white house seems to be downplaying the president's role in the outcome. will the mid-terms be a referendum on him? martha: a truck load jet fuel collides with a jet. billjet.. bill: joni ernst voting in her own town. >> just like taylor swift says, we are going to shake this off. we'll drive on and share my message with iowans. that's what's important in the final hours of this election cycle.

martha: police in los angeles trying to figure out what cause the a fuel truck to collide with an american airlines plane. nobody was on that plane, thankfully and no fuel spilled. there was no fire, thank goodness. bill: 9:13 in new york. the polls are open in iowa and des moines and southwest of des moines in red oak, iowa,

joni ernst just cast her balance. she joined me to explain the status for the race for the senate in that tight, tight state. senate candidate joni ernst is with me. welcome back to america's newsroom. >> good morning, bill. bill: where do you believe this race is right now with bruce braley? >> i believe we are going to take the day. we just came off of a 24-hour tour of the state of iowa and people are excited. they want to see a different collection in the united states. i'm going to provide them with that direction. bill: senator tom harkin linked you with taylor swift. when shannon bream caught up with him this is how he reacted.

>> i shouldn't have said that, i know that. but i always regret when someone feels offended by something i said. i don't care who it is. bill: is that end of the story for you? >> it is the end of the story. he did somewhat apologize. as taylor swift says, i'm going to shake it off. bill: he was complimenting you on the race you have run thus far. how did you react to that? >> he has been complimentary. we have had a great campaign. our idea values and the was way of doing things, creating opportunities for iowa yants is resonating across the state. congressman bruce braley's failed policy are the not connecting with voters. bill: you said senator harkin

and many democrats believe you can't be a real woman if you are female. >> we should be celebrating the fact that we have women stepping up into leadership positions. regardless of their ideas, ideologies, we shouldn't be tearing people down because of their gender or ideas. just celebrate the fact that they are stepping forward. bill: hillary clinton said it's not enough just to be a woman. what did you take from that? >> that's very unfortunate. women have different ideas. what i'm hearing from women in iowa, they are concerned about some of the same things men are

concerned about, jobs, economy, overspending, a strong national defense. those are things we are all concerned about. bill: how would you characterized the status for the war on women in america today? >> this is something i have fought against, i spoke out against the night of my primary election. i didn't want to hear about the phoney war on women. first i am a woman, and second i have been to war and this is not a war. any time the democrats use that word they should be doing tonight honor of our servicemen and women. bill: do you think that phrase "war and women still resonates today? >> i don't think it does. we need to stand up and take leadership roles. don't be afraid is what we should be saying.

bill: you could be the first female senator in the history of iowa. what does mat mean to you? >> i haven't spent a lot of time thinking about that yet. i believe i'm the right candidate at the trite time in iowa. but it is thrilling to think i might be the first female elected to federal office in iowa as well as the first combat veteran female elected to the:united states senate -- to the united states senate. bill: thank you. martha: the exit polls will give us our first indication of how things are going. our pollsters will have women, hispanics and african-american voters very much on their mind as they watch the turnout numbers. that will give us an indication of how things are going to go. bill: a woman abducted on the

streets of a major american city. now the family's desperate flee to find her. >> the video is disturbrbing. she didn't have to go through that. if it's ransom, let her go. she don't deserve this.

bill: we are learning the head of u.s. naval intelligence lost his security clearance. it was suspended after being investigated for possible misconduct. not clear what he might have done. since then he hasn't been able to view classified information. martha: as results come in tonight i'll be covering the exil polls.

to give you a look at how all of this works. let's start with you, chris. what is the most surprising development you have seen over the course of this? >> none of the races have really broken open. the republicans maintained a fairly consistent but small edge and it hasn't broken open. today is still interesting. republicans still have a lot of advantages going into this but not enough that tonight is not going very close. martha: what races have you been surprised by? think the race thn most interesting for me is kansas. that was a race 6, 7 months ago nobody thought would be

competitive. democrats never win in kansas. martha: a couple groups you will be watching. african-american voters. the president happens tried hard to get them out. it will ben'ting to see how republicans do with them. >> one of the things that is so interesting, the polls show a republican advantage. but if the african-americans and hispanics and younger members vote in higher numbers the democrats could have an advantage. martha: there was a follow that shows millennials are 51%

republican. >> you couple as a millennial, the iraq war, the bush presidency defined your attitudes. does that stamp you forever or do you change over time? i think there is a sense what happened the last six years could be turning the attitude and preferences of the millennials. martha: some people listen to polls, it's too hard to know what's going on. you have got people on cell phones and people on land lines. how good do you think the polls are? >> i think they are good. there is anxiety among pollsters every cycle but i think we have done a pretty good job adjusting as the elections come along. martha: are we better in terms of the cell phone issue? >> the school of thought that maybe we ought to skip traditional phone polls all together and move straight to

internet and there are a number of vendors that do that. response rates are very low. it's difficult to explain to people that's people refuse to answer your polls. we have ways of compensating for that. the cell phone percentages is bument'ing up closer to 4 -- pumping upull -- the cell phonee bumping up to 40%. bill: one of the tighter races in the country, new hampshire and a former senator trying to beat the incumbent. martha: president obama has no plans to appear publicly today. is the white house conceding it will be a tough day for democrats?

