to record "on the record" if you can't watch it live. never miss a show. good night from washington d.c. and go to gretawire.com and follow me on facebook. there is so much going on. o'reilly is back. up next. see you tomorrow. the o'reilly factor ask on, tonight: >> frankly if you go and look at your history and read your history to the lead up of the second world war this is the kind of rhetoric that allowed hitler to move forward. >> that's a republican politician the former governor of new jersey. tonight we have a number of reports on the trump factor including how president obama is helping him. >> we cannot allow people that come into this country that have horrible things on their mind. >> i don't think you thought through the unintended consequences. >> bernie goldberg watched my interview with donald trump lastuí night. he will break it down for this evening. >> do you think they would welcome o'reilly down here or not? >> oh, yeah. well he is a work of art. why not? >> also ahead jesse watters

going to miami where the art world is on full display. >> i'm looking at a pile of hot dogs. >> caution, you are about to enter the no spin zone. the factor begins right now. ♪ ♪ hi, i'm bill o'reilly. thanks for watching us tonight.á explaining the trump surge that is the subject of this evening's talking points memo. brand new cbs poll says donald trump is dominating the republican field right now. he has 35%. ted cruz 16. ben carson is 1. marco rubio 9%. jeb bush 3. u.s.a. poll out today. trump 27'. cruz no question trump could win the nomination and this christmas he should send barack obama a very nice gift for making that

possible maybe some golf clubs. send cards to the liberal media because it is the obama media 1-2 punch that has/o to the top of the republican field. first, the president. no question many americans perhaps most, are angry with mr. obama. he simply will not fight the war on terror in an effective way and many folks feel unsafe. also he continues to allow people to illegally enter america with impunity. from october is 1st to november 30th, illegal entries for foreign family units have risen 173% over the same tame last year. there is no border security and everybody knows it it just this week another illegal alienh. criminal, 33-year-old jomar diaz tried to murder a police officer in new jersey like the kate steinle case in san francisco, diaz had been deported. went back to the dominican republic and then he defies deportation and comes back) here. yet, president obama and the democratic party will not get behind kate's law which

would mandate a five year federal prison term for any criminal who defies deportation. i didn't believe the president will not support kate's law and millions of americans feel the way i do. mr. obama does not seem to care about justice or public safety: then we have economic insecurity because of the soft economy. you add it all up, and there is a fury in america on the media front they largely support obama's administration. it's a joke seeing media demonize trump while the same people who do that support porous borders and same toward the jihadi killers. they have lost credibility. the more they attack trump the more popular he gets. >> as a son of holocaust survivor, every time i hear him say something about muslims i hear the word just. >> if you go and look at your history and read the history to the lead up of the second world war this is]?d the kind of rhetoric that loued hitler to move

forward. you have people who are scared. >> because donald trump seems to be recruiting, you know a large group with the views that are against basic american values. he seems to be doing a very good job for isis. and iyu think maybe he should be on the watch list. >> now, many of you have seen my interviews with donald trump and you know we challenge him here. but we treat him fairly. trump has enough guts to come in here and take the fire. something hillary clinton and bernie sanders apparently will not do. that's a plus for mr. trump. he is perceived as being a stand-up guy. he is not afraid of the media are 00 politically correct poobahs. right now it's impossible to say whether donald trump will get the republican nomination. clearly the g.o.p. establishment does not believe he can defeat hillary clinton and therefore, doesn't want him as a standard bearer.÷v however, mr. trump has millions of americans on his side as the polls demonstrate. again, he can thank barack obama and the left-wing media largely for that that's the memo. now for the top story

tonight, reaction, joining us from chicago dr. olsten goolsbee a man who worked for president obama. do youdonald trump's success is due to the president's failures sir? >> no. totally not. bill, i don't know where you are coming with this. when we last spoke, you and i agreed that we should not attribute one person's behavior to what outside people were saying. there we were talking about the shootings that if somebody was going to be a criminal, they weren't be driven to criminality by the statements of the media. >> you are talking about the colorado springs things like that? >> yeah. i feel the same way about this. donald trump is taking extreme positions i think because he is trying to get attention and he has got to keep outdoing himself. he comes out of the gate. >> you remember keyes right? >> yeah. >> a few years back. they haven't been successful taking what you call extreme positions. other people would disagree with that for a moment, i'm going to cede that mr. trump

