campaign. the story, regardless what happens here tonight, goes on for this family that has become very prominent on the national political scene. i believe we have not heard the last of the rest of the trumps either. we'll see. bill: got a huge day ahead and a very big night tonight. we'll see you then. good luck, america. >> fox news alert. after more than a year after campaigns, debates, primaries and caucuses, comes down to the day that america decides. hello, everybody, i'm jenna lee, in raleigh, north carolina. >> i'm jon scott in columbus, ohio. after candidates crisscrossed some of the biggest battleground states yesterday, hillary clinton voted this morning in new york. we saw donald trump at public school where he is casting his ballot in manhattan.

we have live fox news team coverage. mike emanuel in chappaqua, new york with the clinton campaign. we begin with senior correspondent john roberts in new york city. reporter: good morning to you. donald trump arrived here at ps 59 on 53rd street to cast his vote for president. donald trump confirmed to us on "fox & friends" this morning, yes he will be voting for himself. he arrived with wife melania and daughter ivanka and son-in-law, jared kurschner. a pool camera went inside with him. we will bring those to you as soon as they get transmitted. trump plans spending rest of the day at tower. you have to have two speeches on election day. one in case you win and one in case it doesn't go your way. we don't know the theme of the speech, whether he will seek to win or lose, unify the country after what has been rancorous and divisive election, last 72 hours of this campaign, donald trump went to 10 states, 14

different events. tried to expand the map a little bit, going into places like michigan, wisconsin, minnesota and virginia. he has very narrow path to 270 electoral votes. seeing if he gives himself a little bit of a you have per. on "fox & friends" this morning predicting he will do very well today. here is trump. >> i think we'll win iowa, ohio, and new hampshire. we'll win a lot of states. i mean, who knows what happens ultimately but we're going to win. i think one that will be interesting is michigan, because it is not a state gone republican for many decades. reporter: michigan was his final stop of his campaign after midnight last night, not wrapping up until after 1:00 in the morning in grand rapids, believing his message bringing automobile manufacturing jobs back to michigan will resonate well with non-union and union workers the like. he was in manchester, new hampshire, a state he would like to win.

in fact he may not get the oval office without new hampshire. saying tom braid i did, four-time super bowl champion of the new england patriots, called him and said he voted for him. haven't been able to confirm that. also a letter sent to him by bill belichick, he reading that letter last night in new hampshire. >> you have proved to be ultimate competitive and fighter. your leadership is amazing. i have always had tremendous respect for you but toughness and perseverance you displayed over the past year is remarkable. hopefully tomorrow's election results will give opportunity to make america great again. [cheering] reporter: as we said, donald trump has been trying to expand the electoral map. don't know if he can do that in places like minnesota, virginia, and minnesota. he needs to win everything mitt romney won in 2012.

he needs to add nevada, iowa, florida, new hampshire, and second congressional district in maine. he was leading into a lot of those states heading into the election, not florida. it was kind of really even up more than anything. if he gets all that, he gets exactly 270 and he becomes the president. jon? jon. >> that bill belichick letter won't help him in seat tell but he wasn't going to win washington state anyway. jenna. >> hillary clinton leaving her home to cast her vote in chappaqua, new york. we have mike emanuel there. reporter: i'm told by senior. it is voting day. a lot of excitement at local elementary school when hillary

clinton and her husband the former president turned out to vote. clinton seemed to be in good spirits after final day of campaigning, waiting around 4:00 a.m. or so. clinton team feels like they left it all on the field with her final stops wrapping up a grueling 2016 cycle. after voting and greeting supporters, clinton spoke about this moment in history. >> it is the most humbling feeling, dan. i know how much responsibility with this. so many people counting on outcome of this election. reporter: after voting clinton has been calling into radio stations in some strategic locations. one in charlotte, north carolina, for mostly light interview but she did weigh in on big controversy there, the debate over bathrooms. >> i always loved being in north carolina. last night at this big rally that we had in raleigh, you know, bill said something which

