>> bret: you are looking live at fox square here in midtown manhattan, the headquarters of the fox news channel tonight, the center of the political universe. we are counting down for the first poll closings of the night, and the first results of the 2018 midterms. america's election headquarters, and the nerve center of our election night coverage. i'm bret baier. >> martha: and i martha maccallum. the first polls set to close in less than an hour from now. hanging in the balance, control

of the house and possibly the future of the trump presidency. here's how the numbers break down. republicans currently hold a majority with 240 seats. the democrats have 195. there are seven vacancies. a net gain of 23 seats in order to take over control of the house. meaning they could hold onto all of their seats and pick up 23 more that are now held by republicans. anything short of that, and republicans will keep control. >> bret: now over to the senate side, with the margin for error is much tighter. republicans have a slim majority of 51. democrats have 49. democrats need to pick up two seats to take control, and those two seats could come down to just a few toss-up races. at 7:00 p.m. eastern, all eyes will be on indiana, arguably one of the most competitive contests in the country. joe donnelly facing a tough race against republican mike brown.

president trump won in the 2016 and has campaigned heavily. pete to arizona law also extremely tight. no matter how it turns out, the grand canyon state will have their first ever female senator. republican congresswoman martha mcsally, a former butter pilot against kyrsten sinema. at 8:00 p.m., they will close. first up will be tennessee. many analysts think that the road to the senate is through the volunteer state. republican congresswoman marsha blackburn and phil pattison both looking to fill that seat. >> bret: claire mccaskill defending her seat against state attorney general josh hawley. it is considered one of the most vulnerable and the senate, and the tightest senate race might be in florida. rick scott taking on a long time a democratic senator bill nelson. this one is considered a must win for democrats.

>> martha: we have covered live across 20 battleground states from scottsdale, arizona, to st. louis, missouri, and all the way down to naples, florida, where we find peter doocy live it from headquarters this evening. good evening, peter. >> good evening, martha. florida is home to a huge issue on the final day of the senate campaign. which candidate actually talked to president trump the most. i spoke with governor scott this morning. he said that he is always calling the present, asking for things like eight after a natural disaster, but he says that he has never heard from thc senator, that plays big into the issue of historic relief, which is uniquely prone to hurricanes. this weekend, and her governor scott traded conversation about whether they should have their hands on aid to victims. hit their records in tallahassee and against each other. our toxic algae wounds that had

out of the lake and into neighboring waterways. creating potential health problems for the residents who will wade into them. has been more moderate than a lot of democrats. he is independent and wants to control stomach to protect obam obama. it is a state that a lot of people moved to for its low taxes, and certain economic benefits could go away if democrats get more control. even though this is one of the half a dozen states that they are going on the offense to try to beat the democratic incumbents just in case the g.o.p. loses in a place like nevada or arizona, it is possible that none of these policy issues are really going to matter as much as what is happening right now about the two of them in the gubernatorial race where the bernie sanders back to candidates is up against the republican, ron desantis, a win window president trump endorsed him. are major questions tonight about whether or not these two people at the top of the ticket

trying to appeal to different bases are going to help or hurt everybody below them on the ticket. martha. >> martha: peter, thank you very much. >> bret: meanwhile, all 35 seats in the house of representatives are up today. making many lives following the battle for the house live in washington. >> bright, good evening. they need 23 seats in order to regain the majority, and there are many fascinating races going down to the wire. for example, virginia's second district, in a very tight contest with his opponent. she is a retired navy officer. virginia's seventh district, dave branson, a competitive race against abigail sandberg her. she is a former cia operative. first won the seat in 2014. tom macarthur is facing democrat andy, barack obama won this district twice. president trump won it last time

around. an interesting battle in the philadelphia suburbs. up to the garden state, republican congressman is facing of former state department official. a hot race in the very blue state of new jersey. in texas, seventh district, nine term republican congressman john culberson facing the houston attorney lizzie fletcher. while president trump won texas, hillary clinton won this race. this features an incumbent republican congressman pete sessions facing democrat. a former nfl football player. leading democrats trying to win back the house. they predict that they will get it done. >> bret: i'm confident that the democrats will win the majority of the u.s. house of representatives. we have anchored our strategy are around what is the largest battlefield that we have seen in over a decade. 111 districts across america.

investing in over 80 districts across the country. >> the republican lawmakers leading the g.o.p. efforts is not a strong economy should help a lot of republicans in these house races. >> there have been so many people left behind and the stagnant economy of the last eight years, and it is time to turn it around. we have done that, and i think voters are going to get a sense of that, and that is why we are going to win the majority. >> the stakes are extremely high. a democrat house would likely slam the brakes on president trump's agenda and lead to many new investigations. bret. >> bret: live on the hill. thank you. >> martha: tonight, fox news is launching an entirely new system to investigate why voters vote the way that they do, and it is the first real alternative to exit polling since the 1960s. here is alive look at the fox news decision desk. there are all the folks hard at work and there appeared analyzing the data that is now coming in from 48 states across the country. shannon bream, more on what the trends are that we are already

seeing in these brand-new numbers. shannon. >> shannon: we are very excited to show off our new and improved analysis. more than 100,000 interviews with voters nationwide to find out how they voted and why. the surveys conducted for fox news by the r and l university of chicago. nearly half of the voters told us that they knew all along how they would vote. so let's look at some of the races that everybody is watching. first, indiana, republican mike braun is trying to knock off joe donnelly. this is what we found. roughly equal numbers. intending to express support for trump. they want to show opposition. and for another third, trump is not a factor. one of the most vulnerable seats this year. voted against the justice bret kavanaugh to the supreme court. take a look at this among the best thing about the cavanaugh

confirmation debates was important to their vote. 48% voted for donnelly. 48% apparently voted for brown. look at that same question in missouri where another vulnerable incumbent democrat is there. she is voting against the josh hawley. democrats who prioritize this debate won by two points. it lets me give you one more from the national survey. between 8-10 voters say they do not trust the government. we will have more voter analysis for you all night long. >> martha: so, shannon, tell me how people are feeling about the government all along. a lot of tension and division. what are you seeing? >> shannon: yes, interesting. how do you think the federal government is working? 72% said they are not happy at all. 44% said that they are satisfied. at 28%, they are actually angry. we will see if that drives the vote. >> bret: tell us about what we had before. a >> shannon: he would truly

get exit polls. people coming out who had voted that day. this goes back a few days. tens of thousands of people voted in early voting. they were being missed by the old fashion to traditional exit polls. we are also talking to people who said that they didn't want to vote at all. >> bret: it will be interesting. a lot of data and there. let's get some of the first thoughts on the evening. joining us, chris wallace. anchor of fox news sunday. the senior political analyst. let's start with chris. >> well, all day, people are asking are you excited? now here i am in this extraordinary space. at the bells whistles with fox news. with the three of you, i couldn't be more excited. there is so much on the line. think of it. let's say that the republicans were to hold onto both the senate and the house, what a stunning reaffirmation for

donald trump and what's a mandate for him for the final two years of his time. conversely, let's say that they lose the senate and the house, what i could do for donald trump. politically, he will be for the next two years, most likely split decision. it means that life will be more complicated and are difficult the democrats in one house trying to investigate him and to block his agenda, but he would have supporters and another. whatever happens, it is going to be very consequential for the next few years, and the presidential race for the 2020 -- if it hasn't begun already, it will certainly begin by midnight. >> bret: you know, you look at these early numbers, president trump is on this ballot. >> yes, no president has ever made himself as much the center of a midterm election as this president has. i remember covering clinton in '94 when he campaigned hard. barack obama did the same thing. to no avail in both cases, their parties lost control. but this president has done more

and been -- it has been more about him than i can ever remember. we will know something at the end of voting tenants, whether there is a new and unusual factf in 2016, that this president with his rallies, and the things that we did not use to think matter, matter a lot. we will find out tonight, after these huge rallies. making himself the center of things, we will see if this is effective or not so much. just as chris said, it could end up as a wash. it doesn't look as though it will be a big triumph for him. >> martha: when you look at where the president has been to this point, for the last week, ten days, it gives you a map of where his priorities are and where he thinks he has the potential to have the most impact. >> absolutely. first, let me say, having done this for a few years, don't pay attention to what politicians say, pay attention to what they do and where they actually spend

their time, particularly before a present, the most valuable thing that they do. he has not run a house oriented campaign. he has been in big states. he is trying to turn there -- ten democrats defending the seats that trump won in 2016, and he's trying to turn those at democratic seats over to the read it, to republicans. and he has not campaigned particularly and a lot of these places. it is going to be so important to who controls the house, and there are a lot of house republican leaders who not only are upset about that but are also upset because they think that fixing the economy, instead of paying so much attention to immigration and the caravan would have worked better in the suburban districts. >> bret: you know, in our voter analysis numbers, 62% say that president trump is a factor in their vote. how that breaks down, opposition or support, we don't know. but what it does say is that

there is not so far -- what we are seeing, not a huge way one way or the other the way that this raises breaking early. >> it's worth noting in terms of the concern that people had, the economy -- we knew going in with all of the other polling that we have seen, that health care was a big issue. with 29%, they said that that was their top issue. guess what was second. immigration. it really wasn't on the horizon very much until he started campaigning, and the economy came in third. he did succeed in one respect. he elevated an issue that he things that brings this party to a higher elevation. >> martha: it isn't remarkable when you look at the economic numbers that you have seen over the last few years, the stock market has done incredibly well. the stock economy has done wel.

he talks about it all the time. maybe if you watch every rally back-to-back, you will see it, but the pervasive message was about the caravan. >> absolutely. the president decided to make that the issue -- people are more likely to vote out of anger or fear than they are out of gratitude, but the fact is what an economic story he has to tel tell. we just finally going up here the highest since 2009, and i can tell you, there are a lot of house members and leaders that where she spent more time there. can i just say one thing. the polls are about to close, they did. the polls -- you know, we all have done our research. we have done research. kentucky, the polls have actually already closed. they closed in that district. which is in the eastern part of the state. we've got it up here, and i love

this because this is the one place where the polls have already closed. in the lexington area. against any to mike aiming my graph. is a typical story. the first female marine female to fly f-18's. there is a small vote. the polls have closed in kentucky six. that's me give us our first indication. if mcgrath were to flip it, it is republican sea. it could get a little blue. >> martha: has to say, she is sort of the typical democratic candidate. you've got more military veterans on the democratic side than on the republican side who are candidates. >> i think that as a group, the democrats have turned out a better field of candidates and they have in many previous elections. a lot of attractive candidates.

some of them out of left field. their states or districts would prefer, but there is a lot of very attractive candidates. >> bret: yeah, a lot of good recruits. >> martha: we are counting down to the first poll closing. we are going to get a cascade of numbers that are flowing in here, and we have an amazing structure here to bring all of it to you, including indiana. a senate seat that both sides know is crucial to the balance of power. >> bret: plus, keeping up with the scores of races is a complicated process as you can imagine. our key race tracker is fired up. harris faulkner is there, and she will take a look at that next here on fox news channel. ♪

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>> bret: welcome back to fox square. america's election headquarters. the midterms 2018. just minutes away from the first major poll closings of the night. we mention kentucky, or a part of it has close. >> martha: it is it safe that the balance of power in both the house and senate as you know. bill hemmer is at the billboard.

how things could shake out. he is way up there. >> bret: what is wallace's problem? he is not shaken up? you guys have been talking a lot about the district in kentucky. i just want to show our viewers three different house races that may tell us a little bit early on. here in the mid south, kentucky, if you have been watching the news, this is lexington. early on in the night. even ora had, that would mean good news for republicans. conversely, having a lead and that democratic district. it could mean good things for the blue wave, the blue trickle. we will see what it is throughout the night, but the reason we are focused on them is we will get early results in kentucky. now, i will show you, this is the virginia five. the republican against leslie. why are we looking at this race here? let's go back two years.

he won this race over hillary clinton easily by 11 points. is he still that popular again this year? he increases in popularity. that is one of the things that we are watching in the virginia five district there. come on down to georgia. a lot of attention given to the suburbs of atlanta. this is the old district for newt gingrich, by the way. suburban voters and atlanta, northeast of the city, and why do we focus on that? guys, i can show you countless dexterous across the country that are in very similar situations. these are americans who have a better than average income, $30,000 higher than average. 80% of them have a higher to my college degree or better. 15% african-american, about 12% hispanic. the governor's race is important. it could get the attention that we think it is getting, it could have an impact on this race. those are justly right now, as we try to set the table for the

evening cured we are watching 70 households all across the country. these are the 29 that we think this could flip red or blue or blue to red throughout the evening here. we are going to see a lot of data coming in here and a moment. 7:00, 36 minutes from now. we talk about georgia, kentucky. at 7:00, 35 minutes from now, we are going to get call really soon here. it is getting a lot of attention. we will show you how republicans have set themselves up for a bit of a firewall in indiana. we will see whether or not that old. >> bret: all right, thank you, bill. >> martha: so a big theme of the evening, taking control of congress. we are going to be referring back to a few key graphics. first of all, the balance of power in both the house and the senate. when the first of polls close, it is 7:00 p.m. eastern. we will watch the races as they come in in real time.

every one that is blue or red is a seat won, obviously. >> bret: it next, we will be keeping an eye on the net gain. what the democrats need to gain control. they need a net gain of 23 seats. anything less than that, republicans retain control. >> martha: then we have another fun toy over here called a probability meter. this style takes all of the data that our team will evaluate. it takes its down to a percentage. what we believe is the probability that each party will won's control of the house where the senate. now we caution you just because you see a high probability number does not mean that it is a done deal, it just means that the data is pointing in that direction. of course, it is coming in through different places all throughout the course of the evening, and as we saw, it can change dramatically throughout the course of the night. >> bret: you just called that a bigot, beautiful wall. >> martha: i did. >> bret: all right

, harris faulkner is a lie from our newsroom, where she is keeping track of all of the key races as we come in. harris, tell us more. >> harris: great to see you. yes, i am going to walk over to it. i want to let you know that this is what you want to watch all night long. races will cover this line. looking at the center. in particular, we are watching those ten states where there are democrats and comments that are in some hot water because they were won in some cases by more than 30 points by the president. so we expect some of those to hover this line. states like missouri, indiana, and some of them are closing at 7:00 or 8:00 p.m. so we are watching those. a lot of the contentious ones along those lines. let's flip to you the house now. so, there are four districts just in the state of virginia alone. we expect them to hover along

the yellow line. this is a yard line. we love the nfl on fox, you know that. you literally could look out the wall, whatever is new on the yard line, even without me talking, you know that the battleground really is there. my husband loves that. i don't even have to speak, and he knows the score of the game. i will see you each hour, and now back to bret and martha. >> bret: harris, thank you. >> martha: just over 30 minutes and counting until the first major polls closing. >> bret: and one of the biggest races of the night, missouri where claire mccaskill hopes to fend off a fierce challenge from a josh hawley. live in springfield, missouri, next. in a divided nation... in the deep south, there's gonna be problems. get your hands off him. now! you never win with violence, tony. his music broke barriers.

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>> bret: will come back to fox news channel, americas election news headquarters, where we are counting down to the first major poll closings of the night. closing at 7:00 p.m., and then more states will close every half hour after that until 9:00 p.m. alaska will wrap us up at 1:00 a.m. eastern tomorrow morning. we will see how that goes. several key races tonight. we will obviously decide which parties control the house and

senate. >> martha: very critical races tonight, missouri. it claire mccaskill, the senator there, faces her toughest battle yet for her third term. republicans hope that josh hawley will be able to flip the state from blue to red. live with the claire mccaskill campaign tonight. good evening, kristin. >> good evening, martha. this is really one of those races that could determine control of the senate. it has been razor tight for months, and today, senator claire mccaskill said it is still too close to call now. this is where she's going to be on election night. spending the final days of this race really campaigning very hard and i read parts of the state. that is because president trump won missouri in 2016 by nearly 20 points, so she has been working very hard to try to convince the people that voted for him that she is a moderate, that she is not just another crazy democrat. those are her words. definitely somebody who has enthusiastically been endorsed

by president trump. president trump has been campaigning for him very heavily. he has been to this state seven times as election cycle. just last night, his final stop before the polls open. josh hawley has really been promising to be in lockstep with the trump agenda. he has said that if he is going to win, he is going to be with president trump on immigration. he is going to be with him on regulations, on a confirming conservative justices to the supreme court. you know, he has been saying from day one that a vote for him is going to be a vote for the trump agenda viewed as 4 out here in missouri, the secretary of state's office says that it has been very high. they had a few minor issues at the polls but nothing major. nothing that should interview with the polls closing. just about an hour and a half. bret and martha. >> martha: thank you. >> bret: we are looking at a lot of turn out.

about 38 million plus across america, and we are seeing long lines at a lot of polling places across america. extending times at nine oh polling stations in and around houston. also in indiana. two counties they are adding about an hour or hour and a half so that people can vote. steve doocy is live in springfield, missouri, at the patton alley public. seeing how voters are feeling there. a hi, steve. >> hey, bret. i don't know how you feel, but i think america needs a drink. the polls are going to close here in missouri in about 90 minutes. i tweeted out that we are here live about half of an hour ago. we have got some good folks to talk about. eric schmidt, state treasurer for them, how many times have you seen the president come to missouri for the republicans question mike >> and a half a dozen times, he has been to

missouri ten times now because this is such a consequential state. it is going to be a great race. he won just a few years ago. josh hawley was attorney general, he won by about the same margin. he was in southeast missouri just yesterday, and the crowd was really excited. so we are expecting good things. >> i think last night he said the midterms used to be boring. now they are the hottest thing around. >> it is exciting. >> this woman right here, i know bret and martha, you were talking about the long lines. there was a problem with that -- there was a snafu. she had to call the aclu. it took you how many hours to vote? >> two hours. >> ultimately you were able to vote. you voted for -- >> claire mccaskill. >> why was it clear over josh? >> it was claire mccaskill, but it was more so the amendment. >> it has to do with medical

marijuana. i have to tell you a lot of people are talking about that. what is your name? >> sarah. >> you just saw my tweet. so have you voted today? >> yes, i have. >> long line? >> i actually voted at a really cool voting location. i did not have to stand in the line. it was really encouraging. >> also voted for claire mccaskill, and it was because of her stand on health care. >> absolutely. like i have said before, my husband, my sons father, he passed away because he did not have health care. >> you. >> he died it, and it happens more often than people would like to believe. >> that was the number one issue. >> number one. >> when bret and martha were talking about health care, a couple of people here at the bar, the patton alley bar, that hit home. that is why they voted for her. of course, josh hawley's people are waiting for the results just

about a mile from where we are standing right now. all right, back to you all in new york. >> bret: all right, have fun at the pub. >> martha: that is a better spot than some of us have. all right, coming up tonight, the man not on any ballot, but looming large over lots of the race. we will talk about the trump effect and what it means tonight. >> bret: we count on the major closings of the polls tonight here on america's news headquarters. what if numbers tell only half the story?

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delivering the american dream. optimism, the american dream. you go out and vote for a republican house and republican senate, republicans at every level of government. >> who we are is on the line. we can't take this lightly. we've got to fight for this. don't vote republican. >> martha: president trump and former president obama out on the campaign trail. of course it remains to be seen which side is more fired up at this point. let's bring in the rest of our panel, host of "the ingram angle," and a political analyst, juan williams. anchor of "the daily briefing," dana perino.

and marie harf. welcome to all of you. great to have you here. at laura, let me start with you. in the early going, you are assessment of the information that we have and how it looks tonight. >> laura: i think there are two camps in america, one that feels really battered and abused by the mainstream media. not everybody, but some on the left who are still referring to a lot of americans as a deplorable's, stupid. they are voting against their interest, women voting 4. and they have kind of silenced folks out there who don't much like to talk to pollsters and are not all that fond of the media or politicians. then there's people who have been shut out of government for some time. they want some payback. they want their say. they want to put a check on this president, and they want to send a message that even though the economy might be doing well, we don't like the way we feel. and it depending on which side gets the most people out, that side will ultimately i think do a little bit better in the selection. >> bret: dana, how much is

this the 2016 reverberation? the first time that anybody opposed to donald trump is able to express those concerns. how much of this is an assessment of where we are? >> dana: i think historically speaking, any president usually loses members from his own party in that first midterm election. that is just kind of standard. as laura was saying earlier, americans alike divided government. kind of how it was set up. there is usually a control on this. it depends on how much of a wave or not you will see. it can stop short of taking over the majority for the democrats. it could be huge like it was in 2010 for barack obama, after they passed obamacare. i don't think that there is that one hot-button issue right now. there are a few of them. i'm going to get to that. you stole my line. that was my lead up. >> bret: i'm sorry. see, i am not on "the five" ."

>> dana: no, you are exactly right. trying to say this is of course not a referendum on the president, but when president bush lost the majority, it absolutely was a referendum on the present. you take it with a good and the bad. president bush gained the seats. that was unusual since world war ii, but it can happen, and it might happen tonight. >> martha: juan, as you look around at these races, which ones are particularly interesting to you, which ones will you be watching to see what kind of indication there is for the democrats and how strong their feelings are, has been described by dana? >> juan: i think one of the key dynamics i am watching tonight, what they trying to do, go out and get new people, get minorities to turn out in numbers. they wanted to go after suburban

white women who may have voted for trump in 2016 but not like the type of language that he uses, so a direct answer to your question, an example. a state like georgia, running against brian kemp in the governor's race. in that race, it really is about who gets their base to turn out, and if you can expand your base. in florida, also an african-american running for governor, is he able to expand to the base of people who will vote? if you just look at numbers, democrat and republican, it wouldn't get flipped. but it has to be expensive. look at texas. beto o'rourke versus ted cruz. he really doesn't have a shot in what is i would say still is a red state. not quite as red as it used to be, but what happens if beto o'rourke is able to turn out additional people, bring new voters into the mix that would definitely shift the dynamic? >> martha: i mean, that raises the question.

president trump was able to bring out voters who do not vote typically. now you have democrats on the other side of the equation -- >> juan: that is what i'm trying to get out. >> marie: democrats have also done a great job of expanding the amount. for all of the problems that my party has internally, whether we are moderate, whether we are going more progressive, in this midterm cycle, we went out and fan found candidates who were great come out raise their opponents in many states. we are not just looking at new jersey, we are looking at kansas, kentucky, we are looking at alaska. places democrats have not fielded a legitimate candidate in a very long time, and i will say democrats have been waiting too long years to go out and vote today, and that's why you see what is happening on the ground what appears to be possibly -- >> bret: laura, quickly, for those races, in two years, they will be up again.

they will be up alongside the president. >> laura: i think that the voters are impatient for change. we saw that in 2016. they want their standard of living to approve, they want the country to be safe. if this really is a referendum on trump come out the republicans should do pretty well tonight. maybe they won't hold the house, but they should still do pretty well. if it's a referendum on trump's demeanor, tone, whether you are mad about 2016, then we will see. i mean, no matter what happens tonight, what trump's policies have been when you're just focus on the economy especially and the trade, they have worked. >> bret: allred, panel. thank you. our coverage has a new bigger look. >> martha: we have expanded outdoors. we are outside as well, something we like to call fox square. outside for a preview tonight. hi. >> hi. fox square is a shaping up to be the place to be tonight. people are filing end. the excitement is building, but

for the folks at home that couldn't make it out here, do not worry because we are about to bring the party to you, and we are also about to get the midterm election predictions from very excited voters. are you guys happy to be here? [cheers and applause] we will be back with more. don't miss it. ♪ we're in memphis, tennessee,

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♪ >> bret: as we await the first statewide implement closings of the night, let's check in on the brand-new fox square. the interactive outdoor experience as only fox news can deliver. we are live outside with more. >> hey, brent and martha. i am here out on fox square. our midterm election to viewing party is just getting underway. one of the most exciting things about the 2018 midterm elections is the unprecedented level of interest in it. and the thing that matters most are the issues, and we are talking to a bunch of voters right now. this is chad. he is from south carolina. what drove you to the polls today? >> immigration. the issue of open borders. >> and this is something that president trump has been talking about a lot. do you like his message?