is running to the right far right in precincts. he couldn't get any traction at all if the country wasn't so angry. you know -- do you see the polls, doctor? do you analyze them at all? >> i analyze them some. >> i mean, look -- >> -- they show a lot of division. i'm not disputing that. >> this is a cnn poll, okay? handling of isis. do you approve? 33% of the country approves of a way president obama is handling isis. this is just tees uprc trump. it just tees him up. come on, you must understand that. >> look, if you thought -- i believe that there is on almost every issue a great deal of partisan division in the country you. >> it's 33-64. come on. it's a landslide. doctor -- >> -- in most of these polls, a third of the people say they approve, a third of the people say they disapprove and a broad middle says. >> 66% approve. >> say they don't have an opinion. >> take a deep breath, will you? when president nixon

resigned '3% of the people didn't want him to. that's rock bottom for any president. >> he understand. >> you are supporting obama and his strategy against isis 64% do not that is a colossal loss. >> bill, you are being misleading because you are saying 1/3 of the people support him. if you look at what percentage absolutely oppose him. it is also a small number. we%0aóñi this division i think if you think that obama is aiming us too far to the left that ought to open up a hole for the middle. >> ideology here, doc you have got to get out of that little puddle, it's a matter of performance. it's a matter of performance. >> okay. >> overwhelmingly americans in both parties feel that the president is clueless and they don't feel he is safe and don't feel he has the gus to take on the jihadis. overwhelmingly we know he won't secure the borders of

the country. overwhelmingly. >> that's not the trump. here the question is that why trump is saying what he is saying. >> yeah. trump has two issues. the border and fighting terrorism how do you explain how donald trump would propose a $10 trillion tax cut? >> nobody cares about that. >> after a year. >> why does trump say that. >> trump saying he can make better deals and kick the chinese butt, all right? that's not even important now. with the paris and california attack it's all emotion. you must understand that it's all emotion. >> i don't disagree with that. that that is a source of division,. >> pro-trump play. it's anti-at this obama play we don't like him and we want to get somebody to sweep him out and repudiate everything he does. that's why trump's winning. >> that's a theory. that's one theory. >> it's not a theory.

>> then how do you explain -- that's your theory for where trump's strength is coming from. how doçkf think that's where trump came from. last year there was a net outflow of migration from the u.s. to mexico. not the other way around. >> doctor -- >> -- and yet trump comes in. >> reality. i just gave you a stat where the family illegal aliens coming across the borders of up 173% in a year. okay? that's the reality that voters are looking at they are looking at 14 dead people at a suburb in los angeles. come on, you must understand that obama's failure that obama's[kém failures are driving trump's success. last word. >> i think trump is driving trump's success because he is trying to get attention and he is taking more and more extreme positions to get that attention. >> all right. doctor, always a pleasure debating with you. next on the rundown dana perino on the upcoming republican debate and president

president obama's troubles with terrorism. then later watters with some very wealthy people buying strange stuff. also goldberg on my interview with donald trump and the factor is coming right back. ; constipated? trust number one doctor recommended dulcolax use dulcolax tablets for gentle overnight relief suppositories for relief in minutes and stool softeners for comfortable relief of hard stools. dulcolax, designed for dependable relief if you're taking multiple medications does your mouth often feel dry? a dry mouth can be a side effect of many medications. but it can also lead to tooth decay and bad breath. that's why there's biotene available as an oral rinse toothpaste,

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introducing new centrum vitamints. a multivitamin that contains a full spectrum of essential nutrients... you enjoy like a mint. new centrum vitamints. the coolest way yet... to get your multivitamins. impact segment tonight. dana perino's top stories of the week. the co-host of the five joins you now. so the top story is? >> i think it has to be that we had a terrorism attack on the country that the president admitted such last sunday and it absolutely did nothing it to help him in the standing. as you were just talking about with austan goolsbee in the a block. he is the president, is in a fix. you mentioned the poll that of 0% of people are just not buying it. >> 64%. >> 64%. >> 64%. when you figure only 40% of the country defines themselves as conservative, that's 24%. >> that's a cry for help from the american people

