have embraced that. >> exactly right. there you government always great to end with jason chaffetz. thank you for being with us and watching. the big midterm show with bill hammer is up next. we'll see you next sunday when the next revolution will be televised. ♪ ♪ bill: we're just 9 days away to election day welcome to the big midterms show on sunday night, i am bill hemmer, with me, former advisor to president trump kellyanne conway. and kevin walling, to panel in a moment but in a week's time voters have their say. and plans of power is up for grabs. a gloomier forecast for democrats with 5 northeast races shifts toward the

republicans former president barack obama was stumping in week, continues hig campaign blitz, this week he will be in nevada. obama spent saturday going after republican candidates herschel walker. and dixon. >> he is a celebrity who wants to be a politician. and we have seen how that goes. >> he said i'm a celebrity. you got that one wrong i'm not a celebrity. i'm that warriors for god. >> opponent, her plan would slash billions of dollars from education to change michigan constitution to allow taxpayer dollars to go to private schools. >> a new theme of democrats to mock parents in state of michigan, parents who concerned about learning loss. he mocks the idea of parents

have to have decision making power. bill: i want to show where you joe biden stands in his general approval rating at 40%. 4 years ago, former president president trump at 43% during midterm, republicans lost 40 seats in the house, back to president obama two terms, lost 13 seats approval rating just a tick higher, 4 years prior lost 63 seats after obamacare was signed into law, and before that 2006 george bush. 37% approval rating before the iraq surge. high bucked historical political history in 2002, 67%. that was security election, 9/11. war in afghanistan, republicans actually gained 8 seats. to panel.

kellyanne you can begin. how does this election feel to you 9 days out? >> fundamentals are strong. for republicans. for a couple reasons, the issue set favors them, they have been talking in response to will of the people through polls about inflation and education and border security, national security. financial security and physical security, fri freedom and crime and drugs over the border. odd lly democrats have not responding making it more about january 6 and trump and abortion and a little bit about climate change. and second reasons they are going well for republicans right now, because they recruited really good candidates for all handwringing and white knuckle monday morning quarterbacking, saying they nominated wrong people, it turns out, john fetterman and barnes and pennsylvania

and wisconsin, respectively, they seem more unelect a able. so, i think that issues is a president's apersp approval rating, it is great to have president obama out there but he is not the miracle worker. bill: kevin, how does this feel to you? >> when you look at early vote numbers we're on pace to beat of 2018 in terms of voter turn out, 21 million americans have already early voted. 70 per of all ballot cast in 2020 were early vote. and what i i see is a growing gender gap in number of the races whether it is in wisconsin, or be in georgia with the walker and warnock battle, you see a 14 point spread in some key

states with gender, we have to hold on to that into the next 9 days. bill: josh? >> there is a lot of movement in these last couple weeks with undecided voters, we have seen basis excited their candidates, unthe undecided voters vote on pocketbook issues and the economy, the economy is not in good shape, we're seeing a lot of undecided voters brake toward the republican party. they are not satisfied with the direction of the country. the senate map is getting bigger than we thought. we're seeing tens of millions of dollar spent in district that joe biden carried by double digits. >> to this point about joe biden, where is he and is he not. probably both fair question, white house was asked about that. >> why is former president

making this case and not the current president? >> so, i would -- i would disagree with that characterization of your question. the president has been talking about this almost every day for months now. he has been talking about the choices that are at stake here. bill: a fair question. >> answer is career, joe biden is in delaware, because he is unpopular, and therefore unwelcome in most of the swing states, you have democratic incumbents saying, joe biden has nothing to do with my race. he is not on the ballot. she can't afford to have him there. and i don't think that this is a case of biden hiden, i think it's a case of them telling them please don't join us. >> just win, baby, if you have to run against national

party to be successful in some key moderate districts and run against president biden as we have seen with mark kelly for example on issue of immigration in the arizona race, then do it because at the end of the day it matters who turns out. bill: i think is interesting, josh, where republicans are going on offense and spending money in last few days, it is telling. cop versely for democrats -- conversely for democrats they have to spend money and time in places not expected. >> right, and joe biden's final campaign stop is in the state of maryland. one of the bluest states on the map. and you see republicans serogates in new hampshire and washington state and rhode island and connecticut. we have not seen some of the new england states become competitive in quite some time that will give you a 7 wsense of political movement. when your job approval numbers are in low 40s, trump knew that in 2018, and

george w. bush knew that in 2006, tough to be surrogate. bill: rick scott is talking, he has a lot on the line, believes that new hampshire is in place, he was a little bit today. >> hardest has been pennsylvania, but dr. oz will win against fetterman, we'll pick up georgia, and pick up nevada, we have every reason to believe we will pick up arizona and probably new hampshire. then we have possibilities of washington, and colorado. and levy in connecticut. we have a lot in play. the democratic agenda is very unpopular. bill: back to tick them off. later, we asked you to give us predictions, not right now. kellyanne, last comment he made, democratic agenda is very unpopular. >> that is true.

