>> ♪ >> ♪ >> ♪ >> tucker: welcome to a special 2020 edition of "tucker carlson tonight" tonight. the democratic party field is one of the biggest in human history. it's confusing. let's break down the current front runners. when are on the brink of collapse and which are on the brink of victory. we are joined by lisa. who do you think has the best shot of getting the nomination? >> i try to spend time to figure out how to articulate this to

you. the 2020 field is a cluster. you look at the sheer amount of candidates. democrats are divided trying to figure what they believe and what direction they will go in. that's because if you saw the dnc tipping its hand in the 2016 election against bernie sanders and hillary clinton an establishment candidate lost. if you are bernie sanders or elizabeth warren, an outsider, why not run because the establishment candidate did not win in 2016. there is not a clear front runner. even if you go to iowa and look at polling, they are sending conflicting messages. the majority of voters are saying our number 1 priority is defeating donald trump. the majority believe that biden is most likely to do it but pete

buttigieg is leading in the polls. we are in this interesting territory. if terms of the candidates who are the front runners, you have biden, warren, sanders and mayor pete. -- those are the top 4. looking at iowa and new hampshire. the 2 first contests. >> tucker: how long does that last? we are still this close to the first vote in iowa and have this many candidates. who do you think is likely to drop out next? >> i didn't know that john delaney was still in the race until he posted a video of him working out and said something about 2020. you have low hanging fruit like that. >> tucker: in a normal year do you think john delaney would be taken more seriously? >> absolutely. >> tucker: but the party has been so nuts. he is not even in it. >> i don't think we will have a clearer idea of how this will shake out until after iowa and new hampshire which are two

states that determined it dating back to the 1970s. what is interesting about that and the reason why you see people like bloomberg entering the race, is only 4% of the overall delegates will be allocated in the first 4 states. even after that, we might go until march 17th. typically the field starts to shake out after iowa, after new hampshire. if you look at polling right now, mayor pete is well positioned but that could change. warren was leading the pack previously in iowa until she got pummelled in the two debates. >> tucker: mayor pete is a child who represents an insignificant city in the middle west and hasn't done a good job doing it. if he is the front runner, the party is in trouble. >> who is the candidate then? if you look at joe biden leading

nationally but struggleing in iowa and new hampshire, he is not a strong candidate. even obama tried to push him out in 2016. maybe he is the nominee by default being part of the obama administration. who else is there? >> tucker: but a cluster. on a final note, a spiritual point. owl deserved. -- all deserved. they earned this. the chaos and the sadness they are reaping now. >> i went into this and i was trying to give a clear statement. the only thing i could come up with, it's a cluster. the other part i can't say on national television. >> tucker: no, but we get your point. america's national debt is more than 24 trillion dollars. in the democratic race that's

pocket change. they are competing for over the top spending promise for global warming. promising to spend money like it's the end of the world because they think it is. it's a good thing they claim the world is really ending. >> the climate that is rapidly approaching the point of no return and endangering the future of young generations. >> it's getting more and more dangerous out there and worse and worse for life on this earth. >> you can't wait for us to take on what is happening to our climate and the threat to the world. >> this is one of those moments. history will judge us. where did you stand when the planet was in peril? >> it's a threat to us as a species. >> cities all over the world will be under water by the end of the century. >> this is scary stuff. >> tucker: if you are going to

make the case that climate change is a threat, you have to learn how to pronounce that word. elizabeth warren is promising to spend trillion dollars every year providing free healthcare. the best healthcare for everyone including any foreign national living here illegally because she is that generous. that would require a massive tax hike on everybody including the middle-class. warren lies about it any way. >> will you raise taxes on the middle-class to pay for it, yes or no? >> the cost will go up for the wealthy and big corporations. for hard working middle-class families costs will go down. middle-class families will see their costs go down. >> will their taxes go up? >> but here's the thing. >> how much are your costs going to go down.

