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tv   The Kelly File  FOX News  March 16, 2016 9:00pm-10:01pm PDT

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drapish when writing to "the factor." thanks for watching us tonight. ms. megyn is next. i'm bill o'reilly. please spin stops right here because we're definitely looking out for you. breaking tonight. the super tuesday two results are in. and with more than 30 nominating contests whi s behind us, the pour the magic delegate numbers is still up in the air. it is now down to three, count them, three candidates for gop. and roughly five, count them, five weeks to round out this race. last night marking a resounding win for businessman donald trump in the sunshine state, followed soon after by florida's own senator marco rubio exiting this race. ohio's governor kasich went home with his state's winner take all delegates and senator ted cruz
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endured close seconds in illinois, north carolina and missouri. while the texas senator did not win one contest outright last night, he's already won nine gop contests, making him, in his own words, the only republican with a chance to beat donald trump before we get to the cleveland convention arena this july. joining me now, texas senator and republican presidential candidate ted cruz. senator, great to see you tonight. so before we get to the delegates of last night, i want to talk about the news today, which is that donald trump has decided not to participate in the fox news debate this upcoming monday. you were reading to go. john kasich was ready to go. kasich said he's not going if trump is not going and your response to mr. trump's decision? >> well, megyn, great to be with you. for whatever reason, it seems that donald trump finds you a very, very terrifying person.
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he skipped the debate in iowa because you were going to be moderating. i guess he doesn't like when anyone challenges him. he was saying just a week ago that he was eager to get one on one with me. well, this debate, the field is narrowed even more and he could have had a direct debate with me, and yet donald apparently is ducking, he's afraid of being challenged. i think that's because the race has shifted to a terrain that's not favorable to him. even though the media is ready to put a coronation on him, the closer we get to a one on one battle, the worse donald trump does. and marco rubio's decision to suspend his campaign last night was a bad blow for donald trump, because it means the opposition to trump continues to unify and republicans continue to unify behind our campaign. >> i know you said -- first of all, he says he is done debating but he said he agreed to do this important speech on monday at
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apac and you agreed to go there too now that we have no debate. you say you're taking the debate to him. a, what do you make of his excuse? and b, what do you mean you're taking it to him? >> his excuse is silliness, and it reflects his assumption that he thinks the voters can't figure out that he's not telling the truth. listen, apac would have allowed him to spoke at any time. he chose to speak right in the middle of the debate because he's scared to debate. he looks down on the votes. he thinks they'll believe whatever he's saying. so i'm going to be in d.c. for apac as well and i'm happy to debate him there. we can debate foreign policy if he wants, but the problem is, he doesn't have even a basic modicum of knowledge. two debates ago, donald explained if he were president he would be neutral between israel and the palestinians. that is a stunning statement. it's the nonsense you hear from hillary clinton and barack
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obama. i'll tell you, megyn, if i'm president, i will not be neutral. america will stand unapologetically with israel and if donald trump can't tell the difference between our friends and allies, between israel and islamic terrorists who want to murder us, that raises real questions about his fitness and his judgment to be commander in chief. so i'm happy to debate him in utah where the debate was supposed to happen or d.c. or anywhere else. but i suspect donald will continue to run and hide and basque in the protection from the network media that is trying to do everything they can to make him the nominee, because they know he's the one candidate on the face of the planet that hillary clinton can beat in the general election. >> explain that? how has the media done that? >> well, the media has given him the equivalent of about $2 billion in free media. if you turn on the television at any moment, there is
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wall-to-wall infomercials. in chicago when there were protests, every station ran a marathon hour after hour, and they do it constantly. every network. the point i make, this is not an accident. and it's not the host. i don't hold it against the host, it's the suits in the suites who are almost all liberal partisans, and donald trump practically goes to the bathroom and it gets carried live on network television. he does a press conference that's like watching the shopping channel. he's up there selling steaks and wine. the media decembsperately wants to be the nominee, but they don't cover his record, the fact that he had a $1 million fine against him for hiring illegal aliens.
