>> all right. welcome to hour two of our show, everyone, so glad to have you, i'm neil cavuto. you're looking at a frantic rush before the big vote on tuesday. more than 23 million americans have already voted either in person or mail-in ballots, that's something we've never seen in a midterm election year and rarely see in presidential election years. it shows you what a ballot royale is going on here. we're showing you the power rankings and where things stand, particularly in some

very, very big battles for the united states united states senate and governorships, could go from blue to purple, purple to red. hard to say. in arizona because a prominent libertarian candidate just dropped out of the race, there's a horse race going on there for that senate. we will be talking to that libertarian candidate marc victor later. first to kelly o'grady in phoenix with more. >> good morning, we've got ourselves a ball game in this arizona senate race. according to the latest fox news polling, just two points is celebrating democratic incumbent mark kelly from blake masters and there's room for the g.o.p. candidate to grow with that libertarian marc victor dropping out. the candidates are dropping out and talking to voters what they think are going to sway that very important independent electorate over a third of the

electorate in arizona are registered as that. and democratic senator mark kelly is trying to make this election will abortion and masters toured the vector with the most got-aways in the country. and the issue coming up is election integrity. there would be stricter voter i.d. criteria and here is what voters are saying about it. >> i completely agree that people should show their i.d. because it's a big issue with people illegally voting. >> i already used my i.d. to get alcohol. i already get my i.d. to do basically every other thing. >> when i go door knocking, that's one of the number thing things people want to talk about. they want to make sure their vote counts. >> now, that zeal is something that g.o.p. candidates are capitalizing on this weekend. fox news polling showing that 15% cite voter security issues

as their number one issue. and in phoenix, arizona you have the worst inflation in the country and that's something that the candidates are focusing on. neil, we'll have to wait until news and perhaps afterwards how long it takes and see which impacts the voters most. back to you. neil: thank you for that, kelly o'grady in phoenix. we want to go to developments in nevada. you guessed it. another couple of tight races there. she's in las vegas, alexandria. >> hi, neil. this has been a statistical tie, the most narrow margin in the country. making senator cortez masto perhaps the most vulnerable. she's been fighting against challenger adam laxalt. and she served since 2017, following the retirement of harry reid. and several have come out to

boost support. yesterday hollywood came out to end a helping hand. singer camila cabello and kerry washington. >> listen, we have a short time left and this is it, our last weekend to really push it out there. so, how many of you voted already? [cheers and applause] >> and how many are going to take people to the polls and get them to vote? [cheers and applause] >> that's what it's all about. >> we're waiting for those early voting numbers from the secretary of state's office and they're due out this morning and adam laxalt continued his business tour and focused on the economy and high gas prices. they average about $5 a gallon across the state and yesterday, national border patrol counsel joined. >> and we're in every county for this race and open media

every single stop and the reception is incredible. what's going on in this state. people want change and a secure border. the first race ever we've had the border patrol union involved in the nevada senate race. >> so that was an interesting issue brought here to nevada. and many residents who were there and who support lachlt laxalt. they say that it's because of fentanyl over the border. senator tom cotton will be joining for that. neil: thank you, out in legislation. in the meantime, you get so many races in states and times to digest where it's going, multiplied times 435 when you think of the close house races and griff jenkins following that out of washington. hey, griff. griff: hey, neil, the story of control the house is a compelling one. it does look by fox's power rankings it will be in the

republicans' hands, but the question is, will it be the shellacking president obama took of 63-seat loss in 2010 or even the beating that premium took in 2018 when he lost 41 seats. you can see in fox's latest power rankings that we put it at 26 tossup seats. let me get you quickly to that house race map and some of the more interesting races we're following and as they say, follow the money and that will tell you some of the compelling parts of this. if you go out to oregon in a seat that we really never thought we'd be talking about going republican, you can see in the fifth district in oregon, it has the suburbs of portland, salem there, progressive. jamie mcleod skinner friending off republican latina challenger. and that race is telling because democrat outside groups have stopped spending to save skinner because fox has this