>> no, it's how much are your costs. >> i know that argument. but will you pay more in taxes? why don't you want to answer that question? it's not a republican talking point. answer the question. >> tucker: give elizabeth warren a cable show. for more on that we are joined by a man who can do math, justin. i don't know if you are keeping on your personal calculator a running tally of what all of this will cost but it's expensive? >> yes, it's really expensive. if you talk about expensive plans you have to start with the new green deal. this could cost up to 94-trillion dollars according to the american forum in the first 10 years. that's more than 4 times the

current national depth by some estimates. it would impose all kinds of socialist programs like free college tuition and basic income programs and single parent healthcare has been lumped into that. federal jobs guaranteed which could cost up to 45 trillion dollars. that doesn't include the environmental parts of the green deal. it would destroy the fossile fuel industry kicking millions of people out of their jobs. forcing everyone to buy more expensive and less reliable solar energy and eliminating fueled carc. -- cars. phasing out air travel. this is absolutely crazy stuff. >> tucker: wait. is it a good idea to turn your political party which i think is the oldest political party in the english speaking world over

to someone who just turned 30 and never had a real job, never had children, never been married. should that person be the person who outlines your entire agenda? is that a good idea? >> [laughing]. i think it's a horrible idea! >> tucker: okay, horrible idea. all of the polling of what independents want because their votes matter. the votes that matter the number 1 concern for those people is fiscal restitute. the budget deficit and spending money we don't have. what are they going to make of these proposals? >> i think the democratic party is more than shooting themselves in the foot. they are committing political suicide. did they not pay attention to what happened in 2016? you want to win the election, you have to win in the midwest. do you think the midwest wants

the green deal and wants to destroy manufacturing and send millions of jobs overseas? of course not. this is so stupid for the detectic party. >> tucker: thanks for saying that clearly. you are right. -- mayor bill de blasio is out of the presidential race but new york mayor michael bloomberg is in? why would he get more support than the mayor who followed him? a new doom campaign next. nobody wants hillary clinton in the race even the democratic party but keeps threatening to run again. will she do it. we will tell you as our special continues. here, it all starts with a simple...

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>> ♪ >> tucker: welcome back to tonight's 2020 election special. the democratic field is still enormous and yet there is as of tonight no frontrunner. that's causing democrats with particularly high self-esteem to enter the race like patrick and michael bloomberg. no reason to run but why not? speaking of candidates nobody wants to see up on the white house, hillary clinton keeps hinting she might join the race too. watch. >> he tweeted just this morning and i will quote. he said i think that crooked hillary clinton should try to enter the race to try to steal it away from uber-left elizabeth warren. it's remarkable how obsessed he remains with me. maybe there needs to be a

rematch. obviously i could beat him again. >> tucker: robert is an attorney and a democrat. you predicted that hillary clinton would jump in the race. watch this. >> tucker: i think hillary clinton wants to get in the race. >> i think she will absolutely get into the race. >> tucker: of course she is getting in. >> any candidate who has a book tour with a random book, they are running for something. >> tucker: he joins us tonight. as part of our on-going effort to update our predictions, mine and yours, i wanted to check in with you. you are a well connected democrat and ask you do you still think that hillary clinton is getting? if so when? what are her prospects? >> i think her prospects are higher now that she will get in. the recent polling shows there is a 4 way split at the top of the race. we may have 4 separate winners

for each of the early primary states. mayor pete iowa. bernie new hampshire and joe biden south carolina and warren wins nevada. going into super tuesday you have no frontrunner. hillary clinton has 100% name recognition and a fund-raising base and a clear reason to run. a rematch of 2016 where she won by over 3 million votes. if joe biden is not able to lock down this nomination within the next 2 months, there is no reason for her not to jump in prior to super tuesday. >> tucker: what about the practical hurdles like ballot access? it's too late. she can't raise the money. are those real hurdles? >> those would be hurdles for anyone else except for hillary clinton who has been running for

president since 1988. you have a ground game in place. you have consultants leaving other top campaigns. as more candidates dropout more of that talent becomes available. this week joe biden's latino advisor left his campaign. she has the ground game and fund-raising. for patrick is it realistic for him to win? no. but for someone like hillary clinton who already has the apparatus in place, it's almost a turn key operation. you come in and turn the key and flip the lights on. you have a 50 state campaign already in place. >> tucker: it's like living in a hotel and you don't have to hang pictures. maybe the one piece that we have not addressed could be the most important piece. there are a lot of democratic voters who want to see hillary run again? >> the democratic base wants a

unifying figure. right now it's split. we saw reports this week that president obama said he will step in to make sure that bernie sanders doesn't get the nomination. because you have this splintering between joe biden and pete buttigieg and amy klobuchar, you need a uniting figure. >> tucker: you make a compelling case. robert, great to see you. whoever win the democratic nomination will take on the president in the fall. has the party learned anything at all from its loss 3 years ago? we will explore that question in depth as our special continues next.

