also, as pennsylvania closes its poles, i think it is worth noting, martha, this is a political malpractice that she didn't pick josh shapiro between the fracking and school choice, jewish americans, i think that we will be talking about that tonight. >> bret: we will look a lot at pennsylvania. election night in america just getting started. >> eight is now 8:00 in

new york, polls have just closed in over a dozen states, all eyee the deciding state in this race, 19 electoral votes at stake. fox news decision desk says that this is obviously too early to call in pennsylvania as we will be watching that one until the bitter end. >> bret: fox news is projecting that former president trump will win the state of florida, putting him 30 electoral votes closer to the white house. too early to call a winner in new hampshire, where vice president harris has an edge. >> martha: in maine, the fox news decision desk says it is too early to call the race, main gives two electoral votes to the winner of the state and one vote to the presidential winner in each of their congressional districts. harris will win the first district, the rural second district, too early to call in the state of maine spewing in the southeast, fox news can project that trump will win tennessee, a longtime republican stronghold, not really a surprise there. further south, the former

president will again win alabama, big numbers they are. >> martha: the former president will win neighboring mississippi. trumbull cruised to victory in oklahoma as well where democrats haven't won a single county since 2000. >> bret: and missouri will also deliver a win for the former president, vice president harris will also take some big victories this hour. projecting she will win illinois, adding 19 electoral votes to her tally. >> martha: she will also make new jersey, and other reliably democratic states, some people thought new jersey might be a little bit tight, but we are already to call new jersey, my home state. voters in massachusetts will deliver a clear victory to harris as well, no mystery in those states spewing staying in the northeast, fox news can project will win connecticut. she will also win marilyn's. that state worth ten electoral votes. interesting senator risch there. >> martha: also rhode island, and a leading delaware -- and

delete and delaware, but too early to call at this point. >> bret: the vice president will w win the district of columbia which has never voted for a republican, if you look at the electoral college, it obviously changes with all of these numbers. it is in the corner of your screen, 105 to harris 72. there you see full screen, as we start to fill in this map little by little, going to get closer to 270. there are some big states, including california all the way out west, that will adjust this number for the vice president. we are back with our panel, jessica, jessica mark kelly end. jesse, thoughts? >> are we sure about new jersey? [laughter] i voted next to a man wearing a garbage bag. i also just heard from a person who was not going to vote, and

then his girlfriend called him and said if you don't vote for kamala harris, we are breaking up, he drove two hours to the polling station and waited two always in line, i still don't understand people. i am not going to give you the county by county because i don't have that in my wheelhouse, i will say, i was just watching something interesting in georgia, where she is not performing as well with black voters as joe biden. donald trump has flipped the script, up 11% with independents where biden had beaten by 9% with independence. interesting things to look at. if you look at the exit polling or the fox news voter analysis, you would think this would be a runway donald trump victory. i don't understand, only 13% of americans feel they are getting ahead financially, that kamala harris is even competitive. and bravo to the democrat machine to make this race competitive, because she came out of nowhere. no one knows who she is. she didn't run a very specific

campaign. and they are making it a very competitive race. we haven't called anything surprising except for new new jersey. >> bret: [laughs] >> martha: it you were. >> i was. >> martha: jessica tarlov, your thoughts? >> not surprised by new jersey, i'm sorry for you, you had been bragging about that for months. it has been interesting to see what is going on in the suburbs, if this is a harbinger of a good night for night for kamala harris, that is where it is going to happen. you need the urban turn out to be huge. i think philadelphia it was a story already in the first hour of election jay polling that they were smashing records. what i am focused on and seeing, once all the exits are out, what ended up being the one, two, three most important issues. in iowa, and she had preserving democracy is number one. that showed up in the mayor's polling. if it is preserving democracy,

that bodes very well for, harris' evening, and if it goes preserving democracy, the economy, and then abortion, that is definitely a good night, especially to your point, a few minutes ago, where she said she closed the gap in the economy and protecting the middle class and cares about middle class people. >> bret: harold come on, talk about florida, and wasn't close, we called it for the former president, a big electoral vote hall. if you think about it, in elections past, florida it was a swing state, ron desantis changes that makes it a red state. even in miami-dade county, the republican is taken, vote, including latino vote, which could bode something else. >> desantis will probably be a big part of that. they also had an abortion initiative they are, it looks like it is going to win, the right to an abortion, 57-43,

almost the same numbers that trump put a little better. people split the ticket there. indeed, perhaps some republicans voted for that. but a strong governor like you haven't florida, when in north carolina. she is going to need that governor to get her over the hump there. democratic governor there, one that has now been elected. i am curious about the suburban areas. i listen to karl, then just got, kellyanne, you are talking, bret, you look at the issue around lgbtq ti a + -- algebra cutie plus, some of the other suburban areas, she has not performed as well. maybe these states are little different than voters are. >> you have loudoun county of there?