>> here is a senate race to watch. senator jeanne shaheen running for reelection. it appears to be a tight race. some say a coin toss live in manchester, new hampshire. good morning, momly. >> it's a beautiful day in the granite state. we are seeing long lines of voters. we have seen it steady throughout the morning. we are in the webster school. one of the most even ghaijtd nation. this is the home of the first in the nation primary. today it's all about the mid-terms. party insiders are predictabling a good turnout. the most significant race in new hampshire is for the u.s. senate. brown is the former senator from

massachusetts who gained national fame when he bet democrat martha coakley in a special election. following that loss in massachusetts he moved north to new hampshire. bill: you talked to a lot of party leaders. how did they characterize this race on the last day? >> reporter: republican leaders feel scott brown has been a strong candidate for the state. >> i'm pretty sure scott is going to win unless there is a huge surprise on the democratic turnout. he has run a fantastic race. he talked about the concern voters have or obamacare and national security. he talked about isis and he talked about ebola. >> jeanne shaheen has been part of the new hampshire community

for four decade. she served as governor and she raised her family here. the people of new hampshire know her and trust her. whatever scott brown has tried to do we don't think will be successful at all. >> we have some live pictures to show you of scott brown casting his ballot. just beginning to get started. we are expecting jeanne shaheen to cast her vote thissing morning. all the voters are the ones who will finally make the decision. polls close at 8:00. this will be one of the races to watch as far as early results. so these will be one of the earliest race whereas we'll get to see some results and give us some idea of what's going on across the nation. molly line in new hampshire.

martha: president obama is not on the ballot but he said the americans will be voting on his policies. now the white house seems to be downplaying the role of the president in all this. >> reporter: the senate contests that so closely followed. it would not be wise to draw as broad a conclusion about the outcome this election as you would from a national presidential election. so these are states he didn't win in anyway. so it's not a referendum on the president. >> it sound likes he's setting up the white house to explain away what i think will be a substantial republican victory. the only outstanding question is

how large will that victory be? >> we talk about the 6-year itch but it's very unusual in recent times for a president to experience two mid-term shellackings. it didn't happen with bush. clinton gets killed in '94 and comes back with a good night in 98. this is a president getting rebuked in 2010. and getting rebuked again. they will pick up potentially 7, 8, 9 seats. you look at the house. the republicans may have their biggest majority since the 1940s. martha: here is what larry sabato had to say as he looked into his crystal ball for the last time before this presidential election. >> we just called the final 9 races. we called the on the ertds

months in advance. we said consistently we thought the republicans would get 51-53 seats. we now settled on 53. that does include the runoff in louisiana and possible runoff in georgia. it does not include north carolina and new hampshire. we still have them leaning to the democrats, but it's awfully close. martha: he's including a win for republicans in both of potential runoff states and he's not including for good measure new hampshire or north carolina which we just spoke to to pollsters, neither one of them would commit to how that's going to go. it could be a lot tighter than people think. >> it could be if it is a better flight for democrats with early results from north carolina and new hampshire. if both jeanne shaheen and senator hagan win, and win by

more than a point or two, that is a huge victory for the democrats. mary landrieu is running behind as is michelle nunn in georgia. martha: people are not terribly enthusiastic about either party. i was watching different channels, the talk was republicans ought to be winning by a land slide. >> there is something to that. the republican party's image has never recovered from the late bush years. that's why you won't see a massive wave tonight. but you look at new hampshire and north carolina. the democrats couldique ou -- ct wins there. >> one of the key states for me and i have a personal interest because i have been helping him through the super pac, is greg

orman in kansas. whether he wins or not, the idea somebody rejecting both parties running an independent race, should he win or do as well as the polls suggest, it's a message about how people feel about two parties in a red state. martha: it's something hugely instrumental because mitch mcconnell is planning on being the senate majority leader and that would be a huge upset in kansas. >> i would favor orman to win at the moment. roberts is an incumbent and is in the low 40s. he has run a terrible campaign and is a lack luster candidate. candidates and campaigns matter. so you look at colorado, where cory gardner, no one would have expected him to have a comfortable lead going into election day. he's as upbeat guy, he diffused the democratic agenda.

you look at kansas that should be locked away and done with. you have a 30-year guy who could loots because of his quality as a candidate. martha: turnout will be so important. and it will take the temperature on whether people care or not in this country. people may say to hell with you, we are not interested. >> there is a lot of dissatisfaction which retards turnout. early voting was more successful for tboapt parties. but the democrats got out less habit you'l-- habitual voters. bill: take a look at the dow. we are barely moving.

investors keeping an eye on today's election. also watching the impact of falling oil prices. gas getting keep inner, america. i like saying ali babba. the gop wins the senate, what happens to your government. do they work together? rob portman is our guest live next. martha: a horrifying attack that was caught on video. a woman was kidnapped right off of a street. police and her family are trying to find to help to figure out who has her and how to bring her home safe. >> please bring her back home. just let her go. drop her off somewhere.

