you have to get rid of the visa lottery. they never agreed to that. ask them if they agreed. they never agreed. >> can you promise the military won't fire on foreign civilians. >> i hope they won't. we'll see. i hope they won't. we went stand for people doing what they did to the mexican military and to the mexican police. what they did to those people -- they were very badly hurt, badly injured. the military and the police. what they did with rocks being thrown in their faces, not going to happen to our soldiers. >> [question inaudible] >> no, no, you're creating violence by your questions. you're creating, you. and also a lot of the reporters are creating violence by not writing the truth. the fake news is creating violence. you know what? the people that support trump

and the people that support us, which is a lot of people, most people, many people, those people know when a story is true and when a story is false. if the media would write correctly and write accurately and write fairly, you'd have a lot less violence in the country. >> [question inaudible] >> we're going to -- we're doing very well. we're doing very well in the senate, which is obviously very important. and i think we're going to do also well in the house. we'll see. i can only say this: the house is a lot of stuff. >> [question inaudible] >> what is your next question? how many questions you have? no more. >> [question inaudible]

>> we're doing a perfect executive order and the border is closed to these people. they're not coming in. they will go through the system and then they'll be shipped back depending on what happens with asylum. >> [question inaudible] >> so you understand, honduras, el salvador, all of these countries are getting millions and millions of dollars, doing nothing for us. they're doing nothing. they let their people come up and form their caravans in the country. they're doing nothing. we're paying them hundreds of millions of dollars. guess what? that money will stop soon. thank you very much.

>> [question inaudibl >> [question inaudible] >> shepard: well, the white house pool warned us there's a glitch in this tape, this is a play-back from a few minutes ago and said it will come back in just a moment and the answer will answer questions for two or three more minutes. we'll go back to that when that feed cleans up. of course, what was happening here, the president was -- had left the white house, going on marine one to joint base andrews to going to a rally in missouri. along the line as he often does, he stopped and took questions. you may remember the camera shut down and it's still shut down but we're told from the white house there will be more in a minute. in the meantime, the president

talking about his changed his tune on military instructions. they have their own rules but the president shade should people from the caravan, if they throw at any members of the military, that in fact he would tell the military to -- something about shoot. anyway he says that no, they'll be arrested and they'll be dealt with under the law and i think he said they will be held and arrested and put away for a long time. of course, it's important -- the context is important in all news matters that this caravan is nowhere near the united states. it's well more than a month away. close to two months away by our reporting. every indication is that the numbers are dwindling. it's very hot in mexico. a lot of people have dropped off. many have been offered asylum in mexico. at any rate, the caravan of people is no threat of any kind

and certainly not a threat today. this is election -- this is all about the election, which is coming up tuesday. and the president said from the very beginning as we wait for this tape to roll, he said i think two weeks ago, he said republicans will run on kavanaugh and caravans, painting this group of people headed as some sort of threat to america which the military suggested they're not. we're waiting for the white house pool to play this out. former president obama is speaking at a rally for the candidates for governor in the state of florida. listen here. >> you can't discriminate based on pre-existing conditions and -- [protesters chanting]. okay. and by the way, on that vote, not a single republican joining. not one.

zero. nada. zilch. none. goose egg. none. none of them supported us. now suddenly it's election season and what happens? you have republicans saying oh, well, we will protect pre-existing conditions. trust them. let's look at the rest of them. andrew's opponent. was in congress and voted to sabotage or repeal the aca and protection for people with pre-existing conditions every chance he got. bill's opponent, rick scott -- bill's opponent is literally

suing the government to overturn pre-existing protections as we speak. when i was president, republicans voted more than a dozen times to get rid of protections for people with pre-existing conditions. last year they fell one vote short one vote. if they win this tuesday, they will finally succeed. if they keep control of congress, they're coming after your healthcare. florida, we can't let rick scott become the dividing vote. and in all of his time in office, rick scott could have expended medicaid and covered 800,000 more floridians with healthcare. 800,000. those are families.

