>> good morning, new mexico. >> beautiful. >> thank you very much for joining us everybody. dave behind camera two great stage direction today. >> retiring this week. we love you. have a good day, everyone. >> see you tomorrow, everybody. >> dana: good morning, a presidential rematch is on the horizon. white house could be decided by a handful of key states. what our first set of power ranksings tell us. bill is off today. i won the prize, good morning. >> martha: i'm martha maccallum and this is "america's newsroom." we're about to get rolling into the first numbers of the 2024 election cycle. >> dana: it's exciting to be here with you. you know these very well. as you'll see things look familiar. >> they do. the first power rankings of the election cycle show something

that we've seen before. president biden hurtling toward a rematch with former president trump. it could come down to guess what? five key battleground states. >> dana: they are nevada, arizona, wisconsin, pennsylvania, and georgia. president biden won three of those by less than a single percent. republicans hope that low poll numbers will swing the states in their favor. >> martha: the party needs to elect its nominee. republican candidates converging on new hampshire ahead of the first in the nation primary. team fox coverage for you, karl rove joins us in a moment. first mark meredith in new hampshire where ron desantis is about to hold an event. hey, mark. >> good morning. you're right. the governor will be here in a few minutes from now. for months we've been trying to read the polls to get a better idea who the eventual republican nominee will be. today for the first time through the power rankings we're learning the 12 states both

parties will be fighting over spending money, time and resources trying to collect those vital 270 electoral college votes. 12 states that our data shows to be competitive. some are what you expect to see. a few others we'll be watching closely places like nevada, florida, as well as north carolina. speaking of north carolina, it's a state that former president trump won back in 2020 by a sizeable margin. republicans looking to hold unlit that seat. democrats fighting for it as well. republicans with an advantage there but only by 1%. democrats are facing something similar in michigan, a state that president biden won last cycle but is very competitive. democrats holding on only by 2%. we'll look to receive whether or not former president trump is able to dominate in the polls like we've seen for the last several months now. he will be in new hampshire today. moments ago he rolled out a new

grassroots organizers in the granite state trying to vend off the competition from desantis. he will be here meeting with voters an hour from now. we'll look to see whether or not he is able to reverse his fortune here. earlier in the year he was leading in one granite state poll. that lead has since evaporated. he has made many trips, his fourth visit to the state auf loan this year. if he changes up his stump speech and tailor it to folks on the ground. in addition to both trump and desantis today we'll see nikki haley, vivek ramaswamy as well as will hurd who just jumped into the race on the same day in new hampshire and why candidates are converging here, the first primary for next year could make all the difference. they want a shot going to the white house. >> martha: thanks. >> dana: let's bring in karl rove.

so these are the five states. let's put them on the board. it is as you can imagine nevada, arizona, wisconsin, pennsylvania and georgia. does that match up with the five big states they will be targeting >> it's an honor to be on with the power pair to look at the power rankings. i have to tell you, maccallum and perino. i would break them out this way. georgia, wisconsin, arizona in a different tier. these were tight as a tick. in the second tier i have pennsylvania, 1.2 percent for biden. nevada, 2.4 but the registration trend there is towards the republicans since the 2020 election. michigan, which was as 2.7 and

the growth is in the suburbs, not his strong point in 2020 and have the other five i would have well below that. the republicans have to defend texas and florida. without them they can't win the white house. the democrats might have some vulnerability in new hampshire, virginia and minnesota. new hampshire is interesting to me. it may be local there. may be democrats say and independents say i don't like the fact that biden disrespected the new hampshire primary by moving south carolina and other states in front of it. attempting to. they won't succeed in moving states ahead of it but democrats may say he disrespected my state. >> martha: let's talk about new hampshire. ron desantis is there today. obviously a very important state for him. president trump is polling ahead there. tell me a little bit how you see new hampshire shaping up. >> well, new hampshire, i have

bad experiences still from 2000 in new hampshire where we lost by 18 points. new hampshire, voters there pay a lot of attention to it and want to see and hear you up close and have you answer questions. they want to engage in a dialogue with you. they change their mind. they may be for you today, they may be against you tomorrow. and really what matters is what kind of strength you build and when you get to that moment of late deciding in december and january, how people fall out. it is a state where you have to go back and back and back again and you will see the same people many times. we had this guy in 2000 who would pop up and say georgia, i loved you, you are a wonderful guy and i'm for you. the next time we saw him and he was great i'll be for john, sorry george. that's the way they are. we have to be prepared to go there time and time again. >> dana: ron desantis is in new

