we set your dvr every night, monday through friday, so you never miss an episode. let not your heart be troubled, friday night, laura ingraham is next, have a it is time to take back our democracy. todd: donald trump and joe biden

with their final arguments on the campaign trail, 3 days until the election, taking competing messages to the midwest today particularly pennsylvania where four years ago donald trump pulled off a stunning upset by collapsing the blue wall of wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania and his team hopes he can do it again, good morning 5 am eastern on saturday, our special election preview. nationally biden is maintaining his lead over the president, the commander-in-chief gaining some grounding key states like arizona and florida if you look at which state the president is leading the real clear politics average is americans shattered early voting records with the entire nation energized like never before. phil keating standing by in florida as early voting ends today with bad memories of 2000 election were -- to you in a

minute. in washington what the trump campaign is focused on in this last weekend. >> happy halloween, the trump campaign wants to create the same nightmare scenario for democrats they did four years ago when they pulled off a stunning upset, the president spoke in minnesota last night, a state republican 7 won since richard nixon in 1972. >> incite violence with their viral anti-police rhetoric and the fact that they are weak people, very very weak people. they allow rioters to lay waste the public streets that financed, by you. with your hard-earned taxpayer dollars. >> the trump campaign was forced to scale back its rally in minnesota after democratic state

officials limited attendance to just 250 socially distant seat as a larger crowd gathered outside the airport so the president address them after getting get off of air force one. the latest fox news polls show donald trump needs to pull off a bigger upset this time around, the president fails joe biden by 8 points which shows he is gaining ground, was down 10 points earlier this month. this time for years ago hillary clinton led by only four points. the trump campaign believes pennsylvania will be critical to winning, the president set to hold rallies and four parts of the state today. mike pence in north carolina, joe biden and kamala harris in michigan and florida respectively, donald trump spoke in michigan yesterday, estate he won by just 0.2% in 2016. >> next year will be the greatest economic year in history of our country. you see what is happening, 33.one%. they don't like talking about

it. >> only five men won the white house without winning the popular vote dating back to johnson versus adams in 1824, this president won west iran, joe biden attack donald trump including his handling of the coronavirus pandemic and race relations. >> the only thing the container america apart is american doubt and that is what donald trump has been doing from the beginning. divide america, putting americans against one another based on race, ethnicity, that's not who we are. >> in 1984 ronald reagan won every state except minnesota. they say that's not going to happen this time. leland: one thing agrees about as the sun comes up in washington, full moon on this halloween, the race in florida is tightening, biden leading donald trump by one point making it effectively a dead he's. 3 days until election day, both candidates making a final push, kamala harris will be in florida

today, donald trump and joe biden hope to shore up 29 electoral votes. over half of florida's registered voters cast their ballot, phil keating up early. this is the last day of early voting. >> know, tomorrow is the last and it will be packed by souls to the polls where black voters go to attend services in a caravan to an early voting site and cast their ballot. two hours begin the final weekend of a historic year for early voting within person voting and mail in ballots. 15 million floridians are registered to vote, 10 or 11 are expected to actually vote this year and so far 8 million floridians have already voted. friday early voting opened up at 7 am and at this north miami

library, they lined up outside despite the rain to vote in person. for those who haven't returned mail in ballots, they are being encouraged to drop it off at the official ballot box in person so that slow mail delivery doesn't become a factor in there is a report in miami-dade county that there is a weak backlog of mail at one distribution center. voters told us why they voted early and not on election day. >> make sure our vote counted. >> we wanted to do before the long lines would hit, didn't want to take any chances. >> i voted the other day but i'm here with my wife today, a brazilian citizen, now a us citizen, i've been heckling her to get it done, if you want to be a us citizen you have to participate in the process, she said fine. >> reporter: joe biden was in

