population, no presidential candidate has won that since 1 # 8. ron desantis won miami-dade as a governor. but currently donald trump, in miami-dade county 95% report something plus 11. >> bret: thank you. electoral vote count about to go up. stay tuned. >> we are seconds away from 15 states, including new york, colorado, texas, plus critical battle grounds. >> we are going to win the state of michigan. arizona, we need to fight this battle on every front. >> with 163 electoral votes on the line. we have the results as they come in. the moment is here. america is watching. [ticking] >> bret: it is 9:00 in new york. another 15 states have just

finished voting. this is the heat of the matter here. the fox news decision desk says it's too early to call michigan. one of the two battle grounds in the rust belt just finished voting. part of that blue wall that we hear about all the time. >> martha: the others is wisconsin where vice president harris and former president trump appear to be locked in a very tight race and, again, this is too early not too close but too early to call many of these races. arizona also too early to call as the polls are closing there. >> bret: fox news can project former president trump will win texas. that locks 40 more electoral votes into his column. former president also has a lead in iowa. there is no call at the top of the hour here. remember that iowa poll had people scrambling there at the des moines register saying harris lead by 3. >> martha: same day emerson had him up by 10. that got a lot of people's attention an selzer is well-known and usually correct pollster. we will see how iowa plays out.

in nebraska the fox news precision desk will win statewide vote. two electoral votes to the winner of the state and one vote to the presidential winner in each of their districts. trump will also win nebraska's first and third districts. the more suburban district omaha which is the blue dot that we have talked so much about, that is too early to call but harris has a lead there. >> bret: fox news decision desk can project that vice president harris will win new york, giving the vice president 28 more electoral votes. she also has a lead in minnesota, too early to call the state of minnesota, which closed in recent days, according to the polling. >> martha: obviously the vice presidential candidate tim walz from minnesota. and fox news can project a harris victory in colorado as well. she gets 10 more electoral college votes there. new mexico, too early to call but harris has a lead, according to our fox news voter analysis in new mexico. >> bret: former president trump

will lead louisiana which has voted for a republican in every election this century. pretty sure we were going to get that one. trump also wins kansas adding another six electoral votes to his tally. >> the former president will win north dakota, a long time conservative state as well. evidence will also take south dakota, which often mirrors the vote of the neighbor to the north. >> bret: fox news can project that the former president will win wyoming worth three electoral votes. so there you see the tally on your screen 178 electoral votes to 113. that map of the u.s. is slowly filling in. and we will continue to bring that to you throughout the night as we make more calls. >> martha: so moving to the senate and back to the rust belt as well. the fox news decision desk say it is too early to call this race watching between tammy baldwin who is in a close race now with republican banker and entrepreneur eric hovde. >> bret: michigan senate race also too early to call.

g.o.p. congressman mike rogers competing against current democratic house representative elissa slotkin. ruby ban gallego has a lead over republican candidate kari lake also too early to call out there. >> martha: nebraska two senate races on the ballot today. the race between incumbent deb fischer and independent dan osborn is too close to call and too early to call i should say according to our decision desk. fox news can project that republican pete ricketts will continue to serve as a nebraska senator. >> in texas, two term senator ted cruz is locked in a close race against current democratic congressman collin allred, too early to call that race according to the decision desk. they can project that minnesota's democratic senator amy klobuchar will sale to a fourth term. >> martha: kristin gillibrand will win another term in the empire state. and democrats will hold their seat in new mexico where senator

martin heinrich defeats republican mella deghen economy. >> kevin kramer will easily win a second term and in wyoming john barrasso will win re-election as he serves as the chair of the senate republican conference. >> take a look at how the senate is stacking up at this hour, 9:04 on the east coast and we have 46 west virginia waiting for other states that are on the bubble and close and early at this point in the night. 37 democrats are hanging on to their seats in the united states senate. >> bret: i think this is like where everything starts to gel and we start to get go to bill at the billboard. harold, i'm sorry, texas went to the republicans. >> harold: no, no. i just think the numbers. i'm only looking at some of the popular votes numbers and looking with minority. >> bret: i'm just joking with

you. >> harold: go blue. >> bill: go blue? we will be in a ohio one second. i want to show you this, this is really going to be your target right now. fulton county, heavily populated, in a ton of votes there. okay. hasn't really moved. so the estimated number of votes still out is about 30%. kamala harris hanging in there. she has got to win the county, okay. of the question is the margin. the question is whether or not trump is going african-american male vote we are talking about. i want to come up to north carolina. i will show you a county, okay. this is rural and it's also african-american. 47% african-american. it's a small county here. it's called anson. trump is winning. okay? what's that mean? okay. this is biden four years ago by four points, okay? trump right now flipping that county that is there -- is there a minority vote out there that is henning to buoy his campaign?

