shot at 8:15 this morning, and thank you for writing, and go get your sticker. make a difference. vote. thank you for being part of the real store today on election day. i'm gretchen. >> control of the united states senate at stake and the direction of the country potentially on the line. today we'll take you across the nation for the latest on some very key races, plus fox news sunday's chris wallace joins us to talk about the balance of power and what is ahead, plus dana perino and big bob beckel. let's get too it. >> at long last it's here, we can stop talking and start reporting, are republicans have a 98% chance of taking the senate. that is according to the political oddsmakers at the "washington post," that conservative bastion, and "the new york times" analysts give republicans a 25% chance,

predicting a very -- i should say 75% chance. predicting a very big night for the g.o.p. still, as in any eye lex, almost anything can happen before the polls close weapon know that. voters in dozens of states are choosing dozen0s governors and hundreds o representative but it's the fight for the u.s. senate that could dramatically change the agenda in d.c., and shift the balance of power for president obama's final years in office. here's how it stands right now. run republics have to pick up six seats to take over the simple majority. we want to show you key races, all up here in yellow. these ten states are in play with senate candidates within striking distance of each other, and that's a lot in kentucky, the senate minority leader, mitch mcconnell is way up on the interest list, fighting to hold his seat after a challenge from the dem cale, --crat. in new hampshire, an absolute dead heat win 2010 the republican scott brown and the

independent jeanne shaheen in north carolina, kay haggan statistically tied with republican tom tillis, we may have news in kansas, the incumbent republican is in a very tight race. not with a democrat but an independent. greg orman has not said which party he will side with if he come us out with a win. right now, mike emanuel, in kansas, which side would the independent lean. >> i was in wichita. that it is a nail-biter and the impact isn't know. pat roberts called orman a liberal democrat pretending to be an independent. today, vice-president joe biden suggested orman would be with the democrats. >> we have chance of picking up an independent who will be with us in the state of kansas.

>> campaign officials, quote, greg's never spoken to the vice-president in his life and has been clear and consistent about his stance on who we would caucus with throughout the campaign. the concern is in ruby red kansas, saying orman will be with the democrats could hurt in a very tight race. >> a lot of big races that could affect the balance of power, mike? >> iowa is one to watch in the race to replace retiring democrat, tom harkin, bruce braley, a democrat, seek ago to take the seat. harry reid said winning iowa is critical for democrats to maintain the majority. republican joni ernst has build herself as a mother, soldier, and independent lead or, a lieutenant colonel in the iowa national guard and this is a hot race in georgia, democrat michelle nunn is socking to replace saxby chambliss.

and the republican is making the case that nunn would be a rubber stamp for president barack obama's agent. perdue has taken heat on the issue of outsourcing of jobs. those are some of the key races that could affect the balance of power in the senate. >> mike, thank you very much. even if thing goes the republicans way, they will not have the super majority of 60 necessary to undo the gridlock and will not have the white house as president obama there is for a couple more years yeard has the veto pen. what does that mean for all of us? with all the gridlock in d.c., can they get anything done? to peter barnes. what would a republican-controlled everything on the hill mean? >> healthcare reform. republicans say they want to repeal obamacare but you just said the problem, which is they're not going to get the 60 votes they need to make -- be able to overcome any fill buster and won't be able to do anything about the president's veto or

override a veto so health care reform probably won't do anything. but they could tweak the mandate like the individual mandate, and one thing they can do is repeal the medical device tax. we have seen support for doing this from republicans, democrats, and even the president suggested he could support it. this would make grandma's hip replacement and grandpa's knee replacement cheaper. >> what other sort of policy changes might a republican group in control want. >> push approval of the keystone pipeline. want to get that through. unclear if the president would do anything if both the house republicans and senate republicans and senate democrats approved that and sent that to the president's desk. there's growing support for expediting natural gas supplies from the united states to other places. it's a geopolitical issue. europe and the ukraine need natural gas because russia is

