>> martha: democracy 2020 pair will be back later with special coverage, results coming and we expect. we will see you later on tucker's show. >> bret: we have you covered. we will toss you over to tucker. >> tucker: this is a fox news alert. the doors have closed at thousands of caucus sites across iowa. the 2020 race, the voting season has become officially for good and bad. we are going to learn who's really up and who is really down. good evening and welcome to "tucker carlson tonight." expecting the first i will result in the next hour. we have new and exclusive fox motor analytics. will give our explanation of how tonight's vote fits into an ongoing and particularly bitter civil war within the democratic party, when that's not been covered very well by the media. they are the home team. they don't want to talk about it, but we well. maybe it's best to open tonight with an explanation of how the

process works because it's complex. we are joined by a man no better man, bill hemmer, host of bill hemmer reports. >> thousands of locations all across the state, if you live in that particular location, that precinct in iowa law, you walk into a room. sometimes there might be names on the wall. if you support a particular candidate, tucker, you go to that area. if that candidate has achieved a minimum of 15% of those who attend the caucus site, that candidate is considered viable, and the advance. if you are 15% or below, you have a choice as a caucus goer in iowa. you can stay with the candidate who has less than 15% or you can move around the room to another candidate who is at percent. or you can go home. that's pretty much the simplest way to explain what's happening in iowa right now. 8:00 east coast time. if i were looking for a few

signs throughout the night, i am joe biden, these are the results from four years ago. hillary clinton a hare beating bernie sanders by .3 points. if i am looking for caucus goers who support me and i am joe biden, i am looking along the mississippi area. this area is heavily catholic. hillary clinton was a winner four years ago. if joe biden is going to do well, he has to do places like this. what about bernie sanders? are they still with bernie sanders from four years ago? i look at linn county. cedar rapids in eastern iowa. bernie sanders won over hillary clinton by five points. could this be a data point perhaps throughout the evening? bernie sanders had a rally there a few days ago, huge crowd. 3500 people. second most populous city, cedar

rapids and iowa, if bernie sanders done welcome he could be off and running there again in 2020. we will see how this starts to fill in throughout the night and as we advance to the 2020 present day, the colors between biden, sanders, and bloomberg to a lesser degree because he's not campaigning here, will fill in. that's the baseline of knowledge at the moment, tucker. we will see where we get here. >> tucker: i have covered this instance '92 and i've never really figured it out, but you have. thanks a lot. bill hemmer. we have exclusive fox news analysis on tonight's race. polling data just came through. shannon bream is breaking it down and she will join us in a few minutes. it is here, the night democrats in washington honestly been dreading for weeks. impeachment has obscured this but trust me, and the mind of every democratic consultant and officeholder in d.c., it spent tonight, the first boating of the 2020 primary season. as is so often the case, pretty

much everything, the illiterates postinposing as political analy, remember when they told you bernie sanders had no chance to end. but the race was between joe biden, elizabeth warren, beto o'rourke, and kamala harris. it seems amusing now. warren is still in the race but is plummeting towards earth. joe biden has wandered off to find the dessert cart. why can't a man get a decent slice of rhubarb pie in this place? bernie sanders is now the front runner. this is a nightmare scenario for the democratic establishment in washington. they are hoping against hope that amy klobuchar an gets gravy tonight and some votes. they are in frantic calls to an authoritarian new york mayor who happen to have $60 billion in the bank. save us, tiny billionaire. save us. the rest of us have a lot to enjoy this primary season but there's also a lot to learn by

watching it, so watch it. sanders is running on a premise that you might recognize actually if you voted for donald trump in 2016. the system is rotten and corrupt. elect me and i will fight for you. except in this case, with burning, there's some evidence they who will also tear down a lot of it. maybe all of it. so far, sanders has promised these executive orders to open the borders just in case you didn't think the country was changing fast enough already. sanders wants to ban hydraulic fracking which was shutter america's most productive economic sector and make us once again dependent on middle eastern theocracies. sanders promises it will all be fine because of the green new deal, which not incidentally, we'll give him total control over the huge portion of the american economy. so there's that. and he says he would nationalize the health care system and make private insurance illegal. he would hike the top tax income bracket, impose a wealth levy on those who thinks he has too much and that's just for starters. the democratic party's funders on wall street and in silicon valley like the sound of this.