rick desantis wouldn't even try. so if you want change, andrew gillem will expand medicaid coverage. your vote could give 800,000 floridians just like that the security of healthcare coverage. democrats aren't going to let republicans get your pre-existing conditions protections. democrats aren't going to let republicans gut your medicare to pay for their tax cuts. they're going to protect your care, period. but here's the main point i want to make, florida. if republicans thought their tax cuts for billionaires was popular, they would be campaigning on it, right? if you don't hear a peep out of them. this was their main legislative accomplishment in congress. they have not mentioned it in a

single ad. if republicans thought their endless votes would take away your healthcare was popular, that's what they would be campaigning on. you don't hear a peep from them about that. in fact, right at election time, suddenly republicans are saying they're going to protect your pre-existing conditions when they literally been doing the opposite. that's some kind of gal. some kind of chutzpah. let's call it what it is. it's a lie. they're lying to you. a former republican congressman, david jolly, just cast his vote. he voted for andrew gillem.

he said the reason simple, it's because i served with ron desantis. that should tell you, somebody that served with me in my party voted for the other guy, i'd feel bad. i don't imagine congressman and gillum agree on a lot but maybe they're like all of us, agree there's some things bigger than politics. that's on the ballot right now. what kind of politics do we want? do we want a politics where people are yelling at each other and making lewd gestures in front of the children? can't do that. in front of momma?

throughout human history, politicians have made promises that turned out to be harder than they expected. so they pump up the good things that they did, down played the stuff that didn't work out. they tried to put a positive -- they tried -- we're okay. they try to put a positive spin on things. it's not just politicians, by the way that do that. ya'll do that, too. andrew, this doesn't happen with you and your wife but i'm at home, doing the dishes. hey, honey, look, i did the dishes. she said, that's the first time in a month you've done this. don't brag about it. i'm putting a positive spin on things. then she asked me, what did you do wrong? otherwise you wouldn't be doing the dishes. we all try to put a positive spin on things. what we have not seen the way

we're seeing right now is politicians just blatantly repeatedly, baldly, shamelessly lying. just making stuff up. that's what they're doing right now all the time. and by the way, it's not the first time. they do this every election cycle. try to terrify folks and then the election comes and problems suddenly magically vanishing. you never hear about it again. in 2010, they said that bill and i, we were setting up death panels to kill your grandma. remember that? in 2014, they said, obama is going to kill all of us. shut the borders. in 2016, it was hillary's e-mail.

they were wound up about that. this is terrible, a breach of security. they don't care about that. if they did, they would be worried about the current president talking on his cell phone while the chinese are listening in. they don't care about it. they said it to get folks angry. now in 2018, they're telling you the threat to america is a bunch of poor refugees a thousand miles away. they're even taking our brave troops away from their families for a political stunt at the border. the men and women of our military deserve better than that.

so they're just constant fear mongering to distract. now the administration says we're doubling down on or outdated cuba policies. which all that does is hurt families that are trying to open up the cuban economy. we need to get back to politics and support the cuban people. make their lives better. that's change. that's what bill believes in. that's what andrew believes in. the point is, florida, they make stuff up. but here's the problem to often we fall for it. too often we fall for the distraction. you know, ya'll remember peanuts, right? maybe some of you are too young. charlie brown and lucy with the football. she says go ahead, i'm holding it. you can kick it. charlie brown says okay. and then she pulls the ball

away. he would fall on his back. but he kept on doing it every time. don't be charlie brown. don't fall for the okey-doke. don't be bamboozled. don't be hoodwinked. because when you get distracted, while you're distracted with all of this stuff they're making up, they're also robbing you blind. it will be like look, look, over there. they're giving tax cuts to billionaires. look, over there. they're letting polluters pay son your air and water. they will absolutely take healthcare away from millions the first chance they get while you're distracted with stuff that is not true.

it's like the con where a door-to-door salesman says you need a security system while his body sneaks in the back and steals his stuff. it's not just a practical effect in terms of policy. when words stop meaning anything, when truth doesn't matter, when people can just lie with abandon, democracy can't work. in our own lives, in our marriages, in our families, if the people we're dealing with can't believe what we say, if our children see that it doesn't matter that you actually accomplish things, all you do is make stuff up whenever

expedient, society doesn't work. democracy does not work. that's what is happening. at the highest levels and the only check on that behavior is you. the only check on that behavior is you and your vote. and on tuesday, you can vote for a politics that is decent and honest and lawful and glad to do right by people. if you're a democrat, you better be voting for andrew gillem and bill nelson. if you're not a democrat, you should still be voting for them. because it shouldn't be democratic or republican. we don't just lie.