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martha: a chilling attack caught on video. she is fighting to get away from him before the attacker pulls her time his car and takes off. the victim's father is make a desperate plea. >> just let her go, she is a sweet young lady. please, just let her go. martha: the poor man. police are searching for the 22-year-old. her phone and glasses were left at the scene. bill: should the republicans win the senate, what then? rob portman, the vice chair of the republican senatorial committee. you are also the finance chair.

how did you do raising money during this cycle? >> we are doing really well. we had a record month in october. over $17 million. i think it's receiptive of the enthusiasm and energy on our side. a lot of donors were donor hospital gave on line or through direct mail and want to see the senate majority because necessity want to get the gridlock behind us. they don't have to report for another week and they haven't reported yet. but we are reporting today and proud of it. we'll see if the democrats are proud of it in october. again, it reflects the fact that a lot of our donors are excite about the prospect of get ago majority. >> your job is to get the senate back in the hands of republicans. where is this race tomorrow

morning? >> i heard what you said earlier about larry sabato's projection. he's projecting 53 republican seats. i think thrnl one, maybe two run yofts. that sounds optimistic but it's coming from a pollster who has been right in the past. i think we'll get majority with a couple seats to spare. bill bill: how does mitch mcconnell and barack obama do together. >> it will be in the interest of the country top move forward and one would to be insure we have a better energy system this country so we can take advantage of the tremendous opportunity we have with oil and gals. the united states can be a world class energy provider. the keystone xl pipeline is pane example of that. also picking up oil in north dakota. it would be great to become

energy independent. bill: do you expect the president to go along with that? is he going to wheel and deal or le be vote to-in-chief. >> efficiency for energy legislation republicans support. if we get the majority we'll be able to pass it with republicans and democrats alike. the same with trade. our service providers in america. the the same with regulatory relief. there are a lot of democrats that support that. and insuring we have a tax system that works. we don't have companies going overseas. the republicans and democrats alike saying let's get rates down. i think there is an opportunity to find common ground. bill: you heard what joe biden said over the weekend, he's ready to compromise.

do you believe that? >> we'll see. there is also a story out that the president is going to go purchase congress with executive orders. let's have more accountability and put guardrails around what the obama administration has been doing outside of congress so it's consistent with the constitution and the statutes that have been passed. it's an exciting opportunity for people to go to the polls to vote for the change, not for the status quo or gridlock. bill: you mentioned candidate askeexecutiveorders. do you think that would occur now between now and january? >> i think the president ought to be work was and we ought to be working with him. bill: if he does that does that spoil the water? >> it might toy on the well but i think it would be something

the american people would find counter to what just napped the election. the mess imagine this election if republicans win the majority is people are concerned about the direction of the country. the wrong track numbers are worse than 2010. so the concern about the direction the obama administration is taking the country and they want to see if we can get some things done. i hope that's the attitude the president will take. bill: if you have the majority, the first order of business is what? >> i think it's energy and keystone pipeline. gettinged the tax rate down so we can stop losing jobs and expanding exports. it's having a budget. we have not had a budget in the last five years. the senate has upon done one budget itself. we are not doing appropriations bills any more. there are others we ought to do as well. but let's get started on things where we can find agreement and

begin to show the american people the republican agenda is pro growth and pro jobs and we have the opportunity to get some of these things solved. bill: you will have to wheel and deal on the keystone pipeline to get that through. rob portman, we'll see where we are this time tomorrow. here's martha. >> reporter: searchers found wreckage from the virgin galactic plane 35 miles away from the crash site. bill: charlie crist taking on tim scott. we'll take you there live. a remote that lives on your phone.

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bill: one of public radios most beloved personalities has died. he was the cohost along with his younger brother ray on "car talk." along with his younger brother. they gave up expert advice to listeners who called in about their cars. they called themselves click and clack. he was 77. martha: there are dozen of governor's races up for grabs. 36, including wisconsin. scott walker casting his

balance -- casting his ballot in wisconsin. in florida big guns coming in for both sides. are we going to know a winner tonight or is this going to be too close to call? >> it am not clear whether we'll find out who wins tonight. the last gosms election in florida four years agopher one final word for our viewers thought was incredibly close. that went all night. this one is shaping up to possibly be even clears. if the difference between the two candidates is 30,000 votes. that could trigger what many florida officials fear, a recount. >> if you have a close he direct is tremendous scrutiny and always complaints about fraud or some kind of conspiracy they that come out. florida always lives with the

fallout from the 2,000 presidential election. >> reporter: florida got rid of those punch card ballots since the 2000 election so no danger of hanging chads. >> reporter: a ton of money float into florida for this race. really a ton of attention. >> reporter: the race has been so close flipping back and forth since the start. and both parties want to control the statehouse in the largest swing state in the country before the presidential election. they poured $150 million into this race. much of it on tv attack ads. so they are pouring everything in with shotgun ads here around the clock in florida, martha.

