bill: why don't they talk to kate? >> martha: i don't think she's available! but pippa has a new book, apparently. bill: good luck! you can watch that and take notes, all right? >> martha: i will! i'll watch it for you. bill: have a terrific monday, big day with florida, huh? >> martha: we'll see you tomorrow. "happening now "starts right now. jon: oprah and barbara and "happening now", she might come here first! i'm jon scott. jenna: you never know and we want to learn to be the best and -- the best host and hostes. good morning, "happening now opinions, the top gop presidential candidates in the sunshine state, the biggest primary to date, and there's a whole lot at stake in the winner take all contest. jon: mitt romney is fighting back from his south carolina set back, trying fend off a

tough challenge from newt gingrich, and rick santorum and ron paul, also still in the race which could split the conservative vote in florida. right now, though, we're getting brand new numbers on the early voting, already underway there. jenna: very important. lots of early voting taking place. phil keating is live in miami. phil, when we take a look at the role that each of the candidates is playing, it seems like newt gingrich is playing the role of the underdog yet again. >> reporter: he has to. every poll consistently coming in over the past few days showing romney with -- with a commanding lead, on average ahead seven points ahead of gingrich so gingrich, again, hope 230g a -- hoping for a come from behind victory. we have new numbers for absentee ballots, 600,000 total coming in for a primary that's going to pull out 1.5 to 2 million republicans, so that's about one third of the total vote. tomorrow, of course, the other two-thirds are going to go to the polls and that's why the candidates are stuffing hard once again for about the ninth straight

day down here in florida, an expensive -- an extensive state, gingrich in jacksonville, again promising supporters a big come from behind. >> i'm very excited. i can feel it over the last three days, the end of close again, we just as we had in south carolina, there was this huge wave of dishonest romney ads and people went wow -- frankly, if all that stuff was true, i wouldn't vote for myself. reporter remember gingrich has pointed out he really wants to win florida, and if he diswint, he is saying he's not dropping out, he's going all the way down to the convention, up in tampa, in august, and he is very harshly attacking romney, it's going both back and forth, and he's saying there's no way the conservative republicans at the national convention in august are going to nominate a former governor of massachusetts who instituted romneycare which he says is pretty much the same thing as omabacare. jenna: we'll see. it's only january at this

point. that's what gingrich has to say now. what is the romney camp saying? >> reporter: completely dismissive of gingrich's attacks and romney is on the tv air waves attacking gingrich heavily, almost every single commercial break if you're in tampa or orlando or ma'am, it's one of the two negative attacks on the other. romney saying gingrich is a house speaker who resigned in disgrace, and that he truly is going to absolutely secure the nomination. >> what was that back there? send him to the moom, he says! the idea of the moon as the 51st state is not what would come to my mind as a campaign basis for here in florida. >> reporter: that of course a jab at newt gingrich who last week offered in the space coast, in the eighth year of his presidency to establish an american colony on the moon, so one more busy day of

campaigning during the day, both candidates traversing the state and it comes down, polls open 7:00 a.m. tomorrow in florida. jenna: we're looking forward to it, phil, thank you. jon onthere's brand new polling out of tomorrow's primary in florida and the momentum from gingrich's south carolina win seems to be dwindling, quinnipiac finds mitt romney has a double digit lead in florida, ahead of gingrich by 43-29 percent. rick santorum and ron paul both coming in at 11 percent apiece, but a whopping 24 percent of those surveyed say they could change their minds by the time they vote tomorrow. let's talk about it with stephen hayes, senior writer at the weekly standard and fox news contributor. so the question, stephen, is what happened to newt gingrich's surge? >> yeah, that is really the big question, looking at where the polls is today in florida. but i think basically, if you don't spend too much time overanalyzing it, he was down in florida, then he had this momentum coming out

of south carolina, as you suggest, then things start of settled down again. obviously, he had two debate performances that were not up to par with his previous debate performances, and for a candidate who has said the reason you should pick me is because i am going to challenge barack obama to the lincoln-douglas-style debates, chase him and the country and i can outdebate him, having two bad debate performances in one week is a big deal. jon: and when he goes up against barack obama, if he becomes the nominee, he's going to take all kinds of criticism, the same kind that he's been complaining that mitt romney has been leveling at him. >> yeah, i think this is the wackest message that we've had from newt gingrich, maybe in the entire campaign. he was on the sunday shows yesterday, and he was asked about why he has slid in poll, why he's not doing as well, and what he has been saying is look, you know, mitt romney is able to raise a lot of money, he can put on these dishonest ad ses on television and i just can't respond, and he's asked about a debate performance and he says i've never stood next to somebody on the stage who's willing to miss

characterize my views or misrepresent my past like mitt romney is, and the question for newt gingrich is if mitt romney is doing that, what do you think barack obama is going to do, and if you can't respond to mitt romney's attacks, how are you going to respond to a tougher, you know, better-funded candidate in the fall? >> jon: so let's look ahead for newt. if he does not win florida, is there any reason at all that he would want to step out of the race, step aside, and let mitt romney or somebody, you know, press forward? he says he would not do that. >> no, i think there are tactical reasons and personal reasons that he doesn't want to do that. for one, very few of the delegates will actually have been award by the end of florida so this is a long prosets, i think he's girded himself for a long balances. i talked to an adviser to gingrich two weeks ago that told me he was staying in through the convention. it's something that gingrich reiterated over the weekend. on a level level, i think he's really come to dislike

mitt romney so any inclination to give him a path to the nomination is out the window. gingrich doesn't care it he stutles -- scuttles the fall campaign and makes things difficult come a general election for mitt romney. he doesn't like the guy. jon: so this has become personal. >> very personal. jon: he's 68 years old. it's not likely that he could do what tim pawlenty did and step aside gracefully and hope that there's maybe perhaps another chance down the road. >> no. this is not something that would be -- i mean, newt gingrich, he's the kind of person who if he's going to do anything, to be a president, you can't easily imagine him as a vice president. i mean, newt gingrich as a vice president wouldn't be your ideal cabinet or even a -- candidate or even a cabinet official. he wants to win, he says there's an early process, there's a lot in front of us. i think he could make a case, do well in the southern states, if he stayed in. there's the georgia primary coming up. it's got 76 delicates, i believe. jon: and he just picked up herman cain's endorsement.

>> he's gotten several conservative endorsements which he's been touting, michael reagan, rick perry, herman cain. he's trying to make himself the clear viable alternative to romney. i think santorum, however, makes that a difficult case. santorum had a very good debate last week. jon: fascinating case and -- race and we will be there to cover it. stephen hayes of the weekly standard, constitute. jenna: more politics to come. in the meanwhile, new developments on the state of several americans prevent frd leaving evicinity, along those detained is sam la hood, son' transportation secretary ray la hood and he remains on a no exit list, could face up to five years in prison. chief intelligence correspondent catherine herridge is live from washington. let's start with that particular situation. how is the administration dealing with this? >> jenna thank you and good morning. over the weekend, secretary of defense leanne panetta called field marshall tantawa and urged him to take this exit lit. now two cabinet secretaries

and the secretary are working the issue. a handful of americans, all employees of the ngos, nongovernmental groups that support democracy, have sought shelter at the u.s. embassy in cairo, you see it there, and they will do so until they're allowed to leave egypt. what's key here is the u.s. embassy in cairo is sovereign territory and limits the ability of egyptian authorities to detain or arrest americans. on sunday senator john mccain seemed to indicate that sam la hood was among the group. >> we are in constant contact, he is in our embassy, and we are doing everything we can. egyptians have to understand that this is a very serious issue as far as our relationship is concerned, and ultimately, could be a serious issue as far as the amount of aid that goes to them is concerned. >> reporter: congress requires the secretary of state to now certificate any egypt is transitioning to a civilian government before this military aid is released. they get about a billion dollars a year from the u.s., and the president has warned the egyptian government this no exit list