>> look at 2020 process now. >> want to show you guys the fox insights we have. you see the screen outline? we can show you what the vote was at this .4 years ago, okay? click on this and find out together. loudoun county, 96% of the vote reporting in that county, trump has got a 3.3% higher vote. how it computes here on the computer four years ago, about 4.5 points for kamala harris. maybe it is the schools, and that it is the transgender issue that the trump team pushed so much in his campaign, made up that is having an impact on that. lets move away from virginia. a couple of interesting stories. punch it around this map here. you can find a little good news for kamala harris.

you can find good news for donald trump. i want to show you why. down in florida, look at devol county and jacksonville. this is an advantage trump from where he was four years ago in devol county. you see that swap? flipped it by 5 points there. go to georgia, and the rurals, another fox insights, baldwin county, the county seat here was the confederate capital of georgia during the civil war. are fox insights tell us right now, look at this, two colleges in this county, the african american population is about 44% county ride. trump at this moment with 84% of the vote reported in baldwin county is up 7.5 points from where he was in 2020. trump team is going to take that. likewise, metro area of atlanta,

puppeteer, 26 counties to concentrate on. harris folks are telling us in douglas county that she is performing better than biden did four years ago. suburban voters all over the area. and net gain of 18,267 now. about a quarter of the votes out there. biden finished in douglas county with a net gain of 17,360. that would be good news for the harris campaign if this number holds. that may pop out here a moment and show you another thing we were looking at. >> bret: one second. before we leave, the fox news voter analysis and the networks exit polls, we are being told, show the former president doubling his percentage of black men in georgia. he was at 11% in 2020, now at 25% according to these two surveys. it is starting to match the real vote.

>> that may match up -- sync up, got almost half the votes out there loudoun county, 52% of the estimated number of votes that are in at the moment, okay, roughly 48% out there. this is fulton county, kamala harris, going to win the county, but look at the real vote total, impressive, 129,000. look quite joe biden didn't seem county, 242,000. you would have to go to the precincts to know where the rest of the remaining vote comes from, may we take a look at that in a moment. you are one of a hundred and 59 gems a population. made what you are saying, bret, about the african american vote is true, i want to caution you, a lot of vote out there, but we are going to keep a close eye on loudoun county into the night here. >> martha: do you have any indication that turnout is a bit lower than 2020, that would affect some of what you are

doing with harris here as well. >> i can tell you, martha, before election day, brad raffensperger, secretary of state, set up an awesome website, counting the early vote, i was on there every hour trying to analyze it. one thing that was evident from the early vote -- don't know about today yet -- but based on the early vote, the african american population in georgia, about 33% statewide. multi-political analysts will argue is that you need, in order to win statewide as a democrat, you need 30% of that vote, and the early vote indicated that kamala harris was just a tick above 26%. another indicator, made another data point we need to keep an eye on, as to what bret was talking about. >> bret: are you looking at? >> i've been keeping an eye on this issue that was raised in our voter analysis, fully half of all voters say the future of democracy is the most important factor.

that is a big number, a lot of people. trump gets some of those voters, but 60% of them are going for harris. i think that issue, democracy, is about one thing, trump, the fear of trump, the same factor we keep coming back to time and again, the trump factor this raises, is he able to overcome the resistance to him which has been so dominant in previous cycles. >> bret: because if you are just running on the issues, but include the most important, economy, immigration, we wouldn't see -- >> we wouldn't see that. >> martha: a huge issue for 2020, it resurfaced a bit with candidate selection in 2022 that he got blamed for. the question is, are we going to see the increase of his approval numbers translate into something positive. >> if you work your way back to it that is about, about january 6, the pricey pay

political virginia respects. >> martha: and it was hammered over and over by current president biden, the former candidate, the threat didn't democracy was on his lips pretty much every minute spewing and vice president vice president harris didn't take that for a lot, but she did come back to it toward the end of the campaign >> hoc the parallel immediately, in many ways, obvious issue, supposed to be the moment when we thought we should fear this,e premise of the january 6th special committee, as the cochairman of the committee put it, came critically close to losing our democracy. it's ridiculous. our democracy is pretty sturdy. the thing was over in a matter of hours. here we are, still a factor spewing here we are, and political rise from january 72021 to a candidate who is at least tight end and a good position and has the path to 272 win the white house.