he and i talked a lot about. when we were in arkansas and he was a young governor trying to figure out how to improve education and create economic opportunity, everybody looking at north carolina as the model. reporter: clinton is expected to do more work on her speeches in the upcoming hours, about mid-afternoon. i'm told she will head to a new york city hotel to be in position pour election night. jenna? >> we'll talk a little more about the rally last night in just a moment. thank you so much. jon? john: long and contested season. voters lining up in polling places across this morning but a record number of americans have already made their choice, more than 46 million people voted before election day this year. let's bring in charlie of the washington times, guy benson is political editor for town hall.com, both of them fox news contributors. despite all of the ranker this

election season, charlie, do you take some heart in the early-voting numbers? >> oh, yeah. everybody is talking about election it's been but the truth is this was a much needed wake-up call for both republicans an democrats. you know, in the political accomplishments things were not working and have not been working and have not been whatever happens this is an important step americans had to go through and one of the things that i admired trump's campaign energized a lot of people that have checked out for a long time. that's a good time. having people vote in huge numbers it's a good thing for our democracy. john: i was surprised. i'm hearing ohio guy, 72% of the eligible population voted way

above national average. this year it seems like the whole country is engaged for one candidate or the other but very much engaged in the process. >> everyone is watching. it's been a wild one. to your previous question, it's been fun and cool to see. i was scrolling through instagram feed and i have friends across the political spectrum, people i know are all in for trump or all in for hillary, i voted stickers, people are proud of our democratic process and people excited to be taking part in that process even though everyone isn't totally thrilled about the two options. it's a very important election and, of course, crucial to remember tomorrow morning the sun will rise again. we will still be america. the republic will go on and we will hopefully start to come together because it has been a really divisive year. john: charlie, give us your sense where things stand today? people are casting their votes.

a couple of weeks donald trump said to be 10 or 12 points behind and we don't broadcast polls on election day but clearly he has made this a race. >> oh, i mean, it's been the unlikeliest elections, certainly that i ever seen. you know, he arguably he never should have won the republican nomination in the first place. he ran attacking the republican establishment and manages to win the nomination and then go onto stay very much in the fight to the very end. people predicted that he would be out of this in mid-summer but he is largely on his own instincts and disregarding all sort of -- john: let me interrupt you. we are seeing live pictures of new york city as donald trump exits the school where he and, i believe, ivanka both voted, he's about to get into his suv and up with of the questions is, is

there more campaigning ahead. last time around the candidates made surprise trips to ohio where i am right now. there could be a plan for donald trump to jump onto his 757 and head off to one of the important states. sorry, charlie, for the interruption, just we wanted to bring that to our viewers, donald trump is emerging from voting location in new york city. go ahead, charlie. >> it is an amazing place that we find ourselves today because all the predictions have been that, you know, that donald trump would have been out of this by now but whether he -- whether he manages to succeed ultimately, the fact that he has come this long, i think, is call to -- you know, party establishment and political establishment that things need to change in washington. john: and guy, you know, i suppose one could argue that hillary clinton represents the establishment, is this a change

election? >> it is a change election. this is why it's an interesting one and fascinating dynamic that, i think, political scientists will be studying for a long time. it's very difficult for the in-party win a third consecutive election. yet, structurally she has a bunch of advantages. if you believe the polls, she's going to win tonight. that's the question, is the data going to be correct or are the sort of winds of history blowing at donald trump's back, will they eventually prevail of why the data would be wrong. from a pure political nerd stand point it's going to be fun to watch the stuff come in. john, yeah, i'm here in ohio, the best record of voting with the nation as to who is going to

be president. we will see what happens here in ohio when the polls close at 7:30 charry hurt, guy benson, thank you. jenna: john, last night i arrived in raleigh, north carolina. hillary clinton rally and the line was all around the block, so many people waiting in line to get in hours before the event started. one of the things we were looking at and we continue to look at today is unaffiliated person, the person that's not a republican or democrat but a big voting block in this state. when you look within unaffiliated voters, you have to look at at millennials, what are they saying, what about the mothers out there, take a listen so some of the folks we talked to last night. >> well, listen, we were exciting about bernie sanders but not as excited as hillary clinton. do you feel that way? >> that's fair. there were people who were

bernie or bust and frankly that doesn't make sense with the two-party system that's not how it's going to work. and i was actually a little bit convinced of the socialist party for about a week but then i realized that -- jenna: what happened in the week to change your mind? >> 2016 is not the year to vote third party. jenna: what about the celebrity endorsements and people showing up for her, does that change your mind at all, does that make you more motivated to vote for her? >> personally, i just believe in politics. it's cool that they have celebrities but i believe that people should vote for what they truly believe in and not because a celebrity tells them to but i mean, it's all up to that person. you can't control that. jenna: isn't it a school night, mom? >> it is a school night but one of the best lessons in civics that he could possibly get. jenna: mom, have you voted?