hampshire. so many people campaigning. it is high stakes. he really needs to me a break-out moment. there was a scheduling problem with the new hampshire federation of republican women. explain it to us. here is republican strategist speaking to "politico." the worst move he has exhibited so far. it is stupid. you don't take on the new hampshire federation of republican women. it could be death by a thousand cuts. is it that serious? >> it is. the federation of republican women has an annual fundraising event like the lilac lunch. they're well organized and desantis scheduled an event the same time they were having the

fundraising lunch. you have to try to avoid it. having done it, he has to find a way to repair his relationship with the new hampshire federation of republican women. look, it is a big contest in a small state, so these kind of things in iowa and new hampshire to a lesser extent nevada and south carolina, these things matter. somebody made a mistake when they scheduled and didn't check. >> martha: that's where you need your team to tell you what is important and what you can't be missing in the ground of new hampshire. ask you about this moment. jacque heinrich tried to confront the president yesterday as increasing evidence comes forward that it seems very unlikely that there was no discussion between the president and his son, hunter, about his business dealings. watch this attempt.

your thoughts as it plays out. >> well look, my very strong view is there should have been, if there wasn't. look, this was all in public. when hunter biden joined the burisma board it stunk. the vice president of the states, his father. he was encouraging them to cut down on corruption. he should have had a conversation and said what do you think you are doing? get off that board and stop trying to make money out of my name. you know nothing about ukraine, nothing about energy and nothing about corporate governance and making $4 hundred thousand a year for nothing all because your last name is biden. the fact he didn't have that conversation or refused to have that conversation says everything we need to know about all this. >> martha: the emails that essentially hunter was complaining about having to support the whole family.

perhaps the president needed that lifeline. maybe that's why he didn't pipe up and say anything. thank you very much. >> dana: thanks for kicking us off. >> you bet. >> dana: all eyes on the supreme court today awaiting major rulings on several high profile cases, the fate of the student loan plan and affirmative action on the docket. those decisions could come down in our next hour. that's go to shannon bream live at the supreme court. >> great to see you guys. the last week of june when we get all the big east we're waiting for. a couple of mentioned student loan debt forgiveness. a sweeping plan. critics say it overreaches executive power and goes too far. red states sued and a couple of borrowers saying they weren't going to get the full benefit under the plan. the first hurdle of standing with the immigration case. the court decided texas and

louisiana weren't the right parties to sue over the immigration policies. there was a lot of time of arguments on student loan debt forgiveness. if they get past the standing issue. it looks like the program could be in trouble. wait and see. affirmative action and higher education, harvard and unc a public and private school and can you use the issue of race when deciding to put together your student body. a group of asian american students say they have nearly perfect text scores and getting frozen out. the use of race is hurting them. can it be used in higher education in some way. religious liberty free speech case with a colorado web designer. doesn't want to do them for messages she disagrees with. it buts up against some laws. if any of them attend. >> dana: colorado has a lot of

these cases. >> the one where the cake case came from with the baker. it wasn't resolved. the supreme court is taking another bite at it. >> dana: see you in the next hour. >> martha: vladimir putin working to restore order after exiling the mercenary leader who betrayed him. congressman michael waltz on what the chaos means to ukraine. >> dana: kamala her is making history but not in a great way. stunning new poll numbers reveal something interesting. >> martha: a florida deputy conducting a high water rescue when he gets sucked nearly 100 feet under water. how he and the driver he was helping both made it out alive. that deputy joins us in a bit. >> oh my god. ♪ what do we always say, son?