the new taxes especially. they love lifestyle of liberalism when it means legal weed and raunchy halftime shows and nonbinary bathrooms. that's free and in fact you can make money on the weed and they are. tightening the tax code, no, no thanks. they are not into that at all. so their friends on cnn, the digital bodyguard of the ruling class, they begged for help, and cnn delivered. days before the last debate, cnn ran an unruly unproven hit piece on sanders call him a sexist and then they went further. >> senator sanders, i want be clear. you are saying that you never told senator warren that a woman could not win the election. >> that's correct. >> senator warren, what did you think when senator sanders told you a woman could not win the election? >> i disagreed. >> tucker: see, he is a sexist just like donald trump. that was the signal for everyone

to pile on which they did. paul krugman waddled out from his cubicle at "the new york times" to call bernie sanders a liar. craven hack of "new york magazine" did what he was told, as he always does, he called sanders' surgeon act of insanity. other people assuring their readers that bernie can't win. they know sanders can win and they are worried about it. honestly on some level, you can't blame them for being worried about it. sanders is a human bug light. every lunatic in the democratic party seems drawn to him. they can't stay away. most of alexandria ocasio-cortez's squad has endorsed him. they are on the road for him. just the other day, his surrogate, congressman rashida tlaib reminded the country how she earned her reputation as the single most unappealing member of congress. watch. >> you remember last week when someone by the name of hillary clinton said that nobody -- we are not going to boo.

we are classy. >> i will boo. boo. you know i can't be quiet. we are going to boo. that's all right. the haters will shut up on monday when we win. >> tucker: monday has come, and we are going to find out just a moment if they have won, not that it really matters because no matter where he places in iowa tonight, bernie sanders is not going away and neither are his supporters. the democratic party is going to be dealing with these people for months and months, if not years. and you can say it's not deserved. because it is. former supreme court clerk and he joins us tonight, ian. thank you so much and congratulations on a win that has not yet happened. we expect bernie sanders will do well. will you make a prediction? >> i think we are going to win. at this point, the caucus doors have closed. no more work we can do to do

anything. the precinct captains are doing their thing, and although i haven't been in iowa, i have a lot of close friends who've been there knocking on doors and driving around in the freezing cold. all of them feel good. i think we are going to win. >> tucker: does it give them energy or does it discourage them when the atlantic in "new york magazine" in "the new york times" and buffoonish outdated publications as one land on the sanders campaign? >> we love it. if you have seen "the fifth element" and they have that planet and every time you shot a weapon into it, he got stronger. we thrive on it because it demonstrates that one of our arguments is true, that this system is rigged by a bunch of elites that you wouldn't want to have dinner with. look how scared they are. they are not scared of elizabeth warren. and they shouldn't be. if you really don't like these people, and a lot of people don't for a really good set of reasons, you want somebody who scares them. that's part of why trump had a lot of appeal. he was loathed by people who

were so loathsome. we love it. >> tucker: loathed by people who were so loathsome. people you wouldn't have dinner with. what do you make of the democratic national committee's response? dnc is supposed to be neutral in a primary. it is the democratic national committee, not the joe biden national committee. but they are changing the debate criteria to allow michael bloomberg in. what do you make of that? >> yes. remember they swore up and down earlier in the process the date they couldn't change the rules for anybody. sorry, cory booker. sorry, mike gravelle, sorry everybody else. can't change the rules for anybody and then michael bloomberg writes a gigantic donation to the dnc and they look at bernie sanders streaking in on them like an asteroid, like they are dinosaurs looking up at him insisting he's a socialist. they discover member they can change the debate rules. great. we are always looking for another billionaire to put in

