ed before i criticized it. in a couple of hours. arn and mishkin, thank you so much. glad to have a show again, i missed you for a couple of weeks. i am dana perino. i will see you on "the five" this evening. bill helmer is up next. what's the mood on capitol hill? >> bill: with you every step of the way, dana, getting ready for some big events tonight. 3:00 here in washington, good afternoon, everyone, moving across the country today before we are back in the nation's capital. watching three significant stories with a development expected this morning. the nation's first presidential contest in two hours as dana mentioned, democratic officials will announce the initial results from the fiasco in iowa. the drama continues to unfold on capitol hill, president trump delivering his third state of the union address from the house chamber. our third major story is on the senate side happening right now where lawmakers continue their

ten minute speeches before tomorrow's historic impeachment vote. watching all of it, but we begin this hour, team fox coverage, every angle, expert analysis on what is happening in iowa, what you can expect at some point 5:00 eastern, chad pergram on the ground for what is coming up in the next couple of hours in d.c. but let's start with ellison barber from des moines with the news where 2020 democrats are hoping to grab a ticket out of iowa, and there is a lot on the balance. >> yes, i do not have to tell you the caucuses ended hours ago, and we still do not have any official results. the iowa democratic party held a phone call with the campaigns about three hours ago telling them that they would release a majority of the results at 4:00 p.m. iowa time, that is 5:00 p.m. your time. to some people they are saying that that is not enough. that at this point there should be more, and we should not have

even been in the situation to begin with. to some people are now questioning whether or not the iowa caucuses in general should still be something used in american politics. others are saying that i would just should not vote first anymore. campaigns are frustrated to say the least. here is what senator elizabeth warren had to say just a little bit ago. >> i just don't understand what that means. to release half of the data. so, i think they ought to get it together and release all of the data. that's what we need. there is no system that is perfect. and we should be reevaluating even before last night occurred. and now for sure. >> a new reporting app is to help precincts quickly get the results to the state party seems to be the cause of all the chaos. the iowa democratic party told reporters that there was a coding issue that lead to inconsistencies in reporting even though the app recorded the

data accurately. they fix the problem i went back to verify the numbers with the original paper results, and that they are confident they now have accurate numbers, accurate information. the party is adamant that the systems are secure and that they did not suffer any sort of hack or cybersecurity intrusion. we have seen no evidence to suggest otherwise. they say this was simply a recording technical error, but obviously, bill, a very big one. >> bill: what did the results look like when they come in? what can we expect at 5:00? >> from speaking with sources who are familiar with that phone call that took place. my understanding is the results that come out at 4:00 p.m. central, 5:00 p.m. eastern will essentially be a data dump. that majority of precincts, over 50%, we will get all of that information, all of that number, all of those numbers at once. and remember, this year is different than previous caucuses where there was only one final

number, the state delegate equivalent, this year there are three different numbers that we expect to get. the first preference when people walk into the caucuses, they were given preference cards and wrote down their first choice, then they went into the different caucus groups and there was a final realignment for candidates who are not viable leave, they go into the background. and then the state of equivalent will get all of those at once. and after that it will kind of be like a traditional election night with a slow trickle of results as they are available. >> bill: piece of cake. ellison barber in des moines, thank you. lots to talk about on the hill. president trump stated the union address overlapping with the impeachment trial on the underbelly of the capital, congressional correspondent to chad pergram joins me on the hill. nice to see you, sir. a series of network anchors and reporters had lunch with the president. bret baier sent this out a moment ago saying that the president, much of this was off

the record, but on the record officially the state of the union address, the president says will be extraordinarily low key. he also says about democrats, alexandria ocasio-cortez will run against chuck schumer, and i think she will "kick his blank." we are told that both of those were on the record. >> the main thing when you look at the presidents quote, he is talking about that democratic struggle between the left and the establishment right now. chuck schumer has been in the senate for more than 20 years, now eligible to run for the senate. you have to be 30 years old to do so. she is 30, so she meets the constitutional bar. this is similar to what you would have seen in the house of representatives where nancy pelosi had the challenge from the democratic left flag. but that's where the democratic party is going. trending in that direction towards the left, and this is part of the issue in iowa. where does the party settle on its nominee to run against the president. when you talk about the low-key issue, this is what everybody is