>> ♪ >> ♪ >> in new york, eu ambassador sonland back in the news but it has nothing to do with ukraine. he is accused by three women of sexually harasking them and taking measures when they rejected his advances. it happened when sonland was chairman of the hotels. -- he calls the accusations

false. sonland testified on capitol hill. other, vacuation under way in houston after a second blast rocked a refinery plant. three people were hurt. the cause unknown. now back to "tucker carlson tonight." >> tucker: one of the reasons progressives say they hate donald trump is because he lies a lot. trump is a committed liar. to prove the point the left is trying to catalog's trump dishonest we the scientific precision you associate with obsessed baseball fans or bird watchers. donald trump made a total of 13,435 falls or misleading statements while in office. as the postpoints out the line

began at the inauguration. perhaps you remember this claim which ofened official washington. >> here is a picture of the crowd. the audience was the biggest ever. this crowd was massive. look how far back it guess. >> tucker: we won't lie. that was untrue. the crowd at the 2017 inauguration was not the largest. why did the president claim it was? that's because who he is. donald trump is a salesman and a booster and a self-promotor and sometimes a full-blown bs artist. if trump was not rich in real estate, he could have made a fortune selling cars. most people know this. it's obvious. is lying really the reason the left despises donald trump? or could be the problem be the

exact opposite? think back over the last 4 years. when have the cnn anchors been the angriest? when donald trump exaggerated his own accomplishments? no. it's not when trump lies, it's when he tells the truth. truth is the real threat to their power. there is an unspoken agreement in charge of our country not to talk about what happened to it. they are implicated with its decline and profiting from it. they maintain a strict policy of mandatory reality avoidance. everything is fine they shout. diversity is our strength. shut up or we will hurt you. trump won't shut up. he keeps talking. that's his crime. that's why they hate him. it started with his very first speech as a presidential

candidate. >> when mexico sends its people, they are not sending their best. they are not sending you or you. they are sending people that have lots of problems. they are bringing those problems with them. they are bringing drugs. they are bringing crime. they are rapists and some i assume are good people. >> tucker: trump did not claim that everyone coming over the southern border is a criminal but some are. that's true. because it is true, you are absolutely under no circumstances allowed to say it. acknowledging that not every illegal alien improves america raises the question. if illegal immigrants has a down side, why has washington allowed so much of it? the if the people in challenge cared about us they would protect our borders. they don't care. they let millions of foreigners to stream in to use our services

and lower our wages and if some cases crit crimes. -- commit crimes. that's all true. trump was attacking the gatekeepers in the national media who should have been sounding the alarm. our system is rotten and corrupt and the news media are a major reason for why that is. that's what donald trump pointed out. not surprisingly they depiesed him for doing it. what is a biggest scandal to the average journalist? the fact that ms-13 gang members flooded into this country from central america and terrorize communicates from los angeles to long island? or the possibility that someone might complain about that? we don't need to guess the answer. last year donald trump dared to

complain about ms-13. watch. >> when the ms-13 comes in and the other gang members come into our country, i refer to them as animals and i always will. >> tucker: the motto of ms-13 is kill, rape, control. you might not have known that since details about what ms-13 actually is and what mets does have received far less media attention than donald trump's criticism of the gang. murdering the people with knives might be bad but insulting illegal alien murderers is a graver sin. >> i have a serious problem of the president dehumanizing any group of people in the united states even hardened criminals. >> dehumanizing opponents and using animal fet -- metaphors is dangerous. >> this is what the nazi did. >> we are all god's children.

>> when the president of the united states says about undocumented immigrants, these are not people, these are animals. you have to wonder. does he not believe in the spark of dii have bevinity. >> tucker: lost in the haze was any meaningful discussions of the policy. that was the whole point of the tantrum. it's a theme in washington. a similar passion play unfolded when the president was heard speaking about immigration in the white house. during a conversation with advisors trump asked why so many immigrants come to the u.s. from impoverished countries. shouldn't we try to draw people from the most advanced societies? that's a real question. cnn had to scream at you to make

sure you never ask that question. >> this is deeply offensive language. the president said why we are having all of these people from [bleep] come here? >> the shocking and racist communities about the [bleep] country. >> i am not surprised. in one way i am proud. i am a proud [bleep]. >> no, we are not all created equal. not if you were born in a [bleep] hole country. >> my grandparents from a country that was considered a [bleep] hole country. >> tucker: there is there a single living person who disagrees with trump's assessment of haiti? probably not. nobody on any of the cnn panels is relocating to haiti.