the loss column. please have him there. we will pay for the box for him to stand on. >> tucker: [laughs] we only have a little bit of time. this is probably a long answer but give me the condensed version. how does the democratic party recover from this? >> as it has existed previous to now, it's not going to. one of two things is going to happen. this party is going to be taken over by the working-class sort of multiracial coalition that's behind this campaign, and i think that's what's going to happen. it's going to be the democratic party in the name still but it's going to be operated for a completely different set of interests organized is really almost a real labour party which the united states has never had. that's one possibility. or if that doesn't happen, then this is the democratic party's last chance to hold on to this coalition and the base is going to split into, and the democratic party is going to go the way of the whigs.

>> tucker: i wish we had done this story more aggressively because i think you're absolutely right. great to see you. thank you. with the doors finally closed in the areas in iowa, able to release new fox news motor analytics. ""fox news @ night"" host shannon bream is here with those numbers. >> we have talked to nearly 3,000 people who are going to these caucuses tonight and now that they've begun, let's talk about some of the attendees. if women are more than half of those who say they're going to shop tonight at the female candidates don't have a lock on their support. warren does top the list followed by biden, sanders, and buttigieg. klobuchar rounds out the group at 15%. we also looked at seniors. they are about a third of the caucus goers. they don't necessarily want to back an older candidate. biden does top the list for them but look at the following. klobuchar, buttigieg, and warren. what about caucus goers under the age of 45? on the other hand, they are

breaking for sanders with biden at the bottom of that pack. they are passionate and they are turning out on their pledge they are going to be there tonight to matter what. sanders enjoys the backing of some longtime supporters. these may be carry-overs from 2016. a lot of these, four in ten of those who've known all along with a support say they are backing sanders and nothing is dissuading them. finally, those who have just pick their candidate in the last few days because there's been a lot of talk about how the caucus goers actually said listen, i don't know what i'm going to do when i get there. they are spreading their support more evenly among the candidates and of course once they get in there and asked bill hemmer explained, they start debating with each other and they start horsetrading and all that kind of stuff. they are still very malleable. we will track tonight and we have more fox news voter analysis coming up. we'll make sure you get the nuggets too. >> tucker: klobuchar doing a little bit better than i expected. shannon, thank you. that was interesting. we have more from iowa but

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>> tucker: fox news alert. the iowa caucuses are going on at this moment. they are caucusing. the first results will start arriving in moments. when they do, we will have them here immediately. we can't wait. the other big story tonight is the continuing spread of the coronavirus in china and now throughout the world. amazing undercover videos from china show the scope of the crisis there. they raise disquieting possibilities that china's government is not telling the whole truth about what's going on. in fact, now that seems likely. chief breaking news correspondent trace gallagher has more. >> the death toll from coronavirus in china is 425 and that surpasses that country's death toll from the sars virus in 2002-2003. remember, that is the number china is reporting. the country is notorious for secrecy and censorship. many critics believe that china is downplaying the severity. chinese citizen journalists are

posting videos online that we've not independently verified showing a situation that appears to be getting worse. in one video, clothing salesman claims to have spotted eight dead bodies in 5 minutes at public hospitals in wuhan. after the videos went public, he said masked man in hazmat suits banged on his door telling him he needed to be quarantined. he says he was suspicious because he didn't have any symptoms on the men were not doctors. sure enough, he says they broke into his home, confiscated his electronic devices, and took him away. not to a hospital but to jail where he was accused of selling the videos. there are numerous other reports of china cracking down on activists who were trying to use these videos to investigate the severity of the outbreak. chinese human rights vendors say more than 250 chinese citizens have been detained for allegedly "spreading rumors." finally, we should note that food companies in china have launched contact list delivery