south florida thursday aiming to get democrats together voting to run up numbers before election day, biden went to a second rally that evening in tampa where the president had his own rally earlier in the day. we learned trump will hold one more pre-election day florida rally late sunday night on the tarmac of miami international airport. kamala harris will be in miami-dade, broward and palm beach counties today, the 3 big democrat counties in the state of florida and jill biden, the wife of the former vice president will be campaigning in the state tomorrow. leland: before you go, politico article, we've got to stop the bleeding, democrats on alarm in miami, party officials are sweating week early voting turnout among several key groups, those being minority groups. any reporting on that? >> about 5 person difference between those who have already

voted among registered florida democrats in miami-dade county and the amount that voted four years ago so there is concern from the democratic party, hence the biden campaign and surrogates flooding down here in the final days. >> donald trump's visit, thinking he can get some folks to turn out for him in miami as well. thanks for waking up early with us, check back in with you as the polls open. now we go to the national horserace showing a tightening race with joe biden's lead has narrowed from 10 points to 8 points, donald trump shrinking the lead in most swing states, pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin, north carolina and florida by just one point. arizona trump is turning to pull ahead by half a point. swing states polling averages joe biden would still decisively win the electoral college, there was a simpler stat in 2014. african-american studies's jason

nicholas and former bush cheney 2003 count lawyer, good to see both of you. appreciate it. where bill keating was earlier do we see a repeat of 2000, in 2020? >> i hope not as i hope this gets settled decisively at the ballots box. the national polls are the relevant issue, it is the swing states that will decide the selection of given the number of them that are close, very close, well within the margin a i think there's a distinct possibility for some overtime here but again, whether it is arizona, florida, north carolina all of these are very tight and that will determine what happens on election night. leland: one of the things after 2016, pollsters talk about what they got wrong, there was this thought about how essentially

people didn't realize michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin were correlated in terms of how they were going to break, people thought they would break individually rather than together. the electorate is pretty similar. how worried should the biden campaign be about an unknown break that has a similar feel to it? >> i tend to think that rust belt area is demographically similar and joe biden's messages resonating. he has a comfortable lead in wisconsin and michigan which puts him outside the margin of error. the key prize in pennsylvania. you stated in your broadcast biden is more popular among suburban women and that bodes well for him in pennsylvania congressional district 557 where democrats ran a table in 2018. i think he is nationally more

popular among women, they have him at 61% and places like maricopa county in arizona will decide this thing. a third of the voters are independent and leaning towards biden. i am not concerned that there's going to be some sort of aberration in terms of wisconsin going in a different direction than michigan. leland: so much is the african-american vote and whether it turns out, the african american turnout hillary clinton waited for barack obama we would be talking about president clinton, would have won pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin. black support for gop candidates, take a look at the numbers here. this has been a point the president continued to make about trying to make inroads with the african-american community, in 2020, 8% in 2016, mitt romney within 6%. that is significant, - 2016 numbers with the african-american community, perhaps a few more points in

their? >> that remains to be seen. i'm not so sure. i'm with the republicans in that i don't 100% trust polls. he's probably made some inroads with african american men but african-american women are the force in that community so i am not 100% sure he will get a huge bump. maybe one or 2 or 3%, he will not get george w. bush numbers i don't believe with african-americans where i think george w. bush was around 12 or 13%, but -- todd: the polls have him at 14% if you believe the polls in wisconsin and michigan that show joe biden had why wouldn't you believe the polls that show the president doubling his african-american support? >> i am in the african-american community, i speak to african-americans around the country and it seems like the support for donald trump is not

growing good. there is some particularly among african-american men but african-american women are not wavering and they are always the force when it comes to voting. men are more fickle voters than african-american community, i don't think he will move it significantly. not saying he want to move it at all but i don't think it is significant. the other question - >> we have it on the fullscreen we have to put back up. back to you in terms of what florida looks like into this. how much does the fact that ron desantis, including fox news exit polls, to you in terms of florida. how much does it matter that you've got ron desantis as the governor from the turnout machine perspective? >> it does matter in these close