watching for tonight. does the president bring up impeachment in the middle? when i talked with sources, they indicate that they don't think he would do so. they would prefer for him to stick to policy, talk about the usmca, they think they have the one-two punch where they come out with the speech today and talk about their achievements and then the president is exonerated tomorrow. >> bill: richard nixon mentioned it in the early 1970s, bill clinton did not in 1990, they led the state of the union addresses with with the underbelly of impeachment. how high could it go and articl? >> susan collins, mike emanuel, our colleague just confirm that at 4:00 she will go to the senate floor and announce her position. lisa murkowski, the republican from alaska was thought to be in play, but she has announced last night that she would vote to acquit the president. >> bill: she is no on both ends. so if they get to 51 plus, how high does it go? does it reach 55?

55, 45? >> that's where you look at joe manchin who is in play, he gave a speech said, how are you going to vote, he said, if you listen closely to my speech, you will know. that did not reveal where he went. he talked about centering the president, which is not a constitutional provision. that is a form of discipline in the house of representatives. then you have doug jones from alabama, probably the most endangered democrat up this fall, and kyrsten sinema, the democrat from arizona who often votes with the republicans. >> bill: thank you, chad, so much, 25 hours away from that vote, at 4:00 eastern time here tomorrow. and senator collins is up in 50 minutes. we will watch that. chad pergram on the hill, hang out this hour. more in a moment here. because we had a good night last night in iowa. i know you think that is silly,

but everything we can feel was good. >> when we had a chance to quiet to those questions of whether we belonged in this effort in the first place. now so much will depend on what the famously independent thinking state of new hampshire new hampshire decides. >> we a bumpy start to the democratic process yesterday. ave new hampshire in just a week, are we ready to do new hampshire? [cheers and applause] >> bill: new hampshire a week from today, bringing in the manager from ronald reagan, and noah lethe, former communications author of the dnc. let's go through it to know, what happened? >> i think everybody is still trying to figure it out, the background here is that after the 2016 election, where you had bernie supporters and the hillary supporters get together and the unity commission, and they proposed new rules to the

iowa caucus. one of those was in order to increase transparency and put out a bunch of new numbers. you add some new tech on top of that, and there is room for bedlam, we have seen it now. it is not the first time that the iowa caucus has been riddled with problems. everybody remembers in 2012 when this happened on the other side of the aisle, and the republicans put out the wrong winner. they declared mitt romney in the winter that night, and two weeks later had to come back and update and say, no, rick santorum won it. so even where we are now is the democratic party of iowa in charge of the process is trying to avoid that. they want to get it right. last night was a bad night for them. they want to make sure that they don't compound it by putting out the wrong winner. so they are double, triple checking everything and putting it out as it goes, apparently now. >> bill: so that is at 5:00 we will get some results. ed, take it to a higher level

now. who does it help? who does it hurt? can we answer that right now? >> you cannot answer that. mayor pete would have made a better showing them people anticipated and got some play out of this, now he has to do well in new hampshire, which is not automatically his state. joe biden could have come in third or fourth as an alleged honor, he still never won a delegate in new hampshire, so we will have to see. my sense splitting the vote and not putting it out at one time, we don't care about iowa, iowa was yesterday's story that is a failure, we are focusing on the impeachment tomorrow and focusing on new hampshire next week. after that you start adding up delegates. >> bill: let's wait for the results, they will tell us something, added to. we will find out one, two, three, four, and five. that will give us something. >> week could have gotten one, two, three, four, five, but the convoluted system they have there, you have to vote for

speed, or elizabeth warren, you get a vote, it is an absurd process, and i think they need to drastically change it. >> bill: go ahead. >> i think that is right that all of the candidates would have preferred, not the ones i did badly, but the ones that did well, by most measures that is senator sanders, mayor pete buttigieg, senator warren by preliminary manager demand measures exceeding expectations, every one of them would've loved this to be out last night so that they could ride the wave into new hampshire, that's how this is done. but what is unique about the cycle and is new is that we are doing this in a modern media landscape. it is not the traditional we have to be on the air by 11:00 p.m. to make sure we catch people in prime time, it is different. campaigns find new ways to create and seize on information to make momentum. so i don't think it is necessarily a loss for someone, like if mayor pete does come in first or second, he will still