bill: is that on ballot? >> it is, this election more than anything, people are frustrated with unaffordability of every day life and insecurity they feel. i think this election is more about policies than personal kn het heties, they went too far with abortion this summer that was a bigi after don't -- big issue after dobbs, it is a big issue. the pocketbook issues and fear of rising crime and risings costs is so front and center, final point, "usa today" poll made clear, hispanics aligning with republicans 40% that is moving sort of trump legacy forward. we are recruiting and running so many candidates of color an female

candidates this time. >> whole good idea of policy as well, stand by with more. >> what do you voters think is more important to their vote, millions voted already. lawrence jones to the source in battle ground state of pennsylvania talking with folks to find out what so their mind.

bill: one of the big races, pennsylvania, it could tip balance of congress next year. democrat john fetterman held a double digit lead in most public polling over the summer, but in closing days momentum on side of dr. mehmet oz, that race is a virtual tie at the moment. new up -- poll shows party ises split on the matters. lawrence jones was on the stump this week, in pennsylvania. talking with some voters

there about the issues that matter to them. here is a part of that. >> what is number one issue for you and your family this election cycsnell. el. >> i am say, donald trump was a good president. he did so much for this country. people did not vote on policy, they were looking at a person. joe biden is taking the american dream and turning it into the american nightmare. i don't know why people would come to come here, differetearing down of statues, just if everything, loots of stores, people are getting pushed into subways or die, i turn on news, i cringe. this is not america. this is not democracy. this man and the vice president who is -- she is just missing in action there is no leadership here. >> i agree with the woman

here. he has really messed up this country. we are in deep trouble and i agree, i think the -- i am constitution party, i think that trump was a good president in many respects did a great job. not just a matter of who you listen to but what the facts are. and i listen to a number of different voices. don't get my news all from the same place. but, there are so many things whether the economy, the inflation, which is totally to blame for that, at the feet of our president. >> immigration is a national security issue. and there is washington, our leaders in washington are not doing anything to address it previous president did make a lot of strives to increase the border security, this administration, has done nothing. >> how do i think biden is doing?

>> yeah. >> i think he is a bafoon. bill: the last voter, he is an independent. that first voter that woman was a democrat. >> she was. bill: that is tough shreddi sledding. >> it problematic to kellyanne a points, it is all about the economy. i've been shouting from rooftops we have to focus on that issue, especially in a state like pennsylvania you showed how tight that race was, president was there friday campaigning with the vice president, one of most interesting split screens of this election cycle will be november 5, president trump is there campaigning with doug and dr. oz and you see joe biden and barack obama campaigning with fetterman and shapiro. also in pennsylvania the kind of coattails someone like shapiro will have, who

will clear the governor's race but can he bring others with him to support fetterman. bill: josh, you can analyze that? >> i think that kevin did a good break down about economy, i heard in the democratic voters comment crime and public safety is a major issue in pennsylvania, also in oregon, new york, wisconsin. most of the ads against fetterman have been about crime. and his very progressive positions as lieutenant governor as head of parole board. that is a huge issue. it is one that moved -- numbers, it is why the race is so close. >> interesting, kellyanne, you hear from voters quite a bit. and is what you just heard and the sample from lawrence

jones consistent. >> it pretty typical, when you listen to them, approximately a focus group. crime is mentioned by both genders but really on the minds of women, democrat made a big mistake by narrow casting to women about abortion and not listening to them about rise in crime and rise in costs, parents are not this situational demographic group to be pursued or examined, we're parents, people are still very upset about what happened to their children, with the lost learning and test scores, you have a political party that includes shapiro and clintons, and obamas and fetterman that are against choice in schools, john fetterman and his boss in pennsylvania, they have vetoed several times now, legislation that was passed to help about 50,000 kids on waiting list for charter schools and school choice, think about that in contact