service where food is left outside and drivers stay at least 10 feet away from customers. we should note kfc and pizza hut in china are also not allowing their drivers to have contact with customers. tucker. >> tucker: those are shocking videos, trace. they really are. thanks for that. appreciate it. gordon chang is the author of the book "the coming collapse of china." he joins us tonight. thank you for coming on. 450 deaths. that's the official number. hard to believe at this point and we have spoken to people who seem to have knowledge of this in the u.s. government who suggested that's not true. what do you make that number? >> that number is far too low. there are two reasons for it. as trace gallagher mentioned, deliberate falsification. this has been going on since the virus was first identified in december. but also there is something that's even more worrying. the second reason is i think the

government in wuhan and some other cities have just lost the ability to pick up corpses. so really what we are having right now is they are completely overwhelmed. they are not able to keep accurate statistics. so what we are witnessing is essentially a breakdown in government and keeping accurate statistics is a very minor part of their priorities right now. >> tucker: that tells the whole story. i think we maybe should have seen this coming. if you quarantine a cd of 11 million people, bigger than new york city, it's not a small thing. massive disruption, economic disruption, massive expense and is hard to control people. he would never do that unless you felt you had to. would you? >> right. i can understand why they want to quarantine but remember, this wuhan mayor said about 5 million people from his city left before the quarantine was imposed. also right now the quarantine has aggravated a problem and that is people can't get to hospitals, so they are at home. if they are at home, they are

dying. they are infecting other people in their households because they are not, in a sense, quarantined from wives, husbands, brothers, sisters, whatever. do not have a situation where the quarantine has made the problem worse. it's also created panic. that panic has had consequences on, for instance, social cohesion which is absolutely necessary if you want to beat an epidemic. >> tucker: we should say that the video we are playing, i don't know if you can see it, gordon. apparently the man who shot this video has now disappeared. probably not surprising. quickly, you are painting a picture moving towards the brink of real disorder. do you think that's right? >> yes, because also, it's not just wuhan. virologists think that wuhan will be duplicated in cities like shanghai, maybe even beijing. clearly there is fear everywhere throughout china right now. this is only going to get worse

because it's probably not going to end until april or may. >> tucker: scary. gordon chang, think you so much for that. >> thanks, tucker. >> tucker: will take you back to iowa. first voting in the 2020 raise convincincommencing. we are expecting the first results any minute. whenever facing truly dramatic events, we turn to victor david hanson. professor, you are looking at the voting in iowa and this is the first moment where we get to test our theories about what voters want and what they don't want. it looks like, we don't know, it looks like bernie sanders is doing pretty well. what does that tell us? >> well, it tells us nobody in their right mind ever thought that an unabashed, on a ball -- unapologetic socialist would have a shot at the nomination. it's been a century since socialists, it's a commentary on

the democratic field. joe biden's candidacy was like a scab torn off during impeachment. we looked underneath and it was a wound with hunter biden. the stress got to him. elizabeth warren, she is what she always was. strident, self-righteous, sanctimonious. part pseudo-socialist, part capitalist grifter. that candidacy has stalled. it trends on the same thing that promoted donald trump. he's authentic. i can't think that bernie would anymore change his new york accent than trump, not like biden or hillary clinton going to the south. he is what he is. that helps him. he is also hated by the party establishment and the way that donald trump was. the never-sanders left is as inauthentic and unattractive as the never trumper platoon establishment, and that helps him. all that said, i don't think he's going to get the nomination

ultimately and if he were, i don't think he's going to win because it is very different than donald trump. donald trump approached the heart out of the democratic party, the blue-collar lunch bucket constituency that was turned off by open borders and so-called free trade, things like that. trump has no appeal i think to work trump -- excuse me, sanders has no appeal to where i think trump is vulnerable. suburban women are going to be terrified by some of sanders' agenda that you articulated earlier. the open borders, the wealth tax, high income taxes. that's not going to reassure people. i don't think -- and is he really an outsider? he spent 40 years in politics. he doesn't have anything to show for it. donald trump was an outsider. this was new to him. so he's been around. so i think there's enough differences that he doesn't quite fit the trump model. >> tucker: one thing we are learning, and this is similar to trump. a lot of democrats out like their party.