saying this is nol a war of our choosing but we can choose how to fight it and the president i think jumped the gun. i don't think they should have done that prime time address on sunday is. i would have waited. i would is have given a little bit of time for the investigation to continue. maybe call for a national terror meeting. >> he said it's a terrorist act by two muslims and i'm not going to do anything about it that's what he said. are you going to give him more time to say i'm not going to do anything about it? today is thursday, rights? is going to say anything different today than he was on sunday? no, he is not going to do anything about it. >> it's interesting he has not gone to san bernadino not to comfort the victims or admit it's a security failure. >> if he goes to san bernadino and that highlights his own failure. >> it would except for -- >> -- why would you do that. >> i think that would take on we have a terrorism problem in this country. he has 12 months left to to governmental he doesn't think we have a terrorism problem in the country. he doesn't think that isis is quote unquote existential threat to the country. >> that was -- the president

was asked go to san bernadino there is no plans for that yet. >> why would he do that? >> the press secretary said the president often goes to places where there has been gun violence. this is gun dumbing down terrorism. >> he continues to try toy deflect the terrorism issue into the gun control issue he is going to it lose. and i pointed this out before. the irony is more americans are buying guns now because of him. he wants fewer guns they are north going it protect us so i'm going to get as many bazookas as i can from the basement. >> the president want to put forward on more background checks for their point of view what they want to do. >> it's peaceful people buying a gun. >> and they will buy more of them. can i make a prediction on this show in the president is leaving next friday. he will go to hawaii for two and a half, three weeks something like that. >> yeah. >> i bet you money he stops in san bernadino on the way. >> all right. republican debate tuesday night and you say. >> i'm excited about it. five days away. since debate since the paris attack and san bernadino. it's the first time that the

debate has had the number one issue on the country is national security and terrorism. it's the last time to make a good impression before everybody gathers for the holiday where they are definitely going to be talking about the can cats of their choice. >> so you are excited for what. >> i love&é debates and i love politics. >> go after trump, he is kicking everybody's butt they have to go after him. >> he is way in the lead. >> i wouldn't be surprised if they all start beating him up like a piñata. >> it's interesting to is see if anybody will do so. keep an on christie. cnn hasn't announced what candidates are going to be on the debate stage. >> throwing shoes, i don't really like that. >> huh? >> the whole throwing shoos. >> i'm the one that got black eye. i got hit by the boom mike. >> i have the pictures to prove that i had a big black eye. >> you had -- do you know how much money you can make on ebay with that thing the shoe that hit dana perino.

>> those shoes ended up in a museum here in new york. people pay to go see them. >> the shoe that hit you. >> i got hit by the boom mike the steel arm that swung around and hit me in the face. i was the only one that got hurt in that whole thing. >> are you willing to predict tonight that they will attack the other candidates, donald trump that they will go after him? >> i don't know. i think cruz willç not. christie my might. marco probably will want to keep it steady as she goes. jeb bush is gowu z try to make a play or else, i mean, the electorate has been allowing a thousand flowers to boom. it's time to narrow it down. january will be the month where it all comes together. >> dana perino, everybody directly ahead factor investigation what did the 65 countries allegedly aligned against isis doing? what are they doing? then watters on rich people and goldberg on o'reilly trump. up ahead.

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fight against isis president obama and his advisors almost always point to 65 nations allied with us. >> for more than a year the u.s. has built and led a broad coalition against isil of some 65 nations. the united states will continue to lead this global coalition, we are intensifying our strategy on all fronts. >> now, i have called the coalition a reuse. a pr stunt. is that unfair? joining us now are truth serum correspondent shannon bream in washington eric shawn here in new york city. 65 nations. what are they doing? >> great question. some of them are doing diddly squat. not doing anything at all. you have 13 nations conducting air strikes. as usual we are doing most of the work.

78% of air strikes are by us. 69% in iraq. 95% in syria. >> 13 out ofom'q the 565 are bombing. but in syria where headquarters for isis is, what's the percentage of our sorties? >> we have 95%. >> 95% are the u.s. if 13 nations are bombing that means they just bomb once in a while. >> saudi arabia basically is out of it because they have been concentrating on yemen. guess what, we are losing one. canada is on the list because the new liberal prime minister. >> trudeau. >> mr. trudeau justin, has promised to withdraw the bombings. >> so they're going to stop bombing. they weren't really bombing much anyway. >> that's true. that means he goes from 13 down to 12. >> nobody will even notice that canada isn't bombing because they really weren't becoming. >> then you have big other thing sorry to interrupt you but this to it me is unbelievable. you have egypt. you have germany. italy, spain japan which has the ninth largest air force in the world.