>> absolutely, 100%. the >> carley: we will move over to tom. what are some of the issues that matter to you? >> i just think that the polls have been wrong all along and people are not getting the facts out. 2016 proved a lot. and it is going to prove a lot this election cycle. >> carley: okay, so you feel like ron desantis may have a shot? >> i think he is going to win and rick scott will win. >> carley: how do you feel about the blue with? >> i don't see a blue wave at all. not at all. >> carley: now we are going to move on to very special guest. phoenix is from texas. his official title is "kid reporter." he is very in tune politically. do you have any midterm election productions? >> while, i want to say i think beto o'rourke it, he will have a big chance with hispanic voters. my mom is an immigrant from nicaragua, and i have talked to a lot of people in the hispanic

community, and i think some of his values are great. >> carley: i've got two words from you. you are hired." everyone is excited out here. we are going to keep the party going, and we will check in with you in a little bit. >> martha: just in some moments now. >> martha: all right. a few moments now from the first major poll closings. what is going to be a very long nights with some very high-stakes. >> bret: the control of congress on the land, results are next is live coverage continues from america's election headquarters. ♪

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♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> we are just seconds now from the first polls closing in the midterms, i martha maccallum. >> bret: and i am bret baier, this is exciting pair the countdown, you have to love this, outside.

they just let it play there. polls closing, we have indiana, kentucky, virginia, vermont, georgia, south carolina, and most of florida, most of new hampshire, our first race calls of the night, and we can give them to you now. it is at 7:00 on the east coast, and polls have closed and half a dozen states. the fox news decision desk can now begin to project winners and losers in crucial elections across the country. the two most closely watched races at this hour are the indiana senate race in a georgia gubernatorial contest. >> martha: in georgia, democrat stacey abrams, vying to become the first african-american female governor in u.s. history, is in a very tight race tonight with republican secretary of state brian kemp. too early to say who will win that contest, term limit of the governor in that state. >> bret: in indiana, incumbent emma craddock senator joe donnelly trying to stave off a challenge from republican businessman mike braun.

that race also very close at the moment. too early to declare a winner. >> martha: the fox news decision desk can project, this is a big surprise, independent vermont senator bernie sanders, identified as a democratic socialist, will easily win a third term by the feeding republican lawrence zupan. he unsuccessfully challenged hillary clinton, as your member, the presidential primary in 2016 heard some expect that bernie sanders will be on the list again in 2020. >> bret: clinton's running mate, senator tim kaine will win a second term today by defeating challenger corey stewart. the real vote total is starting to come in. >> martha: we can also now projected that republican south carolina governor, henry mcmaster, win his race against democrat james smith. >> bret: now remember, the two overarching questions of the night or whether democrats can take control of the house and whether republicans can keep control of the senate. it is honestly too early to make

both important projections. we are also watching governor races around the country, and we'll have a big impact on "20/20", 20, as well. >> martha: so, the first polls up close, 7:00, coming in right now, any first impressions? >> interestingly enough, i think it is not particularly controversial, but virginia and what i suspect will be a landslide reelection victory by tim kaine over corey stewart, the republican, he was pretty far out there. he even at one point in the campaign started re-arguing the birth or issue about barack obama. he was so far to the right that the national republican senatorial committee refused to endorse him. you say, so what is the big deal? the big deal is there are a lot of key swing house races there, and with a strong tim kaine at the top of the ticket, that might help some democrats in virginia 7 or regina 10 in very close races with republicans, flip some seats.

we will have to wait and see, but tim kaine's a strength in virginia may help democrats. >> bret: a lot of risk there, for regina 2, 5, 7, 10, all tight races coming into this election. your thoughts? >> a little note about indiana. some vote totals are in from the rural and ex-urban counties, and mike braun is running ahead of richard murdoch, who was the republican candidate the last time around who lost in an embarrassing way. enough so that henry olson of the ethics in public policy center said that his lead in this -- in those places, although not any urban population areas yet, bode well for him as the night wears on. as i say, early returns, rural, ex-urban areas, but he is doing better than his predecessor. >> bret: polls just closing in

indiana, mike tobin following this senate race from indianapolis. >> the one thing i can tell you, bret, voter turnout has been tremendous. the g.o.p. tear says they are going to blow out all of the existing models for voter turnout numbers. he attributes that to the enthusiasm of the trump voters, of course, the democrats have a different spin on that. they point to the fact that several precincts in bloomington ran out of polls, that is in monroe county, one, if not the, most liberal counties. hillary clinton won back in 2016 pier there were hangups at some of the precinct causing mistakes, so no clean line as far as when those polls are closing, but again, tremendous enthusiasm. one thing that has been consistent, without exception, the indiana voters with whom i spoke today, said that this has less to do with the candidate on the ballot, mike braun and joe donnelly, everything to do with the referendum on donald trump. guys, back to you.

>> bret: mike, thanks. >> martha: indiana just one of the critical races that we are watching right now, nevada and texas, states with republican incumbents in big fights to hold onto their seats. >> bret: pennsylvania, incumbent democrat senator bob casey hoping to win a third term. new jersey is a seat that has become unexpected they close between democratic incumbent bob menendez and republican bob hugin. >> martha: also montana, everybody watching this race closely, president trump would very much like to see chester there in that race, he would like to see him fail. finally, arizona where republican congresswoman martha mcsally is hoping that she can win, take over jeff flake's seat against congresswoman kyrsten sinema. >> bret: that is a tight race. following it all from martha mcsally's headquarters in scottsdale. >> hi, good evening brett, good evening martha. you are exactly right. this is going to be a fight to the finish, republican congers my martha mcsally and

democratic congress and kyrsten sinema have really been so close to each other in the polls in the weeks leading up to this race. this is a state that president trump won by 3.5 points, and mike sally has really aligned herself with the. we will see if that pays off. now she has made border security and immigration her number one issue on the campaign trail. the 2-term congresswoman from one of the most competitive district in the country has received a lot of help in the last weeks in a president trump, who hosted a rally here, the vice president made a stop here, as well as the president's son, don jr. the message to voters, don't be complacent. sinema, on the other hand, has been working against a low voter registration population of democrats in the state, she has formulate a herself as a centrist in the race, going so far as to say she is not really running as a democrat or a republican. to win, she will need not only independence, of which there are more than registered democrats, but she will need crossover republican women and younger

voters. health care is her cornerstone issue. this is expected to be a very late night in arizona. the polls close at 8:00 p.m. local time, 10:00 eastern care back to you. >> bret: live from scottsdale, thanks. let's go back upstairs where bill hemmer is standing by. >> brett, martha, good evening. we're just getting a little bit of result, you will see the state start to fill in, vermont, the independent light shade of blue, a little bit of blue here in virginia, doesn't mean a whole lot right here, we will gauge it throughout the night. as we learn how to interpret these results. i will go to indiana right now, they get a little bit of red as republicans, joe donnelly against the republican mike braun. 96,000, 64,000 votes coming in. this is what you always watch in indiana, this is marion county, indianapolis, far too early for any results to come back in, but we will watch throughout the evening and try to give you a

bit of a projection. i think, based on history, the best way to understand this match up -- here is a john joe donnelly, he won his senate race by six points. but if you watch of the presidential level to see what donald trump did just trickle years ago, and easy winter all over the state of indiana. beat hillary clinton by 20 points. we will see what sort of metric we get on that throughout the night. the next close in coming up at about 7:30, one thing you really key in on is the senate race in west virginia. i will take you right now, joe manchin up against republican patrick morrisey, the ag there. joe manchin was a popular democratic governor in that state board voted against bret kavanaugh -- reverse that, voted against the tax bill, voted for bret kavanaugh just a month ago. this was the result in 2012, a lot of blue all over west virginia. but if you come back to the presidential level, two years ago, you see with the president

did there. that is a strong popularity in the mountaineer state, getting nearly 70% of the vote in west virginia. quickly on the closing map, pulling coming up in about 21 minutes, talk about west virginia, talk about north carolina, talk about ohio. as we go throughout the night. bret, martha, back to you. >> martha: thank you, bill appeared meanwhile, new information coming from our voter analysis surveys showing that president trump was a factor in the vote for more than 60% of americans. chris wallace, brit hume, laura ingraham, juan williams, ray hart, all standing by with their look at what is going on. >> bret: by the way, we should look at this map, the darker --e states are, the more president trump mattered to their boat. it was a factor to their vote. obviously, factors all over, chris, and it is really his policies, but as laura mentioned earlier, his presentation on the trail and how he talked about

different elements and things happening, that may factor in. >> yak. first of all, in terms of his policies, those are controversial, as well. he certainly have accomplished what he wanted to accomplish, but there are a lot of democrat democrats, a lot of people are going to vote democratic, who don't like what he has accomplished. like health care, very much wanted to repeal and replace obamacare. obviously, democrats thought that was a big opening to them on the usual pre-existing conditions. frankly, republicans, as i interviewed them on fox news sunday over the last couple of months, never got a good answer on that. the fact is that repeal and replace it doesn't significantly weaken the pre-existing conditions protection. and so that was a big issue, supreme court justices, ops the conservatives are thrilled that he put two a very conservative justices on the courts, but there are a lot of people who don't like that. the issues aren't all just one way if you are conservative, he

probably liked it, as the president would say, promises made, promises kept. if you are a democrat, or the favored democratic policies, then you are not so happy with that. in addition, of course, there is the larger-than-life personality of the president. that is something that people have strong opinions on camels also. >> bret: on the bottom of your screen, you will see vote totals coming in, indiana, for example, we have up on the board here. mike braun has an early lead, but some of those districts and counties are the rural areas, as brit mentioned earlier. dana? speak i wondered if you wouldn't mind if we would pola that up that map where president trump was a factor. i noticed wyoming, that is very good for president trump. that looks very good. you look at virginia, where it was also -- he was also a big factor, probably not very good for somebody like congresswoman barbara comstock in a very tough race in virginia 10 and those at d.c. suburbs. maybe not so good for her, if

president trump was a big factor. the two i am very curious about, new mexico, that was one of the ones. you have a bowl issues, and economy, big governors race out there. the other one was pennsylvania. because there was so much redistricting after the supreme court decision, i don't know which way that will play. maybe we will know more in a little bit. >> martha: if we could, let's take a look at that map again, some of the darkest green areas are places like new york, also, new jersey. >> california, vermont. >> martha: obviously one of the issues there is tax reform, as well. that is something people in new york and new jersey have been very unhappy about, california, as well, brit. >> one of the striking things, our polls have shown, this massive polling, the tax cut is underwater, not by a lot, but it is underwater.

the economy grows like mad, stock market over the moon, right? and your tax cut is unpopular. how can that be? it happens almost every time. republicans are for tax cuts, not so much because they want people to have money in their pockets so they will spend it. they want to see the economy grow peer they think tax cuts help to do that. but what happens in the debate over tax cuts, it all comes down to who gets what any cut it's all coming out the larger benefit to the overall economy. that connection was never made by the republicans, and i think part of the result is what you see tonight. you have a roaring economy in the wake of tax cuts, the tax cuts not popular. >> martha: that raises the question of how well they sold it. >> exactly. the argument they used to sell it. it is a trap that republicans fall into every time. their critics say who look loot who is getting this, look who it was getting back. the rich didn't do well in this tax cut. it was very much very much a middle-class tax cut. even that point didn't get sold, but what really didn't get sold

was the growth. >> bret: laura, the president did talk about the economy on the trail, despite reporting that he didn't. you look at our vote total, approval of president trump on border security, even split, 50-49. immigration is a high issue in everything that we see in the numbers. >> immigration is a 1, 2, or 3 issue for most motors. i think a lot of republicans are frustrated that the wall hasn't gotten built. they are directing their frustrations come i think, at congress. trump is on the ballot, obviously, but the president is more popular than congress. both republicans and democrats. and that is nationally. i think we have to remember, president trump has been carrying this party on his back for the last three or four weeks, especially. you also need great candidates. and you need candidates who can

tell the story. brit is exactly right about this tax code. $1200 might not mean a lot to a lot of -- but it means a heck of a lot to a mom in lexington, kentucky, who hasn't taken a vacation in three years but that is real money to them. i think, again, telling the story of america. the republicans don't seem to be able to do that. the democrats are better at the emotional anecdote. tugging at your heartstrings, the kid who can't get his procedure covered by insurance. it is very emotional, and people like emotion, it is good. get away from the charts and graphs, get right to the people of the country. i think you usually will do better. >> bret: panel, standby, we count down to the next round of pool closings at the bottom of the hour. west virginia and ohio, both states that could have a crucial stay in which cardiac know my party controls the senate. >> martha: we will talk with

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like magic. at comcast, it's my job to develop, apps and tools that simplify your experience. my name is mike, i'm in product development at comcast. we're working to make things simple, easy and awesome. ♪ >> bret: we have been talking about it all night. he is on the not on the ballott many are arguing that his midterm is about president donald trump your tsa to 11 states in the last eight days of campaigning. live on the north one of the white house with more on that. good evening, john. >> good evening to you. whatever sports or political metaphor you want, president trump believes he has done everything possible to try to turn out they vote for republican candidates. all that is left is to watch and see if everything was enough.

>> president trump: we are going to have a great tuesday. >> president trump's campaign schedule showed it just how much is x date for him in today's elections. 30 events since labor day culminating with a three state blitz yesterday. >> president trump: rejected the democrat politics of anger, division, destruction. >> on the line is president trump's ambitious agenda, which has been met with near universal opposition for democrats. even with control of both houses, the president found it impossible to repeal obamacare and pass immigration reform. democrats are saying, hold on, we do want to work with the president good >> democrats want to work with our republican colleagues to pass cumber hampers of immigration reform. on that includes border security that is tough and smart. >> nancy pelosi, who would become speaker of the house for the interim, and says a democratic congress would be open and transparent. >> we have a responsibility to find common ground where we can, stand our ground where we can't.

but we have to try. >> but those pronouncements stand in sharp contrast with how some democrats to see president trump's future. >> i wake up in the middle the night and all i can think about is i'm going to get him. >> others have been chomping at the bit to take control of house committees, investigate everything from possible russia collusion to the president's cell phone use. >> going to have oversight committee hearings on the president's use of the cell phone. >> the democrats will probably try to tie the president up in knots all the way through to november 2020. or they do saying there are probably some nuts and bolts, government running issues, that they will be cooperating with democrats on pier there might even be room for bipartisanship on issues like drug pricing and infrastructure, with the president's big ticket items like immigration and tax reform, the democrats take control of the house, bret and martha, likely dead in the water. interesting to see if we hear from the president tonight,

either way. thanks. >> martha: tonight, democrats are defending key senate seats in states that president won in 2016 paired among most, west virginia, where the polls are about to close in just a few minutes peer joe manchin hoping for a win there. in florida, rick scott hoping for an upset against long-time incumbent, bill nelson. at a north dakota, one of trump's' fiercest allies, kevin cramer, congressman there is hoping that he can unseat incumbent heidi heitkamp. let's go over to pennsylvania, senator bob casey is running for his third term. >> bret: joining us now, former pennsylvania governor and dmc chairman ed rendell. in philadelphia. governor, thank you for being with us. we are seeing some early numbers from our voter analysis. it suggests that democrats could have a pretty good night in some areas, including the rust belt. when you look at 2016 and you look at what you are looking at tonight, what do you see? >> pennsylvania is going to

deliver a body blow to president trump tonight. it will also hopes in 2020 pretty dim. they are going to lose by made it double digits. they are going to get reelected easily. democrats are going to pick up a minimum of five or read congressional states, maybe, if all goes well, as many as eight. this is all over the state, southwest pennsylvania, southeast pennsylvania. for pickups of congressional seats. harrisburg, really in place. the last goals have democrats bleeding in points. >> bret: why is that? >> because the anger, saying in politics that hate is more important than love. the hate that has been manifested by this president among democratic and independent voters and some moderate republicans, you can almost feel

it. i was in african-american district today where there was divisions and one recreation center, and those six divisionst 50% of the vote at 3:00 in the afternoon. it is pouring rain all day in philadelphia. if you are told me it was went to pour rain and it was an off year election, i would say if we're lucky we get 25 or 30 percent for the entire day. they are going to hit 50%, 55 percent in those divisions. you talk to the people, it had nothing to do -- we didn't have a competitive race in pennsylvania in philadelphia. it was all about sending a message to president trump. >> martha: when you look at all of this and you think about the economy, and you look at the unemployment numbers, 3.7 percent, wages increasing, 3.1 percent, you have a lot of very good news that has happened over the last couple of years. in terms of what you are seeing, that is not registering with people? >> with some people it is, but

it is not registering -- look, most of our suburbs are middle-class and upper-middle-class. and yet, republican candidates are going to get shellacked in the suburbs. they have done well by the stock market doing well, and yet they are voting against the president because they don't want a divided america. the president said it was his tone, he should tone things down, that is absolutely right. he should not be talking about a made up caravan. nobody with a half a brain. >> bret: there is actually a caravan, it is not made up. >> with smallpox and leprosy being carried by people? >> bret: you said "made up caravan." there is a caravan. >> but only an issue in president trump's mind. at least people are not trying to get into illegally. they are seeking asylum, which has been the right all over the world for people to come to america and seek asylum if you

are fleeing political oppression paired >> bret: quickly come i want to ask you one more thing. if democrats take over the house, what is your advice to the leadership? investigate the president and his administration, or try to get big deals done like infrastructure or something else? >> legislate, legislate, legislate. don't investigate, investigate, investigate. you have some targeted investigations, but i believe we can pass an immigration bill that the president would assign, and get through the senate, and an infrastructure bill, took a very important things for america. >> bret: former governor ed rendell, we appreciate it. >> martha: the final votes cast in three states, polls will close in west virginia, ohio, and north carolina. >> bret: live coverage of two neck and neck races, the battle for georgia governor, and whether senator dean heller can survive a serious challenge.

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♪ >> bret: welcome back to america's election headquarters, and it is another countdown. it is really countdowns all night. every half hour until we get to not o'clock. and there is the next poll closing. >> martha: 7:30 now, polls have closed in three more states, including two of national interest, west virgini west virginia, ohio. >> bret: in west virginia, trying to fend off republican attorney general patrick morrisey. too early to declare at this hour. >> martha: ohio, former senator mike dewine in a tight race with democrat richard cordray, barack obama's first director of the bureau. who will succeed senator john kasich. >> bret: sherrod brown is

currently ahead of his republican challenger. congress may jim renacci, although fox is not yet ready to make a projection there. i do want to put up this one race. we have been watching kentucky 6. this is andy barr with a third term incumbent come up against amy mcgrath, a democrat. right now, the democrat looks -- what is that? 6? almost a 6? that is interesting. as you see the percentage is coming in there. more than 40 percent in, the fact that she is leaving at this point in that bellwether race in kentucky, could be an indication that democrats may be having a pretty good night. in that race. >> martha: this is a district that president trump won by 15 points in kentucky, and as you see, she is the kind of candidate that we have been talking about. former military, first-time candidate, woman, obviously.

a number of categories that democrats have been feeling strong candidates. >> bret: she ran on health care talked about her mother fighting polio, she told the story, as laura mentioned before, found in emotional front. we are finding more data in our numbers, let's dig back into the numbers, shannon bream joins us with some of the results of our all-new fox news voter analysis. >> we told you before, this is a little different this year because it includes early voters, tens of millions of people, got in, got their votes in early. we talk to them, too, a lot of people who are voting today. more than 100 voters nationwide for their insights and their decisions about the important midterm election. let's look at the georgia demo know my governor's race. a contentious one with democrats lobbing accusation of voter suppression. the republican candidate, also george's secretary of state, saying democrats could be trying to hack the voter registration database. how confident are voters that want to vote will be able to? for all the controversy, pretty

optimistic, close to three quarters very or somewhat confident that all eligible voters in georgia will be able to vote. in a similar vein, georgia voters were asked how easy they found the voting process to be paired overwhelmingly, they said no problem, not difficult, 87 percent. democrat stacey abrams, if elected, would be george's first black governor. is that important? only 39 percent said it was a big factor, but not surprisingly, those voters are going overwhelmingly for abrams. now let's turn to another tight race, west virginia, a key battle in the race for senate. democrat joe manchin trying to defend his seat in a state of the present won by 42 points. now, he is running against attorney general patrick morrisey, shaping up to be a very close race. first up, let's take a look at union household, which historically has been a source of strength for democrats. they are breaking form joe manchin by 54 percent to 41 percent on the flip side, voters in the coal industry, that is a very important in that state. back in the republican by 19

points. patrick morrisey has been hitting for support of hillary clinton even after years ago, she said her policies could put a lot of cool households out of work. we will keep tracking all of the new data as it comes in. bret and martha, back to you. >> bret: we make the decisions based on a combination of what we see with voter analysis, plus the raw vote total. >> martha: there is so much to crunch because a lot of data, we got over the last few days as it was coming in, a lot of that paired up with what we are getting today, so the combination is very important peer we are seeing, as you are in some of the bellwether places, what is really driving people. what we may see across the nigh night. >> martha: because there is so much early voting, there may be some places we look where there will be a lot more vote early in the night, but then you're still going to be waiting for some of the outlier areas to come in later if they it might like there is more vote in that there actually is and it might take a little while. just to actually call it, because of that. >> bret: but we are here. >> math, math, math. >> martha: thank you, shannon.

whole new group joining us now, keith hylton, host of "the next revolution" here on fox news. molly, . and fox news contributor mark hasek. also, fox news contributor. great to have you guys with us in this evening. martha, we start with you and go down the line. what do stands up to you in ths point in the evening? >> we talked how this will be the bellwether race. this is a district that the candidate won two years ago by 21 points. donald trump won by 15, as you pointed out, but when the race started, he was behind amy mcgrath by 15 points in the first poll. a tight end particularly after the kavanaugh nomination. it was the talk of real clear politics, not even plus 1 or

plus 2, going either way. this is going to be the race i watch, whether this blue wave hits a red wall, whether the redwall will hit the blue wave. if democrats can pick up that kind of seed, they will have a very good night. >> they sent three cabinet secretaries to campaign for bar barr, and they put in some effort to try to get him across the finish line. that is an interesting race to watch because it is one that people focused on early. >> i always talk about how politics are all local, president trump tried to make this all about national politics, but the far left wing's attention, they got smart in looking at local races and district aired connor lam was one of those candidates in pennsylvania, amy mcgrath in kentucky is another one, putting forward real candidates who have a blue color backgrounds, who are veterans, who are on the democrat side more than a republican, obviously, but not these far left cases that we see coming

out of queens, for example. so the biggest question is whether president trump has been able to nationalize this case and whether these local candidates, who are focusing on issues that hillary clinton left behind in 2016 in places like kentucky, pennsylvania, michigan, if those things can really come to fruition for democrats again, and if democrats can regain all of those states that they lost to president trump in 2016. >> i think the point that katie just made can't be stated enough. the democrats nominated candidates that fit their district come across the board, that is how you could get a ocasio-cortez in queens and how you could get an amy mcgrath or connor lamb in other states. what is really interesting is across the board, when you look at these districts and what they have done in the house races we are talking about, it was health care. if all you did was spend your life watching cable news, you might not recognize what some of these candidates were talking about out there.

it was a different issue set. >> think about that, eight years ago, republicans were constantly on health care. obamacare, again and again and again, and it won big. now it is the opposite. >> the impact, a lot of families were feeling. and i think the way that republicans, particularly house republicans, felt on this issue, without offering a replacement, as they were trying to repeal it, ended up being a very damaging thing for them. some of that is coming to fruition tonight. >> the top issue facing the country on health care, we have one of those maps, this is purple, in case you can't see it there. the darker is the highest percentage of voters saying health care is a top issue. maine actually had the highest percentage, and they just adopted the medicaid expansion through a ballot initiative. oklahoma had the lowest percentage worried about health care at 18%. and honestly, the president won oklahoma by quite a bit. >> i think it is a bit unfair to

say house republicans didn't have a plan to replace obamacare, they did, they passed it, and he went to the senate when it was voted down by one vote. think that speaks to another issue that is happening in the selection, which is the general realignment we are seeing, we talked a lot about the realignment in the republican party, or donald trump was able to attract a lot of working-class voters, regions that have lost in republican capabilities and handling domestic issues. at the same time, also realignment for democrats, and one of the groups they have gotten into their holes are never trumped republicans. people who voted for romney, but unable to vote for donald trump. might be weird that you would align with a far left group are far left people in the democratic party, but they are united in their belief that orange man bad. that put them together and got them to vote. >> i totally agree with that. i want to take that point a little bit further. one thing i'm going to be interested in as we get more data throughout the night, is the composition of the electorate. we hear a lot that maybe there

are a lot more young people, but also the income distribution. because i think come in many ways, the selection is going to turn into style versus substance, if you look at what the president has actually achieved on the substance, any measure, a very successful two years per terrific economy, trade deal renegotiated, delivering on promises. but for people who are economically more comfortable, not necessarily worried about daily reality, they can afford to actually register a protest against someone who they really hate. it is not about the substantive president trump, but his style, what he says, how he behaves. i think the details of what the electorate look like will tell us a bit about that, because i have a feeling what we're going to see tonight is the revenge of the elite from 2016. >> and it goes to the point that the economy has been doing really well, and it is almost as if people put it in their back pocket and said that this is a given, that this situation, improving economy, is just a sort of the way it goes.

we have a long recession, bounce back, not necessarily giving the president credit for the tax cuts, deregulation, changes of a small business level that allowed people to depreciate, all of those things that have simulate at some that growth. >> you are absolutely right. if you look at the economic data, literally almost every group in america is doing better. there is record level low unemployment for people without a college degree, african-american, hispanics, manufacturing jobs doing better. the economy is booming. but president trump made a major strategic gamble go into the selection pier and he decided not on that. he decided to run on immigration, the caravan. kavanaugh and the caravan. the closing out that his campaign prepared, it is morning in america, and he killed that bad in favor of a very dark at about immigration. he made the choice not to

campaign -- not to run on that issue. we don't know how it is going to turn out tonight. that might be a stroke of genius, or it could be a total disaster. we don't know, but it was a strategic choice the president may not to emphasize those issues. >> if he watched his rallies over the last four days, ten railings in four days, equally treated the economy and the caravan, and the president would argue that immigration is not necessarily just an issue, it is a national security issue. and by the way, illegal immigration also affects the economy in every sector. health care -- it doesn't matter, talking about it? if i could just finish and say that illegal immigration affects every sector of the economy, whether health care on the local level, schools, security, crime, law enforcement, local resources, federal resources, all of which the president has talked about. he has talked about the economy repeatedly on the campaign trail. in these rallies. and so to say he has not run on it because he decide not to run one ad. >> it is very popular for d.c.

elites to say it is an unpopular thing, but many backed border enforcement in the closing days. all close races. >> bret: we will let you fight over the commercial break. we are quickly approaching what will be the largest single batch of poll closings of the entire evenings. pools et cetera close in 16 states coming up at the top of the hour. >> martha: and we will check in with key races for control of the house and the senate. not a lot of those little boxes filled in yet. we have a long way to go, folks. america's election headquarters continues live from new york city right after this. ♪ - at athene, we think it's time for the financial world to stop acting the same old way. you need a partner that is willing to break free from conventional thinking. we are a different kind of financial company. we are athene, and we are driven to do more.