does not meet that requirement jenna. jenna: really quickly here catherine, who exactly is holding these americans? is it the new g that is being voted in, is it the military that remains to have control over the country? who exactly is it? >> well, that's an open question. this investigation was begun by the judiciary. they are the ones who are leading it. though the analysts i've spoken to believe the military is really sort of behind the scenes pulling the strings because they want to maintain their control. we were not able to raise sam -- to raise sam la hood, and sam la hood told us recently there had been no progress. >> my family is very concerned for my own safety, as well as the family members of everybody else that works for the republican institute and these other organizations. it's a little bit scary for us to be facing these very serious allegations, but you know, also for the egyptian police that work for these organizations. >> when -- what la hood

emphasized, he also this is larger and broader than this group iri and the other nan given monthly groups, he believes this is a broader crackdown on those who want to build come democracy in that country. gen jen which makes this story even more significant, catherine. thank you, we'll continue to watch that. jon: there is more tough talk from iran to tell you about, why the islamic republic says it will respond to any military threat in a, quote, crushing manner. all the latest over the tension in iran's nuclear program and what to do about that. jenna: and disturbing new developments in the case of a missing maine toddler. what police discovered in the home where ala region olds was last seen. jon: one survivor said it looked like the end of the world. what caused this deadly pileup on a major highway in florida? a live report from the scene, coming up. >> i figured if we would stay in the car, we would have been dead, because you got cars coming in like 80 miles an hour, just popping you like that. i didn't know what to do. with great grains cereal.

see the seam on the wheat grain? same as on the flake. because great grains steams and bakes the actual whole grain. now check out the other guy's flake. hello, no seam. because it's more processed. now, which do you suppose has better nutrition for you? mmm. great grains. the whole whole grain cereal.

jen jeanne fox news alert, out to california, 20 minutes ago firefighters got the call to respond to this. take a look at this fire. nicity paramount, california. we're hearing it's actually at paramount lot there. it's being described as an industrial structure, so what it is exactly that's burning, we don't have any information. we do know at this time, again, that it's been burning for approximately 20 minutes or so. no injuries reported at this time. you have firefighters on the scene for about 15 months now. jon: and on the roof. how would you like to be standing on the roof knowing that fire has already punched through other places in there? that's got to be extremely dangerous. jenna: you wonder where it's burning really. you can see the heat in the front there but obviously there's a lot for the firefighters to deal with. we'llston to -- continue to stay on this, bring you updates as we hear more. jon: this fox news alert. police in north florida, still searching for clues after a horrific pileup on a highway this weekend. at least ten people were killed, another 18 injured

when dozens of vehicles slammed into each other on a dark stretch of i75 near gainesville, it was shrouded in blinding fog, as well as smoke from a brushfire at the time. survivors describe a scene of absolute chaos. >> you couldn't see the road, you couldn't see cars, barely. you had on your high beams, you couldn't see anything. >> we saw the two semi trucks sitting in the road, then we just stopped, out of nowhere, boom, somebody came crashing into him and literally, his car goes under the semi truck, like and he is smashed into the semi truck. >> we didn't have enough time to get out of the car, which i'm glad we didn't because as soon as he got hit another car came in at least doing like 80 and knocked it forward into the fir of my truck, but locally it knocked us along the side of it to where we didn't do the same thing that he did. >> i figured if we had stayed in the car we would have been dead because you've got cars coming in like at 80 miles an hour, just popping you like that. i didn't know what to do. jon: wow, scary stuff. with us now, an affiliate

reporter from our fox affiliate, wttv, live near gainesville, florida, with the very latest. >> reporter: good morning. this has been the worst traffic crash in the history of the state of florida. it was absolutely gruesome. you just heard that victim talk about it there. i75 is officially opened, going in both directions northbound and southbound lanes. they were closed off for much of the morning because of that smoke and fog that had been hindering that part of the interstate for much of the morning. smoke and fog, by the way, is part of the blame for this traffic disaster. there was a 62-acre brushfire nearby and the smoke was going through the interstate and it made for horrible driving conditions, and we're now learning this morning an arsonist may have set that fire. we hope to have mo information on that from the division of forestry this morning. the car scene was something like a movie, cars, truck, tractor trailers, flattened and burned.

at one point, you can see a car sitting on top of a pickup as if someone picked up that car and then smashed it on top of the truck. when theory cuers first arrived, just to kind of give you an idea of what these guys were going through, they couldn't see their own hands through the smoke and fog. they had to listen to people screaming and moaning in order to locate them and give them assistance as well. but again, i75 is open, florida highway patrol is investigating this, and of course, we're going to keep you up to date to find out who in the world set that fire at that -- that brushfire that happened nearby this weather, some 50 miles from here. jon: i think everybody can identify with that kind of terror, just driving down the road. elcidi, thank you for that report. jenna: some dramatic new developments in the search for a missing toddler in maine. what investigators found in her father's home. we'll have the latest in the search for ala reynolds next. the government is stepping up its investigation into the popular jeep liberty, what's

happening now and what investigators are saying, coming up.

jen it's a brand new week and we have mixed messages, inspectors are on the ground in iraq and -- iran and iran says it expects them stay longer. but then we hear things about new weapons that iran may be developing and the head of armed forces saying, quote, we believe the u.s. doesn't have the ability to take military action. in the meanwhile, we will strengthen our military's abilities day by day, we will respond to any threat or aggressive action in a crushing manner. here now, international security expert with mit security studies program, jim walsh. it seems like a contradiction, welcoming the inspectors and then saying don't you dare come close to

us. >> yeah, i think most countries do this, where it's sort of a good cop-bad cop thing, where they're welcomed the inspectors in, they're going to join talks with the americans and europeans, the c15 talk but also sending a deterrent message saying don't mess with us, and if china had a big conversation, a public debate about attacking the u.s., the u.s. would probably respond the same way, saying back off, buddy. this is sort of normal. this is normal speaker national policy. jenna: let's talk a little about the inspector, though. what exactly are the inspectors allowed to see, where exactly can they go inside the country? >> i think this isn't just the inspectors, it's also people who are high up in the agency and i think this is less about looking around in the different nooks and crannies of iran and more about meetings with the iranian government and head of the iaea, or number two in the iaea about are we

going to go forward, are you going to tell us what we need to know, set up procedure, are you going to answer our questions. it's not so much hunting around this as much as it is trying to negotiate or talk about steps going forward. so i don't expect big announcements out of this meeting. it's really a setup of what's going to happen later in the month when iran meets with the u.s., europeans, the russians and chinese. jenna: how optimistic are you about those future talks? >> well, i think this is a good news day as far as the iran story goes because iran is letting iaea in, it is talking to them and there are going to be negotiations. that's probably better than having a third war in the middle east. so i think that's a positive. but you know, we shouldn't get too excited here. i wouldn't go overboard. we're at the very beginning of this process. and so i would keep those expectations low, but at least it's pointed in a direction where there could be progress. but we're going to have to take it a day -- take it a day at a time on this one. jenna: i was quoteing from a joint armed forces staff from iran, talking about the

new weapons they're develop, one of them is a laser-guided artillery shell, so obviously, they continue to work on their military program. we've heard again and again from the administration officials that a nuclear iran is a red line, that we will not accept. but what about an iran that's heavily armed, do we want to have the same response to an iran like that? >> i think nuclear is a different category that requires a different response but you're right to ask the question, do we want iran to have a big military, do we want any country to have a really big military. the answer is probably no. but when you compare iran's spend to go u.s.' military spending we're overwhelmingly ahead both in what we spend and the quality of what we produce. iran often makes these sorts of announcements that thank you -- new things they've invented and some turn out to be true and more often than that, they turn out to be bluster. even with this announcement it doesn't change the military problem. iran doesn't have force projection capability, they

don't have the wherewithal to invade a bunch of countries, but they're going to continue to try to develop their military but obviously it would be better if they didn't. jenna: apparently one businessman inside that country is developing tank drones, minature tank drones to send to the president, mocking the administration for demanding to send one of the drones back. >> i want one of those! >> jenna: it might be a collector's item. >> that would be awesome! >> jenna: we're going to continue to watch this story and we always appreciate your insight. thank you as always. >> thank you jenna. jon: right now, investigators in maine are processing some disturbing evidence in the case of a missing toddler. ala reynolds is 20 months old, she was last seen alive six weeks ago. now authorities are confirming they found the little girl's blood inside other father's home. rick leventhal is following these developments, he's in our new york newsroom. >> reporter: jon, a police spokes mourn tells fox news baby ala's blood was found early in this investigation.

