like the pleasure they receive from the show of affection. >> tucker: that's a very deep point and i think a lot of us make that mistake.ma i'm glad you came tonight igthank you for that. >> thank you, tucker. >> tucker: not just a sports guy. 8:00 p.m., see you sunday. >> sean: welcome to "hannity." in 4 days you the american people will decide and president trump is fighting for every vote. today he was in michigan, wisconsin and minnesota. over the final 3 days, he will hold a whopping 14 rallies including 4 tomorrow in the state of pennsylvania. on sunday, the president will hold 5 rallies. one in michigan. iowa, north carolina and georgia and florida. on monday the president will have 5 more rallies including stops in north carolina.or pennsylvania, wisconsin, and 2

events in michigan. someone must have reminded the weak, frail, and forgetful and mr. doom and gloom joe biden that the election is next tuesday. hiding in his basement, he finally decided to leave the basement bunker. last night he vowed to alter our way of life for generations to come. take a look. > millions of americans have already voted. g over 75 million. millions more will vote before this is over. i believe when you use your power, the power of the vote, we literally are going to change the course of this country for generations to come. we will do it both at home and abroad.

>> sean: as i said before, whena they tell you who they and what they plan to do, you have to believe them. for joe and kamala harris and other democrats, this electionam is not only about higher taxes and government policy. this is about power. they want one party rule in america. they want power over all 3 branches of government. over your lives, power for generations to come and they want to pack the supreme court. chavez did that in venezuela. they want to end the filibuster and give statehood to d.c. and elsewhere and nationalize healthcare and the energy sector. they don't just want to control the energy sector. they want to end america's oil and gas industry and eliminate all fossil fuels. they said it. that's the lifeblood of the

world's economy. at the debate joe biden vowed to transition the entire country away from oil and fossil fuels. they called for a complete and total ban on fracking. in the senate kamala harris co-sponsored the insane green deal which calls for a ban on all fossil fuels. they caller the left's new insider. her views are radical and extreme. if elected she'll be a heart beat away from the oval office.t when they tell you who they are, believe them. when they hide and refuse to answer, expect the worse. joe will shut down the economy. he pretty much said it but afraid to tell us the whole truth. if this economic, energy killing sector ever emerges in this

country, the economy will suffer. places like pennsylvania michigan, texas, ohio, new mexico, guess what? you are in for nothing but economic stagnation and poverty. in 4 days anything can happen. this race is close. it is tight. liberals are starting to panic. according to a report, some democratic strategists are worried that the biden campaign is neglecting wisconsin and michigan like hillary clinton did in 2016. according to bloomberg, seniorik officials on joe biden's campaign are worried about the insufficient black and latino vote turnout in florida and pennsylvania. even michael moore is feeling

a sense of deju-vu all over again. for the record, he was correct in 2016 at predicting donald trump would win. take a look. >> listen, don't believe these polls first of all. second of all, the trump vote is always undercounted. when they call a real trump voter, the trump voter is suspicious of the deep state asking who they are voting for. it's all fake news to them remember. it's not an accurate count. >> sean: i have known michael moore for years. he is not stupid and he is on to something. both joe biden and president trump visited minnesota of all places. but remember, democrats pollsters considered this a solid blue state. no republican won minnesota since nixon. but now the state is clearly in

play. only one polling company got it right in 2016 and now showing a tight race in minnesota. just 3 points separates biden and trump. in pennsylvania where presidents trump picked up the firefighters endorsement the president has a 1 point lead. in michigan trump up over 2 points. and new tonight the president opened a 3-point lead in the great state of florida. it appears that mr. dark winter doom and gloom joe shut down biden leaves the basement bunker, the less voters like him. maybe that's because he is a rambling, struggling. 77-year-old politician. his time out of the basement is

hard to watch. >> i will do what he is unable to do. i will lead an effective strategy to isolate and punish china. >> sean: what was that, joe? can you translate? it's pretty sad.d. we see it almost every day when he is on the campaign trail.lm every day mr. dark winter, shut downy the country is able to leave his bunker in the basement which is rare. joe gets very confused and i mean very. take a look. >> i got in trouble. we were running against theot senator who was a mormon. the governor. tomorrow is tuesday. i am rushing ahead. we hold these truths to be self-evident. all men and women created -- - you know the thing.