with education, i think these issues together, should favor the republicans, you showed top issue for democrat and republicans, last 9 days are really about top issues for independents, they yes, it is the economy but it is a fear about how random the crime is, and how some of these candidates seem to be more in favor of the criminals. bill: chris coons on fox news sunday early. he is making case for fetterman. the opposite way. >> john fetterman as mayor, a small town outside of pittsburgh took on violent crime, he has tattoos on his arms dates when young men were killed before he became mayor, he spent years working to end violent crime in the town successfully, why this an issue. tens of million of dollars of dark money ads from anonymous donors created a

mistaken impression. bill: interesting, we'll figure it out on november 9. but argument might be that the dark money was very strong on the blue team and significant way during the election, they had more money. >> there has been a lot of outside money. but i think message m means more and that pennsylvania race the fact that sha shapiro is running to center on crime, not agreeing with fetterman, he is like running to the right of fetterman on school choice. bill: have they didn't an event. >> a couple party evens. >> have they. >> awkward. bill: we'll see what they do. >> and oz used that wedge in his advertise, saying shapiro is normal democrat and fetterman the progressive democrat. bill: what races have we been sleeping on.

bill: we'll break down the november surprises when we return.

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>> welcome to fox news live, i am ashley strohmier, 9 days to go until voters decide outcome of one of most hotly contested midterms in dictate. candidate and supporter from both sides face a busy week second. former president obama and trump joined in, toss up senate races in wisconsin and georgia will decide balance of power in congress, eyes also f focused on pennsylvania with oz has narrowed polling gap with fetterman. >> and to grim search under way in western india for victims of a cable bridge disaster, 60 people are known dead, many others missing, they were thrown into a river when the bridge collapsed. it was reopened 4 days ago. >> and i am ashley strohmier, now back the big midterms show.

♪ ♪ bill: their always surprises. any election, watch a few of these, come election night. we have been tracking these, some parties would argue not debatable. so what do parties see for republicans, they think playing in rhode island, hey minute since republicans played in rhode island. they are behind former cranston mayor. and also in state of new york, a blue state. we have not had a republican governor for over a decade, these are k key races, some are contested some, have leadership positions who are fighting f this, we have another 6 here.

many have thought about new york 17, that is maloney in democratic leadership, in a good race with lawler, and republicans feel good about that. we could go on but bridge bring back panel, josh, study this, give us a surprise race on your mind? >> i'll go back to new england that connecticut 5 race between hayes a liberal democrat, elected in 2018, and her first real race since elected. against george logan, a moderate type of republican. and he -- you have two african-american candidates running again each other but logan is tapped into moderate. bill: why is this close? >> you know, if you see a big republican wave this is the type of seat that could flip. bill: got it, kevin. name one. >> i'm looking at oklahoma

governor race. deep in heart of the nation. bill: the republican. and hoff meyer the democrat? >> a one or two point race in deeply red oklahoma, that is fascinating to me. a second term at it, you saw fireworks in their debate over crime and other issues. she is a former republican. elected statewide, she is really giving the republican governor a run. bill: we'll watch, that kellia. >> back to new york. because, you know lee zeldin. it has implications for house, lee zeldin is a strong top of the ticket. really focused on crime, but also on the affordability under hochul, many people walcall an accidental governor, zeldin has kept it

tight, we have it both under 50. bill: can i show you something. >> it can be down to the benefit. bill: can i show that you is the presidential level, two years ago. biden at 60%. but this is blue state. pataki had 3 terms. >> and cuomo was seen as presidential fodder for the future. and now he is gone. his lieutenant governor is rail fighting, she called herself the under dog last week. >> >> -- no one chose colorado senate race. o'dea is a businessman, dropped out of college. and a construction worker. they had a debate the other night. >> we have seen 5 trillion dollars go into the market here in the last two years.

and some democrats, have said they regret all of this spending. do you regret the spending? >> i regret the fact that we're facing the inflation we're facing, because the economy recovered at once globally. and we're having to deal with the affects of that because of the broken supply chains in the world and because of the cost of energy. we're having to deal with. >> i asked a question to you regret the spending? >> in my answer to the question is, i regret the inflation that pe people are facing. >> a redo? >> michael bennett will win that by double digits, colorado is moving so far from republican he is on same ticket. he will win by double digits, i think poll bennett over the finish line. >> we saw there is really. micro km.

>> not able to answer those. and has not reduced inflation, i think not able to just get out of their own way, it is odd they would vote for this spending not be proud of it and make it an affirmative pitch to the voters, when you are asked a simple question, do you regret? we in colorado regret it we cannot answer that. and i wouldn't take -- what i hear a state is red or blue, they are not stupid, voters have a way of repeating history and making history. >> stand by for more. >> quickly, economy is a problem are about bennett, trump could be an issue for o'dea. >> he is a rino . >> we'll watch that. >> kellyanne mentioned, what shapes in new york. really a changing state? alexis mcadams with the latest. will crime be the upset? that is next.

