the factor. remember the spin stops here because we are looking out for you.

>> polls in that state closed over 60 minutes ago and as you can see, the race remains too close to call. as of now, o'donnell is leading castle 55% to 45% with 47% of the precincts reporting. other than joe biden, mike kas jell perhaps the most recognizable political name in

delaware, has been the state's governor served since 193. now, his political future is in jeopardy thanks to christine o'donnell. she has the support of sara palin, mark levin and her victory in delaware would be another example the tea party movement is on the rides. we'll bring you more as night continues. we have the young guns of the republican party here with analysis. but first, legality me bring in the host of fox business network, the one and only stewart barney and dana parino. look at that lead. 47% of the vote in. a week ago, i don't think any of us would have said would it be that big of a lead. >> possibly not. i think there has been surprise as cross the country as each primary has closed. last two weeks ago we had a surprise in alaska.

joe miller won. so then, it's happening across the count skpri probably will in november. >> and joe miller, sharon eveningel there. is a battle within the establishment republican supporting arlen specter and charlie crist. rank and file conservatives are saying they're not conservative enough for us. >> the "new york times" says there has been an upstart for tea party people. they can't win. only establishment republican candidates with win. come election in november. let's not buy that line that, is a distraction ask that is plain wrong. today in the senate, we passed another $30 billion stimulus program with support two of republicans. we need a change of direction and new blood so this kind of thing does not happen again. >> i got resentment in this race and got involved because treatment of republicans towards conservatives was

atrocious in this race going after her personally on issues i won't expect nancy pelosi to be that harsh. and here we have mike castle voted for tarp, for cap and tax. an f rating by nra. he's not pro-life. he said he won't repeal health care. >> why does we buy the line mike castle can win in november and christine o'donnell cannot win? why do we buy that line? >> sean: this is a data question. >> i don't think, one of the reasons they're called splishment candidates is because they're established. i'm for whatever the best candidate that can win. i don'to christine o'donnell. i have known mike cattle many years. there are 10 conservative democrats that don't want cap and tax. >> sean: wait a minute. wait a minute. >> with him representing

republicans in his state. >> sean: wait a minute. he was one of eight republicans to vote for cap and tax. now, we don't know, probably know this hour what happened in this race. and this could be, you know, what do you say after joe miller and the establishment supporting arlen specter and why would you not support marco rubio? why would you support charlie crist over marco rubio? >> in florida you saw marco rubio was up 16 points over charlie crist. i think there is something that is a generational shift. but i'm not against every establishment republican just because they're established. >> group, these upstarts who got the fire in the belly. these are the people who have inspired election autos are they the best people to represent the zpait to win in november? because i do think... >> why do you assume they

won't win? >> i don't assume, well, you know, i've been around the block a few times. >> you haven't been. >> i look at some of the. >> sean: joe, i'm not going there. >> i think some of the races will be tougher than people think they're going to be. and if republicans are serious to unseat hairy reid they have to be smart about the candidate. >> sean: are you saying we've got to compromise values? >> no. no. >> sean: wait a minute. compromise value autos what about republicans in delaware they're going to show tonight who do they want? and this could be the way it s we'll see if she can win. >> everybody said ronald reagan could not win. >> she said that about herself. you cannot compare yourself. >> with me? >> no. >> and saying he wasn't

unelectable. >> this och sigs will say you're too far to the right. >> i know, democrats will be all over tomorrow morning if she wins saying how happy they are. >> and rand paul is running away with it in kentucky. >> may a make a point i think conservatives won regardless of the outcome of the election in november there. will be no cap and trade. >> and when president obama goes after republicans it's really senate democrats. >> sean: when john boehner suggested he might be opened to limited extension of the bush tax cuts... >> that is not exactly what he said. >> sean: well, he said he would not block any tax cut that gets through. his preferred preference is to get a tax cut. >> sean: i thought he was beaten up on too harsh. but with that said there is a immediate and almost strident

response by conservatives saying woah. we want principled and boehner rescinded remarks. senator mcconnell saying we're going to go back to 2008 levels thchl is good stuff we want to say to the country. >> you've got to give the establishment republicans due here. it was mitch mcconnell. he's the whoun drew the line in the sand and said we don't agree with any tax autos i've got to get every republican in the husband that didn't vote for the stimulus and health care and everyone republican, they have stood their ground i think put them in the position we think 49 days from now there is going to be a victory. >> we need the fire in the belly uk get it from, you have it from some in the establishment who like to be driving policy. and to lower taxes and to make sure we have open policy. >> sean: you're now an establishment guest.

