it was at 12. oh, 12 millibars. part of that is we were in recon flights so we didn't have the data. >> jane: this next hour especially as the hurricane hunters continue to fly through the storm, the air force there, we're going to get critical information. we just had one pass through the center. this really on, you know, what we would consider >> you know coming out of the northwest, continuing into the southeast and we're likely to see this turn into the northeast quadron and the deeper convecture to my surprise has been a little to the southwest of the eye. >> that's going to continue to wrap up to the northeast and that's where we have the greater impacts of those rain bands that continue ooh spin off into the west coast and we're expecting to see flooding rains, that storm surge potential and it's going to slowly kick off to the northeast. >> it's been kinds of wobbling a little bit and we're still having that northward turn but

eventually north-northeast is expected to happen in the next couple of hours. >> ian: if you to want welcome folks, what we continue to track what is now major hurricane idalia. >> if you're watching us here on fox weather, if you're watching us during the overnight hours on fox news and on a number of fox affiliates across the country, we're here because we're tracking a very dangerous scenario, a major hurricane in a portion of the florida coastline that almost never seas storms like this -- sees storms like this, especially when in the summertime proper still -- this is an overnight scenario would that make a lot more sense if it was october. >> jane: and this storm nvery vulnerable spots along the florida coastline. >> you hit the big bend here and you have the storm surge potential that's so incredible, up to 16 feet in the worst case scenario and as we continue in time with the slower movement, the strengthening of the storm could that look more and more

possible as the morning opens up, landfall is expected in the next couple of hours. >> that new advisory coming n120 mile-per-hour winds, this continues up -- you know, the pace of this storm fit keeps it up, we could see landfall in the next seven hours. >> that puts us, let's say b8:00, 89 can eastern time and -- of course, we have full team coverage here at fox weather, not only here in our fox weather forecast are center, but also, too, in florida. >> we have our correspondents fox news reporters, as well as metereologists, like bob and bryn merwin will be joining us -- stay tuned, because we have a lot of the impacts in what we're expecting to experience in the next couple of hours and already that storm surge kicking up in water beach. >> ian: jane, this is up to 120 miles per hour -- now a major hurricane, second to the season. >> we've got franklin. >> jane: franklin, of course.

>> yes. >> what an interesting hurricane season to have two category two or stronger storms simultaneously in the atlantic basin statement. >> we've got franc -- tropical storm winds impacting the island but, of course, we now have the more pressing issue of this major category three hurricane idalia bringing impacts to florida in the overnight hours. >> ian: first first time since 1950 that the atlantic basin, anywhere in the basin, has had two storms simultaneously, 110 miles per hour plus. >> we've got a shoutout dr. phil -- out much florida state, the michael jordan of florida climatology, and this is just showing you the scenario, a couple weeks back the atlantic was sigh excellent and now we've got two incredibly powerful storms. >> jane: and both of these storms feeding off of our major concern all season long, these

incredible warm season temperatures. >> temperatures right now in the mid to upper 90s, more so trending towards the upper 80s, 87,87. >> in the northeast, gulf of mexico and this is helping fuel the intensity of the storm. >> you're zooming in at the 3d look of the storm, ian, the eye about 80 miles in diameter but that deep convecture is just incredible. >> i mean, these storms tear i didn't know up 50,60 feet as these storms continue ooh show strengthening. >> ian: yeah, jane, i'm just taking a look as cody is showing you a three dimensional look and i was looking at the forecast track. >> not sure if it's a wobble -- it probably is, because this is a storm that's been wobbling left to right, east to west all day and it does look like 9 center, snraes over the last hour or so -- it has been more on the right side of the cone. >> this is still well inside the cone, of course, but it's these little wobbles that will decide

which one of these counties and which part of the county does actually end up seeing the worst of this. >> when you're talking about the worst case scenario for surge, which is about up to 16 feet. >> jane: yeah, yeah, and that's the question the you take the storm surge and the wobble and the wind, that's not only a scenario that we're watching for the big bend, but even down into tampa and into st. pete clear water, you know. >> the change and the wind direction, how the storm comes up to the north is also going a play a role in where we're expecting to see the worst of the storm surge impacts there. >> tampa, bay, you know, very susceptible, the most vulnerable place in the country to take on storm surge and if we get things like up just right, now you're talking a really dangerous scenario for people who -- you know, in a lot of ways have been spared the worst in the last couple of times. >> ian: yeah, jane, i was just taking a closer look. >> does it appear that the right side of this forecast cone

brings the greatest probability of a landfall somewhere up into taylor county. >> that would be perry -- there's the live picture from cedar key, where we've been watching. >> okay, apparently we've got word that there's a person walking around this area and there's been a manned tore aevertion -- evacuation, and this is into one of the areas that we're expecttion to see the absolute worst from --. >> jane: is that off in the distance there? >> yeah. >> there you go, jane. >> jane: i mean, this a really dangerous place to be -- this is not what you want to see at all. >> look at the waves as they crash on shore. >> it's making me nervous just watching this unfold. >> you know, hands up -- these waves are incredible, and this is not what you want to see worst case scenario here in cedar key, florida. >> these are waves and storm surge that are beginning to happen because of high tide. >> if this doesn't continue to