race leaning republican out in very liberal oregon. let me tell you to another another race where republicans are dumping in money out in illinois, out here you can see in this district between. look this, this is the suburb of chicago right there. and now casston has a lead and republicans feel they have a chance in this one, actually, as well and then finally, there is one race that is very, very telling and that is where you are in new york and that's this race right here, come up and that is the deep triple c chairman, sean patrick maloney is in a dead heat with assemblyman in new york michael lawler and that's a telling

race, if the d triple c chairman lost, it would be the first time the d triple c lost in 40 years, but we have lawler pressing up. that's a tossup according to fox's rankings and i can give you if you want three more quick races we're indeed following house-wise to keep your eye on in michigan, a tossup elisa slotkin and sorenson and king in a toss-up. and watch for california, not entirely blue state. but marriott giving a hard challenge there. and bottom line as you look at the balance of power, 220-212, the majority 218, it's definitely changing come wednesday morning, neil. neil: we will shall see how much. i'll see you in 50 minutes,

griff jenkins following all of that. and the stables are turning and is there any sign of early momentum and that's why the candidates pull out the stops in the last couple of days and stating the obvious n georgia we showed you before senator warnock, now the guy who is trying to topple him, hershel walker, he is in athens, georgia, i believe. rick scott, in charge of senatorial campaign and raise money and get them over the top. and that's a close race and it's considered a tossup in itself says something right now and let's get the latest from shannon bream, the fox sunday host. the momentum with a couple of days to go, i'm curious where are they going? >> yeah, neil, it's money versus message. which is more powerful? and griff pointed out the house districts. it's nuanced there and i've

traveled the country the last few months and i hear and see the ads over and over again and wonder whether people in the markets get dulled to them because it's one after another after another after another, every commercial break and on abortion we saw a ton of them over the summer. but these days, it's the economy number one that shows up on every poll and crime. that seems to be effective nearly everywhere across the country for republicans, but money decisions are very important. it's a finite resource for a lot of the campaigns and supporting the candidates. we saw up in new hampshire, the super pac aligned with mitch mcconnell hoping to be the senator majority leader, now the minority leader. they pulled the money because it seemed out of touch or out of reach, but now bolduc is

giving maggie hassan a run and i think ultimately it will be the voters than the money poured in the districts. neil: i wonder, too, is there momentum that we're missing or something picking up beneath the surface that was certainly going on in 1994. it was certainly going on in the race for president in 1980 when ronald reagan and jimmy carter were technically tied that final weekend. we know at that final weekend seems to be a moment of shift, whether it confirms the shift we already see or slows it. what do you think? >> well, from hearing from reporters on the ground, i think that's the best resource, they're out in the states, in the districts talking to people, getting those, quote, man on the street interviews and what they're running across is a lot of people who are democrats and independents who say, i feel in ways the party has gone too far for me and so i'm considering voting republican for the first time

and that's anecdotal. it's not a real measure for us, but we look how people are turning in early ballots and usually democrats far and away outpace republicans on that front, but in some cases it's closer than in the past. so can that be a little tea leaf reading for us? it could be. pollsters continue to tell us that republicans are less responsive, that nonresponsive bias that we've talked about in their polling so even they're hedging their bets and saying this is the best number of the snapshot at this point, but we can't tell because there is actually a distinct group of voters that doesn't want to cooperate with our polls. neil: it's interesting you talk about polls and issues that might rest senate. i had charlie crist on her running for government against ron desantis and we don't know how it will go and you remind us go on the election day itself. and finding crist's strategy is trying to win over female voters particularly over the

issue of abortion. a lot of ads in that regard and you're seeing that in a number of house representatives running, including his old district, where the democratic candidate's doing the same. obviously, the roll of the dice with that, shannon, that assumes that's the only issue that women vote on, but it's the one they're pounding, what do you think? >> it is, but what's interesting in the last couple of big polls that we've seen that show a shift of women over to the republican party in numbers that, you know, we asked our pollsters are these reliable? because it's a big shift over the last couple of months, but what we're hearing from women that the new york times sienna poll and the wall street journal and polling as well. women are way more concerned about the economy at this point. they're worried about making ends meet, putting food on the table and gas in the car and they think a majority of them, the last wall street journal poll already in a recession, over 70% of them think we're moving in the wrong direction