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you didn't see the media cover that. you didn't see the media covering the fact that his hotel down in florida hires foreign workers instead of american workers. you don't see the media -- when is the last time any of the network news mentioned the fact that he refuses to hand over his tax returns? the media is doing everything they can to cover up his background. you've seen no reporting on his multiple business interaction with members s of the mob. if he's the nominee, every bit of that, september, october, november, every station they'll cover all of that aspect. that's how they give the presidency to hillary clinton. and it's why so many republicans are uniting behind our campaign. because at this point, we're the only campaign that has beaten donald trump over and over and over again and can and will beat him. >> last night, you did not manage to win outright any state. missouri is not official yet, but it looks like that goes for
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trump. you need to do two things. number one, they say you would have to win 75% of all the states which you're not going to do based on the past track record. so this is headed for a contested convention. i want you to opine on that and explain how you do that and emerge, if that's where it goes, with a winning coalition? donald trump said there will be riot it is he gets to that convention and is close to the nomination and it's denied. >> listen, no one should be surprised that donald trump is trying to stir up riots. i wish we had a presidential candidate bringing us together insteltd of encouraging such things. but a lot of people get the math wrong. to be the republican nominee takes 1237 delegates. there are only two candidates that have any plausible path to getting there, donald trump and me. by the way, if donald continues
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getting delegates at the same rate he has so far, he won't get to 1237. >> correct. >> he needs to get 54% of the remaining delegates to get there. he's been getting below 50%. for me to get to 1237, it's true, i get 78% of the delegates. but here's the important thing to understand. the way the delegate allocation math works, you don't have to get 78% of the vote to get 78% of the delegates. going forward, if i beat donald trump 55-45 going forward, we get over 80% of the delegates. that's how the delegate allocation formulas work. one of the things to keep in mind, donald trump has done horribly in closed primaries. there have been 16 closed primaries, he's lost 10, lost 6. >> florida was a big one. he killed there. >> well, it was, but going forward, of the 22 remaining primaries and caucuses, only four are open caucuses where
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democrats can vote, the kind donald trump has done well. but secondly, more's the important thing. donald has a hard ceiling of maybe 35% to 40%. he can't go above that. he's proven over and over again. head-to-head, not only do i beat donald, but i do by double digits. the last polling that came out had me beating him by 13 points. and what was critical about last night is marco rubio's decision to suspend his campaign. marco ran a remarkable campaign. and what we have been seeing all day today is rubio supporters coming to us, unifying behind us, and we're welcoming them with open arms. that is very bad news for donald trump, because he has a hard ceiling at 40. he benefited from us being divided, but we're unified now. >> the trump train is looking very different than it looked a couple days ago. senator, great to see you. >> god bless. so senator cruz may be say
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thing is a two-man race, but with nearly every candidate on track to fall short potentially of the magic number of delegates, we will turn to former mitt romney strategist stu stevens, as well as newt gingrich, to talk about the possibility of a new candidate jumping in. plus, president obama today made his pick to replace the seat on the sort held by antonin scalia. and two of the country's top legal minds are here tonight on the nominee and the high stakes fight that could remake the supreme court. >> i simply ask republicans in the senate to give him a fair hearing. if you don't, it will not only be an abby -- abdication of the senate's constitutional duty -- be good.
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from the world headquarters of fox news, it's "the kelly file" with megyn kelly. >> welcome back. we heard senator cruz talking about the delegate hunt. and tonight, one of the most respected political watchers in america is predicting we will not have a gop nominee until the
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end of the primary season or perhaps beyond. suggesting that while donald trump had a good night, he did not seal the deal. former mitt romney strategist stuart stevens and newt gingrich will join us moments. but first let's go to trace gallagher to break down the numbers. >> reporter: the university of virginia is in a league of their own breaking down the numbers. over the past seven presidential elections, his accuracy rate is about 97%. and now he believes that donald trump, who has dominated the primaries and caucuses so far, will likely carry a significant share of the remaining 19 states, but he also points out that carrying a significant share may not be enough. because for trump to clinch the nomination, he needs 1237 delegates, which means he would