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>> martha: the defense department won't investigate a balloon spotted over eastern montana sunday night because of its size, there is a low probability that it was conducting any surveillance months after the chinese spy craft traveled from alaska

across the united states. spy craft was then shot down off the coast of myrtle beach. who can forget that, in south carolina. >> dana: don't forget the hobby balloon we shot down. vice president praising his country's military and law enforcement from preventing a civil war, his words. for acting quickly in putting down the wagner group mutiny. another stunning twist involving the mercenary leader who led the armed rebellion. an update from greg palkot live in kiev this morning. hi, greg. >> there are more twists and more fallout from that calamity series of events in russia over the past weekend. russian president putin trying to put a spin on things at a kremlin military event raising that specter of a civil war averted calling the wagner group uprising blackmail doomed to failure. in neighboring belarus the president was also talking a

pock lip tim terms saying if russia collapses we'll perish under its debris. wagner chief prigozhin his whereabouts are unknown. his plane reportedly arrived in belarus where he and his fighters are supposed to be going into exile. russian officials confirming today criminal charges against all are dropped. as officials in kiev, including its mayor, look to take advantage of uncertainty in russia. here is a bit of our back and forth. >> is this an opportunity for the ukrainian military to move further with this confusion, this instability? >> yes, of course. we have to do it, everything is possible to kick out russian soldiers from our territory. >> ukrainian president zelensky called monday a, quote, happy day claiming important gains against russian forces both in the south and in the east.

maybe not so happy, dana, vladimir putin. >> dana: probably so. thank you, greg palkot in kiev. >> martha: russian president -- >> organizers of the rebellion betraying their country for people and betrayed those. pushed them to death under fire to shoot at their own. >> martha: fiery words yesterday from russian president vladimir putin addressing his country for the first time since the internal rebellion against his rule. perhaps the toughest challenge he has ever faced as russia's long-time leader. republican congressman michael waltz of florida serves on many committees that deal with national security and also a former green beret commander. always good to have you with us. thank you for being here. it was interesting to watch vladimir putin come out yesterday and you could see the look on his face. he was very angry and we've seen over the course of history how the leadership in russia deals with people who they don't like, sometimes they get poisoned.

what did you make of the way that putin has dealt with this situation with the exile to belarus in allowing them to survive? at least now. >> well, clearly putin was between a rock and a hard place. prigozhin and his column would be able to make it to moscow and they actually shot down six russian helicopters and a fixed wing close air support aircraft on the way. so i think they were both knew they didn't quite have what it took to reach their objectives. putin and the military couldn't stop prigozhin, prigozhin could get to moscow but didn't have the forces to actually hold it. so we saw a very rare thing, which was a rival allowed to live at least for now. what i'm watching closely is does putin use this.

never let a good crisis go to waste and use it to clean house in his military and ministry of defense, create scapegoats for their failures, and really try to make some lemonade out of lemons. >> martha: can he rebuild a strengthened military? they rely heavily on the wagner group in russia and seen what they have had to do to put together enough forces to just keep going in this battle. so i watched all those people high fiving prigozhin and cheering on the tanks as they went by. how is putin going to thread this needle of putting back together his people? >> well, so i think two things. that this exposed. one, that prigozhin is a bit of a robin hood figure. the only one speaking for the average rank and file russian soldier who has never had the supplies, the ammunition and support they need as they get fed into putin's meat grinder.

what's unclear and i will look to the intelligence community to try to answer, is how widespread has that message gone throughout the russian military. it was stunning to me that the headquarters of the entire war effort in ukraine and their main logistics base just, you know, really threw up their hands and handed the whole thing over to prigozhin without a fight. the other thing it exposed is that 85% of russia's military is devoted to ukraine. they had no forces to defend moscow. they had no forces to stop that armored column. finally, i think the biggest thing this has all exposed is the strategic premise that putin has believed time was on his side, that he could just wait this out, grinned this out and eventually the west would lose support politically and he would pro veil. but no, he needs to look over

his shoulder. how that affects his desire to go to the negotiating table and how it affects the military forces that he may have to pull back for his own internal security is still unclear. >> martha: you know better than i that there are moments in war when there is an opening and timing is always crucial in history, right? so here is president biden yesterday. i want to get your thought what you believe must happen next in terms of empowering ukraine. >> president biden: we'll keep assessing the fallout of this weekend's events and the implications for russia and ukraine. but it is still too early to reach a definitive conclusion about where this is going. the outcome of all this remains to be seen. >> martha: what do you make of it? >> well, i'm glad that his staff also in those remarks pulled back his irresponsible statement about regime change. look, a stable russia over its