it's something we got to consider. another thing i want to point out just while i got you here okay, guys? this is the part of the state that was racked by that hurricane, all right? this is trump territory. all right? 61% can -- 68%. 81%. come in here for a little bit. this is asheville. you expect this to go blue. indeed it has right now. about two thirds of the vote. no, sorry, 60% of the vote in she has got two thirds of the vote right now. these counties here u. just wonder if there is an effect here. 53, this is transylvania. i was checking this out a short time ago. this is rutherford, 72. a lot of that vote is still out there. why am i showing you this? because your comparison for percentage is that you expect trump to do well out here, 72, henderson 58. haywood, 62.

so we're going to see through the night whether or not that storm damage had an effect on the vote turnout in north carolina. just keep that in mind as we move through the night. also, just poking through here in ohio. we saw this a moment ago based on the percentage spread it. seems like trump is upping his number. i made the point that he won the state by 8 points in 2016. 8 points in 2020. he was trailing there the last time we checked out the buckeye state. but, right now, the number has improved tremendously for trump. so he is starting to track a little more toward that 8 points. and you were making the observation earlier about the iowa poll from over the weekend and do folks in ohio vote like the folks in iowa. ann selzer's boy "the des moines register" had harris win by 3 points, a lot of people dismiss that if you are going to draw that comparison with ohio, i think right now you can say that maybe -- maybe iowa is not going to go that way. we will see throughout the course of the night there.

>> bret: i think we should get a cut from the des moines register. we have mentioned her like five times this evening. >> martha: than maybe a good idea. >> bill: just because i popped it up. you are right about that. a little back cheese. michigan. 10% in. all right? look at this. robert kennedy going to make a difference in michigan? he is on the ballot, they tried to get him off the ballot. the court said no, you got to be on the ballot. he is drawing 2455 raw votes. if michigan is that close, just something we are going to have to watch throughout the night to see whether or not this is some sort of spoiler for the red team and whether or not it helps out team blue in michigan so far. that's for you by the way. >> bret: interact with the panel here. trey gowdy is here. what about that point r.f.k. jr. tries first of all the democrats try to prevent him from getting on the ballot. and then the democrats try to prevent him from getting off the ballot. he is on the ballot in michigan

and wisconsin, also minnesota. but, michigan and wisconsin, obviously, if it comes down to really tight, that could make a difference. >> trey: why would anyone vote for someone who doesn't want to be president and asked you not to. who are these .4% who is voting for someone who begged you not to vote for someone. if you want to see him in washington don't vote for him. reminds me of jill stein. jill stein cost hillary clinton a state. i know that ross perot cost bush a presidential election. i was in the green room, bret, doing what i did in high school, which is finding the two smartest kids in the class and sitting in between them and looking on their papers. that's mccarthy and rove. there may be a 269 tie. i know nobody wants to hear that but there is a scenario under which there will be a topic for

discussion. >> bret: sean, do you want to move on? >> sean: i will move on from that. i would accept that that would end up in the house of representatives and i would say republican odds at that point would be pretty good. >> trey: it is a very functional house but i think they could coalesce around that, yes. >> sean: i think they would. >> bret: what are you looking at, brit? >> brit: 8 years ago you may remember it was a while before we sensed that the trump upset was happening. and one of the earliest indicators we got was from the betting odds, which that was a further point on the panel that night by the time you got to me, about everything smart had been said. [laughter] so i started talking about the betting odds. i have followed them ever since. tonight, as we started this broadcast. trump stood at 58% chance betting odds winning the elections. as i read this off the screen 69.2%. whoever is doing the betting out there and effecting these odds is increasingly of the view that he will win the election. >> martha: how much does it

impact it that it's the first year that you are seeing some of these betting markets in the united states? because a lot of people playing them probably -- >> brit: these odds composed by maxim lot and john stossel. predicted polymarket. >> martha: basket? >> brit: it's a basket. it's an average. >> bret: dana, what are you looking at? >> dana: on x watching democrats complain about the electoral college. and about a week ago, there was some conventional wisdom that she could actually win the electoral college but that trump would win the popular vote, and then there would be no complaints about the electoral college from them if that were to happen. obviously too soon to call. i'm watching that to see what they are going to say. i have been wondering about kamala harris and this whole decision of biden to run again, when she knew that he was incapable but they were still asking their donors give us all