i think that's a powerful thing. >> great point. trump united the republican party. 92%. i can't see sanders uniting 92% of the democrats. >> tucker: i completely agree. as always, thank you. victor davis hanson. >> thank you. speak to the president's reelection team is watching closely tonight of course. lara trump joins us to provide the campaign's reaction. that's next. we are tracking iowa all night. stay tuned to get the results similar we get them. we'll be right back. - do you have a box of video tapes, film reels, or photos,

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>> tucker: fox news alert. just after 8:30 eastern time, it's 7:30 in the state of iowa. the doors closed 30 minutes ago. early results are imminent. we are joined tonight right now by bret baier and martha maccallum. they are both int in des moines, iowa. i don't know who to ask first. jump ball. i know you hate to predict. is your sense going into this that bernie was the front runner? will he come out of it high on the roster would you say? >> martha: i think bernie is going to do well. that's the feeling that you get across the board here but i think one of the most interesting things with the

fox news motor analysis, tucker, is that the top five appear to e bunched very closely together. i think the potential for some interesting surprises here tonight is very plausible. >> bret: remember the process. it's not like a lot of different processes. you go into a place, precinct, firehouse new get in the corner and they go through and they separate. you've got to stand there. it takes a while. they are in there now and the doors are closed. you have five candidates within striking distance, within essentially the margin of error, if you want to talk polling terms. sanders is well-positioned. warren is stronger than a lot of people thought she was going to be. the big question is joe biden, tucker, and where he finishes. >> tucker: given the process, it does seem like it rewards the candidate with the most intense supporters. >> it does. i think that's why, one of the things we are watching closely is how bernie sanders reacts after this first round, because the way they are trying to

organize it is nothing will be released until all the results are tabulated. on the first round, all the candidates have their own apps where they are tabulating everything. will bernie sanders, because of the pressure he's under from his own party, as you were talking about, tucker, will they start to leak out some information? i think they are trying to very aggressively game the impression here. not to change the numbers but to make sure they get those numbers out there. >> tucker: pete buttigieg, from the nearby state, indiana, just like his got to do pretty well tonight or it's harder for him going forward. is that his campaigns sense? >> bret: i think so. i think he needs to finish in the top tier. he is kind of they are going in. it matters what the ground game looks like. that's a lot in iowa. how you can get people first to show up and then to be influential and kind of move people around in these different

precincts. you have to have a precinct captain who says listen, let's go get the andrew yang people, get them to stand over here and let's win on the second alignment. >> tucker: that would be the yang gang. >> bret: technically. >> tucker: bret, martha, thank you. >> martha: thank you. see you later. >> tucker: the caucuses are being held for both parties tonight. the word is donald trump won on the republican side. there was never any question. even the president's campaign is focused more on the democratic results tonight. lara trump is the daughter-in-law of the president of the united states and is advising his campaign. she joins us from iowa. lara, thank you for coming on. >> you've got it. >> tucker: i could imagine if i asked who would you like to see win on a doesn't matter because we feel strong about our chances in november. if no one was around and i said would you like to see win, what would you say? >> bernie looks very strong right now. i think whenever you're talking about comparing on

november 2020, 2 different candidates, they couldn't be more different between donald trump and bernie sanders. you are right, it doesn't really matter to us who it is because we feel like people are feeling the result of the trump presidency and very positive ways every day across this country. we feel great as we go into november. but listen, if you want to start contrasting and you want to show people how frightening it could be out there, i guess bernie sanders could be that person. we'll have to see what the people of iowa and all across this country decide. >> tucker: it kind of seems like elizabeth warren has flattened -- that's too strong. we'll find out soon. she's not performing in the way that the national media expected three months ago. does that surprise you? >> no. nothing surprises me. this has been a very unique democratic field i think. my experiences from 2016 when i was here in iowa caucusing for donald trump, who did not come in first place. as we know these very early caucuses and primary elections,