their primary source and that's been a problem over there. republicans also want to do patent reform. the president might sign on to that. and also one thing that the president would really like help from republicans on is support for new free trade agreements. the president is on his way to asia next week to talk to the pacific countries about a big asian pacific trade deal, and he is also trying to negotiate a trade deal with the europeans. >> lots of trade and we forgot about the power to subpoena, which is very exciting for republicans. >> true. investigations perhaps. >> they like doing that. peter, nice to see you. one big race is in kentucky. mitch mcconnell could become the majority leader but first has to win his seat and the republicans have to take control. carl cameron is in louisville this afternoon. what are you hearing there? >> well, one of the things we're hear from people all over the country, they're angry, and

voting against the president or voting against the republican obstruction. allieson lundergan grimes voted for a himself and is eager to get to washington and serve in a democrat majority. that's a big wish. mitch mcconnell voted for himself, had his wife alongside him. and he is very confident that he is going to end up being the majority leader and will get re-elected. what has been heard it to? besides the who do you like, is they're tick off at the ad. there have been so many tv ads in this state it's going to break a record. 00 million spent split evenly. the election itself will have a huge amount of national spending that will shatter records as well. here's what voters said they were that paying attention, to not paying attention to. >> doesn't change my opinion. a lot of it i just think is over the top, sort of ugly, and i don't pay much attention to it. >> you can't watch tv without seeing the ads and i've seen good and badded odds on both si.

>> well, negative advertising depresses turnout. and, yet in the really contested tests, turnout is likely to be high, as much as 60% in kentucky. in new hampshire, they're saying it will rival 2010 which was the g.o.p. tea party revolution. in the rest of the country, even pew research says that less than 15 parts of the country was playing close attention and a lot us base they have to watch these ads. >> a lot of this is said to be throw the bums out. it's the throw the bills out cycle. have you seep anything to suggest there's an ideological shift happening? no you have seen loyal democrats come can out and angry at what they call republican obstructionism. republicans say they're angry at president obama and the condition of the country. voters are ticked off, to no end, at washington in general. what we are seeing is the potential for republicans in this election to getmer competitive in the cyber

campaign. the president obama and democrats laughed at mitt romney in 2012 and the republicans database and ability to use social media and knocking on doors, blew up and failed to work. republicans spent tens of millions of dollars in the last year and a half to put people all over the country working on this. this is the big test. if they're even a little more competitive that will make a i big difference and if they're close to competitive with the democrats that changes everything in 2016. >> carl cameron on a cardinal red day there in louisville. current and senate majority leader harry reid says everything could come down to what happens in iowa. the democrat there, bruce braley, is in a tough fight with a republican joni ernst for an open senate seat. we'll go live to iowa and get to north carolina where there's lots brewing. stay with us. e. his long day of doing it himself starts with back pain...

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over for the long-time democratic senator tom harkin who announced his retirement last year. shannon is live just north of des moines with the latest. this is a very tight race. right? >> absolutely. and it's too close to call at this point. we have seen the democrat in this race, bruce braley, out campaigning with harkin, trying to convince smothers he is the best choice. will work for both sides but that's a seat that has been held for decades by harkin so democrats losing a champion. i asked braley yesterday when what will make the difference in this race that is so tight you can't rely on any poll. here's what he told me. >> there's a big difference-maker. we have the pest ground game we have ever had in iowa in a nonpresidential year. see it everywhere i go. >> it is all about the ground game here, about turnout, about the volunteers and it's

interesting, shep, always to talk to voters here in iowa because having been here they're very educated and very savvy. >> and expect to be talked to and with, and in this case, they've heard it all, shannon. >> they have. and it's gotten really heated. we have been with both candidates. there was a bit of a surprise, very organized, very loud protest that went on for quite a while. a lot of shouting, you know, it was interesting. it was the first amendment on full display, and she said they're not surprised by this. something they often see on the campaign trail and added that this is part of the rope why she fights in the military. here's what the said in responding to the protesters. >> that's why i serve in the military, is to protect our rights as united states citizens and their right to demonstrate. >> and they did, and they did it well and loudly. very entertaining.