economically as a country and those are things that impact their everyday life whereas abortion is certainly going to impact, you know, many, many millions of women across this country, but not on a daily basis the way that the economy does, so the shift in female voters over to republicans in bigger numbers than we've seen in a long time indicates they tell us their biggest issue is the economy and feeling safe. neil: thank you for that, shannon. look forward to fox news sunday. i have no doubt you'll be all over this. shannon bream on the developments here, we're finding what's going on in georgia right now. hershel walker is speaking to supporters in georgia and we just heard from senator warnock. you've seen this all over the country as well where three presidents are doing their best to turn the results sort of like a marvel movie and you know how that ends with explosions and all that. politically, it's the exact same thing. we'll have more. the hiring process used to be the death of me. but with upwork...

with upwork the hiring process is fast and flexible. behold... all that talent! ♪ this is how we work now ♪ medium latte, half-caff, no foam. quite the personalized order. i know what i like. i've been meaning to ask you, carl. does your firm offer personalized index investing? hmm? so i can remove a stock that doesn't align with my goals. i'm a broker, not a barista. what about managing gains and losses to be more tax efficient? not a wizard either. looks like schwab personalized indexing can. schwaaab! learn more about personalized indexing at schwab today.

♪ [christmas music] ♪

♪ ♪ weathertech gift cards have the power to wow everyone on your holiday list. offering a variety of american made products. weathertech! nice! like floorliners... cargo liner... tablet holder... boot tray... cupfone... sink mat... pet feeding system... anti-fatigue comfortmat and more. order the weathertech gift card instantly for the perfect gift at weathertech.com hi, i'm susan, i've lost 84 pounds on golo and i've kept it off for a year. i had spent so much money on other products that when i saw the commercial for golo, the price was so much cheaper and i thought, "boy, this might not work but why not try it?" it is amazing and it works really well.

>> when they talk about crime, you know, they're just trying to gin up all kinds of fear and anxiety in people. they're not dealing with it, they're not trying to tackle it, so i view it as an effort to scare voters. these are master manipulators. they have this conspiracy going all across america to try and convince people that in democratic states they're not as safe. neil: all right, i've been on this before, the numbers at fox as you know. and a lot of people, yeah, you're a nerd, neil, but the nerd in me goes back to the statistics. fork, position, the double digit i think cr-- increases and from the police report and those are reliable statistics and both parties have spoken about over many years and rivalled for various offices and same with data we

get across the country and other cities. that's how it's done. you can quibble with the numbers you finally see what the numbers are what they are. and alexis mcadams knows it's much bigger than new york and big cities, it's an across the country issue that's resonating. she has more, alexis. >> yeah, living in new york city and being from chicago, crime is a top priority in this election. the closer race has democrats on edge and this weekend joe biden along with former president clinton will be here and former u.s. representative tulsi gabbard will be here to campaign. and both sides with big money and big names for new york governor. days before the election, kathy hochul and other opponent are

trying could convince they're the best choice for the election. governor hochul is looking at taking guns off the streets and vowing to protect women's rights. >> the governor it telling that she has focused on policy, not on sound bites. >> you have to have a real strategy to deal with this. you can't run tv ads and say on day one, that changes. that's what voters are understanding. i've been in the trenches with mayor adams and giving resources and doubling, trippling the money given to law enforcement. but congressman zeldin says he's been in the trenching talking about crime since day one and that's what experts believe allowed him to close in on the democratic governor and he hopes to tie hochul's policies to the crime in new york. >> we want to secure our subways, we want to see leaders

in government with zero tolerance for crime committed to doing everything in their power to make sure that you're able to take this route running in the morning, you're able to ride a subway along any route, and you're able to be safe doing it. >> having the president here in new york city shows you how close this race is because they're trying to pull in as many people as possible to help hochul out here, right. the last quinnipiac poll, a four point lead over zeldin and it's specifically tight in the suburbs and it's one we're watching closely. neil: to put it mildly. thank you, alexis mcadams. this is an issue that alexis rightly pointed out, it's not only republicans, but anyone with their well-being, a survey, what has you most worried about working from home and going into the city, and crime. what could be shocking to some that follow the political development for a living, when democrats start en masse saying the same thing.