your money. he's okay for four more years. and obviously he wasn't. but then that did not leave her enough time, apparently, that's another complaint that they have for her to introduce herself even though they had 100 billion to do it. i think we went for, i don't know, 40 days or something with no press conference and it took a really long time for her to finally sit down with bret and have a substantive interview. there was time. >> harold: sure, again we are acting like this thing is over. >> martha: no we're not. i'm just playing off of dana's point. harold harold after the debate she performed so well against trump she asked for another debate. i thought that the interview that bret did with her was a substantive interview as we have seen with her throughout the last several years. you would thought that she did well there she would want to go and do more of them. >> brit: more interviews after the one with brett? >> brit: she booted the question when he first knew he wasn't

himself? >> harold: i have a slightly different opinion. she gave that interview. i thought if i were her i would have gotten out and did more. >> martha: she was so cautious. >> brit: predebate answer biden is great. i have seen him. >> harold: i have done it differently than her. >> brit: i'm sure you would have. >> harold: she put herself to be in a 50/50. listenerring to the two smart guys in the green room 269, 269. must have done something right. i still look at michigan and pennsylvania and wisconsin. since 1980, those three states have not gone all together other than 1988. dukakis got wisconsin and hw won the other two. if the numbers are tracking right and continuing along the lines of finding ourselves in a position about having a congress. they don't be curious, sean, if the democrats won the house how does that play into it. i hope we don't get there i don't want this fight. >> dana: the house does the

senate and senate vice president. president trump and vice president harris. [laughter] >> they vote after the election. >> bret: only one vote per delegates. we will cross that when we get. >> martha: getting ahead of ourselves. >> bret: how it tracks with the raw vote and what we are seeing. >> sandra: just feeding your conversation there martha. you were asking about the suburban vote and what we are seeing with fox news analysis. interesting findings i will put up here for you. as far as the suburban voters are concerned this is what we are seeing in pennsylvania, okay? suburban voters, kamala harris right now has the lead, okay? but this is about a 6 point difference. and if you were to put this in perspective about what we saw in 2020, biden was leading with this group, suburban voters in pennsylvania by 10 percentage points. this is a 6 point margin by which she is leading. she is not leading with the suburban voter in pennsylvania by the same margin as joe biden

in 2020. if i were to break that out by gender, this is also telling another story suburban women. martha, you were asking about this. this is what we are seeing in pennsylvania. obviously they have been courting those voters on the ground there. this is almost identical, the margin that she is leading by joe biden led by this over donald trump in 2020. so, not a lot of movement there. we also talked about the story that was developing with the black voters down in georgia. i can also report to you bret and martha right now that he, donald trump, is leading by more with the black voter in pennsylvania than he was in 2020. back to you guys. >> bret: big numbers. got a calling to make. ♪ par march fox news can now project that donald trump will win the state of ohio. 54.2% to 45%. so, obviously that was what was anticipated in the early polling. he was ahead by about 8 points. this is a 9-point stretch so a little bit higher than the most

recent polling we're showing in the state of ohio but a solid win for him in what used to be swing state but hasn't been for quite some time. >> bret: obviously, there is 54% of the vote in. but as you look at the electoral college, 195 to 113. again, ohio used to be the swingiest of swing states. no longer. very republican. much like florida. and now it ticks on. obviously we are looking at these battleground states. one of them, sean hannity, it seems is virginia. you just got a message from the governor. >> sean: i have been communicating with governor youngkin, the last text at one point i said so it's not in reach? he just said hold on. really tight. exact quote from glenn youngkin. here's what is interesting. all night i have been looking for an answer to the question about turnout in phil and the suburbs of philly. we talked earlier about the university population. that's one part of the population.

but the vote lead was 700,000 below what they were in 2020. so that is a lot of ground to make up. from the trump campaign, now, take it this is what they are saying, they believe this is going to be a tortoise-hare kind of night for them in pennsylvania inasmuch as they don't even think harris got 200,000 of the 700 that she needs to make up. those are the numbers that they are saying. now, if that is true, that would mean african-american turnout did not appear to the number and degree that they wanted. and secondarily, any of the voted they thought the union vote e workers, are not going her way either in pennsylvania an. antidotal that's their side. >> martha: if you are joe biden at the white house right now sitting home i'm scranton joe. i have this great relationship with the unions all these years. and if she does end up and we just want to continue to caution that we are waiting for a lot of data to come in here. is he shaking his head and

saying i could have won. >> sean: they are analyzing this data like we are all are. that's their take on it. i'm sure the harris campaign for the better part of the night hearing from either reporters or democrats, believe it or not, i have a few of those friends and i was hearing from them oh, huge turnout in philly, huge turnout in philly, i said tell me where is the turnout? could never get an answer. >> martha: right. >> sean: finally now the answer is beginning to come in. that would be the trump war room. that would be the mar-a-lago crowd. their degree of confidence is going up minute by mind. take that for what it is worth. >> i was in with harris folks, democrats, they haven't had anything in a while. are you hearing anything. >> harold: my communication was yours. i think these numbers are concerning. the numbers that sandra is raising on the other side there combined with what you just said, sean, is room for concern in both virginia and