things are always different. you can't really predict the future by them. but it's been a very interesting field to see and i think from the trump campaign perspective, we would love a clear front runner so we can focusing on that person. it really hasn't panned out that way yet. we are all watching, just like everybody else in the country, and to see what happens. >> tucker: it does seem awfully chaotic. for a party that said for three years that all we care about is beating trump, that's it. i don't care. just give me some of you can be trump. there is no clear front runner. does that seem strange to you? >> it should be strange. the problem is that instead of focusing on actually getting along with this president and doing things positive to impact this country, they have been obsessed with trying to get him out of office. maybe they should have spent their time, i don't know, vetting better candidates and trying to find people that are likable as candidates. instead they have tried to impeach the president. they have put forward the russia collusion hoax. they worked against him that everything will turn. fortunately for the country, the

president has been incredibly successful with everything he's done despite the fact that they worked against him. maybe they should have put their energy elsewhere. who knows. >> tucker: i don't think they got anything out of any of that. as you sent, the country definitely didn't. lara trump, thank you so much. well, a lot is riding on tonight's results for all the candidates. but joe biden maybe most of all. he was supposed to be the prohibitive front runner. we will find out. peter doocy has been traveling with him. how do the biden people feel about this tonight? >> we have some brand-new info about that. i just spoke to biden advisor who said the former vp is watching the coverage with his family and this advisor told me that the entry -- the entrance polls they have seen so far from caucus locations lines up with what they were expecting. but we don't know exactly which poles they've seen so we don't know if that's promising for them or not so much. you can see behind me there are

very few people here outside of staff and press. most of the democrats they are expecting to be here for eventual or remarks from the former vp are still at their caucus locations making their way over. i can also report that whenever they get here, there's a cash bar set up. $5 for a beer, $8 for a mixed drink if any of the democrats so choose. >> tucker: that's a lot. he said the former vice president was watching. any idea on what channel he was watching? >> we can find out. >> tucker: if you would come i'd be grateful. if you can tweet it, we'll be watching. good luck out there, peter. great to see you. >> thanks, tucker. >> tucker: major night in the political world but it's also sad one particular for a lot of us here. we have news about rush limbaugh. we are going to tell you more about it and speak to his most recurring guest host right after the break. we are also expecting results from the iowa caucuses any

minute. where on it all night long here at fox. be right back.

>> tucker: this is a fox news alert. we are monitoring the iowa caucus results closely. we are starting to get the numbers soon and will bring you the winner is one of you know who it is. don't wander off. first we want to bring you some sad news tonight. radio show host rush limbaugh has announced he's been diagnosed with advanced lung cancer and will be taking time off for treatment. we are rooting for him and saying a prayer for him. it's worth pausing now that we've been reminded once again how little control we have over

our lives, and noting what an incredibly talented person rush limbaugh is. limbaugh has been the target of court new political tax from 25 years so it's easy to forget he's not primarily a political figure. he is a broadcaster and his remarkable one. his critics are too small my need to admit that but see for yourself. try hosting a three hour show every day with no guests. he will get a sense of just how impressive rush limbaugh is. limbaugh doesn't just talk politics. he explains it, that's the key. it's always been the key. his show packs more facts and ideas into a three hour period than most college courses do. limbaugh has done it five days a week with no tenure for decades. try that yourself some time. the main worry at this point is that no one else will ever try it again. the next guy will be content with shallow attacks and clever memes. twitter on the radio. that's where we seem to be heading sometimes. it's yet another reason to route as fervently as you can for limbaugh's speedy recovery.