it shouldn't be democratic or republican to say we don't just punish our political opponents trying to use a justice system, that we don't threaten the freedom of the press because they say something we don't like. it shouldn't be democratic or republican to say we're not going to the target certain groups based on what they look at or how they pray. it shouldn't be democrat or republican to know that climate change is real and threatens our future and our kids futures and florida will see some of the worst effects of climate change unless we change course right now. i know republicans may think that government should only perform a few functions, but one of those functions should be taking care of folks after a

hurricane in puerto rico. i know there's conservatives that think we should be fiscally prudent but there's nothing fiscally responsible about trillion dollar deficits. there's fear, conservatives who are compassionate must think there's nothing compassionate about ripping innocent change from the arms of mothers. i'm assuming that they recognize that a president doesn't get to decide who is an american citizen and who is not. that's not how the constitution of the united states works. that's not how the bill of rights works. that's not how our democracy

works. people that think it takes -- it's wrong to spent eight years trying to take away people's healthcare and sent the final days pretending you're mother theresa. florence nightingale. people that -- i'm assuming people must get upset when they see folks that spend all of their time vilifying others, questioning their patriotism, calling them enemies of the people. and then suddenly pretending they're concerned about civility. and we don't need more elected officials who say oh, well, i'm very concerned. or i'm terribly vexed by this bad behavior. we need leaders that stand up

for what's right regardless of people, leaders that represent the best of the american prosperity like andrew gillem and bill nelson. people that will stand up for anyone, whose fundamental rights of the state, our neighbors, somebody else's kids getting bullied; . who will stand up if they see their gay friend getting arrested. will stand up for the god-given freedom to worship without fear. that's what all of us need to stand up for. with clarity, patriotism and purpose. the values that bind us to our fellow citizens no matter who we are, no matter what we look like. that's what americans do. that's what america is.

that's what andrew gillem believe and bill nelson believes and what you believe. a better vision of america. that's where i'm hopeful, florida, i'm hopeful that we'll cut through the light, block out the noise and remember who we are and who we are called to be. i'm hopeful that out of this political darkness i see a great a wakening of citizenship across the country. i can't tell you how encouraged's seen to see so many people getting involved for the first time, for the first time in a very long time. marching and organizing, registering people to vote. these incredible inspiring

parkland student, i don't usually wear bracelets -- [applause] i saw some of the families back stage trying to transform unspeakable grief into a better world. young veterans of iraq and afghanistan. record numbers of women who are running for office. you know we need more women. it's a movement of citizens that never had much interest in politics but they said this time it's different. this time it's too important to sit out. lacing up the marching shoes. they're grabbing a clipboard because they believe an america

that is better, that is kinder, that looks out for one another. the antidote to government by the powerful people is government by the energized many. the antidote to a politics based on division is a politics based on a sense that we're in this together. that's what this moment is about. and i have to tell you, florida, one election won't fix everything. you know, sometimes i hear people saying i don't know, all politicians are the same. there's one election that will not eliminate poverty in this

country. one election won't eliminate racist or sexist or homophobia. one election will not suddenly give everybody healthcare all over. or ensure that every child in florida gets the kind of education they deserve. it's not going to happen in one election. it will be a start. it will be a start. it will make things better. and when you start down that path of making things better, momentum starts to build. then it gets even better and even better. so don't just sit back. if you don't like what's going on right now, don't just complain. don't get anxious and freaked

out. don't throw up your hands in despair. don't move. don't hashtag. vote! when you vote for an attorney general and state rep, they will have the power to protect our voting rights. make sure that our criminal justice system treats everybody fairly. when you vote, you have the power to make sure we strengthen laws to protect women in the workplace from harassment. and discrimination. make sure they're paid the same as men for doing the same job. when you vote, you have the power to make it easier for a college student to afford college. and harder for a disturbed person to shoot up places where our kids learn and where our seniors gather to worship.

