>> kayleigh: it's a sprint to the finish line for vice president kamala harris and former president trump. both candidates are holding rallies and the key battlegrounds of michigan. new reports say that harris' team is getting nervous over trump's gains just 18 days out from the election. hello, everyone. it's friday. this is "outnumbered." joining me is dagen mcdowell, tammy bruce, fox news contributor and president of american spirit enterprises, dr. nicole saphier, fox news contributor and board-certified physician and patrick j murphy, 32nd undersecretary of the army and former pennsylvania congressman. reports of anxiety and all-out panic are beginning and it could have vice president, harris' campaign spun up just a few days out from the election as time is running out. "the new york post" reporting the democrats in pennsylvania,

the all-important state, say harris' "awol" and being out-message. these are deni democrats saying. democrats are telling politico that they see warning signs for harris with latino men in them must-win state of pennsylvania. you know, dagen, one thing i love to do is read behind the headlines. when you have democrats coming out with anxiety, leaking to publications. democrats in pennsylvania, national democrats, usually it's a sign that there's nerve-racking appetites happening. >> dagen: i love to read into what the senate candidates are saying. if you look, let's look at michigan for example. in the real clear politics average in michigan, president trump is up by almost one full point.

0.9 points. also slotkin over mike rogers. 2.2 points in that state. both of them, the big issue, and you take a national issue like the economy and inflation. then you boil it down to each state issue. in pennsylvania, it's fracking. in michigan, it is the ev mandate, the electric vehicle mandate, that's a job destroyer for autoworkers. it's something that no american wants because they don't want to be told "you cannot drive a car or a pickup truck with an internal combustion engine in it." elissa slotkin, running for senate as a democrat, and kamala harris, have said both "i will never tell you what kind of car you have to drive." yeah, you have. she has. because the epa tailpipe emissions regulation essentially

mandates, it's a de facto mandate that two-thirds of the vehicles in eight years in the united states of america must be partially electric or fully electric. that is a mandate. that's a killer for kamala harris and elissa slotkin just in the state of michigan. >> dr. nicole: , harris did come out in 201950s ev mandate and now she's backing up a little bit on them like she's doing with fracking. they are still being very savvy when it comes to these battleground states. in michigan alone they promised $500 million to gm motors. you have unionized workers saying if we don't get that handout from the ira, if that goes under a trump presidency, jobs are going to be lost. it's like waving this shiny thing in front of voters think that you need to vote for this or lose jobs tomorrow. it's so shortsighted. they are not looking at the long term.

with the kamala harris presidency will come these ev mandates and it will be the long-term demise of the auto industry. >> kayleigh: we will see if that happens. going back to democrats in panic, i wanted to put up the national numbers for you. real clear politics, average of polling. what you see nationally is kamala harris with a 1.6% lead. okay, you say. biden ended a .9% lead in 2020 and clinton, who went on to lose, i would remind our viewers, had a 7.1% lead. have they recalibrated goals? bob casey with an ad that says casey supports trump's trade order. what is that say? >> patrick: bob casey is a great american who supported kamala harris. >> kayleigh: for a policy, not as a candidate. >> patrick: i was on the air here saying some of the trump tariffs were good.

when he says john deere. tariffs at 200%. 75% of manufacturing is in america. as far as michigan, i drive a jeep. the gm parent company, they are investing a quarter billion dollars in michigan. making manufacturing cars. that's a positive thing. i would say it's not just during election. kamala harris has been part of a team that has -- the largest increase in gas production, natural gas production. >> kayleigh: under trump it was a totally different policy. he wanted -- she wanted to ban fracking. >> patrick: 9 million barrels a day under trial. it's the 13-point to billion. >> dagen: it's on private land. it's not because anything of the government did.

they have restricted vastly the number of federal leases in the united states. they were required to issue leases although they inflation reduction act and it is a bare minimum. i think it's like 4 may be. i look at the exact numbers. the vast majority of oil production is from what are called drilled but uncompleted wells which were drilled before joe biden and kamala harris took office. those were already drilled. they didn't require new leases. the production has come from private land, not government land. >> patrick: really quick. the project last summer, half a million barrels a day in alaska. in the left gave biden kamala a hard time but that's what they did. >> kayleigh: biden-harris is the benefit of the ingenuity of

the private sector, their own incompetence notwithstanding. tammy, democrats in panic nationally. pull up the real clear politics wing state average. trump is winning in every single swing state. it's in the margin of error. it's narrow. it's indeed a close race. all of that is true. but if i am kamala harris, this makes me very, very nervous because i'm underperforming biden four years ago. >> tammy: at one point she was ahead of the majority of those states. we have seen a trend from the beginning of donald trump. they did all kinds of things. rated mar-a-lago, sitting in a trial, being indicted, being convicted. nothing affected him. getting shot almost twice none of it affected his trajectory. it's been a consistent move up. what's happened is they do realize, they know him. he has performed through all this. none of this is a surprise.