get -- >> bill: or if joe biden comes in fourth, could that hurt the campaign, yes or no? >> yes, i don't know if it will end his campaign, still counting on south carolina, but it would cause a major level of conservation amongst his supporters that could dry up his money. >> money is the key thing. >> bill: go ahead, ed, finish up finish up. >> normally out of iowa you raise money, he won iowa, could not raise the money or get in the race against romney who had the money. so biden desperately needs money. >> bill: you were with huckabee in 2012 too, thank you both, talk to you really soon. a lot happening in washington, president's big speech only moments away, and speaking out about the big vote on impeachment which is about 25 hours away. we will talk to republican senator john kuhn about that in a moment here live in washington. ♪ ce. so we can spend a bit today, knowing we're prepared for tomorrow.

wow, do you think you overdid it maybe? overdid what? well planned, well invested, well protected. voya. be confident to and through retirement. >> man: what's my my truck...is my livelihood. so when my windshield cracked... the experts at safelite autoglass came right to me. >> tech: hi, i'm adrian. >> man: thanks for coming. ...with service i could trust. right, girl? >> singers: ♪ safelite repair, safelite replace. ♪ it's unacceptable that americans pay vastly more than people in other countries, for the exact same drugs. but they aren't listening. they've just raised the prices of over five hundred drugs. president trump supports a bipartisan plan, that would force drug companies to lower prices. but the senate won't act. tell senate leaders to stop drug company price gouging and lower drug prices now.

but maybe not for people with rheumatoid arthritis.

because there are options. like an "unjection™". xeljanz xr, a once-daily pill for adults with moderate to severe ra for whom methotrexate did not work well enough. xeljanz xr can reduce pain, swelling and further joint damage, even without methotrexate. xeljanz can lower your ability to fight infections like tb; don't start xeljanz if you have an infection. taking a higher than recommended dose of xeljanz for ra can increase risk of death. serious, sometimes fatal infections, cancers including lymphoma, and blood clots have happened. as have tears in the stomach or intestines, serious allergic reactions, and changes in lab results. tell your doctor if you've been somewhere fungal infections are common, or if you've had tb, hepatitis b or c, or are prone to infections. needles. fine for some. but for you, one pill a day may provide symptom relief. ask your doctor about xeljanz xr.

>> bill: live look senate floor in washington, a day before the historic impeachment vote goes down. and about an hour susan collins will announce how she plans to vote on article 1 and 2. her vote will allow witnesses to testify, but republicans defeated those amendments, bringing a number 2, john w.h.i. john kuhn. >> nice to see you in a new

spot. >> bill: i appreciate that, thank you for being here. senator collins voted against witnesses and against conviction for bill clinton years ago. what did she do today? >> susan is the only one who knows her vote. she is very thoughtful, but i will not be surprised if you saw a similar pattern this time around. i would be surprised if we lose any republicans on the acquittal vote. we lost a couple on the witnesses vote, but i think people are ready to have this in the rearview mirror and don't think the house has proved its case and are ready to let this president and the american people get on to doing the people's business. >> bill: do you have a sense how many democrats are in play? >> i think that is a fairly small universe, but it is a handful. and i think that some of them are going to be in a very tough spot if they vote to convict to the president and the kind of states that they represent and having talked about to this subject with some of them, i think that they are perhaps a few that are regrettable.