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>> a few hours from now the polls starart to close. here's the current balance of power in the thus senate. there are ten tossup races that could go either way technically and as we mentioned, republicans need to take but six of those to take control. meantime, analysts say nearly a dozen governors are at risk of

losing their jobs. let's talk big picture with our good friends friends and their , dana perino and bob beckel, co-host of the five. >> we watch you together every day. >> that's right. >> when we're getting ready. >> while you're in the makeup chair, being wined and dined. >> that's what you call it? >> i don't know. >> good try. >> what are you watching the reason i ask is, what are you going to look at early that tells you, this is going to be a good night for one side or the other. >> to be honest? i am not the best expert. what i watch is bob. i watch bob's reaction. we sit together -- >> he is snorting and spitting. >> we sat together in 2012 and he held my hand through that loss and i promise to do the same for him tonight. i'm kidding. i will look to somebody like bob, who knows about exit polls and all these things. think that from what i know, if you get the polls back in new hampshire and brown is close -- scott brown.

>> scott brown. >> i don't know if we'll know about georgia testimony. but as you war saying, north carolina is a true tossup. >> i want to come to north carolina and will in just a second, where kay haggan and tom thom tillis are fighting. >> if the democrats don't hold both new hampshire and north carolina it's going to be rough -- almost certain lay path to 51 for the runs. they hold both of those i'm looking at georgia, can she win a runoff if it's a runoff? can nunn win a runoff in that state? probably not but a it's possible. i think the chances are probably 55-45 we won't know this until december or january. >> the mary landrieu -- races are important because there are -- the republicans stand to gain a lot of state legislative races, and democrats will

probably win net one in governorships. and one independent. so, all this is -- a lot of this is speculation. i've done this business a long time and have seen the hides of people on the side of the road. i look at polls sunday and monday and they tell me -- they're pretty accurate. >> weekend polling is rough. >> it is. it is rough, but it's also -- you have been able to get to a universe of people who will be voting. >> one thing that hand last time seemed like the two parties were living on two different planets. the conservative ideaol had one set of poll specifics and ramifications and the other side had another and beth thought their side was right. that's not happening this time? that was last time. this time everybody seems to be on the same page. and then there's north carolina. this race has bloody and a run from president obama because the

democrat in north carolina, kay haggan, has been saying, she is independent, and making every step away from him she could and in the last moment of this election, she put out this radio ad. >> you know kay haggan has been creating job opportunities at home, supporting a higher minimum wage. but republicans are cutting investment in education and protecting tack breaks for the wealthy. vote stand with me, president obama, and take responsibility in moving north carolina forward by voting for kay haggan on november 4th. a senator you can count on. >> so, please join president barack obama in supporting senator kay haggan by voting on tuesday, november 4th. >> the next thing there was, i'm kay haggan and i approve of this message, which was surprising to me as one who didn't look at this. what is she doing. >> it's simple. this is base turnout. what is called the black belt of

north carolina, runs across the top of the state, and i about you all these ads are being run in radio stations that hit those markets they're not being run statewide. she has to say paid for by kayalan but this an torts turn out the black turnout, and it has to at least match the last turnout for mid-terms, a little better for her to win. >> but the african-american turnout is what those who are going towards the base are looking for all over the country, and you wonder, there is excitement within that group? >> the president has been on campaign very much is behind the scenes lamented that, having aides save he is disappointed the phone isn't ringing. bob and i agree on something else. some of these candidateses that have tough races should have had the president come and campaign with them because if it really is just about turnout of the last few percentage points or decimal points, then they should have just had him come and campaign with him.

>> exactly right. the amount of money wasted on ads, unbelievable. i was in florida, i guess, and i saw they were back-to-back eight of them. who can pay attention? i think it's exactly right. it's now a base turnout issue for the democrats. obama could have happened in louisiana and arkansas and both of those states, -- arkansas is problematic. the other thing i think we have to take a look at here there are a couple of initiatives on the ballot. minimum wage. >> talking about now downballot items which, for instance, the republicans used back in the day with gay rights rights and "don, don't tell" to get people out. the democrats are doing the same thing. >> minimum wage in five states, from alaska to -- >> and medical marijuana. >> the ones you're saying now, minimum wage votes and they think that will get more democrats than otherwise, and then medical marijuana. medical marijuana in florida, where the governor's race is so tight.