nuclear arsenal, the largest in the world is in u.s. interest. a weakened russia that can't invade its neighbors and muck around the world is also in our interest. so the other thing i'm watching is wagner was the force in syria, in africa, libya that were executing putin's intent whether it was taking over critical mines or interfering in allied governments. so that's something to watch as well. >> martha: we'll be watching what's going on in africa as you point out. all those governments, many of them propped up by the wagner folks in those areas. congressman, thank you. always great to see you, congressman michael waltz. >> thanks, martha. >> dana: the man accused of murdering four university of idaho students last fall due to appear in court later today with prosecutors now seeking the death penalty. plus a teachable moment in mississippi after students there made an astounding turn around in reading and math and what

lessons can we learn from all this. >> are you willing to give to poorer parents the same choices that parents can send their kids to private schools. why don't poor parents have those choices?

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debt, lower your monthly payments, put cash in the bank, and give you the peace of mind that every veteran deserves. >> dana: the idaho quad quad murder suspect is due in court. prosecutors are seeking the death penalty. lawyers for kohberger still need time to sift through evidence. matt finn has more in moscow, idaho. >> good morning, dana. brian kohberger is scheduled to appear inside the courthouse later today. this location is just a short distance from that gruesome crime scene in the small college town. happening today the defense is requesting a stay or a pause in moving forward with the murder trial scheduled for october. the defense is asking the state

to turn over a complete record of all the materials related to the grand jury that indicted kohberger in order to build their defense or contest the indictment. kohberger's attorneys are also asking the state for more discovery revealing exactly how it connected kohberger's alleged dna from the knife sheath at the crime scene to kohberger himself. in a request for a stay the defense writes in essence, through a lack of disclosure and motion to protect the genetic genealogy investigation the state is hiding its entire case. in a 33-page document the prosecution appears to lay out quite clearly how it identified kohberger's dna but arguing that for now it doesn't have to turn over all that genetic genealogy information in order to protect the names of the people in kohberger's family tree. as a general matter we protect the identity of inform answer. the u.s. supreme court has explained to encourage the flow of information concerning the commissions of crimes.

as you may recall, the prosecution has explained that it pulled kohberger's dna from a knife sheath running it through a website like 23andme and identify kohberger and create a family tree. they pulled trash from his pennsylvania property and the dna found on the trash belonged to the biological father of the individual who left the dna on the knife sheath. pursuant to a search warrant law enforcement collected dna from the defendant. perhaps today inside court the judge will force the state to reveal more discovery to the defense. we plan on being inside and keep you updated. >> dana: matt finn, thank you for the update. >> martha: vice president kamala harris sphering the record books for the worst possible reason. according to an nbc news poll, 49% of voters have a negative view of harris compared to 32%

who have a positive view. that leaves her with a net negative of 17 points. that is the lowest level for any modern vice president in the history of the network's polling. how does she dig out of this hole? that's the question. >> dana: it was just last week they announced another attempt at a makeover. emily's list is donating $10 million to try to improve this. i don't know if it's possible. once you get into this situation it is hard to pull out. one of the things that i saw this morning is that her chief of staff told a reporter that all they need to do is get her out there more. i'm not sure if that's the right thing. i don't know what they should do. but they have a little bit of time to try to get it right. she will be not the main issue, she will be the second most important issue in the campaign. >> martha: nikki haley and others are making a big issue of her. if you vote for president biden you are essentially voting for kamala harris. they believe that he -- she may

be in a position where she needs to take over for him at some point. she tried to embrace a number of issues but hasn't been successful. >> dana: they have a talking point they can run on. >> martha: atlanta is cracking down on violent crime with operation heat wave pinpointing go areas with increased gang activity and weapon activity, including this incident. watch. officers arresting the men in connection with the deadly shooting of a 16-year-old girl. this summer initiative is in full effect. the officers at the helm join us now. atlanta police captain is joining us. captain, congratulations to you on this effort. i know you've been working on this for a while.

tell us how you are able to target the areas where crime and gang activity and weapons are concentrated. >> good morning, thanks for having me. we are simply looking at the weapon offense data and the heat maps that overlay with some of the most violent areas throughout the city of atlanta. we simply pour resources, tools and personnel within those areas, specifically surrounding some of our convenience stores within those hot spots and then we find particularly which targets we're looking for within those areas. know where the targets are but also specific information with the targets. what warrants do they have, probation, parole statuses, what do ankle monitors tell us and conditions of their bond? they are looking to pull any lever we can pull using it as leverage to make sure we keep our communities safe.