i had a chance to catch up with a new york city democratic councilman who is thinking the unthinkable and now committing to do the unthinkable, voting for the republican candidate for governor lee zeldin and he is explained to me why. >> i've been a democrat for 50 years and i've voted democrat for very many years, but we're at a point, we're losing this city and we're losing the state. rudy giuliani saved new york city and i'm a democrat saying that. neil: and he's not alone. howard saper not surprised, the former new york city police commissioner, good to have you. there are many like him and i've talked to them over the last couple of weeks and from various parts of the country who say crime is a real issue. it's a worrisome issue and they don't know how the powers that be are dealing with the issue and worse yet dismissing the issue. what do you think? >> the fact is that crime is

the issue. innocent people are no longer watching other people being victims of crime. innocent people are being victims of crime. what the democrats are doing, they're talking about policy. nobody wants to hear about poim. policy. and i can go to times square and not get shot. what they want to see are more police officers on the street and aggressive policing. zeldin mentioned the sound bite, zero tolerance, that was com-stat, stop and frisk, that's going to turn this around. what they're saying now, the guns, 350 million guns in this country. that's not going to stop crime. neil: i'm glad you mentioned that, howard. i know their push and typical response you hear and even the president alluded to in chicago last night watch those assault weapons, i get that, but as you pointed out, in a lot of these crimes they have no weapons at all. people pushed onto subway tracks or a knife or someone

beats the crap out of them for no reason. there's nothing to do with that, but it's the turnstile justice system, arraigned and immediately let out. that's the core of a lot of this, but it's rampant. what do you think? >> the no bail laws are ridiculous. the fact is, you read day after day, people who are let out on bail for crimes they've committed 10, 15, 25 times before and they go back out and commit them because they know it's a turnstile revolving door in the criminal justice system right now. the district attorney's undercharging. they're not asking for high bail and so, we have a dangerous situation. what's happening in new york and it breaks my heart because we all worked so hard to change it, is the fact that it is a dangerous place. you walk down the street and you could get shot, you could get stabbed, thrown in front of a subway train or just, they have the gangs out there now, that the ritual is punch

somebody out, be a member of the gang, it's crazy. neil: howard, you know, they always say if you don't like the numbers, dismiss the numbers or question their validity. you're hearing that a lot across the country that this is all exaggeration. this fixation that republicans have on crime and sconce stastant ly-- constantly pounding it is almost much ado about nothing. what do you think about nathat? if you have a losing programs and don't have a vision for the future you attack the numbers. the fact is the numbers are real. the n.y.p.d. don't fudge the numbers, fbi doesn't fudge the numbers and they are real victims. that's where democrats are making a mistake, you don't have to look at the numbers, look on the switch. neil: street. neil: and paul pelosi is now

out of the hospital after six days in the hospital. but his assailant under almost every other kirk circumstance would have been released had federal charges not been made. threatening the life after speaker, for example, or her spouse. that got me thinking, under normal conditions, he would be out. >> absolutely. and the fact is that it's a person of notoriety, pelosi's husband, that has the federal crimes going, and he was under production, unfortunately not well and the capitol police not looking at the cameras. but the other part of this that gets to me, he's also an illegal immigrant and all of that combined tells you what's going on in this country. neil: howard safir, very good to see you again. sorry under these circumstances, but we get together and talk about it. howard safir.

focusing on the border, that's a big issue particularly if you're in a border state and doesn't bill melugin know it, bill. >> the biden administration continues to insist that the border is closed or secure. that doesn't match up with the situation on the ground here. case in point, take a look at the video our fantastic drone team shot earlier this morning in normandy, texas before sunrise, yet again, the fifth day in a row we witnessed a huge group of illegal immigrants crossing into the normandy area, streaming across the rio grande, wading through the window, no resistance either side of the border. five days in a row we've seen it, same time, same spot. there's been nothing done to stop it. very nonchalant as they shuffle into the united states and crawl underneath a fence that was put up by the texas national guard once they get here and this certainly isn't the only group.