>> also in alaska where that senate race is very tight. so i don't know how those things are going to play out, and also things from a big picture, when you're looking at campaigns in 2014 and 2016, ads don't work as well as they used to. so many third party groups, targeted digital content, things sent to your phone, that is changing, and i don't think we know enough yet but something like google, done a lot of things to show who is looking for what online, and in florida, for example, rick scott comes up over and over again. so, largest population of the state that has a huge race, but rick scott and charlie crist, have to believe that goes to rick scott but it's close. >> so close, and you talk to people who are operatives and high level ones. i had one tell me candidly, maybe after a couple of beers, florida is getting what it deserves. you talk about a republican turned independent turned democrat and put a fan in the mix and then just throw everything against it, and --

>> throw $390 million into it. >> but his tan is absolutely amazing. >> some of these states -- we have to keep another eye on, certain states can trigger recounts at a certain opinion, so if it's within two points or one point, automatic -- >> florida is one. >> yes. >> i think they're one point. >> the thing about florida, you talk about the money that takes a run in florida. the problem with florida is their tv markets enormous, miami, tampa, orlando, jacksonville, a top 50, and then you have to hit tallahassee, gainesville, fort myers, pensacola, and three different states we're talking. florida is a complicated beast. >> you have done some time in florida. >> i did my time in florida. >> that's why florida and ohio are he two states considered to be the bell weathers for the country. i don't know -- you've have been to the panhandle, this is a lot of different than the pan ladies and gentlemen -- >> when i lived there? lower alabama. >> few people with dogs under

their porch. >> bob, don't you think that north carolina is becoming a bell weather? >> for to reasons. one is the black population is growing and the hispanic population is growing. because they're work neglect agricultural business and coming in -- >> and thom tillis is -- if it's an antiincumbent, the republicans have not picked if more than two incumbents in one election since 1980. we're talking about the possibility of seven. >> incredible. i want to talk big picture. right now there's no super majority for the democrats in the senate. no super majority for anyone in the senate. we can all agree on that. right? show what is to suggest to us that one single solitary thing will change? >> i look to 1996. bill clinton was able to work with newt gingrich --

>> they were working together on the back. >> what has bill clinton been able to talk about ever since he left office? he got welfare reform passed, only possible because of divided government. d government.rrible thing to president obama could make a decision to work -- to decide to do corporate tax reform, keystone pipeline and talk about that for years, and good things that are really great for the countries. >> then republicans have 0 come forward with a true agenda. >> but they have one -- >> have to bring it forward as a united front. >> the only person stopping the agenda is harry reid, and he is the senate majority leader. that has been president obama's veto pen. they will send bills to president obama and he has to decide to veto them or sign them, and i think he will want to sign something. it will be comprise mice and a good thing. >> do you agree? >> i do. one thing that makes sense for both -- first if they do nothing, they will be the ultimate do-nothing congress and do-nothing president. >> i thought we just had that.

>> you thought it was bad? it could get worse. one thing that is enormous on both sites and that's tax reform. they've been talking about this over and over again. there's a lot of special interests. republicans want it, democrats want it, there's a way to cut a deal. >> where would you start in there are two completely different ideas about the way to do this best. one is to cut taxes for everybody and one is to make the rich pay a lot more. >> you have to start with corporate tax reform dish. >> good luck. >> look, president obama said he could go to 29%. it's now 35. >> what about -- >> republicans said they could go to 25%. >> but nobody pays that. there are corporations up and gown the street that pay a penny. >> what is one thing that president obama wanted? going to penalize companies that left america. actually, flip it around. president obama, have them come back, be in one that is the saviour that brings companies back to america. >> listen, there's a trillion dollars in corporate profits.