>> martha: we've seen efforts in the past to sort of figure out where the crime might be happening and 0 in on it. there has been pushback in a lot of places and a softening of penalties in terms of how you can be -- how you can step in and make an arrest. how are you gauging that and how is it helping you? the numbers of homicides are dropping and gang activity is being negatively impacted by what you are doing, thankfully. >> that's right. our violent crime is down about 24% year-to-date. our homicides are down about 30%. when we run these types of operation, this one runs and spans across 16 weeks. we run seven operational deployments. within the 16 week period of time we see numbers around 29%, 30% down in our homicides. 26% down in our aggravated assaults. we're 18% down pertaining to our robberies. so we know looking particularly at the weapon offense data and

studying the data pertaining to the hot spots and putting resources in the right spaces is what gives us the output and success we're looking for. we stay focused on the data. >> martha: because they know you are out there and looking for them and know where they are congregating the crime incidenceens are dropping. are they changing behavior patterns to try to get around what you are doing? >> right. they are. we know, we tell our criminal street gang members we are not afraid to meet you in our strongholds. you are violating the law in the city of atlanta, we will meet you in those radiuss in which you are committing criminal street gang activity. with that messaging, they understand our criminals here know we'll be in the spaces and not let up and be relentless to make sure we keep our communities and children and families safe in these areas. >> martha: a real quick answer. i commend you for what you are doing. when you arrest folks are they

staying in jail? how much of a problem is that for you? >> we have an excellent working relationship here with our attorney general's office and excellent working relationship with district attorneys offices, it is true collaboration and partnership. the nights when we deploy these operations we are communicating with them throughout the night. prosecutors are often in the vehicles with us. they are able to appear at the bond hearings in the morning making sure that if we arrest you for criminal street gang activity, there will be a no bond associated with these arrests. that does a lot for the morale of the men and women of the atlanta police department. it really helps us out. >> martha: i'm sure people of atlanta are very happy that you are making their streets safer. so thank you for what you are doing. i hope other places across the country are watching this program closely and that they will emulate it as well. thank you very much, captain. >> thank you. >> dana: what an impressive man.

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>> martha: a star on the nation's report card goes to

mississippi. this is the latest education assessment survey showing fourth graders are ranked first in read knowledge and second in math in the united states. an extraordinary comeback as schools are struggling following pandemic lockdowns. let's bring in phil brie anality. senior advisor as america first policy institute. wonderful to have you here. show you the stats. you know them well. fourth grade math scores down five points. fourth grade reading down three points. not a good trajectory. listen to condoleezza rice talking about her reaction to these numbers. >> this is a devastating report. i think it's a national crisis and i actually think it is a national humiliation we have gotten to this point. we need to really address this and address it quickly. give parents, particularly poor parents better options. school choice ought to be a question for every presidential

candidate. >> dana: it will be. governor bryant, when you realized the scope and scale of the problem in mississippi what was your attack plan to turn it around? >> well, we began very early. i was in the legislature in the 1990s when we saw democratic leadership try to take ownership of republican education. all we want to use public education for is a political wedge. that's not fair, we said. we conservatives republicans have better ideas and starts with reading. i was a dyslexic child that repeated the third grade and knew the struggles children were going through. 36% were reading with proficiency. 36% could actually read in the third grade. as i became governor not only that but as lieutenant governor we began to pass some early childhood reading educational programs so that we could get them ready for the first grade.

in 2013, the second year i was governor, we passed a sweeping educational act. literacy based promotion act. one of the corner stones was the third grade gate. it said you had to read with third grade proficiency before you could be socially promoted to the fourth grade. now, you can imagine the trauma that we went through, how the left recoiled in horror saying we are going to destroy self-esteem. there was report after report how i didn't like children and didn't like teachers and public education. our research showed it was abyss mall and i used that term with reporters. they said there he is hating public education. well now we see the results of basically teaching science of reading, the basic phonics, the science of reading to children.