we choose truth over facts. play the radio. excuse me. make sure you have the record player on at night. poor kids are just as bright and talented as white kids. donald trump does pose [inaudible]. >> sean: do you think mr. doom and gloom, the doctor of all dshutdowns is capable of being president? in 4 days you get to answer that question at the ballot box. will you bow to the angry mob that is demanding you vote for joe biden or will you vote for freedom, for prosperity and border security and energy independence and judicial restraint and the constitution and lower taxes and less bureaucracy and peace through strength? that's all on the ballot.

safety and security. law and order, it's all on the ballot. the new green deal is on the ballot. joining me now ari fleischer and robert cahaley is with us. robert, i watched your fellow rtpollsters in 2016. you were right and they were wrong. they are now in the same position as four years ago. have they made any adjustments at all? what are you doing that is so different than what they are doing and give us your run of where the state of the race is in the swing states. >> yes, they say they made adjustments. the next race we saw that had this bias was the race for governor in florida. they all got it wrong again.

i don't buy that they made any adjustments. i willad take michael moore's understanding of average people over the pollsters every day. people are not straightforward with the polls. they refuse to understand it and it seems logical. i think the state we had before for trump, florida, arizona, and north carolina are still there. i feel like michigan is a win right now. pennsylvania he will need to gev further along than he is. i think he needs to win pennsylvania by 4 or 5 to overcome the voter fraud that will happen there. wisconsin is a toss up right now. minnesota but for kanye, he would have minnesota. and nevada closed tightly. i think there are 5 paths to the victory past the sun-belt and

they all seem available at a point.he >> sean: florida and north carolina, are they trump's states? >> yes, and i think ohio and georgia are solid and never in play. >> sean: arizona and iowa? >> arizona i feel great about. iowa definitely. i think iowa was never in play. >> sean: when you say the president would have to win by 4 or 5 in pennsylvania because of voter fraud. are we talking about philadelphia? one phenomenon in every poll ish that african-americans hispanic-americans are going for donald trump in almost double or triple the number he got in 2016.do is that real? the "times" poll had philadelphia 24% for president

trump. >> absolutely. we see across the board. florida 27% of the african-american vote.e. nevada 20. michigan 25. north carolina 26. this is absolutely a phenomenon that happened in the last 10 days. gone from the teens and having the black voters moving from undecided and third party. the shy trump voters in the black community are not shy anymore. >> sean: younger people seem to be trending to the president. they don't seem to be drawn to doom and gloom and another shutdown which is what biden will do. >> they tell us they are committed liberals who want the shutdowns to end and will vote for trump even though they don't

like him. >> sean: ari fleischer, i am not ignoring you. extrapolate this information. this is not our first rodeo. how do you interpret this? >> there is one other thing on the ballot -- the voices of the average person. will they be suppressed? there is a sense in america if you are a working class, lower income and work with your hands there is nobody in washington listening to you. it was so much of the 2016 story. wei think that's what robert is saying here as well. a lot of the trump voters feel like trump is the only one who hears them.a a lot of them don't vote, in the past they haven't voted. that's another factor to keep your eye on tuesday night. people who have not voted before showing up the first time. trump people tell you rallies of 25% attending who never voted before.

>> looking long term, i think donald trump is building and has built a new coalition for the republican party. that's working people and african-americans. opportunity zones. the platinum deal and black colleges and criminal justice reform and police reform. these are dramatic changes. barack obama and joe never got rathis done. >> the president expanded the republican party into the working class direction. the democrats now have the college graduates. the 2 parties are switching bases. the problem is republicans have lost a lot of the suburbans and college educated women. that's a group republicans need to win back. i love the fact that the

president is growing the party in a blue collar direction. also if the african-american vote jumps the way we expect it to go, it's a wonderful long-term sign for republicans. >> sean: i don't think defunding the police and not restoring law and order will help suburban moms vote for dr. doom and dark winter. robert, who will win this race? >> definitely i see trump winning it in the high 270s. >> sean: prediction? >> i am more traditionalist. i am swayed by a lot of these polls. robert's case is compelling. when i look at the polls i give the edge to biden. it comes down to pennsylvania and arizona. >> sean:va you were there in 20. john kerry was the next president? >> that's what the exit polls showed that day. >> sean: listen, here's the thing. everybody you have to assume your vote will make the difference..