>> japan? >> south korea seventh largest afersz, they're sitting on their duff. >> not doing anything. >> nothing in terms of air strikes. not at all. >> that's what i thought. on the ground, 65 nations what are they doing? >> well, you have got 20 who have advisors on the ground. >> so 20 out of the 65? >> yes. >> have advisors on the ground. >> yes. >> and some of them have like six advisors, right? >> well, i don't know if it's that few. but, yeah. >> we have five trained syrians for 500 million. that's what we do. >> that's true. so sp out of the 65 bombing. all right. and on the ground 20. >> so that means if do you the math that means 45. they support sit in the bleachers with the pompoms going go team. >> what do they do these advisors on the ground. >> they advise, assist and train the iraqi forces. >> these are the guys that run away every time they seew4a isis. they advise them how fast to run away or with the cities are. >> they have taken them back

slowly. >> that's mostly the she shia militias not the army. so the advisors basically say look, iraqi army. here is how the easiest way to get out of youruñ gear and leave it on the battlefield. here iszy where you put the keys to the humvees so isis gets them and here is the best way to get out of town if anybody shoots at you. >> isis has all our stuff. >> i'm being cynical but the whole thing is ridiculous. >> we have got 20. >> let's go to shannon bream and add glamour to the program. there is now house report on the bowe bergdahl swap for five taliban commanders, correct? and the headline of this, is >> that the administration broke the law in the way this transfer was carried&÷ out. this comes from the house armed services committee. there are 36 republicans, 27 democrats. we don't know he publicly how they voted but today this 94-page rhport came out today and basically+ that then secretary of

defense chuck hagel willingly mislead congress, didn't give the '3 0 day notification in advance of these transfers and basically the bottom line is by the majority who voted to put this report out that the administration broke the law bottom line. >> all right. so that's the headline from the house committee and i understand two democrats put their signatures on a dissent. but the other 22 -- no, you said 27. the other 25 haven't said anything. >> right. we didn't hear from them. the two dissenters include adam smith a democrat out of california and jackie speier also only a democrat. she is out of california as well. she is out of washington and he is out of california. basic live what they said this was unbalanced partisan and needless attempt to go after the administration. now, we have a source who was inside some of putting this investigation together. and they say that basically congressman smith was president obama's guy in the room. he was the one that sort of throwing a wrench in things. by their account this one source they say he was trying to gum up the works and work against what the

committee was trying to do. no surprise that he is dissenting from this. >> so summing up, the president had an obligation before made this trade to run it by congress. he did not do his excuse is well, we had to do it fast @#÷ save the guy's life. but they are chase chastising him for doing it that way correct? >> yes. and of course we are also hearing about the five guys let go transferred to qatar. we have had indications some of them have tried to reengage. >> i'm shocked. >> i knew you would be. but that's also included in this report as well. >> all right. shannon bream everyone. eric, thank you. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. some americans have too much money. you know that and watters went to miami to prove it. >> the pricee- is $3,500,000. >> that's it? >> that's the price. >> i will take three. [ laughter ] >> also ahead bernie goldberg on the o'reilly trump discussion last night and we hope you stay tuned to those reports.

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announcer: a horrific terror attack in paris. then, a brutal act of terror here at home. it's time for a tested and proven leader who won't try to contain isis. jeb bush has a plan... to destroy them. and keep america safe. jeb bush: the united states should not delay in leading a global coalition to take out isis with overwhelming force. announcer: tested and proven leadership matters. jeb bush. right to rise usa is responsible for the content of this message. watters world segment tonight with more than half of american earners earning less than $30,000 a year times are tough but not for everyone. in miami last week, there was a gigantic art show where rich people bought incredible stuff. watters was there ♪

♪ >> what is art? >> it's expression. it's love and it's passion. >> how much do you think this is going for? >> i'm guessing 1.2 million. >> islt that supposed to be poop? >> i know that sounds crazy but that's what they were shaped like. >> how much is that going for, do you think? >> $750,000. >> for all -- >> yeah. >> there is definitely a language barrier here. >> >> inx smoking weed. >> no, not now. >> pretty nice thought. >> i would like to slap your face. >> your tie looks a little excited. >> it's -- what else would it do? >> how much are you selling this piece for? >> 14,000. >> i'm looking at a pile of hot dogs. >> yeah. >> do you think they would welcome o'reilly down here or not? >> oh, yeah. well with, he is a work of art. why not? >> how much is this right here? >> the price is $3,500,000.