some visible to the eye, more with a chemical luminol and they said it's more than a small cut would cus. -- would produce. her father put her to bed december 16th, this weekend, for the first time since then, justin and ala's mother trista appeared together at a vigil for the little girl, at one point speaking privately for several minutes. investigators searched the father's home extensively after ala went missing, questioning him and two other adults with him that night, justin's girlfriend and the baby's aunt. police say the the -- police say the group say someone must have sneaked in and took her. but police say the version of the events told by adults in the home aren't backed up by any evidence. police say the house is too small, there were to mean -- too many there to allow someone to sneak? and smach in -- snatch this girl without being seen or heard and find the blood

troubling. ala's mom seemed shaken by the reflations and reports she has no answers, just wants to know where they are daughter is. justin wouldn't answer the questions. police say no one has been ruled in or out and tests are being conducted on other evidence found in the home and jon, there is a $30,000 reward for information that may lead investigators to the little girl. jon: the mystery continues. rick, thank you very much. rick leventhal. jenna: we're going to turn to the middle east where there's outrage in iraq over u.s. drones, why leaders saying aircraft is an affront to us. we talked about this, iran is playing both sides today, iran invite inspectors are spend more time at nuclear facilities but iran's threatening oil shipments. that's a big deal. goer to go -- we're going to have joe lieberman on deck, he's going to give us his take, coming up next. helped me t my back pain.

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>> send me a bill that bans insider trading by members of congress, i will sign it tomorrow. [applause] >> reporter: you saw a standing ovation, including members from both sides of the aisle. the president says he wants to see limits on elected officials and their abilities to own stocks in industries that they have the power to actually impact. the stock act, cosponsored by gillabran and scott brown. the staffers will be banned from personally profiting by using any kind of inside information to make decisions about buying and selling stocks. a similar measure is work its way through the house where republican mike rogers predicts the issue will create a rare moment of bi-partisanship. >> i don't believe that you'll see any resistance on the bill again. if it's against the law for insider trading anywhere else in america it ought to be against the law for insider trading with a member of song. >> reporter: there are some on

the hill that actually thinks the current legislation does not go far enough, including shaun duffy. he introduced a measure called the restrict act which would require all members of congress and senior staff to move their assets into a blind trust or disclose any transaction no matter the amount within three days of making it. the senate will take up the issue 5:30 issue tonight. jon: thanks, shannon. jenna: for more on this now joining me from capitol hill independent senator from connecticut senator joe lieberman. hi, senator, how are you? >> i'm good, how are you. jenna: i'm great. it's a big news days. we'll start off with the stock act. shannon told us a little bit about a similar bill in the house called the restrict act which would go a little farther than the stock act. it would basically take the hand of lawmakers off their stocks and securities, put it into blind tuesdays an trusts and that's the way it would work. what do you say to folks that

say, listen we need something a little more hash, something more like the restrict act? >> maybe we do, and probably there will be an amendment to that effect this week when this bill comes up. this bill came out of the committee that i'm privileged to chair, and it is a director direct reaction to the book and the 60-minute piece alleging that there was insider trading by members of congress. we wanted to make absolutely clear that the law should prohibit any member of congress or staff member to deriving personal property from nonpublic information they get from members of congress. we did two other things, real briefly. every year members of congress file a financial disclosure statement. we are requiring for the first time that that statement be filed electronically, and it be available online so the public can view it. and secondly, within 30 days of any stock trade over a thousand dollars, instead of once a year, a member is going to have to

file an electronic disclosure. so this is a good step forward. my guess is a lot of the other ideas that are bouncing around the house and senate will be introduced as amendments and we'll give them thoughtful consideration this week. i think the whole idea is to try to begin to restore some of the trust and confidence that the american people have lost in the institution of congress, and unfortunately they have reason for that loss of trust and confidence. jenna: you did mention this is a by part son effort. it seems you have support not only from the senate and the house but both sides of the aisle. another bill that just appeared today and also has bi-partisan support from a group of senators is regarding the keystone pipeline, this is something else that has been really important to our vires. apparently this legislation has 44 cosponsors, republican and democrat and basically it will try to approve the keystone pipeline deal. is this something that you can get behind potentially? >> well, i've got to take a look at this legislation, but my own

feeling is, let's see, how could i do this quickly, that the odds are, though this is a higher pollution kind of fuel that comes from this area of canada, the question is, are we going to get to use it in america or is it going to be sold to china? i want it to come to america but i want it to come in way where the pipeline is built so it doesn't have bad environmental consequences throughout this country. i support what the president did because there is a little more time necessary for the environmental revows to be done. but i hope it doesn't take long, because we need fuel from wherever we can get it here in the united states in a way that doesn't destroy our environment, and this is probably one way. jenna: and some have suggested there's been years already to do that environmental review. as you mentioned we have a short time period here and we'll continue to watch that legislation as well. we have two things to watch as it works through the senate today. here is another subject we've been taking a close eye on and

that is iran. we have a little bit of an interview with the defense secretary on 60 minutes. i want to talk to you more about it. >> if they proceed and we get intelligence that they are proceeding with developing a nuclear weapon, then we will take whatever stels steps are necessarsteps necessary to stop them. >> including military steps. >> there are no aopgss tha options that are off the table. jenna: as we wait for whatever will come in their nuclear program, should we be more aggressive? >> well, we are being more aggressive. with all the problems in the world, and all the threats to america, to me this is the most serious threat to american security and world security. if iran gets a nuclear weapon, the safety of every american and just about every other person on the planet is going to be compromised. i think the best thing we've got going for us now is the economic sanctions. the president has been given new authority by congress to

sanction the central bank of iran, which basically will say to anybody in the world you want to do business by buying oil through the central bank of iran you're not going to do business in the united states. i think they are going to choose the u.s. over iran and that will force the iranians to make a tough decision. we have to to be very clear ace think secretary panetta was, that if they don't respond in teheran to these economic and diplomatic initiatives, then we will have to use military force to disable their nuclear facilities, because they are that much of a threat to us. jenna: senator lieberman as chairman of the senate homeland security committee, we've talked a lot about different timelines, how far iran is to reaching that nuclear capability. sometimes i hear six months, sometimes i hear a year, two years or five years. how good is our intelligence when it comes to that timeline? >> well, our intelligence is

good, but it's not perfect. we know a couple of things here, one is that notwithstanding all of the economic and diplomatic pressure we put on iran, and i think it's hurt them, it hasn't slowed up their nuclear weapons development program one bit. so we've got to be really honest about that. the second is the various estimates, six months, a year, all i can tell you is that they get closer to it every day. and the important thing to say is that whether it's a year, or a year and a half, o or two years, in the end doesn't matter. what we know is they are push lee as rapidly as they can to get nuclear capability and they are putting their centrifuges and all the rest of their program more deeply underground and spreading it out. so with every passing day we get closer to a time when it's going to be very hard, and ultimately impossible to stop this program. so that's why the clock is ticking, and it's an ominous

clock and the iranians have to know how seriously we and the rest of the world take what they are doing. jenna: you've really given us perspective to think about that. it hasn't slowed them down, that is the big headline today. senator, thank you so much. we covered a lot of topics, as always. always appreciated, sir. >> thank you, have a good day. jon: the former speaker of the house newt gingrich says he's not going anywhere, vowing to keep campaigning all the way to the convention. his numbers seem to be slipping in florida, but this race has been anything but predictable so far. we'll map out what we might expect next. and new underwater video from the shipwreck off the italian coast. scientists say they do not like what they see. we'll tell you about what has them so concerned in the next hour of "happening now." when you have diabetes... your doctor will say get smart about your weight. i tried weight loss plans... but their shakes aren't always made for people with diabetes. that's why there's new glucerna hunger smart shakes. they have carb steady, with carbs that digest slowly