if they can come back without being taxed and use that money to hire american workers, you have to guarantee too do that or buy american machinery for your production, but i think that the tax reform piece is right. the loopholes is what it gets down to. every loophole has a special interest around it. the only way to do is it start with a fair and safe and balanced flat tax and then start from there. >> on individual side. >> does this look like the kind of group that might be able to come together and produce such a thing? >> i definitely think the republicans will send that to the president but the president sent signals yesterday through his aide, thralls, saying they intend to make the really difficult for republican. if they don't want to give an inch. i hope if they wake up and realize the world changed, i was the product of a two-years of a divided government. it's not the end of the world. you can still -- >> a divided government historically has always produced very big legislation, the civil rights bill that education bills thinks farm bills, a lot of

things have been by divided government. it's difficult when ohave control of the house and senate and white house and don't have a bipartisan evident, which it what happened on obamacare. >> is this going to be a -- in the house, it's one thing. but in the senate where there are moderates and more conservatives, would this be the u.s. senate of, say, the man from texas, or would this be ted cruz's senate? >> it's going to be mitch mcconnell's senate, the majority leader. will there continue to be movement? possibly. i like kevin mccarthy, the majority leader of the house. he suggests the house and senate get together for a joint meeting on the republican side and everybody be talking with one voice about the agenda. i think that's a great idea. >> rand paul may be a big play. >> bob, dana you have to work in an now have. >> just give us food.

>> gutfeld is stealing it. >> he likes likes the gingerbreo please. >> thank you so much. chris wallace from "fox news sunday" after this. now it's quicker and easier for you to start your business, protect your family, and launch your dreams. at legalzoom.com we put the law on your side. wow! [ narrator ] on a mission to get richard to his campbell's chunky soup. it's new chunky beer-n-cheese with beef and bacon soup. i love it. and mama loves you. ♪ and mama loves you. nineteen years ago, we thought, "wow, how is there no way to tell the good from the bad?" so we gave people the power of the review. and now angie's list is revolutionizing local service again. you can easily buy and schedule services from top-rated providers. conveniently stay up to date on progress.

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outside investigators found debris from the virgin galactic spaceship as far as 35 miles away. it broke apart over the mojave desert last week. virgin has been testing the aircraft for potential space flight. oregon a woman called 9-1-1 and said the threw her six-year-old son off the bridge. they found the body a few hours later. local media reports the mom told police she was hearing voices in her head. cops arrested her on suspicion of murder. >> the u.s. is now formally

ending its combat mission in afghanistan with a ceremony. the site will transition to a training center for afghan security forces. at home it's election day, chris wallis is with us live next.

>> breaking news. adrian peterson, minnesota vikings runningback, has taken a plea deal in his child abuse case and will avoid jail time. adrian peterson faced charges, including felony injury to a child, but today he plead node contest to reckless assault and did in exchange for probation only. prosecutors say he hit his four-year-old son with a tree branch or a switch. adrian peterson said he didn't mean to hurt the child and was just using the same discipline he experienced when he was younger. the result of all that, according to the testimony and the doctors reports, was that this four-year-old received bruises and in some cases deep welts along this backside and

along this groin. again, the minnesota vikings adrian peterson plead node contest to minneapolis charges and gets probation. >> back to the election and president obama made a last-ditch pitch to votes in connecticut. that was rife with trouble. a last ditch pitch. let's pan that. it's fraught with peril. the president urging folks to vote for that state's democratic governor. governor dan malloy in a tight race with his republican challenger, tom foley, a former ambassador to ireland. one of several close races across the nation. of course, lots of democratic candidates have run from president obama from this campaign season but the white house says that the president has made an aggressive case for democrat. official says he'll be working behind the escapes, making row bow calls encouraging people to turn out the vote.