take a look at the shot yesterday, same time, same location, a bigger group. once again in normandy. several hundred crossing illegal into that exact area. once again, no resistance and you see them willing to give themselves up because they believe if they step foot on u.s. soil they will be processed and released into the united states with a court date rather than removed from the sector. in del rio that's what happens the majority of the time, cuba or nicaragua, are not subject to title 42. that wasn't the long group. the last piece, yesterday, other side of town, eagle pass, we had yet another huge group hundreds crossing illegally into a private orchard eagle pass, texas area, almost all of them are single adults, very few children or familiy units.

since october 1st, already 50,000 illegal crossings, stunning numbers for one sector in one single month and we're seeing this play out every day, multiple times a day and it's been going on here since the springtime months, neil. back out live, border patrol-- excuse me bore dor patrol morale extremely low, the lowest it's ever been. we talk to them all the time and agents feel they've been turned into social workers and aren't focusing on enforcement. they feel they've been turned into bore dder enrollment. neil: and next, he's with the drawn from the race and mr. victor, thank you for coming. why did you quit the race? >> thanks for having me, neil

and happy saturday. basically i quit the race because i honored my word. right after the debate i put out a video and invited either blake masters or mark kelly to sit down, have a conversation with me, i was getting e-mails from people and requests, sort of back down. look, there's a way to make this happen. if either of them sits down with me and they can convince me about what i care about, which is that it's in the interest of froeedom and peace and civility for me to back down and support one of them. that's exactly what i would do. blake masters campaign agreed to my terms which was that it's going to be a completely transparent no secret meetings, no discussions before and they agreed to that, we sat down, and i asked him many, many questions on many different issues, and while we didn't agree on everything, i felt very confident that we agreed on enough for me to conclude that stepping down and supporting blake masters over mark kelly is in the interest

of the people of arizona, the people-- >> what decided the issue for you, marc in going to blake masters than mark kelly? >> several things, first off telling me that he's read both maury and-- carrying around a copy of human action in high school. that said a lot to me. he said he previously identified as a libertarian twice, said that libertarian theory is correct. i like that a lot. he said the government should be as small as possible. and most importantly, he said we can count on him to get us in the direction of what i care about, which is the live and let live global peace movement and that he supports it. that was good, enough for me, especially after i explained it to him. neil: all right. marc victor, obviously, that did the trick and now tightest ticket in this race and you might have been the person who decided it.

marc victor, former libertarian senate candidate. we'll not only focus what's going on in arizona, but the other ballot ground states and the president and former president, so many of them now on the stump, arguing for candidates and their party and their cause and they always say the country because if it went the opposite way they would say it is the end of the world. we're on it. is it? after this. all across the country, people are working hard to build a better future. so we're hard at work, helping them achieve financial freedom. we're providing greater access to investing, with low-cost options to help maximize savings. from the plains to the coasts, we help americans invest for their future. and help communities thrive.

>> all right. we want to take you live to a podium. that's how on top of the news we are. that podium pretty soon will be the president of the united states, in joliet, illinois. he's doing his part to get the word out and vote, get jazzed by this thing, but that's what this whole day comes down to and the whole week and leading up to tuesday, how jazzed are you about your candidate or the issues to put in the effort to get out and vote, where a lot of people have done so early. we've told about 23 billion have by mail ballot as well. that's important and when you hear most republicans show up at the polls. we'll see how that sorts out. these are record numbers no matter how you slice it. probably a state that's garnering the most interest if you weigh it by, i don't know, presidents or former presidents is pennsylvania.