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honey nut cheerios. ♪ feel the power my young friend. mmm! [ male announcer ] for excellent fruit and veggie nutrition... v8 v-fusion, also refreshing plus tea. could've had a v8. jon: newt gingrich says he is in this race for the long haul.

he promises to take his campaign all the way to the republican convention. with gingrich long looking at a boy tension aldouble digit defeat in florida how much longer can he keep going. pwaeufr bear joinbret baier joins us live from tampa, florida. we have to see what the voting results are after tomorrow. the polling indicates newt's numbers are slipping in florida. >> reporter: jon, you're right. most of the polling suggests that. the gingrich campaign is pointing to one poll, the insider advantage poll that puts him at 5 point spread. arg i think is at 10. but most of them are at double digits heading into this final day. there is something that happens here on the ground that is interesting, in that the state is so demographically different when it comes to politics. the northern part of florida votes kind of like the southern part of the united states, the southern part of the state votes like the northern part of the united states to make it simple.

there are all different kinds of demographics throughout. if newt gingrich can phoe mobilize the tea party, the hard, red parts of florida, the northern mart and the panhandle he could out perform where some of these polls have him headed into coming into tuesday, and that's what the gingrich campaign is hoping that they close that gap. i don't think they have any illusions that they are going to pull off a surprise victory on tuesday. jon: over the weekend at one of those megachurches newt gingrich said that when it comes to the convention he sees the possibility that the not romney vote will be bigger than the romney vote, and he seems to be hoping to somehow, whether at the convention, or maybe before the convention tie up that batch of nonromney tel delegates. >> reporter: here is where their thinking is. if you look at the number of delegates it's very few already through february you don't get a lot of delegates distributed to

candidates. so if you look at florida, for example, because it went early it goes from 100 to 50 delegates. so the winner gets 50 delegates, winner take all here, but let's say newt gingrich wins his home state of georgia, which is certainly possible, that is 76 delegates. so people start talking about delegate count. that is one thing. the other thing is momentum, and the momentum in this race. and if mitt romney comes out of here with a big win, and then follows it up in nevada, momentum will be on his side and that is something the gingrich campaign has to dol deal with. jon: mitt romney has a 14-point lead in florida according to the latest quinnipiac poll. what has happened to newt gingrich's surge, the one we saw propelling him out of south carolina? >> reporter: well, a lot of ads happened. 16.1million i think it was between the mitt romney campaign, and the super pack that was backing mitt romney, compared to 4 million or so from

the gingrich campaign and the super pack bagging gingrich. that makes a big difference when you're talking about a lot of those being negative ads. as we saw in iowa that has an effect, and frankly newt gingrich is lucky to be standing after that kind of barrage. also, the debates matter. you talk to most people down here they watch those debates, and they didn't think newt gingrich performed that well, and they thought mitt romney was very strong. as we've seen previously in this cycle debates matter. we spent the past day going around this state to try to give you a sense tonight on special report of the different demographic areas, and how they factor in, the i4 corrider and all the different spots. it should be an interesting focus. if you don't know the politics of florida you may after special report. jon: we are going to look forward to that. bret baier, thank you. bret will be hosting our full coverage of florida's winner take all primary. it begins at 6:00pm eastern

tomorrow. do not miss that. jenna: we've got the florida primary coming up, we also have the super bowl coming up. that's where we want to show you a little piece of news today. there are the new york giants in all places in new jersey, of course, that's why governor christie calls them the new jersey giants, they practice and play there. i'm surprised we actually have to shot. they are on the bus leaving for the super bowl. we have a lot of patriot fans in the control room. i'm surprised they even gave us this shot. it looks like it's an exciting day and there they go. fair & balanced we will bring you the patriots when they leave. jon: our camera operator a big giants fan, he's all atwitter right now. jenna: we have a lot of stories to get to today. in syria rebels capturing entire towns there and reach the outskirts of damascus, the capitol city. a live report from the middle east minutes away on what is

happening there. wall street hitting the like button on facebook, but is it getting -- in on the heavily hyped ipo a good idea? do you really want to get in on that? we have the answer next. on hi. i want to run a marathon. i'm going to own my own restaurant. when i grow up, i'm going to start a band. [ female announcer ] at aarp we believe you're ner done growing. thanks, mom. i just want to get my car back. [ female announcer ] discover what's next in your life. get this free travel bag when you join at aarp.org/jointoday.

jon: the feds stepping up and investigation into chrysler's stkwraoe jeep liberty. some 50 people reporting getting hurt after the airbag deployed, a surprise. 40,000 liberties from 2002 and 2003 under review now. jenna: facebook is expected to file paperwork to become a publicly traded company as early as wednesday, that is the whisper. facebook's ipo could be the largest ever for a tech company. a lot of you are asking, is this a good move for us?

should we get in on this ipo when it happens? we are at the fox business network and will hear more about this. what are experts saying? there is a lot of excitement but what about the hype. >> reporter: hype surrounding this. facebook isn't all about fun and games, it's about big business. a billion users on facebook helping to skrepb rate $3.5 billion in revenues as you mentioned. the "wall street journal" reporting it will file to go public as early as wednesday. it will take to the public market some time between now and june. there is lofts excitement because of the skies and scope of this deal. this is one of the biggest ipo's in u.s. history, coming in possibly number 4 without general motors, the visa, ipo as well as the at&t wireless ipo. we think that facebook will debut for about $10 billion in public shares, lots of excitement because this is a good sign about the economy, jenna, also creating wealth for a lot of different people out there as well too.

jenna: can your average retail investor snap up the stock right away? who is going to really cash in initially on this offering? >> reporter: you can expect the people who had a hand in carving out and making facebook wait is today to profit the most, mark stkubger burglar zuckerberg. we think he will be worth $24 billion just from this deal. also venture capital invest ors, this is being called the biggest home run in the vc interest straoe period. the stock exchange we don't know if it will lis on the nasdaq, the new york stock exchange, they will make money. the investors you talked about the retail investors, usually these big hot ipo's are hard to get a hold of but the good news is is that there are about 50 mutual funds out there that are currently holding private facebook shares so when it goes public if you're holding those mutual funds you will also benefit as well. 27-years-old bringing in $24 billion. what will he do when he's 30?

jenna: what a disappointment. that is good news about the mutual funds. interesting for all of us with 401ks that we could be getting in on the offering. thank you. jon: i see social network the sequel coming out. all that money. the battle for the battleground states, what a new poll shows about a potential match up between mitt romney and president obama in the crucial swing states. some interesting numbers. we'll go in-depth. plus food for thought on the road to the white house, why the candidates stop at certain eateries in the primary states. the political strategy behind it, next.