if you would? >> martha: let's go check in at the trump campaign headquarters, and west palm beach, florida, what is the mood over there? >> things are looking good here, the crowd behind them he still hasn't really filled out the convention center. i'm told there is a long security line, a lot of folks apparently right next door and haven't made their way over, that is because there is a long security line, they have to go through before they get in here. that is what is holding up the people, the spaces you see behind me. i want to talk about -- you were on the big screen when you called florida in here and everybody erupted into a chair. i was talking to congressman mike waltz of florida he was telling me how it was a record early vote turnout and that is why. he thinks that is going to resonate across the country today, people are going to come out and vote for trump.

back to you guys spewing let's check in the jacqui heinrich, at the harris campaign headquarters. hi. >> quite a different scene at their compared to where she is, i should note that at the harris headquarters, we don't have harris campaign officials because they are all in wilmington tonight. we are trying to get a sense from campaign officials about who was invited, how many thousands will be here, who is in the crowd. i am hearing from people close to the vice president sort of watching these reports come in, they started to name anxious about georgia. the first batch of data that they getting -- x source close to the bp says they are seeing high turnout in the metro atlanta area. as of a short while ago they had a 10 plus-point lead among women showing up. also they noted that black turnout was slow to start but it is finishing strong in the attribute that today or get out the vote efforts. one thing they have been

wrestling with is whether or not they underestimated trump's get out the vote efforts. they are not seeing signs of that but they are feeling happy about that first report coming out of georgia, guys spewing on the right, jacqui, thank you. before he make some calls, you wanted to clarify? >> that abortion initiative, it didn't pass, i misspoke, they had a marijuana initiative, which i would have voted against, but it didn't reach the number either to get to 60%, both failed. >> bret: governor desantis touting both of those things down there. we have some calls. 's b2b begin in pennsylvania, home to a razor-thin senate race between incumbent democrat bob casey and dave mccormick, ts decision desk says this is too early to make a call and pennsylvania on that race. >> bret: this could be a big chair. fox news can project at rick scott, the republican senator

from florida, will win his second term, we'll pause for a applause down there. in maryland, too early to call the race between democratic executive and larry hogan. there is a lead in the fox news voter analysis as we wait for the real vote total to come and speak to you too early to call missouri senate race between josh hawley and democratic attorney lucas koontz, marsha blackburn, we can tell you, will win once again in the state of tennessee, another reliably conservative state. >> bret: in mississippi, longtime g.o.p. senator roger wicker will take home another victory. fox news decision desk will predict that elizabeth warren will win her third term. >> martha: connecticut's democratic senator chris murphy will also win a third term, not enough data to project the main senate race just. >> bret: and in new jersey, kurt democratic house rep andy kim will win his senate race,

putting him in the upper chamber for the fourth time, this is the bob menendez seat. in delaware, lisa blunt, rochester, will win her first senate race. >> martha: in rhode island, democratic senator sheldon whitehouse -- 8:18 on the east coast, 43 republicans securing their seat, one seat flipped, west virginia, the former governor will not be senator jim justice in west virginia, 34 democrats have secured their seats in the senate, a long way to go in the upper chamber as well. >> bret: we have a lot of real vote total starting to dump in further states. more democracy '24 coverage coming in as we and wait the next round of poll closes.

we believe at newday usa we have a noble purpose. our purpose is not just closing a loan. we want to do whatever is best for the individual service person. we want to be known as america's mortgage company for veterans and active duty service people, and they and their families. we're the ones that are there to help them. people are doing hard, arduous, difficult, dangerous things. some of them are giving their lives right now today for the freedoms that we have here in this country. they're willing to do that for you

for me and for our family. so for us at newday, to have the opportunity to turn around and help those people at this point in time. it's a labor of love. it's a noble service. and that's what we're all about. >> martha: economy, obviously the biggest issue in this election. let's go to sandra smith with a look at how that is playing out in our fox news voter analysis. >> hey, martha, hey, bret. before i dive into pennsylvania, we want to get a look at how voters were thinking about the economy there when they decided to they were going to vote for. this is their view on the

