what is going on here? >> i think this is redefinition and redefinition is science denier or not, i'll let the public decide. >> carley: thank you for joining us, we appreciate it. >> my issue mr. >> carley: next hour of "fox and friends first" starts right now. >> todd: hurricane ian intensifying to hurricane three major hurricane, lashing cuba with 125 mile per hour winds and now on track to grow to a category four storm by the time it strikes florida. you're watching "fox and friends first" on tuesday morning, i'm todd piro. >> carley: i'm carley shimkus, the western coast has been told to evacuate homes as tampa braces for what could be its strongest storm in a lifetime. >> we woke up and saw where it was coming and made the decision we were going to get out of here and go take some -- somewhere

else. >> you were going to a hotel, i don't have the money to go to a hotel, this was the best bet. [indiscernible] >> carley: tampa international airport will shut down and suspend flights beginning at 5 p.m. eastern time in preparation for the monster storm. >> todd: janice dean is tracking the storm. >> janice: 125 miles per hour and just made landfall across the western portion of cuba and has warm water ahead. we are expecting this to become category four storm, making winds upward of 125 miles per hour, we are almost there. the storm will affect this storm going over land and losing its water source, once it gets to gulf of mexico with temperatures close to 90 degrees, we'll see explosive development over next

24 hours 6789 we have 125 mile per hour sustained winds, pressure is dropping. talk about a strengthening storm, when we see the pressure dropping that means it is getting stronger issue but the winds get bumped up. we're dealing with a category three storm, almost category four, 130 mile per hour winds will make it a four and we are anticipating that later today once it gets to the gulf of mexico and expect landfall between wednesday and thursday, but uncertainty is there once it crosses closer to florida. we have a lot of moisture here, it is going over land, losing water source for a couple hours and back to the gulf of mexico and computer models are tracking. obviously tampa, one of the worst places for a storm to hit because of geography of the lands, the low-lying land and

the storm surge will affect the area. we have potential for a major category three storm surge. this is what we're dealing wither hoo. we have a trough, when will the trough scoop the storm up? still yet to be determined. i think that anywhere south of tampa, up toward tallahassee, you need to be prepared for this storm system because jog to the left or right or north or south will mean the difference between the worst of the storm surge, the worst of the winds issue the worst of the heavy rainfall. go further out in time, there is consensus, national hurricane center thinking landfall around tampa bay area, we still have, again, some uncertainty. that is why i say if you live anywhere south of the tampa area toward panama city, cedar key, you need to pay attention to a

major hurricane in next 24 to 48 hours and completing your plans. if you are told to evacuate, do so now, hurricane warning for tampa territory sarasota, tropical storm warning south of that and hurricane watch toward ocala. we think the worst impact is around the tampa area, again, as we go into the next several hours, we will refine that forecast. obviously so vulner ashl coastline, officials say evacuate if you live in some of the areas. storm surge warning from south florida all the way up to tampa, means the worst of the counter clockwise winds pushing water against the coastline. here is fox forecast model, this will be worst case scenario for the tampa area, one of the worst areas in terms of storm surge this can impact and we're

concerned the rain forecast, 18 to 24 inches for this region, and again, all of that water being piled into the tampa bay area, we are concerned for this storm, in particular. looking at hurricane irma, this is last time a storm of this magnitude affected this region and that was back in 2017, we also had matthew, a destructive category five storm that went up toward the panhandle, when we look at storms in this region, it is been years, so a lot of new folks live across the west coast of florida and have never experienced a major hurricane, that is concerning. we look back historically, hurricane irma, we were thinking it was going to be a tampa storm, it made landfall on marco island, landfall near the keys, so historically, the storm was

supposed to affect tampa and made landfall south of the area, that is why i tell you, you need to be prepared south and north of tampa because we still have considerable honing in on the forecast. power outage forecast. we will certainly see power outages widespread for the area with tracking we have now, likely in and around west coast of florida perhaps for days. so people need to be prepared for power outages, not just for a day issue but days and that is why people are being urged to get your plans done today because the hurricane is coming wednesday and thursday. we're looking at potential of heavy rainfall and the tornado risk. we're not talking about strong tornados, but ones that could cause structural damage and he were is the indication of how warm the waters are and that is