we will see. we will not know until tomorrow, but the one thing we know coming out of this is when it passed in the house it was an entirely 100% surely partisan impeachment, and that is just not the way that the process was designed. and i think the speaker knew that going in. she got pushed into it by her far left. and i think the american people are paying the price for that. but the president politically, and i think republicans politically are finding out the same thing we found out in 1999 with bill clinton, that his numbers went up and hours went down. and i think the president's numbers are going up, and the democrats numbers are going down. >> bill: 90% gallup approval rating for president trump, why did you adjourn on friday afternoon? what was that about? why not finish the process over the weekend? >> that would've been my preference, sometimes it is good just to grind and get through this stuff, like i said, get it behind us, but the democrats have made it clear that they were going to use all the dilatory tactics available to

them. keep us through the weekend because the impeachment rules do not allow us to meet on sunday anyway, which pushes us into monday. people wanted to talk. >> bill: but a lot of republicans thought the democrats were on the wrong end of the deal, and made them look bad. if that is the case, get the right to run, why did it not happen? >> part of it is that we have members on our side that wanted to speak, called senate to deliberation, and has been done in closed session, this time in open session, but they wanted to make their speeches, and they wanted to do that in light of the day, but tear points, yes, in a perfect world, i would like to power through it and get it done. but the democrats will make it extremely difficult to use all of the tools to try to stop that from happening, and we have members on our side who were reluctant to push through. >> bill: you believe at the moment to late afternoon it will be behind you, what is your

sense about the atmosphere tonight on the house floor? >> it will be interesting, the dynamic, but the one thing that i think it's clear is that the president has a great opportunity in front of a huge audience to talk about his agenda. and i think tomorrow the impeachment of business will be in the rearview mirror, he can talk about jobs and economy and growth and energy policy, tax policy, trade policy, the things that have helped our economy grow and keep the unemployment low and have seen wages significantly continue to rise. we want to see more of the same. the president has a great record to talk about in a good agenda moving forward, so tonight to me should be forget this business, ignore the rabbit democrats who started this and have been out to get them from the very beginning. rise above it and just talk about the things that you're going to do for the good of the country and the results that we are seeing as a result. >> bill: just a few seconds,

but for viewers at home, they are trying to figure this town out. is it washington being washington? or is the level higher than it was? >> i think there is a manhattan d.c., san francisco bubble that people get in, and they think that there are the only people out there that care. there are a lot of people across the country that are watching this and saying, this is pretty sloppy. >> bill: it was interesting and i while the top two issues were energy and health care, and the economy did not come up. thank you very much. i appreciate it. it is we are talking about it here. white house aide saying that the president's address will be about the great american comeback. we are live at the white house with a preview on that. and we will tell you about the democrat who will give her party's response tonight and what that message could be. that is up as we continue to watch the well of the senates.

take prilosec otc and take control of heartburn. so you don't have to stash antacids here... here... or, here. kick your antacid habit with prilosec otc. one pill a day, 24 hours, zero heartburn.

that's ensure max protein, with high protein and 1 gram sugar. it's a sit-up, banana! bend at the waist! i'm tryin'! keep it up. you'll get there. whoa-hoa-hoa! 30 grams of protein, and one gram of sugar. ensure max protein. and one gram of sugar. with the newday va streamline refi, you can refinance at near record low rates with no income verification, no appraisal and nothing out of pocket.

♪ >> bill: welcome back, we are alive on capitol hill, starting today, a mile outside of our nation's capital, but ins president trump only hours away from the state of the union address as senators verdict in s impeachment trial tomorrow. john roberts live on the north lawn, just a few things going on today, john, good afternoon to you. >> we just figured every day it is going to be raining cats and dogs, so we come into work expecting that it will be incredibly busy. and it always is. the theme for the overarching theme is going to be the great american comeback. president trump is going to break it down basically into five different categories. he will talk about the blue-collar economic boom and the growing economy has really

helped improve the job situation for people that are blue-collar and look at the wave situation, he will also talk about support for working families including child care costs and lowering the cost of health care and getting the legal position for the united states including national security. saying that the president has a good story to tell tonight, one that stands in sharp contrast to what the democrats have been doing on capitol hill. >> while democrats have been focused on this partisan impeachment, this president has actually been staying focused and negotiating new trade deals with mexico and canada, a new trade deal with china, and at the same time eliminating the most dangerous terrorists in the world. it's an amazing story that the president has to tell on the national stage. >> the overall tone of the speech is going to be optimistic, but don't forget more than half of the seats in the house chamber will be occupied by people who want to