>> no, i like to be part of the frenzy. jenna: there will be frenzy today certainly. polls are up here in north carolina. fox news is america's election headquarters. we have live coverage all day all night with the latest results and reaction and fair and balance analysis that america choses next president so keep it right here on the fox news channel, john. john: well, jenna is in north carolina, it is a key state in play on this election day. up next we will take a look at how shifting demographics are changing the way north carolina vote s. ♪ everything your family touches sticks with them. make sure the germs they bring home don't stick around. use clorox disinfecting products. because no one kills germs better than clorox.

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jenna: welcome back to happening now. live from raleigh, north carolina, we have been mentioning it all day so far how important this state is for the

results of who becomes the next president of the united states. one of the things we are looking at here early voting, specifically early voting results demand the county that raleigh is in we have seen a record of turnout for early voting, what does that mean? we will talk about that with joe stewart, free enterprise foundation. joe, we heard all sorts of things of early voting. you're the one guy in the state that everyone quotes and trusts, what's the truth about early voting in north carolina? >> we have seen record turnout this year and part of it is the fact that voters are engaged an enthusiastic about the election, there's been a lot of coverage and news about it, north carolina is a fast-growing place. the growth is not even. it's been metropolitan parts of north carolina, since 2010 almost half of the state counties are actually smaller in population than they were when the the census was taken by wade county see dramatic growth and there are a little bit more nationally oriented as voters and so they take their cue from whatever is happening on the

national stage and in this election year it just means they are more engaged. jenna: what do the results of the early voting, we got the results sat night, what do they tell you about the results we might see come tonight? >> what we have to compare it is 2012 a year when mitt romney won 88,000 votes. the performance of democratic-leaning voters, what we know about registration, race and gender it's a slightly less democratic early vote than the results of 2012, which would tell us that it's probably a slightly less democratic favorable balance between the candidates going into election day. jenna: i'm sensing a however, though. well, the thing we ask ourselves and we will know after today, were people voting early that were plan to go vote on election. did some of the vote get cannibalized. jenna: who is unaffiliated voter that we hear so much about and

how it's important for north carolina? >> significantly fast-growing segment. 30% of the state's registered voters equal with the number of registered republicans and slightly less than the registered democrats but over the last several years unaffiliated voter registration has gone up while there's been even just flat or modest losses of republicans in some significant losses of registered democrats. they are younger, they're not from here, they moved here from some where else and more interested in candidates than partisan label. jenna: interesting facts for viewers. 250 plus people every day are added here in north carolina. either through migration or, you know, people having babies. so it is a growing state. what is the one thing if you're watching one thing tonight, joe, what is it? >> it really is how the metropolitan counties perform. what does that mean? this is the election of the new

north carolina. different populf people than it's been historically. we will see what their attitudes are as voters after today. jenna: we certainly will. it'll be fascinating. thank you for visiting us here in the lovely location. we appreciate it. >> thank you. jenna: john. john: ohio is the ultimate battleground state as i sit here in columbus, whipping -- winning for the presidential candidate. which candidate is the state leaning? we will take a look next.

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john: ohio is always in the thick of the presidential state. the bell weather is written by

our frequent guest of our program, ohio native and his book explainohio's record as a predictor of presidential results. ohio has the best record of any state in voting for the winning candidate. its results most often reflect the national voting average. ohio also has provided the decisive electoral votes to the winning candidate more times than any other state. but this race could be unlike any other for the buckeye state. this morning i was in jack's dineer. >> i think ohio will go to trump but ultimately hillary will be elected. but we will see. john: ohio has been correctly picking the winner of the presidential election ever since