if everybody watching, if every american does their part, i think we will get the outcome robert is talking about. florida a battleground state. a must win state for president trump according to a new report. democrats are turning out at a much lower rate than republicans in the important county of miami dade. republicans have a 9.4% turnout advantage in miami dade county where biden will need a significant margin of victory to carry the state. here with more florida governor ron desantis. tell us about miami dade and early voting. how do you match this up to 2016 or your race when you ran for governor? >> 4 years ago there were 340,000 more registered democrats than republicans.

now it's less than 140,000. we added 200,000 republican registrations. we are winning by about 520,000 republican ballots over democrats for in other thann early voting. democrats are going to the mail. but we are closing the early voting at a much faster rate than in 2016. in miami dade the president lost it by 30 points and still won the state. he is now in a situation with the turnout we are seeing, he may be able to cut that margin inrnt half. in a county as big as miami dade that could be a 100,000 vote swing.0, the cuban-american community is fired up and the venezuela-americans and all of the hispanics that understand the threat that marxism poses. they are rallying to donald

trump. that's something he had to do better and i don't think we could have done any better and i hope it continues. >> sean: what are the other things you are hearing from florida as it relates to joe biden. doom and gloom and not giving answers about packing the court. i can't imagine he won't answer that question.ac i think the answer is he will pack the court. he will be beholden to the left wing. what are they saying about how biden has hidden the whole campaign? >> well, i think it's been absolute joke. he doesn't know who he is running against. he said he is running for the senate and the other day talked about george w. bush. his lockdown mentality doesn't play well in florida.

we have all 67 counties schools open for in person. 5 of the 10 biggest school districts in the country, and obviously our economy is open. people don't want to be locked down want parents want to send their kids to school. the message of doom and gloom is not what people want to hear. the president is more optimistic and that resonates more. the doom and gloom about voting shifted democrats to vote by mail. going into election day we will have 200,000 more super voters who will turnout. i think that margin will be bigger this year. some is for the fear mongeringgg biden has done. i think it will come back to bite him. >> sean: governor, great to see you. we will watch the great state of florida on tuesday.

mr. dark winter, doom and gloom with all of that time he's been hiding in his basement bunker, maybe his staff between spoonfuls of applesauce and oatmeal could have told him, we are literally in the final stage testing. numerous opportunities for a vaccine. probably any week and therapeutics. even the "new york times" recognizing people with serious complications from covid-19 they are recovering. we made major progress. somebody needs to tell joe bring him up to speed. when we come back, the trump campaign continues to press. joe biden and his campaign for answers on hunters and the shady business dealings with only 4 days until election day. we the american people have a right to know. mercedes and dan bongino are next on this busy breaking news friday night.

hmm!.. hmm!.. hmm!.. (woman on porch vo) can we vote by mail here? (grandma vo) you'll be safe, right? (daughter vo) yes! (four girls vo) the polls! voted! (grandma vo) go out and vote! it's so important! (man at poll vo) woo! (grandma vo) it's the most important thing you can do!

you know, history has shown that when a nation turns to god, broken families are healed, people break free from addictions and alcoholism, crime rates plummet. in the welsh revival last century, all across wales, police and judges had nothing to do. why? because there was no crime and it can happen here by god's grace, when you come to him. - [narrator] when nations turn to god, they find their societal problems disappear. there is hope for this broken world, if you just know where to look. won't you consider looking to the one who made you? visit findingtruepeace.com to learn more about his plan for your life. again, that's findingtruepeace.com. (gentle music)

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>> \m /m the us hitting another somber milestone with the pandemic. it shows the us is now at 9 million confirmed cases and i only took two quick weeks to go from 8-9 million. confirmed cases rising in 47 states. the virus has killed more than 229,000 americans. setting lockdown measures monday . report of everything would be closed except for essential shops in educational settings. closures will remain in effect until december 1. walt disney world set of a laug more than 11,000 workers by

years end. most are part-timers, as part o the decision by disney to eliminate positions and theme parks in california florida. now back to hannity. marked the mop in the media, th burgeoning a by scandal, mark t story is growing. we now know overwhelming evidence that joe biden was well aware and deeply involved in his son's zero experience hunter and his efforts to cell access to the obama and biden white house. despite what the fake news tells you, the credibility about the story is growing. the hunter email is authentic after a forensic analysis and