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jenna: well, new numbers show that myth roamny is on the verge of victory in florida. we have a while to go. i don't know if i should even say that. jon: the numbers change about every day. jenna: they really do. we're glad you're with us as we watch these numbers. i'm jenna lee. jon: i'm jon scott. newt gingrich had the upper hand, and now with one day to go,ith myth mitt romney is working hard to overcome his set back. jenna: he is rip going gingrich. it appears to be working but again, the only thing that's consistent is it's been inconsistent watching this race. chief political correspondent is live from tampa. here we are one day before the primary, and you've seen all of this. let's talk about the polls, the latest poll the, what exactly do they show? >> reporter: they show what we've been saying all along. it's funny harg you and jon talk about it, it's like we told you so. this is going to be closer. this is a state that has had three lead changes in the

last five months, and the polls suggest is romney is breaking ahead and building a cushion that could sustain him through a victory tomorrow. the gingrich campaign has begun talking about what states they'll campaign in after florida, which romney points out is not usually a good sign t. signals that they're not entirely confident of a possible win tomorrow. and this is a winner take all state. so there's no consolation prize for coming in second. the latest quinnipiac poll shows mitt romney has built a 14-point lead here in florida over newt gingrich, and that essentially ron paul and rick santorum are tied at 11 and out of contention they've pulled up stakes and began campaigning down the road as well. the real clear politics average has romney outside the double digit lead, 11 1/2 points ahead of newt gingrich. gingrich has managed to find silver linings in the polls clouds. there are two that have him within at least single digits and that's what he was talking about, trying to rally the crowds and get a

bandaggon -- bandwagon effect going for the possibility of a comeback in the last 24 hours. listen: >> we have closed the gap a lot according to insider advantage, we have a chance now in the next 24 hours to finish the job. >> reporter: there are two polls that show that gingrich is in single digit, the rest of them all have double dinl margins and it seems to be growing at least in the quinnipiac poll. another good example is what gallup is saying, nationally, when president obama is stacked up against mitt romney, it's a dead even tie at 48 percent. when president obama is put up against newt beginning rich, the president wins fairly handily, and that's something that the romney campaign is aggressively promoting. we're here in newt beginning -- in tampa where newt gingrich will have a hangar rally and he's doing an honest barn storming across the state, he began in jacksonville on the northeastern atlantic coast, he'll come here to tamper yarks he'll been in pensacola late dear and through the pan handled body

of the state trying to put together a last minute surge. mitt romney did all of the morning shows this morning and he'll be wrapping tonight at the villages, one of the country's largest retiermt communities where they are known to have events within the tens of thousands for political candidates. jenna: i was curious about where you were. i thought it was a hang yaw and it looks like you have your own security detail but it looks like that may be for gingrich! >> or to keep me in line, probably! jenna: i'm glad they're there, for sure. carl, back to you throughout the day, big day coming up tomorrow. thank you sir. >> you bet. jon: voteners a dozen swing states will play a huge role in who wins this election. polls show mitt romney might have a chance of winning a head to head contest against president obama. take a look of the these are the results of a usa today gallup survey, they show a virtual tie in those battle ground states of the joining us now, fox news political analyst juan williams. so we know some states are going to go republican, we know some states are going to go democrat, new york

being one of them. president obama, not in trouble in a state like new york. it's the swing states that are going to decide this election. and in the swing 125eu9s, myth wromny and president obama are tied right now, huh juan? >> absolutely, jon. i think it's a reflection of the fact that for voters this election comes down to one issue: jobs. what we're talking about is swing states now identified by both campaigns as swing states, and that's why gallup picked up on this, were look at three groups, the industrial midwest, looking at western pennsylvania, ohio, michigan, wisconsin, even out to iowa, as a group of states that have been heavily hurt during the course of the recession and don't have much confidence in what president obama has done on the economy. so yes, the economy is getting better, but are those voters sufficiently confident now that they are willing to stick with president obama, or are they willing and more interested in a guy who says his strong suit is handling and

creating jobs and this would be mitt romney. by the way, the other two key areas for swing states, jon, would be the south and there you're looking at places like virginia, north carolina. remember the democrats are going to have their convention in charlotte, as well as some states out west like nevada, new mexico, colorado. newt gingrich -- >> i don't know jon: newt gingrich has been audiences has been telling audiences he is the one best positioned, best equipped to take on president obama in an election but voters don't seem to agree because newt gingrich's numbers aren't nearly as good as mitt romney's, he's down to the president in those swing states by about 14 percent. >> right. i think voters are not confident that newt gingrich is, you know, the guy to handle those economic issues. and you know, to be fair to newt gingrich, he has lots of ideas and he has lots of energy, but remember, he's been under attack from his own party as erratic and the like, and i think that there

are lots of questions about personal issues have dogged him. it just has not helped him. and you know, again, to be fair to president obama, mitt romney is the only republican who comes close. there's no other republican. paul and santorum do better than newt gingrich, but they don't do as well as romney, and romney is only tied at a point, at a point -- tied, at a point when the media has been under attack on the president. jon: talk about the power of the incumbency, they. an incumbent has a huge platform from which to launch a reelection campaign. the fact that mitt romney is doing as well as the president, even though the president makes headlines every day, you know, gets usama bin laden, all of that stuff, does that surprise you? >> no. because look, jon, if you look at poll numbers, it's very clear, i think it's high 30s in some, but that's about it, approval of the president's handling of the economy. it's not really the economy, it's the jobs issue, and that's why people are

concerned about this president going forward. they like him personally, so his personal approval is pretty high, his overall job approval is pretty mediocre, but it's the approval or disapproval i should say of his handling of the economy, so even though he's out there, trying to make the case, you can't get away from the fact that we've had very high unemployment, yeah, it's ticking down slightly but it's still pretty high, 8.5, or 8.4, people are concerned about this, they don't want to see any deterioration of that and they worry this economy has not recovered as quickly as it should have, because republican arguments have been resolute that the president hasn't helped, the stimulus didn't help, they've been knocking him pretty strong. so i agree with you, he has the pulpit, but the facts are hard to contend with. jon onand a lot of evidence that unemployment is a lot higher than the official figures say, 8.5%. a lot of people think it's 17, 18 percent -- 18 percent. >> that's if you include people who have stopped looking for work and the like. jon: juan williams, thank

you. >> thank you jon. jenna: taking you overseas, fierce fighting in syria as the uprising comes to the heart of the country now, and that's what we're really watching for, when this reaches the capitol, and we're getting new signs that it's happening now. facing growing danger of government security forces launching a major assault to reclaim suburb -- suburbs that have fallen to rebels. leland vitter has the latest round of unless. leland. >> reporter: jenna, it appears late this evening that from the reports coming out of syria, both in the syrian free army and government forces, that they have been able to retake now all the suburbs of damascus, the capitol in syria and seat of power for president bashar assad. why is that important? because it is simply his strong hold in the cup. once you have fighting in and around the capitol, it becomes very difficult to stay in power. there were huge plumes of smoke coming up all across the capitol there, and the syrian free army said they'd

practice a strategic retreat from the suburbs. it appears from reports on the ground that they were completely defeated by progovernment forces, and this really goes to the heart of the matter. the syrian free army is made up of -- made up of brarve soldiers but they're ill equipped and de democrats armed, they are carrying ak47s and rocket propelled grenades which is absolutely no match for the syrian forces which have tanks, heavy artillery and are backed by helicopter gunships as they retake the town, the town of holmes, which this began, the free army still has a very isolated pocket of resistance they're holding on to. where do we go from here? syria still has powerful ally, both russia and iran are continuing to help support president assad and his tactics, as russia continues to sell syria weapons, iran continues to send weapons and ammunition their way. however, there appears to be a growing international consensus, after those arab league observers got thrown out, to actually do