godspeed, rush limbaugh. joining us tonight is our friend, mark steyn, who was a filling host very frequently on the rush limbaugh show and he's filling in tomorrow. we are happy to have him. mark, thanks for coming on. what sad news this was. you know rush limbaugh are really well. what's your reaction to it and to him? >> well, it is sad. today was a very typical show. he did two and three-quarter hours of great, terrific insight with a lot of fun and a lot of fun aside. he made some passing aside under tom jones record, about an hour and a quarter into the show. he gives you all the heavy weight stuff. he is kind of rich life. he's got a hinterland of interests, and that's why he's not like a lot of narrow people who are just focused on who happens to be up a point and a half in iowa last week or whatever. in the last 10 minutes of the

show, he told us some really devastating and tough news. >> tucker: i want to pause there if i couldn't show our viewers who didn't see it what rush limbaugh says on his show today about his illness. here it is. >> i've been diagnosed with advanced lung cancer. my intention is to come here every day i can. i have had so much support from family and friends during this that it's been tremendous. >> tucker: boy, that is heavy-duty. he handled it with self-control. >> no, it is heavy-duty. he hates having to talk about himself in that way. you know, rush is a phenomenon. we were saying he does it for three hours a day. he's done it for over 30 years. radio was invented, it got going

just about a century ago. rush has been number one for a third of the history of the entire medium. he basically invented that form. there are hundreds of radio stations all over the country that basically build our schedules around him. they have him from noon to 3:00 eastern and they find someone for the morning sun find someone for the afternoons. some want to go before him, someone to go after him. but basically if it weren't for him inventing that form, those stations would be playing soft and easy favorites or doing sports talk or something else entirely different. if you can imagine the state of american conservatism without the form that rush invented. after romney lost eight years ago, one of these clever consultants who's made millions of done nothing said that we need to cut loose rush and the talk radio crowd. rush and that so called crowd that you want to cut loose bring

30 million people to the table while the consultant brings nothing. the first time i guess toasted, i was asked while i was down in australia. i was with the prime minister then, john howard, and i said i had to fly back to guest host rush's show and he said i hear it's a pretty big show and i said yes about 25, 30 million listeners. he goes, rush has more listeners than we have australians. that's actually -- i hadn't really thought about it in those terms until then. but that's what he built. he is so secure. unlike many people at the top of this business, tucker, he has no insecurities, no petty jealousies. he is secure and kind and generous. everyone has had anything to do with the rush limbaugh show will be rooting for him. >> tucker: that's exactly right and that's what i thought, what a kind man. >> he is the kindest.

i owe him everything. in america, i owe rush everything. >> tucker: we will listen to you tomorrow. thank you, mark. mark steyn. early results trickling in from the state of iowa, the favorite entering the vote tonight was bernie sanders, he's made a dramatic surge since the new year and take the lead in the lot of polls. we have someone with the sanders campaign and she joins us tonight. thank you for coming to us from the sanders campaign. i am interested, what is the feeling? what do they expect? how many people are there? >> tucker, the doors opened here at 8:00 local time. senator sanders is expected to show up at this caucus party later on tonight. he came back from washington to be here as the results start to come in. i got to speak to the senator's wife, dr. jane sanders. she says his run this time feels different than in 2016 because he has so much name recognition because those policies that were once seen as very radical have now come into the mainstream.

she used the $15 an hour minimum wage is an example. also because they came so close to winning in 2016, they only lost to hillary clinton in the caucuses by .3 percentage point. they've been able to draw on that existing support especially well he's been sidelined in washington during impeachment and really call on those volunteers that his campaign said volunteers knocked on half a million doors. has the most grass-roots donors of any of his rivals. they are hoping this people come out in force tonight. >> tucker: we are going to find out very, very soon. i will be interested to hear what the reaction is. jackie, thank you for that. the numbers from the state of iowa starting to come in. stay with us throughout the night to find out the winner. we will tell you as soon as we hear.