making sure we have experts and specialists dealing with reading problems like i had. when you are dyslexic you are always dyslexic but there are ways and there is a program that can be used, a number of programs that will help dyslexic children and other children with reading disorders read. we'll go from the bottom to the top and indeed we have. >> dana: condoleezza rice says it is a national humiliation we have gotten to this point. i know that especially conservatives like local and state control for their schools. when you have the nation's report card coming in this badly, does the biden administration have some responsibility here? is this part of their legacy that these numbers are going down at such a steep rate? >> absolutely is. if you look at president reagan in 1983 when he did the report of nation at risk we saw some of the same problems.

this has been surpassed beyond anything we've ever realized. when you are not tworried how third graders can read but bringing in transgender entertainers to the third grade and eliminate parents from knowing the failure of their school children this is a tragedy of historic proportions happening in our public schools and we're falling far behind the rest of the world in what once was the leading nation. america was the beacon of public education across the world. and now it again is becoming abyss mall. not the children or parents' fault. the fault of the lack of administration. republican governors are taking up the banner in arkansas and tennessee and georgia and florida, and i'm very proud of what they are doing. >> dana: governor, thank you for joining us today and congratulations to mississippi on that major turn around. >> thank you, we can say thank god for mississippi.

>> dana: indeed. >> martha: we're keeping a close eye on the supreme court as we wait for major rulings that could come at any minute now. so we're standing by to see what the court has decided on some very big cases. plus have you seen this? this is my favorite story. over the gate as they crack down on traditional pizza ovens in new york city. it is not going offer well. response echoing earlier protests in our nation's history. watch this. >> you heard of the boston tea party? this is the new york pizza party. give us pizza or give us death. ♪ i was told my small business wouldn't qualify for an erc tax refund. you should get a second opinion from innovation refunds at no upfront cost. sometimes you need a second opinion. [coughs] good to go.

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of any classified documents about iran in his possession. an audio recording suggests otherwise. mike emanuel is live in d.c. with the details on this latest episode. hi, mike. >> good morning. a two-minute audio recording has been leaked president trump talking about sensitive documents during a 2021 meeting in bedminster, new jersey. >> president biden: isn't it amazing -- look. this was him. they presented me this. this is off the record but they presented me this. this was him. this was the defense department and him. we looked at this. this was him. this wasn't done by me. this was him. all sorts of stuff. pages long, let's see here. >> last week with our colleague bret baier the former president insisted it did not exist. >> there was no document.

it was a massive amounts of papers talking about iran and other things. it may have been held up or may not but that was not a document. i didn't have any document per se. nothing to declassify. these were newspaper stories, magazine stories and articles. >> former president trump reacted to the audio by calling the special counsel jack smith deranged and accusing smith of leaking the tape. mr. trump pled not guilty to 37 counts related to the mishandling of classified information which he held at his mar-a-lago home. martha. >> martha: thank you very much. >> dana: an aide to former president trump is set to appear in court today facing charges that he helped the former president hide classified documents from the justice department. jeff paul live outside the miami federal courthouse. hi, jeff. >> court just wrapped up here and we find out that the man missed his flight and couldn't be here. it will be pushed back. didn't even have local counsel hired yet. a big part of the reason why when he appeared here roughly

two weeks ago with former president trump the arraignment didn't happen then because he didn't have the required local counsel. but eventually when this does happen, we're expecting him to enter some sort of formal plea facing six counts associated with the criminal case involving trump's handling of classified documents. he is accused of conspiring with the former president to hide records and documents trump had reportedly taken from the white house to his home in palm beach, florida. prosecutors say under trump's direction nada took boxes of documents with classified markings and move them around. an attempt to stop authorities from finding them and being firelessed to hand them over. furthermore the indictment claims surveillance footage of nada moving the boxes and then when asked they said he lied. he has been charged with making false statements. when mr. trump was here two

weeks ago he pled not guilty to all 37 felony counts. well see what nada does. if he is found guilty he could face up to 90 years in prison. >> dana: the justices get ready to announce decisions for big cases on the docket. the high court has ten opinions left to release before the final day of the term scheduled for this friday. some of the high profile rulings we're watching for include cases on affirmative action and president biden's $4 hundred billion student loan hand-out. president biden claiming he never spoke to his son, hunter, about business deals despite mounting evidence to the contrary. we have one of my best friends. >> martha: we almost never get to sit on the same set together.