for the same reason. no thanks. if you want to know what people think, ignore what they say on television. watch what they do. no one believes haiti is appealing. criticizing haiti in public calls in into question decades of approved immigration policy. it must be forbiddened lest our leaders be embarrassed. that's what it's about. last year after the killing of khashoggi. while president trump disapproved of the murder saudi arabia remains a u.s. ally. -- he cited the saudi investments. if we broke our alliance, the u.s. economy would suffer and china and russia would benefit instead. whatever you think of the

saudis, what he said is true. this is the arrangement we had with saudi for generations now. everyone in washington knows that because a lot of them are on the saudi payroll. trumps crime was saying it out loud. the same is true with baltimore. maybe the most depressing big city on the eastern seaboard? if it's daylight out, there is no denying the awful reality of the place. this summer the president told the rest of the world what it's like. baltimore he said is a "rodent infested hellhole and a corrupt mess." all through. the latest mayor of the opportunity just went to jail again. the obvious follow-up is why is baltimore so bad? how did it get so poor and hopeless? part of the answer is 50 years

of uninterrupted democratic party rule hasn't helped baltimore. theying that -- saying that is embarrassing to the democratic party. >> donald trump makes it a racist debate about baltimore. >> another racist attack on an african-american member of congress and the city he represents. >> the president as he often is disgusting and racist. >> he uses the racist appeal and the bait and switch. >> in the most racist way. >> tucker: in washington the leaders of the episcopal church called the president's words about baltimore dangerous. nothing in the end changed in

baltimore. baltimore remained dangerous. real danger where your kid is shot riding his bike to the store. that's what life is like in the physical city of baltimore, a place where msnbc contractors and left wing clerics fear to tread. that place is sad, and desperate and skewed up. and not one person doesn't think it is. -- talking about that might point up their own failures and selfishness. whatever we do, we can't bring that up because it's embarrassing. let's just agree that donald trump is a racist, liar and move on. did you know he is up to 14,000 lies by now?

what a bad person he is! unlike us. democrats are pandering hard for the african-american votes but president trump could be winning over some of those voters. that's next on tonight's special. one reason democrats are pandering is because of the race to the bottom on wokeness. how has the party become so obsessed with race, gender and sexual orientitation? is there any escape from that path that leads nowhere good? we will tell you just ahead.

>> ♪ >> tucker: welcome back to tonight's special presentation on the 2020 election.

african-americans are the most loyal block of democratic voters and the largest. democrats want to keep that support to win any race nationally. but for many candidates appeals for votes are turning into just pandering. that's why earlier this year they lined up to kiss the ring of former fbi informant sharpton and denouncing the whole country is racist and inventing phrases. >> we live in a country where the president is advancing economic racism and healthcare racism. >> you can't be blind to the impact of generations of racism and white supremacy win into our laws over century. >> [muffled audio]. >> [applauding]. >> tucker: democratic leaders are telling african-american voters you have a lot to be angry about.

if you look at the polls african-american voters don't seem that angry. recent polling have trump getting 34% approval from african-american voters. what does that mean? chris is an attorney and u.s. civil rights commissioner. thanks for coming on. i have never seen any number like that. a couple of polls have it in that range. should we believe those numbers and what do they tell us? >> you can believe them, in the last 3 months we had other polls that show similar data. it's extraordinary the last republican president bush had a 14% approval rating and got 11% of the black vote. we have never seen 34% since the eisenhower era. the democratic candidate typically gets between 85 to 95%

of the black vote. it is imperative they get that. it's a threat to the republican party if it's the case. it may be for about 4 factors. it's the best economy ever for black americans. the unemployment rate is the lowest ever. a 33% points lower than obama's black unemployment numbers. i also think there is another factor. a black variant, zito noticed this in 2016, the movement of blue collar white voters to trump and everyone missed it. i think it's happening at a smaller level but a similar

dynamic, you have a distrust among many blacks for institutions that failed them. including the black congressional caucus. the democratic party has had no improvement in sight. that fact there was a downward slope. you look at the messages the democratic candidates are trying to sell, they are insane. they don't resonate in the black community. >> tucker: right. what percentage would you say of african-american voters even understand all of the gender stuff? men can have babysit. -- babies. is that a popular message in the black community? >> you don't hear anybody talking about that or the green deal. you hear frustration with

democrats throwing them under the bus in favor of illegal immigrants despite the fact that blacks have been loyal to the democrat party for 80 years. the open borders are hurting the black community in terms of the labor market. you have to understand that donald trump is making the greatest outreach to the black community of any republican president of our lifetime. i have lived in the same place for 35 years. i received only one gop flier. trump is making an aggressive outreach. it's paying off. he doesn't need to have a 34% polling with blacks to revail. all he needs is to boost that percentage. got 8% last time. that's typical for a republican candidate. if he gets it up to 13%, game

over. >> tucker: that's right. thanks for that analysis. >> happy thanksgiving. >> tucker: and to you. in an ideal world presidential candidates would compete over who is best requested. -- qualified. we live in a cartoon world. the democrats are in a race to adopt the most issues in category you have not thought of. >> a white guy should not be president. >> to be more thoughtful going forward in which i talk about our marriage and i acknowledge the criticism i enjoyed white privilege. >> [cheers and applause]. >> my pronouns are she, her and hers. >> mine too.