martha: thank you so much, steve. obviously steve makes a great point. you want to build a ground game in florida. that's why you see hillary clinton spending time there. chris christy and other potential candidates have been in florida as well. we'll see who ends up with that structure. bill: down to the wire. some close races across the country, which party will have the gavel in january for congress? and what would that mean? we are lining up heavy hitters. brit hume, karl rove, joe trippi, charles krauthammer on "america's newsroom" when we roll on.

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time since 2011. will they? we'll see as we welcome everybody. brand-new hour of america's newsroom. >> you wake up in the morning, you go, wow, it's here.the camp. the candidates kram scrambling to get out the vote. the americans are hoping to shift the balance of power from blue back to red. james rosen covering the senate race. carl cameron rise in kentucky. campaign carl in louisville. turnout will be a big part of this story. how is it looking in the early going in kentucky? >> turnout will be the determining factor. it always is in elections. it's really whoever gets most voters out of their house and wins. that's where the battle is.

mitch mcconnell is expected to vote in jefferson county in a matter of hours. alison lundergan grimes cast a vote for herself near her home in lexington. there is a suggestion mitch mcconnell has picked up some momentum. and mcconnell is seeking to be the majority leader but the minority leader is unpopular in his home state. he's seen by democrat as an obstructionist. >> i voted for alison because i think it's time for somebody new in washington. >> i voted for mitch because i think he many the best thing for kentucky and the best thing for the nation. >> i voted for alison because i think it's time for a change. >> i'm sick of mitch. >> i voted for mitch

mcconnell. i believe he's been and strong leader. i believe he has brought a lot of clout to kentucky and i don't trust alison lundergan grimes. >> reporter: the estimated turnout could be 60% to 65%. jefferson county is very liberal. this is a key county for alison lundergan grimes. she is expected to win the county and democrats say if she wins by 50,000 votes in this county that might be enough to oust the that minority leader mitchell mcconnell. bill: let's move out to kansas. pat roberts has never lost an election. this race is a coin toss. james rosen live outside of kansas city. you talked with both candidates yesterday.

the roberts team made a bold prediction. >> last night i ran into senator roberts and his chief campaign aids at the jayhawks basketball game. the aide's name is cory blitz. he told me flat out, we are going to win. he cited the republican edge in early balance loght and said it mirrors the early balloting in past mid-terms. senator roberts closed his case in a way that even kansas capsulated the ate peel he has been making to kansans all along at his campaign. >> i have family and you are all family with the efforts that we have checked on behalf of kansas. you know me. i'm a marine, i'm a republican, i'm a conservative. i'm a fourth generation kansan.

>> reporter: the jayhawks crushed washburn, just as a footnote. bill: you also spoke with greg orman. what did he tell you on that question. >> for a first-time candidate greg orman is unusually disciplined. after nothing mostly unanswered doors in a leafy well to do section of to peeka yesterday on the final day of the contest he told me he was perfectly happy with the campaign as he had run it. i also asked why his lead over rob earth shah running to . lead over roberts has sha has s.

>> if you look at super parks and lobbiest donation there has been a significant amount of dollars coming in on the other side. >> reporter: the polls open at 7:00 and will close at 7:00. just behind me is where greg orman will be casting his ballot. so was republican senate candidate joni ernst speak out about the so-called war on women earlier. she spoke to bill a few moments ago and she would prefer if democrats stop using that term all together she says. >> i spoke out against this the night of my primary election. i didn't want to hear about the phoney war on women. i'm a woman and second i have been to war and this is not a war. martha: she responded to

controversial comments made by senator tom harkin about her looks saying she is going to take taylor swift's advice and shake it off. bill: a slew of recent polls show a majority of americans want to see substantial change in warn. >> i'm not a pollster so there are probably others who conducted a more thorough analysis of this data. but aye my initial reaction is to say voters are understand any frustrated with washington, d.c. and they hold the president, the most powerful person in washington accountable for that. what they should also do is examine the priorities the president has been fighting for. bill: he went on to say the administration is confident in a win for the president and he's willing to work with the majority either way. report report what if the white house is wrong and republicans do win control of the senate.