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hour. appeared among them will be some critical races, and quitting the race for governor . another close race in tennessee, between congresswoman marsha blackburn and former governor phil bredesen. that could be a deciding factor, which party controls the u.s. senate come january. >> martha: it sure could. obvious they where watching all of this as it is coming in this evening, and we will come in a few moments, have more key races that we can take a look at. >> bret: we are looking at a lot of individual states coming forward with polls staying open because of mines, and judges weighing in, issuing orders to keep those polling places open, which is an interesting thing. let's get a check on some of the key race results coming in right now. one of the most interesting house races we have been watching, kentucky 6, let's head upstairs it to our newsroom and harris faulkner. >> let me tell you with the race track or, what kentucky sticks has been doing. can you see it up here, it is in

a light blue right now, between between -- democrats are seeing progress as both are being counted, but do you know it has switched back and forth four or five times between blue and red, or that light red color? so what does that mean? that means that andy barr, the incumbent republican they are, is in a big battle. remember, this is the 50-yard line in this. the yellow, matches my dress, that means that these are the greatest amount of play. as we found out, virginia 2 is another one. let's tell you why this is so important. that is at scott taylor's district. virginia beach, middle-class suburbs, a place where democrats were hoping to set a trend it tonight if they can pick up one of those key virginia districts, instead of bellwether trends. virginia 7 is a little bit different, that is an urban area, including richmond, that republican dave brat seat. that is moving closer, away from the 50-yard line. more votes are counted, but more

importantly, more votes in the counties and areas that support dave brat are being counted. as we get close to the crimson area over here, closer to being called, away from this line, that is what we are watching. virginia 10 is not up here yet. let me tell you about regina 10 and why it is so important. it is a swing district, and i heard you guys are talking about this. washington suburbs, district 10, it is upscale, if democrats can pull a virginia 10 district, if it ends up on their side of the board for much of the night, and away from this plane line, this too close to call line, that could be a bellwether for how democrats do an upscale suburbs, places like minnesota third district, another area that we are watching tonight. so remember, if you to know the sound of my voice and only look at the board, you can tell that there is a battle going on for virginia 2 and kentucky 6. and we know those are important areas they democrats may think they can start a blue wave with some of those virginia

districts. but it could be a big block tonight for republicans. next time i see you, i will go through the senate races, but right now, a lot of the action is on the side of the house. real quickly, your north carolina 9, it is moving closer to the crimson line. to go things in play, not just how many votes, the percentage that have been counted, but republicans turning that a darker shade of red. also, ohio 1, we are watching that. back to you. >> bret: these virginia races, and kentucky. we looked at them early, and new early they were going to be bellwethers. it looked like barbara comstock, the republican incumbent, is in trouble in virginia 10. jennifer wax trend, state senator, looks in position to pull that i would. virginia is purple, but it is a little bit bluish purple in recent years. >> martha: these are obviously areas right outside of washington, d.c., a lot of

pressure on president trump in those areas. they have been upward battles. only 35 percent of that vote in right now, and he appears to be ahead at the moment. >> bret: keep it here, america's election headquarters continues after the break. ♪ let's be honest. every insurance company tells you they can save you money. save up to 10% when you bundle with esurance. including me, esurance spokesperson dennis quaid. he's a pretty good spokesperson. ehhh. so when i say, "drivers who switched from geico to esurance saved an average of $412," you probably won't believe me. hey, actor lady whose scene was cut. hi. but you can believe this esurance employee, nancy abraham. seriously, send her an email and ask her yourself. no emails... no emails. when insurance is affordable, it's surprisingly painless. before discovering nexium 24hr to treat her frequent heartburn, claire could only imagine enjoying chocolate cake. now she can have her cake and eat it too. nexium 24hr stops acid before it starts

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♪ >> bret: welcome back. we are looking at indiana senate race, and we are getting more raw vote totals in. 21 percent income on mike braun with a lead. a significant lead. what is interesting is there is some confidence in the republican quarters inside indiana, we are being told, that some of the numbers are matching where they thought he needed to be, mike braun, to upset the incumbent democrat joe donnelly. this is a race that if

republicans pull off, it makes it a lot tougher for democrats to really take over control of the senate. they would have to run a different path, they were thinking indiana was largely in the bag. >> martha: it would be a pickup, obviously come over for republicans. interesting race to watch, joe donnelly was a "no" on kavanaugh, one of the important issues here, but in general, he has been trying to run as close to mike braun as he possibly can and to protect himself as a very moderate, something that has been successful for him in indiana. another interesting element is the libertarian candidate. joe donnelly has been trying to portray her as the true conservative in this race. it is suggested that mike braun might have voted for hillary clinton last time around. so they are very close, ideologically. at least, that is the way they're trying to portray themselves in this race. at 22 percent in, a long way to go, but mike braun appears to be

doing well. >> bret: you can also look on the corner of the screen over that way, the house, at 79 percent, goes to the democrats. and now 57 percent that the republicans hold on. that has ticked down throughout the night, suggesting that they could have tight races ahead to try to keep the majority. a majority, 51, as they add up on the screen here, 42-25, right now the republicans have 51, democrats have 47 plus two independence caucus with the democrats. >> martha: and then missouri, which will be set to close at 8:00, another place where republicans hope they can pick up, flip that seat from a claire mccaskill to josh hawley. it has been so tight, that race, throughout the entire course of the election so far. and we are waiting for some numbers to come in there, as well. >> bret: with the virginia races

told us, in many ways, kentuckye too, whether that wave crashes before the appalachian trail. >> martha: they are working through the middle of the country, that they hope will help them continue to do well there. as you say, we saw tim kaine's race, early on, as well. that was an obvious indicator that there was strength for democrats in virginia, a lot of people obviously working in the government in that area, and a lot of our opposition. >> bret: if you look at some of the economy as the issue, i think we have the map -- the heat map -- on the issue of the economy. it is a big issue through the country, but it is not a driving force in some of these races early on. that we are looking at. you are looking at the balance

of power in the u.s. senate now, but the economy, as we talked about earlier, is strong. the president talks about it, but it doesn't seem to have sunk in and some of these early races that that is what they are voting on. >> martha: health care, as we were talking about earlier, has been a pervasive theme for these democrats as they have been campaigning throughout the course of this whole race. if you think about it, the tax reform bill that was passed by republicans in the house included the repeal of the individual mandate. it was the main structure of the health care bill that they repealed when they fell short of repealing the whole thing, and that has been a very strong message and some of the early districts that we have seen kick in. that is one of the main factors that we are seeing as strengths so far eight issues as far as democrats are finding strengths. >> bret: when they come on the set, there is a lot of stuff that happens that happens. >> martha: could you tell that they were coming into sit down? >> bret: stuff falling down here you're looking at the balance of power in the house. gentlemen, we were talking about

the early races, and they're showing us some movement, especially virginia. >> yeah, virginia 10, in fairness -- it doesn't matter, and fairness are not -- barbara comstock, the congressman for a period of time, that is a seat, if you look at the democratics, because she was such an effective candidate, to be a republican winning in a democrat-leaning district, the suburbs, outside washington, out toward the county in virginia, but she is in a race this year against jennifer wexton, as you pointed out, a state senator. as he also pointed out, at the top of the ticket, you have tim kaine, running a very strong race, his reelection as senator. and barbara comstock is in a world of trouble right now. >> bret: 59 percent income a jennifer wexton has a strong lead, and other virginia races, as well.

indiana, waiting for that senate race, a heavy democrat area, but so far, mike braun is leading in some of the areas that he needs to be leading and as the countdown continues to our next poll closings, some of the biggest of the night. >> it is 8:00 on the five highly competitive elections that will determine the control of the u.s. senate, missouri, tennessee, new jersey mississippi, and florida which also of course has a crucial gubernatorial election. >> one of the closest of the senate races has clearly been missouri where democratic incumbent claire mccaskill is fighting to hang on at this point against challenger josh holly, the state attorney general. it is way too close to call this . very early in the game as we ge take get the numbers up on the board. that does not do any early

voting in missouri. the pickup by hollywood give th republicans a crucial plus wher the majority currently stands. if they get a cold or sneezes h loses its majority in the senat and is hoping for a much that h can expand that tonight. we will see what happens. an opportunity for a republican pickup is in florida. rick scott is trying to oust th decision desk does not have an update it to protect checked a winner in that race. >> florida take a look at this one. too early to say with democrat andrew gillam will defeat congressman to replace the term limited gop governor rick scott who as we just mentioned is running for the senate. >> republican congresswoman marsha blackburn of tennessee currently has the lead over democrat former governor to replace retiring gop senator bo corker, but it's too soon to project a winner in that race.

>> also too close to call his new jersey, where incumbent democratic senator robert menendez buying with a period. >> a special election in mississippi which actually may not be settled tonight. that's because no fewer than four candidates are competing i a jumble primary. if no candidate receives weathe 50 percent of the vote them the top two finishers and you're likely looking at them their advanced to a runoff election november 27th 5 days after state thanksgiving we should point out there is a scenario. where that takes us to the control of the u.s. senate. >> now a race call in illinois in the gubernatorial contest democratic billionaire jamie pritzker will unseat republican governor to become the richest governor actually in u.s. history. the gubernatorial pickup for th republicans in illinois is one we can call. >> democratic senator warren will win a second term in

massachusetts although she's considering a presidential run in 2020. warren defeats jeff diehl. >> democratic senator bob casey will win a third term by defeating republican congressme there we will read up. >> chris murphy will win a second term by defeating the republican matthew court. >> we should also mention the bulls are now closed and 50 percent of congressional district across the country which means that we are going t start getting some early indications in terms of which party will control the house of representatives. democrats need at net gain of 2 seats to pick up that majority. >> lets go back to the race in florida. lots of vote total. we can put up that race. this is andrew gillam up 50-48. we get a lot of early vote tota in florida.

it's important because it has presidential indications as far as the state. this is a race where it up when race if the republican areas could be made at the feet of donald trump. they've had a very strong candidate putnam, who is in the primary he's now the state agriculture commissioner which is a statewide office. he was a member of the house an a member of the leadership considering the most promising young politician in the state. experienced, but young, very boyish, very attractive. they believed he would win easily and trump threw his support behind desantis. he won the primary. he's now and it looks of it lik he might just lose to a very left left-wing although very appealing personality in gillum from tallahassee. that race was won by a donald trump to desantis you'd is now behind. >> it's possible that florida splits there and these races ar tight.

we don't know yet, but you coul have built nothing good on is the incumbent democrat and gillum when is the governor. >> right. and he would become it nelson would go down to the current governor of florida his term limited now, rick scott who would now become the new senato from florida. i think it's right, you guys obviously are more on top of it then we are. has there been as single call i any of the major senate races that one of the key races. >> know. >> i don't think either one sid has sold on or one side has. here we are at 8:00 p.m. tonigh 50 percent of the country and the question of control of the senate is completely up for grabs. not a single one of those races decided yet. >> are probably probability meter has it at 57 percent republicans in control, but onl started the night it was a lot more confidence that republican were definitively going to

control. there are lots of tight races here is you look at the balance of power. democrats need to do take control and were adding up on the screen 42. the white seeds are the ones we don't know. >> one of the seats i think is really interesting is missouri. donald trump one missouri, i don't have it with me but by 20 points. so an awful lot of people in this state that is going more and more red, josh holly, the attorney general and nice candidate he's going to be able to sweep there, but claire mc caskill is a tough politician and she has run is far away from the democrats as she possibly could. >> she said she wasn't a crazy democrat? >> she said i'm not one of thos crazy democrats. also when she was interviewed yesterday she said i don't care if the democrats hold or the republicans take control of the senate, who cares. she's also completely packed donald trump on a hard line on

immigration. she is a democrat and a lot lot of people say yes, but after th election shall be voting along with chuck schumer. during the campaign at least until today,. >> she believes that the carava is coming and it needs to be stopped. i know she is definitely in lin with the president. she says there should be a wall. donald trump cannot the other day and said she will never vot with me. >> for a fact she's voted 80 percent of the time which have schumer, 67 percent with elizabeth warren and 66 percent with bernie sanders. >> that's good stuff. >> josh holly, a very attractiv young guy, suppose you were running as a democrat to deceit of a republican. do you think you would have the coverage with this young star coming up? i don't think so. holy misfortune is that he is a republican and he does not get

the entering coverage. >> he has traveled around texas. joining us now from washington where you guys all usually are is tucker carlson. tucker, good to have you with us . you're observation so far. >> the florida race is amazing. i would add it's not just republicans who thought andrew gillum would be easy to knock off. a lot of democrats in washingto were convinced they would never win this seat with him running. there were primaries on the democratic side as well. here was a guy who was in some way implicated in an fbi investigation and would not explained that. he called anybody who questione him racist for asking. the one-time mayor of tallahassee 126 largest city in america and running on a platform on apology to keeley left wing. if he wins florida first there' implications as you know for that presidential race, but much deeper implications for both parties. what does that mean exactly?

dissent is maybe wasn't the strongest captain at it, but th fact is if gillum glance, that raises a lot of questions that would say there's probably two answers. it's the obvious. immigration and the economy. immigration has changed florida. in a recognizable way. the california avenue 30 years ago was solidly republican and so was florida. now an different people are living in them. that has taken place beneath th notice of most people paying attention. the second is the economy which is weaker in ways than we in washington don't perceive. the conventional gdp and market performance. both of them are great. if you like it under other indicators you see that there are a lot of poor people. the single most common living arrangement for young people right now is with their parents. i don't think there's been a time after the industrial revolution when that's been tru in this country. that means that questions like health care are much more real

than they have been even three cycles ago. republicans won 63 seats in the 2010 midterm on the back of obamacare. andrew gillum proposing universal health care in effect medicaid for all which he has i written off as most people in washington as a pipe dream and think is a mathematical question . it is ludicrous, there's no way to pay for that, but it resonates with the state that's poorer than it looks. i think is republicans think about how did this happen, how did someone who's not as impressive as you would imagine governor of a major state would need to be, how did he win? i think it's important to think through it's actually happening here. nothing with russia or stormi daniels, there's real stuff going on. >> i think you're absolutely right. i also think he's built a

grassroots campaign from the beginning. he arrived on the scene and a lot of people his appeal, i think that's also something that i'm kind of watching in terms of the trend of the evening. charismatic, appealing candidates appear to be doing fairly well we will see what happened. >> i would argue in this case they didn't. i don't think if you had assembled a group of 20 democratic political consultant in dc and said draw your dream candidate i don't think it would've been gillum. they probably wanted somebody that looked like him and have the manner, but i don't think they would work someone with th hard left politics of gillum. they thought he was going to lose. i think maybe the hard left economic issues are a little more popular than we want to think they are. i think that's ominous, but it doesn't make it any less true. why is it that they don't work for example. will probably lose tonight, but he's coming a lot closer than i should be in the state of texas. immigration has change the demographics of texas, and two, some of this is more popular

than we want to think it is. >> tucker, as always thank you. >> the incumbent democratic governor sherrod brown will win a third term by defeating republican congressman jimmer najee. this is always been the race to lose essentially and he appears to be doing well tonight. >> he is going to win. he calls himself the progressiv populist bring them back chris and britt, you are looking bridge, at the states florida, ohio, missouri, and automatically we start thinking about 2020. and how important they are in that picture. >> exactly. florida has been so pivotal in recent elections and having control of the state house is thought to be very helpful. a lot of people thought if it hadn't been for jeb bush and th governors chair they may not

have pulled it off down there. i noticed that our needle on th senate has begun to point more favorably toward republican control. i i've been keeping track which had the republicans up at 80 percent it's now up to 92 percent republicans keep the senate among the people who bet. if the house meanwhile, which i up in the 60s for democrats getting control of it, that's u to 70 percent. people who are betting on this tonight have already decided where they think this is going. >> we should point out that indiana looks like it is breaking a little bit republica at this moment. still too early to make the call , but and we are waiting for indianapolis which is a huge area for joe donnelly, but it seems like there's confidence. >> it's interesting because we always talked in the buildup, this big advantage in the republicans because of democrat are holding and trying to defen

ten seats in states that donald trump one and 2016. what's interesting is some of them are absolutely on the boards like indiana and missouri , but some of them weren't. one of them ones, ohio, state that trump one. brown was always a sizable lead and there was never a serious contest there. the same thing in pennsylvania as state that trump one, but bo casey never really had any challenge there as well. so again, senate races are different than house races. i think people feel more of a connection and a history with the senators. despite the power of donald trump in the states had an easy time winning reelection. >> democrats running for reelection in states trump won by 20 points or more, so that's it. >> just going back to florida for a moment. you wonder when you look at someone like andrew gillum who is such a progressive candidate and we did the debate with

santos and putnam. it was very clear that a lot of the people in florida, and a lo of people in leadership in florida wanted him to be the candidate. when it somebody like andrew gillum if he ends up getting elected tonight. 56 percent of the boat in and this is a very tight race at this point, but he may be one o those candidates that just have such unique characteristics. >> i've seen him, i disagree with much of what he says, but i think he's a very attractive guy. he's an appealing guy his disarming in his manner and so forth and, in a tight situation that counts for a lot. >> many polls are closed. ballots still being counted, plus we'll republicans keep control of the house that is in question. and it's really going to be decided in probably the next fe hours as we countdown to the next poll closings and as we go to break, other races we have some calls to make.

we will be right back.

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>> welcome back to america's election headquarters. looking at house races we've been talking the early ones the are some tight races, especiall kentucky six has turned around now. incumbent republican three term incumbent now up in that race with 84 percent in. over the lieutenant colonel in the marine corps, one of the first female fighter pilots. let's look at the virginia race congressional district two, scott taylor, the 63 percent in. a slight lead. seven, the seventh congressiona district, this is the giant killer when the primary took down the the house majority leader eric cantor or. he is slightly ahead of the democrat there, but this could be the first look of the night. we may be ready for a call and that is virginia ten, the democrat jennifer waxed and who

is a state senator up big with his 67 percent over republican incumbent barbara comstock who is a really good retail company in her. she was in the district that shifted as i mentioned before t a little more bluish purple so she was facing an uphill battle. those early states, kentucky si is turning around with 84 percent in. let's head upstairs to bill hemmer with more. >> we are a pure taking a look at what bill has on the billboard for us right now. >> a lot to show. we were talking about a lot of these races right now you talk about the kentucky race if you in virginia. let's dial in on these house races now. this is something getting a lot of attention right now. kentucky six. you've been watching this as well. andy marr has a slight lead, if he keeps a close or even wins it's good news for republicans heavily democratic district, right now with 85 percent of th boat and it looks good for republicans.

let's see where the rest of the votes come in there and kentuck six. we put a lot of focus on virginia and for good reason. you mentioned a moment ago virginia ten, it looks like barbara comstock will lose her bid for a reelection there. a tough battle. that's a changing district in washington, dc. if we pop down here to the southern part of the state, thi is good news for debra workman, he's got a seven-point advantag against the democratic challenger you mentioned, virginia seven as well. the giant killer, right now about 20 percent of the vote is still outstanding, but he's hanging on right there. >> to party candidates, one of the early people in that and no he's trying to hold onto his ow seat. >> a couple of races in ohio that i find fascinating. nehme remember three months ago when the eyes of the political world were focused on ohio district 12, i think this is

columbus, it is suburban a goes out to a rural area, it's a developing part of america that seems to be growing every year. the democrats, danny o'connor i now beating troy balderson by about 12 points. a lot of votes are coming in. total vote difference is 7,000, but you had about 200,003 month ago and august when they had a special election. right now it looks decent for the democrat. here's why i think the race is so important. see the president trump did two years ago in this district he won it by 12 points. if you think about who these voters are and the census data will tell you, these are people who live above the national average by $10,000 a household. they've got about 70 percent of college education or better. and look at the race. 85 percent white. these are white suburban americans, well educated who have done very well under this economy over the past two years. right now the appear to be

turning against the republicans. >> that's the area where you're looking at those white college educated women in many cases that the president perhaps has felt slipping away a little bit. he's talked a lot in recent advertising and appearances about how much security matters to women in america. trying to sell them on the issu of the wall trying to sell them that the caravan is as scary thing. those are the kinds of areas he was working to hold onto. >> a lot of examples across the country we will watch throughou the night. let's go down to florida row click here. this is the eye for corridor. we always think of this during national elections with it bein a midterm right now, this is tampa, it's orlando its daytona beach. right now the republicans hanging on with a good percentage of votes on there. again, with 90 percent of the vote counted, republicans are hanging on there as well. or seen some bright spots for the gop and then some spots of

concern. you think about the 23 vote margin in the house right now. we will be going through this a the night goes on. >> it raises a lot of questions. we wave, red wave, or whether there isn't really a wave. we were talking about how you could potentially see a split between the governors race and the senate race in florida whic leads use with something lookin a lot like florida, right? >> thank you, martha. >> remember that, tallahassee 4 days and 40 nights. florida is really a key battleground in matter how you look at it. the governors race, the tallahassee mere years republican andrew gillum facing off against ron desantis, phil keating is live at the headquarters in tallahassee. what is the mood down there? >> the mood here is jubilant fo two reasons. one, a devolution i mean a dail of rain about two hours ago

finally passed. the power outages, thunder, and the media had to evacuate the press tends to an indoor building for a time. the rain has stopped, this is mostly young people down here i front of the stage. it's pretty cool at this point. they're all enthusiastic. they're hoping this watch party turns into a celebratory party for the democratic tallahassee mayor andrew gillum. no democrat has when the governors race in 20 years and if he does, he will be the firs black governor ever in the stat of florida. his opponent ron desantis is an absolute trump supporter throug and through. supports every policy of the president and was endorsed by the president early in the primary campaign. he is been invited on stage he'

trying to use his popularity to really push desantis ahead in this race. most recently saturday night an pensacola. again, the race has the rain ha stopped, that's a possible thing . the last two gubernatorial race as well/two residential races i florida have been decided by just one percentage point. it's a big swing state. it's a tossup state and that's why i'm the very evenly divided. statewide races tend to prove just that much as well. still early in the race, but we are getting reports in south florida, miami dade, palm beach counties, huge democratic strongholds with good percentages of people and they are showing that there have bee waves at the voting polls up to an hour. >> tell them to change the channel down there. a couple of calls to make. the press was calling the race 27 for donna shall he live.

she was a former the former health and human secretary for president clinton. this was a tight race against maria salazar. she's not considered the best campaigner there and was very tight throughout. this is again for the house democrats. now you have plus two for the democrats as they need to get plus 23. also florida six we are calling for mike walls, special forces commander, he is a republican desean seat defeating the democrat brad they spent a lot of money on that race the polling that out in florida six. >> he was in a tight race. they had a tough time of it. lots of negative advertising as we've seen these races going back and forth. who is the unit active in foreign-policy and democratic circle. that is a pickup win for the night is just darted.

we have a lot of race calls tha are still pending. all the white has not been called yet. we have a lot of races that could be called in just a matte of minutes. keep it here on america's election night. (music throughout) here we are, wherever "here" might be. election day. when you rise above the... the noise. the tweets. the talking heads. what you hear and what you see are two different things.

you hear about how "we're a nation divided." yet, from where we sit, we see no such thing. we see half a million people - today alone - stitching together some supposedly very divided states. red states. blue states. and every shade of purple in between. we see people working across party lines. state lines. yes, even airlines. all looking for for that uncommon, common ground. a nice reminder: that if you really want to see what this country is made of. maybe it's best to go see it for yourself.