my biggest concern is rapid intensification as the storm moves northward to this vulnerable coastline. this is really, really concerning, guys, a lot of areas have not experienced a major hurricane and that is why it is so dangerous. >> carley: that is right, and there are a lot of new people in florida, people that just moved to florida, this will be a big deal for them, 7000 national guard members have been activated because of the storm. have to leave it there, you will be on all morning, all day long covering this, we appreciate it. >> carley: fox news alert, gas prices hitting $3.74 per gallon overnight. >> todd: president biden is falsely claiming prices are below $3 a gallon in some states. griff jenkins live from washington with the latest. >> griff: i hate to be bearer of bad news, gas prices are going

the wrong way, up, $3.74, down from the all-time high of $5 in june, as president biden continues to slam oil and gas companies ordering them to lower gas prices while boasting about prices that simply do not exist. >> president biden: some states it is $3, [inaudible] -- have to do with refining capacity -- we will deal with that, as well. >> griff: problem with that, it is not below $3 in any state, even mississippi, state with lowest gas prices, you see here $3.07, and americans like louisiana parents are feeling the pain. >> we definitely are more cognizant of any extra spending or whether it be groceries or high gas prices. >> griff: this as democrat joe

manchin pushing for domestic energy bill to be included in continuing resolution is surprised many republicans, including minority leader mcconnell joining bernie sanders in opposing it, they feel it could accelerate the transition to green energy. >> we have to be energy independent to be secured and if you want to be the super power of the world. we can walk and chew gum, invest in the future making sure we have energy we need today. >> griff: where do things stand? text for cr, released shortly after midnight and joe manchin's bill is in there, but it is unlikely to get 60 votes in the senate. here we go, we'll see what happens, todd and carley. >> carley: thank you. crime is becoming a major midterm problem for democrats and the biden administration is struggling to defend its record. >> does president biden think america's big cities are safe?

>> it is not a yes-or-no question. >> todd: except that it is, we are talking with tomi lahren on tomi tuesday. don't go anywhere. >> tomi: /* the tenth pick is in the new all-american club. that's a “club” i want to join!

let's hear from simone. chuck, that's a club i want to join! i literally just said that. i like her better than you the new subway series. what's your pick?

>> carley: civilians are reporting for duty with the new

orleans police department, which is now hiring civilians to help after crime spiked 78% last year. a new orleans attorney joined us this morning. >> i would not want a civilian to decide collection of evidence required a warrant or how to protect it to protect the chain of custody in preservation of evidence so you could present it in trial when it goes to trial. we have random people off the street collecting the evidence, who knows how they will be trained, that or somebody can report to work high on drugs. >> carley: new orleans taking over as murder capitol of the company with 52 homicides per 100,000 residents as of september 11th. >> todd: the drug crisis at the

southern border, lewis and clark county leo duton joins me now. why do we need to worry about meth? >> thank you, todd, thank you for letting me join you. one thing we discovered, what happens on the border will make it through the entire united states, it does not stay on the border. when i was there, we had a conference of the southwest border sheriffs from texas, new mexico, arizona and california and western state sheriff's association and national sheriff's association, intelligence they are gathering is that heroin being trafficked across the border is going down substantially and meth is certainly on the rise, substantial amount of meth being

brought over in pure quantity and will arrive in a community near you. we need to do something about this. >> todd: i'm confused, i understand meth is something people can make at home, not so with fentanyl or heroin, why are cartels getting involved in meth? >> well, states have done good putting precursors behind the counter to make meth and it can be explosive. certain precursor, you find people band together and say there are certain things, red phosphorus, methamphetamines, that will be reported, meth labs have went down and some are starting to be on the rise, but in order to get the customer base up, you have to provide a product at cheap price and that

is what is coming. >> todd: understood, the question when it comes to fentanyl and now meth, anything involving the border. why is no one at the white house stopping these cartels? why is the white house allowing the cartels to poison our population with yet another substance? >> todd, you hit it on the nail when you said poison. the fentanyl is a poison. our children are being poisoned, our adults are being poisoned. i was down there and allowed to go on intra diction team ride and we did encounter some people, some illegal immigrants. what i saw were two things. one, the cartels are extremely organized, they don't fear united states. border problem is back to not

apprehension. what i saw will rip your heart out, i've been doing this business 37 years, i can look at someone and have pretty good idea, women have been raped, there were three people there, three mexicans it changed my paradigm about the mexican people, i admit i was wrong, i saw people who just wanted a better life being enslaved by cartels. who is running this railroad, todd? >> todd: horrible situation at the border, sheriff, thank you for going there and letting us know what you saw, thank you, sir. >> thank you. >> todd: 400 billion that is how much student loan handout could cost you. >> carley: and more information, more bad news for the american