pennsylvania. so i have not heard anything, either. >> bret: okay. the polls are closed in battleground wisconsin. we are going to check in there on the ground with senior correspondent mike tobin in milwaukee learning about issues with more than a dozen tabulation machines. what's that about, mike? >> mike: more than a dozen tab place machines and 31,000 ballots. as a result the city put on all call for volunteers. firefighters, healthcare workers and it workers showing up here to help with the retabulation of those 31,000 blts. the heart of the problem ascii show you as we zoom in over my shoulder, 13 of these tabulation machines here at central count. look close there are stickers on the back of the machine. those act as the seal. the seals were in place, according to city officials and election mission officials but there is a locking mechanism there as well. a republican observer noted that the locking mesmsz are not been

engaged first one machine and some of the machines and then all 13 machines. 31,000 ballots in question. the city says they believe the integrity of those votes was never compromised. still out of 107,000 ballots, those now need to be retabulated, some 43,000 ballots have been counted here. as of this point. but they have got these additional volunteers to try to speed up the process. we expected to get final numbers somewhere around 1:00 or 2:00 a.m. the city only now says it is going to be later than that the city wants to past this off as an abundance of caution or very cautious move. republicans are upset about it. the rnc chairs, michael whatley laura trump called this unacceptable example of incompetence. wink officials are here to trier get some questions answered. bret and martha? >> martha: long night in milwaukee. decision desk can predict that vice president harris will win delaware, the home state of president biden and there is the

look at the race to 270, that makes it trump 195, harris 113 at this hour. and we have another call to makes a well. >> bret: in a key governor's race fox news can project republican kelly ayotte will become the next governor of new hampshire. she defeats joyce gregg and that was a close race for a while. kelly ayotte will win there here are a couple other results we are getting as democracy 24 coverage continues. it will be on the screen all night long. ♪ ♪ the next president of the united states is...

lord, to you we entrust our communities, our leaders, our president, our country. we give it all up to you. jesus, we trust in you. amen.

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>> martha: fox news decision desk projects ted cruz will have a third term and he has defeated democratic congressman former nfl player collin allred. there was some movement in this race. it tightened a little bit and there was some discussion that maybe ted cruz might lose his seat but he has handily defeated collin allred. >> bret: democrats poured a ton of money in that race. he was a good candidate. >> martha: good debater.

>> bret: he was a really good democratic candidate. as you look at the balance of power 47 to 37. west virginia has already flipped. majority 51. looking at states ohio sherrod brown race, montana the jon tester race as a possible flip in the u.s. senate. brooke taylor is at the cruz campaign headquarters in houston. check in with brooke. good evening. >> brooke: good evening. i could tell you some behind the scenes info right now. we have fox news playing on both screens right now. the screen the crowd right now going wild because we just threw up the race and we have cruz, again, with that strong lead. so, everyone here is very excited but i could tell you from talking to the cruise campaign th --crust gain that tn taking this race extremely seriously. think of texas deep red stated, a democrat has not won an election here in 30 years. [cheers and applause] so since 1994 democrats have

seen a possibility to switch the seat. we saw it with beto o'rourke. cruz won by just 3 points. cruz's campaign hoping to have a real win here. they are not going to make that mistake. they are going to take this extremely seriously. but, again, the crowd here going wild. they are very excited about this. i will toss it back to you guys. >> bret: okay. brooke taylor, thanks so much. >> martha: let's bring in pete hegseth who is at the honky tonk in nashville. >> bret: of course he is. >> martha: where else would we find you, pete. >> pete: we got to wrap real quick. >> martha: you are on. >> bret: should we get pete a drink? >> pete: stand by we are coordinating with the mother ship. >> martha: we are the mother ship calling pete hegseth at the honky tonk in nashville. pretty. >> pete: i can hear you i'm sorry, bret and martha. we are at kid rock's honky tonk in nashville.

i can't hear a thing. i can't hear myself think. and the crowd here is psyched because you are now on the tvs here in the bar as well. [cheers and applause] >> pete: i'm here with clay travis, morgan ortagus and tomi lahren. we just had kid rock himself. while you are at home watching the returns on fox and everybody is watching, you guys, you are doing phenomenal job. pull up fox nation on second stream and have a party with us. >> the vibes here on the ground. we are talking to voters today, too. this feels a lot like the 2016 vibes as we see the results coming in. [cheers and applause] >> pete: you can tell the crowd here pretty psyched. [chanting u.s.a.] >> pete: what you guys are doing. is reflective of what is happening in this election could be a very good night for donald trump. i can't hear you but i love you. [chanting u.s.a.] >> martha: all right, pete. thank you so much. sounds like they are having a pretty good time there. >> bret: they are. harold ford jr., kayleigh