even a democrat is defending tony bobulinksi's credibility and defending him against smears of being a partisan hack. why will the biden campaign refuse to respond to the story? what is big tech working overtime too censor the story? they know the story is true and bad for biden. they know it's damning for his campaign. here with reaction the trump campaign mercedes and fox news contributor dan bongino. to say we won't answer a single question on this.bu okay.to mercedes, if donald trump tried to do that, i don't think the media would accept that answer do you? >> goodness gracious, no. they would pound the president a time and time again. we saw this even, take cnn. the steele dossier the fake. document orchestrated by hillary

clinton. how many times have they covered the hunter biden story or bobulinksi's comments? zero. there is also media corruption. they are trying to buy time andp see if this story doesn't bubble up.me the american people are smarter than this. m more and more questions are being raised as we have seen this fbi investigation come out on hunter biden on this money laundering scheme. when you have one reporter even

ask joe biden that question about the fbi investigation what does joe biden do? he gets on defense. he doesn't handle it well. he gets angry. i think there are real fundamental problems here. >> sean: dan, nobody is talking about this. if joe biden became president mr. doom and gloom, president shut down, we would be compromised with china and with russia and compromised with ukraine and with all of these people because we have no idea what they may have on him or hunter that they would use to exploit and maybe even blackmail a president. >> yes. joe biden is an active national security threat. anybody willing you otherwise is a fool and hasn't looked at the case. your first question was a good one.

what is with the media? why cover this up? it was a stupid move because they magnified it. the golden rule of politics is the most damaging political stories, negative ones are the ones that change your pre-existing notion of who a candidate is. joe biden is running on character count? really, you sold the country out with your family. as mercedes accurately stated, every voter understands and hates pay for play swamp narratives. one more point, what bothers most people about this story and why you are seeing internet searches for hunter biden go through the roof is because everybody is asking the question: what was china buying? they were buying you! they were buying me. no, they were buying access to you. joe biden was the vice-president of the united states in a democracy. the chinese are not stupid. they were buying access and a blackmail file to apotentialh. future president of the united states. >> sean: prediction time.

mercedes how does this end? >> i came back from a 3-state swing with ivanka trump pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin. we are going to win. the enthusiasm for this president is incredible. even more than 2016.e our ground game is superior. we have the 2.5 million volunteers. made over 150 million voter contacts. in 2016 it wasn't as strong of a ground game as what we have right now. to see the in roads we have made with the latino and black communities, it's significant. donald trump will be victorious. >> sean: when we come back trump

supporters are trashed andme demonized by hollywood liberals and fake news. don lemon compared trump supporters, not only are we chumps. we are drug addicts. straight ahead. chumps. we are drug addicts. straight ahead. history also destroyed the lives of thousands of jewish survivors still suffering today. god calls on people who believe in him to act on his word. "comfort ye, comfort my people." especially during this holiday season of hanukkah. when i come here and i sit with lilia i realize

what she needs right now is food. these elderly jews are weak and they're sick. they're living on $2 a day this now, is how god's children are living. take this time to send a survival food box to these forgotten jews. the international fellowship of christians and jews urgently need your gift of $25 now to help provide one survival food box with all of the essentials they critically need for their diet for one month. your special holiday gift will provide everything they need to celebrate the miracle of hanukkah. this is the first time in over 70 years that she has anything to do with faith. the communists came and wiped it out. and now we're coming to her and saying, "it's okay to have faith." it's okay to light the hanukkah candles.

for just $25, you can help supply the essential foods they desperately need for one month. i just want to encourage all of you to join with yael eckstein and the wonderful work of the international fellowship of christians and jews. god tells us to take care of them, to feed the hungry. and i pray holocaust survivors will be given the basic needs that they so desperately pray for to survive.

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>> \m /m >> sean: only 4 days until the biggest choice election in our lifetime. the media is more unhinged than ever. spewing hatred and lies against americans that support donald trump. listen to far left liberals chelsea handler and don lemon comparing the president's supporters to drug addicts.