you've been established and have been on the program. >> am i going to get banned?. >> no. >> sean: guys, thanks good to see you. coming up latest on primary races we're watching tonight including that delaware race. we'll have full analysis, plus young guns are here. paul ryan, kevin mccarthy stepping forward saying the republican party needs to be the conservative party. what is their strategy for taking back the nous november? we have that and much more coming up straight ahead.

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>> sean: this is a fox news alert. results coming from primary night. we go to bret baier standing by with a big call in washington, d.c. tonight. >> the associated press is calling delaware senate primary christine o'donnell defeated mike castle. g.o.p. establishment favorite. you're just talking about it on the show. owe tonel back by the tea party express. it's been a quarter million dollars in the race and lost support from tea party members over personal financial issues but will face chris coo in november this, is a huge development tonight. she was backed by sara palin,

by south carolina senator jim did he meant. this is a big win for christine o'donnell setting up an interesting race in delaware in november. more updates throughout the night. sean, back to you. >> bret thanks and brand new polling data from fox news and polls opinion research shows g.o.p. on the rise republican candidates are leading their democratic challengers in states from pennsylvania to california. and these new numbers suggest we may be looking in a g.o.p. landslide come november in pennsylvania senate race. pat toumey pull add head by joe sestak. g.o.p. dominating in ohio. john casic running five points ahead of ted strickland in the state gubernatorial race in ohio senate race bob portman is now seven points ahead of lee fisher. and out in california in the golden state, meg whitman leads jerry brown by six

points in the race for governor and karly fiorina trails barbara boxer by just two points but still within the margin of error to. help analyze number wez bring in the pollster, one and only mr. frank luntz good to see you and undecided are down at 4%, 6%, we're still 49 days from the election. yet, everybody made up their minds there. is not that much room to. me those numbers aren't soft. they're harder than people realize. this is going to be hard for democrat autos dick morris contends any break is going to move in the republican column. >> democrats in washington one party rule. they have white house, both houses of congress and so... any break going to take place, any undecided will go republican. >> and traditionally the break is about two to one for challenger over incumbent. it's not just republicans benefit because they're not democrats they're out of power so that gives them another opportunity. second thing is that the

voters this, is a older he electric trit. they're not going to have 18-year-olds to 29-year-olds that. is to the benefit of the republicans and third, we focus on jobs. focused on the economy. people who are most likely to vote aren't the unemployed. 91% of americans are employed. it's the people who are afraid of losing their jobs and when they see taxes may go up, health care is going to kick in and cost more money, that will contribute to the republicans success. >> it's not just the younger voters aren't voting, frank. interest tl is a poll came out this week. a poll two thirds of voters in this country believe the count very on the wrong track. 70% of inds. those numbers are interesting. republicans have a huge ballot advantage. we saw this in massachusetts, new jersey and va vachl we're seeing knit delaware tonight. once again, like in kentucky,

nevada, alaska. we're seeing the establishment being beaten by the tea party movement and bit conservative that's are saying do you know what? we've haid it with rhino republicans. we're not going to put new office. >> big message tonight. >> and i had to live through that in 1994. i watched this swing as it happened. it's happening earlier here, happening deeper here. numbers more strongly pro republican. the challenge now for g.o.p. you mentioned this race in delaware and nevada. those 2004 i'm watching will the public vote for someone who doesn't have the same experience has traditional politician? >> yes. >> and doesn't have the same... >> i'm answering a question as you go. you asked a question. i'm answering. >> i guess you haven't heard of the word receipt tore cal here. doesn't have the knowledge of issues i'm going to be watching and i think we're going to be dialing for the show that nevada debate. i'm hoping for a chance to go into delaware.