harris has not performed. people were waiting including after the debate thinking at the debate will get some specifics for the focus groups after the debate were "we still didn't hear anything." the bret baier interview course. it's like, that was another opportunity to decide to be honest. did not happen. even in the dinner last night with the video, she could have been funny, herself. didn't do it. so what we are hearing with these leaks about her staff and that she's not there. she's not participating, mirrors what we heard from her staff but constantly left being in the white house as vice president. it's the same kind of complaints. not engaged, not participating. we are lost. we don't have direction. it mirrors those complaints. >> dr. nicole: they got nervous when she failed to get some the key endorsements from some of the organized unions that joe biden got before. it shows there is a break with

union leaders and members. >> patrick: pennsylvania, two days ago. in my hometown. we had endorsements from republicans. the republican governor -- governor whitman. adam kinzinger, liz cheney, you have others. dozens of republicans that endorsed her. >> kayleigh: i'm sure if trump were sitting here he would say you can take those endorsements, it will take my poll numbers and i will take might one point advantage and i will take the chaos. >> dagen: and i will take republican president trump, pro-energy agenda, three offshore lease sales scheduled in the next five years, the fewest in history. that's bi biden-harris. >> kayleigh: dagen brings the receipts. don't mess with dagen mcdowell. vice president harris skipped the al smith dinner, choosing to send video critics are calling

"historically bad." >> very nice to meet you. i'm trying to record my speech for tonight's dinner. >> i just want to say i'm catholic intimate is one of the biggest dinners next to the last supper. get a newday 100 va cash out loan at lower mortgage rates to pay off those high rate car loans. we really don't want people to think of feeding food like ours is spoiling their dogs. good, real food is simple. it looks like food, it smells like food, it's what dogs are supposed to be eating. ♪

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mr. mayor, you are peanuts compared to what they've done to me. tradition holds i'm supposed to tell a few self-deprecating jokes this evening, so here it goes! i've got nothing. [laughter] i've got nothing. there's nothing to say. >> kayleigh: meanwhile with reports of harris' campaign beginning to panic, she has missed an opportunity and chose not to attend the event. however, harris did send in a prerecorded video that fell flat. it featured a former "snl" cast member and critics are calling it just straight cringe. speak with al smith dinner provides a rare opportunity to set aside partisanship. >> sorry. >> what's going on question mike. >> who was that. very nice to meet you, mary

catherine. i'm trying to record my speech. >> i want to say i'm catholic and tonight is one of the biggest dinners next to the last supper. >> it's a very important dinner and it's very important tradition i'm very proud to be part of. >> when i get nervous, i stick my fingers under my arms. i do that. but that's gross. do you see, man? we need a woman to represent us. >> is there anything you think maybe i shouldn't bring up tonight? >> don't live. thou shalt not bear false witness to thy neighbor. there will be a fact-checker there to make. >> that's great. who? >> jesus. >> kayleigh: you have kamala harris, she didn't go to the dinner. she has been rallying. she was in wisconsin. you compare that to trump in the last 72 hours. at the al smith and her cracking jokes. he is at "fox & friends." sunday he's going to be at mcdonald's before he attends a football game.

it feels creative, original, capturing of national attention in a way that may be the kamala campaign is missing. >> tammy: it is missing it. there's a thing called airplanes and helicopters. there's perks to being a candidate. she has raised a billion dollars. it's a remarkable thing you can accomplish with that kind of money. she doesn't go. there's still conversations about why she wouldn't go. it's one of those things where even if it's not directly in a swing state, everyone will see it. they care about social media. lots of stuff is out there. it becomes national, international, everyone was watching. more would have watched if she would have appeared. incredible opportunity but something else directed her to not do it. maybe someday we'll know what it is. but it seems to be part and parcel of the campaign. in making decision based in fear, desire to stay away from scrutiny, a desire to control the environment. then using the worst character in "saturday night live" history

does not help. >> dr. nicole: i kind of liked that character. >> tammy: she had a choice to be finding herself, like trump did. it endears people to you and she missed it. >> kayleigh: the politico headline was trump won the day because kamala ditched the dinner. is that headline she wanted? >> patrick: no. but i don't think she lost -- she wasn't at the dinner. she did go on fox news with bret baier. give her credit for that. she did "60 minutes." you would never see donald trump on msnbc. >> kayleigh: sat with the cnbc editor in chief. >> patrick: and the bloomberg thing. not that great. >> dr. nicole: we are deflecting now from the fact that she didn't go to the dinner. we are talking about other things. the bottom line is she intentionally didn't go to this dinner. wasn't a scheduling conflict. she intentionally left or didn't go in part of it is because her

