paul: welcome to the journal editorial report. with two weeks to go until the election the race to the white house remains a tossup. a new fox poll showing donald trump narrowly leading vice president kamala harris 58% to 48%, a reversal from last month when harris had a slim advantage but still within the margin of error. looking to shake up the race in the final stretch the vice president sat down on wednesday with her first interview with fox where bret baer gave her another opportunity to tell voters how her presidency would be different from joe biden's. >> you are not joe biden, not donald trump but nothing comes to mind you would do differently? >> my presidency will not be a continuation of joe biden's presidency and like every new president that comes into office i will bring my life experiences, my professional experiences and fresh new ideas

and a new generation of leadership. paul: let's bring in dan heninger and jason riley and editorial board member kyle peterson. what do you make of the vice president's answer on what she would do differently than joe biden? >> don't hear an answer which is part of the problem that she has. you would think that is a question she would anticipate and have an answer to. she was asked multiple times in these interviews and keeps dodging. her problem is joe biden was going to lose this election. he is unpopular and she has not done enough to distinguish herself from the record. 2 thirds of the country thinks we are heading in the wrong direction. the other problem she has is retrospectively donald trump's presidential approval rating is higher than it ever was when he was president and she's dealing with is that. it is clear, people know they

were doing better under donald trump than they were doing under biden and she can't explain why they would continue with the biden, with her, continuing for biden. she can't justify that. paul: this is a real puzzle, she says i'm different, but there's not a single issue of any significance that she has decided to stand out and say this is what i do differently, immigration, energy, transgender transitions, no. that's what voters are looking for, a change. >> question is which voters are looking for that change? we are down here with two weeks to go in the election. most voters on the left and right have decided to they are going to vote for and we are talking undecided voters in seven swing states.

really small percentage of voters. i think kamala harris's problem is that she is not going to abandon any of joe biden's policies or criticize them because she's afraid of losing votes on the left. when we say vote on the left we are talking younger voters who protested on campus in favor of the palestinians and gaza. they are less likely to turn out than older retirees and she simply will not risk losing any of those voters with national polls as tight as they are. that raises the question of what appeal she's making to those crucial undecided voters in the center. they have not 10 anything but attack trump. paul: if the argument from democrats is they are so eager to vote for trump that they will come out and vote no

matter what, why not tell swing voters, you want to change and it seems to me she's missing an opportunity to define herself from democratic orthodoxy. am i way off here? >> great case for a candidate who wants to pitch to the middle of the electorate. and export natural gas to our allies, good foreign policy but she seems to have a different theory of the case which is this is going to be a base turn out election and she's confident democrats will do better, better turnout operation on the ground and she's trying to turn things back to trump and remind voters skeptical of him that they don't have to vote for him. he doesn't have to convince those republicans to go her way.

look at the pennsylvania republican primary in april after nikki haley quit the race, 17% of the vote. many republicans who like trump and wanted haley and desantis and trying to reach them. paul: instead of asking here's an issue to hang your hat on, she's going back now in the last week to the trump wants to be dictator, trump is a threat to democracy, trump is unhinged. it is playing back to him and his character which they tried the last two elections, worked once, didn't work the other time. >> joe biden started his reelection campaign with a video of january 6th. this was the game plan from the beginning and they are returning to it. i don't think it has worked very well for them. i think a lot of americans think that trying to jail and

bankrupt your political opponent is also a threat to democracy and that is why some of this has backfired and overplayed their hand. paul: you don't think it will work. >> i don't think it will be because of this. paul: you think it will work? >> i don't think it will work but it's a viable strategy, trying to create doubts about donald trump's character. if that is the best they have, what do you say about everything else in the harris campaign? paul: they've got two issues, abortion and donald trump's character. that's all they've got. still had with 17 days to go, all eyes on pennsylvania, could decide the outcome of the presidential election. we will talk about kamala harris and donald trump's closing arguments and how they are playing in the keystone state. children are suffering from treatable causes.. ..living with conditions many have never seen. for more than 40 years, mercy ships has deployed floating hospitals

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kamala harris and donald trump campaigned there this week. the real clear politics paul everett shows the candidates tied in that crucial battleground. closing arguments resonating from keystone state voters. selena, welcome to the show. what is working for donald trump? what is he running on in pennsylvania? >> kept his message pretty crispin inflation, economic concerns are a deep concern for pennsylvania voters and also talked about the border and problems that happened in communities as a result of an open border. the flow of fentanyl in

communities, a burst of crime and impact with jobs. it has been very effective. don't get me wrong. the economy is the single most important issue by a longshot in this state and he has kept on that issue. paul: how is kamala harris trying to neutralize that economic advantage, and has she, has her claim that she no longer would ban fracking, has that sunk in and neutralize that issue? >> no it hasn't and here's why. there is a nuance. the biden/harris administration put a pause on nick - liquid natural gas exports from pennsylvania. if you are truly not against fracking you would have made sure that was lifted or had a robust reason you want biden to lift it now and there has been no mention of that.

she spent her closing argument as trying to make donald trump the bogeyman. it has been all he is a bad guy, he does bad things, he's not will. that her closing argument. it is hard to see how at this point if the race were held today, hard to see how that has been effective in winning people to vote over. the more aspirational you are towards the end of your campaign you tend to be more, voters tend to be more engaged in your candidacy. at this moment, she's not doing that and she is. paul: if you look what happened in 2020 when trump lost pennsylvania versus 2016, trump did a lot worse in 2020 in color counties around philadelphia, montgomery, chester, delaware, places you know well.