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hello, colonial penn? >> todd: joe biden student lone handout will cost you the taxpayer $400 billion dollars, the white house is full steam ahead anyway. >> we'll have something to share on that very, very soon, on the application process and the next steps. once we have that, we'll share with all of you. >> carley: executive director of the american public policy foundation joins us now. robert, midterm elections are november 8, you wonder if the income steps will come out and november 9, this is not popular, it backfired and we're learning it could cost $400 billion, what

will that do to the economy? >> it is more bad news. it really is a kick in the teeth with estimate from the congressional budget office this week that the price tag for student loan cancellation is $400 billion on top of that, $120 billion more for the delay in repayment and $20 billion for change in rate repayment, total price tag is $540 billion, which going to add to the current bad news on the economy, continue to push inflation up and make it harder for the american worker to feed their family and pay their bills while you have massive hand out going from the biden administration time to the politics of the upcoming election. >> todd: i agree with the november 9 day, it is pressing on her part. the backfiring of the student

loan bail out probably part of this. new poll showing americans are fed up with president biden's botched handling of the economy. 74% of americans have a negative view. 84% of voters consider the economy a top issue heading into this year's midterm election with inflation following close behind at 76%. one more thing money related, stock market plummeting, how does this play into what happens six weeks from today? >> 74% of americans must have looked at their stock portfolio this week, as you said, stock market is down 8% this week alone, over 20% year to date, this is third week in a row of significant bad news for the economy with record inflation 8.3%, last week federal reserve increased rates, this week the

stock market, americans are struggleing and no surprise why the economy is one of the top issues as they head to the polls here in a couple of weeks. i think anger americans feel by rising gas prices, by falling wages is going to translate to the polls where they are going to reject this administration's mishandling of the economy and register their anger at the ballot box. >> carley: americans are struggling and gas prices have gone up for seven straight days and yesterday president biden blamed oil and gas companies for the rising prices. is that what is happening here? >> no, it is not. look at how americans have lost 7.6 trillion in wealth during this administration. prices at the pump not caused by gas station operators, they are trying to pay their bills like

every other business owner and prices being driven by high inflation rate and terrible economic and fiscal policy by the biden administration. joe biden needs to take accountability for his actions and decisions that is causing pain on the american worker. >> todd: the president did not celebrate yesterday with icon from '70s music, who knows, the week is still young. robert henneke, thank you for being with us. >> carley: pete buttigieg joining attack against republican governors for sending migrants to blue cities. >> these are stuntss you see from people who don't have a solution, it is not just ineffectual, it is hurting people to get attention. >> todd: the red state blame game may be misguided, this as california becomes latest state to give illegal immigrants state id's, reaction from a legal

immigrant next. ♪ iberty.♪

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integrity of military bases jeopardizing strategic interests and lawmakers say the farm purchase poses threat to america's food security. 266,000 unaccompanied migrant children have been to the border since president biden took office, that would pack the rose bowl stadium three times. shocks numbers began increasing in january of 2021, by march that tripled to 18,000 unaccompanied children. 140,000 encountered this fiscal year alone, with a month left to go. one in every five migrants processed in new york city is from texas, according to numbers from texas governor greg abbott. new york mayor eric adams claims abbott is responsible for 13,000 migrants to the big apple. abbott says he bussed less than 3000. democrats argue it is evidence

of red-state governments playing with politics. >> these are stunts you see from people who don't have a solution. it is not just ineffectual, it is hurting people in order to get attention. >> todd: it is a double standard since biden has been transporting migrants as far back as last year, carley. >> carley: illegal immigrants in california will be getting state ids after gavin newsom signed off on the plan, gavin newsom says it will allow applicants to use the id for work, open bank account, access healthcare and secure housing while not being official u.s. citizens. mike dias is a legal immigrant in california and joins us now. mike, good morning to you. how do you feel about this? >> it is not a good idea, it is