that's where you'll find our rich edison. he has more from that ballot ground, rich. >> hey, good morning, neil. plenty of podiums here in the commonwealth of pennsylvania here on the west side of the state here at the university of pittsburgh where you're soon going to get democratic nominee john fetterman for senate and then former president barack obama and take the act out east in philadelphia tonight you're going to have those two along with the democratic candidate for governor in this state, joshua shapiro and current president biden. so, they're really hoping this is going to be a pickup for them, the democrats, this year in this election. fetterman says he's proud to be campaigning with the former president, as we're just a couple of days away from election day. >> we're running a campaign that is, i think, grounded in the kinds of values that is very much part of pennsylvania. the other side has spent most to $100 million. $100 million to just, really just try to tear us down, you

know, and it's a close race, it's a jump ball for sure. >> and obama has already campaigned for democrats in close races and places like wisconsin, georgia, arizona, fetterman faces several challenges in the last few days of the campaign. he had a significant polling lead this summer that narrowed to a race within the margin of error in several polls, questions about his health having a stroke in may. refusal to produce medical records and processing words in speaking. fetterman says he and his doctors believe he's fit to serve in the senate. and reversal on fracking, a full supporter after the government addressed environmental concerns and fefett er fetterman is looking at his opponent's stance on abortion, and there was a midterm

environment polling pickup opportunity for them. neil. neil: thank you for that. rich edison in pennsylvania. as i mentioned, we have so many former presidents as well as the current president on the stump on behalf of candidates, but it got me thinking, you have barack obama, you have bill clinton, donald trump of course on the republican side, of course the president himself in illinois today. it's like a marvel movie with all the cast of characters together and it's eye-popping to see when you see them all together it's explosive. the trouble with this particular marvel group they're not all on the same page and they have differences behind the scenes even in the democratic party, who's got the right message to get out and adds up with some of those, like barack obama, and hear him, and whatever you think of

that, a gifted politician, but the guy you're talking about isn't you. >> well, you'll see today former president donald trump and barack obama both campaigning in pennsylvania. and former president obama will be alongside joe biden in philadelphia this evening. pittsburgh and philadelphia, two areas where democrats really need to boost their turnout if they're going to win in pennsylvania and potentially, keep control of the united states senate. and i think, as rich was pointing out there a few minutes ago, it's a very, very tight race in pennsylvania. this was once seen as a state that could be a potentially easy pickup opportunity for democrats. but now the race inside usa today's polling and other polling is inside that margin of error. neil: you know, francesca, i'm wondering about the wisdom of having someone like a barack obama campaigning for john fetterman and taking nothing against fetterman, you know, he

had a stumbling debate performance, a stroke and you know that and endorsed and introduced by someone who is as savvy and smooth on the stump as any candidate in u.s. history. the comparison is fairly dramatic. i don't know if it rings home to viewers and to voters. what do you think? >> well, democrats are certainly hoping that putting barack obama on the trail not just in pennsylvania, but in other key states, such as georgia, and nevada, will turn out loyal democrats who might otherwise sit this election out. if barack obama tells you to vote for somebody, will you vote for that person if you're a democrat. neil: but when he's not on the ballot it's never happened. so if in his first midterm didn't happen, and second membership didn't happen. scores of races since, hasn't happened. >> well, and republicans, neil, seemingly face the same problem with the former president, whom they are deploying in the final days of the race, and he's also

not on the ballot yet republicans are also counting on donald trump to turn out all of his loyalists in this election when they might not otherwise come out either. neil: good point. so as we wait to hear from doug fetterman, i think he's going to be in pittsburgh or is in pittsburgh right now and he seems to mostly survived the debate performance. although he trails in a couple of polls maybe owing to that debate, what do you think? >> he did have a much stronger lead a few months ago prior to that debate and now, again, in usa today's polling it's within two points, the race there. so we really have no idea what will happen in that really tight race, just as it's very close in some of the other key states like georgia. that could also flip the balance, like nevada, that could flip the balance and arizona, also. neil: thank you for that.