stick a political shiv in the president. the president who has never been shy, will he resist the urge to say something about impeachment? listen to hogan gidley. >> i read the speech, the word impeachment is not in it. we will see what happens. but i am talking about the vote on wednesday. speak of the word impeachment is not in the speech itself, but might it escape the president's lips? his republican colleagues have been urging him not to do it. listen to what ted cruz said about that this morning on "fox & friends." i talked to the president this weekend, i encourage him, i said, don't even talk about impeachment. this is in the rearview mirror, don't even talk about it, lay out your vision, this is what we have accomplished together and this is what we can keep accomplishing. >> it may be that the president takes senator cruz's advice and advice from the same people, but it is always possible that when the president gets into the swing of things in the house

chamber, he like tom brady has on occasion calls and audible. >> bill: the swing of things are swinging in d.c., democrats tapping a governor from a key state to deliver the response. senator schumer calls her a "model for public servants everywhere." a chief congressional correspondent mike emanuel reporting live on the hill. good afternoon. >> welcome back, democratic leaders going well out the beltway for an address on the state of the union. elected in 2018, and 48 years old, has said that democrats should focus on fundamentals, people care about like fixing roads and training people's for better jobs, she will deliver her speech at east lansing high school where her two daughters are students, they are suggesting she could be on the running mate short last look back list because of midwestern roots. >> they deserve better and they

deserve action. they deserve leaders who are going to work for them, who want to excellent schools and paths to good jobs, safe roads, drinking water, and affordable, accessible quality health care. that's what democrats are rolling up their sleeves and working on around the country, and that's what we are going to focus on tonight. >> there is some uncertainty on the stage, because she follows president trump and is not entirely sure what he will say. the governor talked about her approach and that unusual situation. >> at the end of the day it really does not matter what people say, what matters is what we do. when the president speaks tonight, i'm not going to focus so much on what he says, i'm going to be focusing on actions that have been taken. >> michigan is expected to be a key battleground state, president trump won in 2016, obama won in '12, so democrats are lightly to spotlight the governor. >> bill: after a confusing night last night and a long

night, we are expecting results from the iowa caucus in about 9. maybe we get half of them now. we talked to a man who has helped a lot of democratic presidential campaigns going back decades, live in des moines, the candidates are moving to new hampshire. on the campaign trail to let you know how day 1, you could argue for the next coming competition is unfolding today. ♪ a group of students about being a scientist at 3m. i wanted them to know that innovation is not just about that one 'a-ha' moment. science is a process. it takes time, dedication. it's a journey. we're constantly asking ourselves, 'how can we do things better and better?' what we make has to work. we strive to protect you. at 3m, we're in pursuit of solutions that make people's lives better.

at 3m, we're in pursuit of solutions my body is truly powerful. i have the power to lower my blood sugar and a1c. because i can still make my own insulin. and trulicity activates my body to release it like it's supposed to. trulicity is for people with type 2 diabetes. it's not insulin. i take it once a week. it starts acting in my body from the first dose. trulicity isn't for people with type 1 diabetes or diabetic ketoacidosis. don't take trulicity if you're allergic to it, you or your family have medullary thyroid cancer, or have multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2. stop trulicity and call your doctor right away

if you have an allergic reaction, a lump or swelling in your neck, or severe stomach pain. serious side effects may include pancreatitis. taking trulicity with a sulfonylurea or insulin increases low blood sugar risk. side effects include nausea, diarrhea, vomiting, belly pain, ion and may worsen kidney problems. i have it within me to lower my a1c. ask your doctor about trulicity. ♪ >> bill: it was a long and sometimes chaotic night, but by 5:00 p.m., we expect to see the initial results out of iowa. democratic leaders relying problems about a brand-new mobile app, working on the presidential campaign, my guest in the morning, jerry, i want to say what's up in what happen, let's get to that in a moment. you have a fix right now and who you believe could be the winner from iowa, how was i going to rank and stack up, who is it? >> sure.