what will happen in the country then. bring it, good morning. so you do some analysis last night on special report on how meaningful this is for republicans. what if they don't noon pull it off? what does it mean for their party. >> reporter: the republican establishment got nominees they wanted virtually across the board. tea party candidates were defeated in a number of primaries. more experienced candidates were nominated. and if you look through the cycle of the season you will see that you didn't have any of these gaffes byepublicans that were basically too much for some candidates in the last two cycle to the survive even. you didn't have that this year. there has been a lot of gaffes on the democratic side. you put that together with the fact that the lineup, the key states in play all favor the republicans. if they don't win this time, the

internal conflict in that party which is -- there is something like that inner party at all times. will explode in my judgment. the tea party people will say we did it your way this time and we still didn't win. we are not going along anymore. and there will be a civil war i predict. and you look ahead to 2016. one of the things that party needs to do most is unite. a lot of people believe the fact that the party was not -- slowed the turnout for their nominee for the presidency, the candidate who is running needs to be able to unite the party. it will be hard to do anyway. if they lose this mid-term election the sense of not getting the senate. they will add seats. but it will be as bloody a set of recriminations as we have seen. martha: in sow some ways they

have gone the route snow did with john mccain and mitt romney. >> reporter: the widespread view in the conservative wing of a conservative party, when the republicans nominate moderate or centrists they always lose. there is history that doesn't show that. but that belief will be solidified if they fail to get the senate. martha: what about the message from the president? when he was inaugurated for a second term he said it was all about middle class families. improving the lot of middle class families. what overshadowed everything is the leadership issues. people feeling he was ineffectual in dealing with this. >> reporter: the competence

issue obscured the issuers he wanted to talk about -- the issues he wanted to talk about. but if you look at the issue he wanted to talk about, middle class families. the numbers say the economy is doing better. but for too many people who stopped looking for work or whose wages remain stagnant the economy is not doing better for them. even if this election were all about that, i don't think that that issue works for the democrats this time at all. another reason why republicans look like they ought to win this. you look all around, there are close races and it might not happen. martha: great to get your input. looking forward. bill: what are they seeing inside the numbers today?

joe trippi and charles krauthammer up to talk about that. >> this isn't the party in government, this is the party of government. it's liberalism on trial. martha: charles krauthammer will join us with his thoughts on the issue coming up. bill: here is the race many political watchers think will result in a runoff and could take a month before we get an answer. >> if bill castledy is elected the voters of louisiana will make that decision. i'm privileged to be that agent of change. we feel grade.

big day? ah, the usual. moved some new cars. hauled a bunch of steel. kept the supermarket shelves stocked. made sure everyone got their latest gadgets. what's up for the next shift? ah, nothing much. just keeping the lights on.

(laugh) nice. doing the big things that move an economy. see you tomorrow, mac. see you tomorrow, sam. just another day at norfolk southern.

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♪ bill: president obama declaring the lava flow on hawaii's big island a disaster so they will be eligible for emergency funds. martha: we have two of our all-star fox news analysts expwhrieng to break down what they see happening. karl rove is a deputy chief of staff and senior adviser to president bush and joe trippi is a former campaign manager. we are going to be looking forward to what you have to say throughout the course of this day.

when you look back to the last mid-term cycle carl the postscript was that there were some bad candidates. they said stupid things and messed up a couple races for your folks. we have pictures of some of them we can put up on the screen. so you all have worked very hard southern worked to race non-money and support these candidates and choose candidates through crossroads. and joe trippi has worked on the democratic side and tried to get the right candidates to run and support those people as well. this time around, different candidates. tom cotton, joni ernst, some of the ones you are feeling good about. what were the lessons learned? >> crossroads is not involved in primaries. we ended up on candidates we would spend enormous sums of money on. and we had poor candidates and

they came up short. our benefactors and supporters said you need to get involved in primaries. a little bit contentio -- a litt contentious when we started to. arkansas we got together with others and said let's get together behind tom cotton. others we said if you primarily shelley we'll be in her corn. and weep got pour donors to write hard money checks to help fight off a challenge. candidate quality matters. we lost race wheeze shouldn't have lost because our candidates were sub par and we couldn't afford to do it because we gave away seats in indiana, missouri, nevada at should have been ours. martha: joe, how it's looking

tonight for your party. >> democrats have been doing this for a while where the party apparatus got involved in pratt says early. you start abolishing primaries, there is no fight in the parties. that's the down side. martha: you look at alison lundergan grimes, you wonder if she will look back and say wonder if i would have said i didn't want to say if if i voted for the president. >> the difference is i think karl's right about the previous two cycles. the senate should be in or should have been in gop hand by now. if they won the races they should have won in 2010, 2012, they probably would be in the majority already. regardless of what happens tonight. one of the big differences in

this election will be that they didn't have those problems this time. the lack of those primary fights resulted in better candidates for them. democrats have been doing that for some time. both parties won't be able to avoid candidates who gaffe from time to time. >> when you start look at tonight and you start to look at those early numbers. >> it's interesting. in the early races, new hampshire, north carolina, even virginia. if republicans are running close it will be a great night for republicans. er in not expected to win those races. new hampshire and north carolina are up for grabs. if republicans are running in those early terms. it will be a sign as we go to the west it will be magnified as we get into redder and more purple states. it's going to be an interesting thing because they may not be winning but if they are running