public is going to have to say i'm so angry in washington. tea party movement went into delaware and when talk raid yes including myself and mark levin and rush and others got involved in the delaware primary, and peoples awareness went up, i think you'll see an influx of money in the race skpsz don't think sharon angle is going to be able to raise as much money as she wants? >> she's going to need every dime. the challenge is going to be for her october 14th mark calendars. sheeg she's still going to have to reach a level. voters want to note person they're putting into office is qualified and capable. that is a challenge for some of the candidates. not saying they can't do it. it's not so easy just having an r after the name and they're going to get elected. >> good to see you and the word doctors.com if you want to participate in one of these

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sean republicans are on track to gain a number of seats in the house and senate. three conservative congressmen believe the republican party has lost some founding ideals

and want to put the party back on track before the new session. joining me are the authors of the new book, all the money going charity, "young gunses, a new generation of conservative leaders." congressman paul ryan, eric cantor and kevin mccarthy. guys good to see you. young guns. what a good looking crew. all the money is for charity for the book, right? >> yes. >> sean: titled my last book and i'm not comparing them, conservative victory. i didn't say republican victory, i said conservative. you titled this a new generation of conservative leaders. what is the difference? you are all members of the republican party what is the difference? >> we get back to the core values that built this . we believe in the principles that built america, liberty, freedom, free enterprise, self-determination. we have lost those. as republicans, we've drifted from those before. what we are trying to say here we not only have to own up to

the fact that the party when it was the majority the last time did not properly defend those principles. if we get the honor again we are going to protect those principles, defend those principles and move forward with a fiscally economic liberty conservative agenda. >> sean: the house is not as big a problem. they seem to adhere more to the conservative principles than the senate. you got some rhino republican senators that have been difficult to deal with. your position is that the republican party needs to go back to -- would it be appropriate to say its reagan conservative roots? >> absolutely. we began young guns. frankly fred barnes coined the term young guns because we were out looking for new leaders who wanted to come to washington for the right reasons. what we have seen now is a movement inside and outside the congress which is determined to try and put in place, the common sense

conservative principles that have been the founding bedrock of this country and put them to work to figure out how to create jobs, how to cut spending and rein in the federal government. that's what young guns is about. >> we admit the republicans lost their way and fired. and finding our way back. candidates across the country are in a young gun program. >> sean: i agree i think they lost the trust. they abandoned some of their conservative views and there was a heavy political price to pay. not just a political price. think the country has now paid a price. think people recognize how radical barack obama would be. tried warn everybody. i think a lot of people are beginning to see i might have been right. i had some republicans call me at the time you are going overboard hannity. more than a few said i think you were kind of right. but, with that said, there's something magical about putting commitments on a piece of paper. you have been working on the

idea of national -- nationalizing the elections and putting on paper the principles you will stand for if the republican people give you that second chance you are asking for. >> we've been communicating, having a dialogue and it is a government document. it is what we are going to go out and solve the problems now. number one jobs, focusing on small business. spending out of control. freeze the spending. go back to the other levels. >> sean: stop back to -- boehner said 2008. >> 2008 is 100 billion. >> sean: 100 billion dollars less than what we are spending now? >> a trillion over -- [ talking over each other ] >> you just cut discretionary spending gone up 84%. >> domestic. >> what small business has gone up 84% in discretionary spending? >> sean: none. >> we should run government differently, more efficient.

>> sean: am i wrong on thinking -- understanding it is complicated to get things done in washington. most people recognize that on the other hand, i think the american people, they are agenda simple. they want to keep the country safe. they recognize the war on terror not an overseas contingency operation. the american people, they are not taking vacations, they are not going to expensive restaurants, they are not buying new cars, tightening their belt tough economic times. they want fiscal responsibility. defense is one issue, economic, you know some type of belt tightening in washington, controlling the borders, energy independence is it that simple? >> it that simple. it is reapplying these principles that got us to become the most successful country on the face of the earth. we need to rededicate our principles. we are recruiting people to come help us with this cause. those ideas and principles

have been violated. we are not applying them today. we want to make sure if we get back in the majority we don't mess it up and we reapply these principles to fix these problems in our country. all those things you just mentioned we've got to get back to those core american ideas, those values that built us. >> sean: this is an answer to the question of republicans are the party of "no" which is -- >> you can get a lot of ideas here. >> we've been putting ideas out. we put together a estimate laws focused on the private sector. they went out with cuyamaca views. today more believe -- with keynesian views, today mover beef believe elvis is alive. >> sean: look it is exciting because i believe conservatism is on the ascendancy. to say this is about the rise of conservatism, as a conservative i'm glad to hear it. we'll be watching in the next