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did you know not all fiber is the same? try citrucel. it gently relieves occasional constipation by absorbing water to make stools easier to pass, without causing excess gas or bloating. help relieve occasional constipation with citrucel. polls have just closed and fox can incumbent republican encumber, then we'll deceived his democratic challenger bert also making a call in that virginia race. jennifer buxton, this is a game for the democrats are now they are up to take take over contro of the house of representatives. >> the balance of power as we said, still up there as we go

through the 435 races that we are watching tonight. hemphill of those are tossup races as you can see. to pick up straight now for the democrats. >> three with virginia. >> three with virginia which is just come in. three pickups for the democrats and republicans at the moment. >> house majority steve talese, congressman, thanks for being here. you're thoughts early in the night, and what are you retain control? >> we know what's at stake peick . it's been a battle from the beginning. they are seen high turnout on our side. we always knew they were going to have high turnout, but to se showing up in large numbers two that tells you were battling. and a lot of the swing district to get the majority, were going to be able to hold onto. we've always said it's good to be a late-night, lots of close

races, but we know where the battlegrounds are bared to give when you take a look at some of the fundamentals of what voters are talking about, they seem to be very interested in healthcare . interested in the economy and immigration but the numbers are lower for the president on the issue of immigration. on the issue of healthcare and their very positive on the president when it comes to the economy. had you see this playing out fo you with these house races question the economy is still the top issue. there were other problems with health care, we've seen obamacare you're still seeing double-digit increases in many states in premiums because obamacare isn't working. we need to keep working on an answer to obamacare. family is talking about how the

have more wages more money in the paycheck, and closing the tax cuts, so clearly that's going to be a big issue and a big talking point in terms of people concerned about nancy pelosi becoming the speaker again. >> i was with the indie friday in been battling, i think he's got a good chance of winning because he's much more in tune with the district. his opponent says she wants to be the most liberal progressive person in the state of kentucky. kentucky is not a far left pelosi type state. >> 50.3 percent to 40.5. you know, congressman, were you upset about the focus in the last days of the campaign quest mark ikenna shifted more toward immigration. did you leave the closing arguments should have been more the economy? >> of the economy is been a

selling point from the beginnin brim immigrations popped up because you saw this caravan coming and then i know and a lo of swing districts, i want to see us build the wall, but the idea that millions of people ar waiting in line to come to this country illegally you have thousands of people to same wer going to ignore all those laws and storm right in front of all those other people waiting in line to come here. that's not the way to come to america, we need strong border security just like every other country secures her borders. national security became an important issue. but in the end, the economy still has been something that everybody talks about when thei more job openings up with them there are people looking for work pretty what about the tax reform bill and out was sold to the american public because it feels like a lot of people feel like it didn't work for them even though the economy seems t be simulated by so many ways.

has that message been presented in a powerful enough way? >> people like the idea that they have more money in their pockets. companies large and small were getting to their employees are resulting in higher wages. numbers keep coming out that wages are going up because of the tax cut bill. pelosi said she wants to take i away. she called it and then she says she wants to take those tax cut away. i don't think people are going to want to let that go. i think they want to see is us keep building on the economic success were having with president trump. >> we appreciate your time. we will follow-up and see how i turns out tonight. we are watching every race. >> thank you, congressman. >> thank you. >> lets go back to the florida governors race and put up the screen. this is a key race, andrew

gillum is the tallahassee mayor against rhonda santos and now this is a very tight race although it has shifted in recent hours in the past hour o so. we have dissenters with 50 straight up in robert gillum at 48.8. >> how much is in? >> 93 percent. >> doubts 93 percent of precincts quest mark the panhandle is a great return. it should be coming in. >> that would help to santos. they might pull that out. to give then you'll take back everything you said? not if he wins, maybe we'll consider trump even more of a

genius that i think you already do. work on a what are you looking at and florida? in florida? >> i have to say. if the santa who is a term guy, if he pulls out this victory with what was thrown at him and the last just two weeks, millions of dollars from the bi democrat turnout machine which is done a great job of registering people to vote for the democratic party. other groups through him millions, this was the most expensive governors race in the country and florida. if you he squeaked out a victor here, i will say that all donal trump who run this for him. he was an okay guess what i

think you could've taken it up notch. gillum is charismatic, he is is a storyteller. britt was exactly right about him, but maybe it was a bridge too far for floridians in the end. this is a slight victory. >> if he wins. >> if he wins it will be a smal margin. a win is a win and you have to think donald trump would have put him over the top. >> after the hurricane, hurricane michael, there was a lot of talk about whether that would affect the turnout. and after hurricane irma licet there was a lot of talk of people coming to florida, and they could they obviously that was not a huge factor when it came to republican. because of all the hurricane coverage was going to go. but they align some ways with republicans.

if you look at that whole 95 corridor, you saw a tremendous surge in terms of puerto rican population after the big storms that you mentioned. and there was great concern about whether or not that would change the states politics in a very telling way. i would also say it was compounded by the second hurricane that hit the panhandl heart and the question was whether or not that would interfere with people getting out to vote. what we've seen and rupees it repeated visits by president trump to stir the base in florida. speeth do is basically a stand in for donald trump in this race . the only question i think peopl have here is twofold, one is whether the latino vote that yo oftentimes the cuban vote goes republican, the question is wha about the rest and especially

participation, did they turn out , or did they simply not vote . the other issue is of course yo have a black candidate running for governor, how many people said they would vote for him, but actually didn't. >> the race was a big issue in this race that we watched between gillum and disantis. the santos as you don't want to monkey up the economy and you and i have had a conversation about that that night. a lot of people thought it was an innocent comment he's kind o mixing two ideas, and it continued to be an issue that gillum in the debates in particular really tried to hit him hard with. >> impact he said is not that i'm gone him racist, but peopl think that his racist. what you some closing days of the race was that you had peopl using racially charged language and the question is, how does raise impact this contest, because all the numbers indicat that gillum and yet were lookin

right now and it's too close to call. >> they're getting ready the recounts down there, 86,000 separated. >> in florida, a recount? imagine that. >> the voting lines have shifte dramatically for disantis. betting odds have it almost 2-1 disantis. 62-34. >> ilie pfizer. >> may be a big cigar. the case of vendors. the next poll closings at the top of the hour. >> wrote role did the economy play in voters decision? that is coming up next. runching]

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take a lot more polls coming in this evening as we wait for mor to close we have new numbers from our fox news voter analysis . here's what it's selling us about the top issues with voters . the darkest purple identifies states with the highest percentage of voters saying the top issue facing the country is the economy and jobs. wyoming has the most choosing the economy and 29 percent. minnesota has the fewest saying the economy is the most important issue overall. 19 percent say the economy is the top issue facing the country . it is really interesting to discuss the whole issue of whether the economy and the growth that we've seen is compelling voters one way or th other tonight. >> i think you're right and i think that is what is compellin voters break we've had the debate over the last six weeks, three months over health care versus the economy. at the end of the day it is am

feeling better today than i was years ago? when you look at something like kentucky where manufacturing is the largest generator of economic activity there. with the manufacturing jobs com back in the last two years and unemployment rates on the national level at record lows 3.7 percent and earnings, corporate checks and earnings o 22 percent quarter after quarter . one of the most important economic policies from the trum administration has been the rolling back of regulations whe you look at what could happen i they take control of congress i maxine waters jared mettler, running judiciary, you see of push away from that, away from rolling back regulations and perhaps putting more of the clamp on business and that woul certainly reverse the what we'v seen. >> the associate press can turning for andy barr, so he won't become a fourth term incumbent, were putting the

check mark next to andy barr, that is a huge huge development in the early races. as we were talking early on, am mcgrath won a great race, but she will go down to andy barr. we will close this out and kentucky which is a huge deal. i want to update the other tossup states were looking at with claire mccaskill in misery, that is early, we are looking very closely at indiana. 49 percent, indiana,. you see mike burns to print starting to separate there, 53.. were saying it's too close to call, but republicans there in indiana are feeling confident. >> that is live at why that rolling back of regulations as well as the fact that smaller

government and lower taxes. in the ten years prior to the trump administration, businesse were sitting on their cash. they want sure what was coming around the bike. the lawyers for compliance officers because of the regulatory environment, that ha changed in the last two years, that's we see capital spending increase is up on the part. these are some of the methods that you want to look at in terms of where the business community stands. in kentucky, you were talking about one of the worst economie in the entire country. now you've seen manufacturing grow, trade being an issue particular with the presidents stance on tariffs. we will see how that plays out in kentucky. i think this is a vote from the people on economic policies tha they want to see. >> said really driving up the rural vote in indiana and they're still waiting for some of the indianapolis vote to com and which would be a better are for joe donnelly.

we'd watch this area and they'v been paying attention to the areas that the president paid attention to, some of which wer obviously still waiting to come in for, but these candidates ar also driving up the vote in those areas. >> president trump going out three rallies yesterday, to the day before to the day before that, he is working administrat years. you're other going to see further of his economic policie or investigation after investigation after investigation. >> i remember two years ago you were at that desk over there it was 3:00 a.m. and president trump had been declared the president and the market future went on 800 points. you said that seems like a bite to if people have listened to you they could have been a lot richer. >> i thought just economic policy that was driving my thinking that night. when you talk about rolling bac regulations, lower taxes, small

government that will encourage business to create jobs. that's why i thought you have t buy this with both hands. >> you are right. >> thank you. >> stick around. >> politics editor, we've gathered him out of the decisio desk pulled him out, chris, we want to talk about florida. we want to talk florida first. that is the governors race down there that has disantis up. it looks like scott is performing to even then president trump did in. there is still a lot a football to be played on him. we are watching very closely, were babysitting it. one of the most important discussions were happening, bu it's just too soon for us to say . these are both close races and

they're both close races and places where democrats felt lik they've had an advantage. that's an area of concern for them. i wouldn't say they were counting on nelson holding on for sure, but they had such strong feelings about it. the very fact that were going have to worry this period were going to be talking about florida, montana after my norma bedtime. 93 percent in, where is the res of the 7 percent? >> i been waiting to talk to yo for a minute so i don't feel entirely comfortable saying exactly where the vote is comin in. 7 percent out of that many millions of votes. >> the panhandle perhaps is still outside. that's usually a later part to come in and florida. we look at the closest of this race at this point. you talk about rick scott who i been trying to convince people there is governor he is always watched out for them in the hurricanes the president has tweeted seen rick scott called me all the time about what's going on in florida.

he said bill nelson sever calle me once, these are both people and both of these two different races that floridians are extremely familiar with. >> they are. we know from rick scott's prior performance in his two gubernatorial runs, he was slightly trailing going to the end of the polls and then eat past his competitors both times. landslide scott has one by 1 percent. basically 1 percent both times so this is familiar territory for him. if he pulls off a narrow win, i he would be conforming to prior performance. >> before and we lock you back in that room, talk to me about indiana. are we close on indiana? too close to call? 50 percent in? >> mike braun has done well in the places he needed to do well. now we'll find out how well joe donnelly needs to do in the places he needs to do well. the northwestern part of the state matters a great deal for democrats. that is going to be huge.

that is going to be a pivotal question and either joe donnell is about to get a lot better of or a lot worse off and we will know a great deal in the minute and probably the hours to come. >> we have this camera looking at the decision desk so if you have anything does go like this. >> a leica camera. michigan. >> there it is. teaki i think it looks like people have just been arrested and are being interrogated. >> dana brought us enough candy that we will be jacked up on bi of honey. >> chris, we will check in again . >> you bet. >> moments away from the 9:00 o'clock eastern calls here on the east coast, plus a whole another wave of poll closings about to come in. >> 14 states at the top of the hour including places like arizona. texas, remember that race? our live coverage continues as america's election headquarters rolls on. -omar, look. [ thunder rumbles ]

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>> zooming in. 9:00 p.m. there goes our chandelier. >> it goes up and down. lots of things happening in the studio. >> one of the big questions tonight is whether or not there might be a pretty big red brick while happening in many places in terms of what were seeing in virginia, some of these races look like they were going the other way, whether they're blue wave will materialize as we continue to move through the night is the question. some of the early things in in terms of anticipation. >> kentucky six pulling out a big win there, never looking heavily at florida, indiana, it

has moved towards the republicans in both the governors race and the senate races there. we are starting to get robbed vote totals in missouri and other places. we have this countdown that is happening and now it is 9:00 o'clock on the east coast, the polls are closed and 14 mor states including arizona, texas and north dakota each of those will have a major impact on wha the republicans retain control of the u.s. senate. it will not come as a surprise that arizona is too early to sa whether it's martha mcsally will beat democratic congresswoman. >> also too early to project a winner in texas. this race obviously getting a lot lots of attention. trained and seed trying to unseat incumbent republican senator ted cruise in what has been the most expensive senate race in u.s. history. at the moment, cruz has a very slight lead.

>> work has a very slight lead looks like pretty getting this is using voter analysis and rob vote total. >> in texas is pretty close. in north dakota waiting for mor data to project where we are in this race incumbent democratic senator heidi heitkamp and her kramer is in the lead right now. a pretty sizable vote. the other hotly contested race for watching at this hour is wisconsin. incumbent republican senator scott walker trailing democrat tommy eberst, the state superintendent, too early to make a call there. >> lets go to new york. governor andrew cuomo who did cynthia nixon and the primary today wins third term by beatin and handily republican mark molinaro. >> in new york, democratic senator will win reelection to second term by defeating republican carly, she's been

talked as a possible presidential candidate by the way. >> and one of the two senate races in minnesota today democratic senator will win at third term by beating gop state lawmaker jim newberger, she's also discussed as a possible 2020 democrat candidate. >> democratic senator tina smit will win election to fill the remainder of senator al franken sturm until january of 2021. >> let's look at wisconsin wher democratic senator will win a second term. she has defeated gop state senator. >> been mined as of 9:00 p.m. eastern time polls have closed in fully 80 percent of congressional districts across the country including most of the tightest tossup races that will determine the u.s. house o representatives if democrats pick up a net gain of 23 seats, they will take control of the chamber for the first time sinc 2011. were not yet at the place were we can call or make a projection

. there is a lot of white on the board. >> it is developing into an interesting evening. look over the panel and get you thoughts of what were seeing so far. guy, what you think? >> licking big picture, it's looking like a pretty good nigh for the democrats. not quite that ignite that people had been hoping for. kentucky six being one of those house races for the republicans to hang on their interim country , and kentucky is a big one. also, it's not quite over yet and some of the other races. virginia five has been called. that's on the outer limits of the big way. the democrats enough for going to have a 2010 style wave and then in indiana, i know it's still too close for us to call, but that is looking pretty darn good for the republican mike braun. to put a pick up on the board o the senate side, that early, would be a norm is for the gop hopes to hang onto that upper chamber which is been so crucia to confirming so many judges

including two supreme court justices during the trump administration. the senate is a very important priority for many conservatives. >> speaking of the senate of major raise call to make right now first in new jersey. democratic senator robert menendez will win reelection by seating republican businessman bob hugin, some republicans say menendez is vulnerable due to that federal corruption trial i 2017 the senate veteran never trailed you can even though it was called a tossup by a political report. he is going to go on and win. >> and other major raise call t make tonight and the tennessee senate race, the fox news decision desk can predict the republican congressman marsha blackburn will defeat filled bredeson to replace retiring go senator bob corker, they spent all summer trailing bredeson in the polls, she closed the gap, she was a tireless campaigner i this race and took the lead

about a month ago. >> that was a race that ended u having a lot to do with cavanaugh because she did come out finally and say that he would have voted for cavanaugh and had been critical of his party ever since but that was a big deal and the state of tennessee and blackburn made th most of it. i think this is one race where they kavanaugh boats made a big difference. >> i think this race was really interesting, democrats had a lo of hopes for filled bredeson. >> just thinking about this, we just called menendez, new jersey , the new jersey star-ledger when he endorsed menendez, the choke it down, vote for menendez, that's how the state was for that, and yet he wins it. you think about a state like, florida we talked a lot about. it's a swing state, but states like, new jersey, kentucky, tennessee, and probably texas tend to be in their natural state, so this wouldn't be a terrible surprise in new jersey and marsha blackburn i believe was the first woman congresswoman from tennessee an

now knowing to the senate and she's winning it by that much. i think if democrats can't figure out a way to the midwestern states southwestern states they will have soul searching to do. the expectations were so sky high they couldn't meet the expectations. >> yes it was interesting phil said the national democratic brand failed him essentially. he couldn't fit the mold of it. he spent a lot of time sounding as trump like as he could. also a a side note. they thought it was a big deal when taylor swift came out for support for herb. a tough night for taylor swift. >> yes, marie, this is not lining up exactly like our voter analysis early look. >> yes. >> it is actually skewing more republican then the original view of some of the numbers. >> i think it will be interesting to see why that is.

did more democrats, were they fired up and voted early. are more breaking at the end of the day and staying home. by that i mean voting for republicans. there was hope on the democratic side. they may not come out and vote for a democrat. maybe they will sit it out. i think may of stayed home with their party. i think what is interesting in the early races being called. in florida, donna winning. i didn't expect that to go that early. i think democrats are looking across the country, we thought that the andy bar race would be good. now it's been called for republicans. >> if we pick up seats we didn't think were bell weathers like the florida race with don afplt i mentioned there are a number of places like kansas, texas and congressional districts the democrats are fielding folks that are making things competitive.

the other thing that is interesting is ohio. donald trump won by will points. almost as much as he won texas by. brown didn't have a contest, called for him in the senate. >> that was long predicted going in. >> it was the fact that trump collision couldn't show up i think is interesting. it may impact the governor's race. >> laura, let's go back to florida. i think these races races are i definitive tonight. >> yes the current total is 60,000, 70,000, 80,000 votes between the candidates. we don't know who will pull this off. this is a state where rick scott was a popular governor. it was razor thin for donald trump. >> i will interrupt you we are calling joe manchin winning the senate. there was a thought he may not

make it but he will return. >> the cavanagh vote helped him there. in florida the president has made so many trips there. the southern white house and campaign trips there. i think that was critical. don't discount the power of chris scott. his response to hurricanes and the governance of the state. that was competence. that was on the ballot versus maybe nelson, someone will longest and senior it. gilam is charismatic but far left for florida. >> i say this is all donald trump victories tonight. >> there are some people calling the race for the senate. we haven't yet.

we are not doing so, prudent as always. we have a good track record. it's worth noting some call for the senate. >> when we look at the victorias on the democratic side you can see the democratic field for president shaping up. elizabeth warren won reelection. sanders. gillibrand and amy. they're being mentioned as potential democratic presidents winning tonight. >> if o'rourke wins in texas he's the instant front winner don't you think. >> yes. even if he loses. >> take his 70 million to des moines. you see the early vote in texas. you want to see the raw vote total. we have the voter analysis plus the raw total. ted cruise with a slight lead.

it's not showing that on the screen. it's tighter then people thought in texas. >> can i go back to what dana said. i think parties are excited flipping a state they haven't won in a long time. i think republicans chased this dream in new jersey. there was a reason to believe it. it's a plus state. this was as unlikely as getting a democratic senator in tennessee. donald trump won tennessee in 2016 by 26 points. phil was probably the only democrat who had a chance of winning in tennessee. it turns out not much of a chance. >> that's right. >> we will call all kinds of races.

associated press calling larry hogan in maryland by a land side. republicans winning in blue states. we will see others of those tonight. >> baker in massachusets. >> yes. >> we will take a quick break. on the other side we will look at texas and update you on indiana. that's a interesting race we could call in the senate. keep it here, america easy election headquarters continues.

>> indiana mike braun the republican will defeat incumbent democrat joe donnelly this. is a huge win for the republicans this. is a pick up for the republicans

taking down donnelly. democrats believed he was in good shapey hrebg day. mike braun, you remember president trump went to indiana a few times. he closed his campaign in indiana with a big election night preview there. mike braun businessman defeating incumbent joe donnelly. >> ya, indiana has been good to president trump. a state that put him over the top in the primary beating ted cruz there. he has put a lot of muss he will in the indiana race on be half of mike braun. some questioned if he was a strong candidate going in. now mike braun has sealed the deal in indiana tonight. carl, your thats on that race for starters? >> first of all it looks like marion county and lake county, democratic strong holds are coming with a smaller total than you think kpweufb what is happening in the rest of the state. my suspicion is we will see

african-american vote not excited to turn out to vote. he's a interesting candidate. i was talking to a republican big wig who helped campaign. he said he doesn't have much charisma. i said what do you expect. mitch daniels mr. charisma. you know. >> i like mitch daniels. >> so do i. this is a state where mike braun fits it. he grew up in jasper, indiana. goes to harvard business school. recruited by the biggest companies in the world. then goes home to jasper to a furniture company and then starts his own business. he comes across solid, steady, not too charismatic but that maybe good for indiana. >> like tennessee the cavanagh vote affecte affected this racet shifted it at that time. we should point out that republicans net gain is plus one in the senate.

now democrats have to get three pick ups to take control of the senate. it gets a lot, lot tougher with joe donnelly going down. >> yes. you mentioned cavanagh. that's right. i was looking at surveys in the state in august and september. republicans in late august and early september for the private survey funds were excited about coming out. by the third and fourth weeks of september cavanagh was an excel rant. it was throwing gas line on a fire burning well. that hasn't gonna well. the importance of cavanagh reseeding in peoples minds. the enthusiasm of the kindle is there at the end. >> that was a issue we saw in the voter analysis. it locked like cavanagh could cut the other way and ener dyed democrats more than republicans. yet as we have said going through bill was pressed and pressed what would you do in the

senate. he said i would of voted for cavanagh. you look at joe donnelly who said no. that was big news making that decision. joe manchin the only democrat voting for cavanagh had positive factors for him in west virginia. that was clearly one of them. >> bounce to florida. what you see in the magical commuter there? >> there is a lot of vote out in the pan handle for the republicans. a lot of room to grow. >> governor and senate. >> yes a lot of preseufrbgts are out in miami, broward and palm beach. i will say this, one interesting thing to me is that desantes has more votes than scott does. not by a lot. excuse me scott has 12,000 more votes then pugh esante has has. gillum is how thousand votes behind nelson. part of the story is not just

that trump, the trump endorsement helped but gillum maybe too radical for floridaians. he's running 40,000 votes behind nelson. i don't think these things are coincidental. >> the vote now you say some parts of broward and miami-dade. >> yes they have about 300 plus presincts left out. how will it affect the southeast florida to close the gap. >> the lawyers don't have to into a. in they're ready there, for the recount. >> any recount in florida employs every florida election law expert but everyone across america fully employed to deduct the recount.

>> 36. >> memories. >> 36 days not that we remember that bitterly. bring back the old member rows. >> yes. >> okay, stand by. >> a quick break and we will be back after this.

>> an election alert mao on tight races. the governor's race in florida we have talked about. 72,000 plus separate pugh esantis and gillum. that's the percentage of vote in 93%. too close to call for us. then you look at the senate race, too close to call. bill nelson and rick scott. also let's look at this too early on our voter analysis we don't have the raw vote total with sinema and mcsally.

we have donnelly and braun called. we have governor races to call as well. in vermont the republican beats the democrat. also the republican winning in oklahoma for kevin stitt. rhode island the democrat gina raimondo wins in rhode island's governor race. >> our next guest from the white house, pret secretary, sara sanders. good evening to you. big election night. we're waiting for the election results to come in. how do folks at the white house feel so far. >> so far we feel good where we are. the president has had a incredible night. particularly looking at mike braun this. is a candidate a lot of people projected to lose. not a little but a lot. this is someone the president went in and closed the deal for last night. he had a incredibly tough

primary. immediately following the primary the president came in and unified the party. you see the results of that hard work paying off tonight. it's a long night to go. >> what do you think about the house? what is the thinking at the white house? the numbers you're looking at now. democrats need 23. they picked up. two we haven't made a lot of calls on those lines. >> the house is early. run race to look at is andy bar of kentucky. people were saying this could be a first indicater of the night. that has been called this. is another race where the president went in. frankly the candidates that have embraced the president and the president has gone in to campaign for last several weeks are candidates we see doing very well tonight in those places. certainly feel good about where things are headed. again very early in this process. we feel comfortable where we

are. even james said it best, anyone who expect aid blue wave tonight probably won't get. that i think that's one hundred percent due to the president's leadership and the success he has had in the first two years since taking office. he has had unpress accidented success. you see americans come out and unanimously say they're proud of this president and what he has done in the two years. >> sarah, thoughts on florida. obviously the president put his weight behind santias and helped him win there. tough for the governor and senate right now. >> again it's a extremely close race this. is a place people said no way could republicans take those seats. if they do, i think a lot of the credit goes to the president who has been in to campaign for them. still close and time left to see what happens there. >> we had former pennsylvania governor on.

democrat from pennsylvania. he said if democrats pick up the house. that's a if as of tonight, right now that they should legislate and legislate and not investigate. do you think that would happen if democrats take over the house? >> i think that should happen. i think that's what america wants to see. we have a president that is willing to work across the i'll to get things done. we feel good where we are in the senate. if democrats take the house they shouldn't waste time investigating. they should focus on what the people put them there to do. there are things the president would like to work with them on. hopefully they will continue to come to the table and do that and not obstruct but work with the president to solve the big problems we have been leading on the last two years. >> sarah, there is discussion that the president didn't campaign hard enough on the issue of the economy. even he said at one point, sometimes the economy is not the most interesting thing to talk

about. he went in very intensely on the issue of the cara van and immigration. does he feel good about that decision now. >> the president talked about the economy constantly. the problem was the media didn't want to cover the economy. the first time you have a bombing economy and they say you didn't talk about it enough. we talked about the economy every day. we will continue to. it will continue to do well under the president because of the tax cuts and deregulation. we have seen a economic boom. i think you see that reflected in the senate votes tonight as well as the president's fight to get just is cavanagh on the bench. i think those were two big tpapgters you see play out on the election field tonight. >> sara sanders, thank you. we appreciate your time. we have a major race projection to make now. the so called jungle primary in the mississippi cerebral session. we project that none of the four

candidates will win tonight. none will get 50% of the votes. what does that mean in the top two finishers. you see these two who will face each other on a run off election november 27th. it's early. ten percent in. bot on-line is neither will get to 50%. there is a scenario it may not happen now with joe donnelly going down in indiana. the scenario would be for democrats to take control. they would win enough for a 50/50 tie. with mississippi hanging out there it would be decided november 27th. imagine that one race, media, everyone. money -- >> afternoon thank after thanks. >> it's possible. we will see the balance of power republicans rip one in the senate. >> we will take a quick break. no we are going. do we have a race to call?

i think no let's bring on the panel. >> let's bring on the panel. >> carl, talk to me about texas. >> we have the early vote. in we're missing harris county in the numbers i am looking at. early vote has been good for the democrats in recent years. there is a gap between the top of the ticket and the next person on it. ted cruz is losing, greg abbott is winning. my suspicion is we will see more blue with harris county. we have about a hundred counties in rural texas including midland and odesa and abilene and am a amarillo that are not in. this will be a red state by the end of the process. >> now you say cruz pulls it out. >> yes, sure. it will be a big gap. you have the governor winning, the early vote is democrat. the governor is winning, the republican governor is winning by ten points. ted cruz is slightly behind.