1964 and really if you go back to 1800's it has an almost perfect record. with us now jay, former senior adviser to ohio's governor. john kasich and a political expert of all things ohio, so this young man nicholas wright we spoke to traveled the states, he thinks ohio goes for trump but this could be one of the few rogue years that ohio doesn't go with the national mood because he also predicts hillary win it is presidency. how do you see it? >> it's certainly possible that donald trump wins this. all my republican friends say he's going to win by a point. ohio is a true toss-up. the problem with trump he's been chasing unicorns. he was out in minneapolis instead of going to states that would be vital path for 270 and he's spending a lot of time trying to turn out traditional democrat voters as cross-over

vote than getting out republican votes, safe republican votes and that's where the issue is going to be. it's all about the suburbs for donald trump. white republican women are going to be depressed. how much are they depressed? we don't know. those are the voters that donald trump needs to win ohio and that's going to be the issue for him right now. john: talk about county? >> it's been considered a firewall for democrats. you to have a big turnout to win. what we have seen in early voting it's been depressed and a lot from the african-american community, franklin county, it's had huge numbs so far and reports today that the lines are out there the door. that could be the new firewall for ohio and something to look at going forward in ohio's future. john: climbous -- columbus votes democratic but the surrounding areas balance that out.

>> a lot white suburban are going to stay home or vote for hillary. john: does donald trump have to win ohio? >> he has to win ohio. i don't see a way that he doesn't win ohio and he wins the presidency. ohio will be a late night but the rest of the election might not be tonight. john: late night for ohio means what, midnight, 1:00 a.m.? >> midnight, 1:00 a.m., hamilton county comes in late which is cincinnati, we could be for a long night. nobody gets above 51% in a race. john: it's always tight. it's usually a couple of points one way or the other. >> we don't have significant latino population to offset lack of enthusiasm to the community that hillary has. her big numbers nationally, that's the hard place for her to make up here and another reason it's tight here. john: how do you explain lack of

enthusiasm and all of a sudden the raging enthusiasm in frack line county? >> it's caught us all by surprise usually cayota county gets machines going and it works for them. hillary campaigned with lebron james, jay z and beyonce and not been there so far. john: jay, it's going to be fascinating. >> thanks for having me. appreciate it. john: jenna. >> jenna: john, vote asking well underway in north carolina. the state as we mentioned is setting a record in early voting and we are going to talk more about that, we will talk with the political professor saying that north carolina really is becoming a model for the rest of the country, all the more reasons to watch it. more from ohio in just a moment where the buckeye state voters have correctly selected a president since 1964, only if they should chose loto winners,

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jenna: in every election we like to compare this year to the past years, what does it look like this year compare today 2012 to 2008 but there's a reason why north carolina that's particularly difficult to do and that's because as we mentioned earlier in the program about 250 people are added to the population of the state every single day. so that's migration from the north as families growing and so the state is changing quickly. still there is a tradition in the state of north carolina and we will talk with professor. it's great to have you on the program. i know that you have been looking at a lot of numbers. what's the tradition in north carolina when it comes to politics? >> north carolina has been mostly red state. george w. bush won both elections with almost 143 points for mccain to lose less than half a point in 2008. what we have seen in north carolina is a story of mass migration primarily from north eastern areas to the state and

changing our state politics. jenna: how is that changing the way you look at this election cycle? >> this election cycle is important to find out where these folks in the big urban centers are turning out to vote you see high levels of turnout in raleigh, mecklenburg, that's not the best sign for some campaigns. jenna: who would not it be the best sign for? >> it's be problematic for republicans across the board. trump does have a great deal of enthusiasm in rural and suburban areas in rural north carolina. jenna: what has been the issue that seems to be motivating voters in this state? >> in many ways what we have been talking to folks across the state in our polls is really about personality of the candidates. concerns about hillary clinton personally, things connect today e-mail or past record and folks sort of are fed up with the system.

jenna: it's race for senate, the senator here which could change the make-up of the senate for the entire country. what do you think is notable about the two races for voters that are not in the state? >> the north carolina governor's race has been the contentious in the state. he has a good chance going forward. u.s. senate race was one that a lot of folks didn't really think too much about and it wasn't on the radar. however, democrat has surged forward over time. that said, it does seem that the republican incumbent richard has a pretty good chance going forward. jenna: we are going to be talking about the hb2 bill. our viewers have heard about this bill before because it has prevented north carolina from getting some big businesses coming in. can you tell us a little bit about that bill and why that's going to be a factor in some of the races for governor for senate? >> hb2 bill has been a central issue in the governor's race and