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bill: we heard kellyanne talk about the close race in governor in new york. ron desantis agrees, he was in new york over week campaigns for lee zeldin. another popular republican governor virginia youngkin also said to appear with zeldin this week, democrats amounted a last-ditch effort to boost democrat kathy hochul, flooding new york or waairways with ads after ads. but first, fox news correspondent alexis mcadams in new york with the latest. reporter: well both candidates had pretty big names join them. hoping that help will give them push they need to come out on top.

last night ron desantis joined congressman lee zeldin at a rally to long island, he told voters that zeldin is the guy to bring real change to new york. >> you need someone to go in there and just clean the house, in albany and lee is the guy. think about like responsiveness of government and a leader that can actual get things done. reporter: governor kathy hochul campaign bringing in their own big names with a new radio ad, recorded by former president barack obama. >> on november 8 there is an election for governor in new york, my friend, governor kathy hochul is the best person for the job, hands-down. reporter: as the gap closes, crime is the hot topic, zeldin said he will declare a statewide crime crises on day one, and kathy hochul focused on new york city subway crime plan but

addressed a controversial comment she made during the debate what she said she didn't know why crime was so important to her opponent. >> crime is very important. there is a lot of fear. >> early voting is underway in new york, governor hochul has a 4 point lead over zeldin. >> thank you so much, back with our panel, kellyanne, josh, kevin, welcome back. we don't know until they vote. and sometimes there are head fakes and sometime they are legit. but feels like this is legitimate in new york at the moment. that there is a close race. >> >> public poll show a single digit race. you don't send young kin and -- youngkin and ron desantis who new york, not campaigning for someone who is a sure fire loser, that is a very competitive race.

crime and public safety issue is very important. zeldin spent a lot of time in new york city trying to win over democrats. >> back to the ron desantis, he was hammering that home during his appearance on long island. >> the other thing that he will do that what new york really needs to do, need to stop coddling criminals. stop turning them loose on the streets. and you will commit a crime they put them right back out, stop releasing people earliy from prison if you do crime, must do the time. >> that was baretta? >> close enough. bill: i believe, that is cashless bail, i don't think that a lot of voters were in tune with. perhaps last cycle, certainly the cycle before. >> what voters know is that the three most poisonous words said by democrat in a while are defund the police,

they are trying to backtrack, people are aware there was one party in favor of that and also, cashless bail you have folks wanted to be softe on criminals. this has to do with people feeling that the system works against the victims and works for the criminals, kkathy hochul she owns and eats that now, whatever they adams and james are doing are not, riding the subway should not be an occupational hazard. lee zeldin sadly, twice has been a victim of crime, they took to stage and they came to his home. bill: first person to count on that, also for hochul, hillary clinton will be campaigning with her. >> dear. bill: this week in new york. >> she is done. >> she still remains polar. pop.

>> where? >> interesting thing with ron desantis, he has a governor race ahead of him, on eon november s 8, to see him in new york is interesting president trump will travel miami to campaign with marco rubio, one person not invited governor ron desantis. >> you look at governor races there are surprising competitive turf, oklahoma for republicans, oregon for democrats and real trouble and oregon, new york is not just the only surprisings governor race there are a lot of red and blue states. >> governor races are different, you are looking for a chief executive, power of the purse, crime policies, i was amazed how many states that went for obama biden twice, went for a republican governor during the obama and biden years, they are not just ticket splitters, but when chief

executive my state, i want more center-right. bill: here are issues, new york voters crime 28 percent. anoninflation 20%, and aboabortion 6%. >> day in and day out, new yorkers face these realities with the crime, that is why you a president travel to philadelphia, to talk about hiring more cops, you have seen messages pivot today only party that increased police funding, has been democrats over last two years, we realize there is a serious issue, this that everyone day americans see play out weak -- we need answer. bill: i don't know what it like in dc, james freeman. came on the air this past year, a writer for "wall street journal," said what daily conversation is about your daily commute and the incidents you experience it is real for you for voters.

>> these are quality of life issues, the economy and crime. affectionate most everyone, on a day-to-day basis, you see most polls show 70% of americans believe that country is headed it wrong direction,. bill: from 60% onboard, maybe, maybe not. >> this year we have seen most diverse candidate pool in history. from both parties. how could it play out and what will that tell us? come on back. in a recent clinical study, patients using salonpas patch reported reductions in pain severity, using less or a lot less oral pain medicines. and improved quality of life. that's why we recommend salonpas. it's good medicine.