f francesca chambers. let's go to christopher, a little bit of a college pollster. very good to have you. maybe you can give a sense of what you're seeing particularly in pennsylvania and now the added development where oprah winfrey comes out and essentially says to the star that she made a star, mehmet oz, i'm not for you, i'm for the guy you're running against. does that carry any weight in pennsylvania? >> neil, that's a great question. as you mentioned in the previous spot how many people are coming into the state to work for the candidates right now on both sides and both the governor's race and the senate race in particular. you know, i would never be one to minimize the impact of oprah winfrey in influencing some voters. it's an interesting dynamic between her and dr. oz, someone that she of course helped make famous. neil: right. >> so we'll see. everything seems to matter in pennsylvania, neil, given tight

races so you look on the marginal visits and you look at endorsements of someone or anti-endorsement in the case that oprah winfrey is saying and it could be impactful. neil: and again, i don't know the impact of endorsements from celebrities like an oprah, all of these former presidents. you know this far better than i. i am curious though, pennsylvania is rather-- maybe kind isn't the work, okay reaction to fetterman's performance in that debate. to almost everyone watched it, it was pretty tough to watch. they've been understanding, they understand what he's been through and maybe they've extended that to wishing the best for him for the election, but i thought there would be more of a fallout. are you surprised so far and you're quite right to point out that the lead isn't what it was, it's been reversed in some cases, what do you make of that? >> yeah, and neil, it wasn't a good performance for the lt. governor, but of course, the

circumstances involved in his debate are affected by his health condition and lots of pennsylvanians have dealt with health conditions before, it's a challenge. so i think there's a degree of empathy, if you will, for his plight and it must be evaluated or put into the evacuation. we had seen the polls close before the debate. if you looked at pennsylvania, you know, from september onward, fetterman's lead had decreased largely, i think, because of effective ad targeting by the oz campaign to make fetterman appear soft on crime and he had issues before this particular debate. since the debate there hasn't been an enormous shift in the polls. it's a close race by any standard. neil: how do you see it ultimately going? who has the momentum? >> it's a great question. it seems like, sometimes

candidates peak too early. oz has had momentum through the fall and i think the debate added to that, but i think in the last week or so you've seen the fetterman try to dial into a closing argument about oz and weaknesses. one interesting fact from the polling, while the races close, dr. oz's favorability numbers in pennsylvania haven't moved that much. i'm not going to give any predictions. cycles are important in ame americans and i expect this to be a close race. neil: and thank you very much. i want to take you to so many battle grounds and you've heard that term battle grounds, give it a rest. if there were a drinking game and you would keep track of me saying battle ground, you'd be completely hammered and maybe you're okay with that. i want to go to mark meredith in columbus, ohio.

there's a battle for the senate seat. it's title. and mark meredith blessedly not hammered and following closely. what can you tell us? >> well, neil, cheers to you and good morning. as we've been talking about both senate candidates in ohio in the buckeye state. we're in a baptist church where there is no drinking in the columbus suburbs where we see democratic congressman tim ryan are praying that democrats come out to the polls. and it's close, but the ranking looking it's leaning into republican. and tim ryan has given it a good shot. 's been trying to reach the moderate voters, union halls, employment center. as i mentioned, a soul to the polls event today. and he knows that this race will ultimately come down to turnout. >> we've been doing really well on early vote on the democratic

side. four points better than the last cycle advantage so our people are there coming in early. so, that narrows who you have to talk to in the final days. and that will be, you know, our folks in the african-american community. >> and this weekend, republican candidate jd vance is also out in the state and doing a bus tour, campaigning with ohio's republican ticket including the incumbent governor mike dewine. we caught up with vance on the trail. he says he's eager to campaign with former president trump on the event of election and a rally in dayton. he says he knows why it's so important to get out that trump vote next tuesday. >> i think it's all up-side for us. the biggest advantage of the rally on monday, i think it's going to be a huge turnout. we feel like we're doing great. >> one thing we're going to be watching is believe it or not this would in any way sway any last minute voters with the former president in dayton. i've heard from both campaigns think it will help or won't

make much of a difference at all. and see if there's any more hints about the 2024 presidential race and i asked vance whether or not it would mean he would automatically support a 2024 ticket and he said he would back him, but is focusing on this race. and in the baptist church in one of the battle ground states, so you can drink to that. neil: i was waiting and you did it at the end. thank you very much, mark meredith in the battle ground state pennsylvania. and drink up this. but that's only an estimated 15% of their valuation. how'd you know that? the company profile tool, in thinkorswim®. yes, i love you!! td ameritrade. award-winning customer service that has your back. the hiring process used to be the death of me. but with upwork... with upwork the hiring process is fast and flexible. behold... all that talent! ♪ this is how we work now ♪