nation's economy. as we knew leading up to election day, it is ready negative. the thing to point out here, when you look at 2020, those that had a negative view of the economy, about 6 points higher than it was four years ago. i want to look at pennsylvania and show you which we we are seeing there. when it comes to those that are looking for change, we know this is a big part of the story of this election day. those that are looking for total people -- this is pennsylvania voters -- 28%. if you were to break that down by candidate, which we can now do as we work our way into closing time there in p.a., 66% voted for trump. an interesting story. those who are looking for substantial change, it is about to split with the edge going to donald trump by 3 points, okay? substantial change. people looking for big change. a lot more to dig into in pennsylvania. we will have that for you in a bit, bret, martha. >> bret: let's bring an arm

fox business panel. great to see you all, maria, not just the betting markets on the election, it is the markets markets that were writing prior to this election day. what are we divining from all of that tonight? >> when your talk about investors and businesses, bret, martha, i think you have to look at economic policy and tax policy in particular. the one issue that is bothering investors and corporations out there is the plan of kamala harris to raise the corporate tax rate to 28%. we haven't seen that in a long time, and the word on that is that that cuts into wages, something has got to give. when a corporation is looking at a 28% corporate tax rate, it is likely that that means less money for employees and wages. that is one of the issues that businesses and investors are worried about, per economic policy, trump has talked about a 15% corporate tax rate if you

are doing business in america. you want to expect issues and differences on energy policy and probably the sleeper of them all is regulation. here is as likely to come out with a whole host of new regulations around the climate change agenda, been a real issue already. things like, a company has to evaluate and assess the impact from emissions from their companies and that company's customers. very expensive, creates the need to hire lots of consultants, and that is what businesses are about. when it comes to economic policy. >> martha: maria, thank you, larry kudlow, join the party, tell us what you are watching as we start to get more of these numbers loading in here on the electoral college map. >> i think right now, i would like to be an trump's shoes right now but i don't think it is conclusive. we need more numbers, we need more data. some good news, but i just don't think there are enough numbers.

i agree with the assessments that maria made on the policy front. to be honest with you, here, number one, i don't think the stock market yet knows who is going to win or what the policies are going to be. it is watching like a hawk. i don't think it knows yet. i don't know. we've got to see what happens tonight. number two, trump has this working-class coalition, different republican party, it started with him in 2015, 2016, it has ebbed and flowed, i think it is closing in high tide. the question is, with that kind of coalition, whites, blacks, hispanics, young people, others, will it work, will it hold, was there enough of an expansion in mr. trump's base to put him over and win. a lot of people think he is. he is going to get much better numbers with hispanics than he ever had before. going to peel off a lot of black

votes, young people votes. that was his strategy. i think it is a good strategy. it is not your father's republican party anymore. it is not that they hate business, the business roundtable, ceos are not the center of the new party. the question is, could he expand that working-class coalition enough to win this election? gave me another hour or two and i will try to answer that. >> bret: we will try to get you more data, larry. charles, the republican party has changed, but the issue of the economy, the vice president has closed that, according to the latest polls. he was a big when you ask that question earlier, but as a close, got to within two, four, 6 points for us in the closing days. >> vice president harris benefited from a couple things, i think. first, the media, every time economic data comes out, it is phenomenal, friday, we learned last month lost 28,000 private sector jobs. you can talk about all the

storms you want, all the experts they put together to put together these numbers also factored that in. are jobs numbers have been going down steadily since 2021. now wages are really beginning to drop big time. last week we had with the call the employment cost index. wages are dropping, that is bad news for everyone, particularly folks already having trouble keeping up. trump went out on a dangerous limb when he talked about tariffs, because conservative economists hated. the media is going to hate it. no one will talk about the tariffs that he is put in already that have worked tremendously and have hit china really hard. by the way, the biden administration pounced on them. they didn't take them away, they added to them. they are saying, i'm going to do this, everyone is saying, it is going to hit th hurt the econom. folks note the bottom line is that the top 20% of americans, 40% of the consumption.