[glass breaking] >> how much is the basketball? >> it's 45,000. >> can i i touch it? >> no. >> i want to touch it. >> selling for several hundred thousand dollars. >> a picture of you naked in a tree. >> go ahead. >> why do you guys think that artists lean more to the left politically? >> artists are about truth. >> because they are grounded in critical thinking. >> if liberals are so creative why can't obama create jobs? >> that may be the best question you have asked all day. >> bagh bagh bagh. >> if the left is so good at critical thinking, why have they made such a mess of the economy? >> they haven't. >> what should we do about isis? >> maybe -- >> i think isis is on its heels now. what do you think we should do with these syrian refugees. >> i would invite the refugees to stay at my

house. >> i'm staying clear of your house. >> any perceived threat from refugees is like worry about sharks in an ocean. >> what if yomzç get bit by a shark? >> what does this piece represent to you. >>z >> wrong. this is obama's red line in syria. > á how would you fight the red line in terrorism our enemy right now? >> enemy is a negative word. putting that out there is just perpetuating more negativity. >> when someone is starting to pick a fight with you is starting to yell back at them. >> we should be nicer to the terrorists. >> that's probably your last question due to how ridiculous that is. >> do you know what kind of art i like? >> no. >> body paint. do you know who my favorite artist is? dolly? >> i was talking about dolly parton. >> i thought my luck had had finally changed. >> are you a fan of watters

world by any chance? >> you know i am. >> you have good tastes. >> you are the hardest working guy there is. >> what are you doing in a place like this? >> looking for bill o'reilly. hey, bill. >> do you know who i think is a great artist? bill o'reilly. >> really? i don't agree with that. >> he is a word smith. he paints with vowels. >> that's right. i'm watters and you are in my world right here. >> i am? >> i have got to get out of here. i have got to get out of here. calm down. get ahold of yourself. >> >> here is watters. you know the jacket, that was a little jazzy. >> kind of look like fredo. they sent him to las vegas. he had a jacket just like that. fredo did: did they get the money or just say it's 14,000 but i will give it to t324( for 39.95. >> at 50% off. i overhear guys to the cell phone did the wire transfer go through? that'sfh how big it is. stallone bought $2 million

worth of art. >> he is a big art collector. >> i think his wife made him do it. i saw his wife pushing him toward the artwork. >> he knows what he is doing is he a big art trader. the blue canvas for $400,000? >> 750,000. >> it's the blue thing. >> you don't get it, bill. it's way over your head. >> of course not. they would not even let me in there you barely got. in and you wouldn't have gotten in if you didn't look like fredo. >> that's true. >> there he is, everybody. jesse watters. when we come right) bernie on the trump interview last night. was it worthy? what will happen in the republican primaries? moments away. es. and where she keeps... ...the fire extinguisher. light up her holidays with this helzberg diamonds 1-carat diamond ring now just $1,299. helzberg diamonds. here's to love.

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(vo) here's to almost losing it. (man) no, no, no, no, no, no... (vo) until you finally find it. (man) yes! (vo) here's to a dazzling 3-carat diamond bracelet that's quite a find at only $1,999. helzberg diamonds. here's to love. thanks for staying with us, i'm boiler in the weekdays with bernie segment tonight. millions of people all over the world watch my interview with donald trump. one of those the purveyor of bernard goldberg.com joins us from miami. so did you fall asleep during that interview? i know you were up late like 8:00 8:15. >> cheap shot. totally cheap shot. no, i didn't.