>> i stood up to the administration. i disagreed with the administration and its decision to set an arbitrary deadline for withdrawal from afghanistan. i have stood up to the

administration about their plan to prematurely lift title 42. >> i think there's much more the administration needs to do, especially around energy costs. neil: well, say in new hampshire, she's done more than any other democratic candidate to not only distance herself from the president, but challenge him on a couple of key issues. whether that helps her in the polls is anyone's guess and that race is considered a tossup and a little more than a couple of weeks ago was leaning heavily keeping it democrat. that might not be the case right now. and neil joins us with st. anselm college, professor, good to have you. the momentum that might be going for her opponent has surprised some. it hasn't surprised you. what do you see happening? >> well, what we've seen the last three weeks is that all of these independent voters have really break-in towards the challenger, wanting change.

mostly motivated by inflation. 39% of voters saying that's their number one issue and so they've gravitated toward bolduc and we have him within one point. it's the margin of error and splitting harris as far as the race go interesting in the leadup, hassan distanced herself from president biden and she was campaigning with the first lady and with elizabeth warren. and they're saying one thing, but the democrats at this point are worried that their base may not be motivate today turn out on tuesday. neil: you know, you actually read my mind and this is why you're good at what you're doing. and how does campaigning with elizabeth warren, who is as hard left as you can be, whatever your views of her, does that-- i can see about wanting to bring out the base, but are

there angry voters also looking at progressive policies at least in other states and saying, enough already? that's a delicate balance. >> it is. and you know, keep in mind, it's november here in new hampshire and people are filling up their home heating oil tanks, if you think filling your up gas tank is expensive. home heating oil is up 82%, what a new hampshire voting is doing, turning on their television sets and deluged by advertisement, but the first five news stories that they're hearing about are really bad news about the future, about prices, et cetera, and they're scared and that is-- they're now motivated now to vote for change and we're seeing that in some of our polling here. neil: so when you say you're seeing it in polling, some undecides and independents, describes a lot of new hampshire voters, certainly. how would you see it going or that momentum going? >> i think right now the

momentum is on the republican side. a lot can change and polling is not a predictor, but it's a snapshot. if you see that momentum going in one direction, it's usually an indicator of what's going to happen on tuesday, but campaign managers plan for the election day back, and so there's a lot that can happen on this final weekend, a lot that could have happened with debates that took place this last week, and so, it's really anybody's guess. again, this is sort of a jump ball, but it's a state where people really haven't focused nationally so much on whether or not this will flip for the republicans in the u.s. senate. neil: so, super quickly, professor, this notion of course that bolduc was an election denier and democrats have tried to make that an issue. it seems they're galvanized by different issues. >> they're trying to divert away, and social security, and it's another one, an important

one and might get enough. neil: we shall see. thank you very much. i want today draw your attention right now to president obama. he is doing his best to close the deal right now in pittsburgh, pennsylvania. that is for john fetterman. he's doing, again, a reminder, the democrats are saying we can win this. but they're up against the gun. and every season's nice-to-haves? lowe's, actually. find everything you need and more this holiday at lowe's. gas, groceries, everything's costing more. we could all use extra cash. if you're a veteran and own your home, you've earned a powerful benefit that can really help in uncertain times. it's your va home loan benefit. veterans can get more cash by borrowing up to 100% of their home's value, not just 80% like some other lenders. with home values near record highs, you can have a lot more cash than you think. with the newday 100 va cash out loan,

you can take out an average of $60,000 and lower your payments by $600 a month. pay down high-rate credit cards. consolidate second mortgage and car loans. no one knows when inflation will end. get the cash you need. call now.

>> the final countdown to midterm election day is on, as candidates are out making their final pitches to voters this weekend, including in pennsylvania where you're looking live president obama speaking at a john fetterman rally in pittsburgh. later in the day, president biden will join them at a rally in philadelphia. not to be outdone, donald trump is set to campaign for mehme