made all the money under biden higher's policies, flooding our country with cash we did not need. fund for regular folks to get the check and go to the mall, everyone outside that 20% suffering big temp. >> may i add one thing to the comment on jobs? here too it goes back to policy, the open border policy. the open border has not just had the effect on national security and our own personal security. the open border is an economic issue. for the last seven issues, what we have been seeing is an increase in jobs for noncitizens, illegal and legal, and a decrease in jobs for american citizens. >> martha: with the quicktime we have left, she has talked a lot about being from the middle class, the first sentence out of her mouth a lot. president trump has been promising a golden age in an american economic future. what do you see winning these voters over tonight? >> i was disappointed listening

to both, disappointed we didn't get into policy enough, let's go back to taxation. we compete internationally. it is not like this is just isolated to the u.s. 28% tax rate to access near the bottom quartile competition. that means capital goes to other places. that is not a good outcome. i would like to chat more about that. the idea of taxing unrealized capital gains is beyond insane. nobody ever discussed that in the last two weeks. i look at that and i have to invest more no matter what happens. idea price controls, that is a bad idea too. we left lives alone and they are very, very dangerous ideas. >> with all due respect, trump hammered away on every single thing you just talked about. he completely opposes the corporate tax -- >> all i remember firing squad -- coat you need to read the story.

>> bret: larry, maria, charles, mr. wonderful, we are going to make some calls. >> martha: the hour is upon us, 8:30 p.m. on the east coast, the fox decision desk cannot predict the former president trump will win arkansas. the state hasn't voted for a democratic presidential candidate since bill clinton. >> bret: as you look at the race to 270, as it ticks, 111 for former president trump, 72 for a vice president harris, that will be on your screen, the ticker on the bottom. we will look at senate races, house races, back with our panel here in studio where i think they are still talking about the economy and that other studio? >> i kind of wish we had missed that. >> talking a lot more substance, absolute breaker, we did not have a good debate, for instance, over economic issues, clearly is the number one issue on people's minds.

>> we didn't really get into policy. i am keeping an eye here on what are called the 9-maga republican voters. the never-trump movement, if that would end up mattering. our voter analysis memos tells us that if she wins, that will be the decisive factor. i'm not quite sure i buy that, but it is interesting. i think that what we have here, the fact that the trump campaign has made such an effort to turn out these voters, that is to say, what we might call unlikely voters, that may be how we plan to make -- how they plan to make up the difference. >> martha: that has been the strategy, right? kellyanne? >> but we have set all night, all week, here is what we know, the two party said a primary season and only one party

participated in end. of the lot of strong men and i think at least one woman in the republican primary, they spent a quarter of a billion dollars to get nine electoral votes. another got 97 electoral votes, they spent over $100 million. i like them all very much, glad they are part of the party. donald trump has expanded this party. good candidates expand their party demographically, geographically. florida, ohio, won twice, don't even talk about them as swing states. a million extra votes in florida potentially to nitpick i have to push back a little bit about, is this -- every time there is a republican of name out there that goes and supports, harris, liz cheney, john kelly, everybody has to cover h, mainstream media, missing the big story, that millions, maybe tens of millions of could be

people come up the rank-and-file people, they are not going to go on msnbc and crow about it, but they are showing up today and showing up early. the fact that he has converted this into the party of the worker and he has told americans, not everybody has to be stuffed into a four-year college degree, the welders, the steelworkers, they have a seat at the table. it is a big deal. she is not winning black men votes, barack obama did not help her bridge this gap in georgia so far. >> bret: that luella will will really tell us something. it is changing, the party is changing, a lot of reagan democrats in this coalition. one of the things to know right now at this hour, we have not called the commonwealth of virginia. it is a lot closer than people thought it would be. the trump campaign did a stop in virginia. they thought it was closing. we are not calling and yet.

>> not yet, my expectation is that, harris will win it, but my understanding is that he ran an unorthodox campaign and that is what i am paying attention to and what has gone on in florida. great for him, feather in his cap. done incredible work to make it a place that many of my friends are happy to be living, but that is -- went donald trump went to a lot of places, having a rally here at madison square garden, going to coachella, spending time in new mexico, when she lost twice. i think that if kamala harris is victorious tonight, there should be examination of why this campaign stops happened and of his time would have been better spent parked in north carolina, georgia, arizona, in one of the blue wall states he has to pick up, pennsylvania for sure speech it we will see how that inefficient vote -- it is a real issue and we will have to

see whether or not it pans out. one of the reasons he went to new york in new mexico where these house races. their house races and all of those places. she did the same thing. >> bret: hold on, we're going to take a quick break, be right back with the panel and dig into a lot of these numbers, major poll closings coming up. at first look at arizona. arizona, michigan, wisconsin. fox news, democracy 2024 marches on. my kingdom does not belong to this world. repay to caesar what belongs to caesar and to god. what belongs to god. jesus, we trust in you. amen. i got this $1,000 camera for