intensify, we're going to see the potential for this camera to go down or potentially show -- no car, no road there all together but really dangerous situation to see that. >> ian: it looks like that person is leaving. >> they must be -- the only choice at this point is riding things out in strip; all restaurants and bars there. >> yeah, we'll see -- this is a scenario where you're watching here that only gets worse. >> this is a place that's been under a mandatory a evacuation. >> jane: and if you see underneath the street lamp here,, too you look at the cadillac also being battered by waves as it's being crashed by the waves. you can see cars beginning to pool there on the road. >> it was a rather dry road, water hasn't quite settled on it now but now we've got, you know, pretty steady stream of water that's taking on in the next 30 minutes or so. >> ian: jane, can we flash that vortex message up real quick.

>> i want to show folks that real quick. >> we just got that in brand new from the hurricane hunters that are sampling the storm right now. >> the last pass through the center was at 1:35 so this data is just about half an hour ago. >> this is what led to the upgrade, jane. >> mass winds assembled by the aircraft 1,16 miles per hour. >> the assumption is being made here that the airplane isn't flying through the absolute worst part of this storm, so, yeah, often times you can add maybe 10% to the work that they find. >> jane: also what stands out to me is the eye characteristic, a close center circulation shows a very strong intense storm coming together. >> you can see the person, though, really -- i'm not sure what they're trying to do -- i mean, dangerous thing to be trying to take on the waivers. >> i mean, this is the type of situation that's un-- the waves. >> i mean, this is the type of situation that's unpredictable. >> the waters are so rough and

the water has already pulled on to the side of the road. >> i mean, it's scary to see that this person is taking, you know, their life in their hands at this point. >> ian: yeah, nothing good is going to come out of that, jane, at all at all. >> we're going to keep an eye on this camera and we'll watch to see what's going on here. >> this is a scenario that only gets worse. >> as we measured the storm to be, as cody said, about 100 miles to the --. >> jane: 100 miles. >> ian: 100 miles west-southwest and 100 miles south of tallahassee and the one thing as jane pointed out, for cedar key, these winds are not even per opinion dick you'd lur. >> is that a -- perpendicular -- hopefully to get that person out of there. >> we've got fox chief meteorologist bob mcdillan and we've been watching that water rising to that camera and it's almost up a couple of feet up from zero when we got started in at midnight.

>> what do you see in cedar water -- >>. >> it used to be a beach and now that beach is gone, you guys. >> you can see the reason why, the storm surge has come in and this wall has been combreached a couple of -- has been breached a couple of times so the storm surge looks like it seems to be building and the waves are getting a little bit bigger and here comes another one -- get on out. >> the last time i saw you guys, the water was not up to this region. >> i was standing in dry stuff but you can see that's a storm surge and as i'm standing here, the wind is still at my back, which is right up the gulf of mexico. >> that means it's going to continue to press that storm surge up. >> it's like it has a chance to retreat until the winds actually a, die down, or b, switch directions and that's not going to happen for at least 12 hours. >> now, we had high tide at 12:44 and our new tide as little bit bit about 5:00 this morning and the water should go down just a bit.

>> by the calculations, i know it should be about two and a half feet, it should go down with the tide, and then drauch drop a little bit lower than that at dead high tide, and we'll see if that eshenl -- eventee -- eventually happens. >> so this is clear water beach. >> it's actually pulling into the roads even more. >> look at the road over here, you guys -- do you see this? it's getting deep right over here. >> the police cars right here. >> the police cars actually the out of the way, which is smart. >> you can see the way it looks. >> a lot of pawn frawns, yeah, this is a drive covered up in water and going up the bend right here all the way up to those signs that are blinking, so, yeah, the storm surge is in. >> it was predicted to be about four to six feet. >> it looks like that is probably going to come to fruition. >> the record high one was four feet and that was 1993. >> that wasn't even a hurricane. >> that was a nor eastern. >> remember that one, in march of 1993, dumped a heck of a lot

of storm in the northeast. >> this is an actual hurricane storm surge coming through and it is here as predicted, same time. >> we thought it was going to happen as predicted. >> when is it going to leave? as soon as the winds shift around but as you can imagine, it looks like in clear water beach, someone is still stuck on cedar key, you guys. >> that is not a good thing -- that is a scary situation, 60- foot surge as opposed to a four or five foot right here. >> that's unbelievable. >> jane: very dangerous thing to see there. >> but, you know, talk a little bit about the different types of beaches because, bob, you were down the street a little bit more and the beach as little bit wider so as the storm surges begun to come in, interesting to see how that's going to unfold as you go down the road. >> ian: yeah, and by the way, bob, you're up to down the beach down to st. pete beach -- at least the water rises up to 2.2 so yeah, you're certainly climbing at this point. >>. >> yeah, it's going up and we