come up in presidential race and senate races even though it's been a state issue. it started over bathroom ordinance in charlotte. general assembly passed legislation basically saying that no municipality could pass that type of legislation. it did other things but primarily about that. led to boycotts throughout the state. organizations have pulled out concerts in the state, basketball games moving away from the state. overall, a lot of voters are oppose today hb2. that said, the question is is it motivating. people are upset that they lost ncaa games but enough to say i'm going to pick somebody for four years over one issue. jenna: is there a serious thing that you are watching tonight that you say that's going to be the tipping point for either candidate for president? >> the biggest question is african-american turnout. if hillary clinton is not motivating african americans to get to the polls at the same

level that barack obama did it'll be difficult to win north carolina. jenna: as you point out, he only won the state by less than a percentage point. >> he did so at record numbers for african-american turnout. if we don't see typically high numbers it'll be difficult for clinton. jon. jon: here in ohio election officials are keeping a close eye on polling places to prevent possible fraud. buckeye state plays a big role since no republican has ever won the white house without winning ohio. let's bring in jesse who covers politics for the cincinnati inquire and bigger than that because if you go back over the last 30 presidential elections, 28 of them, ohio has always sided with the eventual winner. this is the best predictor of

how the country is going to go. are you making any predictions for tonight? >> gosh, i'm predicting that it's very close. the last time that ohio didn't go with the nation was 1960, so if ohio breaks the nation it'll be really -- it'll be surprising. jon: what are the factors that are driving this particular race, this campaign? what's important to ohio? >> what's important to ohioans, it's what's important to the nation. donald trump has been talking about trade deals and that's something that's important to ohio workers up in the north eastern part of the state and so that's something that's been concerning to them. immigration is a little bit less of a concern in ohio than it might be in the southern states, but -- jon: not a huge latino population here. >> the latino population is 3%. a smaller portion of the state than of the nation. jon: there are reports that early voting is up by 11,000 in

ohio, what does that tell you? >> it tells us we are a little bit ahead of 2012 and that's 1.8 million voters so that's a lot of voters and 11,000. it's not a huge number but what's fascinating is that in-person early voting is up over 2012, compared to mail voting which is slightly down and that's the demographic that tends to benefit democrats. jon: we were just talking with jay, the early voting -- i'm sorry, the turnout in cayahota county is a region that favors democrats but turnout right here in franklin county has been strong. this is also at least a city, columbus that favors the democrats. how do you explain that? >> it means it's going to be close. an area that hillary clinton usually does well and the fact that she was there twice within the past weekend but people are

saying that columbus might be a place where democrats can pick up some votes that they might have lost in the cleveland area and i cover cincinnati which is in the south western part of the state and voted for obama in 2008 and 2012 but generally a pretty good area for republicans. jon: i'm struck by how ohioans take election seriously. you can barely get 50% of the time. ohio likes its politics. >> we really do. i was born in ohio, elections have always been important to this state and it's something about being a swing state. i think i saw three or four different ads within the half hour period of time and so we are just inundated with politics here in ohio and that makes us feel like our vote might count that much more. jon: so if ohio doesn't go with

the winner tonight, does it lose its status as a belt weather state? >> i think we have a pretty good record in ohio but certainly something people are going to look at. ohio demographics are not mirroring the nation and i think that's something that people are going to look at when they're campaigning in ohio in the future. jon: back in the 60's you had 20 electoral votes and it looks like you will lose one electoral vote not so much because population is declining in ohio but the population is surging in other states so they will redistribute some of the influence that ohio has long had. >> that's true. i don't know if you've seen the candidates here almost every week this presidential election i think you'll know that ohio is still very important to both of them. jon: all right. so what are you going to be watching tonight? >> so i'm first going to be watching the ohio senate race which the republican rob portman

is actually up by double digits, maybe even 20 percentage points in some cases over former democratic governor strictland. that's what i will be watching first and i'm going to be watching the presidential and seeing what shakes out there. we actually have republicans, ohio republican party in one place and the trump campaign people in another place. jon: a little bit of a bifurcation in ohio today. >> yeah, that's been about what we have been seeing all election cycle. jon: rob portman seat is one the democrats had hoped they could flip in the cycle. doesn't look like it's going to happen. jesse, thank you. jenna. jenna: we are broadcasting from two battleground states but we can't forget what's happening in indiana. governor mike pence on the way to vote in indianapolis. we know he had a bike ride this morning with his family. he's heading from a bike ride

and we have a pretty good idea who he's voting for. donald trump and hillary clinton in one final act and we will have more if from the state of north carolina, coming up.