>> tucker: as we told you, the results from the iowa caucus are coming in shortly. if bernie sanders wins tonight, he will be by definition the front runner. the establishment despising. how will they stop him? if they don't, what happens next. kristen soltis anderson is a professional pollster. thank you for joining us. if sanders comes out ahead tonight, what next for the democratic party? what do they do? >> if sanders comes out ahead tonight he goes into new hampshire very strong. new hampshire is the state next door to vermont.

it's kind of home to her for him. if he winds up winning iowa and new hampshire and the democratic party goes into panic mode trying to do anything to stop him, he could be really divisive and problematic long-term for the party. one thing that unites democrats is a desire to be donald trump but they are not at all united around whether bernie sanders if doing so. bringing up something like mike bloomberg late in the game with tons of money, a billionaire, to take out bernie sanders, would be enormously divisive if not destructive in the democratic party. >> tucker: that's for sure. can i predict a cnn panel, we will see if bernie wins, they are going to say iowa and new hampshire have so many white voters that they don't count. that's not the democratic party, it's not a meaningful win. what does bernie stated that? >> you've already begun hearing that even before we got the latest polling surge. its long-term benefits are in for democrats. iowa and new hampshire are important to test your ability to get passionate supporters to build organization. it shouldn't come as a big

surprise to democrats that bernie sanders is doing quite well here. he does have long-term challenges with, say, african-american voters and that's wise not quite as strong a place like south carolina. he's like they did do quite well in nevada. you can say that that's just -- that's not a diverse caucus state for democrats. >> tucker: you're right, big hispanic populist. thank you for joining us. maybe no candidate has more on the line tonight then senator elizabeth warren. she was the national front runner about 20 minutes ago. now she appears to be fighting even disdain the race. alicia acuna is embedded with the warren campaign and she joins us. thank you for coming on. what are the warren people thinking is going to happen tonight? >> right now, as you know, the warren people are hoping the same progressive caucus goers are going to turn out for elizabeth warren. if not for her, that in their second choice make her the actual choice. the big news right now is she has made it back to iowa from the impeachment proceedings. she went to roosevelt

high school and she was able to shake hands with candidate supporters of all stripes who were there. she is hoping folks will continue to turn out. democrats right now are really saying they expect a very high turnout. it's all going to come down to that and we will see. i think it's going to be a late night. >> tucker: that it will be. thank you so much. senator amy klobuchar hasn't received a lot of attention but all of a sudden you're hearing people say today oh, i wonder if amy klobuchar is going to do better than expected. she made. ellison barber is in iowa for us covering klobuchar. she joins us tonight. thank you for coming on. i don't know if it's just me but i think a lot of people in washington had gotten a lot of text about amy klobuchar today. does it reflect an actual surge? >> i can show you right now what we are seeing. there are 1600 precincts all across the state of iowa. we are in precinct number 38. you mention senator amy klobuchar. look here, this is one of her

groups. this caucus site, they have come according to the chair, 400 attendees. in order to be considered viable, candidate needs 15% support. that's 60 people. you can get a sense of how much amy klobuchar has. she has someone people have perhaps talked about doing better and more rural areas. we are in polk county, i was most populous county. it's a diverse county and it tends to be pretty democratic. candidates and spent a lot of time here. i want to give you a sense, this is the first alignment. they will move again the candidates aren't viable. the corner filled with people, that is senator bernie sanders' group. we saw it earlier at one of the satellite caucuses he's had a huge turnout. a lot of supporters. they have been very loud. we will see what happens as the night progresses. tucker. >> tucker: fascinating. we will know soon. thank you for that. the results will soon be very clear. it may stretch out throughout the evening. keep it to fox.

we will be back tomorrow night. 8:00 p.m., then show that is tonight and will always be the sworn enemy of lying, pomposity, smugness, groupthink. the state of the union's tomorrow if he didn't have enough news already. good night from washington. sean hannity takes the reins. >> good show, thank you. welcome to "hannity." we have breaking news on multiple fronts. we have it all covered and in fact we could very well have the results from the iowa caucus within this hour and get this, according to a source on the ground, underreported story, the republican caucus, remember, it is totally uncontested. it's in fact packed with voters showing their support tonight for the president and also tonight we will have more of my exclusive interview with the president from yesterday's super bowl and his powerful campaign ads that aired during the game. what a game thankfully