races. if you have a governor like ron desantis who is pushing very hard to deliver the state it does matter and to the broader issue of the battleground states whether they move as a blocker individually one of the interesting dynamics has been as the race is tight and it didn't just tighten in arizona. it tightened in north carolina and florida. they are moving in concert. the polls are all different because they are done by different people and within the margin a, you see the tightening across the board. todd: probably significant, not only is ron desantis the republican governor but also republican secretary of state laura lee. i know you will stick around, we will come back with final thoughts. stay close. the us brokered the record

yesterday, 98,000 new coronavirus cases, donald trump has been criticized for downplaying the virus and still holding his huge rallies like in minnesota but is it really hurting him at the polls? coronavirus in a 2020 election when we come back. >> the more seriously we take it the sooner we get back on track in our economy. >> 0.05% fatality rate doesn't justify shutdowns, just doesn't e of doing what's right, not what's easy. so when a hailstorm hit, usaa reached out before he could even inspect the damage. that's how you do it right. usaa insurance is made just the way martin's family needs it with hassle-free claims, he got paid before his neighbor even got started. because doing right by our members, that's what's right. usaa. what you're made of, we're made for. ♪ usaa

leland: welcome back. coronavirus cases surging and setting new records not only nationwide but also in key swing states, he is staging massive rallies hammering biden's position on the virus while donald trump is taken to task over his handling of the virus. >> it isn't a political stamens wearing these masks. it is your patriotic duty. >> under the biden lockdown which he talks about and cherishes countless americans will die from suicide, drug overdoses and deferred medical

care at a level like you haven't seen before. there will be no school, no graduation, no weddings, no thanksgiving, no christmas, no fourth of july, no easter, no nothing. leland: pretty comprehensive list of things going to be canceled according to the president. the trump 2020 advisory board member and co-share of blacks for trump and veterans for trump, appreciate you joining us. the one thing the president talked about was school which is a key issue for a lot of families, especially a lot of moms doing at home education, you heard joe biden talk about closing schools, is that something that could be a point? >> absolutely. the president made clear the when he is reelected he plans to push for more schools to reopen and parents dealing with zoom classes, students missing their

friends are excited to hear that and pulling from gallup shows democrats a rate of 70% are avoiding public spaces because of coronavirus but on the other side republicans are at 35% of men and 38% of republican women. there is a huge gap in what people are comfortable doing and that should be left individual states and mayors and governors and the people themselves to decide that as opposed to a nationwide lockdown joe biden proposes. leland: without question there are two worldviews, let people make their own decision versus lock everybody down and make everybody wear masks from the biden campaign. this would be the question, the same polling shows people who believe the coronavirus is the most important issue facing america right now break substantially for the former vice president by multiple double digits. as cases are surging and that is

the headline right now that can't be a good combination in a place like wisconsin. >> it works just fine. the fact that cases are surging points to the fact that we are rushing towards herd immunity. a lot of people don't want to hear that but that means we will not -- >> not the people don't want to hear it but polling doesn't support it. that were coronavirus cases are surging like wisconsin the president is doing worse. >> i enjoy pointing to the polls but put the caveat that the polls were utterly wrong when it came to the presidential race last time. in 2016 the president was behind this time some of the numbers are looking a little differently because of covid-19 but the president has an amazing reelection effort, 2 million volunteers, 10 million phone calls last week.

leland: those are different issues. one is the reelection campaign, the other is the issue of the coronavirus not helping the president. we put up the map we had earlier in terms of where the president is going in the home stretch he's not going to wisconsin were coronavirus cases are surging. a lot of reporting comes from the fact the trump campaign said they have given up on wisconsin and don't think it is winnable. >> i've not heard that at all that the president is giving up on any estate. that's not the way he does business. the fact is the president is doing three and four campaign events per day. in wisconsin we are doing a women for trump bus today and there are thousands of circuits across the country hosting in person events, all of our different places where we gather voters to talk to them and tens of millions of doors, we reached 170 million americans so i am

not sure, any record number of registrations this year, 176,000 which is quadruple the number we did last year so the numbers can be whatever the numbers are but the president is pushing forward for the vote and his turnout numbers are greater than anything joe biden is doing. leland: the turnout numbers are something we watched and you have a long day ahead in wisconsin. i'm sure there are wisconsin delicacies on the campaign trail the last couple days, appreciate you waking up early. speaking to a biden surrogate about the inroads with the african american latino communities in california, getting an early wake-up call, he will be with us in a few minutes. the other thing we are tracking, the balance of power in the house and senate. the house most people tell you is decided but the senate is going to be key.