only $41 on dealdash. dealdash.com, online auctions since 2009. this playstation 5 sold for only 50 cents. this ipad pro sold for less than $34. and this nintendo switch, sold for less than $20. i got this kitchenaid stand mixer for only $56. i got this bbq smoker for 26 bucks. and shipping is always free. go to dealdash.com right now and see how much you can save. >> martha: we are back, i'll live look at pennsylvania where alexandria hoff is in newtown tonight. hi, alexandria. >> high matt, good to be with your. in theory, polls have closed,

but that is not the case everywhere, you have a county where a judge ordered that the poll hours must be extended to 10:00 p.m. due to a machine issue earlier in the day. then there is one polling location staying open until 9:30 four similar issues. the dnc also made a legal push to try to keep polls open and northampton county later, that ended up being denied by a judge, that was due to there being very long lines of lehigh university students there and polling issues. once again, if you are in line, still able to cast a ballot. >> bret: let's check in with bill hemmer, virginia, texas, a number of things happening. >> let's get to it. this is georgia, and set this up for a moment here. she is performing slightly better and douglas county, slightly better in this county. a bit of a sticky move here in fulton county, okay?

map that becomes significant because of how many people live there. the problem here is, dekalb county, nothing reported because the poles were suspended. the first time i have seen here, got about 60% of the votes, a lot still remains out there. move away from georgia, plenty of folks live in the washington, d.c., area, 40% of the vote in, the commonwealth, donald trump has gotten and chair. 8,000 raw votes, .4 percentage points. here is the catch. a lot of this map starting to fill in. this year across from washington, d.c., fairfax county, number one out of the counties in virginia on population. at the moment, half of the votes outstanding, say, harris with

67%, making the argument a lot of votes still out there that may determine whether or not the margin statewide hangs where it is right now, or a change is, okay? watch that. you mentioned texas, jump on there, i will tell you what is going on in texas. too soon to call, half the estimated vote is in. trump has got a lead right now. percentage-wise, 5 points. that is kind of what a lot of the pollsters had in texas so far. going to come back to georgia in a moment. pennsylvania, this is critical too. a ton of folks out there, no conclusion. 11%. i would keep an eye on pittsburgh, philadelphia, if we can, do we have a moment here, why don't we go ahead and do -- let's go ahead and do that. lets do the vote margin for pennsylvania and let's see what is happening here. what we have done for you is, we

have tried to set up his state in no way where the more prominent counties are more extended than the others, philadelphia and the east, pittsburgh and allegheny county in the west. the darker the blue, the more democratic the vote is. the darker the red, the more republican to vote as. if you see shades of blue, that means the margin in that county is 10% or less. if you see a shade of red, like a rose -- it is happy hour so mark -- you see a shade of rose -- let's look at the vote margin for georgia. this is interesting, right? let's find out where the outstanding vote for georgia is at the moment. what we want to do here, the deeper the purple, the more outstanding the vote, go to the more populated counties, perhaps like dekalb county, you can look at t dekalb county on the

map met 0%, can't know anything from dekalb. what about fulton? fulton. you see fulton, 70% of that vote is now in. that is certainly one to watch. what about when that? all right, still at 16%. arm up, i'll look at cobb county to the northwest of atlanta, newt gingrich's old district, heavily republican for decades, right now, a little more than 50% of the vote end. kevin, come back to hear a moment. one county i haven't checked in on, when i look at the african american turnout, look at chatham, chatham is where savannah is, you only have 5% of the vote reporting, chatham was one of these counties in 2020 that took forever to get the

vote in. i don't know if it will be the same this year, but we are waiting to see about african american turnout, as we suggested a moment ago, african american men supporting donald trump. the vote margin for georgia right now, let's go statewide. we move away from chatham, we go statewide in georgia. so chatham still at 5%, statewide, 44%. of the lot of vote. clear this and we will get back to this in a moment in georgia and elsewhere. >> bret: that is really interesting about what is coming in. i think these states as these numbers come in, democrats have high hopes about some places like texas, something like ohio where they look at the end seltzer poll from des moines and say, is this indicative of the midwest. we are not saying that nr fox news voter analysis.