part of a bigger problem, policies that encourage illegals to stream across the open border. this is not id number, it is numbers issue, small part of a bigger agenda democrats have, the message is clear, they are saying, the border is wide open, use it, right? the two million illegals that have entered this country is not enough for the democrats and illegal immigrants know that you come over to the united states and you will get free education, and they are going to relocate you anywhere you want in the nation, of course a sanctuary city. this is not id number, this is number issue and these policies are not sustainable and you can tax californians to death and that is why californians are leaving to other states like

texas. >> carley: absolutely, 22% of 11 million immigrants in california are now in the united states illegally and some people are saying, well, the whole goal of giving them ids is to allow them to vote and they'll vote democrat, do you think that is what is going on here? >> absolutely. absolutely. it is a numbers game. you see that in california, for example, they are looking at we're talking about doing allowing felons to vote. in some communities, i was an elected official, and there was talk about allowing folks that couldn't vote to be part of our commission in the city. that hasn't happened, that is

just a slow, slippery slope. the goal really should be, as i have stated, even when i was on the city council, the goal is to get immigrants to be able to get their citizenship and become productive citizens in the country, like i have. >> carley: such a good point, absolutely, it is a long process that you went through. one thing about illegal immigration is that these illegal immigrants are cutting in line and clogging up the system for legal immigrants, like you. >> yeah, it is clearly not fair. we -- i remember i said this once before, like going to disneyland and haveings someone cut in front of you. sitting for an hour to ride a ride, absolutely. it is just a small part of a bigger agenda that democrats

have and clearly voting is just another part of that, as well. >> carley: certainly is, two million illegal immigrants have been coming into our country so far this year, which is causing issues. thank you for joining us. >> you go the it, have a good day. >> carley: you, too. hurricane ian making landfall in cuba as category three and expect to grow in strength by the time it strikes florida. >> todd: the state's entire west coast at risk and 300,000 people being told to leave. ashley moody is here with life-saving information, she ism next. eria are off balance. you may feel it. but just one align women's probiotic daily helps soothe digestive upsets. and support vaginal health. welcome to an align gut.

>> todd: floridians scrambling to find fuel with gas stations warning they could run out any second. tampa braces for what could be the strongest storm in a lifetime. >> carley: cheryl casone is here with more. >> cheryl: a fuel crisis may be hitting the state of florida in addition to hurricane ian, gas stations may run out of supplies getting gas for generator

filling up tanks. 4000 barrels per day come out of the sunshine state, but florida does consume 500,000 barrels of gasoline per day. there are no pipelines from the gulf to florida, and 90% of refined products are delivered by tanker to jacksonville, fort lauderdale and tampa. this as we see natural gas prices up for the seventh day, this morning sitting at $3.74. the storm is hitting cuba right now, there are tankers on standby to get around to go to miami. they will face delay as far as gasoline products go. >> todd: as if inflation was not bad enough for the country and florida, they are getting hit with a double whammy. >> cheryl: local businesses are

preparing, tough for small busyes, they have been dealing with small inflation, you spoke with peggy davenport earlier about it. >> i started to feel the hit earlier this summer when inflation really started to climb. we kind of regrouped and had the slowest summer we've had in 10 years. we took a pretty big hit, started to see recuperation, we were getting right back in the groove of things and this hurricane comes. >> cheryl: latest rates sitting 8.3%, consumer price index, everybody is feeling it. >> todd: hurricane ian intensifying to category three this morning. it is expected to become cat four by the time it strikes florida. warning residents on the west coast to get out now. >> our food source is ready, we shopped early and got everything

ready and just waiting to see the extent of the damage. i'm concerned about the flooding and i'm concerned about power outages. >> todd: concern from a lot of people, florida attorney general ashley moody joins me now, you are one official warning people to get out. what are you as ag, doing to repair for hurricane ian and protect the great people of florida? >> >> ashley: florida is no stranger to remember tos. one of our biggest challenges is convincing those that have been here for a long time and are used to near misses in the tampa bay area, it is hard to say, but this is the storm we have all feared. the way tampa bay is situated, a rush of water coming in could really be detrimental to the area. they said this could be a 100-year storm, we haven't seen anything like this for 100 years. convincing floridians who have been here their whole