harris is trying to blow out the vote for her hitting abortion really hard. how do you see those counties coming out this year? >> the problem with abortion in pennsylvania, it's not going anywhere. it has been intact and law since the 1980s. no one can touch abortion except schapiro and the majority from the statehouse. that is a democrat majority. that argument tends to not be as effective as talking about what is most important to voters. i am going back to inflation and the economy, still a big problem in this state. 2020 i often have wondered if it seems to be proven true that 2020 was perhaps the fluke

election, not 2016, as people tend to believe. pennsylvania has been moving rightward since 2012 when barack obama left 300,000 voters off the field, they didn't show up. he still won pennsylvania but won by a lot less and the rightward turn has continued incrementally, it's not big, people say what about fetterman, what about schapiro but those are moderate old-school democrats, the new deal coalition intact and so did joe biden whereas harris has not been able to connect with them probably because she has never had to run electorally and are in the votes of a moderate democrat or a republican because she ran in california. paul: do you think the harris campaign and candidate have any

regrets for picking tim walz as the running mate as opposed to josh schapiro? could schapiro, you think if he were on the ticket, would he be significantly helping her? >> that was always to me, josh schapiro is an incredible political athlete. very talented politician. i'm not quite sure that was ever a great match between them. i never could imagine governor schapiro as being someone's second. i don't think -- or someone who wouldn't engage with the press. governor schapiro engages with the press all the time and that has not been the model of harris. i don't think it ever would have been a great fit. i don't know that it was ever seriously considered in the way the reporting showed leading up

to that decision. paul: if he had been chosen do you think he would be helping now in pennsylvania? >> probably maybe. i don't know. it is very different when you are running as a governor with your own ideas and running on someone else's platforms. there are a lot of differences between the two of them. paul: thanks for coming on. appreciate it. when we come back, election day may be more than two weeks away but millions of ballots have already been cast. our panel weighs in on donald trump's mixed message on early voting. renewed worries over mail in ballots in some crucial stealing states.

>> early voting is underway, get everyone out, get everyone

you know, get them all out to vote. go tomorrow. we stand on the verge of the four greatest years in the history of our country. paul: that was donald trump in atlanta urging his supporters to vote early. polls open in georgia, work record turnout on the first day. he sent mixed messages about his support for early voting but with voting underway, republicans are stepping up their efforts to convince skeptical supporters to cast their ballots ahead of election day. and erase the democrats's traditional early voting advantage. we are back with our panel. trump strategists believe the early results in georgia work for them. that state doesn't have partisan registration so it is harder to pinpoint that. they think the surge is trump related. >> it could be. georgia is a state he should do well in.

interestingly enough, trump had this running battle with georgia governor brian kemp, but brian kemp himself has one of the best turnout machines of any state in the country and kemp dedicated that to helping trump. it may prove that for the first early reports, trump is getting a head start, has always been ambivalent including paper ballots but made a difference in many of these states so it will behoove the republicans to keep pushing people across the country to get their voting whenever they want to. paul: what about the relative quality of the democratic and republican turnout machines. who has the advantage? >> the democrats have an advantage, they depend on labor quite a bit on election day, to

take people to the polls, knock on doors, they have this turnout operation that served them well over the decades. during the longshoremen's strike. don't want to upset big labor, would need those services in this election, trump is relying on charlie kirk's group, turning point and elon musk, it is a novel effort. i will say this, there aren't a lot of persuadable voters, trump's strategy is to go into red jurisdictions and find voters that probably agree with him and make sure they get to the polls, sort of a base let's grow the base turnout as opposed to trying to find persuadable voters are swing voters. there might be something to be said for that. paul: low propensity voters, people trying to identify.

we had glenn youngerkin who made an analytical case for how important it is for early voting for his party which hasn't done well in the past. what did he say? >> one is simply if your opponents are spending 45 days or 30 days getting out the vote in some of these states depending when it starts you are at a disadvantage. if you do that only on one day particularly if it is a snowstorm or rainstorm on election day in the some of these places that makes it more difficult if you are not spending those first weeks banking votes. and some of these states the voter file shows who has voted, who requested a male valid and knowing that allows campaigns to better target their advertising, do we need to knock on that door? that's important, particularly when talking about race is decided by tens of thousands of

votes. paul: another element works for the democrats which is state parties. if you look at a couple key states, michigan and arizona for example, the democratic party, much better organized, disciplined, in recent years, than the republican parties of those states and that could be an advantage to harris and company. >> you are right. there has been a lot of internal dissension among republicans in states like arizona and michigan and ultimately impacts on an election like this. it's remarkable because that dissension is real. donald trump is doing well in those states, able to transcend that. the turnout machine is to get these low propensity voters in those states to show up and

then rely on trump to move the undecideds in his direction. he could pull it off. paul: you have looked at the possibility accounting may not be stopped on election day by absentee ballots. we had troubles with that in pennsylvania. could that happen again? >> in pennsylvania they are opening and processing these mail ballots until the morning of election day unlike some states like florida where they preprocessed mail ballots as they come in and that helps allow them in florida to get a final result on election night which is helpful to the country. paul: kamala harris's pitch to black men struggling to win support of the key voting group but will this help build them away from donald trump? holocaust survivors who are suffering in the former soviet union today. the needs that these forgotten jews have are

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