>> i haven't checked ohio yet. a good state here to examine, measure his strength right now and 2020, about halfway in, kamala harris doing better on the margins here, about 3 1/2 points statewide, trump has proven to be pretty strong here the last two times around. fix that race here, we will track that throughout the night as well. in ohio, he of cincinnati and hamilton county, columbus in franklin county, the three main population centers, they have been blue for some time. i would not expect them to be even a shade of rose. my hometown, and hamilton county, a strong performance here, about two-thirds of the votes going to kamala harris. the cities where the progressives and the democratic movement has gotten to be pretty

strong, especially in local government in that city. franklin county, ohio state university, strong student vote. in 2020, the final vote in franklin county, columbus, you had 65% of the vote for joe biden there. a little bit of the votes still out there, but she is over performing biden's number from four years ago. i will finish up here. this heavenly democratic vote, just about a third of the vote right now is in here, kamala harris, 71%, biden was at 66%. that would be a good number for kamala harris if that holds up. i think that tells us a little bit about why this number is closer than it has been. >> bret: you want to talk to your coanchor, dana? >> one of the things that i think is interesting, when you are considering their political realignment we are living in and

of the population changes. post covid, people leaving the north and midwest and going south. one of the things that somebody from colorado will say, all these people moved from california, colorado it was reliably read when i was a kid, now reliable blue, so south park making fun of california all the time and being frustrated they moved here. that is not happening in the south. if people are leaving the northeast and moving to florida, they are not all of us and bringing a bunch of democratic politics with them. might be a little bit of a change here to watch and the numbers. the other thing i wanted to say, one of the things i think we are seeing with some of these lower propensity voters or whatever we are telling them, unlikely voters, the policy of the biden-harris administration pushed them into politics and into voting because their situation is dire. they want a better life. so they went to the rallies and they went and had fun and got

involved what will be interesting to see, as i understand it, if you don't vote often or if you are a first-time voter, whichever party you vote for the first time, you are likely to vote for that the second time and you might have that photo for life. the political realignment that is happening and the coalitions that harris and trump are putting together could have longer legs. >> it goes to what kellyanne was saying earlier about the working element of the republican party at shifting. i think when you look at ohio, you are seeing a concentration likely coming from the suburbs, which is leaning more to harris. >> something else quickly. this is the first presidential election since glenn youngkin was elected on the calls of wokeness and education, really post covid policies, the school board elections. i think we are having a parent's rights renaissance in this country that continues. i think two pillars we don't

cover enough are wokeness and weakness, and our fox foods voter analysis, trump is seen as a strong leader. it is also fairness over wokeness. people feel like life is increasingly unfair, they don't want the pipe fitters and promised to pay for student loans of doctors and lawyers and they don't want 10 million people to come here, including in all these states we are seeing and get cash, cell phones, clothing, hotel rooms. they say it is unfair. but wokeness is on the ballot, whether we feel it or not. i'll never understand her, has someone in tim walz who is to the left of her on the woke agenda. >> we talk about early surp surprises, we love when you get a quick touchdown in a game against somebody you are not supposed to beat. if he wins virginia, this is a big thing. similarly, her numbers in ohio

are interesting. you talk about the ann selzer poll, that number suggests, that is what she was suggesting. but georgia and north carolina still, the state that she has got to perform well in. and he can win virginia, we thought we were going to have a long night, we might have a longer night as we think about these numbers here. >> or shorter. >> bret: we have to look at the gender breakdown in these states and where we are, half the vote in, where that vote is coming from, we are going to get that coming up. >> martha: minutes away, bret. we are going to get some major poll closings coming up. arizona, michigan, wisconsin all about to close. and sean hannity will enter our chat as our special coverage continues.

♪ ♪ >> martha: we are getting a lot of new numbers and here. we are about to see a close in arizona, michigan, and wisconsin, all obviously battleground states and hotly contested. those closes are minutes away. let's check in with harris faulkner, who is speaking with voters and hearing their voices. >> harris: and watching everything you are doing, this is voters' voices, i am harris

faulkner. here with me, lee carter. we have a fabulous audience of voters talking with us about the top issues in the race for the white house. most polls show the economy as the voters top issue. now a clip from vice president, harris, the lines on the screen show how voters acted to the comment in real time, the red lines represent republicans, the blue, the great art democratics >> prices are still too high, you know it, i know it. unlike donald trump, who had $400 million served to him on a silver platter, i come from the middle class, and i will never forget where i come from, which is why my common sense than will lower the prices you pay on everything from prescription drugs to groceries to housing. donald trump will raise costs on you and your families. in fact, independent economists