were about 800 feet up that way and the beach was about 800 yards when we first got there and it got cut in half for sure and i was wondering where that storm surge was coming through -- and a couple of people came in and we said, listen, we sent st. thomas, our producer to go take a look and that's where we picked up our tracks and came back in here and this is where it is, because it's actually pinched in the beach. >> it's less than 200 yards we got here. >> now there's no beach at all, so storm surge is really -- it's kind of odd. >> it really is block dee pen didn't. >> i mean, if you had even a slighter elevation, that water going a channel into the lower elevation examine you're talk maybe as much as two, three, four feet of water in some spots and zero in others. >>. >> jane: yeah, bob -- >>. >> it all depends where you are. >> you really need to know how your situation is and how everything is oriented in your neighborhood. >> jane: we're starting to see a shift in the winds but this is

really not the worst of it to comment in the next couple of hours so we'll continue to watch the camera as the water continues to come in but we're going to head a little further inland get over the bridge there, ian. >> ian: yeah. >> there it is. >> bob is on the west side of pinellas county. >> he's getting a pretty good gust -- >> that was the best one all kay day. >> that was the best one all day. >> ian: yeah, bob, we want to be checking back in with you. >> yeah, some pretty good gusts and that's the gulf side of pinellas county and let's go into hillsborough into tam bay itself. >> we've got nicole valdez right there in downtown tampa. >> nicole, you've had some gusts up to about 40 mile-per-hour, and a really bit worse where bob is on the beach but that's picking up a bit, too. >> ian, we're feeling it and yeah, we've got some of the buildings to give us some really cover from the stronger wind gusts but still, definitely

getting the effects of it and here you go with the storm surge here on tampa bay. >> as you notice, those wind gusts, we were just talking about -- my goodness, right through this bay area, it's becoming not only a problem when you're talking about winds but you've got to check out what you're seeing in terms of that storm surge. >> look at the waivers, they're hitting that dock and you see it -- waves, they're hitting that dock and you see it moving along with the strength of the wind and the waivers here and all of the water from tampa bay is getting pushed on to shore, where we are just along the tampa river walk. >> we're slowly starting to see water pull up here all along this area and even further in the distance, bay shore boulevard likely seeing a very similar effect. >> if you notice those emergency lights in the distance, there's a very good chance that bay shore boulevard is dealing with some significant flooding at this point since we've seen several hours of heavy rain bands mover over the area here

on top of -- move over the area here on top of the areas. >> i know bob was talking about seeing knit cedar key, and pinellas service officers are already reporting several roads there that are seeing feet of water already at the early morning hours today. >> that is likely only going to worsen. >> all lives, of course, on all of these main roads. >> these are all zones that people should have evacuated earlier today. >> i will say we have seen some people still trying to driver around, still check -- drive around, still check things out, not what we want to see, of course, unfortunately but all ives on tampa general -- lives on tampa general hospital. this trauma one hospital thankfully has extra flood barriers, essentially covering the perimeter, the lowest lying areas of the hospital, to try to keep this storm surge out and keep the hospital up and running. >> we know how vital that place is. >> those flood barriers called

aqua fence, the developer there designing those to withstand several feet of water and actually get stronger as the water rises, kind of creating more of a force at the pressure -- as the pressure from the water builds up, so that's a really good sign that they've taken this threat as seriously as they have and put in the correct tools and resources to keep this place save safe, but as we mentioned, this is sort of just the beginning of the surge that we're seeing and as we're watching let wind sort of push against the bay here tit's tossing all that water up and over here, creating sort of a pool effect. >> here, i'll step over here because you'll notice there are certain areas that are a the bit more low lying than others where you can sort of see that just beginning. >> it may not look as much and it depends where you're standing just how low to the ground, guys, but this is really an example of what is to come throughout the morning, guys. >> jane: now, idalia, a major category three storm and that is

still to come for the tampa bay. >> nicole, we'll see how things are continue to -- continuing to unfold but we'll get information quickly. >> we'll check in with you in tampa at the convention center. >> let's get now a look into idalia. >> here is the latest stats, 120 mile-per-hour wind speed. >> the classification is now a major category three storm with intensification still to come as it movers up to the north. >> we'll have the latest right after the break. to duckduckgo on all your devie

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>>. >> breaking news right now on fox news and fox weather, hurricane idalia, now a category three storm, a may jar -- major hurricane on approach to the big bend region of florida. >> its impacts already being felt in some areas but the real danger is still to come. >> that's right, floridians bracing for potentially

life-threatening storm surge a -- surge as hurricane idalia locks in in on land. >> millions more fatesing -- facing darren us threats from the storms. >> ian: yeah, you can see some of the pictures from the day and some of the impacts that have been felt. >> wind gusts, tornado warnings. >> here is a look at that new advisory. >> you see the two jane go to a three. >> this is a major hurricane. >> jane: yeah and the storm continues to intensify as it slows up just a bit on approach, moving off to the north at about 15 mile-per-hour. >> but those out of -- outer rain bands already proving to be dangerous and we're seeing tropical storm force wind gusts and that expected to intensify as the night goes on and we're going to continue to keep coverage here on fox weather. >> ian: yeah, welcome back to that fox weather. >> we'd like to offer that special welcome to our viewers on fox news tonight.