so on election night due to political commentary on a local affiliate station, and we like to be first in telling people who is winning, who is losing. so we sort of build out a redundant system to get our own big returns before anybody else does. last night it turned out we had the only returns, no one had numbers except for us. and we saw very early on that pete buttigieg was doing far better than anyone expected. and in fact appeared to be winning the iowa caucuses. >> bill: wow. was that a final call? is that as close as you can get? >> it is as close as you can get when you party. now the party said they thought they would have at least half of their precincts counted. 50 percent by 5:00 eastern today. my guess is that we are going to see closer to 70-80 percent in that first crunch of returns,

and that certainly would be enough to let the evening news cast, for example declare winners and losers. we also said very early on that joe biden was having a disastrous night could we said that within 10 minutes of the polls closing. and i think that that will prove to be true this evening. >> bill: wow, jerry, that could be a major headline. two quick questions. based on what i read, there was no dry run for that app, why n not? >> i don't know, i don't know about dry runs. i don't know about security checks. i know that the party had to go out into the marketplace to try to find someone to build it. i know that the algorithm they used inverted candidate results. the party discovered that very early last night. and wisely shut down the reporting of any results, and realize they may have to go to the paper ballots. it is ironic to me that we have

spent two years demanding paper ballots as a backup system, the iowa party has them and will be able to rely on them today, but yet, they seem to be the bad guys. the bad guy if there is one is the apt company who did this work. >> bill: one more point on that, president trump has been very vocal, he says that this is all on the dnc, still favored iowa going first in the nation. this topic has come up often over the past eight years, 12 years, as whether or not i was run is over, are you able to get a good sense of that only 16, 17 hours later, jerry? >> as we talk right now, people are adamant that the iowa caucuses are done. in just about 90 minutes, we are going to get returns. this story will change to who won, who lost. and it will come down to who is the president. if donald trump wins the presidential election, we know

that he likes iowa. if pete buttigieg, i'm just going to use his name, because i think that he won the caucus last night. if he wins, he will certainly protect the iowa caucus. people should not get any panic about this. the party is coming up with credible, believable results. that's what matters. and then we will see who is in the white house. >> bill: quickly, are you connected to any major candidates this year? >> no, i am not. i was a cory booker supporter for a year and a half, and i am pleased that pete buttigieg's message is similar to a cory. >> bill: so if pete buttigieg wins, where does biden place? is it fourth or worse than that? >> it is fourth or fifth, i think he and amy klobuchar will be in that 10-12% range, each of them. i do not think it is impossible that she could finish fourth ahead of him. >> bill: by the way, sorry, jerry, if joe biden's fourth or fifth place, is his campaign

over? >> essentially, yes, he would have to win new hampshire, i don't see that happening. >> bill: we will see if you are right. an hour and 20 minutes away we will get the initial results, jerry crawford, thank you so much. you have worked on a lot of campaigns in des moines, we will see if you are right. as we await the official results, some candidates are in new hampshire, peter doocy reporting live for more from there. good afternoon. >> good afternoon, bill. candidates do not want to make new hampshire voters wait for the iowa results, so most of them are here already, because they are trying to get ahead of the next contest which is here. >> iowa is what it is. right now i am in new hampshire to talk to people about why i am in this race, and how we all need to pull this party together and we need to focus on beating donald trump. >> warren, club chart, buddha judge, all bowing

to get to new hampshire before it was up, getting coffee come up with a bunch of cameras before the morning, without official word, he is continuing to claim victory. >> we had a chance to quiet to those questions of whether we belonged in this effort in the first place, now so much will depend on what the famous say win famously independent thinking state of new hampshire decides. >> and it is not clear that that tone is going to change no matter what we hear in an hour and a half about 50% of last night's results. >> bill: thank you, peter, peter doocy new hampshire, we will see you very soon. bringing in james freeman, mary anne marsh, senior advisor to john kerry, you have been watching this from afar, what you think about all of this over the past day? >> kind of amazing, the in intentional inadvertently state party in iowa has cheated the

winner, not just taking away that moment of a big media bounce, but it's creating a cloud here. you have seen a bunch of candidates complain since so many of them have claimed that they did really well, the ones that did not are bound to question the process. they will ask even more when iowa puts out if it does partial results. i would urge them not to do this, because i think they will be compounding mistakes. i don't know what people are supposed to do with most of the results, but not all of them from the monday caucus. >> bill: that will be more than what we had last night, james, because our board was blank. marianne, it is a funky thing to cover a caucus and at 1:00 in the morning you turn on the local television stations there in des moines, and every name that should have a number, and the number is 0%. that has never happened before. >> it has never happened before, but that is still the case as we