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have to win almost 60% of what's left. that's a lot better than he's done so far. and come june 7, when all the votes are cast, the 66 delegates john kasich won in ohio could be the difference in trump not getting the nomination. listen. >> he's likely to get close, and it's possible that he actually gets to the magic number. but i would say the probability is he gets close but doesn't go of. that's the way it looks today. >> but if he gets close and leads his next opponent by several hundred, many say the gop, including the anti-trump forces, should ban together to make sure trump gets the nomination or risk big-time trouble. watch. >> look, donald trump is saying that there will be riots in the streets. there could be a riot in the convention hall. i don't know. he's probably right, given what
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we've seen so far. i don't think the trump voters would take this lying down. >> reporter: he thinks in the 40 days between the last primaries and the convention, the gop will strike a grand bargain to nominate donald trump. megyn? >> trace, thank you. joining me now is stuart stevens, founding partner at strategic partners and media and author of "the innocent have nothing to fear" which focuses in part on this very issue, a possibility of a contested convention. stuart, good to see you. so what do you make of sabato's take, that he does not believe that trump can secure this thing prior to the convention? >> i'm betti-- betting against is a bad bet. i think he's probably right. you know, i don't that complicated. people have thought about what the rules would be for a
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convention before, which is why we have all these rules. i think we ought to look at the rules, we ought to stick to the rules. i don't think we ought to do any fancy shenanigans to change the rules. but i don't see why these other candidates would get out if donald trump hasn't reached the number he needs to get to. >> they're putting their money, cruz and kasich, on the second ballot. it goes to the convention, the first ballot is taken. no one has enough to get a majority. then all hell breaks loose on the second ballot. delegates are freed up and then it's anybody's ball game. is that how it goes? >> pretty much. listen, it's basically an ov overtime and we decide big sporting events be overtime all the time. i think we ought to play it out. there's compelling cases to be made that a majority of voters have not -- and republican
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primaries have not supported donald trump. i think half of the delegates have been selected. i thought senator cruz made some excellent points. donald trump wants to icebox this thing now and avoid debates. but listen, over half the voters haven't voted. i think they should have a voice in this thing and let's see how it plays out. >> when trump says there will be riots if he goes to that convention 100 short and the next guy has 500 or 600, you heard larry sabato say, he's probably right. what do you think? >> first of all, you know, i referred to the trump operation as a thugocracy. in 1976, reagan and ford went to a convention and nobody was making threats about riots. ronald reagan wanted to take america up to a shining city on a hill. donald trump wants to take us into an alley and we're going to
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work it out. there's unique responsibility to being a presidential candidate, in particular a possible nominee. you don't go around talking about riots. your job is not to incite people to violence but calm people down and take them through a process where people vote instead of fight. it's disgusting what he's doing. >> last night there was a lot of talk if trump becomes the nominee, what do guys like you do, what are people that are part of this never trump move do? what would happen? >> listen, parties are things that are brought together for people of free associations. i'm not going to take the trump walk. i'm not going to support donald trump. if there was a third party candidate who was viable, i would definitely -- and a conservative, i would support that candidate. i think a lot of others would, as well. but that's how democracy works.
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there's nothing in the constitution about two parties -- >> even if it meant giving hillary clinton the white house? >> i don't know. i think the people have to decide how they're going to vote is a moral issue. i can't vote for donald trump. i can't belong to that party and cast my ballot that way. i think a lot of people feel the same way i do. but it would be good if donald trump would maybe not try every day to prove us so right and going out and talking about riots just makes us feel better about not voting for him. >> stuart, good to see you. >> good to see you. >> our next guest says the idea of a brokered convention is childish nonsense. newt gingrich is former speaker of the house. good to see you. what do you make of what stuart says? let's start with that never trump movement who say it's not going to happen, they're not going to get behind him. do you believe that?