democrats expect to keep the majority in the house, there are some tight races in the senate. we will go state by state, north carolina, michigan, maine, colorado when we come back. (fisherman vo) how do i register to vote? hmm!.. hmm!.. hmm!.. (woman on porch vo) can we vote by mail here? (grandma vo) you'll be safe, right? (daughter vo) yes! (four girls vo) the polls! voted! (grandma vo) go out and vote! it's so important! (man at poll vo) woo! (grandma vo) it's the most important thing you can do!

>> we had senator lindsey graham who i respected and admired the could he could rise above the political fray but the problem is senator graham has changed. that is not the senator graham of today. nancy pelosi and hillary clinton are his political mentors, he called senator sanders a champion. leland: senator lindsey graham, democratic challenger jamie harrison faced off of their final debate. the south carolina senate race

has become one of the hardest and most expensive senate battles in modern history. democrats need to pick up four seats in the senate to win their quest for control, three seed center joe biden presidency to break any tie. in new york, more on the current map. >> reporter: in terms of money, shattering fundraising records, how many people have voted. there are several senate races to watch because they are battleground states. take south carolina. just days from the election new polls show the race between lindsey graham the democratic challenger jamie harrison pretty tight, some showing them as close as 3 points with graham ahead. more than 1 million people have cast ballots, that has doubled the record for absentee voting in the 2016 general election.

from a fundraising perspective graham has raised $72 million. harrison in the same timeframe has raised $107.5 million, graham has spent less then harrison and has more cash on hand. listens what both senators had to say. >> the senate goes to democratic hands and they have the house, the senate and the white house it would be the most radical change in the history of our country. the worst possible thing to do is tax and spend and regulate. i will not do that. >> the discussion of washington dc i don't care what is going on in washington dc because right now rome is on fire here in south carolina. we care about the lives of the people in south carolina and the lives that have been lost. >> reporter: another tight senate race in arizona, very

expensive one trailing south carolina has the most expensive race by $10 million but arizona's most expensive campaign with the latest numbers showing $133.7 million so far. martha makes sally trailing by a few million in money raised and typically a red state but showing to be a competitive one with democrats showing mixed sally trailing by 5 points to kelly and in maine susan collins defending her seat against the speaker of the house sarah gideon, recent poll showing gideon up holding a narrow four points ahead, gideon outspending and out raising collins who has been blasted by the president over her decision not to back the confirmation of amy coney barrett and a consistent critic of donald trump. democrats need to put four senate seats to win the chamber if biden loses. if biden wins they need a net gain of three seats.

leland: thank you, record numbers for fundraising, americans across the country turning out record numbers to vote early either in person or by mail. three days left until election 2020 as early voting has reached 62% of 2016's total turnout. hawaii and texas already surpassed total voter turnout for 2016. julian manchester, reporter for the hill on this. both sides will spin the early voting numbers is good for their candidates. any empirical data to say who is right on that? >> we have some early polling numbers. the pens which state you're looking at. i will take florida and texas. in texas, already surpassed the total 2016 vote and that is probably good for democrats.

texas has changed demographically over the last four years. you've seen suburbs grow with more diverse populations, larger hispanic population, large asian american population growing and we know from looking at these groups in texas that they don't necessarily lean all the way to the left but don't like donald trump and we know the voter turnout in texas, the immigrant population. leland: travis county and austin has had insane voter turnout numbers, voter numbers in texas, in 2020, 9 million plus, 2016, eight.nine six nine. that is kind of a rounding error. are we supposed to think a bunch of democratic votes that beto

o'rourke didn't get that kamala harris and joe biden will get? >> it is very possible if you have a growing population in texas, more immigrants, a lot of first time voters and voters who may not have voted in 2018 when beto o'rourke was running. presidential turnout in presidential years tend to have higher turnout but like i said in florida, i wouldn't say that is necessarily good for democrats, republicans have been driving merely vote in that state particularly targeting seniors and the latino population. we see that among cuban-americans who tend to lean more conservative, so they are trying to drive the early vote and get the senior citizens vote to turn out. leland: we saw donald trump in the villages, joking he would sell mara lago and move up to the eye for cores or.