>> carl, last night you felt good about this race. texas will act like texas in the end. >> yes. >> he was way to progressive for texas. how do you explain how close it is. >> a good absentee vote. if you look at the part of the state i live, travis county . it's a blueberry in the middle of the red sea. there are two counties next to it, hayes and williamson that are republican. in the early vote they're democrat. part that had is the veto campaign, francis o'rourke made a good appearance. they went to the texas state university in san marcos and insisted they open a special voting location and literally a thousand students a day went through the special voting location last week. i'm sure they broke 60, 40/70/30

for robert francis o'rourke. >> we have to come back to this. one of the biggest calls of the night. the fox news decision desk will say the democrats will take control of the house of representatives for the first time in eight years. dealing a major setback to president trump's agenda, fresh hope for democrats -- >> the exact -- >> i'm sorry the house. >> here is the balance of power now. the majority side is not clear yet. it would be a slim margin. tk*et democrats will have to decide to restore nancy pelosi as old speaker of the house. 37 candidates said they won try to put nancy pel owe see i peloe position. >> democrats have won the house.

we can make that call looking at the raw total and numbers. chris, your thoughts on that and what it means for the big picture. >> it is a very very big deal. think of nancy pelosi as speaker of the house. adam schift. jerry nadler as the head of the judiciary. maxine waters. a lost waters, their heads are exploding. this will be a different washington. yes, i think you will see an effort to legislate on things like infrastructure. there will be a possibility of doing it. one thing democrats believe they have been sent to washington to do in this new congress is to investigate. you will be sure they will hall members of the trump administration up and it will, it will make life very difficult for them. there is some criticism that the trump white house is not

prepared as other white houses have been when they loose control of one house for the onslaught of investigations ands they're about to face. >> there were a lot of investigations by republicans of the fbi, and other subjects the last couple of years. one difference we can certainly count on is the investigations mounted by house democrats into the trump administration will receive far more favorable conk then anything from the republicans. it will likely be adoring coverage and magnify the effect. people will hear about it everywhere. that is just the reality of the media today. >> our bigger panel here. staoefrb, katie, carl. your thoughts on what this means. >> well, people should of had a expectation going into this. knowing the average seats democrats were to get, looking historically is 28.

that's more than needed to take the house this. is a natural result to expect. at the same time it's challenging for democrats. these seats they're picking up were candidates that were moderate and appealing to voters because they're moderate. come in and make it a investigation agenda. rather than an agenda a to help the american people. may put those seats they just won to get the majority in jeopardy. it will be, i think a debate in the democratic side to appeal to the base and have the investigation or have a prod legislative. >> jess darks your reaction to the democrats taking majority of the house. >> so relieved. i'm glad to be on set for this moment. i walked out panic. i think it's great news, obviously. when you saw the exit poles you saw health care the number one issue and democrats leading for. that to your point, molly, i think it's early to decide which

way we will investigate or legislate. i hope we legislate. there is room with president trump with hreubl roots and loves to build things to do infrastructure and get on the same page. more things that a republican conservative president won do. the balance of the senate will be huge in terms of working together. big sigh of relief and interested on the margin seeing how it ends up. >> steve. >> i think when you look at the serious implications of this it is pretty much bad news all around. because what it means is you will get a dent in that economic progress. people confidence in the economy will suffer, i think. business confidence will be under mind. think that could start to under mind the boom we have seen. >> let me interrupt you. historically the markets like to split market. >> they like gridlock. >> the clinton government like that government. i know what you're saying as far

as hovering things forward with the trump agenda. >> they maybe worried of seeing a return, a sign of things to come. a return of regulation and high tax that's get in the way of enterprise. i think that's the thing to look out for. for the politics i think as molly was saying if we think about where we are right now it's feeling as if actually the democrats are under performing the expectations. if you look at what is going on as of now, could change of course. it fields like the trump affect is positive not negative. where he put the effort in. the democrats and the resistence movement hoped for the this massive reputation of donald trump and what he stands for is not what we're getting. we're getting a tepid result. that is what we project. that will have real world

consequences. politically this doesn't feel like the result they were looking for at all. >> it's worth remembering if you lose control of the senate his tax cut is protected. he can protect it with a veto and all of the things that went with it. so, an awful lot of his program is in place. >> and key regulation. >> he can continue to do what he has been doing. the legislative affect will be gridlock, i think. as you pointed out markets like gridlock in the past. there will be no big regulatory legislative agenda. the main pieces of his economic program are in place and almost certain to stay. >> katie, quickly he has a foil reading for 2020. >> yes he has someone to run against house democrats. especially if they go with the investigation. you have people in line for the chairmanship and committees,

etcetera, i think the republicans of the white house are in for serious rides. moving forward on the senate so far we have to look at the marshall blackburn race she's more on the trump agenda. although the house is flipped causing legal problems for the white house, the senate can do a lot especially with judges. even if the house is flipped. >> you know a interesting thing is what is the margin for the democrats. who is making up the new members. there are 5 challengers. 558 challengers on the record saying they won't support nancy pelosi for speaker. there are eleven incumbents saying i won't support nancy pelosi for speaker. if the number is 225 or 230 and we have 11 democrats it could be a problem getting 218 votes for her to be speaker of the house.

>> how many cabinet members exit before the investigations start. we will see? we have a lot of kite races. we are getting close to calls. we think. we will bring that to you all after the break. >> look at missouri right after the break.

>> we are back. let's look at some key senate races of the big ten. we are waiting results from arizona which is still too close to call at this point. take a look at texas as well. which is very interesting race. 49.7 to 49.2. that maybe a lot closer then it looked to be going in. let's look at florida as well. top left hand corner there. you see bill nelson long time incumbent center with rick scott

the former governor of florida. that is a very tight race. scott is slightly ahead at this point. waiting for the panhand and palm beach country, broward county in the florida races which is interesting. missouri as well. round up ha there. a lot still to come in for the missouri race. >> that is where steve is now talking to voters. i think he's in the pub. are you still there. >> how are you, steve. >> springfield. >> i'm doing okay. ya, you know when you came to me three hours ago here at the pat on ali pub in springfield missouri there were about ten people here. we were on television and everyone from the county came because fox news is making this election for springfield, missouri. [cheers and applause] >> okay. i will poll the audience right now. regarding the senate.

who wants to hear news about the senate. it is still too close to call, sorry. however we ask this. how many here tonight voted earlier today for claire mckas ill. [cheers and applause] >> very good. how many people voted for josh. [cheers and applause] >> okay. >> number one issue for you voting. who thought it was healthcare? really, nobody. economy? [cheers and applause] >> one of josh's number one issues was judge cavanagh. [cheers and applause] >> alright. what about the caravan, anything there? this guy here, allen we talked to him earlier. what was your number one issue this year. >> for us the economy.

me and lucas, my son are partners in a small business. aubauctioneers and realtors. i didn't want to mess that up. i voted republican all the way. >> your son did not. >> no, typically i did. i voted third party this year. i felt claire was there too long and josh was on the political ladder. i went third party. >> how many people thought this was th* was a referendum about the president of the united states? [ applause ] >> not so much. listen before we go, we have to introduce this table of young people here. they came in right after our live shot earlier. they're dressed up because they're going to the josh halle victory party.

fingers crossed they said earlier. the reason they're here. had had is a rumor that bret baer is buying the entire bar drinks. >> it's on. >> give them my credit card. >> alright. steve, thank you very much. have a great night. >> we want to go back a second to indiana this. is a huge win for the republicans against the incumbent, joe donnelly who just released a statement. saying a few minutes ago i called mike braun on winning a hard fought race. i want to thank every single american who believed in this campaign and worked to make it successful. every hoosier who i have come across to help me better serve my state. i wish the mike the best. i hope he makes every single hoosier proud as our senator. the incumbent senator joe donnelly losing to republican mike braun. >> yes. we're watching florida very

closely. it looks like a lot of the vote is in, in florida. rick scott is a little ahead right now. if he does end up winning that would be another pick up. too close to call at this point as i said. the difference is 83,000 votes according to the numbers there. that's one we're watching closely as well. >> let's bring the panel back. carl, you're writing there. what do you have? >> i'm looking at the gap in texas between greg abbott and ted cruz and bad and forth. just maneuvering. >> no white board tonight. >> i have a white board. the security took it away from me. [laughing] >> they said you considered it a threat. i don't know. maybe we can bring it on later with your personal provision. >> of course. >> bret, as you look at the night this comes down to the drama of the senate. really if the firewall, now the house we have called for the democrats whether the president has a firm control of his party in the sen aeufplt.

>> yes there are election officers calling for scott in florida. i think it's early. it's looking good for him, that tells us. >> if they win that i think the republicans are safely in control of the senate. it means the president will have the opportunity going forward as the past few years to a point more judges and get them confirmed. that's what mitch mcconnel is focus on and worried about losing the house. feels the judges at all levels and they could remake the judiciary over the next couple of years continuing what they're doing. you know when you think about it we thought the house would flip. we thought that for a long time. we more recently came to believe the senate would not. it looks like this is no blue wave. it looks like a blue night because they win the house. it doesn't appear we have a blue wave. >> yes.

that's really important looking at the senate and the control. >> there is another race we haven't talked about at all tonight. people expect the republicans will win. north dakota. kevin kramer against heidi. heidi the incumbent democratic senator. it looks like kramer had a distinct lead. interestingly enough president trump didn't feel the need the last day or so to go out it looks like a safe seat for the republicans. it will be interesting to see if we call that it could be a net pick up of three. >> didn't you think when she voted no on cavanagh she was looking past the election. that is so very red state. she was looking to her future in another office in another roll. >> it's hard to put yourself in someone's mind. maybe her conviction. it seemed if there was a political calculation she wasn't

making it. in other words she wasn't deciding i need to do this as joe manchin did in west virginia. >> it was a big factor in the race and shifted things. kramer is up significantly in our voter analysis data. we have a pretty big win for kramer. we will wait for more raw vote total before the decision is called. i love the messages to the decision desk. the subtle, someone else made the call. can we caught a shot. >> i'm reporting they decide. >> here they are. >> they're hard at work. >> can i say that's a fun group of people. >> what are they doing. >> someone is eating. a lot of huddling around. chris. >> the interrogation room. >> an aerial view. he's pointing at screens.

>> we will pay the price for mocking them. >> should we ask them to thumbs up on a florida call. it won't happen. they're not looking at all. >> on north dakota this is a interesting story. we think of it today as a big red state. 25 years ago it was a democrat state. two u.s. senators. both democrats. congressman democrat. first republican governor was electpugh in 1992. the state republican chairman engineering his election was a young man kevin cramer. he laid the foundation for the energy boom in western north dakota when he was on the public service commission. he has had enormous support. you will see not only western north dakota be red but a dope red. a lot of people know their jobs exist because he took on the issue of providing infrastructure for water and

pipe and permits and the ability to develop what they are today. this state is the second largest energy producer in america. once president trump authorized the pipelines for the crude to move by pipeline the state of north dakota is collecting $500,000 more a day in revenue. it gets a slice of that profits of moving by pipeline rather than by truck or train. that's why the state is so popular, president trump is so popular in the sate. >> molly, if you had to predict if it lines up like this. the house going democrat. how does president trump talk about this night? >> well, i think he will speak the way he normally speaks about things. giving credit to himself. i think in this case it's very much important for him to do that. when you look at the special elections and off year elections the last couple of years they were mostly devastating for

republicans. president trump had low approval. high disapproval. think people thought midterms it would be a blood bath and president trump would hide behind his desk never on the campaign trail. it turns out he's the number one asset for keeping the senate. that is huge. he's a huge draw. he motivates republican voters. it's the a depend a he has put forward. they money being so good. the deregulation. these are reasons republicans are not facing what people thought tonight. >> when you look at -- last she said the last race she won she was down ten points. she's a great closer and able to do that. is this a potential example. we talked about democrats picking good candidates in the house. carl's description of kevin cramer. is this a situation where it was a good candidate? >> t-bgz t. looks like it.

we will see how it pans out. i don't think heidi will close the gap. agree with the analysis when she voted against bret cavanagh she saw the writing. and a mother and a survivor of sexual assault she felt strongly about the issues. i'm interested to see what happens with josh holly. someone that trump campaigned for a couple of times. braun is exciting for him. >> mike braun is speaking now. the winner in indiana. take a look. >> -- shall th - the way a campe this should be. [ applause ] >> i want to thank all hoosiers forgiving me a resounding victory. putting your faith in me. i will not let you down. i promise that. [cheers and applause]

>> senator donnelly called me about 15 minutes ago. yep. just like any competition you fight hard and want to win. you have to make your case. we did it. the one thing i would love to see change in politics is it has gotten way to nasty on both sides. [ applause ] >> it should be about ideas. it should be about what you bring to the table. and both sides and their families have had to carry that burden and the weight. hope that changes down the road. [ applause ] >> then you look at other things. when i decided to do this i

wouldn't of done it. i mention it did almost everywhere i go. if it was president hillary clinton. i would be hunkered down in southern indiana trying to survive. you know i make that point because we as conservatives lead by president trump we have got to prove why our way of thinking, why what works in the state of indiana is going to work for the rest of america. i believe i can weight in on that argument. [cheers and applause] >> because when we moved back to our hometown we did raise that family, three of my four kids work in my business. the theme of my campaign is we need to take to washington what works in the real world. what works in jasper indiana, what works in warsaw, indiana.

what works in this great state where we lead by our performance just like we did in tackling infrastructure. we're a state that works. i thank my lucky stars that i was born in this state, in my hometown, and it has worked out. i really do. [cheers and applause] >> we have a narrow window. we have got two years to show as conservatives we can make things work. we need to get our president reelected. [cheers and applause] what we're going to do is we're going to get more people from the real world that have had to do things that can fix things in a dysfunctional system. [cheers and applause]you are got

other people across this country will stick their neck out and take a risk and try to fix things in washington so the system works for everyone. that's my goal. [applause] never in my wildest dreams when we made the decision to move back -- >> okay, polls have closed and another for states including nevada, montana both of which will determine which party controls the senate but we do have a race call. >> it's in the state of utah. not a surprise. the decision desk and project that mitt romney will defeat democratic opponent jenny wilson to succeed retiring gop senator orrin hatch.

it should be interesting to see senator romney in washington. >> that something we should get thoughts on because jeff flake is gone, john mccain has passed, bob corker is no longer in office, but perhaps mitt romney will be a bit of a thorn in the president side. >> i wouldn't overstate it. he made that savage speech opposing donald trump in 2015 i think it was, calling him a con man i think it was, but they seem to have come together. he was seriously considered for secretary of state, president trump went out and endorsed mitt romney and he was happy to get his endorsement. i agree it will be fascinating, yes he is one of 100 senators but he was a former presidential nominee, he is a major voice in the party. i don't see him going there and becoming jeff flake and

really going after donald trump, but i suspect there will be some issues where there will be differences. maybe more on tone then on substance. >> will be interesting to see how he deals with being one of the 100 in the u.s. senate. we are waiting for more data from montana before projecting who will win the battle between john tester and matt rosendale. president trump made it his mission to try to defeat tester who helped torpedo the nomination of rodney jackson to lead the veteran affairs department. at this moment we have him with the lead in the race but obviously we are just closing in. >> let's take a look at nevada where we have jackie rosen with a slightly over the incumbent republican senator dean heller. it's too early to declare a winner. he is a republican, defending a state where hillary one, also to early to project the

winter in nevada's gubernatorial election. it's a battle to succeed the term limited existing. >> in iowa kim reynolds is challenged by. hubbell. too early to call that race as well. >> major called macon north dakota as we take a look, the projection desk can now say kevin kramer will unseat heidi heitkamp scoring a crucial seat for the gop. she sealed her political fate last month when she voted against supreme court justice brett kavanaugh. that may have been one of the major factors for her. there's a lot of economic factors at play in north dakota.

>> just think about this. this is to incumbent democrats taking down joe donnelly and heidi heitkamp. not a surprise in north dakota but a surprise for some in indiana, but now you are taking up to the senate and democrats need to pick up more because republicans have added to their total. >> it's interesting what were seeing in the senate which is where the action was, reaction to kavanaugh playing such a big role in those races. i think it also played a role in joe mansions case. i was told at the time that it showed if he voted no on kavanaugh he was done in which he ultimately did not do. there's been a lot of discussion about whether he waited until susan collins had made her announcement and speech before coming out, which he did, but the white house that he called that morning and said he was going to be with him. he would've been there all along and it turned out to be the right calculation for his reelection purposes. >> you look at the balance of power in the senate, democrats

now need a net gain of four seats because of the republican pickups. you start looking at the map with laura ingram, it gets a little tougher to see a democratic effort to take over control. >> the kavanaugh effect is something we spent so much time talking about in october. we spent so much time looking at these. he spent millions and millions of dollars to protect that seat and ultimately voted for kavanaugh. in indiana, same deal, donnelly voted no and he lost. josh holly is taking a lead in missouri, we will see whether mccaskill can hold onto that seat. she voted against kavanaugh. and north dakota as well, heidi heitkamp voted against kavanaugh. in the end people are pretty fair and where maybe the white

house overstepped the people want to hold the president in check, but where they see rank unfairness, and i would add to that, the constant demonization of the president as racist, as hitler, as anti- somatic and everything you can think of, if florida turns out to be held by the republicans in the end in georgia goes republican, oprah, obama, the entire mainstream media has a huge amount of egg on their face. they invested huge in turning those states blue. if those dates don't flip blue, i think they have a lot to answer for, not donald trump. >> one place did flip blue and that's where were making the call for the democrats to control the u.s. house of representatives. why are we making that call? why with all of those white feet still out there and our net gain in the house, not at 23, why are we making that call? here to explain is chris out of the jail of the decision -- >> i feel like i've been

summoned to the principal's office. >> why are we making that call? >> we are just that good. i don't mean to brag but our fox news voter analysis and what we are now starting to see as the house races count later and come in, remember as these house races, you don't have the forecast that you do on the senate level. it takes longer for them to catch up but you're starting to see them catch up. we said all along look at that sixth district in kentucky. that was a good one to watch. the fact that that race was as close as it was told us and told me that the democrats were getting the numbers they need. they have no business doing so wellin a district like that. now we see second district of kansas, a place that republicans should be and have no trouble, they are struggling. as we look around the bend around the country, you will see more and more democratic seats racked up. at some point we will be able to tell you how many by how many seats the democrats take majority and that will have a lot to do with what they do

once they get there. >> just throw it out there. >> it's plus seven right now so where will it go. >> i'm not telling. i'm telling you we will know tonight before every race is called. >> not before bret and his betting machine. >> i don't want to tangle with his betting machine. he's probably got horse races and everything on there. all i know is the fox news analysis is humming like a ferrari. i'm so happy the way it's turning out and i'm proud of the team. >> to pickups for the senate for republicans in florida is looking good for them. a quick thought on what florida looks like and what you're waiting for an missouri as well? >> we will be counting florida for a long time. claire mccaskill is a top out. the fundamental structure of the state has significant advantage for holly. we know this is a republican state, but she is a very tough

out. i know a couple things, i'm not quite to tell you right now, and i would say we are watching that state as closely as anything else because this, if holly wins there, if he wins there it closes the door on any kind of democratic hope to take the senate and sets the stage for what a lot of people thought we were going to end up with tonight which is a split decision where democrats take control of the house and republicans remain in control and a senate. >> all right. we will bring you out again. >> i'm here with my bit of honey and you're not taking out. >> thank you chris. back with the pack panel, juan, your reaction about what were seen on the map. >> laura projects that somehow this is egg on the face is what i think you said. >> absolutely. >> i don't see it that way, to the contrary. what i see is this is a lot of red face and i'll pick up on what chris was saying, you

have a lot of red face where you would have thought that republicans were secured, that this was not going to be a big fight and then you get gillam in florida as being too far left for the state, but in fact this is a very close race. this is an indication of how people feel what we said at the start of the night, about donald trump. you have people in a tribal, polarized electorate will come out and say i'm a republican, i'm a trump republican since he owns the party so i'm going to be a trump republican, but it does not suggest somehow that democrats have egg on their face and especially when you look at the house. >> so when democrats lose, they win. >> not at all. >> that's a pretty good deal. >> no, that's not what i'm saying. look at virginia. [inaudible] >> wait a second, that's

republican -- >> not now. >> not now, you're making my point and you keep going around the country and you keep seeing what should be red states, red congressional districts where democrats are doing well. >> we have had about two months of people thing that donald trump was a combination of stalin, hitler, every tyrant that ever lived and they plastered the airways the new york times, washington post and he's going to pick up some lame candidates on his back to victory. >> yes, and what does that say? it doesn't say anything but that we are tribal, divided and there are people who would vote for anything with the trump name on it. [inaudible] >> oh come on if the media was fair they would call trump out on his lies. you ask him about what's going on in the country with the terms of language he uses, imagine a people actually paid

attention as opposed to i'm on the red team or the blue team. >> so let's get back to the election. that was an interesting discussion. we have a call to making kansas for the governor. >> kovach has lost that race. laura kelly picked it up, 51% for a democratic governor race for kansas. chris kovach ran into a difficult situation there. carl do you want to weigh in on this. >> and that's a red state. >> look, it's a red state but it's not the deep, hard right red of other states. this is a state where there are moderate republicans and moderate conservatives. governor brownback who is now an ambassador has flipped the republican party. kovach represented a more conservative fashion of the party. the state has a reputation of electing democratic governors

and he was just a little too hard to the right for the republican electorate. he barely beat the sitting temporary governor, former lieutenant governor who succeeded brownback. chris got into the rate, beat him narrowly, the party was deeply divided and they all endorsed the democrat laura kelly for governor. >> the other issue there was the issue of education and education funding in the state and immigration saying she was focused on education and it looks like it paid off. >> joining us now is mike brown, thank you very much for coming on and congratulations on your win. how did you do it? >> i tell you what, it was 815 month journey, six days a week

and my message was we need to send people to d.c. who have lived it in the real world. i built my business in my hometown and i think if we get more people day or we will see the dynamic change. that's why i ran and that's why they elected me and i'm looking forward to serving. >> i heard you in your speech when you are accepting, you talked about bringing back civility to washington. you said it's gotten too nasty. how do you plan to do that? >> well, that will be a lead by example. i've always built my business by building bridges, getting along with folks, and i think if there ever was a time when we need to find a way to reach across the aisle and have ideas, we all believe healthcare needs to cost less. we just have to figure out a way to do it. we all believe we've got to put some type of security on our southern border.

we all know we've got to start balancing our budgets. i just think it will take guys and ladies like me that have done things in the real world or else were not going to solve those problems. >> the president finished up his campaigning with you and went to indiana. how much do you put this on the president pushing you and this campaign in indiana? >> i think what the president has done is he is saying we are not accepting business as usual in washington, and i am going there because i believe in that. we won't agree on everything. i've always been one that has been an independent thinker. you get people to respect your ideas and i think i'll be able to do that. >> what are some of the areas you would push back on?