49 days, guys thanks. >> thanks. >> sean: i appreciate it. coming up we are keeping an the big primary races across the country. karl rove reacts to the latest election results that and more

. >> sean: chomp ski disappointed in obama he aired his complaints telling the paper the president is involved in war crimes right now. for example, targeted assassinations are war crimes

that's lated sharply under obama i guess chomp ski didn't know how good he had it when george bush was president. bo÷d/

>> sean: this is a fox news alert. for more primary results we check with this is a fox news alert. interesting night tonight. bret. >> is it. let's start with the big senate republican delaware. christine o'donnell defeated congressman mike castle establit favorite. o'donnell backed by the tea party express will face the democrat in november as republicans try to pick up the seat held for years by vice president biden. over to the new hampshire republican senate primary now tea party favorite 0 individual lamontagne has the lead over -- 0 individual lamontagne has the lead the governor's race in maryland

will be a remuch. 2006 in november. bob ehrlich easily defeated newcomer murphy. that sets up another battle with democrat o'malley who defeated ehrlich in 2006. in the wisconsin race, two men who have never run for political office before ron johnson who started his own plastics company is taking on small business owner dave westlake the winner gets russ feingold in november. to new york, embattled rangel the son of the man he defeated 40 years ago to get that seat, adam clayton powell iv in harlem that is still early. in the race in the empire state buffalo reap estate developer palladino has an early lead on lazio. more results at foxnews.com. >> sean: we'll be watching throughout the night. joining me now former adviser to president george w. bush

fox news contribute for -- contribute for, karl rove, welcome back. >> thanks for having me. >> sean: first we had alaska, murkowski loses. rand paul beat the establishment candidate, sharron angle, now delaware. your reaction? rest are explainable. in murkowski, in the alaska race you had a long time feud between two factions in the party in kentucky had you a god candidate versus a candidate who had no message. in nevada had you a candidate who self-emulated herself. this is the inhe can application able one. -- in is the inexplicable one. there's a huge turn out in delaware. the total was estimated to be 30,000 people going into the primary and has come out 56,000. she has dealt a defeat to one of the state's longest, best

known, thought to be most beloved political figures. former governor and nine term republican congressman in mike castle this is the one that's unusual. because this is not a campaign that has been going on for a year where you had one candidate consistently doing better as a candidate than the other in the case of rand paul there were not deep family and tribal distributes as we had in alaska between miller and murkowski. we didn't have a candidate who sort of committed suicide political suicide by saying things that got him in trouble with voters. instead we have a true upset of somebody with little money, little track record and i think this says that this is more about mike castle's voting record than the appeal of christine o'donnell. >> sean: i'm not sure if i agree. i think there's a battle going on what we define as the establishment. talking about dana and stuart. and those that are taking strong conservative views. i mean mike castle is one of the seven or eight republicans

in the house that voted for cap and tax. he's not pro-life. you have the establishment over the years, look who they backed, arlen specter, charlie crist, murkowski. they didn't support rand paul. sharron angle. there seems to be a schism here. there seems to be a divide. >> yeah, look i'm not certain of this. there were conservatives on both sides of this race in delaware. one thing that o'donnell is now going to have to answer in the general election that she didn't in the primary is her own checkered background. you made my case. you made out a list of the things that mike castle had done wrong. you didn't make out a list of the things that o'donnell had done right. i've met her. i wasn't frankly impressed as her abilities as a candidate. again, the serious questions how does she make her living? why did she mislead voters about her college education? how come it took nearly two decades to pay her college

bills so she could get her college degree? how did she make a living? >> sean: this is probably one of the few times they are going to i found her quite impressive. more importantly, she is a solid conservative. i think what people are saying in this primary, in this case and -- in race and across the country in the other races that we are mentioning is that you know what, if you vote for cap and tax and have an opponent that says they wouldn't they have an choice, an option. i think it was substantive, very based on issues. based on the voting record of one and promised voting record of another. >> again, you are making my case this was about mike castle's bad votes. it does conservatives little good to support candidates who at the end of the day while they may be conservative in their public statements to not event rectitude, truthfulness and sincerity and character the voters are looking for. we'll see if she can answer