something against syria and the united kingdom's foreign minister, the french foreign minister, all headed to new york to meet with u.s. secretary of state hillary clinton about possibly having a u.n. resolution condemning syria. that will be a very big deal because russia holds a veto in the u.n. security council that they could use in order to protect syria, and if the u.s. secretary of state and some of the european allies are able to convince russia otherwise, that could certainly be a step towards condemning assad but we are still a long way away from any kind of world motivation or world coalition coming together to try to kick assad out militarily other provide military help to the rebels who at least now are getting beaten back pretty badly. jenna: it's been nearly a year since the uprising began. quite the chess board. leland, thank you. jon: staying in the neighborhood there, are troops maybe out of iraq, but american eyes are still in the sky. there's new outrage there over the use of american

surveillance drones. iraqi leaders, criticizing the u.s. for patrolling the skies to protect the american embassy. national security correspondent jennifer griffin is live at the pentagon with that argument. jennifer. >> reporter: hi jon. well, it was a small paragraph hid then a 2010 regional security report by the state department division that handles the security at the embassy in baghdad, quote, diplomatic security plans to deploy unmanned aerial vehicles to support u.s. embassy baghdad in 2011, the program will watch over state department facilities and personnel and assist regional security officers with high threat mission planning and execution. it was referring to the need for and the procurement of small drones like this one, shown here, to help protect the u.s. bell and two consulates in iraq, as well as u.s. convoys. now it seems iraqi officials are complaining these american drones violate their sovereignty, a month after the last u.s. troops left the country. the drones in question are

unarmed and the size of toy planes. the small surveillance unmanned aerial vehicles are needed to protect 11,000 u.s. personnel at the u.s. embassy in baghdad. one of the largest embassies in the middle east. five thousand security contractors are tasked with protecting embassy and consulate personnel. these unmanned drones give them eyes in the sky, jon. this video provided by the middle east media research institute appeared on a television station controlled by hezbollah in lebanon. it purports to show a small drone that iraqi insurgents say they captured in early january in basra. the state department will soon consider bids for this unmanned aerial plane program but a lot of the details still have to be worked out jon. jon: sounds like it. jennifer griffin at the pentagon, thank you. jenna: well, a potential break in the case, maybe. the search for missing toddler ala reynolds. what police found inside a family member's home, and what they're making of t we're going to bring you up to date on that. the congressional state

in one state that could signal what the nation's voters will do in november. a live report, next. [ male announcer ] this was how my day began.

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jenna: right now, some new information on a few crime stories we're keeping an eye on for you today, three members of an afghan immigrant family found guilty of honor killings in canada. muhammad shacia, his wife and their son were convicted of first degree murder in the death of his three daughters, and his first wife. big case in canada. meantime hearings today to determine whether would-be assassin john hinckley jr. should gain more freedom. he has been in a mental hospital since teapt to go kill reagan in 19 # one, the court has requested extended visits to his mom, as well as possible permanent release. >> a new twist in the case for missing toddler ala renalds in main, police confirming they found the little girl's blood in her father's home, the

20-month-old disappeared six weeks ago. jon: a special election for a congressional seat in oregon is catching the attention of both political parties. two candidates are facing off there in a race which could signal which way the political winds are blowing when we head into november. dan springer live in our seattle bureau with more. >> reporter: jon, most eyes will most understandably be on florida tomorrow night. party pundits and leaders will see if they can get a glimpse of all voters, not just republican, it pits susan bonamici against rod cornelis who had never led in government, bonamici led by # 1 percent, that's the registration advantage enjoyed by democrats in this district which includes part of liberal port lawn and high tech suburbs home to nike and intel. president obama won the district handy with 61 percent of the vote in 2008. in recent weeks, cornelias

has stepped up attacks against bonamici. a poll done for corneal. s showed a lead down just four points, yet democrats appeared confident. >> people rnd concerned about david woo, they're concerned about their livelihood, about getting our economy on track. there are much more important things to be worried about. >> reporter: and cornelis is trying to buck hiss revment this seat has been held by democrats since 1974, and the democratic congressional campaign committee has spent $1.3 million on attack ads to keep it. the republican party has not jumped in, and over the weekend house speaker john boehner downplayed expectations saying it's a very difficult seat for the gop. despite being painted as a tea party conservative by democrats cornelas a running as an independent moderate. he upset the base with the grover nowhere wirs tax pledge. >> i'm not going to sign

pledges by political insiders or washington, d.c. they don't even know. i'm not answering that person. they're not voting for me, they're not my constituent. >> another reason that the republican party is not pouring money in or in the vote by mail system. turnout is expected to be high, because it's so easy for vote. high turnout bodes well for the party with the registration advantage which in this case is the democrats. jon: we'll see what happens. dan, thank you. jenna: thank you details from the investigation of a horrific crime. police in birmingham, alabama finding five people shot to death execution style. we have the latest coming up on that. plus, fighting for a prize in florida. why republican candidates see one group of voters as the key of victory there and maybe elsewhere. this story, straight ahead. juice drink too watery? ♪ feel the power my young friend. mmm!

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jon: brand new video from that shipwreck off the coast of italy, scuba divers inspecting the cruiseliner after it slipped again from its dangerous perch. julie ban banderas has more for us. >> reporter: jorntion scuba divers from an italian firefighting unit are back in waters off the coast of italy today trying to determine the ship's movement. there is footage we're about to show you that has just been released, it shows the divers at work in and around the partially submerged wreck. they are now inspecting the space between the capsized cruiseliner and the sea bed below, as it sinks deeper under water, about 1 1/2 inches overnight. rescue operations and fuel recovery preparations have been put on hold due to strong winds and rough seas. the choppy waters also partially dislodged a bank owned by dutch valuage firm schmitt that had been a plagging platform -- a

staging program for the -- staging platform. the outer tanks holds more than half the 500,000 gallons of heavy oil that are aboard that ship and that is a key concern, jon, because since the surrounding seas form part of a protective marine sanctuary and they are a favorite destination for scuba divers, it's a concern for electricallage. the good news is no leakage has been detected. jon: that's the good news but the story goes on. >> >> reporter: sure. jenna: there is a major battle in florida to win over hispanic voters. florida is among the fifth in the country with the largest population, new york, california, texas, the other three, today the four -- together the when states account for half of the electoral votes to be elected'. this is a big deal. both democrats and republicans want votes from the hispanic community consequently. how are the parties courting these voters? we'll look at this, simon rosenberg, founder of ndn, who advises the democratic

party on how to reach out to lat tino voters, and director of the hispanic outreach for the national committee, welcome to you both, and batina, let's start with you first. we talk about winning over the hispanic vote in florida and i'm wondering, if we're too quick to generalize. is the his pan vote in florida the same as in texas and california and otherwise? >> no. the hispanic vote in general is a very diverse community, and in florida it's very unique, miami, south florida, central florida has two very different hispanic communities but they all have one thing in common, especially. one thing in common in this election cycle, their focus on the economy. jenna: simon, how do you think the democrats have done reaching out to the voters in that community and talking about jobs, specifically, when it comes to hispanic voters? >> right dmiewrksding to four national polls taken with latinos in the last few weeks, barack obama is holding his 2008 numbers, mitt romney is far below the numbers that john mccain got

in 20 08, and i think the conventional wisdom is the latino vote has been upset with republicans because of escalated rhetoric in recent years and the attacks they've seen in their community. i think the democrats feel pretty good they're going to do very well this cycle and i think mitt romney is going to have a tough time winning back the ground that they've lost in recent years. he's run a very antiimmigrant, antilatino race so far. i think he's going to struggle in the general election. jenna: would you categorize mitt romney that way? >> i it's easy to deflect on obama's record, he has no record within the hispanic community. esting he's talked about, he's failed. there is high unemployment in the latino community, more people living in poverty and his ratings have declined. in general, hispanics, six in ten believe that the economy is on the wrong track and this president has not fulfilled his part. jenna: the same question to simon, how do republicans do the sort of outreach?