>> how specifically did therapy help you to deal with your rage against trump? i could use a few tips. >> oh, my god, i would go into the airport and run over to the fox news section and assault people. you are a racist! i would run out. >> i had to get rid of a lot of people in my life because you have let it go. they have to hit rock bottom like an addict and want to get help and want to live in reality and be responsible not only for other people's lives but their lives. >> sean: a little self-righteous. cnn a host talking about reality? it's delusional and disconnected from any sense of truth. and joe biden called the president's supporters chumps during a recent campaign stomp.

joe said we are not red or blue. we are the united states of america country. take a look. >> by the way, we don't do things like those chumps out there with the microphone are doing. the trump guy. it's about decency. we have to come together. i will work as hard for those who don't support me as those who do including those chumps with the microphone out there. that's the job of a president. >> sean: let's come together you deplorable chumps! that cling to your god, second amendment, bibles and religion. we have to come together. the chumps and biden. today at a campaign stop in minnesota, he called trump supporters ugly. that's not nice. take a look. >> dr. fauci called for a mask

mandate last week. this is not a political statement like those ugly people over there beeping the horns. >> sean: the dog bites and bee stings, feeling sad?ng blame donald trump and those that support donald trump. then you will bring us together. at his campaign press office the media mob, trump does nothing right. they hate him every day. like the rhino establishment republicans. cnn skipped the massive economic recovery news about record gdp growth, historic by almost double in the fourth quarter. here with reaction tammy and joe.

if you break a record in gdp growth of 33.1%, that's great for the american people. that means recovery is happening. would think it might be mandatory to cover that. am i wrong? t >> well, in july, late july that's when the q2 numbers showed 31.9 contraction and now we can't talk about the good news because that's good for thee president and we are trying to get joe biden over the finish line.on don lemon, who lives in manhattan, in the hamptons and works for cnn has a lot of trump

supporters to stop talking to. that dog don't hunt. if you don't conform to their mentality, you get cancelled. we have been friends for 20 years.s. you support trump? we can't talk anymore. in the end attack the president. i guess that's part of the game. the democratic nominee gets a get out of scrutiny free card. to attack his 63 million supporters as drug addicts, that's a whole ball of wrong. >> sean: tammy, somebody has a different point of view than me. okay, i just view it we have a disagreement. it's very personal and they don't just hate donald trump they hate those of us that support him.

that's where these comments come like chumps and deplorables. >> yes, you are right. it did not start with donald trump. we remember the hidden tapes of barack obama complaining about people clinging to their guns and religion. hillary clinton, this is something she has felt. it was scripted about calling us names. this is why it is personal for them. to feel as though you are the masters of the universe, everyone else has to be lower than you. your point of view -- it's a threat. your sense of yourself as being important and valuable is reliant on all of those other little people being worthless and meaningless. this threat, what we have done by firing them and by hiring our guy, wasy the ultimate insult

that they cannot accept. it affects their own sensibility. when you have chelsea handler bragging about screaming at people in a room. you want to talk about addicts and people who are unhinged. i the reason we don't do it is because we are comfortable and confident with our opinion, with why we do what we do. it's not reliant on somebody else doing badly or other people being in a lower rung. that's what socialism cause and what marxism requires. there are classes.se that's what the democratic party has done. a they look down on us. >> sean: think about this -- >> you hear it from joe bidenea almost every day. >> sean: coming up cities preparing for civil unrest onin election day.

rick leventhal with a report and the left is going after rapper lil' wayne for appearing to support trump. stay with us. appearing to supp. stay with us.

>> \m /m >> sean: tonight concerns over increased violence and unrest mount asas we approach election day 4 days away. here's rick leventhal. >> we don't know if there will be violent protests next week. but 3/4 of americans see it as a possibility. a poll by "usa today" found 36% are concerned about violence on election day. 38.5% are somewhat concerned. a smaller percentage were not worried.

across the nation businesses are boarding up doors in case of a repeat of the rioting in majoe cities since spring. nordstrom said tiffany sent sak fifth avenue all say that they are hiring executing -- extra security. in new york city, luxury high rises are hiring armed guards including off-duty cops with sub-machine guns. protecting the homes of billionaires against balance. and rodeo drive will be closed to cars and pedestrian traffic onon november 3rd and 4th. it's home to the highest high-end stores on the planet. the police chief said it's a proactive approach to protests. >> sean: after the summer who can't blame anybody.