when you vote, you have the power to make sure families keep their health insurance, you can save somebody's life. that power rests in your hands. if you get involved, if you knock on some doors, if you talk with some of your friends, you get some souls to the polls. if you turn out tuesday to vote for this whole incredible florida ticket, i promise you something powerful happens. change starts to happen. hope starts to happen. and with each new step we take in the direction of fairness and justice, equality and opportunity that hope spreads.

it starts rippling. it enters to each of us. we get a sense of what is possible. we remind ourselves of those better angels of our nation. let's make history. let's go vote. got bless you, miami, florida, god bless the united states of america. >> shepard: there's the story of florida. "shepard smith reporting." that's former obama with andrew

gillem and bill nelson, long-time democratic senator from florida who has had some troubles in the polls. at one point floridians thought he wouldn't have a chance. locals in florida thought that andrew gillem's early success was dragging up, helping out, lifting up nelson. so the truth is everything in florida is basically a dead heat. the governor's race is a dead heat, the senate's race is a dead heat. you bring in the big hitter, president obama, in there, former president obama, to see if he can rally the troops in south florida. chris wallace, host of "fox news sunday," he was never successful at rallying the base. president obama there to see if he can energize. >> can i say apart from what this is going to mean for the mid-terms, political speech is a

great thing to watch. i'm sure there's voters there, viewers that are watching that don't particularly like barack obama, but just as a performance to watch him, i think as a sports fan, you know, could mohammed ali have beaten joe lewis? you know, you think barack obama have beaten donald trump or would have trump beaten obama or clinton? that's a master. regardless of whether you think of what he was saying, he's is -- his ability to rouse a crowd and keep a speech going -- >> shepard: but can he get them out tuesday. >> i don't know. a good point. >> shepard: it's a turnout. we're down to turnout now. >> mid-term elections, notorious turnout, one of the lowest ever in 2014. 35, 36% presidential election, 60%. so it's about getting more of your supporters to come out for

you than your opponent gets of their supporters to come out for them. you make a very good point historically. that barack obama when he's on the ballot he's unbeatable. when he's giving speeches, doesn't always work. >> shepard: no, doesn't always work. that's florida. we need to talk about georgia, which is close and other big races like texas and chris has two races that he told our producers that he will be watching tuesday night. two particular races, both in one state. chris will get into that after this. a migraine hope to be there... for the good. and not so good. for the mundane. the awe-inspiring. the heart racing. the heart breaking. that's what life is all about... showing up. unless migraine steals your chance to say "i am here."

that's why, we created aimovig.. a preventive treatment for migraine in adults. one dose, once a month. aimovig is proven to reduce the number of monthly migraine days. for some, that number can be cut in half or more. the most common side effects are pain, redness, or swelling at the injection site and constipation. these are your days what will each one bring? doesn't matter, as long as you can say... "i am here." talk to your doctor about preventing migraine with aimovig. and be there more.

>> shepard: continuing coverage, election four days away. talk about it today, monday and tuesday. chris wallace is here from "fox news sunday." lots to talk about. >> yeah, and we sunday sunday for us. >> shepard: yeah. georgia is one of those that a -- "the washington post" said

everybody has georgia on their mind. oprah was out there. >> yeah, on a macrolevel, people have a sense, republicans will hold on to the senate, democrats will flip the house. but then when you look at each individual race, this is a race for governor of georgia, they're all within the margin of error. you know, yes, you can say -- let's say they break 50/50. what if they break 80-20? you can see a big blue wave or a republican resurgence. the president and the republicans hold on to both houses. so i -- this is an interesting night. really doesn't seem to be a strong trend. i think given the closeness of these races where you'll be counting individual votes, we could be here -- when you go on the air wednesday, you may not know who is in control of the house.

>> shepard: you think? >> yeah. probably not but it's possible. >> shepard: it's possible. you have like four people in a race in mississippi where if nobody gets a majority, they have to have a run-off. chances are there there be run-offs. what happens in state houses and governors mansions matters across the country because in 2020 it's redistricting time again and it's important. republicans learned it. >> it's redistricting time and another aspect of this. i remember when i covered ronald reagan. he ran in 1980. he would go to state after state. just happened there were a lot of republican governors. he went into texas. first time there was a republican governor in who knows how long. bill clemens. you have a democrat or republican governor and you have the whole state working for that presidential nominee. it will have a big impact on redistricting and a big impact on the two candidates running for president in 2020. >> shepard: when you watch on tuesday night with chris and brett and martha and the whole