>> i like the idea that we are trying to fix a lot of problems that have been around for a long time and whether it takes the tariff or whether it doesn't, i want to see things get done. i want to see the fact that just like all businesses like local government, state government, we have got to start balancing our budget. that will be the biggest thing that hurts our country in the long run if we cannot have fiscal integrity. i think it's more about discipline and more of the dynamic you get from where i come from, the people that have been there obviously don't have those skills to get it done. i'm hoping with the president's leadership, with more recruits like myself, we just simply start tackling these problems. >> senator elect mike braun from the great state of indiana, thank you for coming on and congrats again. >> thank you again.

i appreciate it. >> we are following the senate very closely. the republicans have picked up two seats and that means democrats have to go a long way to get control of the senate. they need a net gain of four. we are watching a lot of tight races. it's getting down to the wire on some. >> we will take a quick break and be right back after this. we're voya! we stay with you to and through retirement. i get that voya is with me through retirement, i'm just surprised it means in my kitchen. so, that means no breakfast? voya. helping you to and through retirement. hey. i'm sue. and my first call is crunch. ♪

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we have quite a bit of big news. the texas race will go to ted

cruz, the incumbent republican. that gives us the ability to call the senate for republicans, they will retain the senate with a number of big wins tonight. let's go out there. >> we do not know yet by how many in the senate. right now it's plus two for the republicans but the ted cruz win is significant. it was tight at the end but now cruz will be heading back to washington and republicans will remain in the majority. there are still some races out there where they could pick up even more, including florida which has rick scott up slightly versus bill nelson, the incumbent. let's get reaction to the senate staying in republican hands. >> it's a big deal and if the president had to win one house and lose the other i think he would've preferred what he's got which is winning the senate, because it does allow him all denominations to the

court, probably another nomination or two to the supreme court. he is able to get new members of his cabinet appointed if he decides and we hear there will be a significant shuffle. if i may just put the brakes on a little bit. we are overstating a little bit the importance, not be important, but giving too much credit to donald trump for holding onto the senate. the fact is, this is a historically difficult year for the democrats. the democrats had 26 seats that they had to defend. the republicans had nine seats they had to defend. donald trump won in ten of the states the democrats were trying to defend. what we are talking about tonight, and i'm not in any way diminishing donald trump's efforts and the fact that he's held onto the senate and the importance of it, but were talking that the republicans have taken seats in north dakota, indiana and texas. those are very red states so

yes it's a victory for donald trump, but i think it's a tremendous overstatement to say donald trump pulled the hat out of the bag. this was something he should have been expected to do and i would say congratulations to him but let's temper our excitement over donald trump's performance. >> sure he went to 11 cities in eight states, closed up the campaign and fired up the crowds, but five-point to billion dollars spent in the selection, more than that -- >> and staggering turnout. one estimate said the turnout the vote was not anywhere complete and texas had surpassed 2014 total. >> let alone the coverage. >> i've never seen so much intense coverage of a midterm, ever. that was record-breaking in this area.

i think chris has a point. but remember, it wasn't too long ago that the predictions were almost universal that we would have a blue wave and the republicans, despite the map that so much in their favor might even lose the senate. he was the central issue in some ways. >> in terms of the house, we don't know what the margin is going to be. we don't know where republican seats are going to flip to democratic seats and we don't know what's going to happen in the rust belt. there's a possibility, let's wait and see what happens, parts of the country that voted and put donald trump over the top that you will see in those same states that people are now changing their mind and voting as democrat over republican. >> if we look at the state of florida, if rick scott pulled this out, that is not going to be outside of donald trump.

>> no no no, i'm not saying that. i'm just saying but stop with all the hosannas to help donald trump pulled this off because frankly the republicans should have one given a map of these states. >> and they certainly should win texas. >> there hasn't been a democrat who has won texas since 1984. >> one interesting question, ted cruz has been a controversial figure as a senator. he was the one that led the revolt against the leadership in the senate over the healthcare bill when republicans were still in the minority in the senate, and now, what lesson will he take away from this? he wanted desperately to be president. he ran two years ago as an outsider and was beaten by a real outsider. what role does he play now? does he become a team player in the senate? what's the future for him? does he feel rebuked tonight by a much closer call than he

should have had against the democrat in that state. >> and according to donald trump it's worth remembering that ted cruz never supported donald trump. all way up to the convention. he spit on the convention floor, gave a long speech and refused to endorse him as a candidate as president trump walked in the room and took a seat in the middle of ted cruz's speech. he said we've come a long way from that, but you have to ask yourself given the money spent, if ted cruz had not taken the support and embraced it from president trump whether or not he would've been able to pull out this win tonight. >> i think the bigger question is a work. if he had understood it would he is running in a red state he might've had a better shot because there was a lot of dissatisfaction with ted cruz. think about it. the gap between governor

abbott in ted cruz is ten points. cruz is at the top of the ticket. in june or rookie endorsed impeachment and abolition of private insurance and abolition of the ice saying he was in favor of a universal job guarantee. all of these knots drums and then in september he couldn't think of anything more american than did take a knee. he systematically alienated any shot he had at getting any moderate, independent vote or any moderate vote who didn't like ted cruz unless they just really didn't like ted cruz at all. this was a race he could have won had he won a different campaign with $70 million in his pocket. >> go back to who gets credit. this is one thing we do know. if the republicans were not able to take the seats that

they took tonight there would be a cavalcade of criticism on donald trump. they would say it's trump's fault, look he went to all these cities and he couldn't turn the vote. i believe if donald trump hadn't done that massive rally in texas last week, and hadn't been there and donald trump junior which no one talked about, he went all over the country and i think he had a big impact on the race as well. if the president hadn't done those rallies in some of these key areas, i don't know if ted cruz would have one. the party is coming home to trump. the party is unified. that doesn't mean they agree with everything he tweets or they like every position on immigration. i'm not saying that. i think most of the party realize if they are not aligned behind the basic principles of this conservative populist approach with trump, not his tone necessarily, but his policies, you're not going anywhere. by contrast, the democrats are

going home tomorrow --dash i think in 2020 that will be a tough sell. >> i don't think that's fair to say about the democrats. that's complete mischaracterization. >> okay, go ahead. >> laura, if you look at the democrats who are winning across, abigail's bamberger, jennifer braxton,. >> their liberal. >> it's not because they went far left, it's because they have women with intelligence or military credentials and there's this character out there, let's wait and see what the margin is and what their policies are and if you're going to give the republicans credit for holding on to the senate, then i think you have to give democrats credit for actually flipping the house. >> i'm interested in the urban versus rural split and i think you've seen that in all of

these races. it was evident in 2017 and it deepened in 2018. i'm talking about the senate and the house and how these parties about what 2018 meant to them, what messages they ran on, what they believe in and how they go forward in 2020. can republicans figure out a way to make inroads into the city? is it possible to do that? i think so but they have to try. vice versa with the democrats. they have not talked about immigration, they tried to avoid it, they were very disciplined in talking about healthcare and maybe that pays off for them in the house. the question for the left and the right is now what you do about it legislatively. if you are going to have split government going into 2020, which as we all know that's a big deal, can they find some sort of agreement that the american people can report or will it just be more fighting and these will be the same issues were talking about two years ago. >> we are having split

government according to fox news. >> let me amend my words yes. >> we have a couple calls to make. first in colorado, the first openly gay man wins a gubernatorial election in the u.s. history by defeating gop treasurer walker stapleton to exceed term limited john who was talked about possibly running for president. in new hampshire chris will win a second term by defeating molly kelly. new hampshire is very important when it comes to 2020. now republicans in control in vermont, new hampshire, massachusetts. and possibly florida. you look at the northeast where they choose lawmakers who are pretty liberal and governors who are pretty conservative, at least so far.

>> the interesting thing and i agree with laura on this, in congress particularly with some of the swing suburban districts going to the democrats, you will see a lot of the moderate republicans flush out and boots will become more than ever the party of trump in congress. as we talk about charlie baker in massachusetts, larry hogan in maryland come of some of these people you are talking about in other states, moderate republicans in state houses not in congress. this will be the party of trump in congress. >> so i am struck by this. two years ago we were all sitting in this room. writing around now eyes started to get really wide because conventional wisdom was starting to get uprooted. here in 2018, what did we expect? a favorable map for republicans in the senate and

democrats with a chance to flip the house and doing well among governors in the middle of the country. what are we seeing? precisely what the conventional wisdom anticipated for tonight. i know there's a long way to go, but the difference is striking between the utter shock of 2016 and the lack of shock this year. >> but you're not bored. >> not bored at all. there are some big races out there. >> speaking of lack of shock, mitt romney was elected in utah, let's listen to him for a little bit. >> i want to issue a hearty congratulations to my friend mitt romney. he will be an outstanding united states senator. don't you agree? [applause] with the republican majority that i sense we will hold onto in the senate tonight, we will do great things. thank you to utah for electing this good man. i will look forward to working with him.

>> thank you. where's the governor and the first lady? come on up here. yeah, i love and two. >> jenness and i would like to offer our congratulations to the good work you've done and will do. we appreciate everyone on the team helping you get elected. what i like about this is you will take back to washington d.c. utah values and principles and help us get this country going in the right direction. congratulations. we are honored to have you and mike lee's service. senator mitt romney. [applause] >> where's dinner? [laughter] we had dessert though, haven't we. wow, thanks guys. thank you. >> all right, thank you from mitt romney, successful in

this round of election. he ran for president unsuccessfully but is now a new senator elect from the state of utah. let's bring in someone else who will be a senator alongside him, south carolina republican lindsey graham watching all this. it's great to have you with us. what do you make so far of the pickups you see in the senate. what's your outlook for the rest of the night? >> number one the victory party in utah is without alcohol and caffeine. they are just naturally happy there. [laughter] the bottom line is the conservative judicial train will keep running. we had a good night in the senate. we will pick up three or four seats at least. president trump has a lot to be proud of in terms of creating the enthusiasm in these red state, trump states that democrats held without him i don't think we would have the night we have. on the house side it looks like we may lose by a few votes. we have to address the problem

because it's real, but i'm excited, it means judges keep moving forward on the conservative side and it's going to put some pressure on all of us to up our game. >> what about the house? do you think this will be investigation after investigation and how do you sense the senate and house working together, if at all? >> if they want to impeach president trump, i'd give them some advice. been there, done that with clinton and it didn't work out. it will blow up in their face. there's a natural need for infrastructure, daca and the wall, maybe prison reform and some other things. the reason we won is kavanaugh united our party, the caravan was affront to our sovereignty, the economy was good and president trump worked his butt off to get out the republican base vote, and i'm feeling really good now.

this is a good night for republicans in the senate. carcory gardner did a great job. we have to find common ground with democrats in the house. if he wants to investigate trump to death and impeach him, it will blow up. >> you said republicans have lessons to learn when it comes to women in the suburbs in this country. perhaps some of that goes to the issue of character that president obama talked about and goes to the issue of style for the president. you are close to him, what kind of advice would you have for him on that issue tonight? >> i think he said something right before the vote came in that maybe tone does matter. president trump has been a great commander-in-chief. the economy is humming, we are safer on more prosperous but style does matter and sometimes it can drowned out substance. this is a great night by any measure on the senate side. i think the house, if they do take over the majority, democrats will be close, but

you need to learn from every election. i think the president has already started to discuss about a better tone. there are things we can do with democrats only if they will work with us. if they want to stiff arm the president and they will pay a price in 2020. >> you are a big part of that hearing, the kavanaugh hearing, and obviously express your emotions during it. what percentage do you think that affected what you are seeing in the senate races tonight? >> 30 days before the election, three things happened. the kavanaugh hearing which was despicable, the democratic debacle, the united every republican no matter what stripe of republican. this is a good man that had his life ruined and republicans were offended. we congratulated president trump for nominating kavanaugh and we were disgusted with what the democrats tried to do to destroy his life. i think it had a lot to do. i think joe donnelly, all of

them in these trump states, it was really a very bad vote for them to take. the caravan did not help either. >> senator, we watched all of that play out with bret kavanaugh, justice kavanaugh, some of the strongest voices were kamala harris and cory booker, the senators who came out strongly against him. they are both expected to be potential candidates. is there a message for them tonight from what we are seeing? >> yes, you pretty much locked down the republican majority. as much as you tried to destroy kavanaugh, you destroyed your colleagues. claire mccaskill will probably use lose. joe donnelly is a good guy, but i hope tester loses. i think red state trump democrats, it was a nightmare for them the way that

spartacus and these other people handed the hearing so maybe they don't understand this, but i do. you've done a lot of damage to moderate democrats and one of the reasons we are winning big tonight in the senate is because of the way you treated bret kavanaugh. we will learn from our problems with suburban women. i think president trump is well on his way to getting reelected and we will see what we can do with the democratic house. >> all right, senator lindsey graham from south carolina, thank you for your time. >> thank you. >> well, we have a lot more coming. we are watching these races in florida. it's really tight and we will bring you an update about florida and missouri. guess what, we will check in on michigan. where is michigan? let's get some rob vote total. stay with us. >> we'll be right back. my name is elaine barber, and i'm a

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let's look at some of the tight races right now. one of them is in florida. the senate race shows rick scott up over incumbent bill nelson. were not seeing a lot of vote out there yet. karl rove, where is this? >> i've got a handful of precincts up south of orlando, tampa saint pete, hillsborough county has 23 out. night teen out in miami-dade out of 907. we have less than 22 out in broward county, 577 total there and 27 out of 871 in palm beach and that's it. >> so you've got a scenario

where you're running out of places for nelson to pick up the 60000. let's go over to missouri. the senate race there were getting 47% of the votes projected in and you see josh holly with a pretty big lead. this is the rural side of missouri. were still waiting on a lot of urban areas in that state come in. >> they were the first common with their early vote in st. louis county. >> absentee? >> yes. now we are starting to see rural missouri. >> andrew gillam and rhonda, earlier looked like he was way ahead and now it looks tight. >> 80000 votes? >> 79000. >> the interesting thing is he's actually getting fewer votes then rick scott, but he has a wider margin because

there is a third party candidate to get people a chance to say i don't want to vote for him but i can't vote for gillam. last time i looked it was 44000 votes. >> the couple questions outstanding, we don't really know the full answers to them yet, but when you think of the billionaires that put money into these races, i was looking back at a piece in august about how the money in politics is all on the left. obviously tom stier, bloom and jim bloomberg putting in a huge infusion of money late in these races. lots of commercial time bought, was that money well spent especially on these senate seats? we are seeing in the georgia human editorial race, some interesting numbers. 67% of the vote is in and there is a ten-point differential with camp up 54 to april 44. we will see how that goes. we don't know where that will end up. think of who came in for stacy

abram. oprah did an amazing event. if your democrat, oprah is cool and a great speaker, obama came in, i believe michelle had a presence. this was star power central in georgia. if this ends up staying with camp after the voter suppression claims and the concern about his hacking investigations, that's another interesting development in a state where the democrats are really hoping to flip to permanent blue. >> outcome essay we just talked about laura kelly winning in kansas. she is the democrat there. she is a very pragmatic democrat. if you look at florida and georgia they nominated democratic candidates that are very progressive in red states. figuring out who the best candidate is to win in the states that are traditionally republican or democrat makes a big difference. >> i think a lot of this has to do with red states, blue

states polarized electorates. trump goes into red areas and he's able to energize. we talk about something like georgia or florida, you have two african-american as the lead personalities. in fact gillam was thought to pull up bill nelson. that hasn't happened. i think a lot of those that were ignoring his way to second, we are talking about the deep sout south. we are talking about georgia and florida were talking about bring in obama, bring in oprah winfrey, but you still have this kind of necessity to overcome a racial barrier here. >> and i think that's a large part of it. now when you look at new england and you start looking at people like charlie baker and you come down the path to maryland and larry hogan, that's a different time. most people have not bought into red state donald trump politics. i don't know that they have a place. i don't know that moderate republicans exist anymore. they are the ones being pushed

out. i said they don't have a place in donald trump, they separated themselves from donald trump and they don't have a future because after tonight, given the way you have interpreted it laura in the way i see it being interpreted, people say donald trump is further empowered, especially in the senate. >> i want to look at the michigan race before we head out to arizona and that is john james. this is the vote that we have been so far, 44% with the incumbent leaving here. james is closing in the final days. we don't know where the rest of this vote is, but it's too close to call or make the call. >> phillips go to arizona now and take a look at that race which is also undecided. we have lisa standing by. >> hello, yes, i spoke with a

member of martha mix allie's staff. she said after they were watching the returns coming in in terms of the senate race across country, they were starting to feel very good. often when something is this tight heading into election day you hear a lot of guarded optimism. they said they are feeling good. we understand she is with her family tonight and she will be here some point throughout the evening. the whole place has really pulled up. we expect to see doug ducey here as well. this has remained so close this entire time. we only have 7% of the precincts reporting at this time and it's really neck and neck. if you look at the county breakdown it's really interesting. i'm looking at some of these border states. if you go over just to the west and look at yuma county, martha mix allie is leading there. all of the returns we see coming in, those are all from

the early ballot and the early elections that happened. they already have those ready to go this evening when the polls closed so they were able to begin reporting. we will start seeing all of the day of balloting that came in. that significant because 80% were counted. you have some very conservative leaning areas. older republicans who vote day up. we are still waiting for those come in. maricopa county is the largest voting districts in the state and it has yet to really have its final say. >> thank you very much. we will watch that one as it continues come in tonight. >> we been talking about florida, peter ducey is down in florida looking at this race between governor rick's scott and bill nelson.

>> bret, i've heard from officials from the war room and they want to know why this race hasn't been called yet because, you can hear behind me, the crowd is very engaged every time they see any kind of statistic on the screen that shows the race is close or tied or a sliver ahead. they get very excited. the campaign here, governor scott for senate, they think they've got enough to win. they're very confident. you don't normally hear that from a campaign before anybody has made a call, but the way that one party official is the party official, they think it's possible that democrats could make up ground, but they

think it's improbable. they are basically sitting back there just trying to figure out when they could potentially come out to speak to supporters. >> thank you. we have a call to make in the governors race that's important, and that is in ohio. fox news canal project that mike dewan will win in ohio. the republican holding off a challenge from richard cordray who was the head of the consumer protection division under president obama. now the opponent, a big win in ohio governors race. this is to fill john kasich seat. it also means a lot in 2020. think about this. if republican-controlled ohio and the republican controls florida, that means it locks for a prospective candidate

and president donald trump for reelection. >> if it turns out that way, those would be to extremely big wins for the president tonight as he looks forward to 2020. all of the issues of redistricting that could take place if a democrat had one in ohio could have large ramifications. we are still waiting for florida but it is looking like it's leaning in the republican direction. in the end, obviously we are far from the end at this point, but when president trump adds up things, those will be two important issues for him, perhaps more important for the house in his own race. >> let's look at the numbers. we haven't made a call in georgia. stacy abrams is trailing. brian camp, the secretary of state, 70% of the vote is in and we are going to be looking at this very closely. there you see it ticking down as well. i will governor right now

early, 15% income of the democrat. hubbell over incumbent kim reynolds. obviously iowa will play a significant role in the presidential election as well. >> one interesting thing about georgia is there's been a lot of talk because it was a third-party candidate that neither of them would get to 50% and therefore there would be a runoff on december 10, but as you can see in these numbers, were he to hold onto the majority, he would be the governor and there would be no runoff. >> we have 30 seconds. >> be careful in dekalb county's and the city of atlanta are not in. only the initial early vote in dekalb and 140 of 373 precincts in fulton. there's a lot of vote out there to come. the race is tight. >> please forget everything i just said. [laughter] okay, we will. we are counting down. this is the punchy part of the

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>> bret: another big call to make. this one from the florida governor, ron desantis will win the florida governor's race against andrew gillum. he is speaking right now, conceding to desantis, a hard-fought race. let's listen in. >> you poured so much into us. because my mother and father, as i would often share, had to get up so early in the morning and go off to work. they would lotus up in the car and take us over to my grandmothers house where we would sleep a little bit longer. my grandmother would often have a ritual. the first phase of that is she would grab her a bottle of all

of oil, sometimes cooking oil. whatever the shiniest oil was that she could get her hands on. and she would put it across my forehead. it was her way of sending us out into the world with the blessing that no harm would come our way. and then she would have this refrain. she would say boy, go to school. mind your teachers. get your lessons, and bring that education home. she would say bring it home for your little brother and your little sister who don't know what it is yet, bring them home. bring it down for that little boy down the street. god knows where he will end up. bring it home for your mama and your daddy to get out there every single day. >> bret: mayor andrew gillum with his concession speech. ron desantis is the governor-elect, a significant win for republicans. three to 11:00 on the east coas east coast, and polls are now closed and 400 of the 3435 --

california has elections, including two of a very big national interest. >> bret: now that california lieutenant governor, gavin newsom, he will defeated john cox in the race for jerry brown. >> martha: dianne feinstein will defeat senator kevin deleon, a fellow democrat, who has been placed a second in the state's jungle primary. she is the ranking democrat on the senate judiciary committee. came under fire for the handling of brett kavanaugh's nomination. >> bret: hawaii senator making a run. defeating republican challenger ron curtis. at the fox news decision does. >> martha: income a democratic senator maria cantwell will win

of 4 by defeating susan hutchinson there. >> bret: and we cannot project that idaho lieutenant governor brad little, republican will beat paul afterward and in the race to succeed retiring g.o.p. governor. >> martha: fox can also projects that the democrats will win a second term dumped on mike by defeating andrea a lot. >> bret: and it is impossible to say whether kate brown will stave off her challenge, a state lawmaker, but as you look at the balance of coverage, we have made the two biggest calls already. the u.s. house of representatives we have projected will go to democrats control, and of the senate will go to the republicans. we just don't know yet, martha, how many. it is possible that that plus two could get up to plus four. >> martha: waiting for

florida, which could potentially put it there. bill hemmer has some more for us up there. >> do you guys have 30 minutes? is that possible? brett and martha, the amount of information that has come in is really phenomenal. let me just wanting to this thing out. we will see how far we can go, okay. what races have we not called so far? josh hawley and claire mccaskill have had a ten-point difference right now. you see all of that red. the blue specs, that is kansas city, columbia, where the president was the other day. this is st. louis and east of st. louis. a lot of boats out there have not yet come in, so we can't yet make that call. this is a boom of county in the central part of the state. you ask yourself why would he go there. you know, two years ago, boone county was as blue as you can get, but watch these numbers

for trump go up. you see 72, 73. see if the numbers change. 76, 71.9%. he was driving up that vote in missouri. we will see whether more of the rural counties come in. it looked like it and the "show me" state. so we will watch that for a little bit more. let's pop down here and see what is going on in this governor's race with stacy abrams. you mentioned fulton county. let's go in there. come with me here. this is fulton county right in the middle. you see where the hesitation is. you've only got 50% of the vote in so far in fulton county. we could pop in here to the eas east. 92%. a lot of boats. about 82%. that gives us a little bit of pause before we saw that governor's race.

we called ohio, florida, georgia is out there. right now, republicans leading. just think about that. at the beginning of the night, could you get 3 for. in the three of the most critical governor races? we are talking about setting things up for 2020. all of that right now was thrown into the mix to try to figure out where the votes have gone tonight, where they have not gone here and how do you house? let's take a look at that. you know, bret, martha, all of our colleagues live in washington. let's think about what is familiar to them. virginia now. barbara comstock did not defend herself against her opponent. that one went toward the democrats. down here, scott taylor, coming back against his democratic opponent. that was a fluke as well.

i have been watching this match all night here. 99% of the vote, that is pretty close, right? we will see in the end whether you get some sort of recount or who ultimately wins that. ohio is fascinating. republicans down here around cincinnati. they poll here around columbus, ohio, and in the northeast as well. talking about the governor as well. we could go another half hour, so i will let you talk again. head back up a bit. we have a bigger risk all to make. >> bret: josh hawley will defeat incumbent democrat claire mccaskill after a long fought battle there. the incumbent democrat, claire mccaskill, who voted against bret kavanaugh, who tried to warm up to the president's immigration policies, talk about how she supported him. she will go down to defeat the

missouri attorney general. an up and, who really had a pretty successful race from beginning to end. >> they really did. this is the case of a candidate, who defied of the political gravity of her home state. that is quite a red state. our defeat is not surprising, but josh hawley emerges as a star on the national scene. i wonder if he will get more publicity now that bit of a rocket, he won it, and he lost. >> i kind of doubt it. [laughs] >> bret: this is the punchy part of the program. >> martha: 38 years old, josh hawley. it has been an interesting race to watch. one of the things that he focused on very strongly in recent weeks, the idea that she is hillary clinton. visually and in terms of the way that she has voted.

everything about her. she's hillary clinton, she's hillary clinton, and it looks like maybe this message helped him to finish fairly strongly tonight. a very big win and another big pickup for republicans. >> they have now flipped north dakota. they flipped indiana. o donnelly has gone down. and in missouri, claire mccaskill. montana is still down there. have we called that? >> no, we haven't. >> that is a distinct likelihood that rick scott is going to win that siege. >> bret: we have added to our panel. shannon bream who usually anchors this very hour. karl rove is still writing things. shannon, what do you think? >> shannon: we have been watching this all night to give us a little bit more of an inside scoop of where people are leaning.

it is exceptionally tight. and it is interesting, what we have found, the border is a huge issue. people are evenly split, 50/50. the wall, those who favorite are obviously favoring mick sally. a couple of places that we see splits, veteran households, she is a veteran herself, that is breaking in her favor, but when it comes to hispanic voters, each factor in arizona, they are speaking in favor of kyrsten sinema, so some crucial nuggets there, that is going to be a really tight one there. >> when you look at the big picture and all of this, dana, the senate looks to be solidly republican. we have established that. the houses democrat. the president has often bemoaned how slim his margin was there. you look back to the health care vote. and he has often wanted to expand that so that he could get the leverage that he needs to

get real legislation through, but now it looks like he has that margin, he has lost of. that's why i think that it is more likely than not that there will be a lot of gridlock. do you think back to 2007, george w. bush at the time pressing through a comprehensive immigration bill. i think that most democrats and republicans looking back saying we should have just taken the deal at the time because it has festered all this time, but what happens? we are heading into a presidential year. they got the scheme. they decided not to vote for it. it goes down. you have big issues on health care and immigration, don't know if those go anywhere. infrastructure in place where they might be able to work together. president trump still may surprise everyone, right? he's a dealmaker. he might figure out a way to charm nancy pelosi. there are 58 never pelosi democrats, so i don't know if she will even be the speaker.