close. like ed gillespie in virginia is on mark warner's tail. that will be a sign the undecideds are breaking towards the republicans and we may see in the first indication after wave as it sweeps across the country. >> we can find out very early just by looking at the margins. if it's a closer margin than what we expect. if ed gillespie is in that fight, mark warner may win the senate seat but should tell democrats, you know, look out. if on the other hand those margins in north carolina, virginia, new hampshire are spreading the democratic side. even if the republicans are putting up a good fight, but the spread is wider than the polls say, then start looking at colorado and iowa. democrats can eke it out. martha: you will be here watching us go through this process and tell us what you see in the early going.

glad to have you with us as always. bill: some serious cash being dropped in the election cycle. we'll talk to one of the biggest donor groups about what all that money is buying now if they even know. martha: overseas there are horrific reports of more mass killing by isis terrorists. what is the u.s. doing to help the gentlemayazidis and the owee have been supporting there. >> we are losing the battle against al-nusra and isis. (receptionist) gunderman group. gunderman group is growing. getting in a groove. growth is gratifying. goal is to grow. gotta get greater growth. i just talked to ups. they got expert advise,

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bill: this election cycle has been one of the most expensive in history, perhaps the most. $3.7 billion spent in congress to spend 125 million of those federal dollars. on the screen, 3.6, the federall elections, everything altogether 125 million. the president of americans for prosperity, and organization founded by david and charles. welcome. what are you going to get for your money? >> we would like to see policy change in this country. rollback of these regulations and hopefully a budget that gets our country moving again. bill: our target has been a senate and there were great expectations that did not happen.

>> right. if we lose it will be a devastating blow. harry reid's majority has harmed the nation on the economic front and we would all hope to see a genuine change. it is a whole lot better proposition on economic issues and try to get the democrats to change. they won't. bill: give me a sense of where you are spending money. you pay for the volunteers and staffers. how does that compare to democrats? >> to have a huge advantage on the ground because they have the unions and environment fo to loy and a lot of community organizations funded by our taxpayer dollars. we are close enough cap on the ground. iowa, colorado, places like that, arkansas, louisiana, 550 on the ground in these battleground states.

bill: how many doors have you knocked on in iowa, how many contacts? >> it probably talks to 7000 iowa folks at the doors and a couple hundred thousand plus more by phone. colorado is a bigger state. we'll spend over $13 million on television and the ground effort in north carolina. bill: that race is a coin toss right now. she pierced me running running a pretty good campaign. >> candidly she has not identified with washington, d.c., because she the first time senator. i think the voters back home look at this and say wait a minute, you have been there over a decade now, why is this economy still sputtering? it is tougher for a freshman in big state, she still voted with the president all the time, but she is not tied to them.

bill: it sounds like a lot, but is that enough and does that compare with what the braley campaign is doing? >> we have talked more than ever have. lot of folks. i was with a lot of the staff and volunteers. i can the ground game from the left because the heavy environment money and a lot of community organizations funded partly by the taxpayer dollars, the left has an advantage on the ground. we are closing the gap. bill: third time around, 2012, 2010 you learned to cope key lessons. you have to get your message out and what else? >> we need a longer-term presence on the ground. this that enough to ramp up on the ground before an election. you have to be there permanently

a long-term basis. bill: ila, georgia, north carolina, what is the prediction? >> republicans are going to win the senate. i do think they're going to win it. economic performance of this congress with harry reid and the president has been so bad americans are seeing it doesn't work, they want a change. bill: thank you, we will be in touch after the election to see if you are right. martha. martha: a closer look at the key contest coming up. it may not be decided though until next month. senate race louisiana live with the primaries in new orleans. bill: dr. charles in the studio next live. >> we see the results of obamacare since the second world war, we see the results of

this overreaching government, the same time is incompetent.

martha: there is a battle in the by u.s. democratic senator facing off against the congressman bill cassidy in and of the republican challenger in the mix as well. after tonight still may not know who the winner is in louisiana. live at a look on the ground. good morning to you, john. >> martha, good morning to you. we had to move to the back of the hotel. we will be back in a picturesque location again tomorrow. this is it, the big day of the jungle primary in louisiana. the top three right now, mary landrieu, and republican bill cassidy. landrieu will be going today polls to vote and a half hours time. going into today it didn't look like she had the numbers to go over the top of the threshold to

avoid a runoff so campaigning yesterday in baton rouge she predicted she would. >> we are going to surprise the nation. [applauding] we're going to surprise fox news. [cheering and applauding] and we are going to win this election. >> we have only been quoting the polls up until now. she is urging louisiana not to give up the seniority they enj enjoy. martha: so if she wins, how does she do that, what is a possible path to victory for her that she is seeing? >> if she were to pull off a win tomorrow or december 6, could probably because of a couple of things.