>> we're here because we're tracking a dangerous storm out in the gulf of mexico that's expended to be a category four when it arrives on florida's coastline -- call it somewhere around 8:00 am. >> jane: yeah, i think it's going to happen a lot sooner than people that -- people realize coming up at the start of the day. >> we've got fox weather chief meteorologist bob but first here in cedar key, florida, where this camera continues to get worse et every time we look at it. >> the rough chop of these waves slams up on the surface of the rails and storm surge going a intensify and as that wind shifts and the push of the storm heads back into the big bend and cedar key already seeing that push of the wind at really high tide nearing two feet of a surge. >> this isth expected to potentially be upwards of 16 feet we're going to have to see howe things shape up especially down the coast. >> ian: yeah, jane that we talked a lot about the problems here.

>> and this is an iryeah that's geographically -- that water piles uhm more quickly. >> the shape of the coastline is like a mitt. >> it catches the water being pushed in but still, it's a south wind going into cedar key, which is in levy county in through here. >> it's not even truly perpendicular here and not a push of water and that reasonable worst case scenario for these portions of the eastern big bend inn of the nature coast is few 16 feet of surge and that was the concern earlier where we had the tampa bay metro area in the mix. >> this will ab catastrophic surge further up the coastline. >> still a significant water ride that we've been tracking and a threat for the tampa bay area will be there tomorrow afternoon, which was already outside after major hurricane expected to be one of the highest high tides of the entire year, of all of 2023 because of the supermoon and the big push

of water with that. >> so here you go. >> we've got that big update in from the national hurricane center at 2:00 am. >> we went from a category two storm up to a category three. >> the wind speed jumped about 10 mile-per-hour in intensity, now up to 120 and we had a feeling that this was coming because of the data that we were receiving from the hurricane hunters, the air force reserve out of biloxi, flying into this system and what they found was a much stronger idalia. >> it made that full inner core earlier this afternoon. >> this is new video from -- from treasure island. >> it's at pinellas county in florida and you can see, yes, some of the water rising -- at safety beach, the last time we checked, cody was -- >> 2.2. >> ian: 2.2 feet of water, so clearly that is enough in an area that is brutally susceptible to storm surge to start causing at least some nuisance problems. >> we may see this get worse on

the high side, up to about six feet of surge, so this represents just a third of that so far and it's already enough to flood some streets in pinellas county, something awfully similar to what we saw back in 2020 end of the season and that never ending tropical season. >> that was 2020, jane, when we were already up into the greek alphabet and that was just a tropical storm that was offshore and that produced a similar -- similar scenes what we're seeing here. >> jane: you can see this water already threat smund structures as it starts to come in and granted not so deep, at least a good six inches and maybe a foot, if you take a look at some of the street signs as far as how much this water has come up but this could get worse, not only in this high tide cycle but as we were mentioning the last couple of hours, the high tide cycle that could be coming later afternoon once the storm pulls up over making landfall and up and over the border into georgia through the second half of the day today. >> but, you know, this -- in a scenario tampa bay, that -- for

-- over the last couple of years, really hasn't really seen the worst of it. >> ian: thankfully. >> jane: thankfuly, right? and. >> ian: and everybody in the tampa bay area has their reasons why it hasn't happened. >> this is passing off to the north but what you're seeing right there is why folks in the tampa bay area have to watch these storms so closely. >> what happens 2.12 looks like. >> imagine further up to the north, where we're concerned, jane, on the high side, the reasonable worst case seine irye, someone -- seine air yot, someone will see it, up to 16 feet of surge and how catastrophic that will be across the metro. >> jane: you just hope that that will a rather unpopulated area, like the marshy coast, and that take a potential turn to the northeast. >> when that happens is important. >> the air force hurricane hunters, they're flying into

the. >> we're getting that very critical information. >> it was really that first pass through the center that provided us that upgrade to major category three strength but if you saw in the last frame, they've got gone up in the northeast quadroon of the storm and they're heading up to the center and especially coming out of one of the more volatile, you know, quadroons, four boxes, of a hurricane like this. >> ian: yeah, jane, that's a good one good point. >> one passed through and they said it would pass through a major hurricane. >> you pointed this out, the eye characteristic closed. >> that is a healthy, tiny eye at this point. >> it's only 12 miles in diameter and with that, jane, you get these tiny inner cores. >> those can actually ramp up in intensity more quickly, which is problematic when this has several more hours left over the warm waters of the gulf. >> jane: you can see the outer

rain bands. this one right here just about to slam on shore in, you know, in east lake, st. petersburg, up to the north of that, so rain picking up as the rain and storm surge -- we're tracking it all here live on fox weather are. >> stay with us in just a couple of minutes we're back. let innovation refunds help with your erc tax refund so you can improve your business however you see fit. rosie used part of her refund to build an outdoor patio. clink! dr. marshall used part of his refund to give his practice a facelift. emily used part of her refund to buy... i run a wax museum. let innovation refunds help you get started on your erc tax refund. stop waiting. go to innovationrefunds.com you really got the brows.