she said there is nothing that i will trade for the wall. it is an issue of manhood. >> dana: and going into 2020, these issues. >> i don't think it is an issue that he can run on. >> he just did. >> in red states. even in red states, dana, you have the question did you deliver on building the wall. does this make sense? not only from pelosi, but i would say across the democrats, people saying that this is a total politicized issue, much like the caravan, manufactured it to serve trumps interest. >> bret: the caravan is real. it is there. >> juan: it's not a matter of whether it is real. we have seen video of the caravan, but i caravan is not an invasion, to use trumps languag. they are not gang members about

to force their way through our borders. that was the case. that was his message for the base, and it was imitated by republicans across the board in these midterms. >> bret: right. what are your thoughts? >> my thoughts are back to the question of if the democrats take the house, which now they apparently have, are they going to investigate or legislate? and though i agree with the governor, i hope that they do legislate, i don't think that is going to happen. likely the chair of the house judiciary committee just a month ago if they want to commence an impeachment investigation. here is my theory about what the democrats committee chairs and the house want to do. they want to run shadow investigations. they want to shadow the charge that the president is in

violation of the clause, they can expose what cannot be exposed in litigation. they want to shadow the investigation that bob mueller is doing. they can say what he needs to keep secret. i think that some of the more radical leftist members of the house on the democratic side are going to become committee chairs. can you imagine what will happen if jerry nadler starts an investigation to mp to justice kavanaugh? >> you know, the other issue here is campaigning. you have them campaigning for joe donnelly, andrew gillum, and stacy abrams. we don't know what is going to happen and that raise, but it dd not seem to materialize. >> it didn't, and this is almost

unprecedented. you have to go back to herbert hoover in 1936, going out on the campaign trail, holding rallies to find a former president who has been as politically engaged as this one has been. you know, president clinton didn't go out on the campaign trail in the mid term of 2002 against president bush. he made one or two speeches and 2004 at the convention, but that's it. not only has it been an active campaign, but the rhetoric has been harsh. at points saying that the entire republican campaign is the efforts of the privilege down the powerful, who feel that they are in danger of losing their control. the language has been over the top, and apparently thus far not particularly effective. >> i was going to say something about the senate. not only will president trump have an increased majority in the senate, but the republicans are going to be much more on his team. when you look at who is gone

from the center now, jeff flake is gone. bob corker is gone. tragically, john mccain is gone, and in the case of mccain, he is replaced by kyle. marsha blackburn. if flake -- he is not going to have as many problems. >> it will be much trumpier senate. >> juan: that is what i was trying to say before. i think we are losing the moderate and the republican party, even as we talk about charlie baker and the like. i don't think they have weight in the national party. that is the party of donald trump. he is going to go into the red states, and he can make the cas case, and people will close their eyes to what absolutely antagonizes people in blue america in terms of the kinds of bullying, the kind of rhetoric that we see. i was very curious to hear from

senator graham the admission that the suburban white educated women, we have a problem. it's may be a matter of tone. remember, the senator is a republican. the democrats, it is not just the flaw, it seems as if that is central to who donald trump is and how he excites people. we are in for two years now of absolute fireworks. >> the president would like to weigh in, juan. he has just tweeted "tremendous success tonight. thank you to all." president donald trump about this race. >> juan: mr. president, you are right because you now own the republican party. the republican party is fully owned and operated by one proprietor. his name is donald j. trump. >> i need to point this out.

for everybody who gets elected and the modern system that we have, that is how you get nominated. you get your delegates to fill up the convention, nominate you, you control the party. that was true of all of his recent predecessors, and it is true of him. the only people who think it is notable to say that is that they think somehow, that the members of the party should be resisting it. >> juan: how are tariffs, anti-immigration, i don't see that as orthodox republican positions. >> where is he on taxes? regulations? the same thing. military, guns, where is he on school prayer? abortion. >> juan: where is he on the deficit? >> juan. i said almost 100%.

you have to think it is a natural reaction for these people someone who is finally willing to sign their bills after all of these years, that they should somehow be resisting. that is a democrats point of view. if that doesn't make any sense in republican land. >> bret: we have got to get a break. our friend at tweeted everyone who voted against cavanaugh has lost. donnelly, claire mccaskill, almost certainly nelson. and he survives. joe manchin. we have got some tight races, too close to call. florida, arizona, montana. >> martha: we are going to cover those when we come back. stay with us.

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that simplify your experience. my name is mike, i'm in product development at comcast. we're working to make things simple, easy and awesome. >> martha: we are back. we cannot make another call in michigan, democratic center will win a fourth term by defeating john james, a combat veteran who was strongly backed by president trump. he was really, now, the gap in recent weeks but let's take a look at some of the other races on the wall here that are still too close to call. we have florida, which is looking like it should be called at any moment. looks like it's 100% in, but it is still not a check mark. >> 50,000 vote difference. >> martha: to the naked eye, you would think you could call

that race but we are waiting for official word. arizona is also too close to call with martha mcsally slightly ahead at 11% there. waiting for jackie rosen and dean heller in nevada. and matt rosendale, it looks like jester is pulling away, but no call there at this point. let's go to allison who is standing by in helena, montana,. >> hey, good evening to both of you. we spoke to the team tonight and heading into this evening, both have said that they feel pretty good about tonight. jon tester says that he thinks they have had a lot of enthusiasm on their side. they are over 700,000 registered voters in the state of montana. so far, the secretary of state so they counted about 115,000 of those. in many ways, this has been a national versus local race. a tester versus trump race.

when you talk to rosendale, he talks about how he believes roses, voters want to support president trump's agenda. he is that guy. he talks a lot about the tax cut that this administration has done. things on the national level. tester has focused more on local issues. he talks about public land use, health care, veterans issues as well as corruption. in fact, he kind of stays away from really attacking president trump. president trump came to the state worker different times, he hit tester hard, especially over the issue back and forth over the failed nomination for president trump secretary nominate dr. ronnie jackson. tester would only say that president trump is always welcome in this state. that is because republicans want this to be a race about tester versus trump. democrats do do not because president trump is pretty popular in this state. his approval rating on averages about about 50%.

tonight, whether the democrats would like you to be or not, just look like in other races,s seems to be a referendum on president trump. we were speaking to voters heading in and out of the coals, whether they like to president trump or dislike him. almost everything a person told us that president trump played at least some factor in their decision to show up and vote in this race. we have met a few people who say they were trump supporters but they like tester this time around. tester has been ahead in the polls for the most part by about 4%. but rosendale's people, the folks in this room behind me, they feel good about tonight. they feel like there is a potential here for this seat to flip and go from blue to red. >> martha: thank you very much much. >> bret: let's take a look at our decision to ask. the camera we have up there. let's see what they are doing. >> martha: how are they doing? [laughter] >> bret: there is some tabulation. bill is adding some things up. looks like there's not a lot of

movement there. >> martha: a lot of excitement over florida in that room. i can see it. >> bret: they are not moving quickly. all right. shannon, it seems like we are getting close to a call. you know the state of florida very well. just before i do, i'm a seventh generation floridian. these races have been too close to call. rick scott obviously could be a big play for the g.o.p. if he makes it to the senate and as we talk about, if the trend continues and republicans build their majority there, it helps with one of the top priorities, one that mitch mcconnell talks a lot about, which is getting all the supreme court justices on the bench confirmed. >> bret: if you think they pick up enough, let's say, and it goes up to plus four, maybe even plus five, if you think tester. you don't know, but plus five, that's at 56, you could push may be a more conservative judge on

that list through 56 control? >> shannon: it makes a difference because you think this time there was worry about senators collins because both have expressed pro-choice positions. they were very worried about where justice brett kavanaugh has been on those issues. she has been someone who is viewed as very conservative, with pro-life potentially leaning. if you take out a couple of republican senators and still have another three or four as a buffer, it does give the republicans another option when it comes to this. remember, we've got two supreme court justices in their 80s now. justice ginsburg. we are always looking to see if anyone wants to retire. you can't imagine they would want to do under president trump, but you never know. >> martha: let's take a look at montana. anything you are writing down, scribbling on that bad over there? >> i'm not. i'm scheduling things about florida and others, but one thing to remember about this state is at the same time that

they voted for donald trump by 22 points, they were reelecting their governor, steve bullock, a democrat. he is one of the two dozen prospective democratic nominees. this is emblematic of the trouble of trying to win in this state against an incumbent because they are independent-minded people, fully capable and like to split their ballot. unlike other states where they tend to move one way or another, republicans tend to win, democrats tend to win, but this is a state where they are happy splitting their ballot, they are going to elect a republican legislator tonight, and right now, tester is ahead by approaching ten points. >> bret: dana? >> thinking about montana, jon tester, he did not dry like the other senate democrats -- i don't know if this is going to bear out but let me try this theory. a lot of the other senate

democrats running for reelection, let's look at donnelly in indiana. he tried hard to make the case that he was willing to work with president trump. he voted with president trump on several occasions. it turned out he lost. jon tester actually never did that until the last two weeks of the campaign it didn't really go too hard at it. he's quite independent-minded up there in montana. and i don't know how this worked out, there was a libertarian candidate up there that dropped out and put their support behind -- correct me if i'm wrong -- the republican. but that might not have worked out. there's only 15% in it right now. >> bret: the other thing happening in montana, a ballot initiative. at 185, and we haven't talked about those but those are important all around the countr country. a ballot initiative, increases taxes on tobacco products to make the medicaid expansion in montana permanent. you talk about health care being

an issue in montana, it is actually on the ballot whether to tax. and to fund the medicaid expansion. so tester has talked a lot about that in this race, and obviously coincides with this ballot initiative. >> in that vein of ballot issues, and seeing in what virginia, amendment number one trend past which removes the ability of the state of west virginia to use federal funds to pay for abortions. the supreme court has already ruled the state can do. so that's a very significant pro-life victory in the state of west virginia on a ballot issue. >> bret: a number of these ballot issues marijuana, recreational and medical marijuana. >> martha: another one was in florida. the amendment to restore voting rights to felons who have served their time. >> that past? >> it passed. >> that required a 60%

affirmative vote to pass, which splits authority in the category of 37 other states. that's a shocker that convicted felons can vote. >> martha: the campaign said they paid their debt to society, now let them vote. >> but there was a time when the rule was another way around. >> martha: this is a part of the criminal justice reform movement appeared florida is a good example of it. >> bret: i would like to get a boat from the decision desk on florida. we are going to get them and post the ballot again. there they are again. any of the movement? no. >> martha: maybe he's missing. >> bret: maybe chris is missing. let see if we can get him after the break. america's election headquarters rolls on. why didn't you book your family vacation on a travel site? at hilton.com,

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♪ >> martha: we are back. let's take a look at the big picture at this point at 11:3434 on the east coast. republicans retain senate control. still to be determined what the final number will be there. and the house please going to now be in democrat's control, and we still wait for the final numbers there, as well, to see exactly how big those margins are going to be. but we are waiting for some very big senate races to come in, especially in florida this evening. we will see what the number is at this point. at this point, it's a 51 plus 3 for republicans, which is pretty much what was expected in the early going spirit for a while, looks like it might have been a narrower margin than tha. >> bret: the democrats were definitely hoping for something different than this. we are live outside of fox square. we have heard people out there all night. >> martha: there they are

appear are. >> that is right! we are still rocking and rolling tonight! are you guys having a good time? [cheers and applause] >> all right! everyone is having a blast. i've been talking to a lot of people in the crowd and noticed there are some patriotic folks here. this is johnny, johnny from wisconsin, check out that shirt, a lot of patriotism shown here. with a shirt like that, what is your favorite thing about america? >> i would have to say our freedom, right? it doesn't matter what neighborhood you are from, race, religion, or what side of the aisle, you have the ability to prosper and the freedom that we have. my father -- my grandfather started a small business here. my father now runs it and i gave my brothers and sisters and me all the opportunity i have. with the result of today and what's been going on the last couple years, i hope we can continue to stay down this path so that my son can see the same freedom and prosperity.

>> amen to that, some optimism, as well. this is justin. justin from texas. in some big news just made out of texas. ted cruz was up against a heavy hitter. are you surprised by his projected victory? >> i wouldn't say surprised. i would say relieved. i know it was a hard-fought battle in texas. beto o'rourke had some good push, but there were so many issues on the table this year it was so important for ted cruz to pull through. i was glad that he ended up pulling that one out. >> what are some of the issues that got you to the polls? >> immigration was huge this year. the economy. the way that the senate handled kavanaugh's confirmation frustrated me. >> i have to show you really quickly, we have a fox square mascot out here. this guy, look at how cute he is. you know, i would ask him if he voted but it looks like he's had

a rough day. >> one paw on the ballot! >> i will send it back to you at the studio. >> bret: that is a small horse. >> martha: when in doubt, go back to the dogs. >> beautiful. >> bret: if dana could bring out jasper, we would be fine. >> a mini horse out there. >> bret: said the dog on the decision desk and get a decision on florida. >> dana could ride the dog over to the decision desk. >> and bring you back a decision. >> bret: we are moving on. the first move could be the house speaker. he's speaking right now in washington, d.c. minority leader nancy pelosi. >> today is more than about democrats and republicans, it's about storing the constitutional checks and balances to the trump administration. [cheers and applause] >> is about stopping the g.o.p. and mitch mcconnell's assault

on medicare, medicaid, the affordable care act, , and the health care of 130 million americans living with pre-existing medical conditions. [cheers and applause] >> let's hear it more for pre-existing medical conditions. [cheers and applause] >> it's about ending wealthy special interest's free reign over washington, but more than anything, it's about what a new democratic majority will mean in the lives of hardworking americans. [applause] >> that's what it's about. democrats alleged to congress that works for the people. for the people. lower the cost of health care by lowering the cross of prescription drugs. raise workers wages with a strong growth by rebuilding the infrastructure of america. clean up corruption to make washington work for all americans. [cheers and applause] >> we will take real, very, very

strong legislative actions to legislate and negotiate down the price control of prescription drugs for families across america. we will deliver a transformation on america's infrastructure to create more good paying jobs rebuilding our roads, schools, water systems, broadband networks, housing, and beyond. we will drain the swamp of dark interest money. [cheers and applause] >> because when we do, americans have greater confidence in everything there congress works on, from health care to taxes, two guns to clean air, clean water, for all children. they know that the people's interest will prevail, not the dark special interests. [cheers and applause] >> and stark contrast to the g.o.p. congress, a democratic congress will be led with transparency and openness. [cheers and applause]

>> so that the public can see what's happening and how it affects them and that they can weigh in with the members of congress and with the president of the united states. we will have accountability, and we will strive for bipartisanship. fairness on all sides. we will have responsibility to find our common ground where we can, stand our ground where we can come up but we must try. we have a market, a bipartisan marketplace of ideas that makes our democracy strong. a democratic congress will work for solutions that bring us together because we have all had enough of division. [cheers and applause] >> the american people want peace. they want resolved. they want us to work for positive results for their live lives. our founders believed in a

principal that they knew must guide our nation. first in our declaration, they promised life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. but they gave us guidance. for many, one. the founders could have never imagined how vast our country would become. how many we would be. how different we would be from each other. but they knew we had to be one. unity, unity for our country. [cheers and applause] >> today, the american people have spoken to restore that vision. with a new democratic majority, we will honor the division of our founders for a country, having a legitimate debate, but remembering that we are one country. we will honor the sacrifices of our men and women in uniform and their families, who have made us the land of the free and the home of the brave. [applause] >> to build a better future,

worthy of their sacrifice. and we must honor and respect the aspirations of our children. elections are about the future, and what we do for our children's future. so thank you all for making the future better for all of america's children! god bless you! god bless america! thank you all very much! [cheers and applause] >> bret: now house minority leader nancy pelosi could become house speaker depending on the votes, with democrats expected to take control of the u.s. house of representatives. talking about the way forward. the real question is what that looks like and whether it looks like whether it's a negotiating stance with donald trump, or whether it is right at him, investigation after investigation. >> martha: because people want things to get done and is time to unify the country, so we will

see if that sentiment carries forward. >> bret: a couple races we want to update you on. first of all, connecticut governor, this is a big race in which the republican has the lead over democrat ned lamont. it was supposed to be the other way with poles heading in. ned lamont you may remember defeated senator joe lieberman for a senate but then lost as an independent. bob stefan askey, a businessman, who says he wants to change connecticut, and taxes in particular. we will take a look at this. 47% have a preference end. we've got a couple house races to update, too. >> martha: do we have josh hawley on stage now? let's go there for a moment. >> well, tonight the good lord and the people of missouri have given us the victory. we won. [cheers and applause] >> i just had a nice phone call

from senator mccaskill, she could not have been more gracious. she conceded the race. i want to thank her for her service. and i had a very nice call with the president of the united states. [cheers and applause] >> thank you, mr. president, for your leadership. thank you for believing in missouri. tonight, the people of missouri have delivered. [cheers and applause] >> what the people of missouri said tonight is they want to senator who actually stands with the people of missouri who represent our values, who represents our voice, and will fight for us in washington, d.c. and i will! [applause] >> you know, i have to say this, though, as i drilled around the state, we heard a lot about how divided the country is and how i have to say, i have been all over the state, i don't know that that is really true because

we have gone from every corner of this state from the boot heel to southwest missouri to northwest, to central missouri, we have found a place and a people that are incredibly united in the things that we hold most dear. this election has been about our way of life. it's been about the heartland way of life. it's been about the way of life that built this country. the way of life that sustains this state. a way of life built around our churches, our faith, our families, neighborhoods, and our schools. i said from the very beginning that this was about defending our way of life. it's about renewing it for a new day. tonight, the people of missouri said we believe in that way of life, we believe it's not the past, it's the future. it doesn't represent something that is gone forever, he represents the best of america, and tonight the people of missouri have said that our way of life and our values are going to renew this country and that is what we are about, and that is what we are poor, and that is what this race has been for !

[cheers and applause] >> you know, now it is time to roll up our sleeves and to get to work, the hard work begins of going to washington and standing up for our values. i said that i would fight to secure our border, and i will. [cheers and applause] >> i have said that i will be an advocate and fight for pro-constitution, pro-america judges on our courts, and i will. [cheers and applause] >> i said that i would fight to continue to bring back jobs from overseas to get wages growing, and i will. [cheers and applause] >> i said that i would always stand, always stand, for our farmers in our small business men, the people who have built this state, and i will! [cheers and applause] >> you know, throughout this campaign i have thought many

times of a line that prime minister winston churchill said during the second world war. he said, why is it that we think of history as something that is in the past? and forget that we are making it? well, we stand tonight at a critical moment in our history, we stand at this hour in a critical moment in our nations history. tonight, the people of missouri have said we are up for the challenge. tonight, the people of missouri said we are ready to answer the call in this hour. tonight, the people of missouri said we believe in america, we believe that our best days are ahead, we believe in our future, and we are ready to fight for i it. i am ready to go to washington and fight for you! [cheers and applause] >> bret: okay, let's head down to florida. there is rick scott talking to his crowd. let's see. >> thank you, thank you, thank you. i mean, from what we started,

eight years and seven months ago, it's hard to believe we are here tonight. [cheers and applause] now that this campaign is behine going to leave it. [laughter] >> at least, the campaigns i have been involved in are divisive and tough, and they are actually way too nasty. but, we have done this for over 200 years, and after these campaigns, we come together. that's what we are going to do. americans come together. [cheers and applause] >> so, thank you to all of you, because everyone in this room has been a part of it. the first person i want to think is my lovely wife. [cheers and applause] >> you know, we have been

together since we were 19 years old, and i have put her through a lot of things. so, the last eight years have been a lot. as you well know, when hurricane michael hit, a young lady did not have an interest in giving campaign speeches when i decided to run in 2010 because she's afraid of public speaking, i asked her if she would go on the campaign trail, and she did. [cheers and applause] >> i want to thank our daughters, allison and jordan, and their family. [applause] >> i love my family. i love my family with all my heart and i love every family in this state. my goal is to make this a better place for every family in this date, every family.

[cheers and applause] >> there are a couple people looking down from heaven i want to recognize. i had the most wonderful mom. [cheers and applause] >> when i was born, my mom was a single mom and also played 5 kids in a very tough environment with no money. she never believed i would be a governor or u.s. senator. [applause] >> i guess she believed it. the second person, you saw on the videos a second ago, jerry bustamonte. for everybody in our office and everyone on this campaign a scene, she was our best friend.

she unfortunately died the day before the campaign started. [speaking foreign language] [applause] [speaking foreign language] >> bret: speaking spanish? >> martha: rick scott very excited, obviously, as he will now be a senator from the state of florida. he was the governor there. appeared a term limited, and now we are going to washington to serve his state as he beat bill nelson, longtime incumbent. another winner we are about to see. >> bret: florida governor-elect joins us life. governor-elect, are you used to that term yet? >> not yet, we work really hard,

we ran through the tape, we feel good about it. what you guys know, florida is always competitive. we are fortunate we won, and tomorrow, we start running in the transition. we're not going to be able to rest very much here. >> bret: how do you think you did? >> i think it was a lot of hard work. we turned out, i don't know the final vote total, but i think i got a million more votes than governor scott did when he got reelected in 2014. we really energized a lot of voters, and i thought if we could energize republican voters and make the case in a convincing way that i would be a good and better governor to independent voters, that we would win back. think that's what we did. >> martha: governor-elect, it's martha maccallum here. in terms of the support you got from the president, a lot of people thought that your opponent in the primary was somebody that a lot of folks in florida could get behind, but obviously, the president was right about picking you.

>> [laughs] look, the thing about the president is he got behind me when it wasn't necessarily the smart thing to do. all the pundits said that i was the underdog in this or that. obviously, we did have to win the race. you guys moderated a debate between us, which was a widely watched by our primary elector and really helped my poll numbers take up, but it was significant. and he did do a rally at the end of july and once he did that relic, we had amassed so much support that we knew we are going to win the primary. i bet you, if you looked at this southwest florida turn out, because he did do the rally there, and the panhandle turn out, i think that was presidential level turnout, and i think the president had a big role in generating that. >> bret: democrat spent a lot of money, had a lot of high-profile visitors come into campaign for the mayor, including the former president obama. and others. what is your reaction to tonight overall come up with the

democrats taking control of the house, the senate staying with republicans, and it looks like a split in governors around the country? >> well, in florida, we never bought into the idea that there was a blue wave that we couldn't counteract. we knew the democrats were energized, but we knew our voters will be energized and gave them a reason to do it. in my race in particular, i had huge odds against me because not only did i have the major money from out-of-state -- and they must have sent tens of millions of dollars from out-of-state coming and against me. i also, quite frankly, had almost 90% of the national media aligned with my opponent, puffing him up, and really some of them attacking me in ways that i thought were patently unjust. we had to face a lot of headwinds in this race, and i just think the voters of florida, i mentioned in my victory speech, the abundance kind of ruled for two years, except that one tuesday in november where in the people get

to speak. it doesn't matter what the pundits say, doesn't matter what the media says, they don't get to set the agenda. the people in the state of florida had the opportunity to set the agenda and they responded to or message. >> bret: congratulations, thank you for being with us. >> martha: we will take a quick break and be right back with more results. so did you get a new car? kind of. thanks to navy federal it only took 5 minutes. so vets can join? oh yeah. how do you kind of buy a new car? it's used. it's for mikey. you know he's gonna have girls in that car. yeah. he's gonna have two of them. great benefits for veterans from navy federal credit union... our members are the mission.