mcenany, sean hannity, and trey gowdy. bill hemmer went behind the billboard and i was going to call him out. >> martha: like the wizard of oz. >> bret: look at perry county. >> bill: one thing to keep in mind here you have to remember how they count the votes. they start processing at 7:00 a.m. this morning. all that is mail-in stuff, too. and that's the vote that's put out first. i want to do something funky and fancy here, guys. so just bear with me. because i'm going to try to find pennsylvania in 2020, okay? this is important. it's important for us to understand. it's important for our analysts to know. understand it's important for the audience to understand at home. this is four years ago in pennsylvania. okay? this is just a 24-hour span on november 3rd into november 4th from 8:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. the

following day. and the vote count that came in here, right, heavily blue. well over 70%. and then around 11:00 p.m., you get across the line and that's where the republican votes started coming in for trump. then you went well past midnight and trump maintained his margin for almost the entire day on wednesday. and then if you went further off this map you see where eventually the bars there crossed the other way for joe biden. okay. so, with that in mind, okay. we're going to show you pennsylvania. and we will try and digest all of this together now. i haven't looked here in some time. you only have a quarter of the vote in now, okay? at least 75% is still out. you have see a lot of blue in the areas where kamala harris needs to do well. namely pittsburgh, allegheny county, and namely philadelphia and what they call the collard counties around philadelphia. the argument is there is a strong democratic vote in that

batch that's now been counted, okay? there is go counties in pennsylvania that you watch because they are bellwethers and flippers do, okay? one is erie along the border with new jersey -- excuse me one is erie lake erie. north hampton here in the east. north hampton one of these counties that flipped last time around. kamala harris with a lead with 27% of the vote reporting there in north hampton. the other is erie i mentioned a moment ago. this is up on the lake front here. i don't know why we are getting zero percent in because there is some of this vote that may lend itself to some of the confusion with the early vote that being tabulated from the mail. i don't know. i can't vouch for that i'm not sure what is going on there. we will watch that less than half percent. like 0.5% of the votes being tabulated that's why we can't get the 1% in erie county. in all like lie hoods you will see the t start to form here and t all red. we will see what happens on both sides of the state.

they are going to be blue. the question is how blue will they be? so we will watch that here. you guys had mentioned virginia, we will just pop on counsel here to here. seems like a good race. trump has just under his margin. 2 point lead statewide. too soon to call i should say with more than half of the voted. in here is where you need to look. all right? this is washington, d.c. this is fairfax county. number one populated county in all of 133. there is 40% of the vote that has not yet been tabulated into this. okay? >> bret: biden, sorry to interrupt. where was it for biden? go ahead. >> bill: yeah, i sure will. a lot of that 40% outstanding is going to go for harris. we don't know how much in the most populated county. go back four years, this is 2020, this is joe biden at 70%. okay. so, kamala harris -- she has time to make up for that, given the fact that that vote is still

out, and i would say just looking at georgia a moment ago, fulton county looks to be somewhat similar. the reason is -- i'm going to explain this to you, okay? fulton county is the most populated county in the state of georgia. there are going to be a lot of democratic votes. she up by 46 points. pretty good margin by 202,000 raw votes, okay? four years ago joe biden won the county with 242. his margin on the percentage base was a bit higher. 242,000 in a state four years ago, sorry, excuse me, i apologize. let's go statewide here. in a state that was determined by 11,779. let me go to the cheat sheet here. do something that's a little ugly. but for the sake of the audience at home, and for our knowledge, too, this was georgia in 2020. wow!

look at this. okay. again, we have taken a 24-hour period from four years ago. blue with the democratic vote. red is the republican vote. and you see all this, you know, at 7:00, boy, it was all over the place. okay? and then in the 8:00 hour, trump easily took a lead there and then the margin started to close overnight around 3:00 a.m. the lines moved and they moved and they moved for several days until finally we reach that margin of 12,000 votes separating biden from trump in the peach state. >> bret: the difference would be that was the covid election and that was a lot of mail-in vote and that was not the same early vote for republicans, right? >> bill: i would argue you are about right about that in georgia. the important thing to keep in mind how states report it. pennsylvania is a really good example here. you will get a heavy blue, some would argue mirage in the beginning and we will see whether or not that mirage is real throughout the night and maybe into tomorrow.