family names, landrieu is a political dynasty in louisiana and in this state. the other is the strength of the african-american vote. in 2008 she avoided a runoff because so many black voters came out for president obama. the since the message sending to the black community. >> she first ran for senate inmates 96 promising to be a champion for the black community. 18 years later it has changed. meanwhile mary landrieu lives in $2 million mansions on capitol hill. >> she has been criticized the statements she recently made part of the reason president obama is struggling in this state is because of lingering racism. she said she was not about to apologize for those statements, she said she didn't care about the criticism and she told me, martha, anybody honest with themselves knows that to be

true. bill: if she wins she will talk to fox news. we want to bring in dr. charles krauthammer. you've seen a little bit too much, haven't you? >> i am rather enjoying it. it is nice to know mary landrieu is running against us, fox news. bill: apparently. your piece posted this morning at 7:00 a.m., a referendum on confidence. what you think? >> i try to draw a difference in the shellacking of president obama at that point paper liberal some. it is what he was hoping to do. obamacare had been passed but had not been enacted. people were reacting to this idea of intrusiveness. now in 2014 obamacare is in place. we have seen with the results of the stimulus were. this has been underestimated.

the results of the six years of obama's approach to the world, he wins in november. the first year everybody is proud, he withdraws us from the war, but he plants the seeds of the tremendous unease people have today with how we are standing in the world. he promised us would raise american standing in the world, he would end the war, we are now back in iraq. it was a disaster. we get his own secretary of defense says the world is exploding all over. a sense of out-of-control all over the world is one of the major factors. not an issue per se people are talking about openly, but the fact you get ernst whose military, tom cotton in arkansas, also military, doing

very well, people are beginning to turn to people they have confidence in on the military issues. the foreign issues, the collapse of america's standing around the world, uneasy disarray is a big subterranean factor, which is a drag on all of them. bill: we will see where we are tomorrow. member where we were two and half years ago, the beheading of james foley. it seemed to grab the attention of the country in a way we had not seen. how does that factor? >> i think that was a seminal event. it wasn't just at the evil of these people. it was the contempt they were showing for the red states by doing this openly, publicly, probably, daring the united states to come after them, confident we would fail or

flee. the reason the president ordered the airstrikes, reason the president made his speech was public opinion totally changed as a reaction to that. i don't see ever would have involved us, but where are we two months later? bill: conversely, charles, if the republicans don't when the senate, they might consider looking for another line of work. the expectations were so big in 2012 and then deflated. >> might do better in somalia, i am not sure what the party system is there. the wind is that republicans back. the country is very uneasy, it knows it hasn't had a leadership. this is the traditional six years itch. the senators and the democrats are the ones who came in on the

coattails of a winning presidential election in 2008, the coattails have gone, obama is now toxic let alone a positive factor. everything is going republicans way. there will be a second test in n the senate can govern or pass legislation. they have to pass a test today to show even out of power, even without a comprehensive agenda, they can win. bill: i just read the last line from your piece. it is all about the economy. >> it starts with the economy, the first test of confidence of any president is can they manage the economy. the president has produced the weakest recovery since the second world war.

the first time you get a decline in median income, this is an administration, president who cares, if you look at the most striking exit poll question in the last presidential election, which candidate cares more about people like you, obama win by 60 points and yet the people he cares about our suffering economically. this is a drag on the president, this will be a drag in 2016. bill: be ready for a long day and a long night. martha: there are more than 30 states holding elections for governor tonight. how some of those races could be really ones to watch because they could have a big impact on what happens, 2016. bill: as charles mentioned it, isis continues its rampage across iraq. terrified of iraqis asking where

is the united states now. >> this proves once again isil does not represent anything but a tort ideology and provides more evidence if any were needed by coalition partners including iraqis from every background must work together to defeat these terrorists. so i can reach ally bank 24/7, but there are no branches?

24/7 it's just i'm a little reluctant to try new things. what's wrong with trying new things? feel that in your muscles? yeah... i do... try a new way to bank, where no branches equals great rates. martha: more mass murderers by isis. more than 300 men, women and children slaughtered for the crime of fighting back against the terrorist group isis. and isis is once again setting its sights on thousands of religious minorities who remain stranded now there is no longer an american presence in that area. the iraqis now need to step up. >> obviously we know there is an up and down and fluid complicated situation on the ground. we have increased our systems to

support the opposition, a process that is ongoing. it is not far from being at its endpoint. we will continue to work toward that. they need to be strengthened more militarily. that is why we have done more to assist them. martha: john bolton is a former u.s. ambassador to the united nations and fox news contributor. good to have you with us this morning. >> good morning. martha: we are focused on the election today but this is an important story and underpinning a lot of dissatisfaction that americans have felt about the leadership on this issue and the fact is religious minority are now stranded, starving, being sold into slavery and goes on and on and on and wondering where we have gone. >> the evidence is clear, it simply underlines the point that the administration strategy to deal with isis has failed and will continue to fail unless the changes dramatically at isis, we