bunch, chris believes there's two races in the state of virginia that could be tell something virginia 7 and 10th? >> i don't know if -- >> shepard: they will. >> but those are two races that i'm going to look at. if we see a sign -- >> shepard: put up virginia's 7th. >> there we go. dave bratt and abigail standfer. bratt is the guy that if you remember in the shocking 2014 primary beat eric cantor, the number 2 guy in the house. he's been there since then. abigail spanberger, a former undercover cia operative, this is what the democrats are doing. they're not only running women but women with military credentials. you have dave brat, a republican, should win. stanberger, too close to call. that district in -- around

richmond in virginia has been redistricted and a chance -- if stanberger pulls that out, that will be an interesting sign that the democrats may flip the house. >> you're watching virginia's 10th district. >> yes, the outer districts of d.c., loudon county. wexler, a former domestic violence prosecutor, always a tough race for republican. comstock is a good candidate. that is in the margin of error. if that flips, it will be an indication that the democrats will have a good night. conversely, if comstock holds on, it's an indication that democrats won't flip the house. >> shepard: and they're quick counters in virginia. >> they are. it's early. the polls close at 7:00. >> shepard: that's right. that might be something to watch. everything might go in another direction. who knows anymore.

>> let's hope that's not true. >> shepard: big weekend for chris on "fox news sunday." he will talk with two senators on the front lines, the north carolina republican tom tillis and maryland democrat chris van holland, the head of the democratic senatorial campaign committee. plus secretary of state mike pompeo will be chris' guest on "fox news sunday" on your local fox station. good to have you. >> thank you. >> shepard: coming up, a closer look at the big races that we're watching that could determine which party holds congress. fact is, there have been twenty-six in the last decade. allstate is adapting. with drones to assess home damage sooner. and if a flying object damages your car, you can snap a photo and get your claim processed in hours,

not days. plus, allstate can pay your claim in minutes. now that you know the truth... are you in good hands? face the world as a face to be reckoned with. only botox® cosmetic is fda approved to temporarily make moderate to severe frown lines, crow's feet and forehead lines look better. it's a quick 10 minute cosmetic treatment given by a doctor

to reduce those lines. there's only one botox® cosmetic. ask for it by name. the effects of botox® cosmetic, may spread hours to weeks after injection, causing serious symptoms. alert your doctor right away as difficulty swallowing, speaking, breathing, eye problems, or muscle weakness can be a sign of a life-threatening condition. do not receive botox® cosmetic if you have a skin infection. side effects may include allergic reactions, injection site pain, headache, eyelid and eyebrow drooping and eyelid swelling. tell your doctor about your medical history, muscle or nerve conditions and medications including botulinum toxins as these may increase the risk of serious side effects. leave your mark on the world. minimize its mark on you. start saving at botoxcosmetic.com mauntil i held her.diabetes wasn't my top priority. i found my tresiba® reason. now i'm doing more to lower my a1c. once daily tresiba® controls blood sugar for 24 hours for powerful a1c reduction. tresiba® is a long-acting insulin used to control high blood sugar in adults with diabetes.

don't use tresiba® to treat diabetic ketoacidosis, during episodes of low blood sugar, or if you are allergic to any of its ingredients. don't share needles or insulin pens. don't reuse needles. the most common side effect is low blood sugar, which may cause dizziness, sweating, confusion, and headache. check your blood sugar. low blood sugar can be serious and may be life-threatening. injection site reactions may occur. tell your prescriber about all medicines you take and all your medical conditions. taking tzds with insulins like tresiba® may cause serious side effects like heart failure. your insulin dose shouldn't be changed without asking your prescriber. get medical help right away if you have trouble breathing, fast heartbeat, extreme drowsiness, swelling of your face, tongue or throat, dizziness or confusion. i found my tresiba® reason. find yours. ask your diabetes care specialist about tresiba®. i have fantastic news for who need money for their family. with our service, veterans like us earned the powerful va home loan benefit that lets us borrow up to 100 percent of our home's value. at newday usa, that can mean a lot more money, especially if your home has gone up in value.