speak. the only way to make the debacle in des moines worse than last night is to release partial results this afternoon in 90 minutes. i agree with james. that would be the greatest disservice of all. this is about delicates. a fraction of a percent can determine whether you get delegates or not. that's how we keeps corporate how many delegates do you get. i am confident that sanders, warren, and pete buttigieg are in the top three, i'm not sure which order, and i am pretty confident that biden is out of the top three. i agree with jerry, the only thing i agree with him on, fourth or fifth, and his campaign is over. if he is in th the dash not in e top 3%, he is done. >> bill: you are saying wait? >> yes, it is a disservice, because it comes down to fractions, fractions equals one delegate the other way or the other. >> bill: if pete buttigieg is a winner, and bernie sanders

comes in, joe biden is a fourth or fifth place finish, how does that change this? >> i think if you had said that biden finishes for for a few days ago, you would say, maybe he does need to quit, but i think this mess, which obviously it sounds like it is going to go on past 5:00 p.m. eastern today, maybe it goes on for several days. i think it may be a rescue for the losers. because it allows them to pivot so quickly to new hampshire, and not have the full week of people pointing out problems with their campaign, and i think it is very reasonable to assume that they are going to have complaints about the process and the results and the integrity of the results by the losers when they are eventually revealed. >> bill: to both of you hang on here, i will bring you back into the program. a little bit earlier today we were talking on the republican side, and a moment i will talk with ben cardin as the senate gets ready for a historic impeachment vote here in

washington. standby for that. ♪ >> man: what's my safelite story?

my truck...is my livelihood. so when my windshield cracked... the experts at safelite autoglass came right to me. >> tech: hi, i'm adrian. >> man: thanks for coming. ...with service i could trust. right, girl? >> singers: ♪ safelite repair, safelite replace. ♪ americans come to lendingtree.com to compare and save on loans, credit cards and more! but with the new lending tree app you can see your full financial health, monitor your credit score, see your cash flow and find out how you can cut your monthly bills. download it

now to see how much you can save.

>> bill: any moment now republican senator susan collins will announce how she will vote on the articles of impeachment. that is senator mark warner from virginia wrapping up his ten minute speech. and when susan collins is on the floor, the senate, we will bring you there live in a moment. ben cardin out of maryland live on the hill. thank you for being here, senator. thank you for your time. you have a good sense already for how tomorrow is going to turn out, what do democrats accomplish through this process? >> well, bill, the house of representatives has sole power on impeachment. i believe they thought they had no option but to pursue impeachment charges against the

president, that that is a constitutional responsibility. i don't think it was political. i think they felt that it was something they had to do under the constitution. they felt passionately about it. and as i listen to the house managers present their case, it was coming from a passionate belief that the president's conduct was clearly across the line that they establish the facts, and many senators on both sides of the aisle agree that the president's conduct was wrong, and that abuse of power is a fundamental principle in which the impeachment clause applies. >> bill: senator murkowski, it came out on friday, come back another day of that is what you want to do, and democrats in the house have every right to, but republicans argued, you have been trying get him for three years now, was this your best shot? >> i don't think the impeachment articles were reflective of an attitude about this president. clearly there is a concern about

how the president conducts his presidency. he misstates the facts, i am being kind of my characterization of that. he is a bully against anyone who disagrees with him. these are clearly factors that we all understand. i will tell you what this senator felt. >> bill: tell me. >> i was bound by the articles of impeachment that were sent over by the house of representatives. and the facts as presented in the impeachment trial. that's how i had to make my decision. not based on everything else about the president. i recognize that. if he makes the state of the union, i hope that the president will strike a chord of unity in the community that we can work together. november is a long time off. let's work together and get things done. >> bill: on article 1, do you vote yes or no? >> yes. >> bill: on article 2, do you vote yes or no? >> yes. >> bill: yes on both, at the state of the union, will you applaud the president of the united states about anything? >> absolutely.