have the finest air force in the world ranged against isis but because it's activity is limited, it's effect has been limited. so isis continues to consolidate control and commit these atrocities have an success inside and inside syria and there is no ineffective opposition to it. the outcome here is pretty clear. isis is on its way to an incredible achievement, and will create a new country in the middle east unless we change our approach. martha: i want to read some in the president said about this back in august, the president said this in august, people are starving, children are dying of thirst, meanwhile isil forces below have called for systematic destruction of the integrity of the people that would constitute genocide and when we have the unique capabilities to avert such a massacre, i believe the united states of america cannot turn a blind eye, and yet this

goes on and on and on, ambassador. >> sure, isis does not fear the united states. it listens to rhetoric from the president, spokes lady, you've heard the term the fog of war. this is a fog of words. until that changes, isis will continue to expand and consolidate its control. the iraqi army is in no shape to do anything about it. it is not going to have any effect. the free syrian army is in disarray, all but defeated except in a few small cases. good fighters, friends of the united states, i want to underline this point. ana new state is being created n the middle east and it will be a terror state. we already know from reports from experts to the u.n. security council 15,000 foreign fighters are estimated to be with isis in syria and iraq

today. martha: it is a stunning development that has happened on our watch. purely political on this election day, would it not politically make sense for the president who has a unique art of his job description to protect the american people and be the leading arm of our foreign policy to be out there focus on this issue while other things are not as palatable for him here at home? >> absolutely. a dispute with the political operatives to say they don't care about foreign policy. what you are seeing today is a reflection of deep concern the presidenpresident is not protecg america, americans interest and america's friends around the world. i think we will see more of it heading toward 2016 election, it is inevitable. martha: this deep-seated unease you feel in the country can be traced in many ways in a larger sense to the beheading of jim foley and what has happened since then.

thank you very much, we will see you soon. bill: jon scott is coming up to continue our coverage. "happening now" coming your way. jon: it is election day in america. at least 11 of them considered in play, control of the senate as well. 36 governor's races, 435 house seats, it is an amazing day. fox team coverage and in-depth analysis plus we will hear from a few candidates themselves. all coming up on "happening now." bill: there are some great governor races that are very, very close all over the country. we will go live to wisconsin were scott walker finds himself in another tough rival for his job this time against the democrat. we will take you there live. >> you finished too early, never finished before the tape, always run hard through it.

bill: mentioned this before the break, republican governor scott walker facing another tough battle. third time for him in four years. live now in wisconsin, we will take you there now. what is a turnoff so far, how does it look to you? >> you would think with all of the elections in all the campaign ads they would be tremendous voter fatigue that it is not realizing. the early voting numbers have beat 2010 in walker was first elected, they beat 2012 during the recall. government accountability board estimates only a presidential election will beat the turnout numbers today. the crowd was energetic in greeg at an office in front of a furniture manufacturing facility.

repeated his claim outside interest is pouring into wisconsin because he is breaking the grip of special interest and big government. >> you know what they said? they said i am the number one target. not just governor, i'm the number one target in america for those groups. house-senate governor. you know why? because they are afraid. >> , his and paul with him last night. they want to make it through today first. bill: are there enough undecided vote to make a difference in outcome do you believe, mike? >> it is really interesting because the number was really small throughout this process. both sides were entrenched. there were trying to woo the undecideds. they were trying to motivate their base to get out the vote effort. listen to mary burke last night. >> this is the

"two-minute drill" here. we know we have to drive down the field, we have got to score, and we have got to get over that goal line. it is within reach. >> they ran neck and neck, on the last week at least the numbers break in walker's favor. bill: thank you, sir. martha: voters in iowa doing something they haven't done in 40 years. casting ballots for the state's first senate seat since 1974, and what a race is. live report coming up. s, carpenters and even piano tuners were just as simple? thanks to angie's list, now it is. start shopping online from a list of top-rated providers. visit angieslist.com today.

martha: so we have a very big day ahead of us. bill: yes, we do. martha: we will be in the opposite corners of this room tonight. the whole gang is here, it is great.

bill: and so what is coming up at 11:00 east coast time? around 6:00, six hours from now a clue on what is happening. we will see you at 6:00 live. martha: the first indication. happening at the 6:00 hour. thank you for being with us, have a great election day. ♪ jon: from america's election headquarters today is the day voters across the country are now heading to the polls to cast their ballots in races that could change the balance of power in washington and possibly the future of the nation. welcome to this election they coverage of "happening now." heather: will republicans win enough seats to take control of the u.s. senate or can democrats hold them off? right now eight races too close to call. were