i thought the interview was better than most. i thought you challenged him. it certainly was better than the valentines he gets from his friends in conservative media i think we have reached a critical point in this campaign and i would have gone beyond where you went i wouldn't expect a question answer to my question because he doesn't answer anything he doesn't want. mr. trump you have insulted a genuine war hero mr. mccain. he could have walked out but he wouldn't unless he took all the women with him. you insulted a woman running for president because you don't like her face. despite your denials you went into a spastic routine and made fun of a reporter or journalist with a physical disability and nothing you do, nothing you do or say hurts you with your supporters. we understand, mr. trump that you have tapped into frustration with barack obama and frustration with the media we understand that

but do you understand you are playing with fire. what you are doing and saying may do harm not just to the republican party but also to the united states of america itself? >> if i ask that question though, the interview would have been over. i would have had to have gone to a break because it's so long. >> have you been known to gpá)h&ong questions. >> all those questions that you had had mentioned i had asked in previous interviews a and actually we had discussed it. but here's the deal with trump. you agree apparently with my talking points memo that he has been enabled obama and thny the media. so you and i are sik with that, right? >> they are upset with what they sees a weakness in the republican party but the other two absolutely. >> and corruption though. corruption weakness in the republican party certainly for not confronting the ineptitude and corruption of the establishment democrats including president obama.

so this is driving it. so, you are right. no matter what he says, donald trump, no matter what he says, isn't going to hurt him in the polls because his core crew, which tops out at about 30% not enough to win the general election, by the way, all right? >> exactly. exactly. >> they want him to be the avenger and they want him to be outrageous and say bad things about muslims and they want all of this. >> exactly. >> as long as everybody understands that there aren't any rules that donald trump has to adhere to, none, he is trying to get the nomination and he understandsbc-ñ more provocative he is the higher he is going to go in the polls. >> yeah. and here is where it doesn't make sense. look, the people who support him detest barack obama. we agree on that. >> yes. >> but what if it was barack obama, what if it was barack obama who said john mccain, he is not a war hero, conservative supporters of donald trump would accuse the president of treason. what if it was barack obama who made fun of a republican

woman running for president and said you don't want that face in the white house. they would demand his resignation. what if it was. >> it's two different things. >> it isn't. it's the hypocrisy of if barack obama said these things they would hate obama for it but if donald trump says it, they love it. >> if barack obama says it it'sj thursday, the people who don't like him they are going to find a reason to the crux of this matter is this. there is deep anger in the country, not only in the conservative precincts bernie. >> right. >> there is anger in the independent precincts. there is anger in the democratic precincts unless you are a kool-aid drinker for the left. okay? and trump is exploiting that anger. and the rest of the field hasn't figured it out yet or won't do it. >> absolutely. >> you are absolutely right. but it's not good for america. look you said on this program a month or so ago that donald trump was a net plus formc7zç the republican

party, you are wrong, you are wrong in a big way. he is not only a mine minus is he a giant net minus. here is my prediction. if donald trump wins the nomination say hello to president hillary clinton. then trump supporters will blamekw the liberal media they will blame the republican establishment, they will blame the pc culture. they will blame everything and everybody except themselves. but if he wins the nomination, they are the ones. they are the ones. >> it's possible. >> but they will be the ones who are responsible for the train wreck that is approaching. >> just remember something is, it is not bad for the republican party or for the country to have an unconventional candidate get out there and speak his mind even if you disagree. and he stunt have power. he doesn't have any influence other than his own verbiage right now. that's why i said what i i you said. >> he is he hurting the republican party. >> all right ben

roethlisberger and -- bolling and are a on rivera on deck. who does this kinda thing online? i-i-i clicked on some links, ugh the kids weren't even home. wait, wait, wait, this changes everything.

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at the last second they can say, we're not going to -- and. >> and i don't mean the depth of

the intellect and concentration on the media is missing the -- the substantive point is that trump has con flighted two of the biggest issues that terrify people terrorism and immigration. he has taken the fear of the other and he has made it into a coalescing political moment. we fear mexicans. we fear migrants. we fear muslims. we fear so many different things. the disabled. we fear so much. >> and it hasn't worked. >> it worked for him. >> because there is danger. because things are happening that are negative in the country. due to muslim extremism. due to many dangers in the country that -- >> that he simplifies into the other. the other. the brown wsh the muslims the black lives matter. >> i tell you what he has done. he has become the candidate that

pushes back in political correctness. how many times, how many segments have we done in this building about being sick of political correctness. it is ruining our children ruining christmas, ruining everything about america. here is a guy who says i don't care about political correctness. in fact i will go the other way. i will call out a war hero. i will call out a woman. is. >> but there was no reason it call out mccain. he shouldn't have done that. >> he said i'm not your typical established politician -- >> it comes back it illegal immigration and terrorism. >> that's what it is. >> and he will i think, win the nomination. >> you do? >> i believe that trump will be the nominee. i think that when super tuesday happens the political establishment will be destroyed as we know it today. trumping. supreme on the gop side. the gop will shrink from a party of 47% to a party of 40%.