ninety-two. >> breaking news here on fox weather. >> hurricane idalia, now a category three storm, a major hurricane. >> two packs already are being felt and the real danger is still to come. >> ian: floridians bracing for potentially catastrophic impacts, and life-threatening storm surges as hurricane i dam yeah -- idalia locks in on land and 5 million are in the coastline cone and millions more are facing dangerous threats from the storm. >> and welcome back to fox weather are. >> we want to offer a special

welcome -- if you're watching on fox news, this is fox weather and we're here tonight because we're tracking a dangerous storm, a jury hurricane moving towards florida's nature coast and the big bend. >> that's a live picture from cedar key, florida. >> that's about a couple hours north of tampa bay if you're driving. >> it's in levy county and jane, that's the cadillac that shouldn't be there that we've been watching for sure --. >> jane: yes, this has just been a deteriorating camera. >> this even before the shift in the wind to bring in really the catastrophic storm surge that is expected so to see how volatile this camera has been has almost kind of been taking your breath away. >> waters already pooled off on the road and you can see almost wave-like features of the wind driving that water that's coming from the ocean over the rails and settling up right along that -- >> yes, it looks like there's

water moving across the road. >> we've got about 2.2 feet above normally dry ground so the watertion coming up. >> the reasonable worst case scenario for surge across that portion of the coast is up to 16 feet. >> that's the number that was bumped up by the national hurricane center right around midnight based on the threats that we've seen. >> this is a storm that's still getting stronger. >> jane: stronger, slowing up in speed a bit but still moving up at a quick place and that impact of lavem should be expected by about 8:00. >> let me get out to clear water beach where we have bob, and the wind gusts really came in and you can hear it. >> how does it feel out there now? it almost seems like the worst of the band is about to come on shore. >> is it again? we've got another one coming through? >> that's right. >> that's just great. >> no, i'll tell you, it's been one of those storms where the rain comes down and it's fast,

furious and the winds pick up when that happens and then it gets dry -- we've been in a dry spell for a good 15,20 minutes, just a couple of spots of drizzle but the wind has been consistently at my back for the last shall -- about an hour, hour and a half and that's keeping the storm surge up and elevated and they're coming in hot now. >> you can see it. >> remember when we first got here, it's kind of a trickle coming down through through and now they're opening up and moving all the water down the sidewalk into the street and back. >> in fact, our fox weather piece is getting a little bit of a storm surge and the tires -- we were supposed to be a little bit higher than that but it looks like we're going to be okay. >> you see behind me, though, these streets are flooded out and you can toel totally see it. >> it was just a little bit of a trickle and it was going down the crosswalk and now the entire region is just covered up with the foam and the storm surge continues. >> it's not just a surge. >> you've got the waivers on top of the surge, so that is going to be the battering event that

you see on the some of these walls that are coming through and the wind going to be real constant at our back and that's going to keep that wall of water inland and as soon as the wind stops, and as soon as the direction ends in this way, blowing it in, this will actually recede but that's not going to be until at least at dawn and worst part about it, guys, it's a full moon tonight, wednesday night, supermoon so you've got the stronger tides, and you've got the stronger tides rolling through in the next couple of days and it's dark. >> i don't see a lot of people in the roadway and just one guy did cross now but it's a steady stream of water now moving right across the road and this is gulf view drive and it's covered up. >> it's probably covered up at our -- and our hotel is about three blocks up and the waves are constant and they're coming through and this is the way it's been for the last 20 minutes. >> you saw me getting blown around and still getting blown

around but it's directly off the water. >> where does it go? it pushes it inland. >> ian: take care of that, that thing is brand new. >> just wanted to let you know, the water rise there is now over three feet, 3.2 so we're talking about that range, four to six feet or up to about four feet of surge possible and you're halfway there and as you just pointed out to us, we don't even have that full push for the per opinion dick you'd lur direction of the coastline -- per opinion -- perpendicular area of the coastline. >> it's going to come all at once and now we kind of get the glancing blow but it does seem to be flowing in and we can tell just by looking at the water just how much it's ponding in and continues. >> here comes another hot one -- look at this, see. >> everything is reinforcing it and it's making the water go to the street and the street is not dranchingies just -- draining