i will applaud his presence, entering the house chamber is a moment that shows respect to the president. if he says things that are what i think are appropriate for the president on issues, on american values, absolutely i will stand and applaud the president. i tell you, if i had my choice whether it was a democrat or republican addressing the joint session of congress, i wish we could all sit quietly and let the president deliver a speech. >> bill: i think some of them made. a senator, thank you for coming out here. ben cardin, senator from maryland, i will results are coming up shortly, expected to release an hour from now. we will bring that to you. final thoughts from our team stationed throughout the country as we head into a busy night. that is coming up next. ♪ with va mortgage rates near record lows,

i want to tell as many veterans as possible about newday's va streamline refi. it's the closest thing to automatic savings that we've ever offered. at newday, veterans can refinance their mortgage with no income verification, no appraisal

and no out of pocket expenses. and we've extended our call center hours so that every veteran can take advantage of these near record low rates. you can't always stop for a fingerstick.betes with the freestyle libre 14 day system, a continuous glucose monitor, you don't have to. with a painless, one-second scan you can check your glucose with a smart phone or reader so you can stay in the moment. no matter where you are or what you're doing. ask your doctor for a prescription for the freestyle libre 14 day system. you can do it without fingersticks. learn more at freestylelibre.us. introducing ore-ida potato pay. where ore-ida golden crinkles are your crispy currency to pay for bites of this... ...with this. when kids won't eat dinner, potato pay them to. ore-ida. win at mealtime.

skip to the good part with alka-seltzer plus. potato pay them to. now with 25% more concentrated power. nothing works faster for powerful cold relief. oh, what a relief it is! so fast! and now for their service to the community, we present limu emu & doug with this key to the city. [ applause ] it's an honor to tell you that liberty mutual customizes your car insurance so you only pay for what you need. and now we need to get back to work. [ applause and band playing ] only pay for what you need. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪

>> bill: huma a few moments lefn washington. lay out the lay of the land for us. impeachment fails. the democrats tha have had an al 24 hours. what is the frame into which he walks tonight? >> he needs to surprise everybody. come out and be very gracious to the audience. the congress is not his, both the country. reinforcement for the things that he has done. >> bill: okay, james. on the back of that comment, how would you describe the frame into which he walks tonight? >> i think he normally does that. i think it's got a pretty good story to tell. three years in, he has remained a very faithful to the agenda he campaigned on in 2016. like it or not, i think you can

say he has been essentially the president he promised us he would be. >> bill: how do you see it? >> i think ed has it right. he should come out and talk about the economy. i think he will do some of that. i think that you will see too many temptations in front of him. we'll see house and senate republicans are cheering him on, house and senate democrats that voted to remove him. behind him is nancy pelosi literally and figuratively breathing down his neck. it will be a mashup of the inauguration speech, a trump rally and the halftime super bowl interview. >> bill: i have 90 seconds left. i don't know if it is shakira or j.lo at this point. how do you see it? >> i don't think i am either. the one constant of the trump presidency has been how constant it hasn't been. his favorable ratings which are

separate from his job approval. if they have been consistently in the low 40s to high 30s. somewhere in that range. sometimes he blips up and sometimes he blips down. we're talking about a very narrow sliver in the middle that everyone is trying to talk to. i'm curious to see this week, a great opportunity for the president to speak to that narrow sliver. it is difficult seems to be to speak to the base. >> bill: you can get an audience of 50 million upwards of 70 million if the people are into tonight. we will see how that goes. your right to point out the audience at home and how they receive this. thanks to all of you. thank you, we will see you all very soon. here is at the moment the schedule. iowa releases partial results in our for now. president trump is out five hours from now.

a vote on the articles of impeachment will take place 24 hours from now. stay tuned. see you throughout the night here. here is neil back in new york. a pretty good day on wall stre wall street. >> by all indications, we are going on to new hampshire victorious. [cheers and applause] >> i have a good feeling we are going to be doing very, very well here in iowa. [cheers and applause] >> we know there is a way, but we know one thing. we are punching above our way. >> we are going to walk out of here with our share of delegates. we feel good about where we are. >> it is too close to call. i'm going to tell you what i do know. >> you won. [cheers and applause] >> one hour for now, we could have a better idea of the iowa results, maybe half of them.