the politico has an article about how the president is custom tailoring his message to the hispanic community. how do republicans answer that? >> i'm very excited to be part of the republican national committee, chairman priebus announced new efforts to connect with hispanics throughout this country, we're going to have boots on the ground in florida, nevada, colorado, new mexico, among some others, and we're also doing a very strong communications effort, in english and spanish. and social media campaigns, and the test campaigns that you can text to 91919, multi faceted efforts to make sure we're connecting with hispanics throughout the country. jenna: let me get to that custom tailored message that politico is talking about, simon, basically saying if you look at the facts, there's been a record of de pour takes and as recently as august there's also the announcement that the administration is going to review hundreds of thousands of deportations and table some of them indefinitely and some are suggest,

critics of the administration, that this is pandering to the vote right now in order to get hispanics on the side of the administration. talk to me a little about that potentially as a strategy and how even another side could come back -- could combat that if you are in a state of power. >> well, i think the power is getting a lot of credit for having tried very hard to fix the broken immigration system. he's been blocked repeatedly by republicans in the congress to have enacted a bill that john mccain originally introduced in 2005 and was supported by george b., then president bush, and i think what has happened, in the absence of that legislative progress, the administration has had to focus on a one-off administrative fix to make the immigration system better. we have a terrible immigration system in the country, everybody agrees with that, all the viewers i think on fox would agree with that. the question is how do we make it better and i think the president is going to be able to run for reelection in 2012 say be eeg made the

immigration system safer and we've seen expanded trade with mention. we have a strong record and i -- with mexico. i have -- he has a strong record and i disagree with patina, he has continued despite ledge slattive opposition to make this better. >> the president has failed on immigration. when he was running for president he promised his first year to address immigration. he has done nothing with immigration, he hasn't proposed a plan. he talks a good game but hasn't done anything to address immigration. he's supported more immigrants than anyo deport ed more than any other president in u.s. history, and you can't go in and promise a bunch of things and not fulfill your promises and blame others for your failure. you're a leader, the leader of this country. he has no record to run on. jenna: it's certainly a debate that will continue to happen over comprehensive immigration reform and what will resonate with voters, not just to our fox viewers but voters in yn -- in

general. we look forward to having you on more to talk about it. thank you very much. >> thank you very much. jon: a few areas of active weather, moving across the nation right now. here in new york city, i'm told the weather is unseasonably warm. it was mighty nippy when i came in in the wee hours. i'll have to go outside and check. we'll get a live update from the fox weather center. >> things are heating up on the campaign trail. we will look at the impact of all those attack ads, coming up. >> jen a quick check on the

weather with maria molina. >> reporter: the big story is the weather crosses most the u.s. take a look at how above average the temperatures are across most of the country, up to 20-25 degrees across parts of the plains, 10-15 degrees above average across pretty much a good -- at least half of the country. the reason for that, dwoa have the jetstream lifting across parts of the u.s.-canada border and south of the jetstream we get all that air. we're not looking at any cold surge of air across parts of the u.s., new york city, you are right around normal for today. we're going to be looking at a high of 40 degrees, but all of that mild air across parts of the central plains is headed east. guys, by tomorrow you're going to be warmer out here, looking at a high tomorrow of 55 degrees so, at least 16 degrees above what's normal for this time of the year. still warmer off to the west, texas, in the 70s, across parts of the rockies we're cooler but not bad, 51 for the city of denver.

this weekend we could be looking at a change, as the dip of the jetstream moves on in, parts of the great lakes and northeast, you could be looking at temperatures slightly below average or right around normal for the month of late -- actually it will be february by then, so it will be looking like it's going start to feel more like winter out there. where it does feel like winter right now is across areas just downwind of lake ontario. we do have a lake effect snow band that's is the up there, really dump thank snow, so it's very thin but we are picking up quite a bit of snow and expecting accumulations, between 3-7 inches and locally, up to a foot, jenna. jenna: so don't break out the bathing suits just yet. a little above average. we'll take a break where we can in the winter. maria, thank you very much. >> >> reporter: okay. jon: the latest polls show florida voters turning away from newt gingrich, his numbers falling sharply over the last few days in that state. gingrich blames his slump on a barrage of mitt romney attack ads. let's talk about it with rich lowry, editor of the

national review and fox news contributor, alan coomes of the alan coomes show. alan s. it the attack ads? >> i don't think so. it's hard to tell what impact the ads have. it's accumulative. i don't think gingrich did as well in the debate and when he says things like we're going to have lienar landings and lunar colonies by the end of my second term, it either comes off as pandering or unbelievable, too fantastic, and i'm not sure there's a believability factor there. if anything, i think newt has to take responsibility for his own performance and i think that's more what it's about than specifically the attack ads. jon: rich, in complaining about the attack ads, newt gingrich has said of mitt romney, he says i want to talk about big issues. romney has said, you know, his big issues are things like a moon call. he did leave himself open to that kind of criticism, i guess. >> yeah, well, i think newt is actually right, these ads are having a big effect down

there, but it's a presidential campaign. of course your opponent is going to hit you with negative ads. that's why you raise money, that's where you -- why you build up an organization that has staying power so when you get to a big state like this you can dump on your opponent, so i don't think the whining really becomes newt gingrich, there's no crying in baseball, and what he had to do in those debates, there are two debates down that he brags he's the best debater in the planet, practically, he had to win in a compelling fashion to overcome the effect of those ads, he didn't. in fact, those -- the second debate he did quite poorly. jon: so if he had done better in the debates, he'd do better now. >> he's based this on i'm going to have lincoln-douglas debates with barack obama if i'm the nominee and this has been the? piece of this campaign so he has to perform in those venues when that becomes what he claims is his best strength. jon: what about the concern, rich, that the candidates are damaging their own prospect in the general

election with all of this negative advertising that's going on in florida? >> well, you certainly see it in the numbers released in the short term. it's hurt all of them in florida with regard to their standing vis-a-vis president obama. but look, why this stuff is going to be surface -- a lot of this stuff is going to be surfaced one way or the other and it's painful to see it sur fares in two republicans at each other vicious lu, but mitt romney is out with his tax returns, in my mind he had to defend himself on bain, sooner is better rather than later in my mind, so this is disspiritting for conservative republicans to watch but it's probably better 20 have -- better to have this stuff aired now. >> i think one comfort that conservatives can take, i believe that newt gingrich has made mitt romney a better candidate and better debater and it's forced him into certain areas in terms of tonality he might not have wanted to go. and it in the long run, it probably helped mitt romney. >> especially with the

debate because the last debate was clearly a much sharper, more aggressive mitt romney and that is a good thing, and you know, jon, the irony here, although the press doesn't particularly like newt gingrich or liked him at all he's benefitted from the media because he's such a genious at drawing attention to also, that's what he did after new hampshire and that helped step on rick santorum after iowa and in these famous with the moderators, all of which newt gingrich has won decisively, except for in that second florida debate, which was another reason he didn't do well that night. jon: and were, way back before iowa, when newt gingrich, alan, said he was going to run a positive campaign and now he says, you know, that he has been carpet-bombed, he was on next news sunday saying that mitt romney has been carpet bombing him into offlivon. >> even if he had the test of intentions and i like to believe he did, he wanted to run a campaign of idea, he had a wonderful excuse when he said i'd love to run a positive campaign but how can we when i have the

attacks against me, i've got to save my skin, which is a great save and it's the newt we know and love, is that he isn't an -- he comes off that way and sometimes it will appear to the anger and bitterness in some people and i think that's what he counted on that did him so well in south carolina. hasn't worked well in florida, though. jon: it's going to be interesting to -- interesting to see what happens after that vote tomorrow. gentlemen, thank you, rich lowry, alan coomes. >> appreciate it. jon: every week i wrap up how the media covers the big news of the week. watch it every saturday, 2:30 p.m. eastern time. jenna: this is one of the big stories, that deadly pileup on a florida highway, investigators on the scene looking for clues to what led to this horrible accident. we have the very latest coming up. plus the politics of food. why eating plays such a big role on the campaign trail. do you ever wonder why they go to certain diners and not others? >> jon: i'm not wondering, i'm just getting hungry right now!