on average, our veterans take out 54,000 dollars. the newday 100 va loan lets you refinance your mortgage, consolidate your high rate credit card debt, get cash... and lower your payments by over 600 dollars a month. and because newday usa has been granted automatic authority by the va, they can say yes when banks say no. they look at your whole financial picture, not just your credit score. they even do all the va paperwork for you, so your loan could close in as little as 30 days. so if you're a veteran and need money for your family, call newday usa. go to newdayusa.com, or call 1-855-429-4863. >> shepard: analysts say the missouri senator claire mccaskill is one of the most vulnerable democrats heading into tuesday. the party has to hold on to every seat and win two more to

take back the u.s. senate. josh haully is running against mccaskill. fox news is calling the race a toss-up. peter doocy is live in kansas city. peter, what are the big issues locally? >> shep, here in missouri, it's the caravan. that is something that got a huge response from a crowd at a trump event in columbia last night as comes as claire mccaskill is talking about border security. >> we can never wave away lawmakers. they broke the law. there needs to be a price that is paid. there's some things that we can do that would allow them to get at least legal status. >> now josh hawley is a causing mccaskill of being disingenuous

of a bill to keep border crossing families together. >> if you're for it, prove it. take your name today, take your name off of dianne feinstein's open borders bill. >> and hawley said this is a huge issue here. he says the drugs coming across the mexico boarder. >> shepard: what about healthcare? >> a huge issue. senator claire mccaskill is trying to bring attention to it. she wrote something new for teen vogue that said hawley is trying to support the protections that he's suing to take away on november 6. we have an opportunity to take a stand with our vote. but hawley does not think that voters here in missouri want obamacare intact. >> that a smear on her party. democrats are trying that all

over the country. i don't think we have to have obama to protect pre-existing conditions. >> you want to know how this state is to the white house? it's the last place that president trump campaigns before people vote tuesday. >> shepard: peter doocy live in kansas city. watching another big race in arizona. kirsten sinema and martha mcsally are fighting to replace jeff flake who is retiring. alicia acuna is following this from the valley of the sun. hello, alicia. >> yeah, the democrats have not held a u.s. senate seat to represent arizona since 1995. they have momentum and they have sinema. she's a three-time democratic congresswoman that had a liberal record in the state legislature. she's pulled herself to the middle. she's focusing on healthcare. here's what she had to say about

focusing the president's birth right citizenship clause. >> this is a distraction from the issues that voters are concerned about right now, which as i hear from them every day on the campaign trail have focused exclusively on their concerns about protecting their access to healthcare. >> martha mcsally met with supporters with the help of donald trump jr. the message, vote. >> the only poll that matters is election night. i know the importance of making sure we get to every last voter on the sidelines, build the enthusiasm and make sure we get across the finish line. >> now, the sinema camp, the democrat, did get a very small boost yesterday when the green party candidate decided to drop out and endorse here. i can talk to you about the

governor's race here. the republican incumbent, doug doocy is leading by a wide margin. so in the senate race, things are tight. i'm told by political watchers, it's political moderation really. sinema is more in the middle, has really kept herself there to a very large degree in comparison to garcia who is much more liberal. bernie sanders was campaigning for him. and sinema did not show for that one. >> shepard: alicia acuna live in phoenix. encouraging news on the economy. that's next. and they greeted me as they always do. sergeant baker, how are you? they took care of everything a to z. having insurance is something everyone needs, but having usaa- now that's a privilege. little things can be a big deal.

that's why there's otezla. otezla is not a cream. it's a pill that treats moderate to severe plaque psoriasis differently. with otezla,75% clearer skin is achievable. don't use if you're allergic to otezla. it may cause severe diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting. otezla is associated with an increased risk of depression. tell your doctor if you have a history of depression or suicidal thoughts, or if these feelings develop. some people taking otezla reported weight loss. your doctor should monitor your weight and may stop treatment. upper respiratory tract infection and headache may occur. tell your doctor about your medicines and if you're pregnant or planning to be. otezla. show more of you.