these are early voting numbers, democrats 3..13 million, republicans 2.966. no party affiliation, one..621 million. there was a politico report that the turnout in miami-dade county which is where democrats have to run up the numbers just is not there especially among latinos and african-americans. why is that? >> right now, you have trouble with latinos, democrats in general have been having trouble getting latinos to turn out and you are seeing the latino vote not turning out in other places like pennsylvania or as much as democrats would like them to. there might be an enthusiasm gap.

leland: you have democrats crying about voter suppression and republicans talking about voter fraud. how much of that is arguing for the next fall, legal challenges after the election? >> potentially legal challenges after the election are going to be very likely from both sides. you are seeing them gearing up for this and this is going to be a highly contested election. this election is different from past elections, a global pandemic, more mail in voting, record turnout which could make counting votes more difficult. i would definitely place a positive that there will be at least some legal challenges. >> good time to be an election lawyer as they say. the retainers are already being paid. appreciate you waking up early, you have a lot of days on the trail, thank you. good to see you. the former vice president is

something doing back voters democrats lost in 2016 particularly folks that didn't turn out for hillary clinton. his campaign is targeting minority communities with over turnout, it is proving difficult for a few states, we talked about florida. a gentleman from california when we come back. >> you sending cuban-americans back to the dictatorship. he is sending venezuelans back to the dictatorship. trying to send haitian americans back. ♪ ♪ smooth driving pays off with allstate, the safer you drive the more you save you never been in better hands allstate click or call for a quote today

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however, there is one thing you can be certain of. the men and woman of the united states postal service. we are here to deliver your cards, packages and prescriptions. and also deliver the peace of mind knowing that what's important to you-like your ballot-is on its way. every day, all across america, we deliver for you. and we always will. >> joe biden got irritated at pro trump protesters crashing his rallies especially in minnesota. hillary clinton called trump supporters deplorable in 2016.

biden called them agree is protesters interrupted his speech. >> anthony fauci called for a mask mandate. this is into political statement like those ugly folks over there beeping the horns. leland: biden has a 4.7% lead over donald trump in minnesota, both men spending a lot of time there. joe biden's path to victory one through latino and african american communities in pennsylvania, florida and michigan. many of those voters stayed home in 2016 rather than vote for hillary clinton and the biden harris ticket is aggressively targeting them. california's third district congressman, not sure if you're up early or staying up late but we appreciate it. last few days on the trail we

see concerning data for the biden campaign of out of florida, kamala harris is down there today in miami. what needs to change for closing arguments to get the minority vote back out for joe biden? >> it is the reality of where we are in america and the world, it is the pandemic. it is the failure of the trump administration to address the pandemic which is racing across america. there is enormous concern about how we can deal with this and biden has been quite clear about how it can and must be done. it aligns with the science and the medical community and the trump administration is not doing that. todd: leland: an interesting point. we talked to trump surrogate stacy.

joe biden wins voters decisively who believe coronavirus is the most important issue of the day but not all voters believe coronavirus is the most and.issue of the day, donald trump almost doubled support among african americans from 2016. there seems to be a segment of people who don't believe that the crossfire is most important issue. >> it is the most important thing because the economy will not get back on its feet and the jobs people want to have will not be available as long as this pandemic races through our communities. you have to deal with the task at hand, to bring the virus under control, to crush the virus. when that is done, we can see the economy renew itself and regrow. this is where biden has put

together a good opportunity. his infrastructure plan, his desire to deal with education programs for community colleges and 4-year schools and health plan. keep in mind that trump and the republicans are trying to do away with the affordable care act and take 20 million people off of their insurance in addition to people who lost their jobs and their insurance. todd: we are still waiting for the trump healthcare plan that has been promised for a while. somehow we have not gotten the plan. >> there is no plan, let's get real here, there is no plan. leland: i will you editorialize. i will report we have yet to see the plan. let's get to the issue of minorities, whether they will turn out. the president has talked about turnout, minority voters especially latinos in florida.