have analyzed our plans and found that mine will cut your costs and strengthen our economy. his will increase inflation and lead to a recession by the middle of next year. >> independents and republicans can find what they wanted. >> independents gave this a d. what i think is interesting but the independent voter, they were turned off when they heard her talk about the middle class. i heard from voters that wanted more specifics on the economy and they said you can find experts to reinforce whatever you want to believe. i would rather hear what you are going to do for me. >> i want to go to alexandria now, republican registered voter, still not sure all the way up until the time you voted, what did you do and why? >> thank you for having me, harris. for me, both candidates had to prove themselves, they had to win my vote.

what really matters is what actually happens and we have to ask ourselves, was it easier to buy groceries under the biden or trump administration. for me i can say personally that i am concerned with the direction the country is headed in. i would say for a vast population of the electorate that the same sentiment is shared. i think we all have to really contextualize all of this information and ask ourselves the actual questions of how we feel. >> who did you vote for? >> don. >> as we watch in real time, we have some races that are coming end, we don't want to miss a minute with bret and martha. we will hear more throughout this evening, so glad to be here

with all of you. bret and martha, back to you. >> martha: we welcome sean hannity to the panel. sean, you are watching this along with us tonight, and you say you have some significant takeaways already? >> i have a lot of takeaways. obviously you guys have gone over the issues and what is important to people and what they have been telling all the pollsters, exit polls, et cetera. i am looking at this from a different perspective. to me, it is a numbers game. i was on with dana and bill hemmer earlier today and made the point going into each day that kamala harris and her team had a numbers problem, and the numbers problem was, they didn't have anywhere near the votes or the percentages of votes that they had in 2020 when it was biden and harris. that is a math problem you have to overcome with unprecedented day-of voting which democrats are not used to doing. i've checked with a lot of people i trust, a lot of people i think have a lot of knowledge.

in individual states, it rains, long conversations with him. he feels the turnout was so massive for republicans in the lead out to today, the democrats did not show up in the numbers that would be needed to overtake that early lead that was built up in the early voting. that is also backed up by mark alpert, done a really good job analyzing the numbers. and trying to get an answer. on other networks, they kept showing temple university and a massive line of students. the only problem was, if you go back to early voting in 2020, the democrats had a 1.1 million vote lead heading into election day. this year, it was about 400,000. 700,000 vote decline in the year. that would mean today they would have needed massive turnout.

they would need massive turnout. the universities, it seems like they got it. but about 25,000 students that go to temple, 10,000, penn state, and 6,000, lehigh university. that is not making up 700,000 votes. we look at traditionally who else's voting in philly? african americans, a lot of union workers. did they show up in the numbers? there are people reporting that it was a massive turnout in philly today. i just got off the phone with the trump war room in philadelphia and they said they don't see it. now, it is either one way or the other. the fact they don't know the answer to that is surprising to me. if those numbers aren't there, that means pennsylvania is a state that is in a state of play big-time tonight. you may not show >> martha: i would mention one other thing about the college students is there has been such a focus on young men and podcast

are the podcast that college boys are listen to. vaughan, rogan and jake paul. just because they are in college doesn't mean this time around they are necessarily voting the way you think college students would. >> bret: we welcome kellyanne and trey gowdy. the interesting thing i mentioned earlier was florida. we already called that state for the former president. inside those numbers there is a massive puerto rican turnout in osceola county and other places. cleanclean>> msg rally upset tho rican vote. he won that with massive puerto rican turnout. i'm not sure it effects things one-on-one but interesting to look at. >> a big puerto rican population. listen to this joe biden won osceola county by 14% with 95% reporting currently donald trump is leading by one. now, what other national lessons can we take from florida?

miami-dade county, a huge latino population, no presidential candidate has won that since 1 # 8. ron desantis won miami-dade as a governor. but currently donald trump, in miami-dade county 95% report something plus 11. >> bret: thank you. electoral vote count about to go up. stay tuned. >> we are seconds away from 15 states, including new york, colorado, texas, plus critical battle grounds. >> we are going to win the state of michigan. arizona, we need to fight this battle on every front. >> with 163 electoral votes on the line. we have the results as they come in. the moment is here. america is watching. [ticking] >> bret: it is 9:00 in new york. another 15 states have jus