ed henry is live at the white house. white house is insisting the result wells not be a reflex of president obama. >> good luck with that one. we'll have to wait for the exit polling. republicans have been making the case that when the president says and has said several times, that his policies are on theabout ballot, the todays running from her, as the president said in one interview, have supported him time and time again. the say this is all about the white house trying to lower expectations. listen. >> i don't think it's particularly controversial notion to cite that most voters are deciding who to vote for based on the name that is on the ballot negotiate name that not. >> in 2010 it was a great wave election for the rub-s so they're concerned about the direction the own administration has taken the country and they want to see if we can get things done and i hope that's the attitude the president will take. >> you were just talking about. see whether or not both sides come together after this

election regardless of the results. what the president is doing -- you mentioned radio interviews and meet little on the economy, on ebola, and isis, and national security issues, trying to do his day job. democrats don't want him giving speeches help is staying under the radar. >> every election cycle, the world may have a great idea about what is about to happen, but the man in charge can't throw in the towel until the game is over and the white house is not throwing in the towel. >> they're not. and they realize the wind is blowing against them. that's what happens to presidents in either party in a second term. they know they're likely to have which a challenging night but if they give up that suppresses their voter, so vice-president joe biden said they're going to held the senate. >> we're going to end up with 52, about in that range, democrats. >> because of the mississippi connection. i spoke to the former governor,

hailey barber, and he said he could craft a worst case scenario for rub-and only pick up five seats but he thinks on the high end of this, best case for republicans, if the wind breaks their way they can get up to 11 seats. that obviously covers a wide gamut. >> both of those are possible. both possible. thanks, ed. great to see you. thank you very much. >> joining me now is chris wallace, the host of "fox news sunday." what do you think will be the first tell of the night as the polls begin to close at 7:00 eastern? >> it depends. if you start to see states like north carolina, new hampshire, typically democratic states, at least in terms of this race, or at least purple states, if you see those going to republicans, that's going to indicate it's a very, very good night. on the other hand if the democratic incumbents, kay haggan, jeanne shaheen hold on to their seats, it indicates, well, it's going to be close whether or not they get the net

pickup of six seats. >> recent history tills al gore probably should have gone back to nashville in the last few days of the campaign and al gore might have paid little more attention to bill clinton to bring in his base. do you have a sense that this same democratic party in areas especially where president obama's base needs to be activated, that they may be sorry? >> it's a tightrope. if you look at southern states, louisiana, arkansas, north carolina, the president's approval rating isn't 40% like now. some places it's 31%. 32, 33. so, you have the president come and be standing there alongside mary landrieu in louisiana, that's going to tick off a lot of people. on the other hand you would like to get the obama voters to vote. they want the obama voters, young, single women, african-americans, hispanics, they want them to vote but don't want to be associated with

barack obama. that's hard thing to negotiate. >> lard to have it both ways. >> yes. >> if you're a republican sitting out somewhere -- the middle of the country -- going, i can't wait to see this, please let this happen. what would you say to republicans that that biggest benefit of the takeover over the senate -- potential takeover of the senate will be for an individual. >> i think that there is both a positive benefit and a negative benefit. that the positive benefit is you have control of the senate and the house. this is your edge, and that means you have the opportunity to have a ruling agenda. you can pass things. now they pass them in the house and parry reid bottles them up in the senate. so the negative benefit is if they lose, with all of these benefits, with everything going, obama unpopular, ebola, isis, a lot of races and typically red, republican states, if you lose with these advantages, there's going to be a firestorm. i think the republicans have

more to gain and more to lose than the democrats. >> brit hume is predicting the would be a civil war they've don't take over. >> there will. because -- one things is the establishment said we went with your tea party candidate, they weren't ready for prime time. we lost' in 2010, 2020, -- 2012, if they lose with them, the tea party will say might as well go with the people who are more purr republicans and donors who have given money to the republicans in 2010 and 2012 are going to dry up. >> for republicans who really want to get things done, really want to make changes to improvement people's lives, where do you start if you're a new republican party in control on capitol still in what do you ask this president for first? we'll talk with chris about that right after this. so ally bank really has no hidden fees on savings accounts? that's right. it's just that i'm worried about you know "hidden things..."

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>> how are people who can still be influenced being influenced? are people who still haven't made up their minds, whoever they are, are they influenced by, say, the editorial boards of "the wall street journal" ask "the new york times" or the report ago of msnbc or fox news channel or social media? we know the answer. social media. that's where the influenceable are. so how is our polling? chris wallace is back.