jenna: the tar heel state is a battleground that could determine the next president. a whole lot more as well. news and observer and political columnist and author of the book paradox of tar heel politics. we need to review that. why is north carolina known as the tar heel state? >> there's a couple of stories and we don't know which one is really true. during the civil war it was said that north carolina troops wouldn't -- wouldn't surrender or retreat so their heels stuck like tar and the other is the there was a ship-building industry in colonial times and as a result of tar and other stories as well.

jenna: you could choose one. tell us a little bit about what you're watching. you mentioned the book paradox about north carolina politics. you're seeing what you're describing as two states kind of emerging over the last year or so. >> that's right. it's more than just the last year. so the way to look at this election is two north carolina, here we are in raleigh, research triangle, this is doing very well, it's got a lot of universities, it's got high-tech companies, it's got a lot of educated, highly educated people with doctorates and so forth and people moving into this area, same way the charlotte with lots of banks and so forth. this is hillary clinton country. if the election were held in the metropolitan area in north carolina hillary clinton would win in a landslide. there's the other north carolina, traditional north carolina and this is in rural areas, small towns of north carolina which used to dominate

the state and in these areas, these used to be dependent on textiles in the way that say michigan was dependent on automobiles or west virginia on coal and also furniture. these areas have been hard hit. jenna: you've been out in the streets, what sort of stands out to you from just the people that you're meeting on a daily basis about how they feel about either side? >> well, like north carolina is cosmo of the country. people feel divided. of course, not not only in the presidential race, we have a close run in governor and senate too. this is a very middle of the road state. jenna: we are watching independent grow across the country that proves your point. great to have you on the

program. look forward to your columns and seeing what you think after we get the results, jon. jon: florida voters are very important in this election. that state clearly has the potential to determine who win -bs this -- wins presidential race.

jon: our split edition of happening now coming to you while i'm in columbus, ohio right now. one of the interesting factors is the rain that's headed this way. the voting is said to be going strongly here, but rain is coming and ohio voters might want to get to the polls because, well, they're going to have to take their umbrellas if

they vice president voted already today. anyway, that's one of the big stories here, jenna. jenna: it matters, if you have to bring an umbrella and wait in the rain, that's a factor for sure. one of the things we learned from north carolina is that north carolinaians will tell you what they think and they do do that which is interesting. you don't have to argue to get somebody to tell you what they think or how they voted. we are going to be playing close attention tonight as report through exit polling. that might be telling to us and we don't know but we will be watching what that looks like because north carolinas like to tell you where they're at. another one is florida and can become a critical role in deciding who will be the next president. >> jenna, the voting crowds start to go materialize here and around this enormous battleground state seen as

crucial and critical by both campaigns in their efforts to get to the white house. already more than half of the state of florida has already voted that is because record early voting 6.5 million floridians that's their ballot so 5-hour long wait years ago shouldn't be an issue today. this morning the very first person to vote, 21-year-old ashley liz. >> i had to get up early since i wanted to be the first person in line. >> for the first time you ever vote for president? >> yes. >> is it exciting? >> oh, yeah. >> by sunrise more than 50 peel lined up in hollywood. there are no problems anywhere and not that long a wait. a bit longer wait at the precinct in heavily cuban haeliah and doubled four years

ago which could be the big story tomorrow. voters telling me they voted today with a lingering bad taste but not all. >> my thoughts are thank god it's over. i have sensory overload. >> i'm glad it's over, i'm tired of hearing all the noise. i hope our country gets in the right direction. i'm not very happy with the choice that we have but that's what we have to deal with. >> after liz participated in democracy for the very first time, she says she's glad she did, jenna. jenna: phil, thank you very much. phil from the great state of florida. in the meantime back to jon in ohio. jon. jon: more coverage of the 2016 presidential campaign coming up in the next hour of happening now as we watch and wait for america to choose our next president.

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so i know how important that is.

>> i voted. i voted