>> jenna: we have that story, next. when i grow up,

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jon: right now, new information on stories we're keeping an eye on across the u.s. and around the world, all from inside our control room. an investigation is underway into that deadly pileup on a florida interstate, ten people died in the early morning crash, amid blinding smoke from a brushfire. the cause of the fire is still under investigation. rick santorum is back on the campaign trail after a health scare involving his young daughter bella, the three-year-old who suffers from a genetic disorder was hospitalized with pneumonia. the family says she is making a, quote, miraculous turnaround. and country singer willie nelson, performing to support congressman dennis

kucinich in his bid for reelection in ohio. redistricting is bidding kucinich against a fellow democrat in a primary battle there. jenna: you know the saying you are what you eat? if jon was what he eats on set he would be a snicker bar. jon: a gigantic snicker bar. jenna: me, it too be chocolate almonds. for candidates on the campaign trail they're more strategic than we might be. shopping for food is not just about eat, it's also a political strategy and steve harrigan has a tough job of figuring this out. >> reporter: we're trying to answer one simple question with this story. out of all the chicken wings in southern florida, why is it the presidential candidates stop at the same one? >> 6.95, all you can eat? >> not too much. >> legendary eateries are must stops for presidential candidates and have common features. >> they want to be seen ago

mingling with the middle working class. that's the market they're aiming at. but they also want to pick a place that the media will cover, that's successful. >> reporter: south florida, wings plus featuring 18 flavors of buffalo wings, including extra triple spicey fits the bill. >> it's also the voters. >> gingrich came just three days after a visit by rick santorum, mitt romney has also been to wings plus. >> if you find a spot that works well, i think it gets put on the list. i don't know where that list is and i don't know where it's kept, but there is a list somewhere, because they do seem to go back to the same spots. >> reporter: veteran wing eaters arrive early on the day of the big visit. >> watching person speak on television is not the same thing, you don't -- it doesn't capture the vibe, it doesn't capture the excitement. >> reporter: from county commissioner to the president, the key to a successful wings visit is the same, according to owner brian walsh. >> they've got to be

friendly, they have to be honest, and show respect for the hard working people that come in here. >> wings plus draws almost always republican candidates. the oar says he's tried to draw some democrats but he says they seem to have their own restaurants in florida. jenna, back to you. jenna: maybe they don't like wings. have you tried the wings, steve? >> i did have a dozen mild spicey. they were excellent. gen jen just making sure, you got to do the full reporting, report that story out. steve, thank you very much. jon: he draws the line at a dozen. no more than a dozen! just ahead, late breaking developments from a horrific crime in alabama. police in birmingham find five people shot to death. investigators now get a major break in the case. plus, the taliban, talking peace. why those militants are coming to the table. a live all right from afghanistan, straight ahead. [ male announcer ] how do you trade?

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jon: breaking news in alabama, police arrest three suspect necessary the execution-style shootings of five people. julie has more. >> reporter: just getting more gruesome details, jon. birmingham police have not released the names of the suspects or the victims' identities pending notification of family members. they did make these arrests less than a day after five people were shot to death during a possible robbery. detectives placed the crime at about 330 time in the morning on sunday after receiving information the rental home was being burglarized. when cops arrived to investigate they found the victims already dead inside. a neighbor who lives across the street says she's relieved police have taken someone into custody and while detectives are calling this a homicide investigation they have not yet said what charges are

being filed exactly. investigators asking anyone with information to contact crime stopper, jon. jon: julie banderas, thank you. >> reporter: sure. jenna: we don't want to forget this big story in afghanistan, the taliban coming to the table, apparently ready for peace talks. u.s. officials saying they're cautiously optimistic. conor powell is streaming live from kabul. >> reporter: jenna, after ten years of fighting here, u.s. officials' generals, politics diplomats have talked about the need to have talks in afghanistan to end the violence, but those talks have never fully materialized 6789 they've gone nowhere the past few years. but for the first time in years we're seeing real movement, some engagement on the part of the afghan taliban to talk to the united states, to talk to the afghan government. for the first time ever, the taliban have opened an office, a political embassy of sorts, in the oil-rich arab country of qatar. their office will be in doha, they have sent officials there to talk to u.s. officials and president

hamid karzai has said he's will to go engage with the taliban, calling for takes in saudi arabia. mullah omar, the spiritual leader of the taliban, has indicated there needs to be some type of resolution to the fighting. nobody is saying these talks are going to end the violence tomorrow or any time in the near future. but these are sort of talks to set up larger, more in depth talks. over the next few weeks and months we expect to see confidence building measure, the taliban wants to see prisoners released from guantanamo bay and baghram prison outside kabul, the u.s. wants to see one of its soldiers held by the taliban for the last few years also released. so they're beginning to talk about talks to end the vie lents. it may not sound like much but for diplomats who have been working on this and generals who have been working on this for years, jenna, this is a very big step forward but as you said, they are cautiously optimistic about progress because there have been so many false starts in the past. >> we can't forget we have

troops fighting there every day as well. conor, thank you very much. conor powell, with us live in kabul. jon: well, a showdown in washington as police move to evict protestors. occupy d.c. has been camping out for several months against all the rules. well now they're facing a deadline to pack it up and get out. a live update on the standoff, just ahead. i'm in a tricky situation here. i'm bidding on a 1979 dukes of hazzard lunchbox,

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hmmm. for half the calories plus veggie nutrition. could've had a v8. jon: just about exactly two hours ago firefighters were called to a big fire in paramount, california, in southern l.a. county. we are told that the flames have been extinguished. this was burning at a packaging materials company. i'm thinking that sounds like packing peanuts and bubble wrap, that kind of thing. you can imagine why it burned as black and hot as it did. we are told the fire is out. some materials still smoldering inside the building, no injuries thankfully, that's the good news. jenna: look at the firefighter on the ladder. it looks like it's out of a

movie. jon: yeah. jenna: i hope everybody is okay there. no injuries reported. we'll continue to find out what happened. i want to show you this if you need motivation to eat so salad. one israeli company is coming up on a brand-new take of an ordinary salad. those are tomatoes. the color comes from crossing congreso de latinos unidas taourfrom crossing cultured and wild tomatoes. they want to sell them to luxury hotels and then make it available to all of us. it looks like she likes it. i like the tomatoes just red. do we have to change that? was there anything wrong with it to begin with? jon: what they won't come up with next. 10,000 people in maryland making the annual polar bear plunge in

chesapeake bay. jenna: you would do that. jon: why would you jump into freezing water in january? this event benefits the special olympics. $2million was raised for special olympic athletes in maryland, this is the 16th year for the polar bear plunge. jenna: they also do it in san francisco on new year's day. we did a story like that at the beginning of the year as part of a tradition. i've never been one of those people. jon: my hat goes off to people who chop holes in the ice and jump in. jenna: we could do that on location some day. jon: not for me. i'll watch you do it. jenna: thanks for joining us everybody. jon: "america live" starts right now. megyn: fox news alert, new poll numbers showing who has the best chance of beating president obama come november 6th. welcome to "america live." happy monday, everybody, i'm megyn kelly. they are the key swing states that could make-or-break