>> shepard: the u.s. committed aed 250,000 new jobs in october and the unemployment rate stayed at the lowest level in five decades. the labor department reports that it held at 3.7% and paychecks got bigger, too. susan lee is here. it's not an enormous amount, but wages are up. >> that's probably the high point, the highlight of the earnings report. it was a strong month of job creation. 250,000, way higher than what economists forecast. we also have the unemployment rate holding at a 49-year low.

jobs and wage gains, finally we have wage creation. that was a lag despite the fact that we have a strong expansion for the last ten years. so up the most in close to a decade. virtually every sector was hiring. transports, warehousing, manufacturing. twice the rate of last year, this is very important heading to the mid-terms. you can argue that republicans, they can hang their hats on a strong commit and a jobs market heading to the vote. >> shepard: the dow is down today. that's about something else, partly about china and a lack of a trade deal. apple down more than 7% today. they didn't like the conference call this morning. susan, good to see you. more than 29 million americans have already voted. washington d.c. and 27 states reporting more ballots this year than early voting in 2014.

ken thomas is here from the associated press. what does this mean? usually democrats vote early, republicans voted election day. is that right? >> that's right. a lot of votes will be in election day. typically a big early turnout for democrats help them. what we've seen the republicans do is invest heavily in the early vote, trying to get more voters banked before election day. so they see this as a strong strategy as well. >> shepard: is there a state that you can point to and say, for instance, texas has a lot of early voting this year. is there a chance that that might influence the vote on the big senate race there one way or the other? >> i'd say look at florida. talked to strategists there. three million voters voted early last time. they're about to four million this time. they expect 2/3s of the electorate will have voted

before election day. the question is, can the democrats get the millennials and hispanics in early and get them out election day. can the republicans get the infrequent voters that president trump brought out in 2016, can they get them to vote for congressman x in their district. >> yeah, i don't know how you watch in early voting. maybe you would note whether everyone is pointing towards educated women in the suburbs and motivates and voting or not. seems to be some evidence they are, but i guess it will make a big difference tuesday. >> yeah, that's case. but this is a base election. 35 to 36, 37% vote in mid-terms and presidential it's more 60%. this is about getting out your base and trying to get the sliver up for grabs to go on your side. >> shepard: i wonder what you see out of pennsylvania? they did redistricting there. >> that's right. there's a lot of house races

where it's a little up in the air on how it may turn out. look at that old conor lamb district in the western part. that will be a bellwether. >> shepard: and chris wallace said he will watch virginia's 7th and 10th. are there any races around the country that you think might be bellwethers? >> keep an eye on kentucky 6. andy barr's district around lexington. he has a tough challenge around amy mcgrath. it's a really tight race. the president won there. it will be called early. we may know based on kentucky 6 how the night will go. >> shepard: thanks, ken. great to talk to you. breaking in just the last hour, an shm moment. police in new york have arrested

alec baldwin after according to the police report he punched somebody in a spat over something on 10th street in the west village. we sent jackie henrich out there. >> he was charged with misdemeanor assault and harassment. his court date still tba. we're told this stems from an incident around 5th and 10th where the 60-year-old actor was going for a parking space. the victim, a man swiping the parking space out from under him. the baldwin punched him in the face and the victim was taken to the hospital complaining of pain. we're told the actor had come out at any point and meantime, we're getting reaction from president trump. baldwin and trump have sparred before. baldwin portrayed president

trump on "saturday night live." just a little over an hour ago, the president said something about this. >> alec baldwin was arrested for punching someone. any reaction? >> who was arrested? >> alex baldwin. >> i wish him luck. >> that was what the president said when he was told about what happened. so now we're waiting on the actor come out. we're told it was a charge for misdemeanor assault and harassment. tba on the court date. >> shepard: he's been in the 06 for three hours or something? >> he's been in there -- we were told he could come out at any time. we're getting word on what the charges were. we expect him to come out. jacqui heinrich at the sixth precinct. should news break out, we'll break in. breaking news changes everything

on fox news channel. "your world" with neil cavuto coming up. the final bell ringing about how. we're off 141 points. neil will make sense of it all starting right now. >> neil: we're live in hunti huntington, west virginia. many voters have already gone to the polls. if democrats take back the house, will nancy pelosi take back the top job or will she face a challenge from this guy, tim ryan? we'll ask him. and if republicans should keep control, will jim jordan be the next speaker? he's here, too. first, kevin corke in west virginia and kristina partsinevelos is in miami where another democrat was rallying