these questions. she sure as heck didn't answer them thus far in the campaign. and not in the general election. >> sean: i interviewed her and i felt her explanations were more plausible -- >> did you ask about the people following her home to her headquarters and how she has checked each night in the bushes? there were a lot of nutty things she has been saying that don't add up to -- >> sean: sounds like you don't support her. >> i'm for the republican. but we were looking at eight to nine seats in the senate. we are now looking at seven to eight in my opinion. >> sean: you may be right in the end, i don't know. we can look into our crystal ball and say things. i would argue back to you gently that i don't think we can make progress in stopping the obama agenda with rhino republicans that, you know are not going to be there when the solid votes are needed. >> i agree. but we also can't make progress if we have candidates who got serious character

problems, who cause voters to not vote for our candidates out of concern of what they said. >> sean: we send people to washington and forgot why and they got fat and lazy and out of control. >> and in 2006 we had people who had really violated the people's trust by engaging in acts of corruption. which is why the democrat culture of corruption theme was so powerful. >> sean: i don't hear one allegation that compares to rangel or jefferson or anything like that. >> that's not a good defense. >> sean: seemed to be trumped up charges from my standpoint that the republican establishment was against her. what happened to -- >> i agree, she atack him by saying he had a homosexual relationship with a young aide with not a bit of evidence to prove it. [ talking over each other ] >> sean: she said in that interview she was not making that accusaon. [ talking over each other ] >> that was the second interview. she had already previously

spread the rumor. come on! look, she's got a chance now. let's you and i have a private side bet on this one. i think at the end of the day she has to answer these questions in a way that people of delaware find convincing or we are going to find ourselves with somebody who says conservative things but doesn't have the character that the people of delaware want to have. >> sean: karl rove, last word. time check in with greta. >> greta: was great, exciting. we are standing by with more excitement. we are going to get the race results. we have state attorney generals who are suing the federal government over health care they are going on the record. bristol palin is here. she's a new job. and much more that was a fascinating interview with karl, sean. >> sean: it is always fascinating with karl and always fascinating with what you have coming up. let not your heart be troubled our great, great american panel, next.

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get your first full prescription free and save on refills. >> sean: tonight on our great, great american panel. he served to terps as mayor of san francisco our friend willie brown is back. he was a speechwriter for president ronald reagan editor of richochet.com peter robinson is with us. she was miss america 2008, kirsten haglund is back with us. a big statement in delaware tonight. delaware, kentucky, alaska, it is nevada. what is going on? >> i think it is exciting person flail. i tend to agree the more establishment people we can get out and the more new blood in the better. it is about principle, i think that's what's been shown that the tea party has power and people want their elected officials to stick to conservative principles rather than just picking a person -- >> sean: you are less happy?

>> a little less happy. it seems that republicans need to choose whether they want to win in the northeast or not? there's a good argument in the northeast you have to choose moderate candidates. we now have an experiment. can a tea party candidate win in delaware? you know what? i hope so. i hope so. i doubt it, but i'm happy to have christine o'donnell. >> sean: i don't think we can make progress in the country with rhino republicans. i don't think you are going to stop obama's radical agenda without people that are really committed to cutting taxes. to stopping spending. really strong principles. how could this guy be one of several republicans to vote for a -killing bill like cap and tax and expect conservatives in a primary to vote for him? i'm sorry, he brought this on himself. the fact that talk radio and levin and myself and some others, they attacked her viciously in this campaign, unfairly in many ways. i think they paid a very heavy price.

>> you are going to be with her in the general election? >> sean: i absolutely many. >> i'm open to the argument. new york state where the gop is a zero. why? they've been moderate for decades not since the election of jim buckley. there's an argument. you have an argument. >> sean: this is not a republican phenomenon. liberals -- liberals don't want to be seen with the president, nancy pelosi, harry reid they don't want to acknowledge their votes would they run from the things they should take such pride in? think every candidate this time around whether democrats or republicans are maintaining they have not previously held public office. [ laughing ] >> what are you talking about. why would you want to take the heat when everybody has says throw out the establishment, all the the bums and what have you. why would you want to be one of the bums? they are moving away from being a part of what is considered to be those who are the architect of the problem.