it's just piling off. >> this is the way it looks on the streets, all the way up. >> it just looks like a root beer float. >> it's the foam, and it goes all the way up the bend and the road up there and it's just filling in so i think we actually are going ooh get some higher ground now and we're going to jet on out of here after this. >> ian: bob we just graphed up the water -- st. pete 2.4 and even in the bay, old port tampa over on the old tampa bay side that's over two feet and eastern faces shores even the interior face of pinellas water -- >> starting to come right up and it's out of the southwest for the last hour, the hour and a half and they're just starting to see their high tide over. their high tide was 12:30 and at about 3:30 -- >> yeah, bob, earlier in the night, there were emergency officials out, you know, kind of trying block off some of these

roads and have you seen anything like that. >> as things continue to get worse , any flashing lights, police trying to keep people out of the way? >> no, i don't see anybody. >> and there's no lookie looks out here either. >> i don't see anybody walking around. >> i don't see the police out here either. >> but you are going to see us exit in about 20 seconds from now because i'm watching these waves come in. >> they're a little bit stronger, you guys are right. >> jane: not only do you have the waves coming at you -- waivers are unpredictable. >> you could get that big push of water and you get that dangerous spot so bob, we'll let you go to get to some safer ground but two to three feet of storm surge already there and we're expecting things to get even worse as time goes on. >> already on the beach in clear water, but ian, as we know, this still could continue to get worse not only for clear water and st. 35e9 but especially for big bend where the worst catastrophic events about to come up.

>> ian: yeah, this would have been a smaller of the e2 high tides, the ones that bob mentioned into the early afternoon and actually the big one so we'll see how much of this water with an on shore flow can actually flow back out into the gulf for out of tampa bay before we get into that big high tide cycle and the wind is still expected to be on shore. >> the reason for that -- here is the center of circulation, that big inner core, that eye -- that's about 100 miles offshore of call it now tarpin springs or closest -- northern parts of pinellas county. >> as you get this huge counter clockwise circulation on the bottom side of this, jane, even as this moves towards landfall, you're still going to have with this tail, a significant push but wow, we're usually using the radar like this, jane, to look at cupp lets when we're tracking tornadoes -- can you please lets when we're tracking tornadoes and this major cuplet as major

one. >> jane: it's expected to come in the coming hours. >> when you're seeing readings like this, this is the center of circulation and imagine that transferred on to land. >> you know, we've got power outages still to come for likely hundreds of thousands of people as the day opens up. >> landfall -- i think to me, how quickly this is, and we're just at 100 miles away from shore. >> ian: yeah. >> jane: you see right here in the distance meafert and this storm moving -- while it's slowed up, still at a pretty quick pace about 15 miles per hour, and i think it's starting to take that jog a little bit further off to the northeast and now we are -- we're really zeroing in on that. >> ian: and we're using the national weather service in tallahassee and you can see that and out -- we're scanning, jane, 14,000 feet up into this inner course. >> -- core core. >> we're not even getting a reasonable signature of what's happening closer to the ocean

surface. >> what it's showing us is even way high up, these are very tall and very powerful thunderstorms in that inner core. >> jane: yeah, especially -- we talked about this whole time, we're track can severe weather and as that radar being scanned, the farther you are from the beam, the higher the scan. >> so we're getting a good sample of perhaps the mid-tier of what that storm looks like and that's why we have the air force hurricane hunters flying into the storm and they're about to make that second approach into the center of circulation and this is going to be another important critical pass. >> it looks like, in fact, they've already made their second pass so we'll wait to see the data that they got. >> ian: fortunately with this latest flight, what they found was a significantly stronger idalia and that's going to be the trend that we're expecting it to be at least all the way up to landfall where this reaches category four hurricane status. >> let's check in with the fox team there on the ground. >> fox fy-- matt fynn joins us

live -- how are the conditions? we saw some significant water rise there in st. pete beach. >> the gauge is telling us somewhere around two feet of water rise and that's erasing a good chunk of the beach behind you. >> yeah, we are seeing the gulf here a bit -- we could zoom all of the beach to hide us now. >> the sea foam is now reaching the area where i'm standing and you're talking about the water -- steady consistent very strong winds, heavy downpour, and these are the worst of the conditions and this is starting to feel like a hurricane here, and --. >> jane: right now et it's kind of cleared up the camera.