and demographically, the reality will take its pole and it will be politics as usual and -- >> or it will bring out the vote. >> no black people no latinos, no women, few asians. >> he may end up -- >> there aren't enough white guys to go around. >> predicting outright that donald trump will get the republican nomination. interesting. back to the tip of the day. low ratings for stephen colbert. who predicted that? moments away. if you suffer from a dry mouth then you'll know how uncomfortable it can be. but did you know that the lack of saliva can also lead to tooth decay and bad breath? well, there is biotene specially formulated with moisturizers and lubricants. biotene can provide soothing relief

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with better breathing. watch out, piggies! (children giggle) symbicort. breathe better starting within 5 minutes. call or go online to learn more about a free trial offer. if you can't afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. tip of the day, stephen colbert's late night program could be in trouble.

but first, we want to give you the greatest christmas ever. therefore, the elves are awaiting your orders. dozens of great things including the penny i use on the air. historic documents you can frame. t-shirts hats mugs. if you would like me to sign any of my book series the cut off date is this coming monday. can't do it after that we have so many orders. as you know "killing regan" number one adult non-fiction world. all selling briskly, thank you for that. trump got attention with his muslim ban which i think is wrong. but we need the kind of attention he brings to the map. it is pa thet toik listen to people who say we need muslim support to defeet the jihad. we would never have been attacked by muslims if they were never allowed in our country. i guess the border escaped your attention, ken. some jihadists are already here.

others can sneak in any time they want to. surely we can explain our muslim ban to arab nations friendly to pups they should want us to vet the bad people and they should want that. bowing to the muslim nations like obama does. i couldn't help but notice similarities between now and the early 1980s. it's worse now, tom. jimmy carter got hammered on foreign policy with iran and the economy was bad but we didn't have dead americans in the streets. and a commander-in-chief so detached from it as president obama is. carter even issued executive orders banning most iranians from entering the usa. did you know that? you can do that with a country.

you can't do it with an entire religion. charles hall florida. we don't need false idols. after reading "killing reagan i know him so much better by reading the book. bill do you donate all the royalties on your books? >> only those purchased on owe billoreilly.com. if you buy it on amazon or something like that royalties come to me. well not really me they go to the government because of the irs. mary jackson, california. we bill, we saw you and miller in vegas. we had a blast.

awesome show. and the sold out audience made it even better. tickets make great christmas and hanukkah gifts. check it out on billoreilly.com. who wants to be president tour? miller/oreilly. colbert made a living sat rising the right and he has plenty of material. but that's not enough to beat fallon and kimmel who are well ro produced. remember, 40% of the country find themselves as conservative. now ratings show as november 23rd show colbert has fallen behind. again, colbert makes a living in the far left precincts when letterman started doing that, his ratings started to fall.

fallon kimmel and meyers, they're not all that ideological. the late night audience simply wants a if you laughs. not political discourse. by the way, in cable news factors continues to dominate ratings in all categoryes. even though some publications dishonestly spin the numbers. but after all the years, we're used to it. we know our success is built on your loyalty and i am grateful. that's the tip of the day. when someone does you a solid, be grateful. give them a hand-written note or a little present or something, you know. that's it for us tonight. check out the factor website which is different from bill o'reilly. o'reilly. o'reilly..com. the day of the word mendacious.

i hope you guys are preparing for christmas eve two weeks from today. thanks for watching us again. megyn is next. i'm bill o'reilly. the spin stops here. we're looking out for you. breaking tonight, stunning series of new revelations in the california terror attacks suggesting security failures at home and abroad may be putting americans at risk. welcome to the kelly file everyone. i'm megyn kelly. government officials are now confirming that malik, one of the killers, was attempting to contact multiple groups of islamic radicals in the months leading up to the attack in san bernardino. so far it appears none of those communications showed up on our intelligence radar. what's more in the last couple of days the obama administration has provided three different answers from three different government