>> brit: bill, broadly speaking is she under performing biden nearly everywhere? >> bill: great question. this is antidotal. i will answer the westth s best way confidential informant i can find some good news for her a point here and there can i find a lot of good news for him a point here and there. it seems where the area where she is gaining the most is where the votes are. and the areas where he is gaining the most is the area that he targeted and that's the rural area. whether or not can you extrapolate that over places like hall county, 72%, right? banks county, 89%. now, the problem for him is that that is 94 out of 159. but i can move along the northern border of georgia. and, you know, it's just

dominating 81. >> brit: how does that compare to 2020. >> show you here next here. it's 86. same counties in reverse 81 brts. >> brit: what is it now? >> bill: 82. this is fan none county. 14,000 votes in that county alone. certainly add up. to answer that question, brit, four years ago fan none counties is 82 this year 80. still 25% of the vote still out. that rural county. >> bret: we will make a quick call and come back to the board and panel. the fox news decision desk can now project that vice president harris will win the state of new hampshire. former president trump came closer than many expected there but the vice president did well in cities and suburban areas.

there was a time that new hampshire they thought was closing, actually. and we saw that kelly ayotte wins in the governor's race there. but now we're going that for vice president harris. >> martha: former senator popular in the state but not enough to really turn new hampshire red in this situation. so the maryland senate race we have for you next. the democrat angela alsobrooks will defeat larry hogan. he never really was able to move past her. it was obviously a difficult race for the former governor as he tried to become a senator. >> bret: that sticks as far as the u.s. senate goes. we are still on track. there is a one pickup for republicans and again they are looking to ohio and west virginia. maybe a couple of other races. still waiting on michigan and obviously pennsylvania about where that goes. >> martha: montana isn't closed yet. obviously a very hopeful pickup for republicans with tim sheehy.

>> bret: what are you looking at? what do you feel? >> kayleigh: the map is early but seems to be breaking more like 2016 than 2020. we will see. when you look at the suburbs, the kamala harris team was making much of the fact that early on we saw the suburbs of indianapolis. donald trump under performing. they have point to fayette county in georgia. then we get our fox news voter analysis. you see in pennsylvania that kamala is not hitting the suburban marks that joe biden did. you look at hillsborough county, florida. tampa, almost urban if you will. hemmer won by 7. biden won by 7. at this hour you have donald trump leading by 3 in hillsborough county. let me tell you this. this should have been discussed hasn't been discussed but might have bigger impolice officer occasions for the republican party. that is the fact that the republican party has lost every pro-life ballot initiative post dobbs until tonight in florida.

the you had a governor desantis who owned the issue who talked about the issue. out on the airways i'm told by sources familiar with the initiatives across the country hopeful in nebraska. why? rickets lean into the issue. that might be lesson instructive moving forward. you have to speak on this issue because hiding from it thus far has not worked. >> bret: let's say, this trey, both of these candidates at this hour still have a path to 270. wide open. there is a number of ways to go. who would you rather be right now? >> trey: i would probably rather be him because she is under perform wearing biden was in states that are very close. i'm also watching the senate, because, what does it profit a person to win the presidency if you don't have the senate to get your cabinet. nebraska is interesting it me. who is he going to caucus with the independents win i don't think he will, who will he caucus with. if donald trump wins the

presidency, you have to get around lisa murkowski and susan collins to get your desired cabinet. and if you are kamala harris and win the presidency, you ain't getting your desired cabinet if you have a republican senate. >> bret: sean? >> sean: i'm going to make a prediction. go out on a little bit of a limb here. i am growing more and more confident as i sit here and listen to everybody and i'm talking to people that know their states as well as anybody. i think the finest numbers, finest sources i don't think it will be very long until you call north carolina for donald trump. i think georgia will will immediately will follow thereafter. then, we're -- we would be at a point i also believe arizona is baked in. immigration was a big issue out there. that now means that would bring us to a point in this race, if i am right, if i'm wrong, everybody call me out. hannity was wrong, we will have t-shirts. i will sell them on donald trump.com.

okay. but, if that's true. that means she would have to sweep the blue wall. and based on the information that we have in the early voting success of the republicans in both wisconsin and pennsylvania, i don't think she can do it. >> bret: so, with that prediction, we're going to take a quick break. the race to 270 continues. we will get our first look at the nevada. special coverage continues after this. ♪ ♪