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>> they may mean it. that means in effect functional they're helping elect hillary clinton, let's be clear. any vote which doesn't go to the republican nominee is a vote to help hillary clinton and a very left wing supreme court. i think that gets to be a big moral burden when you get into august and september and a lot of folks will start to come back to the republican nominee if it's trump. i said there would be no brokered convention, but that doesn't mean it will be trump. there are two viable candidates. ted cruz has a real shot at this. he could become the nominee. trump is the front-runner. and john kasich is in a terrific position to be the broker to decide if trump can't get all the way to 1237 in the first round and now you have 30 days of negotiating, and trump did write "the art of the deal" -- >> when june 7 and the end of
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jowl when the convention is held. >> you're right, almost six weeks. this that setting, the question is whether trump or cruz is a better negotiator. kasich will be empowered and by the way, marco rubio, who did not release his delegates, will also have a seat at that table. that's perfectly legitimate. my only point has been, one of the two people, trump, cruz, is going to become the nominee. we're not going to have some magic appearance in a brokered convention by somebody who has never run, never been part of the process. >> so how do you see this playing out? the problem for trump at this point is that he's been getting, you know, between 35% and 42% generally in these states. now we're down to three states. kasich isn't competitive in a lot of these states. when you look back at mitt romney, by this point he was
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getting 60 plus percent of the delegates. he had it. and what the trump detractors say, there's no way he's going to get 58% of the delegates from this point forward, given that dynamic. >> the question is, does he have -- and we'll find out in a couple of key states. arizona in a big deal. california is enormous. new york is a very big deal, trump's home state. the question becomes, does he get so close -- if he's at 1100, it's pretty hard to stop him from getting 1237. and you do get to a point where there's a winner's mystique. in the latest national poll, i think for the first time he crossed and got to 53%, which is a real sign, there's this underlying momentum. the republican base wants to beat hillary clinton. and they're about to turn and say wait a second, this guy is probably going to be the
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nominee. let's help him get the nomination. people reached a conclusion romney was the guy most likely to beat obama, so the rest of us -- >> he didn't have the negatives trump has. you heard stuart say, i wish he would stop proving our doubts right. at what point does trump have to reach out to 50% of the party that say, no? and sort of stop alienating them and bring them into the fold? >> the sooner the better. i thought last night his comments were pretty good. he was funny and the only candidate he mentioned was rubio who he praised. and he made fun of himself being at his golf course with negative ads being run against him. that's a funnier version of
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trump, which is more appealing. and if he could focus on that. the other thing about what he said is close to what larry said. you get a guy who has millions of voters who are specifically voting against the establishment, if they get to cleveland and they conclude that they ear they are going to be robbed of the nomination, you're going to have an enormous wave of energy showing up in cleveland. people shouldn't underestimate the -- >> you raise a good point, because donald trump can be very charming. when he's the charming trump, he can charm anybody. i think the name of your next book should be "winning mystique." mr. speaker, always a pleasure speaking with you. president obama today named his pick to be the next supreme court justice of the united states. and tonight, two of the smartest
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legal minds in this country will tell you what's at stake in this fight and what is likely to happen. plus, critics pouncing after donald trump names himself as the top foreign policy adviser, and trump campaign adviser steven miller is here. he'll join us to explain why that should never happen. don't go away. i am totally blind. i lost my sight in afghanistan.
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breaking tonight. new political fallout after donald trump is pressed on who will be his foreign policy and military advisers. a question we've heard a lot of him over the last six months. >> who do you talk to for military advice right now? >> well, i watch the shows. i really see a lot of great -- when you watch your show and all of the other shows and you have the generals -- >> it might give people some confidence if they knew who you were talking to. >> i'm going to be announcing a team in about a week that is really a good team. i've been meeting with some tremendous people and i haven't made my decision yesterday, but we'll have it in good time. >> who are you consulting with so you're ready on day one? >> i'm speaking with myself, number one, because i have a
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very good brain and i've said a lot of things. i talked to a lot of people that, at the appropriate time, i'll tell you who they are. >> joining me now, steven miller, senior adviser for the trump campaign and former aide to jeff sessions. good to see you. >> great to be here. >> and there ensued the endless mocking online that he's speaking to himself because he has a big brain. which begs the question is, is that what the cabinet going to look like? who are the national security advisers going to be? >> if donald trump is president, donald trump will be the person guiding the foreign policy. that's the point he was making. if you look at the last 15 years, he's been -- >> it's not like he was a hayden character who ran the cia and the nsa. he's been a businessman. >> and somehow as a businessman he managed to see what the
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people in washington couldn't see. he saw it with bin laden and saw it in iraq. he was a private citizen and he was critical of it from the earliest stages. and the public record shows that he was critical of it. that's a very big distinction between him and senator cruz who is interventionist. but i want to talk about who is advising, because that's what we are here to talk about. who is advising him and that's my former boss, senator jeff sessions, who is one of the most respected members of the senate, a frequent guest on your program. anyone who knows jeff sessions will tell you he is the most straight shooting, apolitical person you'll meet in washington. so donald trump appointed jeff sessions the chairman of his foreign policy advisory committee. we discussed some robust foreign policy ideas. >> the thing about trump, he