>> i mean, this a torrential downpour coming in and if i'm right, taking a -- taking a look at the radar, this is one about to push in and you can see the wind picks up as does the rain. >> kind of hard to, you know, get a picture of whatous's happening but the waivers certainly coming in and these are the outer rain bands that are really going to make a tough stretch of the next couple of hours or more -- but matt, i think we'll get back to you in just a couple of minutes as we're trying ooh get a better picture of what's happening. >> but this is a fluid situation and it shows you how quickly the impacts can change -- i mean njust a matter of seconds, we could see matt standing there on the beaches as the waves coming in in that high tide and just like that, those rain bands picked up and visability drops to near zero. >> here is a look at the radar and one of those bands coming in, kind of hard to tell coming out of the tallahassee area but it kind of springs up in st.

petersburg. >> that's one of those bands that's kind of setting up, that's bringing in that round of heavy rain but you can clearly see the eye of that coming in here. >> ian: that's got to be like 150 miles and you've got is a dopplar flavored tallahassee scouring this nasty rain band you just saw in st. pete. >> jane: and you can see the close circulation and the i'mage re -- imagery you can see here is so great. >> it's also helping us forecast what's still to come for so many people. >> ian: yeah, so that part of the reason, we'll have that coming up for you coming in about 15 minutes from the national hurricane center. >> we're getting these hourly positional updates. >> they do this when land based radars easily have an inner look at the core of the system. >> these aren't like the big ones that come in at 5:00 and 11:00, both am and pm that have that full forecast discussion,

jane and the public advisories. >> these are just position, strength and pace and that's very important as we get closer to landfall. >> jane: well, yeah, i think it tells us a lot of the stories on when we need to be ready to go because like we have seen in the last cop you feel hours, these advisories, there have been a couple of jumps not only in intensity but in speed. >> the storm was racing at a 20 mile-per-hour clip and now we're down to about 15 mile-per-hour and that slower pace and that movement is important as we approach landfall. >> but, too, i mean, take a look at cedar key here. >> we've been watching this camera all night long. >> the road now completely taking on water as these waves in the ocean quite literally has begun to displace it as it just gets roughed up. >> this -- just the high tide, really, some push of the wind but that not that direct storm surge impact that's still to come. >> ian: this will only get worse and worse and worse, jane and we keep checking in on the cadillac that will not make it through

major hurricane idalia, why it's there -- it's still unclear. >> but this is an area where there's been a manned tore evacuation since yesterday evening because of this. >> you're starting to see the big surf and you've got water that's completely washing across the road there. >> the bridge out into this island of cedar key. >> wonderful smaller spot where you've got restaurants and bars but an area that you can see already, even looking out toward the restaurant there. >> some of those waivers are starting to crash and we've only seen this rise short of three feet, jane, so that's going to be let issue, reasonable worst case scenario in this spot is 16 feet. >> this, as we continue ooh track right here on fox weather and on fox news what is still intensifying hurricane i dal yeah. >> it's up to category three intensity. >> unfortunately, we're expecting this to reach category four before it makes a landfall. >> we're with you through the overnight hours as long as idalia as threat, we'll be here. >> keep us right here on fox

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>> we're back here on fox weather. >> near hurricane head quarts and a live look in cedar key, florida, as waves continue to batter the road here, this where manned tore evacuations have been ordered anding right now the center of hurricane i tal yeah about 100 miles off the coast of cedar key -- 100 or so in change but that's going to change as this storm comes in and these waves are just incredible to watch on this camera, which going to consistently get worse as the hours open up. >> we do have did work oh, we lost power. we go -- >>.

>> jane: the power of the waves and the power of the storm already wreaking havoc. >> ian: yeah, jane and that water is going a start undermining some of the power poles, the bases of those and that's going to make it much easier for these -- -- we wanted to show enthusiasm. >> we had mentioned this just several minutes back and now we've got graphical support for this. >> look at that, this is only the third time in history with two major hurricanes. >> you've got idalia and franklin. >> first time in the atlantic basin since 1993 -- so it's in the month of august, jane, which is just odd to have one major hurricane. >> yes, it happens but most of the majors come in september, the early part of october when the basin has had the a full season worth of warmth. >> jane: but the thing is that those waters have -- nothing like what we've seen in the

past. >> they've been so incredibly warm. >> we always talk about the storm making it into the gulf of mexico. >> what a difference in these storms, too, while they're both major category three storms, you know, category two, we're going to see as eventually franklin will weaken with time but the storms themselves while mass neuve size, you know, and structure, they're little different. >> you have that pinhole eye with idalia, the sign of an intensifying strengthening storm but also the massive eye that has set up with franklin as it moves into potentially impacts bermuda. >> ian: yeah, two very different storms. >> we've been tracking franklin for about a week. >> numerous psyche umsses and that entire wind field has expanded and they know -- then the eye of idalia merged emerged the first part of this afternoon but overall the bizarre set of