agenda is so far left, so far away from what catholic faith is all about. >> kayleigh: two hours of questions from bloomberg. those were not easy questions. >> patrick: i said i give him credit for that. he would never go on msnbc. you and i are practicing catholics. >> kayleigh: i am protestant. >> patrick: i'm sorry. i thought you were. there's something, black-tie dinner. i will be at the men's group. they are laughing and yukking it up. that's the president that demonized brown and black people. >> kayleigh: he has not. >> patrick: people in muslim countries -- demonized 20,000 haitian

americans, legal immigrants. >> kayleigh: having a flashback when the left tried to use the racism playbook. all the headlines talk about black men increasingly supportive of trump. latino men coming towards trump. giving jitters to the, here's campaign in pennsylvania. with all due respect, i think that talking point should be in the dustbin of history because it's not working. >> dagen: i can do all workers on just the open border and how kamala harris and joe biden laid the foundation for cartels to profit off human suffering and misery. mothers and babies drowning in the rio grande and they did nothing. let's not walk down that road. i want talk about the strategy of not showing up for the dinner, sending a video where you team up with one of the most unfunny cast members in the history of "saturday night live" in the most unfunny character. like the pit sniffing was not

funny when mary catherine did it the first time. kamala harris looks more robotic, not less robotic in the video. one of her rapid response to trump being at the dinner was to rip on him for showing up. they sent out "donald trump struggled to read out scripted notes written by his handlers, repeatedly complaining he couldn't use a teleprompter." it smacks of desperation. any woman knows that desperation is the world's worst cologne or in this case, perfume. >> kayleigh: trump revealed this morning there was no teleprompter use allowed. that might have been a hiccup for kamala harris, my personal view. coming up, israel prime minister benjamin netanyahu succeeds at taking out hamas' leader. huge deal. we broke it yesterday. that was despite president biden

and vice president harris urging him not to enter rafah.

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>> to the people of gaza, i have a simple message. this war, and manic tomorrow. it can end if hamas lays down its arms and returns the hostages. israel is committed to doing everything in our power to bring all of them home. israel will guarantee the safety of all those who return our hostages but to those who would harm our hostages, i have another message. israel will hunt you down and bring you to justice. >> kayleigh: is israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu sending that strong message to hamas after killing hamas' leader in the alleged planner of the october 7th attack that left infants dead. his name was yahya sinwar. vice president kamala harris and president biden praised israel

for its success. it's worth noting that if israel had listened to biden and harris over the past few months, there's a good chance that sinwar would still be alive today. sinwar was found hiding out in the gazan city of rafah, place which biden and harris repeatedly warned israel not to invade. >> i made it clear that if they go into rafah desk they haven't yet. if they go into rafah i'm not supplying the weapons. >> any major military operation in rafah would be a huge mis mistake. >> the invasion of rafah which you have urged him not to do, without be a redline? >> given the immense scale of suffering in gaza, there must be an immediate cease-fire. >> cease-fire now. >> cease-fire. >> time for a cease-fire. >> kayleigh: patrick, israel chose not to listen to

biden-harrison set up a cease-fire not going into rafah, they killed a terrorist who killed innocent babies. were they wrong? >> patrick: it's never wrong when you bring sinwar to justice. >> kayleigh: is biden-harris wrong? >> patrick: that was nine months ago. we need a political solution. every time we kill someone, if you kill a civilian, -- [indistinct] sinwar was the mastermind of october 7th. 1200 in a simpler less killed. 251 hostages. it's a message that israel and america, if you mess with us, someone else is going to be raising your children. it was a great day for america. a great day for the world. but we need a political solution. >> kayleigh: it's a great day for america in the world but a great day that would not have happened. it wasn't just nine months ago. yes they warned against the rough invasion.

biden called for a cease-fire before israel got the head of hezbollah. within a month they got ahead of hezbollah, hamas. you can say israel did more in one month than biden-harris did in four years. >> dr. nicole: despite the threats coming out of biden-harris. hamas and hezbollah are vowing to come back even stronger which is why it's disappointing that they were thinking this may bring peace. the truth is, there is no peace for israel until hamas is completely destroyed. the u.s. puts the pressure on iran. the pressure that was there under the trump-pence administration and relief under biden-harris. yesterday netanyahu called upon more idf soldiers and reserves, one of which was my nephew. i woke up to a text message from him. he had to fly out last night. i do not trust biden and harris to bring them home safely. i only trust someone who is vowing to put