>> this is my first time on the news deck. i broadcast fox news sunday out of a closet. you have the star trek console here. this is unbelievable. >> 18 years later. >> you must be a very important person with very important friends. >> obviously. but i can't be reached on social media because i have to stay away from it so i get to keep my job. people look through their facebook feed, looking their instagram, watching twitter, looking at specific things that are specific to their lives, and given all of that, how can -- can we trust our polling now? >> i didn't know. very good question and i i have a healthy skepticism about it. you wonder how many people are tolling the truth, how many young people that are actually reaching with so many people -- i know my kids don't have home phones. they have their cell phones. >> and they don't answer the cell phone.

send them a text -- >> that's true. i'm not bitter about that. but the rule of thumb generally is if it's a day or two out and you're, quote, undecided, and let's say democratic incumbent and a republican challenger, or vice versa, you're probably going with the challenger. irthere is something who has been a senator 12 years and you're undecides for 48 hours out, you're not going for the guy who is -- >> if you're a frustrated republican, what is this first thing. >> you'll see political posturing -- not saying it shouldn't happen put you'll see republicans vote to repeal obamacare, the president will veto it. vote to gut dodd-frank. the president will veto it, and then they can get to serious legislating. i can see keystone pipeline and that could put pressure on the president. tax re form, trade authority. a variety of things. i think also have some piecemeal immigration legs.

my guess is he isn't going for that. the other -- conversely, is the president going to go ahead and pass a -- rather, enact as executive action on immigration reform? >> we shall see. thank you. you tap the bumper of a station wagon. no big deal... until your insurance company jacks up your rates. you freak out. what good is having insurance if you get punished for using it? hey insurance companies, news flash. nobody's perfect. for drivers with accident forgiveness, liberty mutual won't raise your rates due to your first accident. see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. i found a better deal on prescriptions. we found lower co-pays... ...and a free wellness visit. new plan...same doctor. i'm happy. it's medicare open enrollment. have you compared plans yet? it's easy at medicare.gov. or you can call 1-800-medicare. medicare open enrollment.

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folks in louisiana may not know who their next senator will be for another month, as you probably know but now. bus under state rules officials will hold a separate runoff election if nobody gets 50% vote? why do they do it that way? goes back to segregation because i they were able to slip a black guy in there the rerun they could fix that. been a very tight race between the current democratic incumbent, senator mary landrieu, and her run challenge

ers. john roberts is in new orleans. senator lan drew has been in this situation a couple times before. >> oneoff is territory she is phenomenon with. she won her first race in a runoff in 19:96 again in 2002 but hopes to avoid that tonight in the face of polls that suggest she would lose that runoff to bill cassidy. campaigning at bat top -- baton rouge, landrieu predicted she will win. >> we're going to surprise the nation. and most importantly, surprise fox news. win this election. >> she is urging voters not to throw away the seniority they enjoy by virtue of her 18 years in the senate, saying she is best able to look after the concerns concerns of louisiana voters. >> then congressman bill cassidy, what of him? >> he has his own issues to confront.

there are a enough republican votes in louisiana for someone to win it outright but is splitting a hard share of that vote with rob manis, in a weekend rally, dr. ben carson urged supporters to go with cassidy. how does cassidy make the case? >> to win over voters between now and tuesday, what would you say. >> if you're concern about the direct of the country and wouldn't to vote for the guy who can beat mary landrieu, vote bill cassidy. >> looks like a late surge by rob manis will complicate that. so by all accounts, this one is headed for a runoff. >> john roberts, thank you, sir. we'll check the dow and hand you off to the top of the hour and

>> continuing coverage through

the afternoon. it could go into the wee hours. the dow had a big turn-around when gretchen came on. thank you, gretchen. here's neil. >> well, we'll see how it goes tonight. >> have the best ground game we have ever had in iowa. >> it is a privilege for our state, i am privileged to be that agent of change. >> y'all ready to win? >> it's about making sure that we have the majority in the united states senate. >> your vote matters. your vote is your voice. >> a chance to begin to save this country i'm counting on you. >> the people of the state are ready to have their voice heard. >> what a great group. so glad you're here. >> and help restore america, that these fine people right here behind me are trying to do, and like you're trying to