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victory speech from rick scott, but we are officially making that skull. fox news projecting that rick scott will beat nelson in the senate race in florida. that is another pickup for republicans. that means that they are a plus for at this point. 52-44, with some races still out there. plus four, then we are at 51-49. we have a race call to make in oregon. the decision desk it cannot project that kate brown will win reelection by defeating newt buehler, a state lawmaker. also we have a race call to make in south dakota. the governor's race, republican congresswoman will defeat billy sutton to succeed the limited republican governor, dennis. we have got the panel with us. joining us on the panel.

what are your thoughts? you heard nancy pelosi. apparently we are reporting that the president has called nancy pelosi for the guidelines on what that conversation is, but your thoughts on the night so far. >> look, i think both parties will have something to celebrate. republicans picking up a few seats in the senate. having their margin there is something that they can take pride in. but when you look at the overall landscape, i think democrats probably have a little bit more to be happy about tonight. they have retaken the house and probably buy a bigger majority than a lot of people thought they would. they will have a net gain and it looks like an governor. lost a couple of big ones that they were hoping for -- >> bret: ohio. >> those are republican holds. it looks like they will actually shrink the republican majority in governors. they flipped about before strata legislative chambers, as far as i can tell so far.

both houses in new hampshire are now democratic. so there is a lot for both parties to point to and feel good, but i'd rather be with the dnc than the rnc tonight. >> bret: really? the way forward legislative is what? >> the house is not going to have the oversight that democrats were looking for in the house. that is going to be important. nancy pelosi began to sing of some areas where she thought she might be able to work with the president, and i think that is going to be important. but what we are seeing out in the states is what is really interesting to me. electorally, what we have seen in these house races is that the suburbs continue to be fertile ground for democrats. it's important territory for democrats electorally. they need to figure out how to translate some of those into statewide wind, but the republin problem, just as it democrats have in rural areas.

what are we seeing now with these governors races and the state legislative races, i thinu were going to see redistrictings place, a lot more balance in a number of states. that may be able to help if we can get better lines drawn in some of these states, we might have some better politics coming >> i'm concerned about the staunch leadership. she will be the chairperson can you imagine the interrogations of the ceos and the frequency with which they will be compelled to answer her questions. jerry mehldau has already said he wants to commence -- we talked about this earlier. the impeachment investigations.

which is absurd without a groundswell of belief that the people who want to impeach are unworthy of office, and there is no such grounds. i wish that the democrats would listen to him. legislative rather than investigate but a few these investigations will be aimed to weaken the president and preoccupy his time. and i think the democrats if they do that, they will pay for it dearly in 2020. >> that's the question. democrats have a question to answer now in terms of where they want to put their energy and whether or not going down the road of investigation is something that will reflect well on them when they try to run a candidate in 2020. >> it not stomach might not reflect well on them, secure, but to their base, it will reflect very well. we were both at the white house at the time, and immediately, life changes. we have doubled the size of our council office and a couple of

months, the investigations were fast and furious. they all wanted to, after carl. subpoenas. every morning, there was another document request. it really does become a grind. now it does say something for president trump to fight against. that could be helpful to him going forward. if it looks like the democrats are just doing investigations because they can't legislate, come to the table, do things at the american people care about, that will be a problem for them. >> bret: i said earlier that we may see an exodus of some cabinet members, may be faster with democratic control of the house. karl. >> democrats have taken control tonight. they are whooping it up. let's be clear, the democrats in the house are broken. we now have 11 incumbent democrats who are coming back. previously said not voting for pelosi, five democrats who we have called for house races

tonight. and tenant democrat challenger is leading their races right no now. that is a total of 26 who have said that they won't support nancy pelosi. they are going to have a leadership fight. we mentioned all of these committee chairs, there are no term limits. there is not a single chairman on the house side among the republicans who's older than the ranking democratic member. so we are going to see the tension from these longtime senior members who now become chairman as a result of seniority, and of the young up and comers and new faces are going to say do i really want tt guy jerry nadler to be in charge of the judiciary committee after he has been here since abraham lincoln was elected president? there is going to be some tension there. >> yet, but don't underestimate nancy pelosi shrewdness when it comes to this. i think she knows this and she sees it.

we will see a lot of deals get caught. she gives some of the fresh new faces of bigger voice, a bigger role within the house caucus. i think that you will see new leadership positions opening up with some of the newer members coming in, so i think you're going to see some sort of a deal work itself out, where pelosi will be the speaker. i think the more likely than not, but some of the newer voices will have an increase. >> dana: also speaker when henry rosman was the chairperson. maybe she looks back and thinks we overstepped. you see articles about that. "the washington post" even interviewed her. what should the democrats avoid doing? they don't want to go too far too fast. that is not what they did in 2007-2008. >> if he was a model of restraint, i want to see that. >> she is powerful. she is strong, and she will do

so by making a number of democrats who are on the record saying i will never vote for he her. the first vote that they will cast is a vote that they promised everyone of their constituents and their republican leaning districts -- b's don mcgahn mike >> shannon: she said it is time to have some fresh or leadership. the ages of a lot of these committee chairman, the leaders, they are well into their 70s, pushing into their 80s. like you said, a lot of younger up-and-coming democrats who are worried that they are never really going to get their shot. they were a lot more vocal the last time around about raising their hands, naming names. we talk about the fact that jerry nadler, the fact that he seems intent on pushing ahead with this idea of impeachment. i know that you think that speaker pelosi, she is in charge. she will not go for that.

even if you get for the community, you would have to get the majority. are they really going to spend all of that time and energy? >> what the judiciary committee does will have to be explained and addressed by every single democrat. every one of the lunatic actions of some of these chairman will have to be explained by people who are getting elected from purple or red districts tonight. >> so he is a major player in the black caucus. he must work 24 hours a day. said that he fully expects mrs. pelosi to be elected speaker. >> you know, there is also going to be a battle for the leadership in the republican minority, and kevin mccarthy, if they were to hold on, he would be the speaker. well, maybe the number two guy with paul ryan retiring steve scalise. maybe he might challenge him,

but i would think that with their loss, that is completely up for grabs. one of the names that has been mentioned as a possible house minority leader, you talk about the left-wing of the democratic caucus taking over the democrats in the house, you could have the right wing of the republican caucus taking over the house. so they are going to be battles for power on both sides in the house. >> let's take a look at our race call that we can now make in the iowa governors race. republican governor kim reynolds will win reelection by defeating fred hubbell. reynolds became the governor last year when the post was vacated to become the ambassador to china. very helpful to president trump in the state of iowa. and now she will take that rightful place as governor of

iowa. kim reynolds. that is another republican governor in very important race. >> the republicans pick up iowa. what is the common denominator there? all of those states are crucial to 2020. when you have this machine, you have leverage. you have power. they thought they really had a chance yet. let's take a look at some of the key races. if you florida, indiana, and north dakota, and indiana. there is north dakota, indiana right there. mike brown, who we heard from earlier. still too close to call in a number of races. nevada. that is where dan springer is live in las vegas at the

headquarters. what is the word on the ground? >> hey, bret, i wish i could give you some numbers, but there are still people in line who are voting. the polls closed over two hours ago, the doors close, but by state law, they have to allow all the people who were inside the polling places to vote before they can release any results, so we don't have a single person, a single vote total yet from nevada. but we did get a little peek into how the rural counties are voting so far. they did release one company, one of those rural counties in nevada. and that won for the republican trying to win reelection. do you think we would have had 70% without donald trump's visit to the county just a short time ago? just about a week ago, so he

thanked the president for coming out during the election cycle, so dean heller's and for all real tough race tonight. he is going up against jackie rosen. she is a democrat, first term in congress. she ran a good race. it democrats have a 5% registration advantage in this state. they have a trend in winning big elections, and it was a big turnout today. we are looking at probably record set for midterm elections, but right now, we have a "no" results. we will be here throughout the night. bret. >> bret: dan springer, live in las vegas. we will come back as we get those results. we've got a number of races still out there. think about the wisconsin governor's race. you've got governor walker trying to hold off tony devers. that is very close. a number of different races that are still out there. and we also have beto o'rourke

in texas, speaking to his crowd. who knows what the future is for beto o'rourke. you have to do something. he says that he is not running in 2020, but that is when he thought he was going to win the u.s. senate. ted cruz winning that. we will be right back. fact is, every insurance company hopes you drive safely.

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>> bret: election headquarters, you want a tight race? here's one. wisconsin. this was not expected to be like this looking at the early numbers, but look at this, we have tony evers up -- now governor walker is up 300. 314. yes, governor walker, up 314 votes. he is fighting for his political life as the incumbent governor. he has faced three elections. remember, he had a recall election, and now the selection. he was pretty much considered dead for a long time. by a lot of experts. and now, governor walker is up

314 votes. i'm going to get to the panel and a second, but i want to check in and waukesha at the headquarters. what's the word? >> bret, hundreds of supporters in the suburbs walking. earlier in the night, the mood seemed to calm down, as the return showed governor walker trailing. now as you just pointed out, this race is neck and neck at about 1.1 million votes. after governor walker in the fight of his political life. heading into tonight, he has told me that this is the tightest race of his life. as you know, he ran for president in 2016, now seeking a third term here. he considers this the tightest race. there were many polls to suggest that they were in dead heat, and right now, as we get closer to

midnight, people are not going home. they are giving him a lead, then they go a little bit quieter as a evers pulls ahead. this is just in a dead heat right now. >> bret: and waukesha are right now, walker up by 2,000. karl rove, walker people are feeling good? >> they are feeling good. they've got votes out of green bay, out in the fox river grove ali, votes out in the northwest corner of the state. precincts here and there. on the other hand, milwaukee is almost all in, and dane county, madison, the most liberal county, all in. so their model thinks that they are going to prevail. the one advantage of having been challenged three times as either having a good political apparatus or an incredibly good get out the vote machine. he has actually put it to work four times.

in the 2016 presidential election. the first to break in the blue wall to fall. it fell because of paul ryan and this political machine that they have those. it is a machine. and tonight, we are seeing the results of it. by the state education committee and by the unions. they want to exact their revenge. they may not get it. >> bret: by the way, look who's joining us. it's chris stirewalt. >> we've got some questions. >> now i don't want you all to be complaining about race is not being called when you are calling me out of these rooms. >> we want answers. >> martha: early indications were that he is in big trouble. >> i think one thing that people forget, races change. these are not static events.

these races have changed. walker has a very clearly closed here. something that is underappreciated, the effect in this of this, that he and paul ryan remade wisconsin politics. not only did he deliver a republican senate seat for ron johnson but also for trump in 2016. that was shockingly narrow, but still i win and wisconsin, and governor walker and his operation still have a lot to d. >> bret: what else do we have? >> we would remember that recall office is up for serious consideration right now. wouldn't have to have a recall -- i have walker on my mind. it would have to have a runoff. you would have a clear call. the seat would be gone. there is still enough about out that it is too close to call.

>> bret: we have an update on the ground. what are you hearing, john? >> hey, bret. right now i am at a hotel in atlanta where stacy abrams is watching her fans out here. her supporters are waving her arrival. this race is still too close to call. meanwhile, brian camp, we have a live shot from his watch party. this in athens, georgia, about an hour drive to the northeast of atlanta. obviously both candidates looking for a decisive win. for much of the night, brian kemp was a leading stacy abrams by a comfortable margin. but again, this is because the rural georgia counties where the first to report. this is where camp is doing especially well, running at candidate, candidacy appealing to this part of the state. but now, precincts are reporting from metro atlanta, which is

favoring democrats. the margin is narrowing. it is unclear whether stacy arose will be able to pull off an outright victory, but her supporters are hoping at the very least about they will be able to force this race into a runoff. under georgia law, a candidate must get more than 50% of the vote in order to win the election outright, but if that doesn't happen, this race would go to runoff, continuing what has been a very contentious and sometimes bitter campaign. back to you. >> okay, jonathan. right now, the democrats in the house race are plus 26. they need 23 to control. we called it earlier. we talked about why we called it early. why is chris stirewalt doing this? and i told him it was not just you. >> you did lead the group.

>> bret: at the decision desk while he is not there. are they forlorn? are they upset? that is what they are doing. >> this is of course every night, the ones that are left are the hard ones. where you can't rely just on the difference engine to put out the answer. you really have to know it. on that house call, we are going to be -- i think what is best and most interesting about all of this is we are going to end up right on the house probably pretty close to where a lot of folks that we were going to be the whole time. over 30 essentially for democrats in the house. we have seen some amazing wins for democrats in the house. oklahoma? give me a break. that wasn't even on the list. >> pete sessions went down. this is really a story about the

future of the democratic party, which is younger voters, hispanic voters, if they can do it out there, they can change races in that part of the country, we are just now counting in california, just now counting those races, there are races in washington state that will also change this composition. and i would just say, i am so pleased with the way that it works. i am so pleased with the way that the machine works. our whole pulling team deserves such credit, please. they can't have the bit oh hone honey. >> bret: i want to get your thoughts on the democrats. some of these are from suburban republican districts. it's hard to see how those folks go left kind of where the power of the democratic party is. on the progressive side, so how do you see it? >> i think what we are seeing here is we really have a

suburban rule divide, even an urban rural divide. more clear on nights like tonight. we are seeing a lot of democrats who have picked up seats and some of these republican houses. like pete sessions, we are just talking about. longtime republican held seats in suburban areas. it is going to be interesting to see how this plays out. we have learned about florida as i was going to be a giant mystery. i think i called it the land of tbb. at the polling always seems to be off. we have learned tonight that there is a lot of work to do in actually determining what is going to happen. a lot of polling was off. republicans had a good night. not a knock on your team at all by any stretch, but i think about analytics team is it still have a lot of work to do to figure out how they can accurately look at some of these districts, especially going into 2020. >> there was a poll for gillam

that was plus 20 or something. >> if i can speak to that, we have a serious problem. local news outlets dry out, they don't get as many reliable state-level public polls as they use to. four years ago and eight years ago, newspapers, television stations would pay big money to do good polls in the states. now there is some junk. there may be a number of them, but we were flying blind basically in montana, flying blind in west virginia. didn't really even make an average out of these, and that is going to continue to be a problem. it bit us in 2016 and wisconsin, and we will continue to deal with that. >> there are so many people looking at these models. some people rely on the old exit poll system. at what is our sense of how that is messing up? the newer system versus the old exit polls.

speak out no matter what happens, you cannot. if half of the country's voting early, then you have states that have all mail-in ballots, how are you going to poll those people at exit polls. i am so proud that we set look, we are going to admit that we have to change and we did. it is going to take a lot of diligence. it is not cheap. it is not easy to do this stuff. when we do, we have to be aware, just as you say. humility is necessary. something that is 80% is not 100%. the probability of 20% ain't nothing. >> chris, if if you were donald trump campaign manager looking at the house races in the districts, what would you be happy about, what would you be concerned about after tonight? >> on the house level, the lesson from the house is they

still have not put their coalition back together. and to the divide between it -- you see places like missouri, and then you see other places, these are rural voters that adrian talked about, where trump is more popular now than he was on election day. but among the traditional base, among affluent suburban voters, the deficit is real. and he can be very happy. florida looked good, did well. hanging on in the upper midwest in key places, but when we look at the results of michigan, pennsylvania, ohio, the republican coalition is not present to their the way that it was were donald trump in 2016. >> how many house republicans do you think lost, distancing themselves from trump, and how many were embracing him? >> you could worry yourself into the ground for the rest of your life trying to figure out if you did at the right or wrong way. we will do a postmortem, the

hard anti-trump, versus pro trumpet. this is what i would point out. this relates to beto o'rourke. candidate quality matters. who you are matters. how you run your race matters. these things are not etched in stone. >> by the way, governor walker for a hunting jacket in downtown milwaukee. >> yes, i asked you where can i get one of those jackets? >> right there in downtown milwaukee. >> bret: let's look at those numbers. can we put them up again? let's see. >> wow. >> less than 800. okay, we will be right back. a couple of tight races. also checking out the white house. see what's coming out of there.

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calls. even though we have not yet called that race, and ron desantis as well. so the white house, they actually came out better or at least as far as the senate goes than they thought they were going to. i thought that they might net to gains in the senate. that depends on arizona. could come up with a fifth. they pretty much figured that they had lost anyway. now the president is going to have a problem getting to some of his big-ticket agenda items. immigration reform, he might be able to work with nancy pelosi on things like a drug prices and infrastructure, but his grand campaign agenda ideas are probably not going to go anywhere for the next couple of years. here is what he has god working for him in the next few years. he has got for new senators who were solid trumpeters {trumperd

him big. he has got some new musician for those fights, and he has got republican governors in ohio and in florida who owe him big as well to help set him up in those states were 2020. knew that they would lose the house and it did not go into the election with any illusions of trying to keep control. what they see in the senate tonight is making them very happy. maybe his agenda suffers. bret and martha for the next couple of years, but it's of some other very well 20. >> bret: do we know anything more about the phone call with nancy pelosi? >> no, they haven't really talked too much about content, but we do know from her chief of staff that the present congratulated her on the win and appreciated her tone of bipartisanship. they will have to adopt a greater tone of bipartisanship if it helps to get anything don

done. governing things that will probably be done without too much trouble, but i think there is also going to be a lot of ranking between the white house and the house. i have talked to people who do not think that they will be able to get budgets passed. certainly not another tax cut through. they're going to try. the word tonight is they are going to try for bipartisanship, going to try to work together. but don't forget, the 2020 campaign when the clock struck midnight tonight. i think we are going to see a lot of division between this house and that house at the other end. >> martha: you know, we were talking to dana perino and karl rove about when they experienced this kind of switchover in the house and how different everything suddenly was as a result of that. but you know obviously, president bush had been around politics for a long time. i wonder how ready the trump administration is since this is all still somewhat new to them.

does it feel like they have a real grasp of just how different things are going to be no? >> just bit of a reality check. how different are things going to be? the president tried to get obamacare repealed. he tried to get immigration reform passed. he couldn't do it. with his own party controlling both houses of conference. so the president has been stymied on some of his big-ticket controversial issues. they likely weren't going to go anywhere anyway, even if they maintain control of the house because there are so many different factions in the republican party, pulling in so many different directions on these issues that it is likely that he wouldn't have gotten those done as well. i think what he does as he goes for the small stuff, keeps the big stuff hopefully for a second term. at least the president will be hoping for a second term. he works his new senators and his new governors to try to set himself up for 2020.

continues to say that it is the democrats who are standing in the way of progress, and again, the next two years is all about the 2020 campaign. john roberts live on the white house lawn. >> bret: let's check on some governor races. can i get. this interesting. holding onto almost a 30,000 vote lead. that would be a huge change in connecticut. he is running to change the economic situation in the traditionally blue connecticut. also, we have another governors race in georgia that we are following. this is separated. 94% of the vote is an, and it looks like brian kemp, the secretary state as heading to a victory. >> martha: let's talk a little bit about that georgia race. obviously it was very contentious. and it's not over yet. brian kemp had all these ads with pickup trucks and his rifl

rifle. the boy who was dating his daughter. stacy abrams had a completely different vantage point in the way that she approach this race. these two couldn't be farther apart. >> yeah, kemp made a really ugly racially charged campaign. it was a nasty piece of work. abrams try to take the high road. she was too liberal for the state by any measure, and the democrats went with their hearts. they chose a nominee who was outside the mainstream for georgia politics. they defeated it, if you will recall, whose daughter was that? it's always somebody's daughter. was it sam's daughter? i'm sorry, i shouldn't make fun. but my point is they passed over a moderate democrat, they chose a progressive, an activist, and a liberal. and what kemp did was exploited the fears about that. >> bret: it doesn't look like that worked in florida, in

georgia, and ohio. all three progressive candidates who look like -- two or three we know, and it looks like the third is going to come up short. >> the georgia risk, we have not gotten into the issues of the campaign based on how ugly it was, but stacy abrams on the second amendment said some pretty outlandish things. she talked about any ar-15s, gun confiscation in that state. that is not something you talk about in a state like georgia when it comes to the second amendment and those issues. overall, are left progressive candidates in these states have not won my peer and more moderate candidates seem to hav have. the senator is a different story. you have senators in blue states -- sorry, red states who voted against president trump in trump states losing tonight. judge kavanaugh was a big part of that. all losing, and joe manchin saves the day by voting for

kavanaugh. >> martha: big picture in terms of the people who turned out, we saw a lot of president obama on the campaign trail. big question about how effective he is. maybe in some of these house races, but in 2016, hillary clinton was the candidate. now she was not on the campaign trail at all except to sort of put out the suggestion that perhaps she might run again. bill clinton, completely nonexistent. i thought of my whole lifetime they have been involved in every single election we have ever covered. speak out they did raise some money for candidates, but hillary clinton has always made it clear that if i am not helpful, i'm not going to go. she was helpful raising money from her donors, helping other candidates in that way, but is made more sense for her to be behind the scenes, which i think it did. speak out she was out there, talking about herself and the speculation that she might consider running, which some democrats found not helpful. >> look, she did give some

interviews, but president obama, michelle obama, they were by far the star surrogates. kamala harris. and it made a lot of sense. it is time for a new generation of democrats to sort of take over that election cycle when it comes to surrogates. >> this comment made by obama on behalf of joe donnelly, it is interesting to see that barack obama didn't care much about rescuing his party when he was in office and the white house. now his legacy has been on the ballot as a result of president trump rolling back those policies. he then got on the campaign trail, and i would say was not successful in terms of the results tonight. >> bret: let's go to wisconsin just to check in before we head to the break there, and that is not separating a little bit further with governor walker picking up some votes. >> i have looked at it, there are 21 counters that walker is winning with a total of 284

precinct still out. seven counties that evers is winning, with a total of 66 precincts out, so right now, the advantage is approaching 4-1, almost 5-1. a number of free things out that are good for walker as opposed to precincts that might be good for evers. >> bret: i mean, he pulls this off, he is a political survivor. >> this would be his fourth election. he has won twice, than the recall, now running for third term. no, it would be astonishing for him to do that. there were a lot of indications going into the night that he was trailing, but as karl has said, the walker machine is not to be underestimated in wisconsin. >> bret: all right, we are going to take a quick break. we have some updates on some other races, plus we will kind of wrap up the 30,000-foot view of the democrats controlling the house, democrats don't like

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>> bret: will come back to america's election headquarters. we are creeping up on 1:00 a.m. on the east coast and there are plenty of others out there. alaska. >> there is alaska out there. there is always alaska out ther there. >> bret: you never know. >> maybe we could bring in the husky from outside. see if he knows what's going on with alaska. >> bret: hey, don't call me husky. [laughs] >> bret: see, it is almost 1:00 ampere let's get some final thoughts as we go around the

horn. what does tonight me and? >> well, i'm going to steal something from what guy benson said. i think it was exactly right. we all saw these names two years ago, everything we thought was going to happen didn't happen. it was an utter surprise. the election of donald trump, the biggest surprise. what did you think was going to happen? most people would have said the democrats will take the house, roughly 30 plus pickups, and republicans will hold onto and may begin a couple of seats in the senate. that is basically what happened. it was fairly conventional. i can't overthink the degree to which this was the case that this was always going to be very hard night for republicans to hold onto the house. it traditionally, they lose 28 seats in the first midterm. it looks like they're going to to lose about 28 seats.

amco democrats have a really tough map in the senate. defending 26 east, and they didn't. >> martha: one of the things that strikes me is looking at these governor races. it doesn't necessarily fall into that predictable range of the house and the senate in terms of what we saw, and we saw a lot of close races there, but i think as the president looks towards the next election in 2020, he's got republican governors, as we said in iowa, florida, potentially in georgia. some of the places where he is really going to need them when he moves forward, so i think those governors races are going to be something that the white house and the republicans are going to feel very good about tonight. >> bret: shannon. >> shannon: i think we have all kinds of new and interesting information. in wisconsin, we are still waiting for the governor's race. showing that 66% of people there felt like the economy was in good or excellent shape and the majority of them were voting for

governor walker. that is a good pickup for him. in nevada, the race that we are looking for, there was an even split when it comes to urban and suburban voters, how they feel. it is such a down the middle line that it is going to depend on how they come in. now, talk dearly about this buffer for the president and mitch mcconnell's top priority, which is a judicial confirmation. very much in play with aging justices. >> bret: marc thiessen stuck in on us for the final thought. did you hear the bell? >> yeah. >> bret: all right, what are your final thoughts? >> just the absolute devastation of the smear campaign against brett kavanaugh. if you just look at joe manchin for some granularity on this, he was leading by 16 points, he won

by 3.5. if he had not voted, he would not be in the senate today. i agree that it was structurally an advantage, but they could have lost a lot of those seats, and they didn't. and the second thing was how well the republicans did holding the governorship. one of the untold stories was that it was a golden age for republicans in the state level. more republican state legislators, and say were supposed to lose a lot of those, and they held a lot of seats that they may have lost. it was good defensive action for the republican governors as well. >> martha: chris. >> we will never be rid of each other in this country. [laughs] >> martha: i thought you meant in this room. >> exactly. you guys are all right. you don't have the bito bit o'. even if you win a pretty

convincing presidential election, 47% of the country still voted against you. what we saw tonight was a preference among americans were divided government. we saw the fact that people are going to have to try to work together to some degree in washington. and the reminder here ought to be really clear for voters. we know what politicians want to do. they want to say if we just won the selection, then you can have everything that you want. if we just won this one more time, then all your dreams can come true, and those people will disappear from the face of the earth. that's not what happens. that's what you see tonight. a democratic house and away we go. >> look, i want to focus on something i have been talking a lot about in the last two years, which is in 2010, we are seeing it be the year of the woman again. we sought in 1992, a lot of women came out in record numbers especially for a midterm election, and for the first time in history, we are seeing maybe even 100 plus women and the and

the house of representatives, so that is a huge, huge thing, and i think it's going to be very interesting to see if this core group of women remains activated and engaged going into 2020. >> martha: another woman who was elected the first female senator, marsha blackburn tonight. so women on both sides of the political aisle have been running and voting on a variety of different topics, but the overall big picture here, the images at the agendas of the president will need will happen in the senate, which is now not hinging on the swing both of susan collins anymore. they were able to hold a lot of these hostage. now they don't have that power, they will help the president. this is president trump's republican party now. the candidates have asked him to come out on the campaign trail. did well for the most part tonight. they have embraced his agenda, the caravan or the economy, and that will help them moving into 2020 as well as he gets ready to run for reelection. >> all right, karl.

>> well, each side got their ribbons to take home, and maybe that's what the american people wanted. i think florida and georgia have some real important lessons. rick scott, who has no won the elections by one point, two points, and less than a point to the third time was able to prevail in large measure because he had his own image. people knew who he was independent of anyone else who came in and worked on his behal behalf. both desantis and kemp apparently benefited from having the right kind of upon it. of them particularly desantis in the form of andrew gillum had somebody who was out of the mainstream of their party. and they also benefited from having candidates who didn't think it was necessary to reach outside their own comfort zone. gillum said we don't need the republican votes, we want to get people who believe like us. >> bret: panel, thank you. it has been quite an eye. president obama's lost a 63

seats in the house in 2010, bill clinton lost 54 and eight in the senate. this could be 30, 35 and the house. >> martha: we can call that i win. >> bret: thanks for joining us. ed henry and julie banderas annex. >> martha: good night, everybody. thanks for being with us. hi. i'm misha. and my favorite bar is crunch. ♪ delicious 100% real chocolate embracing the lightness of crispy rice. crunch. the chocolate bar all americans love. hundred roads named "park" in the u.s.

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