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says he likes general jack keen and the general said he's never spoken to him in his life. >> he sat down with senator jeff sessions and spoke about these things at length. >> shouldn't there be some military folk in there? >> senator jeff sessions as been for 20 years on the armed services committee. the news i'm here to tell you about tonight is that senator sessions is the chairman of his foreign policy committy. that is a major piece of news. who is ted cruz's guy? donald trump has chosen jeff sessions and he's been putting together a team of foreign policy advisers, intelligence experts. >> any names you want to volunteer? >> the name i want people to go home with is jeff decisions. >> donald trump is tough, and he's already come out with this ad against hillary clinton. he's focusing on the general
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election, and he's come out with this ad. watch this. [ dog barking ] [ laughter ] >> you tell me whether that is what people love about donald trump. does he have like a knack for how to get to the weak spot? >> donald trump is brilliant when it comes to getting to the weak spot. and of course, we've seen it throughout this campaign, in terms of you've had some mightily and powerful politicians who have crumbled to nothing going up against donald trump. i will be fair tonight and i won't name names, but we all know who they are. >> they used to stand on the debate stage and they no longer do. they were on the edge of the stage and they were gone. >> i might say tonight he's
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previewing just a sampling of how he might go after hillary clinton in a general election. her.s he said, he hasn't even >> this is an hors d'oeuvre. >> attorney, great to see you. here now with another perspective, lieutenant colonel michael waltz, author of "warrior diplomat." thank you very much for being here, michael. so your take on senator jeff sessions arranging the national security advising team to donald trump? >> well, let's look at the numbers here, megyn. you have one senator and his adviser who you just had on. on the other hand, you have over 100 respected republican foreign policy experts that have signed a public letter saying they cannot morally and ethically support donald trump's candidacy, much less him as
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commander in chief. why? let's look at his hateful rhetoric towards muslims. 1.6 billion around the world, including many great americans. let's look for his cozying up to putin, who you just saw in the ad, yet donald trump thinks he's a great man. let's look at his advocacy of a trade war against china and just for these wild swings. we want military intervention all over the world. 20,000 to 30,000 troops in syria. on the other hand, we need to get out of the middle east and invest in our infrastructure. his foreign policy isn't mored in principle, he's saying what the voters want to hear. that's why so many people don't back the republican nominee. >> what about steven's point, he says donald trump has been preshient with things like the iraq war, and he did predict
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osama bin laden was going to come attack this country prior to 9/11. so he has an instinct that will serve him well. >> you know, i think shooting from the hip and gut reaction when it comes to these complicated, difficult issues overseas, particularly with all of the threats facing the united states from china and russia to cyber attacks, to isis and islamic extremism, to homegrown violent extremism, i don't think we can afford a commander in chief that's learning on the job and shooting from the hip. to date, even though he's leading a republican nomination fight can only name one adviser. the thing that has me most disturbed, megyn, as a military officer and a special forces officer is his insistence the military will do his beck and call, even if what he is demanding constitutes war crimes. >> he walked that back and says he can't do that. >> well, i think maybe senator
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sessions informed him that he was advocating bombing civilians and the military has an obligation to say no. >> that ad against hillary clinton, effective? >> nobody disputes the fact that donald trump is a master at spinning the media. lord knows he spun the media now for the last eight months for hours and hours of free airtime by saying sensational things. but sound bites and a reality tv star do not make a commander in chief. >> colonel, thanks for being here. still ahead, what happens with the delegates who are pledged to people like marco rubio who have dropped out? plus, the republicans face a tough decision on the president's new supreme court pick, and two of the country's sharpest legal minds are next. you have to hear what they have to say about the nominee. it's not what you are expecting and you won't hear it anywhere but here. i know how it is. you're all set to book a flight using your airline credit card miles.
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breaking tonight. a new battle erupting between the white house and republicans, after president obama nominates judge merrick garland to fill the supreme court seat once held by the late conservative justice antonin scalia. gop senate leaders signaled they will not consider any nominee, include thing one, before election day. a notion president obama objected to during his announcement today. >> to suggest that someone as qualified as respected as merrick garland doesn't even deserve a hearing, let alone an up or down vote, to join an institution as important as our supreme court, when 2/3 of americans believe otherwise, that would be unprecedented. >> the american people are perfectly capable of having their say, the senate will appropriately revisit the matter when it considers the qualifications of the nominee, the next president nominates. >> joining me now, tom
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goldstein, the publisher of the website scotus blog and jonathan turley, professor at the george washington school of law. what do you think republicans should be making of this pick? >> republicans in truth ought to be doing cartwheels. this is as centrist, as mod rest, as conservative a nominee as any democratic president was ever going to put on the supreme court. that's why orrin hatch has supported him in the past. but republicans are standing on a really strong principle, and that is, this is the tipping point to the supreme court. so they don't care who the nominee was, they were going to hold out as long as possible for the next election. >> they're hoping to put in somebody who looked like justice antonin scalia under a republican president, which leadstous the possibility that the republicans might confirm judge garland, and you tell us under what circumstances they
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would do that. >> well, it's certainly possible.