lives, they are used to storms coming and diverting, please adhere to evacuation orders and getting the new floridians, we have people moving from all over the nation, broken records last year, we need them to understand this is no joke. if we tell you that you need to evacuate, especially if you are near water, do so, get inland. with past storms, those who thought they could ride it out ended up fearful for their lives when water came in and that puts first responders at risk. please heed the warning and look for evacuation routes and where shelters are. >> todd: we often turn to attorney generals to find out what their state is doing when it comes to price gouging, people trying to get supplies to survive, oftentimes are

exploited. what are you doing to prevent price gouging and have you heard of any gouging so far? >> that is a great question, each state has different laws regarding price gouging. we take this seriously, we have rapid response teams ready to get to gas stations or stores. it prevents individuals or organizations in jacking up prices because we need all people, regardless of economic means to be able to access important supplies so they can prepare. we've had contact, seeking information, giving us information in florida in the last few years, i've created an app called no scam. you can download it to android or iphone and it helps you gather information we need to follow-up. we have great teams that immediately respond. consider downloading that phone if you think you see price gouging or call 866-9-no-scam.

>> todd: every time a storm hits, obviously it is tough for the region and oftentimes provides institutional memories so next time a storm is about to hit, people can prepare and get ready and know what they are doing better than the previous time n. your time as attorney general and in florida, any lessons that you have learned from previous storms that you think you can apply to this storm to protect the great people of florida? >> ashley: that's a great question, and again, as it looks right now, headed toward the tampa bay area. you may know i was born in raised in the tampa bay area, that is where we chose to raise our family. i have extended family, so many love this area and we haven't been hit in so very long, i would heed the warning of law enforcement, i work with law enforcement very closely and in past storms we've seen them be called out for folks thatment to

hunker down, even in places we knew would be hit badly by the storm. take into account not only your own safety, think about first responders that want to do everything to get out and help you and save you should disaster strike, should your life be put in jeopardy, please take time to get out now while you can, while there is time to plan and prepare and protect your family and think about those that will have to respond should the unthinkable happen in your life be put in jeopardy. >> todd: great point, remember the first responders, dojeoparde their lives. rain effect, wind event or storm surge event, you could get all three, ag, ashley moody, thank you very much. crime becoming a major midterm problem for the democrats and the biden administration struggling to

defend its record. >> does president biden think big cities are safe? >> it is not a yes-or-no question. >> carley: tomi lahren is here to react, first steve doocy will look at what is coming up on "fox and friends." >> steve: who was that handsome reporter? >> todd: some doocy cat. >> carley: proud papa, as you should be. >> steve: he should have asked me, yes, it is not safe. coming up on "fox and friends" 11 minutes from now, hurricane ian is intensifying to monster category three storm overnight as it barrels toward cuba. former florida attorney general pam bonnie joins us as sunshine state braces for impact and president biden called out after falsely claiming gas is under $3 in a couple states. not true, not states in the

united states, stuart varney on the pain americans are feeling at the pump and country singer craig morgan is here, his new book talks about struggle he's endured and how faith got him through it all. will cain and leo terrell will join us, don't miss a minute. it starts eight minutes from now on the morning you trust for morning news. todd and carley, you are watching "fox and friends first."

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>> we are just six weeks from the midterm elections that will determine which party controls congress. >> carley: crime is a major issue for voters. brook has the latest. >> final stretch before midterm campaigning really ramps up and republicans are hammering down on crime and public safety. citing democrat policies as the reason for our country's crime

crisis. the white house tried turning the tables defending their stance on the never ending chaos. but, when asked about the crime surge the biden administration was left flailing, listen. >> does president biden think america's big cities are safe? >> it is not -- it is not a -- it is not a yes or no question. >> jen psaki says the crime is a huge vulnerability for democrats. why would you say that? >> i can't do elective politics from here as you know. i don't agree with your characterization of what she actually said. >> now, crime heavy cities would say otherwise. that comes after left wing politicians have feverishly called to defund the police. republicans are now strategizing how to keep americans safe and their agenda seems to be working. now, a new abc poll shows the g.o.p. ahead as voters cite crime as one of the biggest concerns. part of their commitment to america plan the g.o.p. is mirroring the 1994 contract with america with promises of a safe