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bill: republicans tell us they are winning most diverse group of candidates they have fielded before. from rio grande valley to new england. appears to payoff republicans are to elect more black and hispanic and asian members of congress than before. >> we came this to this county for opportunity, i grabbed on with both hands went to best high school, u.s. naval aca act dam. academy. >> >> we'll form our own

caucus. those progress of leftist don't want to acknowledge that minorities can be republican, we he hope if push back in a public sense. >> raised by 2 parents as democrat in jim crow south we believe in the red, white and blue. bill: back with the panel now. diversity on republican ticket. 80 women. -- democrats beat those numbers. but kellyanne, what does this republican ticket tell you. >> one of the best things, under chairwoman mcdaniel's leadership, people are saying, stop calling me names, top staying a party or a individual or a president is

race racist and sexist, people say, i am a first generation american, i want to ro run for public office because i believe in a border security and strong nation and economy. and they are standing up saying, that i have campaigned with some. they don't need to do, that many of them lose friendships and family members, they do this because they very much believe that republican party is one that is best for the issues that face them. last thing, sure democrats have more people, they have more women in united states senate, and more candidate of color, but they have one point of view on most issues. if everyone is voting for inflation reduction actor abortion. and if you try to grab your guns, if nobody is doing anything about criminals and cashless bail, what is the point of so many different people run figure you have one point of view. bill: what is interesting about this. 4 years ago, democrats josh,

did a good job of recruiting strong candidates, they had military b brack ground and intelligence background they did well that was the wave of 2018, but kellyanne is describing a different pool of people in america. >> look. imitation it best form of flattery, kevin mccarthy likes to talk about how everyone republican that won a seat in 2020 was a woman, nonwhite or military veteran, they amped upb recruiting efforts in 2022, most diverse class in republican party history. and they also see a realign ment, with working class hispanic voters and african-american voters, they are moving enough to really give democrats a lot of heartburn. bill: kevin. you need tum's. >> i am a democrat on fox, i

need tum's every night, speaker pelosi said diversity of pim of the democratic party is our strength. as a american, i think it is great to see more, i want a congress that looks like america. america. >> we started ouri program about an hour ago, where will it stand on the 9th of snoaf n november. don't go away, we'll give you their predictions when we continue. this is art inspired by real stories of bipolar depression. i just couldn't find my way out of it. the lows of bipolar depression can take you to a dark place. latuda could make a real difference in your symptoms. latuda was proven to significantly reduce

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bill: 9 days away, voters have their voices heard . >> we can only predict how things might end up, our fox

power rankings, best and worse case. on i've each side for house, majority is 218 in senate neither is a cheer clear majority. >> there are 4s that toss ups our panel, you go last josh. kevin, how and senate? >> i think democrat will buck historic trend, wipe keep the house with speaker pelosi in change and pick up a few seat in senate, hole nevada, flip -- hold nevada, f flip pennsylvania, keep georgia. and new hampshire, and we have some good opportunities in ohio with ryan and barnes in wisconsin. fired up president biden on campaign trail, with that ticket in wisconsin, bat

badger state. bill: i need a billboard for that one, kellyanne. >> great exercise in perfuming the pig. >> someone has to. >> in 2020, not a single republican incumbent lost in house it can happen again. that say big prediction for me if you think about no republican incumbent leasing in house and senate that could happen, then you are sied is adding. i think that republicans get 20 ea or 22 in house, 52 to 53 in senate. >> between kellyanne and kevin, i think toss up race go one direction, it looks wind in republican party 51 senate seat for republicans, they will get that one seat they will need and about 20 in the house with potential

it could get high sneer in 2020, during the break republicans picked up 15 seat in house. you add 20 that is 35 seats in two years. >> yes. >> hard to get more than like 35 seats, given that republicans are already pretty close to the majority right now. number -- hard to compare year by year, republicans in a decent po saying. bill: josh thank you. >> kevin and kellyanne thank you. >> did we cover it all. >> to be continued. >> nice to have you three. and and you -- one last thi thing, -- gender gap is real but for men. bill: thank you have a grit great rest of your weekend, that does it for us, we'll see out the big midterms show next weekend, until then tomorrow morning. and makat a i --

make it a great night, good-bye. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ mark: hello in, i am mark levin, this is "life, liberty and levin." we have three great guests. senator tom cotton. and marco rubio and mike lee of whom are up for reelection. and as i told you, we have changed our format. up until the election, we will return to the old format after. but we're still doing the long f