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for the general as they need. >> they will do no better if hillary clinton becomes the next president. there is no way they'll do better than judge garland. there is no way. the question is, what are they going to get? if they wind up can judge garland, what are the issues that might be problematic to the g.o.p. ? >> they may get the more liberal nominee. >> exactly. and you're talking about issues like abortion, affirmative action. judge scalias was a very
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conservative guy. conservatives are concerned about what will happen next. >> you're telling me that this guy, he has an emotional day in the rose garden today, that president obama can yank the rug out from under him from hillary wins and say, my apologies, you're out of here, i'm going for someone in their 30s. watch this it. it was emotional. watch this. >> greatest honor of my life. it's the greatest gift i've ever received. >> neat to see such a respected jurist emotional like that. could president obama veto? >> this is judge garland's time,
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it's not a lucky place to be. i think that people are going to demand fair treatment for him. what is interesting that i don't want to discount one aspect of a live torpedo in the water. his vote on the precursor to be reconsidered, many people believe he was opposed to heller. >> recognizing an individual right to bear arms. >> that is right. you can have the nra saying we think he's a nonbeliever. that could with a game changer. >> we've gotten to a state where
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that no longer gets you through. and no longer, they look at you ideologically, now. >> that is the power politics. it's because the supreme court is just like every other institution in town and soon, with the exception of the other lawyers we have on the show. >> ted cruz has 400 delegates but what happens for the hundreds that signed up for rubio, carson, or fiorina? that is next. rubio?
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test test test. yeah, i was just talking uhabout yourico?... emergency roadside service and how it's available 24/7 and then our car overheated... what are the chances? can you send a tow truck please?
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uh, the location? you're not going to believe this but it's um... it's in a tree. i wish i was joking, mate, but it's literally stuck in a tree. (car horn honking) a chainsaw? no, no, all we really need is a tow truck. day or night, geico's emergency roadside service is there for you. man 1: he just got fired.
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man 2: why? man 1: network breach. man 2: since when do they fire ceos for computer problems? man 1: they got in through a vendor. man 1: do you know how many vendors have access to our systems? man 2: no. man 1: hundreds, if you don't count the freelancers. man 2: should i be worried? man 1: you are the ceo. it's not just security. it's defense. bae systems.
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watching tvs get sharper, oh remotes, you've had it tough. bigger, smugger. and you? rubbery buttons. enter the x1 voice remote. now when someone says... show me funny movies. watch discovery. record this. voila. remotes you are back. the x1 voice remote is here. x1 customers get your voice remote by visiting xfinty.com/voiceremote. now that florida senator marco rubio suspended the campaign, what happens to his 170 delegates? trace gallagher knows. trace? >> reporter: yeah, marco rubio has by far the most delegates with 169. they don't disappear but in a contested convention they can't be gift wrapped or handed to another candidate. for example, marco rubio's delegates from 20 states and
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puerto rico. but 134 of those delegates are bound, meaning the states require them to vote for rubio on the first ballot even though he's no longer in the race. on later ballots, they can vote for whoever. 35 of rubio's delegates unbound and when he dropped out, they're free agents who can vote for anyone. and that makes them extremely valuable to the campaigns because if the candidates can't sit 1,237 the next best thing is free agents to win on the first ballot which is exactly what happened back in 1976 going in to the convention, gerald ford didn't have the majority but he did have a slight lead over ronald reagan and by promising the delegates things like white house visits and other goodies, ford picked up enough support to win on the first ballot by 60 votes. cruz and kasich don't have the luxury of presidential perks but they could
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getting a lot of mail on twitter and facebook on our session with ted cruz. do you believe he has a realistic path to the nomination? facebook.com/the kelly file. let me know. thanks for watching. this is "the kelly file." number one. >> tonight, gop front-runner trmp has a warning for the republican establishment. >> if you disenfranchise those people i think you have problems like you have never seen before. >> our guests are here tonight with reaction. plus rnc chairman priebus weighs in on the possibility of a brokered or contested convention. >> only two campaigns have a plausible path to the nomination. ours and donald trump. >> senator ted cruz says it's time for his campaign to go head to head with donald trump. >> nobody else has any mathematical possibility whatsoever. >> monica and