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experience how great splenda stevia can be. grown on our farm, enjoyed at your table. (♪♪) 1bsz. >> martha: 9:43 east coast. take you through key states. nothing that has happened so far is shocking at this point most of it watching virginia and waiting for north carolina. but some of this has laid out in a way that is not unpredictable. but let's look at pennsylvania for a moment here and see how pennsylvania is shaping up at this hour. and you see you have got a 47 to 52 percentage and i'm trying to see the percentage that is in right now in pennsylvania. >> bret: 32. >> martha: 32%, thank you. we are waiting for a lot more vote to come in pennsylvania. and what we are hearing it is not surprising the order that the vote has been coming n pennsylvania is not surprising

to the red team, at least at this point. there is wisconsin. 47.9 to 50%. and wisconsin has 23% of the vote in. also expected to be a tight race. they have both spent a ton of time there here is michigan, which we haven't talked too much about yet. we will get bill to show us on the board what michigan looks like 14%. a lot of votes still to come n michigan. obviously this is too close to call. and that is 45 to 42. let's go to grady trimble who is just outside of detroit, michigan and start to get a feel for what is going on in this part of the blue wall, hi, grady. >> hi, martha. we are expecting update from the top election official shortly. what we know from her updates throughout the day so far is that turnout on election day has been very strong here in the wolverine state. and when combined with early voting, it's quite possible that it sets a new record. the previous record set in the last presidential election in 2020. and like most of the battleground states.

this is going to be a story of rural turnout vs. urban turnout. but there is an interesting story line playing out in the detroit suburbs. particularly in the dearborn area, in the arab american community. the trump campaign has really been targeting that community, trying to gets them to either vote for former president trump but they don't actually need that. in some cases we have talked to arab americans casting their ballots for green party candidate jill stein. somebody you probably haven't heard mentioned much but who could be a spoiler candidate. we also know that many arab americans are going to sit out this election entirely, which could tip the scales in favor of former president trump. we're also watching the senate race here, mike rogers, the republican candidate spoke to the crowd. he says it's going to be a nail-biter and probably a very late night. bret, martha, back to you. >> martha: thank you very much. >> bret: thank you. some democrats saying north carolina is on the edge. i don't think they are fully agreeing with sean and they

still may make t-shirts. [laughter] >> sean: i'm not only saying north carolina i'm saying north carolina and georgia will go donald trump tonight. i'm as confident in that prediction as any i have ever made. >> bret: okay, bill hemmer tracking that. are we backing that up on the wall? >> bill: sean, if in the right you are right about that here in north carolina, i showed you this county last hour. right? this is anson county? up to 47% african-american black population. you know, sometimes in niece elections where you see an outcome you are like that hasn't happened in 100 years. well, something just happened for the first time since 1876 in north carolina republican won this county second time since the 1870s. something to stick in the back of your head and think about well, that was a data point along the way. you mentioned the blue wall. moving toward the central time zone. talking about wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania. show you a lot of stuff right now. this is antidotal stuff.

just the data points that i'm seeing on the map. when you go to wisconsin, all right, you have to look at dain counties. universities of wisconsin. in the midterms they had more than 85% voter turnout. in one county. okay? you're going to get a ton of democratic votes out of here, okay? about halfway into it right now and you see the margin. i was poking through this and looking at milwaukee. this is a lot of votes out there. only 25% coming in right now. kamala harris has almost 66%. so this is where joe biden finished same county, same city four years ago. he was almost at 70%. right now she is under performing in milwaukee. so, we have to ask yourself, you know that, little pattern you saw back there in that rural county in north carolina, is it repeating itself in some of these bigger cities? is detroit -- right now detroit, wayne county is red. we don't expect it to stay that way. that's one of the things you look at as well washtenaw

county. nawsh, university of michigan. you expect to get a good number here. another county to watch as well. let's flip over here and just complete the blue wall. because this is where we are right now in pennsylvania. remember we showed you how the male vote. heavily democratic is put out first. we still think we are seeing a lot of that right now in this composition. look at the vote difference in pennsylvania. gone back to the year 2,000. okay? you have six presidential races to look at. for so long, this was not even about a battleground. it was heavily democratic. when you think about what barack obama did in 2008, look at that, that's 10 points. it's off the map. romney was able to cut it in half and so the state came back a little bit toward the republican party and it really wasn't until 2016 when donald trump won the state by just less than a point. let's look at the vote difference now for michigan.

very similar, maybe not as extended, okay? some would argue more democratic in michigan. that was the difference in 2016 for trump. 0.2 percentage points. you see where obama was. that was not contested. look at the vote difference in wisconsin. very similar. blue but not nearly as extreme. in fact, if you take out the obama years in 2008 and 2012, you find wisconsin is -- i find, guys, this to the swingiest state you find out there, right? back in 2000, when we were looking in florida, look at what happened in wisconsin, four years later john kerry, look what happened. you see donald trump in 2016, it's just by a nose he was able to win. and then when it went back to biden in 2020, again, it was super tight, okay? all those races, four out of six over the past 20 years have been decided by less than a point.