>> sean: i think politicians earned this. they've earned the disdain of the american people. the american people have contempt for their lack of discipline. they have contempt for the corruption, buying of votes, cornhusker kickbacks, louisiana purchase. you got to have contempt for the process right now. >> well, no. let me tell you, i don't have contempt for the process. i lived with the process for more than 40 years. my adult life was spent being a part of the decision-making process. i thought early on, if you are going to be a part of it, you better make sure at the end of each day you can be held accountable for having produced something. so my goal in life was always to produce. and i would do it with democrats, with republicans, with rib brawls, conservatives, farmers, wherever i had to go i would go and produce, try to produce results. keep in mind, i always made sure that people did not interpret my conduct as

benefiting me. the results were for the benefit of the public that's what is missing in all of these systems. >> sean: this is shaping up to be one heck of a political year. >> nothing like it in our lifetime. >> it is an unbelievable political year. because for the first time you are getting people who are diametrically opposed to each one of the -- >> sean: i like it that means the american people have a choice. >> that is correct. that is the way it should be. >> sean: we'll come back. you just got back from a trip? yoif you suffer from heartburn two or more days a week, you're one of the 50 million americans with frequent heartburn. did you know, with prilosec otc, you can stop frequent heartburn before it starts? heartburn happens when stomach acid refluxes, or backs up into the esophagus. this causes the burning sensation in your chest, known as heartburn. with just one pill a day, prilosec otc treats frequent heartburn for 24 hours, providing all-day and all-night protection.

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>> sean: as we continue with our great american panel. michelle obama is suggesting what you should feed your

children. >> what i am asking is that you consider reformulating your menu. to create healthier versions of the foods that we all love. that can be substituting pasta or taking out -- taking an existing dish and cutting the amount of butter and cream. not enough to change flavor we all love flavor just enough to make a meaningful difference in the amount of calories and fat. >> sean: we have video of her husband the smoker, let's see he's eating hot dogs. remember the cheeseburgers with joe biden. and all the other junk food. more junk food. look at that. how about we start at home instead of lecturing us? >> a couple of things here that bother me. i have a foundation that raises money for eating disorders. i talk with women everyday who are not slaves like she has

said to our cravings for fatty, sugary foods. we can overcome that. we have a right to make our own choices about the food we eat. it is not the restaurant or government's job to mandate menu change. i would love to see michelle obama more proactive to educate parents and children about healthy nutrition so they can go into restaurants armed look for healthy choices and order those. we have always been successful or made -- [ unintelligible ] based on individual choices that we make. >> michelle obama vacations in spain and martha's vineyard and tells the rest of us to eat apple slices. i don't doubt her good intentions. what you have is a white house operation that has lost its way. the first lady's office should be integrated into the white house staff. they have a completely tin ear. >> sean: they took their chef to martha's vineyard.

>> they lost any sense. she feeding into the narrative talking earlier about the tea party, the anger in the country. she has done something else that makes it sound she and her husband are looking down their noses at the rest of us and telling us how to live. it is a white house that has lost control. >> sean: why wouldn't they they have taken over banks, insurance companies a pay czar. soon we'll have, you know the government fining us if we use salt that's right that in new york. >> you guys are ignoring one thing that is this country does have a problem with obesity. michelle obama, no matter what you may think of how she doing it -- >> sean: look at her husband a smoker. i don't need to be lectured by the obamas on what to eat! >> i don't think she lecturing to you. i think she is lecturing to america on what she believes the best way on which -- [ talking over each other ]

>> she is not mandated. there is no regulation that you've got to eat what she says. she saying what she believes ought to be the -- >> sean: maybe she needs to lecture barack first. >> that's a perfect example. obesity, physical appearance is not indicative of internal health. president obama smokes -- [ talking over each other ] >> you are not fat. >> sean: you want me to be delusional. i know i've a little tubby stomach. >> that is fine. that is not necessarily fat. fat is some of the things -- >> sean: i've seen myself naked, i'm telling you. >> i haven't had that horror experience. but i to tell you, riding on a plane coming to this show and you are