>> tucker: [laughing]. jasmine a journalist from new york city. -- chadwick. i don't know what to think about two of the guys are out. their wokeness did not save them. that should make me happy or sad? >> great question. [laughing]. >> tucker: do you think in the end that the woke thing has any appeal outside of your old neighborhood in brooklyn? >> no, unless you are talking about donors and the lbgtq lobby. china is not shaking in their boots because we want to give free sex changes to illegals under president warren. >> tucker: was that a proposal? >> she mentioned we will help

transgenders illegals at the border. >> tucker: wait a second. if our diversity is our strength, that's a show of force. >> [laughing]. i think china's monolithic control over their people is their strength. maybe that's what the democratic party is going for. >> tucker: that's a good point. >> the debate after the lbgtq town hall it was an episode of jerry springer, had a lot of americans cringing. they are shape shifters in. ohio they were moderate and no lbgtq stuff came up in the last debate. >> tucker: i think the average person watching and even the average republican, i am not

against gay people. what did we sign up for? people grabbing the mics and screaming and talking about biology that is impossible. >> bringing children into it. most average americans don't care. they have a live and let live attitude. maybe either they are toning down on the wokeness. they doesn't start off that waive. the debates have been calmer. -- way. now they are focussing on insane policy by green deal. >> tucker: i can't it will either. i hope you continue with us for the length of this journey into insanity. we will close on a solemn note. mark stein join us to remember all of the 2020 candidates who could not make it to 2020. n out,

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a >> tucker: ending tonight special on a serious note, there's still a lot of set gnomic democratic democratic le- kristen gillibrand, lecturing america on its immorality. [laughs] sorry, had to laugh. eric swalwell, totally forgot he ran for president until just now. mark steyn is one of the great obituary writers of the time but

he has remembered every departed candidate. he joins us tonight to remember them. great to see you. >> they could raise from the grave. there is actually no more dead than many of the candidates that are still in the race. >> tucker: that's literally true. >> i always think of bill de blasio, i think a democrat mayor of new york is -- and bill de blasio reduced it to nothing. what i loved about it is, that time he couldn't make it to io iowa. he taped his message, and unfortunately came out with him doing it and then alvin and the chipmunks voice. that's how much they hated it in new york. so if he was still in the race, he's the only candidate that

could actually do, i want a hula-hoop, from the christmas song from the chipmunks. and, let's have a look at it. >> i guarantee working people like every other industrial life country in the world, guaranteed per working people, guaranteed by law two weeks paid vacation every year. and he would have been great. >> so, beto is gone. the guys at "vanity fair" thought he would be around forever. >> he had fascinated me because he actually apologize for everything, actually apologized for being born. but curiously enough instead of

making way for undocumented transgender to take their rightful place the head of the american nation, and that's the toxic masculinity which is by becoming the head of state. so, that doesn't make any difference. >> it's a pretext to seizing more power, isn't it? >> exactly. he used the f word more than any other candidate. the atlantic wrote a thoughtful piece on how this had actually made him more credible. and in fact the more he used the f word, and -- >> oh gosh. she lectured the voters of

youngstown, ohio, on their white privilege. youngstown, in case you've never heard it it's apparently the martha's vineyard of in northeastern ohio. the barbra streisand's of northeastern ohio, they all live in youngstown and that's why kirsten gillibrand lectured them on how they have the white privilege. the fact that you don't note that you have it in youngstown -- b6 not enough are dying from fenton overdose. you just reminded me. mark steyn, great to see you as always. >> good to see you. happy thanksgiving. we will be back every night at eight. the show that's the sworn enemy of lying, pomposity, smugness and groupthink. have a great night. musical physical ♪

>> welcome to the special edition of "hannity." my jason chaffetz into night for sean. for over three years democrats have thrown everything but the kitchen sink at president trump. yet the president remains unfazed. his rallies are as massive as ever and his poll numbers are getting stronger and he hasn't lost his sense of humor. today, he tweeted out this image depicting himself as a rocky balboa members of the media mob fetch their pearls. like rocky, president trump knows how to take a punch and persevere and fight back.