and it might well be the case again tonight in the land of cheese heads. go ahead and clear this right now. okay? >> bret: bill, can we go to wisconsin? >> bill: we sure can. >> bret: go ahead. >> bill: see how this is shaping up. i mentioned dain a moment ago and mentioned milwaukee. sean duffy, one of our colleagues, former congressman for the state of wisconsin. when he ran for congress, all this area here was blue. and when he went to washington, it all flipped. it all became red and it stayed that way. it's been a source of political strength and power for donald trump we will see whether or not that remains the case right now. all right? just so you know, we are just about the 30% mark in wisconsin and kamala harris has a slight lead there by about 3 points. this is where it ended as i showed you out there on the map. right? 20682 raw votes 30 years ago. if i were to come to 2024, what

am i looking at? i'm looking at dain,. >> bret: sock and kenosha. >> bill: sock is interesting. you start to see population growth. and trump has a lead here and again this is kennedy. popped up in michigan and pop in wisconsin all night long. trump has a lead here. let's just go ahead and see. half of the vote in here in wisconsin this is where it finished. i find that interesting. >> bret: what about kenosha? >> let's find kenosha. >> bret: this is the swingiest state. i spent time there two recall elections governor scott walker. >> bill: extraordinary. we don't think about it that way but it's true. this is kenosha. you asked for it. you got it. got about half of the vote in. trump is just shy of 58%. okay. so he is over-performing now in kenosha as well. can i keep going if you want. call it out ms. walkie.

>> the wow counties here have been solid republican forever. not during the trump years. they got softer and softer. they are -- buy sauky just west of milwaukee -- i'm sorry, walk asha, excuse me, and then you get into washington and then you get over into the lake owe psaki here let's see what we are doing. comparison point in 2020. a little bit under right now in suburban county pop on over here to milwaukee and see what we are doing. 70% is impressive percentage. four years ago what did he do? a little bit better right there in washington county. and then we will move over here. this is the most populated of the three. waukesha west of milwaukee. just shy of 60% raw vote shy of 40,000. from four years ago. okay. all right. so, he ended up with 55,000 net.

so either has some space to make up that's something to watch the wow counties there in milwaukee. favorite county in all of wisconsin. maybe favorite county right here. do you know what that is? that's obrador county. why do we talk about door county. you don't want to thereby in the winter. half the vote in. trump has edge here. four years ago, you see what happened here. biden won it. go back to 2024 watch the map go into play here. this is a flipper county in wink. the shade of blue shows you how close it was. we will keep an eye on it because sometimes those are the bellwethers statewide and we will see whether that develops there in wisconsin.

>> bret: all right. >> martha: thank you, bill. >> bret: wisconsin to you. >> martha: trip to wisconsin door county, great lakes, and obviously this is going to be an area that is going to probably tell the story of this election that in the sun belt, of course, we are getting close to 10:00. right around the corner. that is when we will get poll closings in utah, montana and nevada. this is our special coverage kicks into high gear and the electoral count continues to load in. 195 for trump, 117 for vice president harris. ♪ like your workplace benefits and retirement savings. presentation looks great. thanks! thanks! voya provides tools that help you make the right investment and benefit choices so you can reach today's financial goals. that one! and look forward, to a more confident future. that is one dynamic duo.

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♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> bret: election night unfolding before our eyes. we've got a lot happening, as you take a look at the big board on the scorecard. right now the electoral vote count stands at former president trump 195, to vice president harris at 117. >> martha: we are still waiting obviously for georgia to fill in and north carolina to fill in, but there's a lot of discussion about that outstanding vote and whether or not it will meet the level that vice president harris would have to meet. we've been talking about philadelphia county.

she would have to clear 700,000 votes in order to -- all right. let's go to jeff paul from the headquarters of republican senate candidate sam brown. what's going on there? >> we will be there in a little bit when it starts, for right now we are outside maybe one of the biggest and most extensive polling centers in the country. this is allegiant stadium, home of the las vegas raiders. to you folks at home, people are still showing appear to cast their ballot. we are a minute away from the polls closing, and under nevada law, if you're in line by 7:00, you have the right to vote. we are hearing about some instances where there are some pretty long line throughout the state. also keep in mind that they will not release any results anywhere in the state of nevada until the last person in the state votes, so we could be looking at a very long night ahead of us here in the state of nevada. martha?

>> bret: jeff paul, thank you so much. we are waiting now for these calls at 10:00 and we are looking at basically a scenario where the democrats are putting all their hope in the blue wall. the question is, what happens when we make a call in north carolina and georgia? i believe sean hannity is coming soon. we will see if it does. it's time to see how many more electoral votes will fall as we get ready for our next calls. >> martha: stay tuned. >> announcer: we are seconds away from three states, including montana, utah, plus the critical battleground. >> together we will fight to win nevada. >> nevada, we fight for the future. >> announcer: with 16 electoral votes on the line, we have the results as they come in. the moment is here. america is watching. ♪ ♪ >> martha: it is now 10:00 p.