thank you. also tonight african-american trump supporters continue to be demonized by the extreme left. listen to what a comedian who is really bad. >> no one is surprised that trump has fewer black women but they are surprised he is doing better with black men. it's like hearing that the titanic iceberg has support among survivors. >> sean: rapper lil' wayne is facing backlash after tweeting a photo of himself and the president and praising the president's efforts on criminal justice reform.t it looks like like owens prediction that some african-american voters are leaving the democratic party is coming true. here are candice and michael.

i remember saying you would be a huge star. i think i was proven correct. you have done amazing work. i give you younger people a lot of credit. thank you for all you do every day. i remember we talked about this. and if you are african-american and you speak out and you say you are a conservative you face horrible names and often a back lash. you have experienced that? >> i have been called everything. i am happy you brought up that moment.. iug never forgot being on your show and you said a star is born. i said there would be a major black exodus from the democratic party. i knew it was going to happen because black americans are waking up. looking at a president putting in place policies and not looking as black americans as a piece of property. that's what the left views black americans at.

they became angry as if one of their assets is walking away. when we think on our own and say, listen, we have been withth you for 60 plus years. this relationship is not working. this is a toxic relationship and i am prepared to walk away. what we are seeing right now in the media. chelsea handler saying you are not allowed to vote.me that's incredible. you are not allowed to vote for joe biden because you are black. that's what you would expect to hear when we were fighting for civil rights. we were not allowed to drink out of certain fountains and not allowed to ride the bus. w now we are not allowed to support donald trump. i love when the liberals go crazy because it wakes up more black americans. we will see incredible exit polls. >> sean: barack obama and joe didn't do criminal justice

reform or set record low unemployment. they didn't get any of that done. donald trump did. and your area of expertise. the path to 270. the president is building a coalition of african-americans and hispanic-americans anda working class voters that maybe the democratic party once had a lock on but they don't anymore. >> well, you are 100% right, sean. you remember this, we started 8 years ago talking about a full-time party in black and hispanic communities not just on election night. we never had a willing partner.

we have had a willing partner with donald trump. the sentencing reform. a sincere partner. now we are looking at 15 to 20% potential support in black communities in georgia and wisconsin where we could be even over 20% black support for the president. the president is taking it a step further with this platinum plan talking about real reforms of freeing up capital for small businesses. going into black communities talking about education reform. black americans want safety too. when we were in kenosha, the streets were lined with black citizens of kenosha saying thank you, donald trump, for saving your city. the numbers coming in absentee ballots. we know who these voters are. the support from black and

hispanic communities, you will see this after the election. hispanic voters in florida and black voters in north carolina and georgia and hispanic voters in arizona, i think the story will be that this president along with the party and his team put together a coalition with a willing partner that made historic gains in black communities across the country. that's the story of this election. >> sean: thank you both. more "hannity" right after this. - the world is in turmoil. been turned on it's head. of a possible recession.. - american cities are experiencing a devastating surge.. - hello, i'm michael youssef.

lately, we are hearing so many conflicting voices and i don't blame you if you are anxious and worried and troubled. but if i told you that there's only one voice that you can absolutely trust. after all, he wants nothing from you and wants to give you everything. i'm talking about the lord jesus christ, who said, " come unto me, all who are carrying heavy burdens and worry and anxiety. and i will give you rest. " he's the only one who can give you true rest and peace. will you come to him? - [female voice] are you waiting to find a trustworthy voice in the midst of the chaos of this world? visit findingtruepeace.com to find a voice that will never let you down. again, that's findingtruepeace.com.

>> sean: here we are, the single most >> sean: here we are, the single most election in modern history, your vote will impact the future of this country in ways that we have never seen. everything is on the line four days from now, we will be doing a show on sunday night, i hope you will join us at 9:00 p.m. this sunday. i will be hosting a live countdown to election day show.

set your dvr every night monday through friday, so you never miss an episode. let not your heart be troubled e friday night, laura ingraham is next, have a great week end we'll see you monday. and we will see you tuesday. >> laura: i am laura ingraham and this is "the ingraham angle." from minneapolis tonight, just four days until the election president trump is kicking his campaign into overdrive crisscrossing the country holding multiple rallies in crucial states, and today was a three-state sprint across the upper midwest. i was lucky enough to tag along for each leg of the ride. almost didn't make it to thef studio tonight, it was wild. at the whirlwind started in waterford township about 40 miles north of detroit in michigan. this is a heavily democrat county that crhillary clinton won more than eight points in 2016, but today