california is not a swing state in any way, shape or form as relates to this election but an interesting quote that caught our eye, record early turnout, warning signs in arizona, latino registered voters about past ballots, half of latino and black voters have not voted in florida, half of swing voters in pennsylvania, 75% registered voters have not yet voted. this is not the kind of massive change the biden campaign was promising. >> was we do know is those particular populations normally do not early vote or vote by mail. a lot of early voting is mail and what we are seeing here is continuation of a long-term

trend where those populations have traditionally been low turnout, the latino population low turnout to begin with and when they do vote they usually vote in person. that is what you are seeing. there is an enormous amount of mail ballots stacked up in the post offices particularly in florida and there is a major scandal with regard to the post office. leland: phil keating was reporting possible mail ballots tax in miami-dade county. appreciate your time as always. enjoy the rest of your saturday before election day. back to the national horserace in the last couple days before the election. joe biden leading donald trump by 8 points but there might be more to that story in the swing

states that matter. they are tightening, 40% of biden supporters voting against donald trump and not necessarily for joe biden. will that motivate them to the polls? our panel back after this.

leland: a quick look at the most

important swing states. the former vice president's lead is better than 5 points in four of the 12 swing states. biden supporters are twice as likely as trump supporters to describe their voters being against the other candidate. professor jason nicholas and bush cheney 2000 -- 2020, that was 2000 recount lawyer. good to see you. is this a problem, one thing to tell people i'm voting for joe biden but you are voting against donald trump, does that motivate folks to get out? >> my name is nichols for your edification. i would say that it is one of

the best recruiters for the democratic party over the last couple years has been donald trump but the thing joe biden is doing that hillary clinton failed on four years ago is he's not depending on the back lash to donald trump to win the election. he is articulating a message which hillary clinton flubbed and fail that. the message cannot be we are not donald trump. you have to have a vision for america. leland: we played the clip of joe biden calling trump supporters ugly when they were honking their horns at his rally. is that a deplorables moment? >> i don't think it is. their behavior is ongoing, donald trump in 2016 when people were protesting at his rallies was calling from to be roughed up and said they deserved it. that won't make a difference.

it was a direct insult rather than talking about their behavior. >> to you, how does donald trump exploit this enthusiasm gap. how does it manifest in the polls? >> four years ago secretary clinton close to speech at a rally in north carolina using the phrase love trump 8 and one of the things you see is it is important from a motivational perspective for voters to be for somebody. one of the things that is clear is donald trump's supporters are passionately voting for him and we've seen less of that on the biden side. a lot of that energy - leland: i have 15 seconds, one

statement. the over under on when the election is decided. >> we have a real clicked chair -- picture by midday november 4th. leland: alex? >> 9 am. leland: 9 am over under on wednesday morning. all right. jason nichols, alex vogel, we appreciate your time. we might do early mornings together. "fox and friends" begins in just a couple minutes. stay with the channel the next few days and through the election. brett and martha have the call starting tuesday at 6:00 pm, take care. easy to pay off my student loan debt. they were able to give me a personal loan so i could pay off all of my credit cards. i got my mortgage through sofi and the whole process was so easy.

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and now we're doing the same with medicare. so you can easily find the best, most affordable plan for you. visit walgreens.com/medicare to get started. walgreens. we make medicare easy. ♪ ♪ i lo my country ♪ i love my country ♪ from kentucky ♪ we keep it funny ♪ we like how it sounds. pete: that number is right almost three days until the election. 86,000 ballots cast. october 31st. halloween guys. jed, will, i'm not with you in the studio this morning i'm in minnesota where the president was last night. we will get to a little bit of that. good morning to you both. will: good m