nation and government accountability. as republicans regain the majority in congress. small business owners see the issue of crime as the biggest impact on the customers and staff and g.o.p. candidates say they are listening to and responding strongly against their opponents. watch this. >> my opponent, he don't want to campaign with joe biden. but he is cut from the same cloth as joe biden. he believes in no cash bail. they have demonized our police department. >> val demings would be the most liberal senator florida has ever had. she has extreme issues on every issue. she turned her back on police officers and voted wrong and against florida's interest and against common sense. >> republicans plan to use crime as a kitchen table issue against democrats as voting begins exactly six weeks from today. carley, todd? >> todd: brooke live from the studio. let's bring in outkick host tomi lahren. great to have you as always. look, i understand that the white house needs to save face and that display by j karine

jean-pierre. doesn't the white house need to acknowledge the horrific crime crisis going on in our country in order to stop the carnage? >> todd, what you are seeing in realtime by the way is democrats at large trying to decide if they are going to simply ignore crime, pretend it doesn't exist or they are going to go the route of falsely and moronically blaming republicans for it. that is what we are seeing. it's going to be a huge vulnerability for democrats because, when you walk down your street, when you're in your subway. when you are in your own backyard and don't feel safe, it doesn't matter if you are the wokest of the liberals or the most conservative conservative out there. you care about your safety. parents care about the safety of their children. when you have smash and grabs. when you have violent crime going on in your cities on a kailey basis. and it's not just the big cities by the way. this is trickling down into smaller cities and into small towns as well. you are going to vote for the

party who believes in holding felons and thugs accountability and not the party that believes in undermining law enforcement and coddling thugs and felons. >> there is a new abc "the washington post" poll that everybody is talking about right now. a lot of good news for republicans in it. one of the stats is that people rely or trust republicans more to handle the crime issues than democrats. but then another portion, tomi, found if the house elections were held today. 47% would choose g.o.p. the republicans. 46 would favor democrats. so, really neck and neck. what do you think that is with all the kitchen table issues that republicans can run on. and does that concern you? >> hey, listen. this is going to be still a challenge for republicans as it always is. because republicans, as we know, conservatives as we know do not control media, do not control hollywood. do not control academia, so the left has a huge advantage because they get to control a large part of the narrative.

they get to shape it in any way you want. that's why you see the white house play these tricks like i said at the top of it. low information viewers and voters that think that crime is not bad. and some think it might actually be donald trump's fault because if they watch the other networks that's what they hear and that's what they believe. however, it's going to be up to republicans to get the message out and not just talk about how bad crime is but talk about the solutions. the solutions as we know are very simple. fund police, support police. boost morale and stop undermining your police force with these activist d.a.s who don't care about the safety and a citizens and law abiding folks. >> todd: karine jean-pierre said this elections is going to be a split cream on crime. i don't know but, tomi, i take that split screen every single day of the week if i'm a republican, don't you? >> that split screen looks pretty good with an r behind their name. hey, listen. we can't rest on our laurels. we have to make sure we are getting the message out.

it's going to be harder for the republicans to do so but it's worth it every time. everybody in this country, not just the republicans, not just the democrats. not just the maga republicans but everybody deserves to feel safe in their city. >> that's great message. tomi lahren thank you for coming on. we appreciate it. >> thank you, guys. >> todd: they are ready to get rid of it. >> carley: i love that. >> todd: "fox & friends" starts right now. >> hurricane ian intensifying to category # lashing cuba with 115 mile-per-hour winds. >> sunshine state, florida bracing for a direct hit. >> national hurricane center and i remember asking them what would be the worst possible storm they described basically what we are facing right now. >> new poll find voters consider crime one of the most important issues. >> when asked about the crime surge, the biden administration was left flailing. >> does president biden think america's big cities are safe? >> that is not a yes or no question. >> new york city mayor eric adams ordering fiv