-- two hurricane majors in very good spots for intensification. >> whether you talk about the above average sea temperatures, two degrees above celsius but when you have idalia, work through the yucatan channel where these temperatures are in the upper 80s and then you have franklin somewhere over here on the gulf stream so in a year where the whole basin is very warm, these two storms, jane, somehow manage to find the warmest spots. >> jane: yeah, and you take a look at this category four and five landfalls along the atlantic coast, and notice most strikingly where we don't have the next landfall in the big bend and that's exactly where we expect to see idalia. >> ian: yeah is these are category four and category five storms. >> we're showing this because we're expect can idalia to be a four when it makes landfall in the big bend and we've also been

mentioning that there's no storm of reference and the other threats that we're expecting in these areas because if you look at the big bend, you look at the nature coast, there's nothing. >> going back to 1851, closest thing that's either remotely close to this -- we mention this because we keep showing you that camera from cedar key -- it was hurricane easy when it was still the military alphabet. >> this is before --. >> jane: yeah -- >> that was 1950,73 years ago, and that made landfall in cedar key. >> that was a three. >> so we've never had a four or a five. this one is forecast to be a four when it makes the landfall later this morning. >> jane: yeah, and we're already getting to the higher end of the three. >> 120 mile-per-hour winds the now and still havism time the next couple of hours to gain that strength that we're anticipating it to do and even after it makes landfall, tracking up through the panhandle of florida, which is a big chunk of real estate before

running into the georgia line, holding category potential one category strength as it slams into southeast georgia making its way into the south carolina coastline so there are still more chapters to go but the flooding in this storm has consistently gotten worse and this is what we're expecting one of the spots where 15 feet of storm surge could become a possibility and i think so early on before we start to see that wind shift take shape, to see the flooding that has happened and we've already seen one power flip down and i mean, this really quickly to unfold into a very dangerous situation. >> ian: yeah, jane, this gets worse and worse and worse, every time we check in on this and unfortunately that's what we're expecting here is the core -- the most violent part of this now major hurricane it's becoming more locked in this makes a path, maybe more up into close to taylor county -- or perfect -- where perry, florida,

is, but near and just off to the right, just off to the east on the advancing side of the storm system. >> that's where we're expecting what with whether a we told you was the reasonable worst case seine air yee -- scenario for surge, where that's the national storm centre bumped those numbers up to potentially 16 feet. >> yeah, that's incredible to see those numbers go that high. >> a foot and a half of storm surge. >> i mean, that's unsurvivalible -- unsurviveable water, which in the highest case scenario was forecast for the tampa bay area. >> imagine that imagine that scenario there. >> ian: there's restaurants and bars out there, a little island into the gulf of mexico. >> our exclusive storm tracker mark suddeth spoke to one of the owners, one of the restaurants out there and he mentioned just the anxiety -- ninety-two oh, yeah.

>> ian: you've lived your entire life there and you've got nothing to compare this to this. >> michael that went way up to the west up in the panhandle. >> ian: right. >> jane: so, you know, i can imagine the sense of fear that's going a come to these people who have been -- and for the most part, these are relatively lower populated areas and we always talk about these rural communities and how tight knit they are, too. >> ian: yeah. >> jane: a tight one that they're hopefully not riding out. >> hopefully they heeded evacuation orders, but the worst in the big bend but even down into spring hill, you can see a nine feet of storm surge there, depending on how the angle of the storm comes in. >> ian: the geography is playing such a huge part in this. >> we talked to the climatology saying, it's very hard to put a major hurricane here. >> jane: uh-hmm. >> ian: category four has not happened on the period of record going back to 1851. >> it's hard to put one here but it's the m a place that's just incredibly susceptible to surge

with shallow water. >> you get this big shelf that extends out a couple of hundred of miles up into the gulf of mexico. >> if you had to draw something that you thought would catch water, you'd probably draw something like the shape of this portion of the size of florida. >> jane: and speaking of that, when you talk about catching the water, too, let --. >> jane: the way in which it can extend into florida, it's also striking, potentially fit hits just right. >> you take a look just north of cedar key and it looks like you've got a bit of a river basin that kind of leads out into open waters. >> if you get that storm surge that can push further inland in the right angle -- we're talking nearly 20 miles or more of storm surge over nine feet, and in the worst case scenario potentially more. >> ian: we've got wild life refuge areas, parks, conservation areas, there's a

lot of that along this portion of marshy coastal florida. >> there's a lot of communities. >> if this had cut in closeer to the tampa bay metro area, this is going to impact a lot of people -- that's 1.6. >> jane: uh-hmm. >> ian: multiply much by 10 >> and we still have a bit of an offshore push of wind and you mentioned how cedar key could just jut out -- eventually we're going to see winds go like this and it all starts to happen. >> ian: if you can kind of eyeball it with this counter clockwise swirl, there's -- and we mentioned how this is start to go to have more of an easterly component and if it moves on shore, which is 9 forecast from the nhc, that's the point. >> this is several hours from now where we get that big push of water into places like levy county. >> jane: and this, too, happening potentially as the

high tide cycle continues to inch back up into the early part of the morning, higher tide psyche -- cycles than what you're already seeing happen there with cedar key with nearly the five, six feet surge. >> ian: with the supermoon, these tides would have already been high and now there's quarante in the gulf of mexico. >> that will be one of the areas hardest hit. >> keep it right here on fox weather. cries out to us "comfort, comfort my people." we're in a race against time to reach every holocaust survivor in israel and the former soviet union. many are poor and hungry and they have nowhere to turn.

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